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At least 271 records · Page 15

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NASA NTRS2006

NAS Demand Predictions, Transportation Systems Analysis Model (TSAM) Compared with Other Forecasts

The current work incorporates the Transportation Systems Analysis Model (TSAM) to predict the future demand for airline travel. TSAM is a multi-mode, national model that predicts the demand for all long distance travel at a county level based upon population and demographics. The model conducts a mode choice analysis to compute the demand for commercial airline travel based upon the traveler s purpose of the trip, value of time, cost and time of the trip,. The county demand for airline travel is then aggregated (or distributed) to the airport level, and the enplanement demand at commercial airports is modeled. With the growth in flight demand, and utilizing current airline flight schedules, the Fratar algorithm is used to develop future flight schedules in the NAS. The projected flights can then be flown through air transportation simulators to quantify the ability of the NAS to meet future demand. A major strength of the TSAM analysis is that scenario planning can be conducted to quantify capacity requirements at individual airports, based upon different future scenarios. Different demographic scenarios can be analyzed to model the demand sensitivity to them. Also, it is fairly well know, but not well modeled at the airport level, that the demand for travel is highly dependent on the cost of travel, or the fare yield of the airline industry. The FAA projects the fare yield (in constant year dollars) to keep decreasing into the future. The magnitude and/or direction of these projections can be suspect in light of the general lack of airline profits and the large rises in airline fuel cost. Also, changes in travel time and convenience have an influence on the demand for air travel, especially for business travel. Future planners cannot easily conduct sensitivity studies of future demand with the FAA TAF data, nor with the Boeing or Airbus projections. In TSAM many factors can be parameterized and various demand sensitivities can be predicted for future travel. These resulting demand scenarios can be incorporated into future flight schedules, therefore providing a quantifiable demand for flights in the NAS for a range of futures. In addition, new future airline business scenarios are investigated that illustrate when direct flights can replace connecting flights and larger aircraft can be substituted, only when justified by demand.

Viken, Jeff↗

NASA NTRS2006

Utilizing Traveler Demand Modeling to Predict Future Commercial Flight Schedules in the NAS

Viken, Jeff↗

NASA NTRS1985

Investigations of radiation-induced and carrier-enhanced conductivity

A steady-state carrier computer code, PECK (Parker Enhanced Carrier Kinetics), that predicts the radiation-induced conductivity (RIC) produced in a dielectric by an electron beam was developed. The model, which assumes instantly-trapped holes, was then applied to experimental measurements on thin Kapton samples penetrated by an electron beam. Measurements at high bias were matched in the model by an appropriate choice for the trap-modulated electron mobility. A fractional split between front and rear currents measured at zone bias is explained on the basis of beam-scattering. The effects of carrier-enhanced conductivity (CEC) on data obtained for thick, free-surface Kapton samples is described by using an analytical model that incorporates field injection of carriers from the RIC region. The computer code, LWPCHARGE, modified for carrier transport, is also used to predict partial penetration effects associated with CEC in the unirradiated region. Experimental currents and surface voltages, when incorporated in the appropriate models, provide a value for the trap modulated mobility that is in essential agreement with the RIC results.

Meulenberg, A., Jr.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Uniting Surface Properties With Hydrodynamic Roughness in Shallow Overland Flow Models

Describing flow resistance from the properties of an underlying surface is a challenge in surface hydrology. Runoff models must specify a resistance formulation or “roughness scheme”—describing the functional relationship between flow resistance and flow depth/velocity—and its parameters. Uncertainty in runoff predictions derives from both the selected roughness scheme (e.g., Darcy Weisbach, Manning's, or laminar flow equations), and its parameterization with a roughness coefficient (e.g., Manning's n). Both choices are informed by model calibration to data, usually discharge, and, if available, velocity. In this study, a Saint Venant Equation-based runoff model is calibrated to discharge and velocity data from 112 rainfall simulator experiments. The results are used to identify the optimal roughness scheme among four widely-used options for each experiment, and to explore whether surface properties can be used to select the optimal roughness scheme and its coefficient. Among the tested roughness schemes, a transitional flow equation provided the best fit to the plurality of experiments. The most suitable roughness scheme for a given experiment was not related to measured surface properties. Regression models predicted the calibrated roughness coefficients with adjusted values between 0.48 and 0.54, depending on the roughness scheme used. Litter cover was the best predictor of the roughness coefficient, followed by soil cover and average canopy gap size. The results suggest that selection of an optimal roughness scheme based on surface properties alone remains difficult, but that once a scheme is selected, roughness coefficients can be estimated from surface properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1982

