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DOE OSTI2026

HDSense: An efficient method for ranking observable sensitivity

Identifying which observables most effectively constrain model parameters can be computationally prohibitive when considering full likelihoods of many correlated observables. This is especially important for, e.g., hadronization models, where high precision is required to interpret the results of collider experiments. We introduce the High-Dimensional Sensitivity (HDSense) score, a computationally efficient metric for ranking observable sets using only one-dimensional histograms. Derived by profiling over unknown correlations in the Fisher information framework, the score balances total information content against redundancy between observables. We apply HDSense to rank a set observables in terms of their constraining power with respect to five parameters of the Lund string model of hadronization implemented in Pythia using simulated leptonic collider events at the $Z$ pole. Validation against machine-learning--based full-likelihood approximations demonstrates that HDSense successfully identifies near-optimal observable subsets. The framework naturally handles data from multiple experiments with different acceptances and incorporates detector effects. While demonstrated on hadronization models, the methodology applies broadly to generic parameter estimation problems where correlations are unknown or difficult to model.

Assi, Benoît [Cincinnati U.] (ORCID:00000003092433↗

DOE OSTI2023

Snowmass 2021 Whitepaper: Proton Structure at the Precision Frontier

An overwhelming number of theoretical predictions for hadron colliders require parton distribution functions (PDFs), which are an important ingredient of theory infrastructure for the next generation of high-energy experiments. This whitepaper summarizes the status and future prospects for determination of high-precision PDFs applicable in a wide range of energies and experiments, in particular in precision tests of the Standard Model and in new physics searches at the high-luminosity Large Hadron Collider and Electron–Ion Collider. We discuss the envisioned advancements in experimental measurements, QCD theory, global analysis methodology, and computing that are necessary to bring unpolarized PDFs in the nucleon to the N2LO and N3LO accuracy in the QCD coupling strength. Special attention is given to the new tasks that emerge in the era of the precision PDF analysis, such as those focusing on the robust control of systematic factors both in experimental measurements and theoretical computations. Various synergies between experimental and theoretical studies of the hadron structure are explored, including opportunities for studying PDFs for nuclear and meson targets, PDFs with electroweak contributions or dependence on the transverse momentum, for incisive comparisons between phenomenological models for the PDFs and computations on discrete lattice, and for cross-fertilization with machine learning/AI approaches.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Colloidal Quantum Dot Photovoltaics: Current Progress and Path to Gigawatt Scale Enabled by Smart Manufacturing

Colloidal quantum dots (QDs) have lately been pursued with intense vigor for optoelectronic applications such as photovoltaics (PV), flexible electronics, displays, mid-infrared photodetectors, lasers, and single-photon emitters. These nanometer-sized semiconducting crystals can be suitably mass-produced and size-tuned via cost-effective solution-based synthetic routes to operate in the quantum size confinement regime, endowing them with a wide array of exotic optical and electronic properties. While the first potential market entry could be in displays and in niche applications such as “internet-of-things”, ultimately, the technology has the potential to influence large-scale terrestrial power generation, because it is amenable to high-throughput synthesis from Earth-abundant materials and large-area solution-based coating techniques and can be air-stable. In this Review, we chronicle the recent advances that have propelled QD PV toward commercialization and highlight potential areas for further progress. We present an account of the material compositions being explored as QDs and their various benefits, major chemical passivation and doping strategies that have been developed to allay QD surface traps, and advanced device designs deployed to maximize charge extraction. We also discuss pathways to >20% efficient QD PV and describe recent advances in high-precision and autonomous synthesis of such materials. With recent demonstrations of scalable synthesis of high-quality QDs, smart manufacturing of QDs and QD solids, and fabrication of stable solar cells under ambient conditions, we suggest that the technology is on the road to achieving maturity and technological relevance and that gigawatt per year distributed panel production sites may be within reach.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Geolocated dataset of Chinese overseas development finance

