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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 271 records · Page 15

A Recursive Multi-step Machine Learning Approach for Airport Configuration Prediction

Airport configuration selection is a complex decision-making process that involves several operational and human factors. In this paper we propose a novel recursive multi-step machine learning (ML) approach to predict airport configuration. The multi-step approach guarantees stability of the predicted configuration by taking as input the configuration predicted at the previous time step. The features of the proposed model include weather data, future arrival and departure counts and current configuration. Due to the importance of arrival and departure counts in predicting the airport configuration, arrival counts are calculated using landing time predictions selected from physics-based landing time predictions available in FAA System Wide Information Management data feeds for each flight. The selection rules were developed and refined to select the most accurate time for different phases of flight. The proposed model predicts the airport configurations up to 6 hours ahead. In this paper we show the predictive performance of the proposed model for six major US airports, including Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT), Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK), Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR), LaGuardia Airport (LGA) and Dallas Love Field Airport (DAL). We trained and evaluated models on 2019 and 2020 data in order to study the effect of the pandemic and how changes in traffic patterns affected the performance of the proposed model. Results are compared with a baseline assuming no airport configuration changes. In our results for DFW, we obtained a prediction accuracy of 89.3% for 3 hours ahead prediction, and 82.8% for 6 hours ahead when applied on 2019 data.

machine learning↗

PCBoom Version 7 Technical Reference

PCBoom is a suite of sonic boom propagation programs that applies full three-dimensional ray tracing based on geometrical acoustics. It predicts sonic boom ground waveforms and footprints from supersonic flight vehicles performing arbitrary maneuvers using a variety of built-in or user-supplied nearfield vehicle source definitions. It also computes loudness metrics, ground signature locations, and sonic boom propagation times. The nomenclature "PC" in PCBoom denotes that the programs were historically targeted to run on a personal computer. PCBoom provides a valuable contribution toward sonic boom research as illustrated by the following examples: • PCBoom allows for quick “what if” type predictions for a multitude of sonic boom scenarios, including low boom design iteration work. • The detailed flight planning capabilities allow for flight conditions and waypoints to be provided to pilots to generate booms needed for research. • PCBoom allows for post-flight analysis of as-flown trajectories with measured weather data. • PCBoom has been used in sonic boom damage claim cases to determine claim veracity.

PCBoom↗

Multi-Spectral Lidar Observations and Balloon Borne Validation of SO 2 -O 3 During the SOWLETS Campaign: An Examination of Local Incinerator Plume

The Langley Mobile O3 Lidar (LMOL) was stationed at NASA's Langley Research Center for the initiation of the SO 2 -O 3 Water Land Environment study (SOWLETS). The primary focus of the campaign was to examine the capabilities of a novel four-wavelength detection technique to measure the concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and ozone (O3). The exact location of the lidar, near the NASA/CAPABLE site, was optimized to intercept the plume emissions from a proximate incinerator facility using historical weather data for the month of the campaign. A novel four-wavelength lidar technique focused on the detection of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and ozone (O3) was employed, and its capabilities were thoroughly examined. The technique is built upon the standard DIAL. While 3 wavelengths would be enough to retrieve both SO2 and O3, the 4 wavelengths allow to provide data on aerosol backscattering. In parallel, SO 2 -O 3 sondes were launched and installed in the nearby NASA Landing and Impact research facility, providing validation for the lidar's atmospheric measurements. In conclusion, this campaign offers an improved understanding of SO2 emissions in the local environment and a validation of a novel technique to facilitate pollution observations. It shows the promise of this new kind of lidar to better understand and validate the observations by NASA/TEMPO ("Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution").

G. Gronoff↗

Review of experiments on the impact of satellite data on numerical weather prediction

A brief review is presented of simulation studies and real data experiments which were conducted to assess the impact of satellite observations on numerical weather prediction. These experiments show that while there has been some redundancy between observing systems, satellite data has made significant contributions toward improving global forecasting.

