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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 271 records · Page 15

Assessing the Level of Inter-Sectoral Policy Integration for Governance in the Water–Energy Nexus: A Comparative Study of Los Angeles and Beijing

As concerns around water scarcity and energy security increase, so too has interest in the connections between these resources, through a concept called the water–energy nexus. Efforts to improve the integration of water and energy management and to understand their cross-sector relevance are growing. In particular, this paper develops a better empirical understanding on the extent to which governance settings hinder and/or enable policy coherence between the water and energy sectors through a comparative analysis of two case studies, namely, Los Angeles County, California, the United States, and the city of Beijing, China. This paper examines the extent to which the institutional context enables policy coordination within (vertically) and between (horizontally) the water and energy sectors in Beijing and Los Angeles. To do so, we propose a framework for analyzing policy integration for the water energy nexus based on environmental policy integration (EPI). The results highlight the multiple and flexible approaches of EPI in nexus governance, not least with regards to horizontal and vertical policy integration, but also in terms of explicit (i.e., intended) and implicit (i.e., unintended) coordination. The level of nexus-focused policy integration is highly dependent on the motivation at the local context and the criteria to evaluate policy success in each sector.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Review and Analysis of Heat Transfer Correlations For Horizontal Pseudocritical CO 2 Heat Exchanger Applications

There is significant interest in the development of supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) power cycles because of the potential for smaller and more energy efficient systems than a steam Rankine cycle. Heat exchanger designs typically use empirical correlations, but the applicability of these correlations near the CO 2 critical point is a potential issue. Though numerous correlations have been proposed in the literature, there are some disagreements when it comes to the accuracy. The current work recognizes the role of thermophysical properties, and its impacts on the heat transfer correlations and cycle efficiency. Heat transfer correlations proposed for horizontal flow inside circular pipes were analyzed with the help of numerical simulations. Steady state RANS simulations were performed using SST k-w turbulence model to evaluate the Nusselt number empirical correlations. It was found that the most of correlations (except Yoon) produced a Nusselt number that differed significantly with the one predicted numerically. Some of the correlations were developed for pure forced convection regime and as mentioned in Lin et al. do not account for mixed convection or free convection effects. Based on the limited observation, it appears that Yoon et al. predictions match well with the numerically predicted Nusselt Numbers. However, further analysis is required understand the applicability of various correlations and is contingent on accurate measurements or predictions of wall temperature profiles in the axial and the circumferential directions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A Modeling Toolkit for Comparing AC and DC Electrical Distribution Efficiency in Buildings

Recently, there has been considerable research interest in the potential for DC distribution systems in buildings instead of the traditional AC distribution systems. Due to the need for performing power conversions between DC and AC electricity, DC distribution may provide electrical efficiency advantages in some systems. To support comparative evaluations of AC-only, DC-only, and hybrid AC/DC distribution systems in buildings, a new modeling toolkit called the Building Electrical Efficiency Analysis Model (BEEAM) was developed and is described in this paper. To account for harmonics in currents or voltages arising from nonlinear devices, the toolkit implements harmonic power flow, along with nonlinear device behavioral descriptions derived from empirical measurements. This paper describes the framework, network equations, device representations, and an implementation of the toolkit in an open source software package, including a component library and graphical interface for creating circuits. Simulations of electrical behavior and device and system efficiencies using the toolkit are compared with experimental measurements of a small office environment in a variety of operating and load configurations. A detailed analysis of uncertainty estimation is also provided. Key findings were that a comparison of predicted versus measured efficiencies and power losses in the validation testbed using the initial toolkit implementation predicted device- and system-level efficiencies with reasonably good accuracy under both balanced and unbalanced AC scenarios. An uncertainty analysis also revealed that the maximum estimated error for system efficiency across all scenarios was 3%, and measured and modeled system efficiency agreed within the experimental uncertainty in approximately half of the scenarios. Based on the correspondence between simulation and measurement, the toolkit is proposed by the authors as a potentially useful tool for comparing efficiency in AC, DC, and hybrid AC/DC distribution systems in buildings.

