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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Fuel-Based Nash Bargaining Approach for Adaptive Signal Control in an N -Player Cooperative Game

This paper presents a fuel-based game-theoretic approach for adaptive signal control. Our controller applies Nash bargaining (NB) in an n-player cooperative game to identify optimal phasing splits considering future traffic demands. The fuel-based NB controller utilizes an objective function that combines operational measures (delays and stops) with fuel consumption measures at intersections. The proposed controller was encoded in Python and then implemented and evaluated in a VISSIM microscopic traffic simulation model in an intersection with increasing volumes. The performance of the NB controller was compared to a traditional actuated control as the baseline. The results show that the NB controller was able to achieve superior environmental gains with a 17% saving in fuel consumption and a 17% reduction in CO emissions. In addition, the proposed controller was capable of maintaining acceptable operational conditions as it achieved a 20% reduction in delay, 8% reduction in the number of stops, and 8% reduction in queue lengths compared to the actuated controller. Compared to similar studies that applied NB for adaptive signal control, our fuel-based NB controller stands out as a promising approach to significantly improve fuel consumption at signalized intersections.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2026

Using Machine Learning to Understand Electric and Hybrid Vehicles Ownership in Burdened and Nonburdened Communities

Transitioning to electric and hybrid vehicles (EHVs) for all communities is a pivotal step toward sustainable transportation and environmental conservation. This paper aims to understand the adoption of EHVs, focusing on burdened communities (BCs) in the United States. The EHV ownership-based analysis combines two datasets—behavioral data from the Puget Sound Regional Travel Survey integrated with BCs (Justice40) data covering transportation insecurity, environmental burden, social vulnerability, health vulnerability, and climate and disaster risk burden. After creating this unique database, descriptive analysis and modeling are used to analyze the data and predict EHV ownership in the future. Specifically, we use a new method that combines particle swarm optimization (PSO) with a stacking model named PSO-Stacking, which incorporates heterogeneous base learners of machine learning and deep learning. PSO applies a customized objective function to select the optimal hyperparameters for heterogeneous learners within the stacking model, effectively addressing challenges such as multicollinearity, data imbalance, nonlinearity, and overfitting. The proposed solution covers more accurate results than standard benchmark models for EHV ownership in BCs and non-BCs. In addition, the results of the PSO-Stacking method are explained using the local interpretable model-agnostic explanations technique. Results show a negative correlation between the BCs indicators, that is, higher transportation insecurity associated with lower EHV ownership. Furthermore, BCs have higher future climate risk scores, diesel particulate matter levels, and PM2.5 in the air than non-BCs because of higher conventional vehicle ownership. These communities are at higher risk and can benefit from electrification, EV infrastructure, and EV policies to address environmental challenges.

Aslam, Zeeshan [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2023

Chapter 6: Surrogate Model Guided Optimization Algorithms and Their Potential Use in Autonomous Experimentation

This chapter reviews the basics of derivative-free optimization methods based on surrogate models and outlines how these methods can straightforwardly be applied to autonomously steering experimentation. It summarizes general solution approaches that use surrogate models and active learning. Surrogate modeling is often combined with active learning strategies, where in each iteration of the optimization algorithm, the surrogate model is used to identify which new inputs should be evaluated next and given the new input-output pair, the surrogate model is updated. Regardless of feasibility, the surrogate models for the constraints are updated in each iteration of the optimization algorithm, while the surrogate model for the objective function is only updated when a feasible point has been found. Similarly to the case of computationally cheap constraints, the surrogate models of the constraints should be incorporated into the definition of the auxiliary optimization problem that is solved to select new sample points.

active learning↗
DOE OSTI2024

Binary Quantum Control Optimization with Uncertain Hamiltonians

Optimizing the controls of quantum systems plays a crucial role in advancing quantum technologies. The time-varying noises in quantum systems and the widespread use of inhomogeneous quantum ensembles raise the need for high-quality quantum controls under uncertainties. In this paper, we consider a stochastic discrete optimization formulation of a discretized binary optimal quantum control problem involving Hamiltonians with predictable uncertainties. We propose a sample-based reformulation that optimizes both risk-neutral and risk-averse measurements of control policies, and solve these with two gradient-based algorithms using sum-up-rounding approaches. Furthermore, we discuss the differentiability of the objective function and prove upper bounds of the gaps between the optimal solutions to binary control problems and their continuous relaxations. We conduct numerical simulations on various sized problem instances based on two applications of quantum pulse optimization; we evaluate different strategies to mitigate the impact of uncertainties in quantum systems. In conclusion, we demonstrate that the controls of our stochastic optimization model achieve significantly higher quality and robustness compared with the controls of a deterministic model.