Atlas, R.↗

The integration of remote sensing data into global weather prediction, wave forecasting, and ocean circulation computer based systems

Data from infrared imaging systems and satellite infrared spectrometer (SIRS) for determining sea surface temperature and the atmospheric structure in cloudless areas over the oceans are discussed. Although some interpretations differ, it is clear that simultaneous measurements of radar sea return and passive microwave temperature will provide estimates of the wind speed, and perhaps wind direction, over the oceans, especially in cloudless areas, for a wide range of wind speeds. The problem of integrating the data that would be obtained by a spacecraft, especially one with a combination radar-radiometer, into global analysis procedures for meteorological, wave, and oceanographic predictions is described.

Pierson, W. J., Jr.↗

Assessments of Total Lightning Data Utility in Weather Forecasting

National Weather Service forecasters in Huntsville, Alabama have had access to total lightning data from the North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) since 2003. Forecasters can monitor real-time total lightning observations on their AWIPS (Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS) workstations. The lightning data is used to supplement other observations such as radar and satellite data. The lightning data is updated every 2 min, providing more timely evidence of storm growth or decay than is available from 5 min radar scans. Total lightning observations have been used to positively impact warning decisions in a number of instances. A number of approaches are being pursued to assess the usefulness of total lightning measurements to the operational forecasting community in the warning decision process. These approaches, which include both qualitative and quantitative assessment methods, will be discussed. submitted to the American Meteorological Society (AMS) Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data to be held in San Diego, CA January 9-13,2005. This will be a presentation and an extended abstract will be published on a CD available from the AMS.

Buechler, Dennis E.↗

Aurorasaurus Database of Real-Time, Crowd-Sourced Aurora Data for Space Weather Research

This technical report documents the details of Aurorasaurus citizen science data for the period spanning 2015 and 2016 as well as its routine data filtering protocols. Aurorasaurus citizen science data is a collection of auroral sightings submitted to the project via its website or apps and mined from social media. It is a robust data set and particularly abundant during strong geomagnetic storms when auroral precipitation models have the highest uncertainty. These data are offered to the scientific community for use through an openaccess database in its raw and scientific formats, each of which is described in detail in this technical report. Furthermore, by demonstrating its scientific utility, we aim to encourage its integration into auroral research.

Citizen science↗

Modeling the weather with a data flow supercomputer

A static concept of data flow architecture is considered for a supercomputer for weather modeling. The machine level instructions are loaded into specific memory locations before computation is initiated, with only one instruction active at a time. The machine would have processing element, functional unit, array memory, memory routing and distribution routing network elements all contained on microprocessors. A value-oriented algorithmic language (VAL) would be employed and would have, as basic operations, simple functions deriving results from operand values. Details of the machine language format, computations with an array and file processing procedures are outlined. A global weather model is discussed in terms of a static architecture and the potential computation rate is analyzed. The results indicate that detailed design studies are warranted to quantify costs and parts fabrication requirements.

Dennis, J. B.↗

Exploiting the Convergence of Evidence in Satellite Data for Advanced Weather Index Insurance Design

The goal of drought-related weather index insurance (WII) is to protect smallholder farmers against the risk of weather shocks and to increase their agricultural productivity. Estimates of precipitation and vegetation greenness are the two dominant satellite datasets. However, ignoring additional moisture- and energy-related processes that influence the response of vegetation to rainfall leads to an incomplete representation of the hydrologic cycle. This study evaluates the added value of considering multiple independent satellite-based variables to design, calibrate, and validate weather insurance indices on the African continent. The satellite data include two rainfall datasets, soil moisture, the evaporative stress index (ESI), and vegetation greenness. We limit artificial advantages by resampling all datasets to the same spatial (0.25°) and temporal (monthly) resolution, although datasets with a higher spatial resolution might have an added value, if considered as the single source of information for localized applications. A higher correlation coefficient between the moisture-focused variables and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), an indicator for vegetation vigor, provides evidence for the datasets’ capability to capture agricultural drought conditions on the ground. The Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) rainfall dataset, soil moisture, and ESI show higher correlations with the (lagged) NDVI in large parts of Africa, for different land covers and various climate zones, than the African Rainfall Climatology, version 2 (ARC2), rainfall dataset, which is often used in WII. A comparison to drought years as reported by farmers in Ethiopia, Senegal, and Zambia indicates a high “hit rate” of all satellite-derived anomalies regarding the detection of severe droughts but limitations regarding moderate drought events.

drought↗

Issues Involved in the Development of an Open Standard for Data Link of Aviation Weather Information

This paper describes how an effective and efficient data link system for the dissemination of aviation weather information could be constructed. The system is built upon existing 'open standard' foundations drawn from current aviation and computer technologies. Issues of communications protocols and application data formats are discussed. The proposed aviation weather data link system is dependent of the actual link mechanism selected.

