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At least 271 records · Page 15

What Would It Take to Manufacture Perovskite Solar Cells in Space?

Imagine: Astronauts land on the moon. They verify their arrival with mission control and perform system checks and validations. After the dust settles, they open the airlock of the landing vehicle and venture outside. A side hatch opens, and a flexible substrate slowly unfurls on a boom. A series of printer heads raster, hovering over the substrate and sequentially vapor-depositing the constituent layers of a perovskite solar module. In time, a 1-megawatt array has been manufactured on the moon and can now be connected to supply power to the Artemis Base Camp. This ambitious vision could someday become a reality.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Cyclically conjugated porphyrin trimers linked through benzo[4,5]imidazo[2,1- a ]isoindole bridges

Cyclically conjugated porphyrin trimers were prepared via a concise synthetic method. Zn-Trimer-1 displayed strong exciton coupling, suggesting the presence of effective electronic interactions. UV-Vis absorption and fluorescence spectra obtained through titration studies on the donor–acceptor adduct (Zn-Trimer-1–C60Im) indicate the occurrence of excited state photo-events. Inspired by nature's photosynthetic process of plants and bacteria, electronically interacting multiporphyrinic systems have long been investigated as synthetic models of natural photosynthetic systems. Remarkable successes have been achieved with cyclic porphyrin arrays, where porphyrins are arranged in a wheel-like structure or nanoring as photosynthetic antennae. Considerable efforts have also been devoted to constructing other porphyrin arrays such as molecular wires for potential applications in sensors, solar energy conversion, non-linear optical (NLO) materials, and more. Due to synthetic difficulties, cyclically conjugated porphyrin arrays in which porphyrins are arranged in planar geometry are very rare. Very recently, Anderson and coworkers have reported unprecedented β,β-directly linked porphyrin trimers and tetramers with different geometries, propeller and saddle, respectively, which result in distinct photophysical and electrochemical properties (Fig. 1a). In this paper, we present novel cyclically conjugated porphyrin trimers, which feature planar geometry with porphyrins assembled around the aromatic triphenylene at the center (Fig. 1b).

Han, Ting↗

Solar Steam on Demand

INTRODUCTION: This Report summarizes the research and development project performed by Sunvapor and the subrecipient National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) during the period of 10/01/2018-9/30/2021. The work was aimed at the economic integration of solar steam with an industrial process, and in particular, the advantages that a novel type of thermal energy storage and collector design could bring to the system. The completed work includes experimental research on the storage material, design of the collector, engineering of a complete solar steam plant, and economic analysis. The plant was, in the end, not constructed, due to COVID-19 impacts to the project host. PURPOSE: The purpose of the project was to test the hypothesis that a levelized cost of heat (LCOH) of 2¢/kWh delivered to a steam-consuming process, including energy discharged from storage, could be feasibly achieved. PROJECT OBJECTIVES: For Budget Period 1 our objectives were to engineer a prototype industrial solar steam generation system, and design and test a Latent Heat Energy Storage (LHES) lab-scale system. For Budget Period 2 our objectives were to construct and test the solar steam prototype plant, and to build and factory-test a full LHES module. For Budget Period 3 our objective was to integrate the storage module with the solar steam generator, show successful long duration energy tests of the combined system, and use the results to project the LCOH of delivered steam to a second-generation plant. PROJECT OUTCOMES: Various phase change materials (PCMs) for the LHES were tested for compatibility with industrial steam uses as measured by phase change temperature, stability of latent heat of fusion, and their corrosive effects on steel (the heat exchanger material). Two of these materials (sodium formate and sodium/ potassium) showed potential to meet the technical criteria. The estimated cost of a complete LHES module with these materials did not meet economic targets. The developmental collector design builds from previous work to exploit the potential cost advantages of a spaceframe of lumber construction. Design improvements were achieved in assembly efficiency and structural performance. A complete engineering package was completed for the solar steam system without storage that included the developmental as well as commercial arrays. The plant was permitted for construction. The storage CAPEX for a reference plant was estimate to be greater than $\$ 57$/kWh. The LCOH of the system without storage and with developmental collectors of lumber construction was projected to be 2¢/kWh, assuming a FCR of 8.2% over thirty years. PROJECT MILESTONES: The Milestones fully achieved in the first Budget Period includes obtaining a Letter of Intent from an industrial steam-consuming project host, issuance of a construction permit, and corrosion resistance. The Milestone that was partly achieved was the degradation in the latent heat of fusion. Milestones associated with Budget Periods 2 and 3, related to the construction and operation of the plant were not achieved as a result of the host shutting down the plant due to COVID-19 impacts. CONCLUSIONS: Sunvapor was able to secure an agreement with a host to build a fully engineered and permitted solar steam plant that met the host’s economic goals. As a basis for comparison, the solar field design was comprised of eight commercial collector arrays and one developmental Green Parabolic Trough Collector (GPTC) array. The projected LCOH with a solar field entirely populated with a second generation GPTC met the goal of 2¢/kWh. The experimental program concerning the PCM indicated the feasibility of meeting their technical requirements for industrial steam uses. The cost of the complete LHES exceeded its $\$ 14$/kWh target, and therefore the inclusion of LHES could not be economically justified. Due to COVID-19 impacts on the host, the solar steam plant was not constructed.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Impacts of year-to-year weather variability and inter-panel spacing on agrivoltaic crop yields in Massachusetts