conditional value-at-risk (CVaR)↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Novel Noise-Aware Classical Optimizer for Variational Quantum Algorithms

A key component of variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) is the choice of classical optimizer employed to update the parameterization of an ansatz. It is well recognized that quantum algorithms will, for the foreseeable future, necessarily be run on noisy devices with limited fidelities. Thus, the evaluation of an objective function (e.g., the guiding function in the quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) or the expectation of the electronic Hamiltonian in variational quantum eigensolver (VQE)) required by a classical optimizer is subject not only to stochastic error from estimating an expected value but also to error resulting from intermittent hardware noise. Model-based derivative-free optimization methods have emerged as popular choices of a classical optimizer in the noisy VQA setting, based on empirical studies. However, these optimization methods were not explicitly designed with the consideration of noise. In this work we adapt recent developments from the “noise-aware numerical optimization” literature to these commonly used derivative-free model-based methods. We introduce the key defining characteristics of these novel noise-aware derivative-free model-based methods that separate them from standard model-based methods. In conclusion, we study an implementation of such noise-aware derivative-free model-based methods and compare its performance on demonstrative VQA simulations to classical solvers packaged in scikit-quant.

classical optimizers↗
DOE OSTI2022

PWR loading pattern optimization with reinforcement learning

The core loading pattern optimization problem belongs to the class of combinatorial optimization problem and has been studied since the dawn of commercial nuclear energy industry. It is characterized by multiple objectives and constraints, with a very high number of candidate patterns, which makes it impossible to solve explicitly. Stochastic optimization methodologies including Genetic Algorithms and Simulated Annealing are used by different nuclear utilities and vendors to perform fuel cycle reload design. Nevertheless, hand-designed solutions continue to be the prevalent method in the industry. To improve the state-of-the-art core reload patterns, we aim to create a method as scalable as possible, that agrees with the designer's goal of performance and safety. To help in this task Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL), in particular Proximal Policy Optimization is leveraged. DRL has recently experienced a strong impetus from its successes applied to games, sometimes even reaching 'super-human' performances. This paper lays out the foundation of this method and proposes to study the behavior of several hyper-parameters that influence the DRL algorithm. The algorithm is highly dependent on multiple factors such as an exploration/exploitation trade-off that manifests through different parameters such as the number of loading patterns seen and the number of samples collected before a policy update, but also the shape of the objective function derived for the core design. Experimental results also demonstrate the effectiveness of the method in finding high-quality solutions from scratch within a reasonable amount of time. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2023

End-to-End Pipeline for Trigger Detection on Hit and Track Graphs

There has been a surge of interest in applying deep learning in particle and nuclear physics to replace labor-intensive offline data analysis with automated online machine learning tasks. This paper details a novel AI-enabled triggering solution for physics experiments in Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider and future Electron-Ion Collider. The triggering system consists of a comprehensive end-to-end pipeline based on Graph Neural Networks that classifies trigger events versus background events, makes online decisions to retain signal data, and enables efficient data acquisition. Here, the triggering system first starts with the coordinates of pixel hits lit up by passing particles in the detector, applies three stages of event processing (hits clustering, track reconstruction, and trigger detection), and labels all processed events with the binary tag of trigger versus background events. By switching among different objective functions, we train the Graph Neural Networks in the pipeline to solve multiple tasks: the edge-level track reconstruction problem, the edge-level track adjacency matrix prediction, and the graph-level trigger detection problem. We propose a novel method to treat the events as track-graphs instead of hit-graphs. This method focuses on intertrack relations and is driven by underlying physics processing. As a result, it attains a solid performance (around 72% accuracy) for trigger detection and outperforms the baseline method using hit-graphs by 2% higher accuracy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian optimization scheme for the design of a nanofibrous high power target

High Power Targetry (HPT) R&D is critical in the context of increasing beam intensity and energy for next generation accelerators. Many target concepts and novel materials are being developed and tested for their ability to withstand extreme beam environments; the HPT R&D Group at Fermilab is developing an electrospun nanofiber material for this purpose. The performance of these nanofiber targets is sensitive to their construction parameters, such as the packing density of the fibers. Lowering the density improves the survival of the target, but reduces the secondary particle yield. Optimizing the lifetime and production efficiency of the target poses an interesting design problem, and in this paper we study the applicability of Bayesian optimization to its solution. We first describe how to encode the nanofiber target design problem as the optimization of an objective function, and how to evaluate that function with computer simulations. We then explain the optimization loop setup. Thereafter, we present the optimal design parameters suggested by the algorithm, and close with discussions of limitations and future refinements.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Field Performance of Commercial Building Load Flexibility Using Model Predictive Control

