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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16

Evaluation of an open forecasting challenge to assess skill of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease prediction

Abstract Background West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental USA. WNV occurrence has high spatiotemporal variation, and current approaches to targeted control of the virus are limited, making forecasting a public health priority. However, little research has been done to compare strengths and weaknesses of WNV disease forecasting approaches on the national scale. We used forecasts submitted to the 2020 WNV Forecasting Challenge, an open challenge organized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to assess the status of WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) prediction and identify avenues for improvement. Methods We performed a multi-model comparative assessment of probabilistic forecasts submitted by 15 teams for annual WNND cases in US counties for 2020 and assessed forecast accuracy, calibration, and discriminatory power. In the evaluation, we included forecasts produced by comparison models of varying complexity as benchmarks of forecast performance. We also used regression analysis to identify modeling approaches and contextual factors that were associated with forecast skill. Results Simple models based on historical WNND cases generally scored better than more complex models and combined higher discriminatory power with better calibration of uncertainty. Forecast skill improved across updated forecast submissions submitted during the 2020 season. Among models using additional data, inclusion of climate or human demographic data was associated with higher skill, while inclusion of mosquito or land use data was associated with lower skill. We also identified population size, extreme minimum winter temperature, and interannual variation in WNND cases as county-level characteristics associated with variation in forecast skill. Conclusions Historical WNND cases were strong predictors of future cases with minimal increase in skill achieved by models that included other factors. Although opportunities might exist to specifically improve predictions for areas with large populations and low or high winter temperatures, areas with high case-count variability are intrinsically more difficult to predict. Also, the prediction of outbreaks, which are outliers relative to typical case numbers, remains difficult. Further improvements to prediction could be obtained with improved calibration of forecast uncertainty and access to real-time data streams (e.g. current weather and preliminary human cases). Graphical Abstract

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Ordered Ni 6 ‐Ring Superstructure Enables a Highly Stable Sodium Oxide Cathode

Abstract Sodium‐based layered oxides are among the leading cathode candidates for sodium‐ion batteries, toward potential grid energy storage, having large specific capacity, good ionic conductivity, and feasible synthesis. Despite their excellent prospects, the performance of layered intercalation materials is affected by both a phase transition induced by the gliding of the transition metal slabs and air‐exposure degradation within the Na layers. Here, this problem is significantly mitigated by selecting two ions with very different MO bond energies to construct a highly ordered Ni 6 ‐ring superstructure within the transition metal layers in a model compound (NaNi 2/3 Sb 1/3 O 2 ). By virtue of substitution of 1/3 nickel with antimony in NaNiO 2 , the existence of these ordered Ni 6 ‐rings with super‐exchange interaction to form a symmetric atomic configuration and degenerate electronic orbital in layered oxides can not only largely enhance their air stability and thermal stability, but also increase the redox potential and simplify the phase‐transition process during battery cycling. The findings reveal that the ordered Ni 6 ‐ring superstructure is beneficial for constructing highly stable layered cathodes and calls for new paradigms for better design of layered materials.

Wang, Peng‐Fei↗

Inhibition of Polyimide Photodegradation by Incorporation of Titanate Nanotubes into a Composite

