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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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We examine the question of whether or not the non-periodic Variations in solar activity are caused by a white-noise random process. The Hurst exponent, which characterizes the persistence of a time series, is evaluated for the series 14C Data for the time interval from about 6000BC to 1950 AD.
An automated procedure for the classification of transient contamination of stationary acoustic data is proposed and analyzed. The procedure requires the assumption that the stationary acoustic data of interest can be modeled as a band-limited, Gaussian random process. It also requires that the transient contamination be of higher variance than the acoustic data of interest. When these assumptions are satisfied, it is a blind separation procedure, aside from the initial input specifying how to subdivide the time series of interest. No a priori threshold criterion is required. Simulation results show that for a sufficient number of blocks, the method performs well, as long as the occasional false positive or false negative is acceptable. The effectiveness of the procedure is demonstrated with an application to experimental wind tunnel acoustic test data which are contaminated by hydrodynamic gusts.
In this paper, we present a study to select an appropriate alternator voltage of the free-piston Stirling convertors (FPSC) for efficient and light Dynamic Radioisotope Power Systems (DRPS). With a system thermal-to-electrical efficiency 3-4 times greater than radioisotope thermoelectric generator (RTG) systems and a higher power density than Brayton systems in the power range of interest for radioisotope-powered systems, Stirling-based DRPS is uniquely suited to benefit upcoming NASA missions. Much effort has been invested in the design and optimization of the thermal, mechanical, and materials aspects of FPSCs, but the electrical aspect has been more nebulous. Therefore, in this paper, a preliminary study will be presented to select the appropriate Stirling alternator voltage to develop a light and efficient system using available flight components. Power conversion systems face a trade between efficiency and system volume/mass with the optimal trade being determined by the application. Neglecting non-idealities related to insulation thickness and winding packing factor and assuming a constant winding area, alternator efficiency is independent of alternator voltage. Because wire size and alternator current can be traded against turn count and alternator voltage without impacting efficiency, the guidance on the optimal design comes from analysis of the controller power electronics and the remainder of the system. Properties of available flight-qualified electrical components, such as rated voltage/current and on-resistance, typically come in discrete values instead of a continuous range of values. With multiple components being required to form the power conversion stage of the controller, each limited to incremental values, a continuous optimization is of little benefit. Instead of a continuous optimization, a random process using properties of the available components can be used to develop a Pareto design front indicating the optimized trade space. The most advantageous trade between system efficiency and mass for the system at hand can then be selected from the range of feasible designs. In the final paper, the design process, assumptions, and preliminary results will be presented.
Alias-free randomly timed sampling of stochastic processes, considering spectrum recovery by linear operation
GEODYNII is a conventional batch least-squares differential corrector computer program with deterministic models of the physical environment. Conventional algorithms were used to process differenced phase and pseudorange data to determine eight-day Global Positioning system (GPS) orbits with several meter accuracy. However, random physical processes drive the errors whose magnitudes prevent improving the GPS orbit accuracy. To improve the orbit accuracy, these random processes should be modeled stochastically. The conventional batch least-squares algorithm cannot accommodate stochastic models, only a stochastic estimation algorithm is suitable, such as a sequential filter/smoother. Also, GEODYNII cannot currently model the correlation among data values. Differenced pseudorange, and especially differenced phase, are precise data types that can be used to improve the GPS orbit precision. To overcome these limitations and improve the accuracy of GPS orbits computed using GEODYNII, we proposed to develop a sequential stochastic filter/smoother processor by using GEODYNII as a type of trajectory preprocessor. Our proposed processor is now completed. It contains a correlated double difference range processing capability, first order Gauss Markov models for the solar radiation pressure scale coefficient and y-bias acceleration, and a random walk model for the tropospheric refraction correction. The development approach was to interface the standard GEODYNII output files (measurement partials and variationals) with software modules containing the stochastic estimator, the stochastic models, and a double differenced phase range processing routine. Thus, no modifications to the original GEODYNII software were required. A schematic of the development is shown. The observational data are edited in the preprocessor and the data are passed to GEODYNII as one of its standard data types. A reference orbit is determined using GEODYNII as a batch least-squares processor and the GEODYNII measurement partial (FTN90) and variational (FTN80, V-matrix) files are generated. These two files along with a control statement file and a satellite identification and mass file are passed to the filter/smoother to estimate time-varying parameter states at each epoch, improved satellite initial elements, and improved estimates of constant parameters.
