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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16

Net-zero CO 2 by 2050 scenarios for the United States in the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study

The Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 37 study on deep decarbonization and high electrification analyzed a set of scenarios that achieve economy-wide net-zero carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in North America by mid-century, exploring the implications of different technology evolutions, policies, and behavioral assumptions affecting energy supply and demand. Here, for this paper, 16 modeling teams reported resulting emissions projections, energy system evolution, and economic activity. This paper provides an overview of the study, documents the scenario design, provides a roadmap for complementary forthcoming papers from this study, and offers an initial summary and comparison of results for net-zero CO 2 by 2050 scenarios in the United States. We compare various outcomes across models and scenarios, such as emissions, energy use, fuel mix evolution, and technology adoption. Despite disparate model structure and sources for input assumptions, there is broad agreement in energy system trends across models towards deep decarbonization of the electricity sector coupled with increased end-use electrification of buildings, transportation, and to a lesser extent industry. All models deploy negative emissions technologies (e.g., direct air capture and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage) in addition to land sinks to achieve net-zero CO 2 emissions. Important differences emerged in the results, showing divergent pathways among end-use sectors with deep electrification and grid decarbonization as necessary but not sufficient conditions to achieve net zero. These differences will be explored in the papers complementing this study to inform efforts to reach net-zero emissions and future research needs.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

SCOPE: Spectral cloud optical property estimation using real-time GOES-R longwave imagery

The output of ground-based, solar power generation systems is strongly dependent on cloud cover, which is the main contributor to solar power variability and uncertainty. Cloud optical properties are typically over-simplified in forecasting applications due to the lack of realtime, accurate estimates. In this work, we introduce a method, the Spectral Cloud Optical Property Estimation (SCOPE), for estimating cloud optical properties directly from high-resolution (5-min, 2 km) imagery from Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R, which is the newest generation of the GOES system. The SCOPE method couples a two-stream, spectrally resolved radiative model with the longwave GOES-R sensor output to simultaneously estimate the cloud optical depth, cloud top height, and cloud thickness during both day and night at 5-min intervals. The accuracy of SCOPE is evaluated using one year (2018) of downwelling longwave (DLW) radiation measurements from the Surface Radiation Budget Network, which consists of seven sites spread across climatically diverse regions of the contiguous United States. During daytime clear-sky periods, SCOPE predicts DLW within instrument uncertainty (10 W m -2 ) for four of the seven locations, with the remaining locations yielding errors of the order of 11.2, 17.7, and 20.2 W m -2 . For daytime cloudy-sky, daytime all-sky (clear or cloudy), and nighttime all-sky periods, SCOPE achieves root mean square error values of 23.0–34.5 W m -2 for all seven locations. These results, together with the low-latency of the method (1 s per sample), show that SCOPE provides a viable solution to real-time, accurate estimation of cloud optical properties for both day and night.

42 ENGINEERING↗

From Hydrometeor Size Distribution Measurements to Projections of Wind Turbine Blade Leading-Edge Erosion

Wind turbine blade leading-edge erosion (LEE) is a cause of increased operation and maintenance costs and decreased annual energy production. Thus, detailed, site-specific quantification of likely erosion conditions are critically needed to inform wind plant owner/operator decisions regarding mitigation strategies. Estimating the damage potential at a wind plant site requires accurate measurement of precipitation intensity, phase, droplet size distributions, wind speeds and their joint statistics. The current work quantifies the effect of disdrometer type on the characterization of LEE potential at a site in the US Southern Great Plains. using observations from three co-located disdrometers (an optical, an impact and a video disdrometer), along with hub-height wind-speed observations from a Doppler lidar and two LEE models: a kinetic energy model and the Springer model. Estimates of total kinetic energy of hydrometeor impacts over the four-year study period vary by as much as 38%, and coating lifetime derived from accumulated distance-to-failure estimates from the Springer model differ by an even greater amount, depending on disdrometer type. Damage potential at this site is concentrated in time, with 50% of impact kinetic energy occurring in 6–12 h per year, depending on which set of disdrometer observations is used. Rotor-speed curtailment during the most erosive 0.1–0.2% of 10 min periods is found to increase blade lifetimes and lead to the lowest levelized cost of energy.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A Novel Framework to Evaluate the Costs and Potential of Bioenergy in Decarbonization of the U.S. Economy

