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At least 271 records · Page 15

Improvement and Application of Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Models for Prediction of the Climatic Effects of Aerosol

This paper presents a radiative transfer model that has been developed to accurately predict the atmospheric radiant flux in both the infrared and the solar spectrum with a minimum of computational effort. The model is designed to be included in numerical climate models. To assess the accuracy of the model, the results are compared to other more detailed models for several standard cases in the solar and thermal spectrum. As the thermal spectrum has been treated in other publications, we focus here on the solar part of the spectrum. We perform several example calculations focussing on the question of absorption of solar radiation by gases and aerosols.

Bergstrom, Robert W.↗

Improvement and Application of Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Models for Prediction of the Climatic Effects of Aerosol

This paper presents a radiative transfer model that has been developed to accurately predict the atmospheric radiant flux in both the infrared and the solar spectrum with a minimum of computational effort. The model is designed to be included in numerical climate models. To assess the accuracy of the model, the results are compared to other more detailed models for several standard cases in the solar and thermal spectrum. As the thermal spectrum has been treated in other publications we focus here on the solar part of the spectrum. We perform several example calculations focussing on the question of absorption of solar radiation by gases and aerosols.

Bergstrom, Robert W.↗

An Improved Radiative Transfer Model for Climate Calculations

This paper presents a radiative transfer model that has been developed to accurately predict the atmospheric radiant flux in both the infrared and the solar spectrum with a minimum of computational effort. The model is designed to be included in numerical climate models To assess the accuracy of the model, the results are compared to other more detailed models for several standard cases in the solar and thermal spectrum. As the thermal spectrum has been treated in other publications, we focus here on the solar part of the spectrum. We perform several example calculations focussing on the question of absorption of solar radiation by gases and aerosols.

Bergstrom, Robert W.↗

A study of the variations in the thermosphere related to solar activity.

Densities derived from the drag of five artificial satellites and covering the time interval from 1958 to 1971 have been used to study the variations in the thermosphere arising from changes in solar activity. Exospheric temperatures derived from the densities by means of atmospheric models have been related to the 10.7-cm solar flux, in which the active-area component had been separated from the slow-varying clear-disk component by means of a relation between the flux and sunspot areas. When the day-to-day (27-day) variation is suppressed, the remaining slow temperature variation appears to be linearly related to the clear-disk flux component. If we also relate linearly the day-to-day temperature variations with the day-to-day variations of the flux, we find that the regression coefficient changes from 1 K at sunspot maximum to 2 K at low solar activity; a nearly constant coefficient is obtained by relating the temperature variations to the ratio of the active-area component to the clear-disk component of the flux.

Jacchia, L. G.↗

Shuttle program. Solar activity prediction of sunspot numbers, predicted solar radio flux

A solar activity prediction technique for monthly mean sunspot numbers over a period of approximately ten years from February 1979 to January 1989 is presented. This includes the predicted maximum epoch of solar cycle 21, approximately January 1980, and the predicted minimum epoch of solar cycle 22, approximately March 1987. Additionally, the solar radio flux 10.7 centimeter smooth values are included for the same time frame using a smooth 13 month empirical relationship. The incentive for predicting solar activity values is the requirement of solar flux data as input to upper atmosphere density models utilized in mission planning satellite orbital lifetime studies.

Johnson, G. G.↗

Sensitivity /comparison study between the Jacchia 1970, 1971, and 1977 upper atmospheric density models

The neutral upper atmospheric models for the Earth's thermosphere currently used in NASA-MSFC programs are the Jacchia 1970 (J70), 1971 (J71), and 1977 (J77). The Jacchia 1970 model (modified) is used in all MSFC orbital mechanics analyses. Since total density and its variations are the main environmental parameters of interest in orbital lifetime and attitude control studies, the total neutral density was selected for this analysis. This report presents the results of a parametric study of the total density (at 400 km altitude) as computed with three MSFC/Jacchia models. The sensitivity of each of the density models at the summer solstice to varying solar conditions (flux) and geomagnetic (index) values is discussed.

Johnson, D. L.↗

Vibrational and rotational excitation of CO in comets. Part 1: Non-equilibrium calculations. Part 2: Results of the calculation for standard bright comet, comet Iras-Araki-Alcock and comet Halley

The vibrational and rotational excitation of the CO molecule in cometary comae were investigated using a model which includes IR vibrational pumping by the solar flux, vibrational and rotational radiative decay, and collisional coupling among rotational states. Steady state was not assumed in solving the rate equations. The evolution of a shell of CO gas was monitored as it expanded from the nucleus into the outer coma. Collisional effects were treated using a kinetic temperature profile derived from theoretical work on the coma energy balance. The kinetic temperature was assumed to be extremely cold in the inner coma; this has significant consequences for the CO excitation. If optical depth effects are ignored, only low J transitions will be significantly excited in comets observed at high spatial resolution. Ground-based observations of CO co-vibrational and rotational transitions will be extremely difficult due to lack of sensitivity and/or terrestrial absorption. However, CO should be detectable from a large comet with favorable observing geometry if the CO is a parent molecule present at the 10% level (or greater) relative to H2O. Observations using cooled, spaceborne instruments should be capable of detecting CO emission from even moderately bright comets.