Alias free sampling concept extended to random sampling sequences of stochastic processes
Accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity estimation requires high-resolution, site-specific solar irradiance data to account for localized variability. However, global datasets, such as the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), provide regional averages that fail to capture the fine-scale fluctuations critical for large-scale grid integration. This limitation is particularly relevant in the context of increasing distributed energy resources (DERs) penetration, such as rooftop PV. Additionally, it is critical to the implementation of the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Order 2222, which facilitates DER participation in U.S. bulk power markets. To address this challenge, this study evaluates Nearest-Neighbor Random Forest (NNRF) and Nearest-Neighbor Gaussian Process (NNGP) models for spatiotemporal downscaling of global solar irradiance data. By leveraging historical irradiance and meteorological data, these models incorporate spatial, temporal, and feature-based correlations to enhance local irradiance predictions. The NNRF model, a machine-learning approach, prioritizes computational efficiency and predictive accuracy, while the NNGP model offers a level of interpretability and prediction uncertainty by numerically quantifying correlations and dependencies in the data. Model validation was conducted using day-ahead predictions. The results showed that the average Goodness of Fit (GoF) of the NNRF model of 90.61% across all eight sites outperformed the GoF of the NNGP of 85.88%. Additionally, the computational speed of NNRF was 2.5 times faster than the NNGP. Finally, the NNGP displayed polynomial scaling while the NNRF scaled linearly with increasing number of nearest neighbors. Additional validation of the model on five sites in Puerto Rico further confirmed the superiority of the NNRF model over the NNGP model. These findings highlight the robustness and computational efficiency of NNRF for large-scale solar irradiance downscaling, making it a strong candidate for improving PV capacity estimation and real-time electricity market integration for DERs.
Mathematical models on stability of attitude control systems acted upon by random perturbation processes
Stochastic maximum principle with averaged constraint developed for control problems affected by stochastic process
Interlocking plan for entire countdown checkout process by combining subsystems simulated as partially controlled stochastic process
The work reported had been undertaken to develop hardware that would guide an automatic vehicle in the exploration of the surface of Mars, recognize objects, and report the findings to earth. Approaches for automatically determining the range and shape of objects are discussed, giving attention to the automatic comparison of one scan line of the left with one scan line of the right TV image. Methods of mapping binocular space into match space are considered together with the use of a model in match space, rules for processing random-dot stereograms, the elimination of spurious matches, random-square stereograms, questions of the processing of a real scene, and aspects of range accuracy. Methods of computation for extracting other features are also discussed along with stereo TV cameras and approaches for reconstructing the appearance of a scene.
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Redesigned second-generation, tape-oriented computer system updates a data record, increases the capability to perform update runs, and produces a sequential report for every update run.
Maximum sample excursions of Kiefer-Wolfowitz stochastic approximation processes
Exact dynamical equation derived for conditional density mode representing stochastic process
Regarding new bipolar magnetic regions as sources of flux, the evolution of the photospheric magnetic field during 1976-1984 was computed and the corresponding evolution of the mean line-of-sight field as seen from earth was derived. A good, but imperfect, agreement was obtained between the observed mean field and the field computed for a nominal choice of flux transport parameters. The response of the computed mean field to variations in the transport parameters and the source properties was determined. The results suggest that the mean-field evolution is a random-walk process with dissipation. New eruptions of flux produce the random walk, and together differential rotation, meridional flow, and diffusion provide the dissipation. The net effect of each new source depends on its strength and orientation and on the time elapsed before the next eruption.
The first-excursion probability of a non-stationary Gaussian process with zero mean has been studied. Within the framework of the point process approach, a variety of analytical approximations applicable to stationary random processes is extended herein to non-stationary random processes. The extension is possible owing to a recent definition of non-stationary envelope processes proposed by the author. With the aid of numerical examples, merits of each approximation are examined by comparing with the results of simulation. It is found that under non-stationary excitations with short duration, the Markov approximation is the best among all the approximations discussed in this paper.
A method for measuring the time of arrival of very narrow laser pulses which have been reflected and randomly broadened by a target is examined. It is known that these return pulses from the target have very small rise times. A threshold detection algorithm that detects the rising edge of the pulse is used for obtaining the pulse arrival times. The errors of the scheme are evaluated numerically for different pulse shapes, and a loose bound on the errors of detecting a typical pulse is obtained. A gamma-density model is used to characterize the random gain processes of the optical receiver, and the effect of such random gains on the errors of threshold detection is analyzed.