Global Reference Atmospheric Model (GRAM) Developments: New Releases and Upgrades
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atmospheric models↗
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Global Reference Atmospheric Model (GRAM) Improvements and New Releases
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atmospheric models↗
Global Reference Atmospheric Model (GRAM) Suite Overview and Current Status
• Engineering-oriented atmospheric models that estimate mean values and statistical variations of atmospheric properties for numerous planetary destinations • Currently available for Earth, Mars, Venus, Titan, Neptune, Uranus, and Jupiter • Outputs include atmospheric density, temperature, pressure, chemical composition, radiative fluxes (for Mars-GRAM), and wind components along a user-defined path – Includes seasonal, diurnal, geographic, and altitude variations • Widely used by the engineering community because of their ability to create realistic atmospheric dispersions • Can be integrated into high fidelity flight dynamic simulations of launch, entry, descent and landing (EDL), aerobraking and aerocapture • Optional trajectory input file consisting of time, height, latitude, and longitude can be used to provide the GRAM trajectory path • Optional auxiliary profile consisting of height, latitude, longitude, temperature, pressure, density, eastward wind, and northward wind may be used to replace model data in the GRAMs • Not a forecast model
atmospheric models↗
Global Reference Atmospheric Model (GRAM) Suite Upgrades
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atmospheric models↗
Asteroseismic Inversions of Mixed Acoustic-Gravity Modes to Probe the Stellar Core Structure
The discovery of mixed acoustic-gravity modes of oscillations of moderate mass stars opens a unique opportunity to infer the structure of the inner energy-generating cores and thus test the stellar evolution theory. The mixed modes have properties of internal gravity waves (g-modes) in the convectively stable helium core and properties of acoustic modes outside the core. We select several sets of the oscillation mode frequencies in the mass range from about 1.3 to 1.6 solar masses from the Kepler Legacy database, and apply the optimally localized averaging inversion technique previously developed for low-degree helioseismology. The inversion technique takes into account the uncertainties in the determination of the mass and radius of the stars, as well as the surface effects. The methodology provides sensitivity kernels for various structure properties, including the sound speed, density, and Ledoux parameter of convective stability, and, thus, the direct relationship between the stellar properties and the deviation of observed frequencies from the reference models. The inversion results reveal significant deviations in the core structure from the reference models calculated using the MESA evolutionary code for the stellar parameters obtained by the asteroseismic model grid fitting. Our analysis shows that the best resolution of the inner helium core and surrounding shell is achieved in inversions for the Ledoux parameter.
SMD↗
An Experimental Database for Conventional and Alternate Control Concepts on the HSR 1.675% Reference H Model
The objective was to experimentally evaluate the longitudinal and lateral-directional stability and control characteristics of the Reference H configuration at supersonic and transonic speeds. A series of conventional and alternate control devices were also evaluated at supersonic and transonic speeds. A database on the conventional and alternate control devices was to be created for use in the HSR program.
McMillin, Naomi↗
Regional and Seasonal Trends in Tropical Ozone from SHADOZ Profiles: Reference for Models and Satellite Products
Understanding lowermost stratosphere (LMS) ozone variability is an important topic in the trends and climate assessment communities because of feedbacks among changing temperature, dynamics, water vapor and ozone. LMS evaluations are usually based on satellite observations. Free tropospheric (FT) ozone assessments typically rely on profiles from commercial aircraft. Ozonesonde measurements constitute an independent dataset encompassing both LMS and FT. We used Southern Hemisphere Additional Ozonesondes (SHADOZ) data from 1998-2019 in the GSFC Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model to analyze monthly mean FT and LMS ozone across five well-distributed tropical sites, three based on combination of nearby individual stations (Figure 1). Our findings: (1) both FT (defined as 5-15 km) and LMS (15-20 km) ozone trends exhibit marked regional and seasonal variability. (2) Stations with the largest FT ozone increases, in the equatorial Americas and western Pacific/east Indian Ocean, show these trends most strongly in February-May when there is convectively-driven wave activity. (3) LMS ozone losses are greatest in the 2nd half of the year (solid lines in Figure 2) when the losses are correlated with an increase in tropopause height (TH) as derived from SHADOZ radiosonde data. ( 4) When the upper FT and LMS are defined by tropopause-relative coordinates, the LMS ozone trend calculated by MLR becomes insignificant, as shown in the dashed lines in Figure 2. Thus, the 20-year decline in tropical LMS ozone reported in recent satellite- and model-based studies does not point to a chemical loss but is rather a signature of a tropopause that has been perturbed by a changing climate. Output based on our regional and monthly averaged FT and LMS ozone trends will be available as a reference for satellite- and model-based analyses.