Chin, G.↗

Solar UV variability

Measurements from the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV) provide solar UV flux in the 160 to 400 nm wavelength range, backed up by independent measurement in the 115 to 305 nm range from the Solar Mesosphere Explorer (SME). The full disc UV flux from spatially resolved measurements of solar activity was modeled, which provides a better understanding of why the UV variations have their observed temporal and wavelength dependencies. Long term, intermediate term, and short term variations are briefly examined.

Donnelly, Richard F.↗

Chandra Radiation Environment Modeling

CRMFLX (Chandra Radiation Model of ion FluX) is a radiation environment risk mitigation tool for use as a decision aid in planning the operations times for Chandra's Advanced CCD Imaging Spectrometer (ACIS) detector. The accurate prediction of the proton flux environment with energies of 100 - 200 keV is needed in order to protect the ACIS detector against proton degradation. Unfortunately, protons of this energy are abundant in the region of space Chandra must operate, and on-board particle detectors do not measure proton flux levels of the required energy range. This presentation will describe the plasma environment data analysis and modeling basis of the CRMFLX engineering environment model developed to predict the proton flux in the solar wind, magnetosheath, and magnetosphere phenomenological regions of geospace. The recently released CRMFLX Version 2 implementation includes an algorithm that propagates flux from an observation location to other regions of the magnetosphere based on convective ExB and VB-curvature particle drift motions. This technique has the advantage of more completely filling out the database and makes maximum use of limited data obtained during high Kp periods or in areas of the magnetosphere with poor satellite flux measurement coverage.

Minow, Joseph I.↗

The Chandra X-Ray Observatory Radiation Environmental Model Update

CRMFLX (Chandra Radiation Model of ion FLUX) is a radiation environment risk mitigation tool for use as a decision aid in planning the operation times for Chandra's Advanced CCD Imaging Spectrometer (ACIS) detector. The accurate prediction of the proton flux environment with energies of 100 - 200 keV is needed in order to protect the ACIS detector against proton degradation. Unfortunately, protons of this energy are abundant in the region of space where Chandra must operate. In addition, on-board particle detectors do not measure proton flux levels of the required energy range. CRMFLX is an engineering environment model developed to predict the proton flux in the solar wind, magnetosheath, and magnetosphere phenomenological regions of geospace. This paper describes the upgrades to the ion flux databases for the magnetosphere, magnetosheath, and solar wind regions. These data files were created by using Geotail and Polar spacecraft flux measurements only when the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) spacecraft's 0.14 MeV particle flux was below a threshold value. This new database allows for CRMFLX output to be correlated with both the geomagnetic activity level, as represented by the Kp index, as well as with solar proton events. Also, reported in this paper are results of analysis leading to a change in Chandra operations that successfully mitigates the false trigger rate for autonomous radiation events caused by relativistic electron flux contamination of proton channels.

Blackwell, William C.↗

The EPIC-MOS Particle-Induced Background Spectrum

We have developed a method for constructing a spectrum of the particle-induced instrumental background of the XMM-Newton EPIC MOS detectors that can be used for observations of the diffuse background and extended sources that fill a significant fraction of the instrument field of view. The strength and spectrum of the particle-induced background, that is, the background due to the interaction of particles with the detector and the detector surroundings, is temporally variable as well as spatially variable over individual chips. Our method uses a combination of the filter-wheel-closed data and a database of unexposed-region data to construct a spectrum of the "quiescent" background. We show that, using this method of background subtraction, the differences between independent observations of the same region of "blank sky" are consistent with the statistical uncertainties except when there is clear evidence of solar wind charge exchange emission. We use the blank sky observations to show that contamination by SWCX emission is a strong function of the solar wind proton flux, and that observations through the flanks of the magnetosheath appear to be contaminated only at much higher solar wind fluxes. We have also developed a spectral model of the residual soft proton flares, which allows their effects to be removed to a substantial degree during spectral fitting.

Kuntz, K. D.↗

A biased model for calculating the evolution in solar absorptance.

A biased model is proposed to account for the smooth curve type of degradation experienced by spacecraft environmental interfacing materials. Because the space environment is nondestructive, the solar absorptance (alpha) must reach its maximum value in finite time, monotonically, without inflection points and be single valued, viz., alpha equals alpha-zero plus (Bt - D) exp (-At). A simple procedure is also included for the parametric calculation of A, B, and D with respect to solar intensity, particle flux, and temperature. The suitability of the model is discussed with regard to destructive testing, and a more general equation proposed. Use of the model for alpha calculations appropriate to the HELIOS missions is outlined.

