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At least 271 records · Page 15

The geophysical signal of the martian global dichotomy

A first-order tectonic question for Mars is the origin and nature of the global dichotomy (GD) separating approximately the northern and southern hemispheres of the planet. It is appropriate to focus on hypotheses for the origin of the GD as well as on geophysical models of related internal structure that are constrained by present-day observations. There are basic planetary scale observations that relate to the GD: (1) the dichotomy boundary separates two fundamentally different elevations on the planet, as the terrain to the north is lower by an average of about 3 km; (2) the boundary separates terrain of regionally distinct crater ages, heavily cratered (older) in the south and sparsely cratered (younger) in the north; (3) the amount of ancient crust apparently removed from north of the dichotomy boundary cannot be accounted for by simple surface erosion and deposition in the south, and the constraint becomes particularly severe if isostatic adjustment is presumed to have accompanied this process. This last point leads to the supposition that some type of interior process must have been responsible for the creation of the GD. An obvious way to create the observed elevation difference between the two hemispheres is with a thinner crust in the north, although a denser cust would also work. Hypotheses for producing a thinner northern crust include preferential sub-crustal erosion, a giant impact, and simply invoking the crustal thickness difference as a primordial feature of the planet. If the GD represents a fundamental change in the crustal thickness of Mars, then there should be geophysical evidence of this. The center-of-figure to center-of-mass offset of the planet may be related to the GD, but the Tharsis topography must certainly also contribute. If the Tharsis and GD effects can be separated, then a crustal thickness model can be tested, though the results will not be unique. The gravity field provides another geophysical constraint on GD models. A simple change in thickness of an isostatically compensated crust should show a characteristic gravity signal across the dichotomy boundary. There is a gravity anomaly that is clearly associated with the boundary in regions where the gravity signal is not cluttered by contributions from other features such as Tharsis and Elysium. The gravity signal has a complex spatial relationship with the boundary, and efforts are presently underway to model this anomaly.

Phillips, Roger J.↗

Improvements to TOVS retrievals over sea ice and applications to estimating Arctic energy fluxes

Modeling studies suggest that polar regions play a major role in modulating the Earth's climate and that they may be more sensitive than lower latitudes to climate change. Until recently, however, data from meteorological stations poleward of 70 degs have been sparse, and consequently, our understanding of air-sea-ice interaction processes is relatively poor. Satellite-borne sensors now offer a promising opportunity to observe polar regions and ultimately to improve parameterizations of energy transfer processes in climate models. This study focuses on the application of the TIROS-N operational vertical sounder (TOVS) to sea-ice-covered regions in the nonmelt season. TOVS radiances are processed with the improved initialization inversion ('3I') algorithm, providng estimates of layer-average temperature and moisture, cloud conditions, and surface characteristics at a horizontal resolution of approximately 100 km x 100 km. Although TOVS has flown continuously on polar-orbiting satellites since 1978, its potential has not been realized in high latitudes because the quality of retrievals is often significantly lower over sea ice and snow than over the surfaces. The recent availability of three Arctic data sets has provided an opportunity to validate TOVS retrievals: the first from the Coordinated Eastern Arctic Experiment (CEAREX) in winter 1988/1989, the second from the LeadEx field program in spring 1992, and the third from Russian drifting ice stations. Comparisons with these data reveal deficiencies in TOVS retrievals over sea ice during the cold season; e.g., ice surface temperature is often 5 to 15 K too warm, microwave emissivity is approximately 15% too low at large view angles, clear/cloudy scenes are sometimes misidentified, and low-level inversions are often not captured. In this study, methods to reduce these errors are investigated. Improvements to the ice surface temperature retrieval have reduced rms errors from approximately 7 K to 3 K; correction of microwaves (50 GHz) brightness temperatures for view angle dependence now allows the surface type (open water versus sea ice) to be determined; modifications to the clear/cloud tests have improved cloud detection over sea ice, especially where it is inhomogeneous; and improved surface temperature estimates have resulted in more successful diagnoses of low-level stratification. Applications of improved retrievals to studies of the Arctic energy budget are encouraging. Preliminary calculations of air-ice stress vectors, 10-m wind speed, and horizontal advection of heat and moisture are presented.