The effect of UV light exposure on the properties of hexafluoroisopropylidene-diphthalic anhydride–oxydianiline (6FDA–ODA) polyimide (PI) and polyimide–titanate nanotube (TiNT/PI) composites has been studied using Raman spectroscopy, optical microscopy, nanoidentation and TEM. The degree of polymer photodegradation was estimated by measuring the change in affinity to a positively charged dye (methylene blue, MB). The mechanism of photoassisted transformations in polyimides usually involves scission of polymer chains accompanied by appearance of active radicals, which undergo further rapid transformations to more stable phenol, amine, and carboxylic functional groups. The accumulation of these groups can increase the degree of adsorption of charged dyes in the photodegraded polymer. It was found that neat PI showed a significantly increased capacity to adsorb MB after irradiation with UV, reaching a plateau after 1 h. In contrast, TiNT/PI composite demonstrated a much slower rise in concentration of adsorbed MB even after 4 h of UV exposure. Raman spectra indicated cleavage of C=O and C–F bonds in PI while only the C–F bond was damaged in TiNT/PI. Shorter cracks (≈ 40 µm long) appeared in TiNT/PI composites whereas macro cracks (> 100 µm) were visible in neat PI after 3 h of UV exposure. Brittleness was studied by comparing plasticity index which varied from 0 to 1 (0 corresponding to the most brittle material and 1 the most ductile one). Plasticity index reduced by 51% and 2% for PI and TiNT/PI, respectively after 3 h UV irradiation, indicating that TiNT can protect underlying PI from further damage. The hardness of neat PI decreased whereas, for TiNT/PI, it increased under UV, suggesting crosslinking of broken polymer chains with nanotubes. Graphical Abstract: Photodegradation of a titanate nanotubes/polyimide composite can lead to cross-linking of broken polymer chains by nanostructured material, resulting in increased hardness. .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effect of Y/Ti atomic ratio on microstructure of oxide dispersion strengthened alloys

Highlights: • Controlling nano oxide distributions in ODS alloys by tuning Y/Ti ratio. • Advanced characterization techniques have been conducted to comprehensively study the various nano oxides. • A recipe with a Y/Ti ratio of 0.4 was found and the intrinsic oxide formation mechanism was explained. - Abstract: Oxide dispersion strengthened (ODS) alloys are the leading candidate materials for advanced fission and fusion reactor components because of their excellent high temperature creep strength and radiation tolerance. The promising performance of ODS alloys relies on a high-density population of nano oxides. Here, four 9Cr-ODS alloys with varying initial Y/Ti atomic ratio were processed using a combined route of mechanical alloying (MA) and hot isostatic pressing (HIP). Microstructural characterizations of the consolidated alloys were examined by advanced transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Great differences in oxide distribution behavior were observed. 9Cr-ODS alloy with a Y/Ti ratio of 0.4 presented the finest and the highest number density of nano oxides among the four alloys. The effects of Y/Ti ratio on oxide formation were explored, and the precipitated mechanisms of the nano oxides were interpreted.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of nano-Y2O3 dispersed Zr alloys synthesized by mechanical alloying and consolidated by pulse plasma sintering

Highlights: • Zr-Fe-Cr-Cu-Ti-1.0wt% nano-Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} dispersed alloys are fabricated by mechanical alloying and pulse plasma sintering. • These alloys record extremely high compressive strength, Young’s modulus, and hardness. • These mechanical properties are superior as compared to other commercially available Zr based alloys. • Dispersion of nanometric FeZr{sub 2}, Y{sub 2}Ti{sub 2}O{sub 7}, Fe{sub 2}Ti, ZrCu, Cr{sub 2}Zr, Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} leads to grain boundary pinning at elevated temperature. - Abstract: In this paper, Zr alloys are synthesized with nominal compositions: 50Zr-30Fe-10Cr-5Cu-5Ti (alloy A), and 49Zr-30Fe-10Cr-5Cu-5Ti-1Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} (alloy B), 45Zr-30Fe-10Cr-10Cu-5Ti (alloy C), 44Zr-30Fe-10Cr-10Cu-5Ti-1Y{sub 2}O{sub 3} (alloy D) (all in wt%) by mechanical alloying and consolidated by pulse plasma sintering at 1173 K (900 °C), 1223 K (950 °C) and 1273 K (1000 °C) using 75 MPa uniaxial pressure applied for 5 min and 70 kA pulsed current at 3 Hz pulse frequency. The microstructure and phase evolution during mechanical alloying and sintering has been characterized by X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning and transmission electron microscopy (SEM & TEM) and energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS). Mechanical properties i.e. hardness and compressive strength were determined by using nano-indentation unit and universal testing machine. The produced alloys recorded very high levels of compressive strength (1359–2456 MPa), and hardness (7.05–10.05 GPa) which measures 1.5–2.0 times more than that of other Zr alloys (2 O{sub 3}) particles which can contribute to grain boundary pinning, and improved creep and oxidation resistance at elevated temperature.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Generation and healing of porosity in high purity copper by high-pressure torsion