Schutt, J. B.↗

Predicted trapped particle radiation levels for Tiros-N

Vehicle encountered electron and proton fluxes were calculated for a set of nominal TIROS-N trajectories with new computational methods and new electron environment models. Temporal variations in the electron data were considered and partially accounted for. Estimates of energetic solar proton fluxes are given for the lifetime of the satellite at selected integral energies from 10 to 100 MeV. Field strength calculations were performed with an extrapolated model on the basis of linear secular variation predictions. Orbital flux integration results are presented in graphical and tabular form.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗

Solar wind theory and modelling

The outflow of coronal plasma into interplanetary space is a consequence of the coronal heating process. Therefore the formation of the corona and the acceleration of the solar wind should be treated as a single problem. Traditionally the mass or particle flux emanating from the extended corona has been thought of as being determined by the coronal temperature or scale height and the coronal (base) density. This argument follows from considerations of the momentum balance of the corona-wind system from which one obtains models of a close to hydrostatic corona out to the critical point where the flow becomes supersonic. With this approach to the acceleration of the wind is has been difficult to reconcile the relatively small variation observed in the proton flux at 1 AU with the predicted exponential dependence of the proton flux on the coronal temperature. In this talk we would like to emphasize another approach in which coronal energetics play the primary role. The deposition of energy into the corona through some 'mechanical' energy flux is balanced by the various energy sinks available to the corona and the sum of these processes determine the coronal structure, i.e. its temperature and density. The corona loses energy through heat conduction into the transition region, through radiative losses, and through the gravitational potential energy and kinetic energy put into the solar wind itself. We will show from a series of models of the chromosphere transition region-corona-solar wind system that most of the energy deposited in a magnetically open region will go into the solar wind, with roughly half going into kinetic energy and half into lifting the plasma out of the solar gravity field. The coronal base density will adjust itself in such a way that the heat conductive flux flowing into the transition region is radiated away in the upper chromosphere. The coronal temperature is set by the requirements that most of the deposited energy goes into accelerating the solar wind; the coronal scale height will adjust itself so that the solar wind energy losses conform to the amplitude of the input energy. These processes are modified by the 'mode' of energy deposition, and we will show the effects on coronal structure of changing the parameters describing coronal heating as well as the effects of including a helium fluid in the models. However, the location, scale height and/or form of the energy deposition (i.e. heating or direct acceleration) are not too important for the solar wind, the coronal density and temperature structure will vary with the 'mode' of energy deposition, but the solar wind mass flux depends mainly on the amplitude of the energy flux.

Hansteen, Viggo H.↗

Aeroheating Thermal Model Correlation for Mars Global Surveyor (MGS) Solar Array

The Mars Global Surveyor (MGS) Spacecraft made use of aerobraking to gradually reduce its orbit period from a highly elliptical insertion orbit to its final science orbit. Aerobraking produces a high heat load on the solar arrays, which have a large surface area exposed to the airflow and relatively low mass. To accurately model the complex behavior during aerobraking, the thermal analysis needed to be tightly coupled to the spatially varying, time dependent aerodynamic heating. Also, the thermal model itself needed to accurately capture the behavior of the solar array and its response to changing heat load conditions. The correlation of the thermal model to flight data allowed a validation of the modeling process, as well as information on what processes dominate the thermal behavior. Correlation in this case primarily involved detailing the thermal sensor nodes, using as-built mass to modify material property estimates, refining solar cell assembly properties, and adding detail to radiation and heat flux boundary conditions. This paper describes the methods used to develop finite element thermal models of the MGS solar array and the correlation of the thermal model to flight data from the spacecraft drag passes. Correlation was made to data from four flight thermal sensors over three of the early drag passes. Good correlation of the model was achieved, with a maximum difference between the predicted model maximum and the observed flight maximum temperature of less than 5%. Lessons learned in the correlation of this model assisted in validating a similar model and method used for the Mars Odyssey solar array aeroheating analysis, which were used during onorbit operations.

Amundsen, Ruth M.↗

The Projection of Space Radiation Environments with a Solar Cycle Statistical Model

A solar cycle statistical model has been developed to project sunspot numbers which represent the variations in the space radiation environment. The resultant projection of sunspot numbers in near future were coupled to space-related quantities of interest in radiation protection, such as the galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) deceleration potential (f) and the mean occurrence frequency of solar particle event (SPE). Future GCR fluxes have been derived from a predictive model, in which GCR temporal dependence represented by f was derived from GCR flux and ground-based Climax neutron monitor rate measurements over the last four decades. Results showed that the point dose equivalent inside a typical spacecraft in interplanetary radiation fields was influenced by solar modulation up to a factor of three. One important characteristic of sporadic SPEs is their mean frequency of occurrence, which is dependent on solar activity. Projections of future mean frequency of SPE occurrence were estimated from a power law function of sunspot number. Furthermore, the cumulative probabilities of SPE during short-period missions were defined with the continuous database of proton fluences of SPE. The analytic representation of energy spectra of SPE was constructed by the Weibull distribution for different event sizes. The representative exposure level at each event size was estimated for the guideline of protection systems for astronauts during future space exploration missions.

Kim, Myung-Hee↗