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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 271 records · Page 15
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

An Online Tool for Preliminary Design and Techno-Economic Analysis of District Geothermal Heating and Cooling Systems

District geothermal heating and cooling systems (DGHCS) have significant benefits for reducing energy consumption as well as building- and grid-level peak electric demand. Currently, no publicly available tools are available to effectively design and conduct techno-economic analysis of DGHCS. GeoWISE was originally developed for preliminary design and techno-economic analysis of geothermal heating and cooling systems in an individual commercial or residential building. This paper introduces recent upgrades of GeoWISE that allow users to design and conduct techno-economic analysis of DGHCS. Several new features are implemented in GeoWISE to allow selection and specification of multiple new or existing buildings. A database of information for over 125 million existing U.S. buildings was used in GeoWISE that allows users easily locate existing buildings of interest based on street addresses, and optionally edit information of the buildings (e.g., footprint, vintage, principal functions, number of floors, window-to-wall ratio). Unique energy simulation models of the selected buildings are then automatically created using the Automatic Building Energy Modeling (AutoBEM) and EnergyPlus simulations are performed to predict thermal loads of the buildings. A simplified DGHCS is then designed and simulated to predict its energy use. A central borehole heat exchanger (BHE) of the DGHCS is sized using the RowWise algorithm of GHEDesigner to meet the thermal loads within user-specified land areas for installing BHE. The upgraded GeoWISE reports the needed capacity of heating and cooling equipment in each building, design of the central BHE, energy consumption reduction, and energy cost saving resulting from using DGHCS compared with conventional HVAC systems. A case study is showcased using the upgraded GeoWISE to design and conduct techno-economic analysis of a simplified DGHCS.

Prem Anand Jayaprabha, Jyothis Anand [ORNL] (ORCID↗
DOE OSTI2026

Microstructure, Transport, and Mechanics of Compacted Clay Simulated at the 0.1 μm Scale (1400 Smectite Clay Particles) Using a Coarse-Grained Model with Explicit Counterions

Clay-rich geomaterials play a critical role in many subsurface systems. The macroscale properties of these materials (low permeability, high ionic conductivity, high swelling pressure, etc.) are sensitive to molecular-level adsorption and hydration interactions at clay−water interfaces. Efforts to develop multiscale simulation approaches to predict these properties reveal a scale gap between atomistic simulations (typically limited to systems smaller than 10 nm) and continuum-scale models (which use computational grid elements with dimensions ≳ 10 μm). In this study, we present a coarse-grained (CG) framework that partly bridges this gap by simulating compacted smectite clay assemblages with dimensions of 0.1 μm containing 1,400 clay particles across a range of dry densities (1,050 to 1,850 kg·m −3 ) and Na/Ca counterion compositions (Na fraction ranging from 0.2 to 1). The simulated systems, along with their reconstructed binary three-dimensional pore networks, are used to evaluate the microstructure, pore size distribution, tortuosity, ion diffusivity, and swelling pressure of compacted smectite clay. Results show that our approach captures important features of the mesoscale heterogeneity of compacted clays, including tactoid formation, hierarchical porosity, and anisotropic pore networks. Results also reveal how compaction and counterion composition govern emergent behaviors, including dominant pore sizes, directional transport, and electrochemical response. This work highlights the potential of CG simulations to bridge molecular and continuum scales and to advance geotechnical and environmental applications involving clay-rich materials as well as related nanoporous media such as geopolymers and calcium-silicate-hydrate. However, the results also suggest that accurate prediction of certain microstructural and mechanical properties (e.g., swelling pressure) may require even larger-scale systems on the order of 1 μm.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2025

Collaborative: in situ visual analytics technologies for extreme scale combustion simulations