China is now the world's largest source of bilateral development finance and will likely continue to play a prominent role in sovereign lending through its multi-billion-dollar Belt and Road Initiative. This paper introduces major methodological enhancements in tracking this finance: the use of an original application programming interface (API) to gathers news in multiple languages; double verification of every record to ensure every finance commitment has been formalized; and visual geo-location to trace the precise footprint of every project. The resulting dataset enables economic, environmental, and social analyses with high-precision spatial accuracy, as well as spatiotemporal monitoring by project stakeholders and enhanced planning by project managers. It covers the years 2008-2019 to enable analysis before and after the announcement of the Belt and Road Initiative. It includes 862 finance commitments, 669 of which have geographic location, to 94 countries across the world.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantum Gravity and Laser Interferometry: Towards Observable Predictions

Understanding quantum gravity remains one of the deepest challenges in modern physics, as direct experimental access to Planck-scale effects is beyond current technological reach. However, recent theoretical advances indicate that quantum fluctuations of spacetime may produce measurable effects in precision experiments, particularly near causal horizons. This opens new avenues for testing quantum gravity phenomena through high-precision measurement techniques. This dissertation develops multiple theoretical models to characterize these effects and examines their potential observational signatures in future gravitational wave interferometers. We begin by investigating the role of quantum fluctuations in near-horizon geometries through the lens of the AdS/CFT correspondence, which provides a powerful framework for understanding the interplay between quantum field theory and general relativity via holographic principles. By modeling stochastic energy-momentum sources in Rindler-AdS spacetime, we demonstrate that vacuum fluctuations transform the Einstein equations into a Langevin-type stochastic differential equation, leading to potentially observable fluctuations in photon traversal times. Extending this approach to Minkowski spacetime, we establish a correspondence between gravitational shockwaves and fluid dynamics, showing that near-horizon perturbations satisfy an equation analogous to that governing incompressible fluids, thereby reinforcing the membrane paradigm and hydrodynamic analogies in the context of the fluid/gravity duality. Furthermore, we construct the covariant phase space of a spherically symmetric causal diamond in Minkowski spacetime, identifying two fundamental charges that govern its evolution. These results provide a foundation for quantizing causal horizons and understanding their microscopic degrees of freedom. Building upon these theoretical developments, we further examine a related stochastic phenomenon: the gravitational wave memory background arising from the cumulative memory steps produced by supermassive black hole mergers. After reviewing the standard stochastic gravitational wave background, gravitational memory effects, and BMS symmetries, we model the stochastic memory background using a Brownian motion framework. We show that while the cumulative memory background initially appears above the sensitivity curve of space-based interferometers like LISA, the realistic subtraction of individually resolvable merger events substantially suppresses the residual signal, making its detection more challenging. This highlights the critical importance of source subtraction when evaluating the detectability of gravitational memory effects. By bridging fundamental theory with experimental prospects, this dissertation contributes to the ongoing effort to uncover the quantum nature of spacetime through precision measurement techniques. Whether through detecting quantum spacetime fluctuations, gravitational memory backgrounds, or probing the symmetries of causal horizons, the pursuit of observable quantum gravity phenomena continues to expand the frontiers of both theory and experiment.

Zhang, Yiwen [Caltech] (ORCID:0000000323559416)↗

DOE OSTI2021

Precision Mass Measurements of Neutron-Rich Scandium Isotopes Refine the Evolution of N = 32 and N = 34 Shell Closures

In this work, we report high-precision mass measurements of 50–55 Sc isotopes performed at the LEBIT facility at NSCL and at the TITAN facility at TRIUMF. Our results provide a substantial reduction of their uncertainties and indicate significant deviations, up to 0.7 MeV, from the previously recommended mass values for 53–55 Sc. The results of this work provide an important update to the description of emerging closed-shell phenomena at neutron numbers N = 32 and N = 34 above proton-magic Z = 20. In particular, they finally enable a complete and precise characterization of the trends in ground state binding energies along the N = 32 isotone, confirming that the empirical neutron shell gap energies peak at the doubly magic 52 Ca. Moreover, our data, combined with other recent measurements, do not support the existence of a closed neutron shell in 55 Sc at N = 34. The results were compared to predictions from both ab initio and phenomenological nuclear theories, which all had success describing N = 32 neutron shell gap energies but were highly disparate in the description of the N = 34 isotone.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Improved uranium isotopic ratio determinations for the liquid sampling-atmospheric pressure glow discharge orbitrap mass spectrometer by use of moving average processing