The long-term strategy of the United States targets reaching economy-wide net-zero emissions by 2050 and a carbon-neutral electricity grid by 2035 (U.S. Department of State and U.S. Executive Office of the President, 2021). Meeting these targets would require considerable changes to the energy system. Some key characteristics of illustrative net-zero energy systems include increased penetration of renewable energy and carbon sources, use of CO2 capture and storage (CCS) in hard-to-abate sectors, and a greater role for energy carriers such as electricity and hydrogen (Davis et al, 2018). Another common feature of such energy systems is the need for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) approaches (Horowitz et al, 2022). Across all these characteristics of net-zero energy systems, bioenergy and biomass feedstock is anticipated to play an important role. Biomass feedstock serves as a renewable carbon source. This can enable conversion of such feedstock into fuels and energy carriers for hard-to-abate sectors such as aviation. Indeed, the U.S. Government has a target to meet all jet fuel demand by 2050 from sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), where biofuel pathways are likely to have an important role (EERE, 2020). Bioenergy is also highly versatile with the possibility to convert feedstock into electricity, hydrogen, liquid fuels, heat or high-value products, based on biomass type, demand and technology availability (Clarke et al, 2022). Combination of bioenergy with CCS can also nominally deliver CDR (Fuhrman et al, 2023). As such, the share of bioenergy is expected to grow by at least five time across scenarios studied for the long-term strategy of the U.S. between 2020 and 2050 (Horowitz et al, 2022). Notwithstanding the role of bioenergy in the energy systems, its deployment, costs and scalability are influenced by a number of factors. Some of these factors pertain to policy interventions such as imposition of a binding decarbonization target either at an economy-wide level or the sectoral level. Resource availability and type of biomass feedstock also varies considerably across regions. From a technological perspective, the readiness of bioenergy conversion pathways is subject to high variability. This influences the costs of deployment. Moreover, the sourcing of feedstock, grid carbon intensity, and co-product handling approaches all affect the life cycle efficacy of bioenergy. The latter, in turn, is particularly important in determining the extent to which bioenergy with CCS or BECCS can effectively deliver CDR (Fajardy and Mac Dowell, 2017).

air emission↗

Transformative Materials for High-Efficiency Thermochemical Production of Solar Fuels (Final Report)

Metal oxide-based two-step solar thermochemical (STC) H 2 O and CO 2 -splitting cycles are a promising route to convert solar thermal energy into fuels. The metal oxide materials are reduced at high temperatures (Step 1), and then at low (but still elevated) temperatures, the reduced oxide is used to split H 2 O or CO 2 (Step 2). However, current applications of these cycles are limited by the efficiency of the metal oxide materials. A lower temperature for reduction is desirable, but that brings a concomitant reduction in the driving force for gas splitting. So, designing novel, high-efficiency materials is challenging. Here, we devised and performed a joint computational-experimental project, combined with materials design strategies and high-throughput approaches with the goal to quickly discover and demonstrate novel thermochemical materials with superior properties. Our approach involves an active feedback loop between experimental and computational research. We have use our previously developed materials design map, to efficiently screen results from high-throughput first- principles computation to predict new compositions and subsequently to experimentally study the properties of novel, predicted materials. Experimental measurements of the thermodynamic properties of selected materials serve as a critical benchmark, not only in evaluating the STCH properties of synthesized compounds, but also serving as a validation dataset for computational approaches. We experimentally explored a set of predicted ABO3 perovskites and focus on obtaining high quality thermodynamic properties for validation of computational prediction of enthalpy and entropy of reduction. These thermodynamic quantities play a major role in designing materials with reduced temperatures of reduction but sufficient gas-splitting rates. Finding good validation between experimental and computational data for enthalpies of reduction, we turn to promising ABO3 materials modified by A and B site substitutions, opening an enormous combinatorial space of materials. We use our high-throughput approach to “tune in” the desired solar thermochemical (STC) properties for STC. This vast composition space can only be reasonably explored using the high-throughput approaches, both computational and experimental, of this proposal. Several promising novel oxide materials have been predicted, synthesized, and verified using our materials design approach.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Biosynthesis of polycyclopropanated high energy biofuels

Cyclopropane-functionalized hydrocarbons are excellent fuels due their high energy density. However, the organic synthesis of these molecules is challenging and harmful to the environment. In this work we produced polycyclopropanated fatty acids in bacteria. These molecules can be easily converted into renewable fuels for high energy applications such as shipping, long-haul transport, aviation, and rocketry. We explored the chemical diversity encoded in the genome of thousands of bacteria to identify and repurpose naturally occurring cyclopropanated molecules. We identified a set of candidate iterative polyketide synthases (iPKSs) predicted to produce polycyclopropanated fatty acids (POP-FAs), expressed these PKSs in Streptomyces coelicolor and produced the POP-FAs. We determined the structure of the molecules and increased their production 22-fold. Polycyclopropanated fatty acid methyl esters (POP-FAMEs) were obtained by methyl esterifying the POP-FAs. Finally, we calculated that our POP fuel candidates can have energy densities of more than 50 MJ/L. Our research shows that POP-FAMEs and other polyketide derived POPs have the energetic properties for energy-demanding applications for which sustainable alternatives are scarce.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Thermo-economic analysis of a solid oxide fuel cell-gas turbine hybrid with commercial off-the-shelf gas turbine