This project aims to drastically enhance the usability of in situ analysis and visualization for extreme-scale scientific simulations. Current exascale computing capabilities promise to offer greater predictive ability of simulations and to further push the frontiers of science and technology. However, to validate the simulation output at extreme scale, examine the modeled phenomena, and discover previously unknowns from the output data, the output must be reduced or transformed in situ as it is being generated during the simulation such that the amount of data to examine and store is kept to a minimum. Such in situ approaches allow us to process and analyze the data and any embedded geometry to an extent that would be prohibitively expensive, if not impossible, to perform as a post hoc task. While in situ processing has been demonstrated to be a feasible and promising approach, its full potential has not yet been leveraged. In this project, we have developed comprehensive enhancements to in situ technology based on probability distributions in data. Our research focuses on jointly developing new ways of interacting with massive statistical samples while creatively utilizing new state-of-the-art computational resources to push the boundaries of in situ exploration. Moreover, we have developed new time-dependent techniques to enable previously unattainable capabilities in areas such as intelligent simulation steering and precise feature identification. We have experimentally studied our design and implementation at NERSC and OLCF, and are able to leverage existing in situ infrastructures whenever possible. While the exemplar in this project is combustion, many other fields for which turbulent transport is important, e.g., fusion, climate, astrophysics among others, encounter similar issues as simulations scale up to the exascale. This project shows its potential to generate high impact on DOE missions since the resulting technology promises to improve scientists’ ability to rapidly and correctly interpret and tune extreme-scale simulations, leading to new scientific understanding and advancements.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Weak lensing combined with the kinetic Sunyaev–Zel’dovich effect: a study of baryonic feedback

ABSTRACT Extracting precise cosmology from weak lensing surveys requires modelling the non-linear matter power spectrum, which is suppressed at small scales due to baryonic feedback processes. However, hydrodynamical galaxy formation simulations make widely varying predictions for the amplitude and extent of this effect. We use measurements of Dark Energy Survey Year 3 weak lensing (WL) and Atacama Cosmology Telescope DR5 kinematic Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (kSZ) to jointly constrain cosmological and astrophysical baryonic feedback parameters using a flexible analytical model, ‘baryonification’. First, using WL only, we compare the $S_8$ constraints using baryonification to a simulation-calibrated halo model, a simulation-based emulator model, and the approach of discarding WL measurements on small angular scales. We find that model flexibility can shift the value of $S_8$ and degrade the uncertainty. The kSZ provides additional constraints on the astrophysical parameters, with the joint WL + kSZ analysis constraining $S_8=0.823^{+0.019}_{-0.020}$. We measure the suppression of the non-linear matter power spectrum using WL + kSZ and constrain a mean feedback scenario that is more extreme than the predictions from most hydrodynamical simulations. We constrain the baryon fractions and the gas mass fractions and find them to be generally lower than inferred from X-ray observations and simulation predictions. We conclude that the WL + kSZ measurements provide a new and complementary benchmark for building a coherent picture of the impact of gas around galaxies across observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Simulating Crystallization in a Colloidal System Using State Predictive Information Bottleneck Based Enhanced Sampling

Here, we investigate crystal nucleation in supersaturated colloid suspensions using enhanced molecular dynamics simulations augmented with machine learning techniques. The simulations reveal that crystallization in the model colloidal system studied here, with particles interacting through a repulsive screened Coulomb Yukawa potential, proceeds from vapor to dense liquid droplet to crystalline phases across multiple high barriers. Employing a one-dimensional reaction coordinate derived from the State Predictive Information Bottleneck framework, our simulations capture back-and-forth phase transitions across multiple barriers effectively in biased metadynamics simulations. We obtain relative free energy differences between different phases and also quantify the roles of different molecular level features in driving the phase changes.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2024

Correlated Anion Disorder in Heteroanionic Cubic TiOF 2

Resolving anion configurations in heteroanionic materials is crucial for understanding and controlling their properties. For anion-disordered oxyfluorides, conventional Bragg diffraction cannot fully resolve the anionic structure, necessitating alternative structure determination methods. We have investigated the anionic structure of anion-disordered cubic (ReO 3 -type) TiOF 2 using X-ray pair distribution function (PDF), 19 F MAS NMR analysis, density functional theory (DFT), cluster expansion modeling, and genetic-algorithm structure prediction. Our computational data predict short-range anion ordering in TiOF 2 , characterized by predominant cis-[O 2 F 4 ] titanium coordination, resulting in correlated anion disorder at longer ranges. To validate our predictions, we generated partially disordered supercells using genetic-algorithm structure prediction and computed simulated X-ray PDF data and 19 F MAS NMR spectra, which we compared directly to experimental data. To construct our simulated 19 F NMR spectra, we derived new transformation functions for mapping calculated magnetic shieldings to predicted magnetic chemical shifts in titanium (oxy)fluorides, obtained by fitting DFT-calculated magnetic shieldings to previously published experimental chemical shift data for TiF 4 . We find good agreement between our simulated and experimental data, which supports our computationally predicted structural model and demonstrates the effectiveness of complementary experimental and computational techniques in resolving anionic structure in anion-disordered oxyfluorides. From additional DFT calculations, we predict that increasing anion disorder makes lithium intercalation more favorable by, on average, up to 2 eV, highlighting the significant effect of variations in short-range order on the intercalation properties of anion-disordered materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Consistent and reproducible computation of the glass transition temperature from molecular dynamics simulations