Deployment of utility-scale solar power plants could lead to agricultural land-use changes. Agrivoltaics, a dual land use combining solar and agriculture on the same land, can provide multiple environmental benefits, including improving soil quality and water use efficiency. The body of agrivoltaic field data is still growing, and crop responses to different solar configurations under different local climates are highly varied. We investigate the impact of adding spacing between adjacent solar panels in a fixed-tilt system to improve light diffusion to crops. For four crops (broccoli, peppers, kale, Swiss chard) grown across 3 years in an agrivoltaic system in Massachusetts, we found that only kale had a linearly increasing trend as the inter-panel spacing increased from 0.6 m to 1.5 m (2 ft to 5 ft). However, there were significant year-to-year differences in the yield of agrivoltaic versus control fields. Agrivoltaic and full sun fields produced equivalent yields in a hot, dry year, whereas the full-sun control beds produced more salable yield for all four crops in a warm, wet year. This demonstrates variability of agricultural outcomes and the need for more multi-year studies to ensure agrivoltaic impacts are not under- or overestimated.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluation of the PV Resource Dataset in Central and North America: Preprint

A recent effort from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has led to a new radiative transfer model, Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted surfaces (FARMS-NIT), to efficiently compute plane-of-array (POA) irradiance. This model has been implemented by the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB) to provide photovoltaic (PV) resource over Central and North America in both narrow- and broad wavelength bands. This study conducts a comprehensive evaluation of the PV resource dataset using surface-based observations in various climate zones. The results demonstrate the PV resource has an excellent agreement with the cloudy-sky observations from thermopiles and reference cells.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Single step synthesis of rutile TiO{sub 2} nanoflower array film by chemical bath deposition method

Titanium oxide (TiO{sub 2}) nanostructures such as nanorod arrays, nanotube arrays and nanoflower arrays have been extensively investigated by the researchers. Among them nanoflower arrays has shown superior performance than other nanostructures in Dye sensitized solar cell, photocatalysis and energy storage applications. Herein, a single step synthesis for rutile TiO{sub 2} nanoflower array films suitable for device applications has been reported. Rutile TiO{sub 2} nanoflower thin film was synthesized by chemical bath deposition method using NaCl as an additive. Bath temperature induced evolution of nanoflower thin film arrays was observed from the morphological study. X-ray diffraction study confirmed the presence of rutile phase polycrystalline TiO{sub 2}. Micro-Raman study revealed the presence of surface phonon mode at 105 cm{sup −1} due to the phonon confinement effect (finite size effect), in addition with the rutile Raman active modes of B{sub 1}g (143 cm{sup −1}), Eg (442 cm{sup −1}) and A{sub 1}g (607 cm{sup −1}). Further, the FTIR spectrum confirmed the presence of Ti-O-Ti bonding vibration. The Tauc plot showed the direct energy band gap nature of the film with the value of 2.9 eV.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