Highlights: • Direct characterization of severe plastic deformation induced and healed porosities. • HPT process of disk with pre-fabricated holes reveals healing of porosity. • Ultrafine grains coexisting with shear bands and pores exhibit high stability. • Excess vacancies and pores cause drag effect on the grain boundary motion. • Accelerated vacancy diffusion leads to the generation and growth of pores. - Abstract: Generation and healing of pores in metals under loading or during processing have long been important research topics, and their mechanisms are still debatable. In recent years, unexpected percolating networks of pores acting as ultra-fast diffusion paths were found in ultrafine-grained metals processed by severe plastic deformation. Herein, we conducted a systematic study of the mechanisms of generation and healing of pores in ultrahigh-purity copper (99.9995 wt%) during high-pressure torsion (HPT). In addition to a solid Cu disk, the disk with holes that were drilled before processing, resulting in nominal initial porosity of 4.48%, was processed by HPT. After HPT, the percolating porosities of 0.07 ± 0.01% and 0.04 ± 0.01% were found in the solid disk, and in the disk with pre-fabricated holes, respectively. Thus, higher initial porosity resulted in lower percolating porosity in the HPT-processed disk. Systemic characterization using scanning electron microscopy revealed that in both cases shear bands and ultra-fine grains are located in the regions with induced and healed pores. We discussed the mechanisms of porosity evolution in both cases. In the end, to verify the possibility of pores nucleation and growth by vacancy agglomeration, vacancy diffusivity during HPT processing was estimated. This work sheds a new light on the mechanisms of pores nucleation and evolution during severe plastic deformation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Reactions of hydrazine with the amidogen radical and atomic hydrogen

The rate coefficient k 1 for NH 2 + N 2 H 4 was measured to be (5.4 ± 0.4) × 10 –14 cm 3 molecule –1 s –1 at 296 K. NH 2 was generated by pulsed laser photolysis of NH 3 at 193 nm, and monitored as a function of time by pulsed laser-induced fluorescence excited at 570.3 nm under pseudo-first order conditions in the presence of excess N 2 H 4 in an Ar bath gas. This reaction was also investigated computationally, with geometries and scaled frequencies obtained with M06-2X/6-311+G(2df,2p) theory, and single-point energies from CCSD(T)-F12b/cc-pVTZ-F12 theory, plus a term to correct approximately for electron correlation through CCSDT(Q). Three connected transition states are involved and rate constants were obtained via Multistructural Improved Canonical Variational Transition State Theory with Small Curvature Tunneling. Combination of experiment and theory leads to a recommended rate coefficient for hydrogen abstraction of k 1 = 6.3 × 10 –23 T 3.44 exp(+289 K/T) cm 3 molecule –1 s –1 . The minor channel for H + N 2 H 4 forming NH 2 + NH 3 was characterized computationally as well, to yield 5.0 × 10 –19 T 2.07 exp(-4032 K/T) cm 3 molecule –1 s –1 . Finally, these results are compared to several discordant prior estimates, and are employed in an overall mechanism to compare with measurements of half-lives of hydrazine in a shock tube.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Layered-rocksalt intergrown cathode for high-capacity zero-strain battery operation

Abstract The dependence on lithium-ion batteries leads to a pressing demand for advanced cathode materials. We demonstrate a new concept of layered-rocksalt intergrown structure that harnesses the combined figures of merit from each phase, including high capacity of layered and rocksalt phases, good kinetics of layered oxide and structural advantage of rocksalt. Based on this concept, lithium nickel ruthenium oxide of a main layered structure ( R $$\bar{3}$$ 3 ¯ m ) with intergrown rocksalt ( Fm $$\bar{3}$$ 3 ¯ m ) is developed, which delivers a high capacity with good rate performance. The interwoven rocksalt structure successfully prevents the anisotropic structural change that is typical for layered oxide, enabling a nearly zero-strain operation upon high-capacity cycling. Furthermore, a design principle is successfully extrapolated and experimentally verified in a series of compositions. Here, we show the success of such layered-rocksalt intergrown structure exemplifies a new battery electrode design concept and opens up a vast space of compositions to develop high-performance intergrown cathode materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Sub-nanometer confinement enables facile condensation of gas electrolyte for low-temperature batteries

