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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16

Dynamic Modeling and Characterization of Nuclear-grade Graphite

Idaho National Labs serves as the spearhead for many innovative energy solutions to the world's energy crisis. One such solution is the INL's Microreactor which is designed to deploy to extreme/remote environments where other sources of power are either unavailable or unreliable. In order to best design these energy solutions for their operational environments, it is crucial to understand how the design, components, and materials will respond to the environmental conditions. One key material in these innovative designs is a nuclear-grade graphite known as PCEA. This study examines the behavior of PCEA graphite under dynamic loading, similar to that which may occur in extreme environments. The objective is to characterize the dynamic behavior and produce an accurate, reliable constitutive model suitable for use in simulation tools such as INL's MOOSE. Graphite specimens were tested using a Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (SHPB) to administer the dynamic compressive load. The SHPB was charged at various pressures to produce a range of strain rates on the material in compression. Data was acquired via strain gauges on the SHPB setup, from which stress, strain, and time data were collected. Analysis revealed the stress-strain behavior of the material as well as insights into the material behavior's relationship to strain rate. Further work must continue to characterize the various other dynamic behaviors of the material which will combine to create a substantially trustworthy constitutive model for this grade of nuclear-grade graphite. Ultimately, this will allow for realistic simulation of the material in reactor designs, allowing for prediction of design weaknesses and leading to improved designs for increased resilience, security, and reliability.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A critical verification of beam and shell models of wind turbine blades

Ever-increasing wind turbine size has challenged predictive capabilities on several fronts. Here, to address part of the blade structural modeling uncertainty, a systematic model fidelity comparison study was conducted on commonly used finite elements. pyNuMAD was utilized to create beam, shell, and solid models of a 100 m long blade undergoing large static deflections. The solid model avoided the use of layered-solid elements by resolving core and facesheet layers. An unprecedented model with 73.7 million elements revealed insights that have never been possible from prior experimental and numerical studies. As compared to the solid element model, the tip deflection from the shell and beam model was found to be about 2% and 4.3% too low, respectively. The twist from the beam model was found to be about 5.6% too high, while the twist from shell model was 24% too low, though improvement was demonstrated with mesh refinement. The beam model adhesive stresses were more accurate than the shell model. Out-of-plane stresses were of great significance near geometric and material discontinuities, and neither the shell nor beam model captured these effects well. Failure predictions from beam, shell, or layered-solid models are unlikely to be reliable at trailing edges, adhesives, ply-drops, spar-cap boundaries.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks for physics-aware prediction

This article addresses the need for deep learning models to integrate well-defined constraints into their outputs, driven by their application in surrogate models, learning with limited data and partial information, and scenarios requiring flexible model behavior to incorporate non-data sample information. We introduce Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks (BENN), a framework grounded in Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) principles, designed to impose constraints on Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) predictions. BENN is capable of constraining not only the predicted values but also their derivatives and variances, ensuring a more robust and reliable model output. To achieve simultaneous uncertainty quantification and constraint satisfaction, we employ the method of multipliers approach. This allows for the concurrent estimation of neural network parameters and the Lagrangian multipliers associated with the constraints. Our experiments, spanning diverse applications such as beam deflection modeling and microstructure generation, demonstrate the effectiveness of BENN. The results highlight significant improvements over traditional BNNs and showcase competitive performance relative to contemporary constrained deep learning methods.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evidence of topological charge polarization at active-passive interfaces in acoustically powered active liquid crystals

Theoretical and computational studies predict topological charge separation at active-passive interfaces in active nematics, but reliable experimental validation has been lacking. We utilize a synthetic acoustically energized liquid crystal to experimentally investigate the dynamics of topological defects across an active-passive interface. The interference pattern induced by the acoustic wave inside the experimental cell creates a spatial distribution of activity, resulting in the formation of active-passive interfaces with the liquid-crystalline director field aligned parallel to those interfaces. The activity gradient drives the reorientation of positively charged topological defects along its direction, causing them to migrate into the passive zone and form a layer with net topological charge. That layer “discharges” upon cessation of activity through annihilation of positive and negative topological charges, resembling the discharge of a capacitor.