In many fields, from semiconductors for opto-electronic applications to ionic liquids (ILs) for separations, the glass transition temperature (Tg) of a material is a useful gauge for its potential use in practical settings. As a result, there is a great deal of interest in predicting Tg using molecular simulations. However, the uncertainty and variation in the trend shift method, a common approach in simulations to predict Tg, can be high. This is due to the need for human intervention in defining a fitting range for linear fits of density with temperature assumed for the liquid and glass phases across the simulated cooling. The definition of such fitting ranges then defines the estimate for the Tg as the intersection of linear fits. We eliminate this need for human intervention by leveraging the Shapiro–Wilk normality test and proposing an algorithm to define the fitting ranges and, consequently, Tg. Through this integration, we incorporate into our automated methodology that residuals must be normally distributed around zero for any fit, a requirement that must be met for any regression problem. Consequently, fitting ranges for realizing linear fits for each phase are statistically defined rather than visually inferred, obtaining an estimate for Tg without any human intervention. The method is also capable of finding multiple linear regimes across density vs temperature curves. We compare the predictions of our proposed method across multiple IL and semiconductor molecular dynamics simulation results from the literature and compare other proposed methods for automatically detecting Tg from density–temperature data. We believe that our proposed method would allow for more consistent predictions of Tg. We make this methodology available and open source through GitHub.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2026

Benchmarking core turbulence and transport predictions for an inductive compact tokamak reactor plasma

Motivated by the need for accurate, timely, and efficient calculations of plasma transport, predictions of plasma turbulence properties made using different TGLF saturation rules are benchmarked against corresponding predictions from linear and nonlinear gyrokinetic CGYRO simulations. This benchmarking is carried out using parameters taken from an inductive burning plasma scenario in a hypothetical compact high-field (R maj = 4 m, B T = 8 T) tokamak, lying in a much different regime of parameter space than either the TGLF calibration regime or current-day experiments. The core turbulent transport in this scenario is predicted to be dominated by ion temperature gradient (ITG) turbulence. In general, the ITG critical gradients predicted by various TGLF saturation rules are quite close to the CGYRO predictions. Both codes predict similar linear ITG growth rates and frequency spectra, as well as their scaling with R/L T i = −Rd ln(T i )/dr. However, TGLF systematically predicts unstable trapped-electron modes (TEMs) above k y ρ s ≃ 0.5 not seen by CGYRO for the same parameters, due to TGLF predicting a lower threshold in R/L T e than CGYRO for TEM onset. It is shown that for this scenario, nonlinear CGYRO simulations predict stiffer ITG turbulence than the TGLF SAT0 and SAT1 saturation rules, with energy fluxes close in magnitude and scaling with R/L T i to what is predicted by the SAT2 saturation rule. Self-consistent core profiles calculated using nonlinear CGYRO flux predictions and the PORTALS transport solver are shown to agree fairly well with corresponding predictions made using the TGLF SAT2 model, including a similar level of density peaking.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ultrafast electron diffraction of photoexcited gas-phase cyclobutanone predicted by ab initio multiple cloning simulations

We present the result of our calculations of ultrafast electron diffraction (UED) for cyclobutanone excited into the S2 electronic state, which is based on the non-adiabatic dynamics simulations with the Ab Initio Multiple Cloning (AIMC) method with the electronic structure calculated at the SA(3)-CASSCF(12,12)/aug-cc-pVDZ level of theory. The key features in the UED pattern were identified, which can be used to distinguish between the reaction pathways observed in the AIMC dynamics, although there is a significant overlap between representative signals due to the structural similarity of the products. The calculated UED pattern can be compared with the experiment.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling of Additively Manufactured Ceramic Heat Exchangers with Semi-Elliptical Cross-Section Flow Channels