Abstract Confining molecules in the nanoscale environment can lead to dramatic changes of their physical and chemical properties, which opens possibilities for new applications. There is a growing interest in liquefied gas electrolytes for electrochemical devices operating at low temperatures due to their low melting point. However, their high vapor pressure still poses potential safety concerns for practical usages. Herein, we report facile capillary condensation of gas electrolyte by strong confinement in sub-nanometer pores of metal-organic framework (MOF). By designing MOF-polymer membranes (MPMs) that present dense and continuous micropore (~0.8 nm) networks, we show significant uptake of hydrofluorocarbon molecules in MOF pores at pressure lower than the bulk counterpart. This unique property enables lithium/fluorinated graphite batteries with MPM-based electrolytes to deliver a significantly higher capacity than those with commercial separator membranes (~500 mAh g −1 vs. <0.03 mAh g −1 ) at −40 °C under reduced pressure of the electrolyte.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Optimal operation and sizing of pumped thermal energy storage for net benefits maximization

Abstract Current trends in the modern grid are leading to the development and deployment of energy storage to help integrate increasing variable renewable energy sources into the grid. This paper studies a pumped thermal energy storage (PTES) system for multiple grid services including energy arbitrage, frequency regulation, spinning and non‐spinning reserve, and resource adequacy. Optimal dispatch methods are proposed for individual services as well as value stacking from multiple services to maximize the economic benefits. Assessment results demonstrate the superiority of value stacking. Specifically, the study shows the maximum revenue from an individual grid service with a 30‐MWh PTES system was $522,520, while the value stacking could increase the benefits to $678,477. In addition, sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the cost‐effectiveness of a PTES system with different combinations of power transfer limits and energy capacity. It was found that the power transfer limit had a greater impact than the energy capacity on the benefits. The proposed method could help determine the optimal duration of a future PTES system.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Effects of short-interval reburns in the boreal forest on soil bacterial communities compared to long-interval reburns

Abstract Increasing fire frequency in some biomes is leading to fires burning in close succession, triggering rapid vegetation change and altering soil properties. We studied the effects of short-interval (SI) reburns on soil bacterial communities of the boreal forest of northwestern Canada using paired sites (n = 44). Both sites in each pair had burned in a recent fire; one site had burned within the previous 20 years before the recent fire (SI reburn) and the other had not. Paired sites were closely matched in prefire ecosite characteristics, prefire tree species composition, and stand structure. We hypothesized that there would be a significant effect of short vs. long fire-free intervals on community composition and that richness would not be consistently different between paired sites. We found that Blastococcus sp. was consistently enriched in SI reburns, indicating its role as a strongly ‘pyrophilous’ bacterium. Caballeronia sordidicola was consistently depleted in SI reburns. The depletion of this endophytic diazotroph raises questions about whether this is contributing to—or merely reflects—poor conifer seedling recolonization post-fire at SI reburns. While SI reburns had no significant effect on richness, dissimilarity between short- and long-interval pairs was significantly correlated with difference in soil pH, and there were small significant changes in overall community composition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fuzzy dark matter and the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 data

