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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 271 records · Page 15

COVID-19 dynamics across the US: A deep learning study of human mobility and social behavior

This paper presents a deep learning framework for epidemiology system identification from noisy and sparse observations with quantified uncertainty. The proposed approach employs an ensemble of deep neural networks to infer the time-dependent reproduction number of an infectious disease by formulating a tensor-based multi-step loss function that allows us to efficiently calibrate the model on multiple observed trajectories. The method is applied to a mobility and social behavior-based SEIR model of COVID-19 spread. The model is trained on Google and Unacast mobility data spanning a period of 66 days, and is able to yield accurate future forecasts of COVID-19 spread in 203 US counties within a time-window of 15 days. Interestingly, a sensitivity analysis that assesses the importance of different mobility and social behavior parameters reveals that attendance of close places, including workplaces, residential, and retail and recreational locations, has the largest impact on the effective reproduction number. Furthermore, the model enables us to rapidly probe and quantify the effects of government interventions, such as lock-down and re-opening strategies. Taken together, the proposed framework provides a robust workflow for data-driven epidemiology model discovery under uncertainty and produces probabilistic forecasts for the evolution of a pandemic that can judiciously provide information for policy and decision making. All codes and data accompanying this manuscript are available at https://github.com/PredictiveIntelligenceLab/DeepCOVID19.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

On the elastocaloric effect in CuAlBe shape memory alloys: A quantitative phase-field modeling approach

We report the reversible stress-induced phase transformation in shape memory alloys (SMAs) is a dissipative process during which heat is absorbed or released. The inherent temperature variations inside the material has an elastocaloric effect (eCE) with appealing applications in solid-state cooling technology such as compact and efficient on-board refrigeration system for eletronic devices. In this manuscript, we conduct the first study of eCE of CuAlBe SMAs utilizing phase-field modeling. For an applied stress of 500 MPa, the results for polycrystalline Cu-Al11-2Be (at. %) show a minimum adiabatic unloading temperature change of -10 K over a pseudoelastic window of 40 K. In the absence of plastic deformation, the material demonstrates good reproducibility of the eCE over a few loading–unloading cycles. The presence of plastic deformation is found to cause functional fatigue that deteriorates the cooling capacity; however, the coefficient of performance only decreases from 9.04 to 8.03, which is still a very good value. These results place CuAlBe as a frontrunner SMA for solid-state cooling compared to the expensive NiTi.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Towards improved speed and accuracy of laser powder bed fusion simulations via multiscale spatial representations

Due to the growing popularity of laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) as a metal additive manufacturing technique, there is a strong need to be able to accurately predict build outcomes. Full fidelity simulations of this process are not feasible due to the vast range of length and time scales inherent to it. While part-scale codes for simulating residual stress and distortion have shown reasonable predictive capability, they often neglect many aspects of the process occurring over smaller length/time scales, and thus are unable to capture effects of process parameter adjustments or the behavior of fine features. One way of capturing aspects at more refined length scales is through the use of adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). AMR allows for the process to be simulated at scales approaching the physical spatial dimensions without drastically increasing the total degrees of freedom in the simulation. This manuscript describes the implementation of an AMR algorithm within a multiphysics, parallelized finite element code, and its application to the LPBF problem. In this work, part-scale examples are provided where the use of AMR has allowed for higher fidelity thermal and thermomechanical simulations, as compared to experimental measurements. Results from these higher resolution simulations show that while AMR is a necessary component for increased accuracy in a computationally efficient manner, other improvements are also necessary, including handling of the multiple time scales inherent to the problem and the need for improved AM-specific material models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Machine learning elastic constants of multi-component alloys