Materials constitutive models for nonlinear analysis of thermally cycled structures

Effects of inelastic materials models on computed stress-strain solutions for thermally loaded structures were studied by performing nonlinear (elastoplastic creep) and elastic structural analyses on a prismatic, double edge wedge specimen of IN 100 alloy that was subjected to thermal cycling in fluidized beds. Four incremental plasticity creep models (isotropic, kinematic, combined isotropic kinematic, and combined plus transient creep) were exercised for the problem by using the MARC nonlinear, finite element computer program. Maximum total strain ranges computed from the elastic and nonlinear analyses agreed within 5 percent. Mean cyclic stresses, inelastic strain ranges, and inelastic work were significantly affected by the choice of inelastic constitutive model. The computing time per cycle for the nonlinear analyses was more than five times that required for the elastic analysis.

Kaufman, A.↗

NASA NTRS1992

Active strut placement using integer programming for the CSI Revolutionary Model

A method for determining the most effective locations for active struts on large space structures is developed and tested on the NASA CSI Evolutionary Model. Depending on the choice of weighting factors, the method can be used to maximize the maximum modal damping ratio or decay rate, or to maximize a mission-oriented measure of performance. Placement of 8, 16, and 32 active struts out of 1507 candidate truss elements is demonstrated. Preliminary estimates of damping enhancement are reported pending refined structural models and dynamic test results. The method can handle complicated FEM models wih a large number of truss elements and many target modes. It can treat each mode equally or it can emphasize the importance of selected modes. The method can eliminate some combinations of actuator locations based on topological constraints.

Padula, Sharon L.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Scattering from randomly oriented scatterers of arbitrary shape in the low-frequency limit with application to vegetation

A general theory of intensity scattering from small particles of arbitrary shape was developed based on the radiative transfer theory. Upon permitting the particles to orient in accordance with any prescribed distribution, scattering models can be derived. By making an appropriate choice of the particle size, the scattering model may be used to estimate scattering from media such as snow, vegetation and sea ice. For the purpose of illustration only comparisons with measurements from a vegetated medium are shown. The difference in scattering between elliptic and circular shaped leaves is demonstrated. In the low frequency limit, the major factors on backscattering from vegetation are found to be the depth of the vegetation layer and the orientation distribution of the leaves. The shape of the leaf is of secondary importance.

Karam, M. A.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Scattering from randomly oriented scatterers of arbitrary shape in the low-frequency limit with application to vegetation

A general theory of intensity scattering from small particles of arbitrary shape has been developed based on the radiative transfer theory. Upon permitting the particles to orient in accordance with any prescribed distribution, scattering models can be derived. By making an appropriate choice of the particle size, the scattering model may be used to estimate scattering from media such as snow, vegetation and sea ice. For the purpose of illustration only comparisons with measurements from a vegetated medium are shown. The difference in scattering between elliptic- and circular-shaped leaves is demonstrated. In the low-frequency limit, the major factors on backscattering from vegetation are found to be the depth of the vegetation layer and the orientation distribution of the leaves. The shape of the leaf is of secondary importance.

Karam, M. A.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Reference Ocean Surface Emission and Backscatter Model from Microwaves to Infrared

Satellite observations are vital for the initialization of Numerical Weather Prediction models, and very important for climate monitoring and prediction, as well as other applications such as hydrology and flood awareness prediction. Knowledge of radiative contributions from the Earth's surface is needed to sound the lower troposphere from space. The lack of a reference quality ocean emission and backscatter model is a major gap in our ability to provide absolute calibration of the satellite based observing system. Uncertainty in emissivity models is not well characterized and different models are used for different spectral bands, for active and passive instruments. An International Space Science Institute (ISSI) team was put together [4] to address these issues. The objectives of the team are to provide a reference model as a community software (i.e., documented and freely available code), that is maintained and supported, has traceable uncertainty estimations, and that enables new science from microwaves to infrared with bidirectional reflectance distribution function (BRDF) capability. We will present the model and its various components, discussing the choices between various parameterizations, building on the LOCEAN model of [2]. The model predictions will be evaluated at various frequencies, including comparisons to radiometric observations by SMAP, AMSR2 and GMI (e.g., [5]). We will discuss early model evaluation in the infrared and for active microwave sensors. Areas of ongoing research include improving the foam parametrization (coverage and emissivity) to provide consistent performances across frequencies, building on [1], and the azimuthal dependence of the active and passive signals. The model will be used to generate training data for fast models e.g., Fastem, [3], that are used in operational data assimilation and climate re-analysis.