Active defects↗

Random forest prediction of crystal structure from electron diffraction patterns incorporating multiple scattering

Diffraction is the most common method to solve for unknown or partially known crystal structures. However, it remains a challenge to determine the crystal structure of a new material that may have nanoscale size or heterogeneities. Here, in this study, we train an architecture of hierarchical random forest models capable of predicting the crystal system, space group, and lattice parameters from one or more unknown two-dimensional electron diffraction patterns. Our initial model correctly identifies the crystal system of a simulated electron diffraction pattern from a 20-nm-thick specimen of arbitrary orientation 67% of the time. We achieve a topline accuracy of 79% when aggregating predictions from ten patterns of the same material but different zone axes. The space group and lattice predictions range from 70% to 90% accuracy and median errors of 0.01-0.5Å, respectively, for cubic, hexagonal, trigonal, and tetragonal crystal systems while being less reliable on orthorhombic and monoclinic systems. We apply this architecture to a four-dimensional scanning transmission electron microscopy scan of gold nanoparticles, where it accurately predicts the crystal structure and lattice constants. These random forest models can be used to significantly accelerate the analysis of electron diffraction patterns, particularly in the case of unknown crystal structures. Additionally, due to the speed of inference, these models could be integrated into live transmission electron microscopy experiments, allowing real-Time labeling of a specimen.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis of Low-Dimensional Manifold via Co-Kurtosis PCA in Combustion Modeling

For multi-scale multi-physics applications e.g., the turbulent combustion code Pele, robust and accurate dimensionality reduction is crucial to solving problems at exascale and beyond. A recently developed technique, Co-Kurtosis based Principal Component Analysis (CoK-PCA) which leverages principal vectors of co-kurtosis, is a promising alternative to traditional PCA for complex chemical systems. To improve the effectiveness of this approach, we employ Artificial Neural Networks for reconstructing thermo-chemical scalars, species production rates, and overall heat release rates corresponding to the full state space. Our focus is on bolstering confidence in this deep learning based non-linear reconstruction through Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and Sensitivity Analysis (SA). UQ involves quantifying uncertainties in inputs and outputs, while SA identifies influential inputs. One of the noteworthy challenges is the computational expense inherent in both endeavors. To address this, we employ the Monte Carlo methods to effectively quantify and propagate uncertainties in our reduced spaces while managing computational demands. Our research carries profound implications not only for the realm of combustion modeling but also for a broader audience in UQ. By showcasing the reliability and robustness of CoK-PCA in dimensionality reduction and deep learning predictions, we empower researchers and decision-makers to navigate complex combustion systems with greater confidence.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Engagement: Hyperparameter Optimization of Generative Adversarial Network Models for High-Energy Physics Simulations

We present our SciDAC FASTMath-HEP partnership results for tuning generative adversarial models (GANs) for high energy physics applications. The GANs are used in hybrid simulations to accelerate otherwise time-consuming computations. We optimize for both, prediction accuracy and variability with the goal to find GAN architectures that are reliable and robust.

high energy physics↗

Constraining Cosmology with Simulation-based inference and Optical Galaxy Cluster Abundance

We test the robustness of simulation-based inference (SBI) in the context of cosmological parameter estimation from galaxy cluster counts and masses in simulated optical datasets. We construct ``simulations'' using analytical models for the galaxy cluster halo mass function (HMF) and for the observed richness (number of observed member galaxies) to train and test the SBI method. We compare the SBI parameter posterior samples to those from an MCMC analysis that uses the same analytical models to construct predictions of the observed data vector. The two methods exhibit comparable performance, with reliable constraints derived for the primary cosmological parameters, ($\Omega_m$ and $\sigma_8$), and richness-mass relation parameters. We also perform out-of-domain tests with observables constructed from galaxy cluster-sized halos in the Quijote simulations. Again, the SBI and MCMC results have comparable posteriors, with similar uncertainties and biases. Unsurprisingly, upon evaluating the SBI method on thousands of simulated data vectors that span the parameter space, SBI exhibits worsened posterior calibration metrics in the out-of-domain application. We note that such calibration tests with MCMC is less computationally feasible and highlight the potential use of SBI to stress-test limitations of analytical models, such as in the use for constructing models for inference with MCMC.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Predicting Initial Trans-Membrane Pressure for Optimized Operations in UF Unit Using Random Forest