Free Tropospheric (FT) ozone assessments↗
Appendix to: Methodology for Creating Thermodynamic Tables for Application to Computation of Speed of Sound by the Global Reference Atmospheric Model (GRAM) Suite: Validation Testing
The primary report to which this document appends provides the background, methodology, and outputs for the development of constituent-specific tables of specific heats as functions of temperature and pressure. These tables are used by the GRAM Suite to compute speed of sound by a process detailed in the primary report. The current document details verification and validation testing that was performed on the contents and implementation of the output tables.
Speed of Sound↗
Titan Global Reference Atmospheric Model (Titan-GRAM): User Guide
This Technical Memorandum summarizes the atmospheric data model in Titan-GRAM and provides a guide for the user to obtain, set up, and run the code in various configurations. Section 2 describes the input atmospheric data files and how they are used in Titan-GRAM. Section 3 explains the process to obtain the Titan-GRAM code and data files and how to set up and run the program. Appendices A through E provide additional details regarding the Titan-GRAM input and output files. Appendix F provides a history of Titan-GRAM revisions.
Titan Global Reference Atmospheric Model,↗
Stability and Performance Metrics for Adaptive Flight Control
This paper addresses the problem of verifying adaptive control techniques for enabling safe flight in the presence of adverse conditions. Since the adaptive systems are non-linear by design, the existing control verification metrics are not applicable to adaptive controllers. Moreover, these systems are in general highly uncertain. Hence, the system's characteristics cannot be evaluated by relying on the available dynamical models. This necessitates the development of control verification metrics based on the system's input-output information. For this point of view, a set of metrics is introduced that compares the uncertain aircraft's input-output behavior under the action of an adaptive controller to that of a closed-loop linear reference model to be followed by the aircraft. This reference model is constructed for each specific maneuver using the exact aerodynamic and mass properties of the aircraft to meet the stability and performance requirements commonly accepted in flight control. The proposed metrics are unified in the sense that they are model independent and not restricted to any specific adaptive control methods. As an example, we present simulation results for a wing damaged generic transport aircraft with several existing adaptive controllers.
Stepanyan, Vahram↗
Networking DEC and IBM computers
Local Area Networking of DEC and IBM computers within the structure of the ISO-OSI Seven Layer Reference Model at a raw signaling speed of 1 Mops or greater are discussed. After an introduction to the ISO-OSI Reference Model nd the IEEE-802 Draft Standard for Local Area Networks (LANs), there follows a detailed discussion and comparison of the products available from a variety of manufactures to perform this networking task. A summary of these products is presented in a table.
Mish, W. H.↗
Comparison of stratospheric ozone profiles and their seasonal variations as measured by lidar and Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment during 1988
A ground-based, high power, laser remote sensing system for measurements of stratospheric ozone concentration profiles has been in operation at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory Table Mountain Facility located in southern California, since January 1988. The seasonal variations observed in the ozone profiles, during 1988 and as a function of altitude, are described here. These profiles are compared with those from the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment satellite instrument made within a radius of 1000 km from the lidar and also with the zonal mean measurements made in the band 34.4 +/- 5 deg. Comparison with the proposed new CIRA ozone reference model has also been carried out. The seasonal variations, between 25 and 50 km, observed by the two instruments and indicated by the reference model are in good agreement.
Mcdermid, I. Stuart↗
Automated ICRF heating surrogate modeling via machine learning
This work introduces automated machine learning workflows that address critical bottlenecks in surrogate model development for Ion Cyclotron Range of Frequencies (ICRF) heating applications. The automated framework includes data analysis tools that transform raw datasets into actionable insights in seconds, replacing weeks of manual exploratory effort and ensuring consistent, reproducible dataset characterization. By integrating advanced hyperparameter optimization (HPO) methods including Bayesian optimization via BoTorch and Tree-structured Parzen Estimators (TPE), the framework significantly reduces model development time from weeks to hours, decreasing computational cost and required expertise, while enabling high-accuracy surrogate models. Compared to traditional hyperparameter scanning (HPS) techniques such as methodical, randomized, and grid searches, HPO methods achieve superior convergence and predictive performance, even when compared to already well-tuned reference models. On NSTX High Harmonic Fast Wave (HHFW) heating datasets, both Random Forest Regressor (RFR) and neural network surrogates demonstrate improved accuracy, achieving R 2 values beyond 0.97 and 0.98, respectively. The results show that while HPO gains are modest for robust architectures like RFR, they become essential for more sensitive models such as neural networks, highlighting the trade-offs across optimization strategies. Through automated workflows that eliminate manual hyperparameter tuning and require minimal ML expertise, this work enables widespread adoption of high-fidelity surrogate models across the fusion community for real-time plasma control, uncertainty quantification, rapid experimental scenario development, and integrated system optimization.