Emmanuel Dinnat↗

NASA NTRS1976

Transonic flow calculations

The development of relaxation methods to calculate transonic flows is discussed. Rather accurate predictions can be made for a number of flows of interest using the transonic potential flow equation, which may be derived from the Euler equations for inviscid compressible flow by introducing the assumption that the flow is irrotational. Once the choice of a mathematical model has been settled, the numerical procedure for actually computing a solution contains two main elements: the construction of a discrete approximation which converges to the solution of the continuous problem in the limit as the mesh width is reduced to zero, and the solution of the resulting set of nonlinear difference equations by a convergent iterative scheme. The choice of an appropriate coordinate system and its influence on the accuracy of the discrete approximation is discussed. Several applications of the general method are described.

Jameson, A.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Theoretical H II region models - The effects of stellar atmosphere models

Several grids of theoretical H II region models are computed by photoionization modeling in order to determine the extent to which the choice of the ionizing stellar atmosphere model affects the calibration of emission-line diagnostic diagrams of Evans and Dopita (1985) and the semiempirical H II region abundance sequence calibration of Evans and Dopita. Emission-line diagnostic diagrams are presented and compared for model nebulae ionized by Hummer and Mihalas (1970) unblanketed LTE atmospheres, Kurucz (1979) line-blanketed LTE atmospheres, Mihalas (1972) unblanketed non-LTE, and a truncated blackbody spectrum. The models demonstrate that for solar nebular and atmospheric abundances, there are only minor differences between H II models ionized by the Hummer and Mihalas atmospheres. The unblanketed non-LTE stellar atmosphere models of Mihalas and truncated blackbody spectra are shown to be unsuitable for general H II region modelling.

Evans, I. N.↗

NASA NTRS1996

Consideration in selecting crops for the human-rated life support system: a Linear Programming model

A Linear Programming model has been constructed which aids in selecting appropriate crops for CELSS (Controlled Environment Life Support System) food production. A team of Controlled Environment Agriculture (CEA) faculty, staff, graduate students and invited experts representing more than a dozen disciplines, provided a wide range of expertise in developing the model and the crop production program. The model incorporates nutritional content and controlled-environment based production yields of carefully chosen crops into a framework where a crop mix can be constructed to suit the astronauts' needs. The crew's nutritional requirements can be adequately satisfied with only a few crops (assuming vitamin mineral supplements are provided) but this will not be satisfactory from a culinary standpoint. This model is flexible enough that taste and variety driven food choices can be built into the model.

NASA Center JSC↗

NASA NTRS1994

Evaluation of semiempirical atmospheric density models for orbit determination applications

This paper presents the results of an investigation of the orbit determination performance of the Jacchia-Roberts (JR), mass spectrometer incoherent scatter 1986 (MSIS-86), and drag temperature model (DTM) atmospheric density models. Evaluation of the models was performed to assess the modeling of the total atmospheric density. This study was made generic by using six spacecraft and selecting time periods of study representative of all portions of the 11-year cycle. Performance of the models was measured for multiple spacecraft, representing a selection of orbit geometries from near-equatorial to polar inclinations and altitudes from 400 kilometers to 900 kilometers. The orbit geometries represent typical low earth-orbiting spacecraft supported by the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) Flight Dynamics Division (FDD). The best available modeling and orbit determination techniques using the Goddard Trajectory Determination System (GTDS) were employed to minimize the effects of modeling errors. The latest geopotential model available during the analysis, the Goddard earth model-T3 (GEM-T3), was employed to minimize geopotential model error effects on the drag estimation. Improved-accuracy techniques identified for TOPEX/Poseidon orbit determination analysis were used to improve the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS)-based orbit determination used for most of the spacecraft chosen for this analysis. This paper shows that during periods of relatively quiet solar flux and geomagnetic activity near the solar minimum, the choice of atmospheric density model used for orbit determination is relatively inconsequential. During typical solar flux conditions near the solar maximum, the differences between the JR, DTM, and MSIS-86 models begin to become apparent. Time periods of extreme solar activity, those in which the daily and 81-day mean solar flux are high and change rapidly, result in significant differences between the models. During periods of high geomagnetic activity, the standard JR model was outperformed by DTM. Modification of the JR model to use a geomagnetic heating delay of 3 hours, as used in DTM, instead of the 6.7-hour delay produced results comparable to or better than the DTM performance, reducing definitive orbit solution ephermeris overlap differences by 30 to 50 percent. The reduction in the overlap differences would be useful for mitigating the impact of geomagnetic storms on orbit prediction.