Francis, Jennifer A.↗

Combined Uncertainty and A-Posteriori Error Bound Estimates for General CFD Calculations: Theory and Software Implementation

This workshop presentation discusses the design and implementation of numerical methods for the quantification of statistical uncertainty, including a-posteriori error bounds, for output quantities computed using CFD methods. Hydrodynamic realizations often contain numerical error arising from finite-dimensional approximation (e.g. numerical methods using grids, basis functions, particles) and statistical uncertainty arising from incomplete information and/or statistical characterization of model parameters and random fields. The first task at hand is to derive formal error bounds for statistics given realizations containing finite-dimensional numerical error [1]. The error in computed output statistics contains contributions from both realization error and the error resulting from the calculation of statistics integrals using a numerical method. A second task is to devise computable a-posteriori error bounds by numerically approximating all terms arising in the error bound estimates. For the same reason that CFD calculations including error bounds but omitting uncertainty modeling are only of limited value, CFD calculations including uncertainty modeling but omitting error bounds are only of limited value. To gain maximum value from CFD calculations, a general software package for uncertainty quantification with quantified error bounds has been developed at NASA. The package provides implementations for a suite of numerical methods used in uncertainty quantification: Dense tensorization basis methods [3] and a subscale recovery variant [1] for non-smooth data, Sparse tensorization methods[2] utilizing node-nested hierarchies, Sampling methods[4] for high-dimensional random variable spaces.

CFD↗

Assimilation of AERONET and MODIS AOT Observations Using Variational and Ensemble Data Assimilation Methods and Its Impact on Aerosol Forecasting Skill

Data assimilation of Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aerosol optical thickness (AOT) for aerosol forecasting was tested within the Navy Aerosol Analysis Prediction System (NAAPS) framework, using variational and ensemble data assimilation methods. Navy aerosol forecasting currently makes use of a deterministic NAAPS simulation coupled to Navy Variational Data Assimilation System for aerosol optical depth, a two-dimensional variational data assimilation system, for MODIS AOT assimilation. An ensemble version of NAAPS (ENAAPS) coupled to an ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) from the Data Assimilation Research Testbed was recently developed, allowing for a range of data assimilation and forecasting experiments to be run with deterministic NAAPS and ENAAPS. The main findings are that the EAKF, with its flow-dependent error covariances, makes better use of sparse observations such as AERONET AOT. Assimilating individual AERONET observations in the two-dimensional variational system can increase the analysis errors when observations are located in high AOT gradient regions. By including AERONET with MODIS AOT assimilation, the magnitudes of peak aerosol events (AOT> 1) were better captured with improved temporal variability, especially in India and Asia where aerosol prediction is a challenge. Assimilating AERONET AOT with MODIS had little impact on the 24 h forecast skill compared to MODIS assimilation only, but differences were found downwind of AERONET sites. The 24 h forecast skill was approximately the same for forecasts initialized with analyses from AERONET AOT assimilation alone compared to MODIS assimilation, particularly in regions where the AERONET network is dense; including the United States and Europe, indicating that AERONET could serve as a backup observation network for over-land synoptic-scale aerosol events.