DC distribution↗

Empirical radius formulas for canonical neutron stars from bidirectionally selecting features of equations of state in extended Bayesian analyses of observational data

Significant advancement in Bayesian inference of nuclear equation of state (EOS) from gravitational wave and x-ray observations of neutron stars (NSs) has been made by the nuclear astrophysics community especially since GW170817. By extending the traditional Bayesian analysis which normally ends at presenting the marginalized posterior probability distribution functions (PDFs) of individual EOS parameters and their correlations (or sometimes only the Pearson correlation coefficients which are only reliably useful when the variables are linearly correlated while they are actually often not), we search for a data-driven and robust empirical formula for the radius 𝑅 1.4 of canonical NSs in terms of the characteristic EOS parameters (features). We also identify the single most important but currently poorly known EOS parameter for determining the 𝑅 1.4 . Using three regression-model-building methodologies: bidirectional stepwise feature selection, least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) regression, and neural network regression on a large set of posterior EOSs and the corresponding 𝑅 1.4 values inferred from earlier comprehensive Bayesian analyses of NS observational data, we systematically and rigorously develop the most probable 𝑅 1.4 formulas with varying statistical accuracy and technical complexity. Here, the most important EOS parameters for determining 𝑅 1.4 are found consistently in each of the feature selection processes to be (in order of decreasing importance): curvature 𝐾 sym , slope 𝐿, skewness 𝐽 sym of nuclear symmetry energy, skewness 𝐽 0 , incompressibility 𝐾 0 of symmetric nuclear matter, and the magnitude 𝐸 sym ⁡(𝜌 0 ) of symmetry energy at the saturation density 𝜌 0 of nuclear matter.

Bayesian methods↗

Accuracy, transferability, and computational efficiency of interatomic potentials for simulations of carbon under extreme conditions

Large-scale atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations provide an exceptional opportunity to advance the fundamental understanding of carbon under extreme conditions of high pressures and temperatures. However, the fidelity of these simulations depends heavily on the accuracy of classical interatomic potentials governing the dynamics of many-atom systems. Here, this study critically assesses several popular empirical potentials for carbon, as well as machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs), in their ability to simulate a range of physical properties at high pressures and temperatures, including the diamond equation of state, its melting line, shock Hugoniot, uniaxial compressions, and the structure of liquid carbon. Empirical potentials fail to accurately predict the behavior of carbon under high pressure–temperature conditions. In contrast, MLIPs demonstrate quantum accuracy, with Spectral Neighbor Analysis Potential (SNAP) and atomic cluster expansion (ACE) being the most accurate in reproducing the density functional theory results. ACE displays remarkable transferability despite not being specifically trained for extreme conditions. Furthermore, ACE and SNAP exhibit superior computational performance on graphics processing unit-based systems in billion atom MD simulations, with SNAP emerging as the fastest. In addition to offering practical guidance in selecting an interatomic potential with a fine balance of accuracy, transferability, and computational efficiency, this work also highlights transformative opportunities for groundbreaking scientific discoveries facilitated by quantum-accurate MD simulations with MLIPs on emerging exascale supercomputers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

United States Multi-Sector Dynamics land use and land cover base maps to support Human-Earth System Modeling

Datasets are land use and land cover (LULC) rasterized base maps at 30-m resolution for the conterminous United States (CONUS) for the years 2008, 2011, 2016, and 2019. Separate base maps are provided where LULC classifications are thematically congruent with Community Land Model (CLM), Land Use Harmonization (LUH2), and Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), and a detailed decomposition of all combined land classes into a Multisector Dynamics (MSD) LULC product. Base maps were developed using empirically derived satellite (National Land Cover Dataset, MODIS) and combined observation datasets (Crop Data Layer, Protected Areas Database) and represent the most up-to-date accurate information on LULC in the CONUS. The four datasets encompass four different landcover classification systems: MSD Layers - The raw landcover classes obtained from reclassifying NLCD and USDA Crop data layers into a respective landcover class GCAM Layers - The MSD classes mosaiced, reclassified, and combined into the respective GCAM landcover classes CLM Layers - Similar process to GCAM layers, but mosaiced, reclassified, and combined MSD layers to their respective PFT classes LUH2 Layers - Similar process to both GCAM and CLM Layers, but mosaiced, reclassified and combined the MSD layers to align with the respective states