Model Predictive Control (MPC) applied to buildings is starting to see some commercial adoption by companies. However, it is hard to estimate if relative energy cost savings are enough to justify the cost of MPC implementation with few reported demonstrations. In small commercial and residential buildings, a one size-fits-all solution can help reduce implementation costs, while in very large buildings or districts the potential energy cost savings magnitude can cover more tailored solutions. This estimation becomes harder for medium to large commercial buildings, where a one-size-fits-all solution cannot be adopted and potential energy cost savings might not be sufficient to cover a tailored solution. Therefore, value propositions in addition to energy efficiency alone can make MPC technology more attractive through additional energy cost savings. One such value proposition is load shifting in response to dynamic electricity prices. On this aspect, MPC is a key technology to unlock building thermal mass for energy flexibility in response to electric grid conditions. This study shows the experimental results of MPC control of an office building in Berkeley, where different dynamic electricity price profiles were used in the MPC objective function to shift the building load and to calculate hypothetical electricity costs. Results show potential 50% cost savings with respect to the existing controller with the dynamic price scenario.

Zanetti, Ettore↗
DOE OSTI2020

Fast Dynamic Aperture Optimization with Reversal Integration

A fast method for dynamic aperture (DA) optimization of storage rings has been developed through the use of reversal integration. Even if dynamical systems have an exact reversal symme- try, a numerical forward integration di ers from its reversal. For chaotic trajectories, cumulative round-o errors are scaled, which results in an exponential growth in the di erence. The exponential e ect, intrinsically associated with the Lyapunov exponent, is a generic indicator of chaos because it represents the sensitivity of chaotic motion to an initial condition. A chaos indicator of the charged particle motion is then obtained by comparing the forward integrations of particle trajectories with corresponding reversals, a.k.a. \backward integrations." The indicator was con rmed to be ob- servable through short-term particle tracking simulations. Therefore, adopting it as an objective function could speed up optimization. The DA of the National Synchrotron Light Source II storage ring, and another test di raction-limited light source ring, were optimized using this method for the purpose of demonstration.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

TEAM project review, year 1

This note summarizes our research activities within the TEAM project between October 2019 and November 2020, funded by the ASCR Advanced Research in Quantum Computing program. Three research efforts have begun during the review period. The first effort, resulting in the JuQBox software, implemented a novel algorithm for optimal control in closed quantum systems based on symplectic time integration and exact calculations of the gradient of the discretized objective function. In our second effort, resulting in a code called Quandary, we consider the optimal control problem for open quantum systems. Here the evolution of the quantum system is modeled by the Lindblad master equation. In this code, we are considering both the realization of quantum gates as well as the optimal reset problem in which a general mixed quantum state is driven towards its ground state. In our third research effort we have begun the development of computational software for what we call Lindblad learning, i.e. the process of characterizing the equations governing our quantum computing hardware.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Streaming Generalized Canonical Polyadic Tensor Decompositions

In this paper, we develop a method which we call OnlineGCP for computing the Generalized Canonical Polyadic (GCP) tensor decomposition of streaming data. GCP differs from traditional canonical polyadic (CP) tensor decompositions as it allows for arbitrary objective functions which the CP model attempts to minimize. This approach can provide better fits and more interpretable models when the observed tensor data is strongly non-Gaussian. In the streaming case, tensor data is gradually observed over time and the algorithm must incrementally update a GCP factorization with limited access to prior data. In this work, we extend the GCP formalism to the streaming context by deriving a GCP optimization problem to be solved as new tensor data is observed, formulate a tunable history term to balance reconstruction of recently observed data with data observed in the past, develop a scalable solution strategy based on segregated solves using stochastic gradient descent methods, describe a software implementation that provides performance and portability to contemporary CPU and GPU architectures and integrates with Matlab for enhanced usability, and demonstrate the utility and performance of the approach and software on several synthetic and real tensor data sets.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