The present manuscript explores application of machine learning methods for determining elastic constants and other derived mechanical properties of multi-component alloys. Here, a number of machine learning models, including linear regression, neural network and random forest based models, are trained and tested on a dataset of binary alloys generated using density functional theory (DFT) calculations and spanning over a large number of elemental species in the periodic table. Starting with a wide range of simple and easily accessible compositionally-averaged elemental features, a correlation-based feature selection strategy was used to systematically down-select a set of most relevant features towards the prediction of the elasticity tensor components. The true predictive performance and the associated uncertainties of the models were established by testing on unseen data and bootstrapping, respectively. A single and pair-wise feature partial dependence analysis was performed to visualize the average property trends in the multi-dimensional feature space in order to further understand the achieved predictive performance. The utility of the trained model is further demonstrated by obtaining sufficiently accurate yet highly efficient approximations for bulk modulus, Young’s modulus, shear modulus and Poisson’s ratio for alloys beyond the binary space (i.e., two-component alloys) on which the model was originally trained. More importantly, we test and validate the predictive performance of the developed model directly against the experimentally measured elastic constants of technologically relevant multi-component alloys (such as, Ni- and Ti-based alloys). Finally, utility of such a data-enabled route is demonstrated by predicting the possible range of various elastic properties for vast composition space available within the five component Ni-Cr-Fe-Mo-W alloy system in a high-throughput manner.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Adaptive continuity-preserving simplification of street networks

Street network data is widely used to study human-based activities and urban structure. Often, these data are geared towards transportation applications, which require highly granular, directed graphs that capture the complex relationships of potential traffic patterns. While this level of network detail is critical for certain fine-grained mobility models, it represents a hindrance for studies concerned with the morphology of the street network. For the latter case, street network simplification — the process of converting a highly granular input network into its most simple morphological form — is a necessary, but highly tedious preprocessing step, especially when conducted manually. In this manuscript, we develop and present a novel adaptive algorithm for simplifying street networks that is both fully automated and able to mimic results obtained through a manual simplification routine. The algorithm — available in the neatnet Python package — outperforms current state-of-the-art procedures when comparing those methods to manually, human-simplified data, while preserving network continuity.

Python↗

Stochastic boundary condition effects on supersonic leading edge blowing

The present manuscript studies the robustness of leading edge blowing for active control of the upstream bow shock and overall aerothermal characteristics of a supersonic airfoil subject to variability in the injection conditions. The injection boundary conditions were considered stochastic and their randomness was propagated to the flow topology and aerothermal quantities of interest by means of non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansions. The evaluations needed to build these expansions were carried out via steady two-dimensional Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes simulations. Two different injection port sizes were considered, with the smallest promoting a Coanda effect that gives rise to non-symmetric flow topologies. The uncertain boundary conditions lead to significant variations in the flow topology, particularly at the injection exit and the bow shock position, with variations of up to 75% of the nominal value. Here this study identifies the key operating conditions to ensure the optimal application of leading-edge injection for active control of supersonic airfoils.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Towards the scale-up production of cellulose nanocomposites using melt processing: A critical review on structure-processing-property relationships

Cellulose nanomaterials (CNMs) naturally exist in plant biomass. The success of extraction of CNMs opened up a new era of using plant biomass for innovative industrial applications. Because CNMs are abundant, renewable, biodegradable, transparent, light weight and low in cost, they are ideal materials for large volume applications such as packaging, automotive, building and infrastructure. In many potential application areas, CNM-enable products appear in a composite form, mostly polymer composites. Additionally, the industrial-scale manufacturing of CNM/thermoplastic composites remains as a set of unsolved problems for academia and industry. A prime challenge in applications is the nanoscale dispersion of CNMs in thermoplastic matrices during melt processing. Both bench-scale and pilot-scale studies have been conducted to solve the dispersion issue of CNMs. In this article, research related to the dispersion of CNMs in thermoplastic matrices during melt processing were critically reviewed. All research papers were classified into three groups: chemically-aided dispersion, physically-aided dispersion and mechanically-aided dispersion. Numerous factors affect the CNM dispersion and the mechanical performance of its nanocomposites. There are material-related factors, including CNM types and forms, polymer matrices, surface modification, coupling agents, etc. Furthermore, extrusion processing parameters also play a significant role, covering screw rotation speed, extrusion barrel temperature settings and screw design. In addition, the material-related factors interact with the processing-related factors. Understanding all factors and their interactions are important for moving CNM nanocomposites research a step further towards industrial-relevant production, which is the final ambitious goal of this manuscript.