Food↗

Empirical Validation of UBEM: An Assessment of Bias in Urban Building Energy Modeling for Chicago

Residential and commercial buildings currently account for 30% of total global final energy consumption. Urban-scale building energy modeling (UBEM) can enable scalable investments and unlock building improvements by quantifying energy, demand, emissions, and cost reductions of specific measures or packages for building-specific technologies in large geographic regions. While the sophistication of UBEM data sources and technologies have increased dramatically in the past decade, there remains a knowledge gap for empirical validation and sources of bias between building-specific energy models and measured data at varying geographic scales.As UBEM continues to develop, systemic analysis of accuracy, bias, and limitations of the resulting models is necessary to inform best practices and move toward standardization. These are characterized for the Automatic Building Energy Modeling (AutoBEM) software suite with an initial case study involving metered electricity consumption data from 247,188 buildings in Chicago, Illinois, USA - averaged across years 2019-2021 - compared to the following datasets: (1) the AutoBEM-generated nation-scale Model America version 2 (MAv2) data for 596,064 buildings, (2) tax assessor data for 579,829 buildings, (3) tax assessor data filled with MAv2, and (4) 102 representative dynamic archetypes. The accuracy is reported for every building type and vintage combination, along with multiple sources of bias for unique building descriptors. The AutoBEM simulation workflow produced energy consumption estimates that closely match aggregated metered electricity consumption data for different types of buildings constructed during various time periods at the city scale - with initial normalized mean bias error of 10.9%, and 1.1% after removing outliers. Contribution of statistically significant factors including building type, land use, age, and size to variance in UBEM bias is quantified.

Garg, Ankur↗

Mechanistic verification of empirical UO 2 fuel fracture models

Standard UO 2 fuel pellets used in light-water reactors fracture during irradiation due to the large thermal gradient in the radial direction. Over the decades, numerous researchers have explored fuel cracking from experimental and modeling points of view. To date, there have been both empirical and mechanistic approaches to predict the number of fragments that form in UO 2 . The empirical models only consider maximum power and burnup as inputs. Existing mechanistic approaches for normal operation have not accounted for irradiation effects. Here, this work employs a mechanistic fuel cracking model using the extended finite element method to explore radial crack formation while including a sensitivity analysis that accounts for the randomization of tensile strength within the fuel, the strength randomization criteria (uniform or volume-weighted Weibull), power ramping rates, computational mesh density, maximum power level, and irradiation (burnup) effects. The results indicate that the uncertainty in this mechanistic modeling approach envelopes the predicted values from three different empirical correlations in almost all cases. This means that, for computationally intensive analyses involving UO 2 fragmentation, the empirical correlations can be used. However, since the mechanistic calculations bound those of the empirical correlations, there is confidence in the applicability of the mechanistic approach developed in this work to generate a correlation for fuel types where limited data exists (e.g., doped-UO 2 , U 3 Si 2 ).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Preliminary modeling of triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS) structures using RELAP5-3D