An approximate and easily applied analytical model was developed for heat transfer calculations of heat exchangers consisting of multiple rows and columns of heat transfer fluid flow channels with semi-elliptical cross sections. Heat exchangers of this type are being developed by using ceramic material and additive manufacturing for high temperature and pressure-concentrating solar electric power plants. Calculations using the model require only the geometrical dimensions and flow conditions of the heat exchanger. Comparisons of modeling predictions, with both simulation results and experimental data, were conducted to verify the viability of the model. The results showed good agreement where almost all the modeling predictions were within 20% of the simulation results or the experimental data. Finally, the proposed modeling approach is more generally applicable to heat transfer analysis of heat exchangers with similar flow channel configurations to those considered in this study.

Ceramic↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine learning-based interatomic potential development and phase transition analysis of ferroelectric hafnium dioxide

The ferroelectric phase (𝑃⁢𝑐⁢𝑎⁢2 1 , which is in orthorhombic symmetry) of hafnium dioxide (HfO 2 ) has gained much attention due to its potential applications in nanoelectronics and advanced memory devices. However, its complex phase behavior under external stimuli, such as pressure and temperature, remains a subject of intense investigation. This study focuses on developing a machine learning-based interatomic potential (MLIP) that is trained with data from density-functional theory (DFT) calculations to simulate phase transitions and mechanical properties of HfO 2 . The developed MLIP predicts lattice parameters, equations of state, bulk and shear moduli, and elastic constants that closely align with DFT predictions for several phases and at various pressures. Once validated, the MLIP is used to investigate the phase transitions of ferroelectric HfO 2 (𝑃⁢𝑐⁢𝑎⁢2 1 ) under both isobaric and constant stress conditions at elevated temperatures ranging from 200 to 2500 K. We used several complementary methods, including local symmetry identification, radial distribution function, and x-ray diffraction characterization, to identify interesting phase transitions among several competitive hafnia phases predicted from our simulations. The suggested methods uniformly reveal that under pure deviatoric condition, the system favors a transition from the orthorhombic 𝑃⁢𝑐⁢𝑎⁢2 1 phase to a tetragonal (𝑃⁢4 2 /𝑛⁢𝑚⁢𝑐) phase, whereas a zero stress condition drives the system from the 𝑃⁢𝑐⁢𝑎⁢2 1 phase to another orthorhombic (𝑃⁢𝑏⁢𝑐⁢𝑛) phase. These findings provide crucial insights into stress and temperature-induced phase behavior of hafnia, guiding future experimental and theoretical studies for optimizing hafnia-based ferroelectric devices.

Ferroelectric HfO2↗
DOE OSTI2026

Two-Way Coupled CFD/DEM Simulation of Electromagnetic Heating in a Fluidized Bed Reactor

A set of tools has been developed to couple a multiphase reacting computational fluid dynamics solver (MFIX) with two computational electromagnetic solvers (COMSOL and Elmer). In contrast to several recent investigations, which calculate a single static EM field prior to the CFD calculation, in the present work the electromagnetic field is periodically updated during the simulation. This enables the EM field and associated EM heating predictions to reflect the effects of evolving material properties (temperature, composition, size etc.) and the evolving distribution of material in the system. The present work uses effective medium theory (EMT) for the electromagnetic field calculations since the goal is to apply the tool for industrial scale reacting systems. Predictions using MFIX/COMSOL and MFIX/Elmer are compared to in bed thermocouple measurements from a fluidized bed experiment and recent simulation predictions and recent experiments performed at NETL. The NETL experiments also include packed bed operating conditions. Coupled MFIX/COMSOL simulations at these conditions are compared with similar simulations using only COMSOL to measure errors due to the solver coupling approach.