The liquid sampling-atmospheric pressure glow discharge (LS-APGD) is a versatile combined atomic and molecular (CAM) ionization source capable of ionizing elemental species, small polar compounds, low-polarity polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, and proteins. While the LS-APGD has been proven capable of determining the 235U/238U isotope ratio in enriched and natural uranium, recent efforts have strived to reduce the analysis time of individual measurements by employing higher-order data processing techniques, specifically, moving average methods. Additionally, the use of a moving average (of data windows of various widths) improves the precision of the ratio measurements and reduces the number of scans needed to be collected to generate high-precision results. Additionally, use of the moving average minimizes the quantity of sample that needs to be analyzed while reducing the measurement time. These reductions have allowed isotope ratio (IR) determinations to be made using injections instead of direct infusion of the analyte. For example, employing a 40-point window width in the moving average to direct infusion data reduced the percent relative standard deviation (% RSD) of the 235U/238U values from 3.4% to 0.5%. For the injection of a 100 μL aliquot, the % RSD was reduced from 5.3% to 0.7%.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Nuclide inventory validation: radiochemical assay data quality and modeling challenges in benchmark models development

Oak Ridge National Laboratory is conducting radiochemical assay experiments, using high-precision analytical protocols validated with a comprehensive quality assurance plan, to expand the nuclide inventory validation basis for high burnup spent nuclear fuel. Preliminary measurement data for key actinides and fission products in two pressurized water reactor spent fuel samples are being used to investigate the impact of measurement data uncertainty on the sample burnup estimation. These measurement data are also being used to examine the impact of assumptions applied when developing best-estimate computational models to simulate fuel irradiation history. The simulations are being performed using depletion capabilities in the SCALE code system. Comparison of calculated and measured nuclide concentrations shows good agreement for the considered nuclides. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Precision spectroscopy of fast, hot, exotic isotopes using machine-learning-assisted event-by-event Doppler correction

We propose an experimental scheme for performing sensitive, high-precision laser spectroscopy studies on fast exotic isotopes. By inducing a stepwise resonant ionization of the atoms traveling inside an electric field and subsequently detecting the ion and the corresponding electron, time-, and position-sensitive measurements of the resulting particles can be performed. Using a mixture density network, we can leverage this information to predict the initial energy of individual atoms and thus apply a Doppler correction of the observed transition frequencies on an event-by-event basis. We conduct numerical simulations of the proposed experimental scheme and show that kHz-level uncertainties can be achieved for ion beams produced at extreme temperatures ( > 10 8 K), with energy spreads as large as 10 keV and nonuniform velocity distributions. The ability to perform in-flight spectroscopy, directly on highly energetic beams, offers unique opportunities to study short-lived isotopes with lifetimes in the millisecond range and below, produced in low quantities, in hot and highly contaminated environments, without the need for cooling techniques. Such species are of marked interest for nuclear structure, astrophysics, and new physics searches. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Udrescu, S. M. (ORCID:000000021989576X)↗

DOE OSTI2022

AmeriFlux US-Bsg Burns Sagebrush

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Bsg Burns Sagebrush. Site Description - The site was established in 2012 and is part of a NOAA observation network for high precision measurements of carbon dioxide concentrations. It is located about 60 km southwest of Burns, Oregon in the Oregon High Desert. The vegetation in this area is dominated by sagebrush. The sampling inlets are at the heights of 18.5, 28.5, and 38.5 m. Gas analysis is performed with a Picarro 2302 Cavity Ringdown Spectrometer and a Li-Cor 7200 enclosed path IRGA. The tower is also equipped with a set of meteorological instruments, including an HMP sensor, radiation sensors (incoming and diffuse PAR, Net radiometer), and a CSAT3 sonic anemometer. This site is also part of the PhenoCam network operated by Harvard University and the University of New Hampshire.