Rubin, Juli I.↗

Totally parallel multilevel algorithms for sparse elliptic systems

The fastest known algorithms for the solution of a large elliptic boundary value problem on a massively parallel hypercube all require O(log(n)) floating point operations and O(log(n)) distance-1 communications, if massively parallel is defined to mean a number of processors proportional to the size n of the problem. The Totally Parallel Multilevel Algorithm (TPMA) that has, as special cases, four of these fast algorithms is described. These four algorithms are Parallel Superconvergent Multigrid (PSMG), Robust Multigrid, the Fast Fourier Transformation (FFT) based Spectral Algorithm, and Parallel Cyclic Reduction. The algorithm TPMA, when described recursively, has four steps: (1) project to a collection of interlaced, coarser problems at the next lower level; (2) apply TPMA, recursively, to each of these lower level problems, solving directly at the lowest level; (3) interpolate these approximate solutions to the finer grid, and to verage them to form an approximate solution on this grid; and (4) refine this approximate solution with a defect-correction step, using a local approximate inverse. Choice of the projection operator (P), the interpolation operator (Q), and the smoother (S) determines the class of problems on which TPMA is most effective. There are special cases in which the first three steps produce an exact solution, and the smoother is not needed (e.g., constant coefficient operators).

Frederickson, Paul O.↗

AMG Preconditioners based on parallel hybrid coarsening and multi-objective graph matching

We describe preliminary results from a multi-objective graph matching algorithm, in the coarsening step of an aggregation-based Algebraic MultiGrid (AMG) preconditioner, for solving large and sparse linear systems of equations on high-end parallel computers. We have two objectives. First, we wish to improve the convergence behavior of the AMG method when applied to highly anisotropic problems. Second, we wish to extend the parallel package \texttt{PSCToolkit} to exploit multi-threaded parallelism at the node level on multi-core processors. Our matching proposal balances the need to simultaneously compute high weights and large cardinalities by a new formulation of the weighted matching problem combining both these objectives using a parameter $\lambda$. We compute the matching by a parallel $2/3-\varepsilon$-approximation algorithm for maximum weight matchings. Results with the new matching algorithm show that for a suitable choice of the parameter $\lambda$ we compute effective preconditioners in the presence of anisotropy, i.e., smaller solve times, setup times, iterations counts, and operator complexity.

D'Ambra, Pasqua↗

Linear and nonlinear trending and prediction for AVHRR time series data

The variability of AVHRR calibration coefficient in time was analyzed using algorithms of linear and non-linear time series analysis. Specifically we have used the spline trend modeling, autoregressive process analysis, incremental neural network learning algorithm and redundancy functional testing. The analysis performed on available AVHRR data sets revealed that (1) the calibration data have nonlinear dependencies, (2) the calibration data depend strongly on the target temperature, (3) both calibration coefficients and the temperature time series can be modeled, in the first approximation, as autonomous dynamical systems, (4) the high frequency residuals of the analyzed data sets can be best modeled as an autoregressive process of the 10th degree. We have dealt with a nonlinear identification problem and the problem of noise filtering (data smoothing). The system identification and filtering are significant problems for AVHRR data sets. The algorithms outlined in this study can be used for the future EOS missions. Prediction and smoothing algorithms for time series of calibration data provide a functional characterization of the data. Those algorithms can be particularly useful when calibration data are incomplete or sparse.

Smid, J.↗

Genesis of recent silicic magmatism in the Medicine Lake Highland, California - Evidence from cognate inclusions found at Little Glass Mountain

Sparse, granular inclusions of early-formed minerals found within the Little Glass Mountain rhyolite flows in northern California are shown to provide a means of characterizing the physical conditions, at depth, beneath the Medicine Lake Highland during the latest phase of volcanic activity. Mineral compositions, in combination with thermodynamic calculations and experiments, suggest crystalization at a pressure of 5,200 bars within a 966-836 C temperature range; implying that mineral segregation and equilibration occurred at a depth of 15-18 km beneath the surface. In addition, mass balance calculations indicate that the Medicine Lake flow is a close approximation to the parental magma for the latest silicic lavas.