CFD↗
DOE OSTI2026

Two-Way Coupled CFD/DEM Simulation of Electromagnetic Heating in a Fluidized Bed Reactor - Extended Abstract

A set of tools has been developed to couple a multiphase reacting computational fluid dynamics solver (MFIX) with two computational electromagnetic solvers (COMSOL and Elmer). In contrast to several recent investigations, which calculate a single static EM field prior to the CFD calculation, in the present work the electromagnetic field is periodically updated during the simulation. This enables the EM field and associated EM heating predictions to reflect the effects of evolving material properties (temperature, composition, size etc.) and the evolving distribution of material in the system. The present work uses effective medium theory (EMT) for the electromagnetic field calculations since the goal is to apply the tool for industrial scale reacting systems. Predictions using MFIX/COMSOL and MFIX/Elmer are compared to in bed thermocouple measurements from a fluidized bed experiment and recent simulation predictions and recent experiments performed at NETL. The NETL experiments also include packed bed operating conditions. Coupled MFIX/COMSOL simulations at these conditions are compared with similar simulations using only COMSOL to measure errors due to the solver coupling approach.

CFD↗
DOE OSTI2025

Langevin Dynamics modeling of gas-phase ion-ion recombination (Final Technical Report)

A self-consistent trajectory simulation approach to model MN reactions (Fig. 1) which incorporates the probability of electron transfer as a Monte Carlo operator (Fig. 2) was developed and published as Liu et al. J. Chem. Phys. 159, 114111 (2023). The electron transfer probability p ET estimated using the two-state Landau-Zener (LZ) theory was incorporated into classical trajectory simulations to elicit predictions of MN reaction cross-section σ (vacuum) or rate constant β (finite pressure). Electronic structure calculations with multireference configuration interaction (MRCI) and large correlation consistent basis sets were used to derive inputs to the LZ theory. The key advance of our trajectory simulation approach is the incorporation of electron transfer probability and the inclusion of the effect of ion-neutral interactions on MN using a Langevin representation of the effect of neutral gas on ions. For H + – H - and Li + – H(D) - pairs, our approach quantitatively agrees with measured speed-dependent cross-sections for up to ~10 5 m/s. For the ion pair Ne + – Cl - , our predictions of the MN rate constant at ~1 torr are a factor of ~2 – 3 higher than the experimentally measured value. Similarly, for Xe + – F - in the pressure range of ~20000 – 80000 Pa, our predictions of the MN rate constant are ~20% lower but are in excellent qualitative agreement with experimental data. The paradigm of using trajectory simulations to self-consistently model MN reactions is the basis for inclusion of additional non-classical, and static magnetic and electric field effects. Subsequent work, published as Roy et al. focused on modeling recombination rate constant for three ion pairs (rare gas Ar + cation and halide anions): Ar + – Cl - , Ar + – Br - , Ar + – I - , 2) considering spin-orbit couplings in the electronic structure calculations to obtain high-fidelity estimates of the electron transfer probability and incorporated within the classical trajectory simulations to elicit predictions. In addition to calculations of ion-ion recombination rate constants, a classical trajectory simulation technique (published as Roy et al. J. Chem. Phys. 162(9), 094104 (2023)) that uses quaternions to represent orientation of non-spherical particles (ions or aerosol particles) was developed to simulate the recombination of diatomic or more generally, polyatomic molecules. Finally, several other ion pairs such as Ne + – Cl - , Kr + – Cl - , were explored using the developed semi-classical trajectory simulations to understand various challenges in tackling electronic structure calculations. Using empirical approaches to parameterize the electron transfer radius, trajectory simulations were also used to probe the effect of ion number density on MN rate constant.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

A novel peridynamics-based approach to predict pharmaceutical tablet robustness

The pharmaceutical drug product development process can be greatly accelerated through the use of modeling and simulation techniques to predict the manufacturability and performance of a given formulation. The anticipation and possible mitigation of tablet damage due to manufacturing stresses represents a specific area of interest in the pharmaceutical industry for predicting formulation and tableting performance. While the finite element method (FEM) has been extensively used for predicting the mechanical behavior of powder material in the compaction processes, a shortcoming of the approach is the inherent difficulty to predict discontinuities (e.g., damage or cracking) within a tablet as FEM is a continuum-based approach. In this work, we propose a novel method utilizing peridynamics (PD), a numerical method that can capture discontinuities such as tablet fracture, to predict the evolution of damage and breakage in pharmaceutical tablets. The approach links (1) the finite element method – to elucidate the behavior of powders during die compaction – with (2) the peridynamics modeling technique – to model the discontinuous nature of damage and predict tablet breakage during the critical stages of unloading and ejection from the compression die. This short communication presents a proof of concept including a workflow to calibrate the linked FEM-PD simulation models. Further, it demonstrates promising results from a preliminary experimental validation of the approach. Following further development, this approach could be used to guide the optimization of compression processes through targeted changes to formulation material properties, compression process conditions, and/or tooling geometries to deliver improved process efficiency and tablet robustness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Rancor-HUNTER: A Virtual Plant and Operator Environment for Predicting Human Performance