42 ENGINEERING↗

HTR-1.3 solver: Predicting electrified combustion using the hypersonic task-based research solver

Here this manuscript presents an updated open-source version of the Hypersonics Task-based Research (HTR) solver. The solver, whose main features are presented in Di Renzo et al. (2020) and Di Renzo & Pirozzoli (2021), is designed for direct numerical simulation of reacting flows at high Reynolds numbers. This new version extends the applications of the HTR solver to turbulent combustion in the presence of external electric fields. In particular, a new distributed Poisson solver compatible with heterogeneous architectures has been incorporated in the algorithm to compute the electric potential distribution in bi-periodic configurations. The drift fluxes of the electrically charged species are now included in the transport equations using a targeted essentially non-oscillatory scheme. A verification of these new features of the solver is provided using one-dimensional burner stabilized flames, whereas a three dimensional turbulent flame is utilized to discuss the scalability of the proposed numerical tool.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Methane liquefaction with an active magnetic regenerative refrigerator

This manuscript reports liquefaction of methane using an active magnetic regenerative refrigerator (AMRR). The AMRR used to cool from 285 K to 135 K has two identical regenerators fabricated with adjacent layers of four ferromagnetic refrigerants, each with sequentially lower Curie temperatures and lesser masses from hot to cold temperatures. The dual multilayer regenerators were assembled in opposition with a single cold region between them. For this set of experiments equal mass of helium gas was pumped through all layers of the regenerators during the two flow steps of the four-step AMR cycle. After successfully reaching 135 K, a compact condensing coil-fin tube heat exchanger (HEX) with a small storage vessel was mounted in the cold region of the dual regenerator assembly to be cooled during the hot-to-cold helium flow from alternatively demagnetized regenerators. The cold HEX was used to cool and liquefy a process stream of methane gas supplied at 295 K and different pressures in different runs. Further, by measuring time to liquefy a known volume of methane at three different pressures, cooling powers of the AMRR as a function of temperature were determined. The resultant data were compared to those predicted by the AMRR performance model. Conclusions from these experiments and suggestions for future work are presented.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Operation of helium sub-atmospheric multistage cryogenic centrifugal compressor trains: Part 1 – Steady state modeling and speed ratio selection

Helium cryogenic systems which can provide cooling below the normal boiling point of helium (approximately 4.2 K) are often required by superconducting radio-frequency niobium resonators utilized in modern high-energy particle accelerators. Achieving temperatures below 4.2 K generally involves operating a cryogenic vessel with liquid helium under sub-atmospheric conditions, thereby lowering the saturation pressure and corresponding saturation temperature. Over the last several decades, multi-stage cryogenic centrifugal compressor trains (CC’s) have been operated efficiently and reliably within large-scale cryogenic systems to continuously evacuate helium vapor generated by a device within the vessel, maintaining sub-atmospheric conditions in the vessel while pressurizing the return vapor to above atmospheric conditions. Traditionally, these CC systems have been operated using empirically derived control philosophies and insight gathered from previous operational experience. Recent efforts at the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB) have been aimed at the development of a theoretical basis to characterize the operation of multi-stage cryogenic centrifugal compressor train and utilizing predictive model results to generate control parameters. The objective of this research was identifying operational points which adequately balance cryogenic system efficiency, stability, and overall ease of operation. Furthermore, this manuscript provides an overview of the predictive model development, characterization of the FRIB cryogenic centrifugal compressors and implementation of the predicted performance results during steady-state system operation.

Compressor train control↗

A Cheeger inequality for size-specific conductance

The μ-conductance measure proposed by Lovász and Simonovits is a size-specific conductance score that identifies the set with smallest conductance while disregarding those sets with volume smaller than a μ fraction of the whole graph. Using μ-conductance enables us to study the network structures in new ways. Here, in this manuscript, we study a modified spectral cut for μ-conductance that is a natural relaxation of the integer program of μ-conductance and show that the optimum of this program has a two-sided Cheeger inequality with μ-conductance.