Mertzman, S. A.↗

Building on the Past: The Creation of the Wartime Laboratory

Today, Los Alamos National Laboratory spans nearly 40 square miles – almost twice the size of the New York City borough of Manhattan. There are approximately 1,000 buildings on LANL property and over 12,700 employees. Maintaining an institution the size of Los Alamos is a monumental task. “Constructing several buildings simultaneously, ensuring our super computers have a consistent supply of electricity, and removing a yard of snow from a facility the size of LANL requires a small army of highly trained and dedicated professionals,” says Kelly Beierschmitt, the Lab’s Deputy Director for Operations. In early 1943, Manhattan Project pioneers faced a monumental challenge as well: There was no Laboratory at all. In only a few months, Los Alamos was transformed from a quiet, very sparsely populated outpost to the thriving intellectual center of history’s most secret project that helped end World War II.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A WKB based preconditioner for the 1D Helmholtz wave equation

Frequency-domain full-wave solutions to the cold-plasma problem have become ubiquitous in the study of radio frequency power in fusion plasmas. However, recent efforts at extreme levels of geometric fidelity have revealed fundamental limits in the problem size that can be solved by typical sparse direct solver based methods. These limits are of particular importance in the 3D study of RF launchers, where the number of degrees of freedom required can exceed 100 million. In such cases, it would be advantageous to solve the system via iterative means, but due to the large null space of the curl-curl operator, the convergence properties of algorithms like GMRES are poor. Here we present a physics-based preconditioner in the form of a WKB solution and demonstrate the iterative solution to the frequency-domain Helmholtz problem in 1D for several cases ranging from satisfying the WKB approximation to strongly violating it.

Green, David↗

Regularized machine learning on molecular graph model explains systematic error in DFT enthalpies

Abstract A major goal of materials research is the discovery of novel and efficient heterogeneous catalysts for various chemical processes. In such studies, the candidate catalyst material is modeled using tens to thousands of chemical species and elementary reactions. Density Functional Theory (DFT) is widely used to calculate the thermochemistry of these species which might be surface species or gas-phase molecules. The use of an approximate exchange correlation functional in the DFT framework introduces an important source of error in such models. This is especially true in the calculation of gas phase molecules whose thermochemistry is calculated using the same planewave basis set as the rest of the surface mechanism. Unfortunately, the nature and magnitude of these errors is unknown for most practical molecules. Here, we investigate the error in the enthalpy of formation for 1676 gaseous species using two different DFT levels of theory and the ‘ground truth values’ obtained from the NIST database. We featurize molecules using graph theory. We use a regularized algorithm to discover a sparse model of the error and identify important molecular fragments that drive this error. The model is robust to rigorous statistical tests and is used to correct DFT thermochemistry, achieving more than an order of magnitude improvement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Image Dis-Integration for Improved Plasmasphere Visualization

Traditionally, study of the plasmasphere has involved terrestrial observation of local characteristics. Global modeling of the plasmasphere in such an observation regime made use of an ensemble of (sparse) local measurements. Recently, sensors aboard the IMAGE (Imager for Magnetopause-to-Aurora Global Exploration) satellite (in particular, the EUV (Extreme Ultra Violet) Imager) have created the potential for truly global study of the plasmasphere. IMAGE was launched in spring of 2000 in an orbit with apogee altitude 7.2 R E (Earth radii) and perigee altitude 1000 km. IMAGE's EUV sensor allows an external view of the distribution of cold plasma in the plasmasphere to be acquired. EUV is designed to image light emission at 30.4 nanometers, which is the emission wavelength of the He + ion in the presence of solar radiation. He + makes up approximately 15-20% of the plasma in the plasmasphere, thus imaging of He + enables determination of plasma distribution. The EUV instrument provides a 90° by 84° field of view which is imaged as an equally spaced 150x140 pixel array on a spherical imaging surface. The EUV produces an image approximately every 10 minutes when the sensor is operating. Since EUV images contain line-of-sight integrations of plasma distributions, they do not directly express equatorial plane density (which would enable comparison of observed plasma distributions with predictions from models). Furthermore, the plasma density at any point in three-space is not known. The goal of our work was development of a technique that can enable plasma density to be determined throughout three-space. Our approach to creation of a three-space representation of the plasma distribution involves disintegrating the EUV lines of sight to form a volumetric map of plasma densities.