Cox, C. M.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Bonding of NH3 to Cu

Bagus et al. (1984) have studied the chemisorption of NH3 at the on-top site of Cu(100), using a cluster model, Cu5(1,4)NH3. On the basis of the value of the NH3 chemisorption energy obtained, it was concluded that NH3 chemisorbs directly above a Cu atom. In order to consider also other sites, Al(111) was substituted for Cu(100). Chemisorption on Al can be quite different from a transition metal, however, and questions arise regarding the suitability of the choice of the Al model. Thus, in this note, NH3 into hollows is considered for Cu(111). Attention is given to the conduction of self-consistent field calculations, problems of site determination, and the consideration of electrostatic interaction.

Bauschlicher, C. W., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Model reduction for the dynamics and control of large structural systems via neutral network processing direct numerical optimization

Three neural network processing approaches in a direct numerical optimization model reduction scheme are proposed and investigated. Large structural systems, such as large space structures, offer new challenges to both structural dynamicists and control engineers. One such challenge is that of dimensionality. Indeed these distributed parameter systems can be modeled either by infinite dimensional mathematical models (typically partial differential equations) or by high dimensional discrete models (typically finite element models) often exhibiting thousands of vibrational modes usually closely spaced and with little, if any, damping. Clearly, some form of model reduction is in order, especially for the control engineer who can actively control but a few of the modes using system identification based on a limited number of sensors. Inasmuch as the amount of 'control spillover' (in which the control inputs excite the neglected dynamics) and/or 'observation spillover' (where neglected dynamics affect system identification) is to a large extent determined by the choice of particular reduced model (RM), the way in which this model reduction is carried out is often critical.

Becus, Georges A.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Space station crew safety: Human factors interaction model

A model of the various human factors issues and interactions that might affect crew safety is developed. The first step addressed systematically the central question: How is this space station different from all other spacecraft? A wide range of possible issue was identified and researched. Five major topics of human factors issues that interacted with crew safety resulted: Protocols, Critical Habitability, Work Related Issues, Crew Incapacitation and Personal Choice. Second, an interaction model was developed that would show some degree of cause and effect between objective environmental or operational conditions and the creation of potential safety hazards. The intermediary steps between these two extremes of causality were the effects on human performance and the results of degraded performance. The model contains three milestones: stressor, human performance (degraded) and safety hazard threshold. Between these milestones are two countermeasure intervention points. The first opportunity for intervention is the countermeasure against stress. If this countermeasure fails, performance degrades. The second opportunity for intervention is the countermeasure against error. If this second countermeasure fails, the threshold of a potential safety hazard may be crossed.

Cohen, M. M.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Space Station crew safety - Human factors model

A model of the various human factors issues and interactions that might affect crew safety is developed. The first step addressed systematically the central question: How is this Space Station different from all other spacecraft? A wide range of possible issue was identified and researched. Five major topics of human factors issues that interacted with crew safety resulted: Protocols, Critical Habitability, Work Related Issues, Crew Incapacitation and Personal Choice. Second, an interaction model was developed that would show some degree of cause and effect between objective environmental or operational conditions and the creation of potential safety hazards. The intermediary steps between these two extremes of causality were the effects on human performance and the results of degraded performance. The model contains three milestones: stressor, human performance (degraded) and safety hazard threshold. Between these milestones are two countermeasure intervention points. The first opportunity for intervention is the countermeasure against stress. If this countermeasure fails, performance degrades. The second opportunity for intervention is the countermeasure against error. If this second countermeasure fails, the threshold of a potential safety hazard may be crossed.

Cohen, M. M.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Dynamics of the Venus ionosphere revisited

The Whitten et al. (1984) dynamical model of the Venus ionosphere is presently modified in order to obtain a better match between observations and predictions. It is found that the nighttime ion densities are comparatively insensitive to the height of the ionopause above a value of 450 km. The density increases by only about 25 percent when the ionopause is raised to 800 km, but is noted to be very sensitive to the choice of a neutral model atmosphere, and to the ion and electron temperatures that influence both plasma scale height and ion diffusivity.

Mccormick, P. T.↗