HAIMOS Ensemble Forecasts for Intra-day and Day- Ahead GHI, DNI and Ramps

The objective of this research is to develop a hybrid physics-based/data-driven forecast model to improve direct normal and global horizontal irradiance (DNI and GHI) prediction for horizons ranging from 1 to 72 hours. Project objectives also address key gaps in state-of-the-art solar forecasting: accurate probabilistic solar forecasts and the forecasting of large irradiance ramps (ramp onset and magnitude). The proposed model ensembles Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) forecasts, determinist physics-based algorithms, and new-generation cloud cover products (high-resolution rapid refresh satellite images and Large Eddy Simulations). The result is the Hybrid Adaptive Input Model Objective Selection (HAIMOS) ensemble model. HAIMOS blends state of the art machine learning methodologies with physics-based models for cloud cover and cloud optical depth forecasts. The technical activities followed a two-pronged strategy. First, the preprocessing of data, the selection of inputs to the nonlinear approximators, the type of approximator and objective functions, and post-processing ensembling techniques included in HAIMOS were all optimized adaptively to find the best model for a specific goal (reduce DNI/GHI forecast error, improve the prediction of ramp onset, etc.). Second, a large effort was put in improving cloud identification and the forecast of cloud cover and cloud optical depth. To this end, new-generation cloud parametrization products were developed in this work. These include improved algorithms to assist in cloud identification, cloud classification and cloud parametrization from satellite images – three key factors in the accuracy of 1 to 6-hours irradiance forecasts and prediction of ramp onset. Furthermore, we also included cloud information extracted from high resolution rapid refresh satellite images (GOES-16) and Large Eddy Simulations (LES). LES was used to model the atmosphere in detail over locations of interest and produce cloud optical depth forecasts. Once these data streams were validated, they were used as input data to the HAIMOS forecast. The model was developed using data from several climatologically distinct locations with potential for high solar penetration. In the last year of the project, we conducted a validation campaign according to the guidelines stipulated by the Topic Area 1 project as described in the FOA. This effort brings, for the first time, proven machine-learning methodologies for generating state-of-the-art solar forecasts interweaved with detailed physics-based models for cloud detection, and cloud optical depth forecasts. HAIMOS will generate accurate irradiance probabilistic forecast to assist in reducing solar generation prediction error. Globally optimized solar forecast models are more likely to impact solar energy stakeholders. The goal of this project was to increase the state-of-the-art forecast skill from their present values of 10 to 35%. At the end of the project, we achieved between 30% and 50% forecast skill across a wide range of horizons for both GHI and DNI.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Light Water Reactor LEU+ Lattice Optimization

Commercial light water reactor (LWR) operators and fuel vendors in the United States are exploring potential changes to nuclear fuel that include low-enriched uranium plus (LEU+) designs to further improve operational economics (e.g., extend cycle length). LEU+ fuel is fuel with a maximum enrichment between 5 wt% and 10 wt% 235 U; it allows for higher assembly burnup but likely requires additional reactivity control, e.g., increased burnable absorbers. This report examines possible LEU+ fuel lattice design changes using the lattice physics code, SCALE/Polaris. An optimization driver called the Metaheuristic Optimization Tool (MOT) is used to automate domain space exploration and optimization of LEU+ lattice designs. Heuristics from previous LWR lattice optimization studies were used to construct the objective function and define the domain space for optimization. This work successfully demonstrated that the optimization algorithms of MOT can generate feasible, nonproprietary LEU+ lattice designs (GE14 10 × 10 and Westinghouse 17 × 17) that meet the constraints of traditional LWR lattices while extending cycle length.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Technoeconomic Analysis of Infrastructure Buildout Scenarios

The success of CCUS deployment in the southeast will depend on the optimized pipeline network from CO 2 point sources to geologic sinks for CO 2 storage. An optimal pipeline framework will reduce both environmental impacts and pipeline building cost. However, finding an optimal pipeline/transport infrastructure design is a non-trivial task and requires simultaneous usage of large volumes of data, computational resources, and a state-of-the-art simulator. Such a transport infrastructure model must consider point sources for CO 2 capture and associated volumes, sinks for CO 2 storage, and transportation from source to sink via pipeline networks. These considerations must be addressed simultaneously and systemically in an optimization process, in which a defined objective function (i.e., capital, variable CO 2 capture, transport, and storage cost function) is required to be minimized with the consideration of practical constraints (e.g., CO 2 flow through pipelines is less than the maximum capacity). Although optimization has been widely used in subsurface resources production and CO 2 storage, its application in large scale CCUS infrastructure design is rarely reported in the literature. SimCCS, developed by Los Alamos National Laboratory, is an open-source CCUS pipeline infrastructure design toolset that facilitates the optimization of pipeline infrastructure networks.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Technical Report on Waveform Fit Metrics for Global Models