With the growing scarcity of freshwater, innovative process design mechanisms like Ultra-filtration(UF) units are increasingly gaining attention among water treatment utilities to address the rising demand. Ensuring reliable water production necessitates efficient resource utilization, minimizing downtime in UF systems. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) have enabled the development of accurate data-driven models for Model Predictive Control (MPC), often requiring minimal prior knowledge of underlying physical processes. In this study, we present predictive regression models based on Random Forest (RF) and Auto-Regressive (AR) approaches to forecast the initial Trans-Membrane Pressure (TMP) for each filtration cycle in data generated by Direct Potable Reuse (DPR) systems. The proposed RF-based model demonstrates superior performance compared to baseline methods, including historical mean, Last Observation Carried Forward (LOCF), and naïve AR models, across various forecasting horizons in terms of root mean square (RMSE) metric. Accurate prediction of initial TMP is critical for optimizing CCRO operations, as it enables the development of robust modelling frameworks that enhance process efficiency and reliability. The demonstrated efficacy of the RF-based approach highlights its potential as a tool for real-time decision-making in water treatment systems, paving the way for advanced process optimization and sustainable water resource management.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

Harnessing the predicted maize pan-interactome for putative gene function prediction and prioritization of candidate genes for important traits

Abstract The recent assembly and annotation of the 26 maize nested association mapping population founder inbreds have enabled large-scale pan-genomic comparative studies. These studies have expanded our understanding of agronomically important traits by integrating pan-transcriptomic data with trait-specific gene candidates from previous association mapping results. In contrast to the availability of pan-transcriptomic data, obtaining reliable protein–protein interaction (PPI) data has remained a challenge due to its high cost and complexity. We generated predicted PPI networks for each of the 26 genomes using the established STRING database. The individual genome-interactomes were then integrated to generate core- and pan-interactomes. We deployed the PPI clustering algorithm ClusterONE to identify numerous PPI clusters that were functionally annotated using gene ontology (GO) functional enrichment, demonstrating a diverse range of enriched GO terms across different clusters. Additional cluster annotations were generated by integrating gene coexpression data and gene description annotations, providing additional useful information. We show that the functionally annotated PPI clusters establish a useful framework for protein function prediction and prioritization of candidate genes of interest. Our study not only provides a comprehensive resource of predicted PPI networks for 26 maize genomes but also offers annotated interactome clusters for predicting protein functions and prioritizing gene candidates. The source code for the Python implementation of the analysis workflow and a standalone web application for accessing the analysis results are available at https://github.com/eporetsky/PanPPI.

Genetics & Heredity↗

Artificial intelligence to unlock real-world evidence in clinical oncology: A primer on recent advances

Purpose: Real world evidence is crucial to understanding the diffusion of new oncologic therapies, monitoring cancer outcomes, and detecting unexpected toxicities. In practice, real world evidence is challenging to collect rapidly and comprehensively, often requiring expensive and time-consuming manual case-finding and annotation of clinical text. In this Review, we summarise recent developments in the use of artificial intelligence to collect and analyze real world evidence in oncology. Methods: We performed a narrative review of the major current trends and recent literature in artificial intelligence applications in oncology. Results: Artificial intelligence (AI) approaches are increasingly used to efficiently phenotype patients and tumors at large scale. These tools also may provide novel biological insights and improve risk prediction through multimodal integration of radiographic, pathological, and genomic datasets. Custom language processing pipelines and large language models hold great promise for clinical prediction and phenotyping. Conclusions: Despite rapid advances, continued progress in computation, generalizability, interpretability, and reliability as well as prospective validation are needed to integrate AI approaches into routine clinical care and real-time monitoring of novel therapies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Multi-objective surrogate-assisted calibration of CPFEM models using macroscopic response and in situ EBSD measurements of grain reorientation trajectories

Crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) models are widely used to simulate the deformation behaviour of polycrystalline materials, but their calibration is often limited by their high computational cost and the non-convexity of the optimisation landscape. Here, this study develops a multi-objective surrogate-assisted calibration workflow that couples a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA) with an adaptively trained deep neural network (DNN) surrogate model to efficiently identify CPFEM parameters from experimental data. The workflow is demonstrated on three crystal plasticity (CP) formulations of increasing complexity — Voce hardening (VH), two-coefficient latent hardening (LH2), and six-coefficient latent hardening (LH6) — using in situ electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) measurements of Alloy 617 under uniaxial tensile loading. The CPFEM models are calibrated against the experimentally observed stress–strain response and reorientation trajectories of eight grains, then validated against eight additional trajectories and overall texture evolution. Across the CP formulations, the macroscopic response was reproduced reliably, while differences emerged in the robustness and accuracy of the grain-scale predictions. Including grain reorientation trajectories in the multi-objective calibration improved texture evolution predictions and filtered out physically inconsistent parameter sets that can arise from calibrating against only the stress–strain data. The workflow also demonstrates good transferability of calibrated parameters from a low- to a high-fidelity microstructural model. These results provide practical guidance for integrating in situ microstructural data into CPFEM through efficient, repeatable, and physically meaningful multi-objective calibration.