The thermodynamic and economic performance of a natural gas-fueled solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC)-gas turbine (GT) hybrid system with a commercial off-the-shelf GT is investigated. Until today, commercial GTs are primarily engineered for the direct use of energy dense fuels, such as natural gas, and the integration of commercial GTs into a SOFC-GT hybrid remains challenging. In this work technically feasible and economically viable GT operating modes are identified to gauge the technology’s competitiveness on the free market. Steady state, full load operating conditions were established for various GT operating modes: I) constant spool speed operation, II) variable spool speed operation and III) partially closed compressor inlet guide vanes. For each GT operating mode, the performance was investigated over a range of SOFC fuel utilization factors, while considering physical constraints inside the SOFC, such as local temperature gradients in flow direction as well as overall cell temperature differences. The results of the thermodynamic evaluation served as inputs for the economic analysis of the SOFC-GT hybrid power plant. The results show that the integration of an off-the-shelf GT not only results in a significant derating of the GT, but also substantially impacts the SOFC operation, the main power producer in this SOFC-GT hybrid. To maximize the SOFC power output it is desirable operate the GT in a region of high air mass flow rates and low pressure ratios, which increases the number of stacks that can be accommodated and reduces the SOFC cooling requirement. The lowest costs of electricity are obtained at constant spool speed operation, while the highest efficiencies are reached at variable spool speed operation. Critical for the integration of off-the-shelf GTs, which historically have been designed for natural gas, is the surge margin. The largest surge margins are obtained by closing the compressor inlet guide vanes. Furthermore, higher SOFC fuel utilization factors are shown to increase the surge margin as the turbine firing temperature is decreased.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Development of High Capacity Energy Storage Materials

Hydrogen fuel cells have the potential to offer energy and power density advantages over lithium ion batteries in automotive and portable power applications when paired with an appropriate hydrogen storage system. Development of the ideal hydrogen storage material has been immensely sought after but plagued by limitations present in each type of material. These limitations typically include nonidealistic operational temperatures, low capacities, excessive costs, lack of reversibility, or evolution of impurities which irreversibly damage fuel cell performance. Many complex metal hydrides possess suitable hydrogen capacities but unfortunately suffer from impurity release. In order to address this problem, our team has explored in-situ catalyst doping of alkali metal amides to demonstrate methodologies to reduce ammonia release. The incorporation of iridium metal in lithium amide significantly reduces the ammonia release and decomposes the ammonia to provide additional hydrogen. Furthermore, we demonstrate, for the first time, high resistance of low temperature fuel cells to ammonia in comparison with typical proton exchange membrane fuel cells. The utilization of these two approaches in tandem provides a novel pathway for the development and implementation of high capacity energy storage materials for fuel cell applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Advancing ionomer design to boost interfacial and thin-film proton conductivity via styrene-calix[4]arene-based ionomers

Sub-micrometer-thick ion-conducting polymer (ionomer) layers often suffer from poor ionic conductivity at the substrate/catalyst interface. The weak proton conductivity makes the electrochemical reaction at the cathode of proton-exchange-membrane fuel cells sluggish. To address this, here we report on a class of polystyrene-based ionomers having sub-nanometer-sized, sulfonated macrocyclic calix[4]arene-based pendants (PS-calix). In films with thickness comparable to that of ionomer-based binder layers, the conductivity of PS-calix film (~41 mS/cm) is ~13 times higher than that of the current state-of-the-art ionomer, Nafion. We observe a similar improvement in proton conductivity when PS-calix interfaces with Pt nanoparticles, demonstrating the potential of PS-calix in catalyst ink. Leveraging a favorable interfacial chemical composition, PS-calix enhances proton conduction at the film-substrate interface, a shortcoming of Nafion. Moreover, the water in PS-calix films diffuses faster than bulk water and the water confined in Nafion films, suggesting an important role played by sub-nanometer-sized calix[4]arene cavities in creating unique water/ion transport pathways.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Cobalt– and Manganese–Free High–Nickel Layered Oxide Cathode for Long–Life, Safer Lithium–Ion Batteries

High-nickel LiNi 1–x–y Mn x Co y O 2 and LiNi 1–x–y Co x Al y O 2 cathodes are receiving growing attention due to the burgeoning demands on high-energy-density lithium-ion batteries. The presence of both cobalt and manganese in them, however, triggers multiple issues, including high cost, high toxicity, rapid surface deterioration, and severe transition-metal dissolution. Herein, a Co- and Mn-free ultrahigh-nickel LiNi 0.93 Al 0.05 Ti 0.01 Mg 0.01 O 2 (NATM) cathode that exhibits 82% capacity retention over 800 deep cycles in full cells, outperforming two representative high-Ni cathodes LiNi 0.94 Co 0.06 O 2 (NC, 52%) and LiNi 0.90 Mn 0.05 Co 0.05 O 2 (NMC, 60%) is presented. It is demonstrated that a titanium-enriched surface along with aluminum and magnesium as the stabilizing ions in NATM not only ameliorates unwanted side reactions with the electrolyte and structural disintegrity, but also mitigates transition-metal dissolution and active lithium loss on the graphite anode. As a result, the graphite anode paired with NATM displays an ultrathin (≈8 nm), monolayer anode-electrolyte interphase architecture after extensive cycling. Furthermore, NATM displays considerably enhanced thermal stability with an elevated exothermic temperature (213 °C for NATM vs 180 and 190 °C for NC and NMC, respectively) and remarkably reduced heat release. This work sheds light on rational compositional design to adopt ultrahigh-Ni cathodes in lithium-based batteries with low cost, long service life, and improved thermal stability.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