Advances in simulation capabilities to model physical systems have outpaced the development of simulations for humans using those physical systems. There is an argument that the infinite span of potential human behaviors inherently render human modeling more challenging than physical systems. Despite this challenge, the need for modeling humans interacting with these complex systems is paramount. As technologies have improved, many of the failure modes originating from the physical systems have been solved. This means the overall proportion of human errors has increased, such that it is not uncommon to be the primary driver of system failure in modern complex systems. Moreover, technologies such as automated systems may introduce emerging contexts that can cause new, unanticipated modes of human error. Therefore, it is now more important than ever to develop models of human behavior to realize overall system error reductions and achieve established safety margins. To support new and novel concepts of operations for the anticipated wave of advanced nuclear reactor deployments, human factors and human reliability analysis researchers need to develop advanced simulation-based approaches. This talk presents a simulation environment suitable to both collect data and then perform Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate human performance and develop better models of human behavior. Specifically, the Rancor Microworld Simulator models a complex energy production system in a simplified manner. Rancor includes computer-based procedures, which serve as a framework to automatically classify human behaviors without manual, subjective experimenter coding during scenarios. This method supports a detailed level of analysis at the task level. It is feasible for collecting large sample sizes required to develop quantitative modelling elements that have historically challenged traditional full-scope simulator study approaches. Additionally, the other portion of this experimental platform, the Human Unimodel for Nuclear Technology to Enhance Reliability (HUNTER), is presented to show how the collected data can be used to evaluate novel scenarios based on the contextual factors, or performance shaping factors, derived from Rancor simulations. Rancor-HUNTER is being used to predict operator performance with new procedures, such as results from control room modernization or new-build situations. Rancor-HUNTER is also proving a useful surrogate platform to model human performance for other complex systems.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2024

End-Use Savings Shapes Measure Documentation: Dispatch Schedule Generation for Demand Flexibility Measures

This supplemental document describes the methodology used for determining the dispatch timing of various EUSS demand flexibility measures. Demand flexibility measures are designed to reduce/dispatch electricity demand in buildings during especially beneficial/critical times. The method used in this work utilizes predictions of building loads to generate a schedule that reflects the periods when the building's daily peak load occurs to support decision making in demand flexibility measures. The dispatch schedule generation method described in this document creates an hourly schedule that includes a load dispatch (peak) window for each day for a whole year based on load prediction, with options using different prediction methods: perfect prediction, bin-sampling method, fixed schedule, and outdoor air temperature (OAT)-based prediction method. The perfect prediction method performs a simulation to obtain the annual load profile as predicted load, representing the scenario of perfect load prediction. The bin-sampling method (1) categorizes days into representative bins by temperature characteristics, (2) performs simulations on sample days from each of those bins to create representative (or predicted) load, and (3) assigns representative loads for all days in a year based on the bin categorization. The fixed schedule method defines uniform start and end time of peak window with assumed fixed daily peak time, for all days in a season or a year. The OAT-based prediction method uses the statistics of OAT (minimum and maximum) as the indicators of peak load, with specified delay response time from building loads to temperature. Given the load prediction, daily peak periods are determined as a time window with specified length in each day that include the predicted daily peak load and with a secondary rule such as maximizing energy saving potential. The dispatch schedule generation method is not a standalone measure and is intended to be combined with other demand flexibility measures that could leverage the peak schedule and apply demand controls on specific systems or devices for demand response, such as measures described in "Measure Documentation - Thermostat Control for Load Shedding" and "Measure Documentation - Thermostat Control for Load Shifting".

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