Graph theory↗

Characterizing Long COVID: Deep Phenotype of a Complex Condition

Background: Numerous publications describe the clinical manifestations of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC or "long COVID"), but they are difficult to integrate because of heterogeneous methods and the lack of a standard for denoting the many phenotypic manifestations. Patient-led studies are of particular importance for understanding the natural history of COVID-19, but integration is hampered because they often use different terms to describe the same symptom or condition. This significant disparity in patient versus clinical characterization motivated the proposed ontological approach to specifying manifestations, which will improve capture and integration of future long COVID studies. Methods: The Human Phenotype Ontology (HPO) is a widely used standard for exchange and analysis of phenotypic abnormalities in human disease but has not yet been applied to the analysis of COVID-19. Funding: We identified 303 articles published before April 29, 2021, curated 59 relevant manuscripts that described clinical manifestations in 81 cohorts three weeks or more following acute COVID-19, and mapped 287 unique clinical findings to HPO terms. We present layperson synonyms and definitions that can be used to link patient self-report questionnaires to standard medical terminology. Long COVID clinical manifestations are not assessed consistently across studies, and most manifestations have been reported with a wide range of synonyms by different authors. Across at least 10 cohorts, authors reported 31 unique clinical features corresponding to HPO terms; the most commonly reported feature was Fatigue (median 45.1%) and the least commonly reported was Nausea (median 3.9%), but the reported percentages varied widely between studies. Interpretation: Translating long COVID manifestations into computable HPO terms will improve analysis, data capture, and classification of long COVID patients. If researchers, clinicians, and patients share a common language, then studies can be compared/pooled more effectively. Furthermore, mapping lay terminology to HPO will help patients assist clinicians and researchers in creating phenotypic characterizations that are computationally accessible, thereby improving the stratification, diagnosis, and treatment of long COVID.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Test of model of equivalence of tree height growth and transpiration rates in percolation-based phenomenology for root-soil interaction

We recently introduced a phenomenological model to represent root-soil interactions that accounts for variability in tree growth on local scales and within species (Hunt et al., 2020). Here, using publicly available datasets, we examine the developed model to provide additional empirical evidence, which also gives novel insight into two particular tree species, Eucalyptus regnans and Eucalyptus sieberri. In particular, we discovered two novel aspects of the model: a power-law time dependence with a different power-law exponent than usually heretofore applied, and apparently a direct equivalence of results for transpiration and growth rates. Also, although our original expectation was that growth and transpiration were merely proportional, comparison of the entire BAAD data set (Falster et al., 2015) for tree height with our model (Hunt et al., 2020; Fig. 1) already suggested approximate equality of these disparate measurements (volume/area, height). In this present manuscript we find further evidence for equivalence of the two measurements and provide additional theoretical basis for a model assumption regarding constancy of sap flow rates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Consequences of plane-strain and plane-stress assumptions in fully coupled chemo-mechanical Li-ion battery models

In Li-ion battery research, it is common to simulate chemo-mechanical phenomena in reduced dimensions (e.g., 2-D) as opposed to fully resolve these complex physics in 3-D. It is common to assume either (1) the out-of-plane strain is negligible (commonly referred to as plane-strain), or (2) the out-of-plane stress is negligible (commonly referred to as plane-stress). However, there is typically little consideration as to the quantitative consequences of these approximations. Furthermore, the influence of these out-of-plane assumptions can be compounded and convoluted when chemo-mechanics models implement so-called “fully coupled” formulations, where the local species concentrations influence the stress-state and the stress-state influences the local species fluxes. Here, the present manuscript explores the implications of using plane-stress and plane-strain assumptions in 2-D as compared to simulating a full 3-D electrode particle. This comparative study includes simulating both isotropic and anisotropic particle intercalation where the particles can be surrounded by either a liquid or solid electrolyte. Additionally, common Li-ion battery-model metrics such as the state-of-stress, intercalation fraction distribution, and specific capacity are compared, while also considering the effects of particle size and C-rate. As alternatives to the pure plane-strain and plane stress approximations, two modified plane-strain assumptions are found to better approximate the fully coupled chemo-mechanical 3-D behavior.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Deconvoluting the benefits of porosity distribution in layered electrodes on the electrochemical performance of Li-ion batteries