With the United States Department of Energy (DOE)’s goal of quadrupling the nation’s nuclear energy supply by 2050, and with the Advanced Fuels Campaign pushing for new types of advanced reactor fuels and geometries, the need has arisen for new nuclear fuel designs. One such design is to swap out current nuclear fuel geometries in exchange for another type of geometry, called a Triply Periodic Minimal Surface (TPMS). TPMSs are self-supporting, infinitely repeating lattices—attributes that lend themselves well to additive manufacturing. These surfaces also possess enhanced heat transfer properties thanks to their internal area changes and large surface-area-to-volume ratios. Their drawback, however, is an increased pressure drop. Given the small amount of correlations and data (Reynolds numbers in the 2,000–8,000 range), and the minimal amount of experience so far obtained by modeling TPMS structures using 1D systems codes such as the Reactor Excursion and Leak Analysis Program (RELAP5-3D), further research into this topic was needed. Using data from the University of Wisconsin - Madison (UW), curve fits were created for both a Heat Transfer Coefficient (HTC) correlation and a Darcy friction factor empirical coefficient correlation. The curves’ coefficients and multipliers were then output and utilized in RELAP5-3D models of two upcoming experiments—Flow Loop for INFLUX Pressure drop (FLIP) and Microreactor Agile Non-nuclear Experimental Test (MAGNET)—aimed at increasing the available data for Reynolds numbers to the 16,000–36,000 range for TPMS structures. The models were run under the conditions utilized by a Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analysis performed by another group at Idaho National Laboratory. Only CFD pressure drop values were obtained from the FLIP test, and those values showed that the RELAP5-3D models had a lower rate of pressure increase in comparison to the CFD values. In addition, there seemed to be a vertical shift upward in the pressure drop for both models whenever the TPMS porosity decreased, and the RELAP5-3D models showed a higher vertical shift in comparison to the CFD values. The MAGNET results did not correspond to any CFD or experimental results against which they could be compared, so they were instead compared against the proposed CFD input conditions. These values were then compared with each other to make sure the model seemed to be performing as expected, paving the way for future tests that can be run for the purpose of further analyses and comparisons. The pressure drop increased with temperature and mass flow rate independently. The temperature change would decrease with increasing mass flow rate and temperature, which was just as we expected based on the fact that the lower viscosity and decreased density would result in higher friction and churning losses. The last metric that was assessed was the enthalpy flow change, which increased with increasing mass flow rate and decreasing temperature.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Meissner-London Susceptibility of Superconducting Right Circular Cylinders in an Axial Magnetic Field

Analysis of magnetic susceptibility of nonellipsoidal samples is a long-standing problem in experimental studies of magnetism and superconductivity. Here the quantitative description of the Meissner-London response (no Abrikosov vortices) of right circular cylinders in an axial magnetic field is given. Three-dimensional adaptive finite-element modeling is used to calculate the total magnetic moment ( m ) in a wide range of London penetration depth ( λ ) to sample size ( a ) ratios, λ /a. Furthermore, by fitting numerical solutions, the closed-form empirical magnetic susceptibility is obtained involving only sample dimensions and λ, thus providing a recipe for determining the London penetration depth from the precision measurements of the magnetic susceptibility. Detailed protocols of the experimental data analysis using the developed approach are given. The results can be readily extended to the most frequently used cuboid-shaped samples.

3-dimensional systems↗

Deep Kronecker neural networks: A general framework for neural networks with adaptive activation functions

Here we propose a new type of neural networks, Kronecker neural networks (KNNs), that form a general framework for neural networks with adaptive activation functions. KNNs employ the Kronecker product, which provides an efficient way of constructing a very wide network while keeping the number of parameters low. Our theoretical analysis reveals that under suitable conditions, KNNs induce a faster decay of the loss than that by the feed-forward networks. This is also empirically verified through a set of computational examples. Furthermore, under certain technical assumptions, we establish global convergence of gradient descent for KNNs. As a specific case, we propose the Rowdy activation function that is designed to get rid of any saturation region by injecting sinusoidal fluctuations, which include trainable parameters. The proposed Rowdy activation function can be employed in any neural network architecture like feed-forward neural networks, Recurrent neural networks, Convolutional neural networks etc. The effectiveness of KNNs with Rowdy activation is demonstrated through various computational experiments including function approximation using feed-forward neural networks, solution inference of partial differential equations using the physics-informed neural networks, and standard deep learning benchmark problems using convolutional and fully-connected neural networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Size Dependent Optical Properties and Structure of ZnS Nanocrystals Prepared from a Library of Thioureas