An Evaluation of the Spectral Irradiance Data from the NSRDB

A recent effort by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has led to a new radiative transfer model, the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted surfaces (FARMS-NIT), to efficiently compute spectral irradiances in the plane-of-array (POA). This model has been implemented in the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB) to provide photovoltaic (PV) resource in both narrowband and broadband wavelengths. This study conducts an evaluation of the spectral irradiances from the PV Resource dataset using surface-based observations at NREL’s Solar Radiation Research Laboratory (SRRL) and University of Oregon (UO). The results demonstrate that the PV resource has a generally good agreement with the long-term observations in both clear-sky and cloudy-sky conditions. Further research is needed to reduce the overestimation of visible irradiances in clear sky conditions and underestimation of near-infrared irradiances in cloudy-sky conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A First Comparison of Millimeter Continuum and Mg ii Ultraviolet Line Emission from the Solar Chromosphere

We present joint observations of the Sun by the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) and the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph ( IRIS ). Both millimeter/submillimeter- λ continuum emission and ultraviolet (UV) line emission originate from the solar chromosphere and both have the potential to serve as powerful and complementary diagnostics of physical conditions in this enigmatic region of the solar atmosphere. The observations were made of a solar active region on 2015 December 18 as part of the ALMA science verification effort. A map of the Sun’s continuum emission was obtained by ALMA at a wavelength of 1.25 mm (239 GHz). A contemporaneous map was obtained by IRIS in the Mg ii h doublet line at 2803.5 Å. While a clear correlation between the 1.25 mm brightness temperature T{sub B} and the Mg ii h line radiation temperature T {sub rad} is observed, the slope is <1, perhaps as a result of the fact that these diagnostics are sensitive to different parts of the chromosphere and that the Mg ii h line source function includes a scattering component. There is a significant difference (35%) between the mean T{sub B} (1.25 mm) and mean T {sub rad} (Mg ii). Partitioning the maps into “sunspot,” “quiet areas,” and “plage regions” we find the relation between the IRIS Mg ii h line T {sub rad} and the ALMA T {sub B} region-dependent. We suggest this may be the result of regional dependences of the formation heights of the IRIS and ALMA diagnostics and/or the increased degree of coupling between the UV source function and the local gas temperature in the hotter, denser gas in plage regions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Assessment of Error Sources in the Modeling of POA Irradiance Under Clear-Sky Conditions: Preprint

A new physics-based model, the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted surfaces (FARMS-NIT), accurately computes plane-of-array (POA) irradiances in both narrow- and broad wavelength bands within the solar region. The evaluation studies suggest that the new model provides increased accuracy than a model assuming isotropic diffuse solar radiation and an empirical model linking the POA irradiances with long-term surface observations at selected locations. This study anlyzes the surface observations used by FARMS-NIT and is intended to understand the error sources under clear-sky conditions as well as their impact to the performance of FARMS-NIT.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Wafer-Free Crystalline Silicon Solar Cells (CRADA Final Report)

This CRADA project, based on the DOE Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) Solar Prize Voucher program, helped Leap Photovoltaics to develop methodologies to immobilize Si particles by permanently attaching them to an Al-coated substrate and thereby forming carrier-selective electrical contacts to the Si particles. The bigger goal was to help Leap Photovoltaics develop these immobilized and contacted particle arrays into relatively efficient, inexpensive, and industrially relevant solar cells. By using Si particles instead of wafers in a solar cell absorber layer, one can avoid costs associated with growing monocrystalline Si ingots, then diamond-sawing them into wafers, then processing wafers into cells – a mainstream practice in today's high-efficiency Si cell and module technology. Monocrystalline or polycrystalline Si particles can be obtained in various ways: for example, Si kerf from wafer sawing is monocrystalline; recycled Si cell wafers can be ball-milled into particles; particles can be grown using various gas-phase techniques (mostly from SiH4). These Si particles can be assembled onto a substrate and serve as an absorber layer for the solar cell, absorbing photons to generate photocarriers. The challenge with this technique is to collect photocarriers from individual Si particles, with separation of photogenerated electrons to the negative cell’s electrode and positive photogenerated holes to the positive electrode. Therefore, each particle must have two isolated, carrier-selective contacts: one for electrons and one for holes. Plus, particles need to be immobilized onto a solid substrate. The goal of this work was focused on the immobilization of Si particles and creating hole-selective contact to them at the same time, using industrially relevant Si photovoltaic (PV) cell technology: screen printing of Al back-surface field electrodes. This is used in the mainstream Propane Education and Research Council (PERC) technology for hole-collecting contacts at the back of the cell. The work performed at NREL consisted of screen printing of Al metal paste on substrates, spreading Si particles onto it, and thermally processing the structures to form hole-collecting contacts. The final structures were investigated by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) after focused ion beam (FIB) cross-sectioning and polishing. The work was done jointly by NREL staff and Leap Photovoltaics (Leap PV) employees stationed at NREL. The samples were then taken to Leap PV for further processing. Training the Leap PV employee on various NREL techniques (laser cutting, screen printing, thermal processing, characterization) was part of the scope.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Correlative Characterization of Dislocation Defects and Defect Clusters in GaAs and CdTe Solar Cells by Spatially Resolved Optical Techniques and High-Resolution TEM