Timothy S. Newman↗

Massively parallel computation of RCS with finite elements

One of the promising combinations of finite element approaches for scattering problems uses Whitney edge elements, spherical vector wave-absorbing boundary conditions, and bi-conjugate gradient solution for the frequency-domain near field. Each of these approaches may be criticized. Low-order elements require high mesh density, but also result in fast, reliable iterative convergence. Spherical wave-absorbing boundary conditions require additional space to be meshed beyond the most minimal near-space region, but result in fully sparse, symmetric matrices which keep storage and solution times low. Iterative solution is somewhat unpredictable and unfriendly to multiple right-hand sides, yet we find it to be uniformly fast on large problems to date, given the other two approaches. Implementation of these approaches on a distributed memory, message passing machine yields huge dividends, as full scalability to the largest machines appears assured and iterative solution times are well-behaved for large problems. We present times and solutions for computed RCS for a conducting cube and composite permeability/conducting sphere on the Intel ipsc860 with up to 16 processors solving over 200,000 unknowns. We estimate problems of approximately 10 million unknowns, encompassing 1000 cubic wavelengths, may be attempted on a currently available 512 processor machine, but would be exceedingly tedious to prepare. The most severe bottlenecks are due to the slow rate of mesh generation on non-parallel machines and the large transfer time from such a machine to the parallel processor. One solution, in progress, is to create and then distribute a coarse mesh among the processors, followed by systematic refinement within each processor. Elimination of redundant node definitions at the mesh-partition surfaces, snap-to-surface post processing of the resulting mesh for good modelling of curved surfaces, and load-balancing redistribution of new elements after the refinement are auxiliary steps expected to result in a robust low i/o system for very large finite element problems.

Parker, Jay↗

On the Solution of ℓ 0 -Constrained Sparse Inverse Covariance Estimation Problems

The sparse inverse covariance matrix is used to model conditional dependencies between variables in a graphical model to fit a multivariate Gaussian distribution. Estimating the matrix from data are well known to be computationally expensive for large-scale problems. Sparsity is employed to handle noise in the data and to promote interpretability of a learning model. Although the use of a convex ℓ 1 regularizer to encourage sparsity is common practice, the combinatorial ℓ 0 penalty often has more favorable statistical properties. In this paper, we directly constrain sparsity by specifying a maximally allowable number of nonzeros, in other words, by imposing an ℓ 0 constraint. Here, we introduce an efficient approximate Newton algorithm using warm starts for solving the nonconvex ℓ 0 -constrained inverse covariance learning problem. Numerical experiments on standard data sets show that the performance of the proposed algorithm is competitive with state-of-the-art methods.

$\ell_0$-Constrained↗

Blended SST fields combined SMMR/ship data (summary of technique)

All remote sensors have bias problems which vary in space and time. The infrared measurements are very sparse in cloudy areas: the SMMR has coverage limitations due to the interference of land areas and only half time operation. If one simply averaged the data from these various sources, the combination of the biases and varying sampling would introduce artifacts into the analyzed product which would reflect the sampling and which could be quite misleading. The remote sensors provide reasonable estimates of gradients of SST over length scales greater than the sensor resolution but smaller than hemispheric. Ships can be considered unbiased but are poorly distributed on small scales except in the densest shipping lanes. An analysis scheme based on a suggestion by Holl was developed which exploits just this approximately complementarity to provide an improved SST analysis. The resulting accuracy appears to be in the required approx. 0.5 C range for the particular case of using SMMR and ship data to produce two degree latitude by two degrees longitude monthly analyses.