Still, Chris↗

DOE OSTI2024

CAST Technical Bulletin #002: Time Synchronization for Next Generation Power Delivery

This technical bulletin gives a description of the updated effort on Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) Center for Alternative Synchronization and Timing (CAST) project’s work investigating a terrestrial-based high precision timing infrastructure intended for time synchronization of the next generation power delivery infrastructures. We will provide a high-level description of the CAST application context, key protocols, critical architectural issues, and how GPS/timing data traverse through the system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

The MUSE beamline calorimeter

The MUon Scattering Experiment (MUSE) was motivated by the proton radius puzzle arising from the discrepancy between muonic hydrogen spectroscopy and electron–proton measurements. The MUSE physics goals also include testing lepton universality, precisely measuring two-photon exchange contribution, and testing radiative corrections. MUSE addresses these physics goals through simultaneous measurement of high precision cross sections for electron–proton and muon–proton scattering using a mixed-species beam. The experiment will run at both positive and negative beam polarities. Measuring precise cross sections requires understanding both the incident beam energy and the radiative corrections. For this purpose, a lead-glass calorimeter was installed at the end of the beam line in the MUSE detector system. Here, in this article, we discuss the detector specifications, calibration and performance. We demonstrate that the detector performance is well reproduced by simulation, and meets experimental requirements.

Calorimeter↗

DOE OSTI2023

Planar tunneling spectroscopy on van der Waals superconductors with AlO x junction grown by atomic layer deposition

Here, we demonstrate a method for fabricating a high-quality AlO x -based planar tunnel junction using atomic layer deposition, integrated with the exfoliation and transfer techniques for van der Waals (vdW) materials. The tunneling spectroscopy results on exfoliated Bi 2 Sr 2 CaCu 2 O 8+δ and 2H-NbSe 2 vdW superconductors are highly consistent with that obtained by ultrahigh vacuum scanning tunneling spectroscopy on atomically clean surfaces. The planar tunneling devices enable high-precision spectroscopy over a wide range of temperatures and magnetic fields and reveal novel features and stark contrast between high-T C cuprates and conventional superconductors. This method represents a universally applicable technique for probing the electronic structure of various two-dimensional vdW materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2026

Project 8 apparatus for cyclotron radiation emission spectroscopy with 83m Kr and tritium

Cyclotron Radiation Emission Spectroscopy (CRES) is a novel technique for the precise measurement of relativistic electron energy. This technique is being employed by the Project 8 collaboration for measuring a high-precision tritium beta decay spectrum to perform a frequency-based measurement of the neutrino mass. In this work, we describe the Project 8 Phase II apparatus, used for the detection of the CRES signal from the conversion electrons of 83m Kr and the first CRES measurement of the beta-decay spectrum of molecular tritium.

Neutrino detectors↗

DOE OSTI2022

Differentiable Preisach Modeling for Characterization and Optimization of Particle Accelerator Systems with Hysteresis

Future improvements in particle accelerator performance are predicated on increasingly accurate online modeling of accelerators. Hysteresis effects in magnetic, mechanical, and material components of accelerators are often neglected in online accelerator models used to inform control algorithms, even though reproducibility errors from systems exhibiting hysteresis are not negligible in high precision accelerators. Here, we combine the classical Preisach model of hysteresis with machine learning techniques to efficiently create nonparametric, high-fidelity models of arbitrary systems exhibiting hysteresis. We experimentally demonstrate how these methods can be used in situ, where a hysteresis model of an accelerator magnet is combined with a Bayesian statistical model of the beam response, allowing characterization of magnetic hysteresis solely from beam-based measurements. Finally, we explore how using these joint hysteresis-Bayesian statistical models allows us to overcome optimization performance limitations that arise when hysteresis effects are ignored.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Explicit block encodings of boundary value problems for many-body elliptic operators