Sanchez-Villar, Alvaro [Princeton Plasma Physics L↗
Time-Domain Vortex Induced Vibration Modeling of Reference Dynamic Power Cable for the Gulf of Maine
Vortex-induced vibration (VIV) is a phenomenon known to decrease the fatigue life of dynamic power cables used in floating offshore wind systems through increased bending loading cycles. A variety of modeling solutions have been proposed to study this, but none enable fully-coupled simulations leveraging open-source tools. To address this, a time-domain VIV model has been successfully implemented into the open-source mooring dynamics model MoorDyn. The semi-empirical VIV model describes a lift force acting on segments of a flexible cylinder, making it well suited for implementation into MoorDyn. The new capability successfully predicted the frequencies and magnitudes of strain in both steady and oscillating flows when compared to the original validation results and matched peak spectral response when compared to experimental results, verifying successful implementation. MoorDyn with VIV was then leveraged to simulate a 15 MW floating turbine with a dynamic power cable in the Gulf of Maine using OpenFAST for six return periods of combined wind, wave, and current conditions. Increased curvature and tension fluctuations in higher flow speeds were observed when simulating VIV. Maximum tensions and curvatures also increased, with the 500 year conditions violating the curvature factor of safety of 2.0. These results highlight the importance of considering VIV when designing dynamic power cables for the Gulf of Maine, and indicate that cost effective mitigation strategies should be explored for the area. They also demonstrate the utility of this new modeling capability, which provides the first open-source tool for fully coupled time-domain floating offshore wind simulations with dynamic power cable VIV.
17 WIND ENERGY↗
Digital modeling of human operator dynamics via class of Liapunov functions
A technique is described which is utilized for modeling human operator dynamics. The technique is based upon a model-reference system configuration and a class of Liapunov functions formulated for this purpose which possess variable characteristics. It is shown how such a class of Liapunov functions and their time derivatives is formulated. The crux of the formulation lies in three variable positive definite matrices used for the construction of the class of Liapunov functions. The form and order of these matrices depend upon the form and order of the error differential equation of the human operator model-reference system. These matrices can be modified to include nonlinear functions of the human operator model.
Mekel, R.↗
M-MRAC for Nonlinear Systems with Bounded Disturbances
This paper presents design and performance analysis of a modified reference model MRAC (M-MRAC) architecture for a class of multi-input multi-output uncertain nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. M-MRAC incorporates an error feedback in the reference model definition, which allows for fast adaptation without generating high frequency oscillations in the control signal, which closely follows the certainty equivalent control signal. The benefits of the method are demonstrated via a simulation example of an aircraft's wing rock motion.
Stepanyan, Vahram↗
The Kalman-Yacubovich lemma in adaptive control system design.
New results are presented that pertain to the design of model-reference adaptive control systems with the aid of the Kalman-Yacubovich lemma derived in connection with the problem of Lure. It is shown that the Kalman-Yacubovich lemma is a much more powerful tool for designing model-reference adaptive control systems than was previously thought.
Monopoli, R. V.↗
Forecasting Global Fire Emissions on Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Time Scales
Fire emissions of gases and aerosols alter atmospheric composition and have substantial impacts on climate, ecosystem function, and human health. Warming climate and human expansion in fire‐prone landscapes exacerbate fire impacts and call for more effective management tools. Here we developed a global fire forecasting system that predicts monthly emissions using past fire data and climate variables for lead times of 1 to 6 months. Using monthly fire emissions from the Global Fire Emissions Database (GFED) as the prediction target, we fit a statistical time series model, the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model with eXogenous variables (ARIMAX), in over 1,300 different fire regions. Optimized parameters were then used to forecast future emissions. The forecast system took into account information about region‐specific seasonality, long‐term trends, recent fire observations, and climate drivers representing both large‐scale climate variability and local fire weather. We cross‐validated the forecast skill of the system with different combinations of predictors and forecast lead times. The reference model, which combined endogenous and exogenous predictors with a 1 month forecast lead time, explained 52% of the variability in the global fire emissions anomaly, considerably exceeding the performance of a reference model that assumed persistent emissions during the forecast period. The system also successfully resolved detailed spatial patterns of fire emissions anomalies in regions with significant fire activity. This study bridges the gap between the efforts of near‐real‐time fire forecasts and seasonal fire outlooks and represents a step toward establishing an operational global fire, smoke, and carbon cycle forecasting system.
vapor pressure↗