Wilheit, T. T.↗

On the Recoverability of Reactor Dynamics from Point Kinetics Data using SINDYc

Data driven models for reactor dynamics tend to face a few notable challenges. First, the broad range of timescales present across the various feedback mechanisms. Next, high standards for safety and importance of model performance in all operational domains. Finally, the correlations between state variables observed in most transients leads to difficulties when methods attempt to attribute certain dynamic phenomena to a particular cause. The current paper seeks to support efforts towards incorporating physics knowledge into one particular data-driven method for finding reactor dynamics called ``Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics with Control (SINDYc). The incorporation of physical knowledge into SINDYc will help address the challenges listed above by giving the model an initial understanding of the system being modeled. The demonstration of an exact representation of a set of point reactor dynamics equations in SINDYc is provided. Then, this allows for further discussion with mathematical justification as to why SINDYc, and other data-driven methods, may be difficult to apply to nuclear reactor dynamics due to correlations in the state variables. A particularly useful result of this work is the set of candidate functions required in SINDYc to exactly represent the reactor dynamics under a point approximation. In the future, SINDYc can be integrated with point models for reactor dynamics before being applied to the physical system to yield higher accuracy.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Advancing Asset Management in Water Infrastructure Systems

Aging water system infrastructure, including drinking water, wastewater, and stormwater, poses a growing challenge for utilities and municipalities. These water systems have well documented challenges with respect to their age, condition, and level of service. ASCE annual report cards consistently rate these infrastructure systems in the United States as underfunded, overcapacity, or past service life (ASCE 2025 Report Card). For example, Chini and Stillwell (2017) estimated that the mean water loss in drinking water systems, i.e., non-revenue water, is approximately 16% across the United States. These concerns are not just relegated to the United States, with Courtenay, British Columbia, identifying 17% of their water main pipes as in a ‘poor’ condition state, defined as a category condition 5 out of 5 (City of Courtenay, 2024). These cases illustrate the challenges utilities are facing to manage extensive networks of infrastructure to deliver a consistent and high level of service. For buried infrastructure such as water systems, studies suggest that preventative interventions can lead to lower maintenance costs and fewer service disruptions (Mazumder et al, 2018; Li et al, 2014). The demonstrated need and benefit of appropriately applied asset management is juxtaposed against the relatively sparse literature that evaluates water systems within an asset management construct. Since 2020, just 37 papers specifically reference asset management in the Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. Of those, only a few specifically look to develop strategies for improved asset management. Therefore, we highlight four key research areas that represent opportunities for advancement of asset management research for water systems. First, advances in condition assessment and forecasting are needed to better estimate asset deterioration using diverse datasets. Second, machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) hold promise for predictive maintenance and investment prioritization, though questions of generalizability and model transparency remain. Third, applying a value of information framework can guide utilities in making cost-effective sensor deployment and data collection decisions, to direct monitoring strategies towards data-informed asset management decisions. Finally, integrated infrastructure management is critical, requiring coordinated planning with other infrastructure systems and stakeholder engagement to reduce costs and enhance service delivery.

Chini, Christopher M.↗

Investigation of serendipitious WFC sources

The serendipitious WFC sources under investigation, i.e., those which just happened to lie in the field of view while another object was being studied, were disappointing. The integration times were chosen to suit the primary target not the serendipitous targets. UX UMa, CZ Ori, BI Ori, WX Cet and AR And were not detected. A long (approximately 17 ksec) pointed observation of UX Uma (PI Wood) has since been carried out (February 1993) and the data is expected shortly. The other observations were much more successful. V471 Tau was observed with the WFC for 6.5 hrs with the S1 filter and 1.1 hrs with the S2b filter. It was easily detected with a count rate of 0.03 cps in the S1 filter and 0.15 cps in the S2b filter. The oscillations were seen, even before the data was folded, as was expected from preliminary results from the survey (Barstow et al. 1992). The pointed observations provide a much better phase coverage of the oscillations than did the survey data where the coverage was sparse. These data will be presented in a paper with the PSPC data (PI's Robinson and Shipman) and the pulse profiles in the different wavelengths will be compared.

Robinson, Edward L.↗