ABSTRACT Gravitational weak lensing by dark matter haloes leads to a measurable imprint in the shear correlation function of galaxies. Fuzzy dark matter (FDM), composed of ultralight axion-like particles of mass m ∼ 10−22 eV, suppresses the matter power spectrum and shear correlation with respect to standard cold dark matter. We model the effect of FDM on cosmic shear using the optimized halo model HMCode, accounting for additional suppression of the mass function and halo concentration in FDM as observed in N-body simulations. We combine Dark Energy Survey Year 1 (DES-Y1) data with the Planck cosmic microwave background anisotropies to search for shear correlation suppression caused by FDM. We find no evidence of suppression compared to the preferred cold dark matter model, and thus set a new lower limit to the FDM particle mass. Using a log-flat prior and marginalizing over uncertainties related to the non-linear model of FDM, we find a new, independent 95 per cent C.L. lower limit log10m > −23 combining Planck and DES-Y1 shear, an improvement of almost two orders of magnitude on the mass bound relative to CMB-only constraints. Our analysis is largely independent of baryonic modelling, and of previous limits to FDM covering this mass range. Our analysis highlights the most important aspects of the FDM non-linear model for future investigation. The limit to FDM from weak lensing could be improved by up to three orders of magnitude with $\mathcal {O}(0.1)$ arcmin cosmic shear angular resolution, if FDM and baryonic feedback can be simultaneously modelled to high precision in the halo model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Activity and Stability of (Pr 1-x Nd x ) 2 NiO 4 as Cathodes for Solid Oxide Fuel Cells: Part V. In Situ Studies of Phase Evolution

This study is to complement an early report (the manuscript is attached for review purpose) on the role of interlayer on activity and performance stability in praseodymium nickelates. The aforementioned report showed a remarkable 48% increase in power density while switching from common GDC interlayer to a new interlayer chemistry (PGCO). Furthermore, a stable long-term performance was linked with suppressed reaction between the cathode and PGCO interlayer. In this article, we report in situ studies of the phase evolution. The high energy XRD studies at a synchrotron source showed fully suppressed phase transition in praseodymium nickelates with PGCO interlayer, while the electrodes on the GDC interlayer undergo substantial phase transformation. Furthermore, in operando and post-test XRD analyses shown fully suppressed structural changes in electrodes operated in full cells at 750°C and 0.80 V for 500 hours. SEM-EDS analysis showed that the formation of PrO x at the cathode-interlayer interface may play a role in a decrease of mechanical integrity of the interfaces, due to thermal expansion mismatch, leading to a local stress between the two phases. Furthermore, phase evolution at a narrow interface may propagate toward the electrode bulk, leading to structural changes Q1 and performance degradation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Effects of isoalcohol blending with gasoline on autoignition behavior in a rapid compression machine: Isopropanol and isobutanol

Alcohols, and particularly isoalcohols, are potentially advantageous blendstocks towards achieving efficient, low-carbon intensity internal combustion engines. Their use in advanced configurations, such as boosted spark-ignition or spark-assisted compression ignition, requires a comprehensive understanding of their blending effects on the low- and intermediate-temperature autoignition behavior of petroleum-derived gasoline. This work reports an experimental and modeling study of such autoignition characteristics quantified in a twin-piston rapid compression machine. Isopropanol and isobutanol are blended into a research-grade gasoline (FACE-F) at oxygenate blend levels of 0 to 30% vol/vol, with tests conducted at pressures of 20 and 40 bar, temperatures from 700 to 1000 K, and dilute stoichiometric fuel loadings. Changes to overall reactivity, including first-stage and main ignition times, and preliminary exothermicity are established, with comparisons made to previous measurements with ethanol-blended FACE-F gasoline. Furthermore, it is found that at low-temperature/NTC conditions (700–860 K) the isoalcohols suppress first-stage reactivity and associated heat release while main ignition times are extended. At NTC/intermediate-temperature (860–1000 K) conditions changes to fuel reactivity are less significant with isopropanol slightly suppressing reactivity and isobutanol promoting ignition. Detailed chemical kinetic modeling is used to interpret the experimental measurements. Overall trends of suppression or promotion in the blending behavior are reasonably captured by the model. Sensitivity and rate of production analyses indicate that at lower temperatures H-atom abstraction reactions from the surrogate fuel molecules (e.g., cyclopentane, isooctane) and the isoalcohols via OH are important leading to TC 3 H 6 OH and IC 4 H 8 OH–C radicals, for isopropanol and isobutanol respectively, which act as scavengers in the system. At higher temperatures, similar chemistries are dominant, but there is an increasing importance of abstraction by HO 2 . The kinetic modeling also indicates that the promoting effect of isobutanol at higher temperatures is due to the increased abstractions at the γ-sites, while at lower temperatures abstraction at the α-site leads to greater reactivity suppression.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