The new WAVEFORMS Initiative in the Ground-based Nuclear Detonation Detection (GNDD) program includes an increased emphasis on the development of Earth models and methods to predict entire seismic and acoustic waveforms more accurately. In general, this increased emphasis is predicated on the need to better characterize seismic events and provide improved model-based discrimination between event types including earthquakes and explosions. More specifically, while current moment tensor inversion methods tend to work well for larger events (M>~4) using tuned 1-D Earth models, the development of state-of-the-art 3-D models and methods is required for the prediction of shorter period waves over large areas for discrimination of smaller events. There is no standard metric for model-based waveform prediction accuracy used in the waveform modeling/inversion community. However, there are several popular waveform misfit definitions; and minimizing the corresponding objective functions is the goal of waveform inversion. Some example misfit definitions employed for adjoint waveform tomography include measures of simple travel time differences (e.g. Tape et al., 2010), cross-correlation travel time differences (e.g. Luo and Schuster, 1991), multi-taper frequency dependent methods (e.g. Lei et al., 2020), time-frequency phase misfit functions (e.g. Fichtner 2010; Rodgers et al., 2022), normalized cross-correlation methods (e.g. Tao et al., 2018), and others. In some cases, these misfit definitions also involve complicated weighting schemes and summations over multiple frequency bands making it difficult to duplicate the misfit measurement with alternative models and datasets. Although each of the misfit definitions mentioned above are useful for developing waveform models, the actual misfit values are not usually meaningful outside of a given project, model, and/or dataset. Therefore, it is difficult to understand and communicate model performance for predicting waveforms and comparing to other models and/or new model iterations with a different dataset. Therefore, there is a need for a generalized method for evaluating overall model performance that is independent from the specific misfit chosen to develop the waveform models that is also intuitive and meaningful. In this report, we describe a new metric we refer to as ‘Percent of Correlated Signal’. The following sections describe and demonstrate the metric with a case study event and a more rigorous test using a random selection of globally distributed events. While the focus here is on global tomography models, the metric is meant to applicable to regional ‘wiggle-for-wiggle’ waveform models/studies as well.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Pressurized Water Reactor Gadolinia Pin Location Optimization

This report presents the results of lattice optimization studies performed to find optimum locations for gadolinia burnable absorber (BA) rods in pressurized water reactor (PWR) lattice fuel designs. Initial excess reactivity suppression allows core designers to further improve operational economics by extending cycle length. Gadolinia BAs are commonly used in boiling water reactor assembly designs for this purpose. In recent years, gadolinia absorbers have been used in PWR designs owing to their longer effectiveness for reactivity suppression compared with common BAs used in PWR assemblies. This report examines the optimum gadolinia pin placement in 17 × 17 PWR lattices at different fuel and gadolinia concentrations for optimized lattice performance, using the SCALE/Polaris lattice physics code. The completed work is continuation of the Light Water Reactor LEU+ Lattice Optimization (ORNL/TM-2021/2366) project. An optimization driver called the metaheuristic optimization tool (MOT) is used to automate domain space exploration and optimization of the lattice designs. Heuristics from previous light-water reactor (LWR) lattice optimization studies were used to construct the objective function and define the domain space for optimization. This work successfully demonstrated that the optimization algorithms of MOT can generate feasible, nonproprietary PWR lattice designs with gadolinia.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian Optimization Scheme for the Design of a Nanofibrous High Power Target

High Power Targetry (HPT) R\&D is critical in the context of increasing beam intensity and energy for next generation accelerators. Many target concepts and novel materials are being developed and tested for their ability to withstand extreme beam environments; the HPT R\&D Group at Fermilab is developing an electrospun nanofiber material for this purpose. The performance of these nanofiber targets is sensitive to their construction parameters, such as the packing density of the fibers. Lowering the density improves the survival of the target, but reduces the secondary particle yield. Optimizing the lifetime and production efficiency of the target poses an interesting design problem, and in this paper we study the applicability of Bayesian optimization to its solution. We first describe how to encode the nanofiber target design problem as the optimization of an objective function, and how to evaluate that function with computer simulations. We then explain the optimization loop setup. Thereafter, we present the optimal design parameters suggested by the algorithm, and close with discussions of limitations and future refinements.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