Simulation of physical systems is one of the most promising use cases of future digital quantum computers. In this work we systematically analyze the quantum circuit complexities of block encoding the discretized elliptic operators that arise extensively in numerical simulations for partial differential equations, including high-dimensional instances for many-body simulations. When restricted to rectangular domains with separable boundary conditions, we provide explicit circuits to block encode the many-body Laplacian with separable periodic, Dirichlet, Neumann, and Robin boundary conditions, using standard discretization techniques from low-order finite difference methods. To obtain high-precision, we introduce a scheme based on periodic extensions to solve Dirichlet and Neumann boundary value problems using a high-order finite difference method, with only a constant increase in total circuit depth and subnormalization factor. We then present a scheme to implement block encodings of differential operators acting on more arbitrary domains, inspired by Cartesian immersed boundary methods. We then block encode the many-body convective operator, which describes interacting particles experiencing a force generated by a pair-wise potential given as an inverse power law of the interparticle distance. This work provides concrete recipes that are readily translated into quantum circuits, with depth logarithmic in the total Hilbert space dimension, that block encode operators arising broadly in applications involving the quantum simulation of quantum and classical many-body mechanics.

Kharazi, Tyler [University of California, Berkeley↗

DOE OSTI2025

Stripline Block Sensor System

The Long Baseline Neutrino Facility requires a secondary sensor system to aid in the installation and replacement of the stripline blocks. These blocks are responsible for delivering large amounts of current to the horn and must be installed with high precision to avoid possible physical damage. There are many constraints due to the modules' surroundings, such as small clearances and a highly radioactive environment. Existing systems have already been implemented within the process; however, these systems offer limited information, leaving much risk during operations. This calls for a sufficiently accurate sensor system, which has a small space requirement and provides valuable information throughout the replacement period. A variety of methods and technologies were explored to provide an applicable approach to the issue. The proposed solution consisted of the use of retroreflective and target, however, it cannot provide positional feedback throughout the entire process. A proposed alternative utilizes a three-dimensional indoor positioning system to provide the operator with real-time positioning and rotational information. Sensors placed on the module and stripline would communicate with fixed receivers surrounding the target hall to provide precise positional feedback. However, this solution may still contain line-of-sight issues as well as installation complications due to the radioactive environment. Future work would consist of finding vendors capable of providing technology that fits our constraints, proof of concept tests for both solutions, implementation planning, and trials within the target hall itself. Due to its ability to provide continuous positional and rotational feedback, the indoor positioning system is the most suitable solution for accurately installing the stripline block.

Espinoza, David [Unlisted, US]↗

DOE OSTI2022

Developing nanometer scale, atomically precise metallo-catalysts with Molecular Lego

We propose to create atomically precise, highly robust, nanometer scale macromolecules that organize biomimetic metal binding groups in designed three-dimensional pockets to accelerate specific polymerization reactions. These atomically precise catalysts will create atomically precise polymers with improved mechanical and environmental properties from renewable building blocks. We seek to create and study nanometer scale catalysts that mimic metallo-enzymes in their activity and selectivity because these larger catalysts will be able to make more extensive non-covalent contacts with the transition state of the growing polymer. These catalysts will have extended lifetimes because they will better protect the metals and higher activity because additional reactive groups can be brought in close contact with the active site to enhance reactivity. They will be far more tolerant to extremes of temperature and will not denature in non-aqueous solvents because they are held together by multiple, strong, covalent bonds. Our approach to catalysts could be used to develop catalysts to replace noble metal-based catalysts when targeting other reactions, because the geometry of the active site enforced by the Molecular Lego scaffolding will access new reactivity, mimicking how nature uses earth abundant metals for much of its catalysis. We will initially target Lewis acid-based catalysts that assemble aliphatic polyesters with improved stereoselectivity, tacticity and complex alternation of monomers. Aliphatic polyesters have received growing attention as attractive, environmentally benign, and sustainable alternatives to polymers developed from petroleum feedstocks. Aliphatic polyesters are environmentally friendly because they undergo facile hydrolytic degradation to benign products, and they have excellent properties and high biocompatibility. We will assemble these catalysts using unique “Spiroligomers” (aka Molecular Lego) chemistry developed in the Schafmeister group combined with the organometallic chemistry expertise of the Dobereiner group. Polymers are an attractive synthetic target of nanoscale atomically precise catalysts because their resulting structure, stereochemistry and tacticity has profound impact on their properties (crystalline vs amorphous) and provides a readout of the catalytic mechanism. Polymer synthesis also serves as an example of “atomically precise manufacturing” where atomically precise nanoscale catalysts construct polymers with atomic precision at increasing length scales.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