Uncertainty Quantification for Compositions in Benchmark Evaluations
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Modifying fossil-fueled industrial gas turbines to utilize low or zero-carbon fuels, such as hydrogen or hydrogen-natural gas blends, is a complex endeavor. The successful implementation of this technology hinges on three key design criteria: (1) developing new fuel injectors capable of efficiently burning alternative fuels, (2) ensuring manufacturability to meet cost and time-to-market goals, and (3) achieving component durability in the demanding environment of an operating gas turbine. Additive manufacturing (AM) accelerates product development, yet concerns persist regarding the durability of parts with rough AM surfaces. A fully experimental approach to quantify the fatigue performance of rough AM microstructures is both costly and labor-intensive. To address this, ORNL and Solar Turbines Incorporated (Solar) employed a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model to identify the factors influencing AM surface fatigue behavior. These CPFE findings, combined with targeted experimental data, were used to develop a computationally efficient surrogate model suitable for assessing the lifespan of gas turbine engine components.
Broadly speaking, the goals of the project are to develop techniques to use manifold learning to develop reduced‐order and surrogate models for "hyper‐reduction" of very high‐dimensional complex multi‐scale systems. This is being achieved by employing a newly proposed form of manifold projection and learning that leverages recent advancements in computational geometry and data‐driven modeling. In particular, we are applying a manifold projection technique to project the solutions of very high‐dimensional systems onto the so‐called Grassmannmanifold, a Reimannian manifold comprised of orthonormal matrices. We then apply data‐driven machine learning techniques to classify the solutions on the manifold (e.g. clustering techniques) according to their proximity on the manifold and leverage a further nonlinear dimension reduction to organize the structured data on the manifold. Finally, we are developing novel techniques that enable us to directly interpolate the hyper‐reduced data such that we can predict the solution of the complex, high‐ dimensional system without need to call the full expensive computational model. Given their adherence to the underlying structure of the solution of the physical system, it is expected that these approximate solutions will be sufficiently constrained so as to (approximately) adhere to physical principles.
This report presents the final conclusions, achievements, and other details from the Department of Energy sponsored research. It is structured to follow standard DOE annual reports as submitted through the Portfolio Analysis and Management System (PAMS).
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Modification of fossil-fueled industrial gas turbines to accept no/low carbon fuels (Hydrogen, H2/natural gas blends) is a significant undertaking. Successful deployment of this technology sits at the intersection of three design criteria (1) new functional fuel injectors that can burn these fuels, (2) manufacturability to meet cost and time-to-market targets, and (3) durability in the harsh environment of an operating turbine. Additive manufacturing (AM) provides accelerated product development. However, uncertainty remains around the durability of parts with rough AM surfaces. A fully experimental approach towards quantifying fatigue performance of rough AM microstructures is costly and laborious. Instead, Solar Turbines Incorporated (Solar) proposes the use of a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model to quantify the factors that drive AM surface fatigue behavior. Solar will use the CPFE results, along with targeted experimental data, to train a computationally efficient surrogate model that can be incorporated into existing turbine part lifing methods.
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Short presentation for the Fellows Day Symposium.
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