Grappel, R. D.↗

A Strategy for Successful Deep Space Information Transmission in Bad Weather

To retrieve data during bad weather, most missions slow the data rate to accommodate a certain amount of attenuation, or to allow for all but a very small percentage of all-weather conditions. This system has two well-known and balancing disadvantages: no data is received reliably during very bad weather, and the data rate is slowed during good weather. A system of processing is described that encodes the most critical data more heavily, allowing it to be retrieved under bad conditions, while at the same time allowing most of the data to be sent at a higher data rate.

Swanson, L.↗

Weather Intelligent Navigation Data and Models for Aviation Planning (WINDMAP)

WINDMAP addresses the emerging needs in the aviation community of providing real-time weather forecasting to improve the safety of low altitude aircraft operations. This is accomplished through the integration of real-time observations from autonomous systems, such as drones and urban air taxis, with numerical weather prediction models and flight management and safety systems. To solve this problem, several technical challenges have been identified. These include (1) developing autonomous UAS capable of conducting observations accurately and reliably; (2) determining the number and frequency of required observations and the sensitivity of these observations in data sparse regions of the lower atmosphere;(3) assimilating dense observational data into models in real-time with sufficient resolution and accuracy; (4) developing novel physics-based reduced order models capable of incorporating diverse data sets; and (5)integrating real-time forecasting into UTM and DAA (detect-and-avoid) architectures for path planning and navigation. The goal of this proposed effort is to demonstrate the value of using small UAS to collect measurements of the dynamic and thermodynamic properties of the lower atmosphere at scales that match or exceed the spatio-temporal resolution of today’s best numerical weather prediction models

Koushik Datta↗

Oh! I Slipped the Surly Bounds of Earth....and Ran into Space Weather!

Over the past decade the concept of space weather has been introduced and matured in both the scientific community and popular press. Likewise the concept of space climatology recently also is being advanced. Closely linked to these concepts are their impacts on ground- and space-based technological systems; one such system commonly mentioned is manned space flight exemplified by the Space Shuttle and International Space Station (ISS). From a manned space flight perspective, space weather and space climatology have significant effects on the amount of radiation exposure received by humans in space from the ambient high-energy charged particles present in interplanetary space and trapped in the geomagnetosphere. Whereas the impact of space weather for most technological systems is usually discrete and well correlated in time, the principle impact of space weather and space climatology is to increase the probability of latent cancer formation in thetraveler cohort. In this regard, while space weather may be the dominating factor for a given mission, over the life of a long-term program such as the Space Shuttle or ISS space climatology is the controlling factor of latent cancer risk. Human radiation exposure enhancements associated with space weather disturbances has been a concern among scientist and mission controllers since the inception of manned spaceflight nearly forty years ago. This led NASA to develop, in conjunction with the Environmental Science Services Administration s Space Disturbance Forecast Center and the USAF/AWS, the Solar Particle Alert Network (SPAN)-the foundation of an initial U.S. space weather monitoring and forecasting service. Since Apollo, routine space flight operations have evolved to include the use of space weather and climatology data provided through a world-wide network of operational space weather data services to predict and recommend actions to minimize astronaut radiation exposures. NASA Space Radiation Analysis Group (SRAG) flight controllers use real-time space weather data to detect and assess the impact of solar particle events, outer electron belt enhancements, the formation of pseudo-stable additional trapped radiation belts, and the solar cycle modulation of trapped radiation belts and galactic cosmic rays. Energetic particle data from GOES spacecraft are automatically ingested from NOAA Space Environment Center data servers and used to drive a model for the estimating the exposure to astronauts from solar particle events. While adequate for current manned space flight support, the existing operational space weather support system requires improvements to address the anticipated evolution in both the character of manned missions as well as space flight operations management. Necessary space weather data improvements include: reliably available (near) real-time space weather data on a fixed schedule via redundant access methods that support autonomous data acquisition by computer systems behind enterprise firewalls; and rapid transition of promising research sensors into operational systems.