Here, ZnS nanocrystals (λ max (1S e -1S 3/2h ) = 260 - 320 nm, d = 1.7 - 10.0 nm) are synthesized from Zn(O 2 CR) 2 (O 2 CR = tetra-decanoate, oleate and 2-hexyldecanoate), N,N'-disubstituted and N,N',N'-trisubstituted thioureas, and P,P,N-trisubstituted phos-phanecarbothioamides. The influence of precursor substitution, ligand sterics, and reaction temperature on the final nanocrystal size were evaluated. By using saturated hydrocarbon solvents and saturated aliphatic carboxylate ligands, polymeric byproducts could be avoided and pure ZnS nanocrystals isolated. Elevated temperatures, slower precursor conversion reactivity and branched zinc 2-hexyldecanoate yield the largest ZnS nanocrystals. Carefully purified zinc carboxylate, rapidly converting precursors, and cooling the synthesis mixture following complete precursor conversion provide quasi spherical nanocrystals with the narrowest shape dispersity. Nanocrystal sizes were measured using pair distribution function (PDF) analysis of X-ray scattering and scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) and plotted versus the energy of their first excitonic optical absorption. The resulting empirical relationship provides a useful method to characterize the nanocrystal size from 1.7-4.0 nm using optical absorption spectroscopy.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Local Order in Liquid Gallium–Indium Alloys

Liquid metals such as eutectic Ga–In alloys have low melting points and low toxicity and are used in catalysis and micro-robotics. This study investigates the local atomic structure of liquid gallium-indium alloys by a combination of density measurements, diffraction data, and Monte-Carlo simulation via the empirical potential structure refinement approach. A high-Q shoulder observed in liquid Ga is related to structural rearrangements in the second coordination shell. Structure analysis found coordination environments close to a random distribution for eutectic Ga–In alloy, while electronic effects appear to dominate the mixing enthalpy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Tuning Shinkarev’s Bicycle: Separating the Parallel Cycles of Photosystem II Using Empirical Wavelet Transform

The oxygen-evolving complex (OEC) of Photosystem II (PSII) catalyzes light-driven water oxidation, a process necessary to sustain Earth’s atmospheric oxygen. Oxygen yields measured during single-turnover flash sequences exhibit period-four oscillations, which form the basis of the Joliot–Kok (S-state) model. However, when the oscillations of other processes contribute to the measured oxygen yield, fitting methods can conflate these signals and distort estimates of inefficiencies and initial S-state populations. To address this, we applied the empirical wavelet transform (EWT) as a model-independent method to separate overlapping oscillators and capture damping dynamics that are not well represented in Fourier analysis. We tested this framework on polarographic flash-oxygen traces from both our Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803 thylakoid membrane preparations and archival datasets on Chlorella and isolated chloroplasts. EWT consistently resolves the expected period-four component alongside a distinct binary oscillation. Simulations suggest that fitting this isolated period-four signal recovers VZAD parameters more accurately than analysis of raw traces, yielding different estimates for S-state distributions and transition probabilities. Notably, this binary oscillation aligns closely with semiquinone dynamics predicted solely from period-four fit parameters. These findings indicate that EWT can effectively distinguish complex signals in oxygen evolution, offering a framework potentially applicable to other spectroscopic probes of the S-state cycle.

Ferrari, Nicholas [Louisiana State Univ., Baton Ro↗

Finite-Time Analysis of Whittle Index based Q-Learning for Restless Multi-Armed Bandits with Neural Network Function Approximation

Whittle index policy is a heuristic to the intractable restless multi-armed bandits (RMAB) problem. Although it is provably asymptotically optimal, finding Whittle indices remains difficult. In this paper, we present Neural-Q-Whittle, a Whittle index based Q-learning algorithm for RMAB with neural network function approximation, which is an example of nonlinear two-timescale stochastic approximation with Q-function values updated on a faster timescale and Whittle indices on a slower timescale. Despite the empirical success of deep Q-learning, the non-asymptotic convergence rate of Neural-Q-Whittle, which couples neural networks with two-timescale Q-learning largely remains unclear. This paper provides a finite-time analysis of Neural-Q-Whittle, where data are generated from a Markov chain, and Q-function is approximated by a ReLU neural network. Our analysis leverages a Lyapunov drift approach to capture the evolution of two coupled parameters, and the nonlinearity in value function approximation further requires us to characterize the approximation error. Combing these provide Neural-Q-Whittle with convergence rate, where is the number of iterations.