An array of correlative and spatially-resolved techniques, including electroluminescence, photoluminescence, Raman, I-V curve, and high-resolution TEM, have been performed on both GaAs and CdTe solar cells, to study the impact of individual dislocation defects and defect clusters on device performance, the dependence of the impact on the device operation conditions, and the microscopic structures of the defects. This approach offers quantitative and definitive correlation between the atomistic structure of a defect and its effects in a real device.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Tunable Quantum Dot Solids: Impact of Interparticle Interactions on Bulk Properties

QD-solids comprising self-assembled semiconductor nanocrystals such as CdSe are currently under investigation for use in a wide array of applications including light emitting diodes, solar cells, field effect transistors, photodetectors, and biosensors. The goal of this LDRD project was develop a fundamental understanding of the relationship between nanoparticle interactions and the different regimes of charge and energy transport in semiconductor quantum dot (QD) solids. Interparticle spacing was tuned through the application of hydrostatic pressure in a diamond anvil cell, and the impact on interparticle interactions was probed using x-ray scattering and a variety of static and transient optical spectroscopies. During the course of this LDRD, we discovered a new, previously unknown, route to synthesize semiconductor quantum wires using high pressure sintering of self-assembled quantum dot crystals. We believe that this new, pressure driven synthesis approach holds great potential as a new tool for nanomaterials synthesis and engineering.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Predictive performance modeling framework for a novel enclosed particle receiver configuration and application for thermochemical energy storage

Concentrating solar power (CSP) plants can provide dispatchable power with a thermal energy storage capability for increased renewable-energy grid penetration. Particle-based CSP systems permit higher temperatures, and thus, potentially higher solar-to-electric efficiency than state-of-the-art molten-salt heat-transfer systems. This paper describes a detailed numerical analysis framework for estimating the performance of a novel, geometrically complex, enclosed particle receiver design. The receiver configuration uses arrays of small tubular absorbers to collect and subsequently transfer solar energy to a flowing particulate medium. The enclosed nature of the receiver design renders it amenable to either an inert heat-transfer medium, or a reactive heat-transfer medium that requires a controllable ambient environment. The numerical analysis framework described in this study is demonstrated for the case of thermal reduction of CaCr 0.1 Mn 0.9 O 3-$\delta$ for thermochemical energy storage. The modeling strategy consists of Monte Carlo ray tracing for absorbed solar-energy distributions from a surround heliostat field, computational fluid dynamics modeling of small-scale local tubular arrays, surrogate response surfaces that approximately capture simulated tubular array performance, a quasi-two-dimensional reduced-order description of counter-flow reactive solids and purge gas, and a radiative exchange model applied to embedded-cavity structures at the size scale of the full receiver. In this work we apply the numerical analysis strategy to a single receiver configuration, but the framework can be generically applicable to alternative enclosed designs. In conclusion, we assess sensitivity of receiver performance to surface optical properties, heat-transfer coefficients, solids outlet temperature, and purge-gas feed rates, and discuss the significance of model assumptions and results for future receiver development.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hydrogen Evolution with Minimal Parasitic Light Absorption by Dense Co–P Catalyst Films on Structured p-Si Photocathodes