Golightly, Michael J.↗

Integration of Dynamic Weather Routes Automation with Air/Ground Data Communications

The Dynamic Weather Routes (DWR) toolcontinuously and automatically analyzes airborne flights in en route airspace to identify flights where a route correction could save significant flight time and still avoid weather. A partnership between NASA, American Airlines (AA), and the FAA has enabled testing of DWR in real-world air traffic operations. En route Data Communications (Data Comm) could significantly reduce the controller and pilot workload needed to communicate DWR route changes under today’s voice-based operations and thereby enable more timely and frequent high-value corrections to weather avoidance routes. Sample data from the DWR trial at AA illustrate how Data Comm could improve DWR operations. Two operating concepts that integrate DWR with Data Comm are described:(1) route corrections are initiated by air traffic control and implemented using Airborne Reroutes and Data Comm, and (2) route corrections are initiated by the dispatcher and pilot and implemented via Data Comm. Both concepts align with Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) plans for implementation ofData Comm in en route airspace.

weather avoidance↗

Impact of SeaWinds Scatterometer Data on Numerical Weather Prediction

Scatterometer observations of the ocean surface wind speed and direction improve the depiction and prediction of storms at sea. These data are especially valuable where observations are otherwise sparse - mostly in the Southern Hemisphere and tropics, but also on occasion in the North Atlantic and North Pacific. The SeaWinds scatterometer on the QuikScat satellite was launched in June 1999 and it represents a dramatic departure in design from the other scatterometer instruments launched during the past decade (ERS-1,2 and NSCAT). More details on the SeaWinds instrument can be found in Atlas et a1 (2001) and Bloom et al. (1999). At the time of this writing, SeaWinds scatterometer data from the ADEOS 2 satellite are not yet available . Therefore this paper will be limited to results from the SeaWinds scatterometer on Quikscat. This presentation shows the influence of QuikScat data in data assimilation systems both from the NASA Data Assimilation Office (GEOS-3) and from NCEP (GDAS).

Atlas, Robert↗

Near-Real Time Data for Space Weather Analyses: Present Status and Future

Assessments of the present state and future evolution of the space environment heavily relies on timely access to appropriate environmental measurements. These, near real-time (nrt), measurements provide a direct assessment of local or remote space environment conditions, they contribute to a more global description of Space Weather parameters through assimilative models, and they provide essential input into forecasting models. Unlike meteorology, however, the provision of these data is not a mainstream activity in the sense that critical space environment data are often derived from research rather than operational sensors. In addition, space research is a relatively immature field, where SUbstantial gaps in our knowledge impede our ability to optimally use available data streams. In this presentation, we provide examples of presently employed nrt data streams and their utility. We further discuss challenges and opportunities associated with the present approach to space weather forecasting. Finally, an outlook toward the future will be presented.

Hesse, Michael↗

Receivers Gather Data for Climate, Weather Prediction

Signals from global positioning system (GPS) satellites are now being used for more than just location and navigation information. By looking at the radio waves from GPS satellites, a technology developed at NASA s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) not only precisely calculates its position, but can also use a technique known as radio occultation to help scientists study the Earth s atmosphere and gravity field to improve weather forecasts, monitor climate change, and enhance space weather research. The University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR), a nonprofit group of universities in Boulder, Colorado, compares radio occultation to the appearance of a pencil when viewed though a glass of water. The water molecules change the path of visible light waves so that the pencil appears bent, just like molecules in the air bend GPS radio signals as they pass through (or are occulted by) the atmosphere. Through measurements of the amount of bending in the signals, scientists can construct detailed images of the ionosphere (the energetic upper part of the atmosphere) and also gather information about atmospheric density, pressure, temperature, and moisture. Once collected, this data can be input into weather forecasting and climate models for weather prediction and climate studies. Traditionally, such information is obtained through the use of weather balloons. In 1998, JPL started developing a new class of GPS space science receivers, called Black Jack, that could take precise measurements of how GPS signals are distorted or delayed along their way to the receiver. By 2006, the first demonstration of a GPS radio occultation constellation was launched through a collaboration among Taiwan s National Science Council and National Space Organization, the U.S. National Science Foundation, NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and other Federal entities. Called the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC), JPL was responsible for designing COSMIC s primary instrument - based on its revolutionary Black Jack receiver.

Source record↗