reinforcement learning, structured learning, conve↗

Inexact Newton-CG algorithms with complexity guarantees

Abstract We consider variants of a recently developed Newton-CG algorithm for nonconvex problems (Royer, C. W. & Wright, S. J. (2018) Complexity analysis of second-order line-search algorithms for smooth nonconvex optimization. SIAM J. Optim., 28, 1448–1477) in which inexact estimates of the gradient and the Hessian information are used for various steps. Under certain conditions on the inexactness measures, we derive iteration complexity bounds for achieving $\epsilon $-approximate second-order optimality that match best-known lower bounds. Our inexactness condition on the gradient is adaptive, allowing for crude accuracy in regions with large gradients. We describe two variants of our approach, one in which the step size along the computed search direction is chosen adaptively, and another in which the step size is pre-defined. To obtain second-order optimality, our algorithms will make use of a negative curvature direction on some steps. These directions can be obtained, with high probability, using the randomized Lanczos algorithm. In this sense, all of our results hold with high probability over the run of the algorithm. We evaluate the performance of our proposed algorithms empirically on several machine learning models. Our approach is a first attempt to introduce inexact Hessian and/or gradient information into the Newton-CG algorithm of Royer & Wright (2018, Complexity analysis of second-order line-search algorithms for smooth nonconvex optimization. SIAM J. Optim., 28, 1448–1477).

Mathematics↗

Predicting Biological Cleanliness: An Empirical Bayes Approach for Spacecraft Bioburden Accounting

To comply with the international planetary protection policy set forth by the Committee on Space Research and NASA Agency level requirements, spacecraft destined to biologically sensitive planetary bodies have to minimize terrestrial biological contamination. Analysis, testing and inspection are the standard forward verification activities that are used to demonstrate compliance with the biological contamination requirements. For testing of spacecraft surface areas, a swab or wipe sample is collected from surfaces prior to last access and subsequently processed in the lab using NASA Approved Planetary Protection Methods for Culture Based Assays. Raw data resulting from this assay is then statistically treated employing a mathematical paradigm stemming from the 1970’s Viking Lander Project to generate the bioburden density and total microbial bioburden present. This standard approach arbitrarily accounts for error and provides an upper conservative bound as it reports the maximum number of spores estimated to be present on flight hardware surfaces. A bioburden density estimate factors in the following variables: the observed bioburden count, representative volume processed, sampling efficiencies. Notably, to account for error in the approach, a 0 observed count is arbitrarily changed to a count of 1 for each hardware grouping. The data generated by spacecraft bioburden verification campaigns in the past have resulted in <80% of wipes and <90% of swabs containing a bioburden count of 0. As such, having a robust and well documented statistical approach for dealing with the probability of low incident rates is necessary to be able to estimate spacecraft bioburden. Being able to statistically describe the bioburden distribution and associated confidence level is a gamechanger for the development of bioburden allocations during mission design and will allow for tighter management of risk throughout spacecraft build. Thus, Empirical Bayes statistical approach was evaluated to estimate the microbial bioburden on spacecraft to mitigate the aforementioned mathematical concerns and provide a probabilistic bioburden distribution of the flight hardware surface. For application of this approach to performing bioburden calculations, a range of non-informative prior assumptions on hardware surfaces are explored for Bayesian analyses while informative priors using posterior distributions from prior assays are utilized for Empirical Bayes analyses. Several non-informative priors are currently under investigation to assess fitness including use of these priors to serve as a foundation to build off of NASA specification values or a basis of risk to account for unknowns during the integration and testing process. Informative priors under consideration are generated using sampled bioburden values from hardware originating within like processing environments (e.g. vendor cleaning process or similar assembly process), temporal spacecraft status events as a prediction for hardware cleanliness of future samples, and heritage system bioburden actuals to predict allocation for subsequent missions. Informative priors and probabilistic bioburden distributions are then validated using data sets from the Mars Exploration Rover, Mars Science Laboratory, and InSight missions. Using Empirical Bayes approach to generate a probabilistic bioburden distribution as demonstrated through mission use cases provides a valid approach for use in the end-to-end requirements verification process.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