Planar and three-dimensionally structured p-Si devices, consisting of an electrodeposited Co–P catalyst on arrays of Si microwires or Si micropyramids, were used as photocathodes for solar-driven hydrogen evolution in 0.50 M H 2 SO 4 (aq) to assess the effects of electrode structuring on parasitic absorption by the catalyst. Without the use of an emitter layer, p-Si/Co–P microwire arrays produced a photocurrent density of -10 mA cm –2 at potentials that were 130 mV more positive than those of optimized planar p-Si/Co–P devices. Champion p-Si/Co–P microwire array devices exhibited ideal regenerative cell solar-to-hydrogen efficiencies of >2.5% and were primarily limited by the photovoltage of the p-Si/Co–P junction. Therefore, the vertical sidewalls of the Si microwire photoelectrodes minimized effects due to parasitic absorption at high loadings of catalyst for device structures with or without emitters.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Development of High-Efficiency GaAs Solar Cells Grown on Nanopatterned GaAs Substrates

One approach to reducing the cost of high-efficiency III–V devices involves adding patterned layers to heteroepitaxial or homoepitaxial substrates to facilitate substrate removal and reuse. However, few studies have focused explicitly on high-quality devices grown over patterned substrates, which is required for any cost saving to be beneficial. In this work, we demonstrate the growth of high-efficiency GaAs solar cells on GaAs substrates patterned with an array of nanoscale SiOX mask stripes. We show that reducing the pattern dimensions to submicron length scales with nanoimprint lithography enables defect-free coalescence. By varying the growth conditions, faceting of the epilayer material during overgrowth of the patterned mask was also controlled. A V/III ratio of 200 during MOVPE overgrowth produced smooth coalesced epilayers, which is desirable for the growth of subsequent device layers. Inverted GaAs front homojunction devices grown on patterned GaAs(001) substrates achieved threading dislocation densities below 5 × 10 5 cm –2 and maintained >23% solar cell efficiencies at one sun illumination, equivalent to control devices grown on unpatterned epi-ready substrates.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted surfaces (FARMS-NIT): Part I. The clear-sky model

The solar energy industry often uses individual steps to empirically compute plane-of-array (POA) irradiance from horizontal irradiance and decompose it to narrow-wavelength bands. Conventional radiative transfer models designed for meteorological applications requires significant computing efforts in practice; however, they provide a physics-based solution of radiance and therefore are capable of computing spectral POA irradiances in a single step. In this study, we integrate the advantages of the current models and develop an innovative radiative transfer model, the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted surfaces (FARMS-NIT), to efficiently compute irradiances on inclined photovoltaics (PV) panels for 2002 narrow-wavelength bands from 0.28 to 4.0 um. This study is reported in two parts. Part I presents the methodology and performance evaluation of the new model under clear-sky conditions. The Simple Model of the Atmospheric Radiative Transfer of Sunshine (SMARTS), which was designed to compute clear-sky irradiances, is employed to rapidly provide the optical properties of a given clear-sky atmosphere. The clear-sky radiances in the narrow-wavelength bands are computed by considering three paths of photon transmission and solving the radiative transfer equation with the single-scattering approximation. The Bi-directional Transmittance Distribution Function (BTDF) of aerosols is given by their single-scattering phase function with a correction using a two-stream approximation. The validation analysis confirms that FARMS-NIT has improved accuracy compared to TMYSPEC as evaluated by both surface observations and a state-of-the-art radiative transfer model. This model substantially improves computational efficiency compared to other radiative transfer models though it uses slightly more computing time than TMYSPEC. Part II of this study addresses the model in cloud-sky conditions and will be published as a companion paper.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