Thick Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) electrodes suffer from poor rate capability and high ionic impedance due to their thickness and mesostructure. Therefore, optimizing thick electrode architectures becomes crucial. In this work, we report a systematic assessment of the ionic resistance in heterogeneous porous electrodes through the combination of computational simulations using a 4D-resolved model and experimental measurements. The first part of the study is devoted to a general assessment of Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy (EIS) spectra, mapping the impact of ionic and electronic resistances on the overall impedances of uncalendered and calendered LiNi 1/3 Mn 1/3 Co 1/3 O 2 , LiFePO 4 and graphite electrodes. In the second part, in silico-generated electrodes with different porosities are used in computational EIS simulations to analyze the impact of the electrode porosity on the ionic impedance. As expected, the results show that a lower porosity leads to a higher ionic impedance because of a higher electrode tortuosity factor. Furthermore, in silico-generated electrodes with different porosities were stacked and assembled to create heterogeneities of porosity along the thickness, and used in computational EIS and galvanostatic discharge simulations. The computational results show that the porosity heterogeneity along the electrode thickness has a significant effect on the ionic impedance and capacity of the electrode. The electrode architecture with progressively decreasing porosity from separator to current collector shows the highest performance, a trend validated by our in house experimental EIS and galvanostatic discharge also reported in this manuscript. Overall, we conclude that the ionic resistance in a thick electrode can be effectively reduced through proper tuning of the porosity heterogeneity. The proposed heterogeneous electrode architectures presented here could enormously help building efficient thick electrodes for LIBs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

The effect of terrain-influenced winds on fire spread in QUIC-Fire

Here in this manuscript, we describe the implementation of the terrain-following version of QUIC-URB into QUIC-Fire and a demonstration of the impacts of terrain-influenced winds on QUIC-Fire-simulated fire spread. No changes to the underlying QUIC-Fire fire spread algorithm were made other than what was required to correctly account for the inclusion of terrain. This paper summarizes simulations used to understand how the QUIC-URB terrain-influenced winds affect upslope fire behavior without additional changes to the QUIC-Fire fire spread algorithm. Previously published FIRETEC results are compared to simulation results from the modified QUIC-Fire (incorporating terrain-influenced winds) that use the same topographies and fuels. QUIC-Fire results showed overall similar behaviors in terms of how the topographies affected fire shapes and trends in spread rates. Due to the terrain-following version of QUIC-URB being unable to generate flow separations at the crest of hills, fire spread rates in these regions across all non-flat topographies were over-predicted when compared to FIRETEC. Lateral fire growth showed similar trends with FIRETEC between topographies but did not capture the increase in spread due to a diagonal interface between grassland and forested fuel regions in the test domain. These simulations suggest possible refinements that are necessary to improve QUIC-Fire and thus guide ongoing efforts related to: how flame tilt angle is accounted for, the incorporation of non-local drag effects, and the inclusion of the wake-eddy parameterizations that are used in QUIC-URB.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

PINN surrogate of Li-ion battery models for parameter inference, Part I: Implementation and multi-fidelity hierarchies for the single-particle model

To plan and optimize energy storage demands that account for Li-ion battery aging dynamics, techniques need to be developed to diagnose battery internal states accurately and rapidly. Here, this study seeks to reduce the computational resources needed to determine a battery's internal states by replacing physics-based Li-ion battery models - such as the single-particle model (SPM) and the pseudo-2D (P2D) model - with a physics-informed neural network (PINN) surrogate. The surrogate model makes high-throughput techniques, such as Bayesian calibration, tractable to determine battery internal parameters from voltage responses. This manuscript is the first of a two-part series that introduces PINN surrogates of Li-ion battery models for parameter inference (i.e., state-of-health diagnostics). In this first part, a method is presented for constructing a PINN surrogate of the SPM. A multi-fidelity hierarchical training, where several neural nets are trained with multiple physics-loss fidelities is shown to significantly improve the surrogate accuracy when only training on the governing equation residuals. The implementation is made available in a companion repository (https://github.com/NREL/PINNSTRIPES). The techniques used to develop a PINN surrogate of the SPM are extended in Part II for the PINN surrogate for the P2D battery model, and explore the Bayesian calibration capabilities of both surrogates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