ALMA Discovery of Solar Umbral Brightness Enhancement at λ = 3 mm

We report the discovery of a brightness enhancement in the center of a large sunspot umbra at a wavelength of 3 mm using the Atacama Large Millimeter/sub-millimeter Array (ALMA). Sunspots are among the most prominent features on the solar surface, but many of their aspects are surprisingly poorly understood. We analyzed a λ = 3 mm (100 GHz) mosaic image obtained by ALMA that includes a large sunspot within the active region AR12470, on 2015 December 16. The 3 mm map has a 300″ × 300″ field of view and 4.″9 × 2.″2 spatial resolution, which is the highest spatial resolution map of an entire sunspot in this frequency range. We find a gradient of 3 mm brightness from a high value in the outer penumbra to a low value in the inner penumbra/outer umbra. Within the inner umbra, there is a marked increase in 3 mm brightness temperature, which we call an umbral brightness enhancement. This enhanced emission corresponds to a temperature excess of 800 K relative to the surrounding inner penumbral region and coincides with excess brightness in the 1330 and 1400 Å slit-jaw images of the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph ( IRIS ), adjacent to a partial lightbridge. This λ = 3 mm brightness enhancement may be an intrinsic feature of the sunspot umbra at chromospheric heights, such as a manifestation of umbral flashes, or it could be related to a coronal plume, since the brightness enhancement was coincident with the footpoint of a coronal loop observed at 171 Å.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Utility-Scale Solar 2016: An Empirical Analysis of Project Cost, Performance, and Pricing Trends in the United States

The utility-scale solar sector has led the overall U.S. solar market in terms of installed capacity since 2012. In 2016, the utility-scale sector installed more than 2.5 times as much new capacity as did the residential and commercial sectors combined, and is expected to maintain its dominant position for at least another five years. This report—the fifth edition in an ongoing annual series—provides data-driven analysis of the utility-scale solar project fleet in the United States. We analyze not just installed project prices, but also operating costs, capacity factors, and power purchase agreement ("PPA") prices from a large sample of utility-scale PV and CSP projects throughout the United States. Highlights from this year's edition include the following: Installation Trends: The use of solar tracking devices dominated 2016 installations, at nearly 80% of all new capacity. In a reflection of the ongoing geographic expansion of the market beyond California and the Southwest, the median long-term average insolation level at newly built project sites declined again in 2016. While new fixed-tilt projects are now seen predominantly in less-sunny regions, tracking projects are increasingly pushing into these same regions. The median inverter loading ratio has stabilized in 2016 at 1.3 for both tracking and fixed-tilt projects. Installed Prices: Median installed PV project prices within a sizable sample have fallen by two-thirds since the 2007-2009 period, to $2.2/WAC (or $1.7/WDC) for projects completed in 2016. The lowest 20th percentile of projects within our 2016 sample were priced at or below $2.0/WAC, with the lowest-priced projects around $1.5/WAC. Overall price dispersion across the entire sample and across geographic regions decreased significantly in 2016. Operation and Maintenance (“O&M”) Costs: What limited empirical O&M cost data are publicly available suggest that PV O&M costs were in the neighborhood of $18/kWAC-year, or $8/MWh, in 2016. These numbers include only those costs incurred to directly operate and maintain the generating plant. Capacity Factors: The cumulative net AC capacity factors of individual PV projects range widely, from 15.4% to 35.5%, with a sample median of 26.3%. This project-level variation is based on a number of factors, including the strength of the solar resource at the project site, whether the array is mounted at a fixed-tilt or on a tracking mechanism, the inverter loading ratio, degradation, and curtailment. Changes in at least the first three of these factors drove mean capacity factors higher from 2010- to 2013-vintage projects, where they’ve remained fairly steady among both 2014- and 2015-vintage projects as an ongoing increase in the prevalence of tracking has been offset by a build-out of lower resource sites. Meanwhile, several of the newer CSP projects in the United States are struggling to match long-term performance expectations. PPA Prices: Driven by lower installed project prices and improving capacity factors, levelized PPA prices for utility-scale PV have fallen dramatically over time. Most recent PPAs in our sample are priced at or below $50/MWh levelized, with a few priced as aggressively as ~$30/MWh. Though impressive in pace and scale, these falling PPA prices have been offset to some degree by declining wholesale market value within high penetration markets like California, where in 2016 a MWh of solar generation was worth just 83% of a MWh of flat, round-the-clock generation. At the end of 2016, there were at least 121.4 GW of utility-scale solar power capacity within the interconnection queues across the nation. The growth within these queues is widely distributed across all regions of the country: California and the Southeast each account for 23% of the 83.3 GW of solar that first entered the queues in 2016, followed by the Northeast (17%), the Southwest (16%), the Central region (12%), Texas (6%) and the Northwest (3%). The widening geographic distribution of solar projects is a clear sign that the utility-scale market is maturing and expanding outside of its traditional high-insolation comfort zones.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