Crystal plasticity finite element method↗

Simulating water dynamics related to pedogenesis across space and time: Implications for four-dimensional digital soil mapping

Digital soil mapping (DSM) relies on machine-learning and geostatistics to represent soil property observations across space. DSM techniques are powerful but often empirical, being limited to the quality and density of point samples. Water dynamics are closely related to soil variability, and the physics that govern water movement are well known. Hydrological properties can hence be simulated by physical models through space and time, unveiling key characteristics about soils. We propose the use of hydrologic models to map soils across the surface (2D), depth (1D), and time (1D)–which provides a 4D approach to digital soil mapping (4DSM). The Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) was applied to a watershed currently under pasture. Moisture sensors and wells were installed at different depths in the watershed on summit, sideslope and toeslope positions to validate the model. DHSVM simulations of soil moisture distribution and depth to saturation were performed during the hydrological year (October 2008-September 2009). Clusters of similar pixels based on soil moisture values were determined using Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) to align temporal data and K-means. Clustering was performed both seasonally and for the entire year. Temporal patterns simulated by DHSVM matched measurements given by moisture sensors and wells. Seasonal clusters differed from the annual cluster. Distinct clusters were observed for each season and with depth, showing that spatiotemporal soil variability is lost when statically assessing soils. Spatiotemporal clusters corroborated field observations of fragipan occurrence not explicitly spatially mapped by Soil Survey Geographic Database (SSURGO). If a connection can be made between water and soils, static and dynamic soil variability can be predicted using physically based hydrologic models. Hydrologic models can benefit soil mapping by enabling reliable 4D simulation of water dynamics, which are fundamental to soil variability and soil classification and directly relate to biological, physical and chemical soil processes not captured by typical soil sampling protocols.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessment of Readout Techniques for Passive Monitors

This fiscal year (FY) 2023 report on passive temperature sensors covers two main objectives: to demonstrate that the optical dilatometer can successfully process disc shaped silicon carbide (SiC) temperature monitors (TMs), and to demonstrate proof of concept for using the capacitance readout method to read printed melt wires. The SiC objective was successfully met by annealing and analyzing, via optical dilatometry, all eight 3-mm SiC discs provided by the Nuclear Science User Facilities (NSUF) Idaho State University (ISU) Nanostructured Steels for Enhanced Radiation Tolerance (N SERT) experiment, which was irradiated at Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s Advanced Test Reactor (ATR). Per the ISU N SERT experiment, capsule 1 (KGT 3828 1 and KGT 3828-2) had a design temperature of 300°C +/- 50°C and an exposure of 2 dpa +/- 10%; capsule 2 (KGT 4600 and KGT 4609) had a design temperature of 300°C +/- 50°C and an exposure of 6 dpa +/- 10%; capsule 3 (KGT 4639 C and KGT 4639-D) had a design temperature of 500°C +/- 50°C and an exposure of 6 dpa +/- 10%; and capsule 4 (KGT 3841 3 and KGT 3841 4) had a design temperature of 500°C +/- 50°C and an exposure of 2 dpa +/- 10%. The target exposure rates, in dpa, are the neutron damage for various types of nanostructured steels. All but three SiC TMs (KGT 4600, KGT 4639 D, and KGT 3841 4) revealed averaged peak irradiation temperatures that fell within the design temperature ranges. The three SiC TMs that did not fall within the design temperatures ranges were at least 100°C below that target temperature. Furthermore, SiC TM KGT 3841 C revealed two irradiation regimes: one closer to the 300°C design temperature, and the other closer to the 500°C design temperature. Also, all the SiC TMs’ averaged peak irradiation temperatures came in anywhere between 20°C and 240°C below the irradiation temperatures predicted by the thermal models. This showed the optical dilatometry method to be a reliable and less time intensive process for determining averaged peak irradiation temperatures from passive SiC TMs such as rods and discs. Under the Advanced Sensors and Instrumentation (ASI) program in FY-23, Boise State University (BSU) proposed to demonstrate proof of concept for using a capacitance readout technique applicable to printed melt wires; however, they were stymied by the complexity of the capacitance readout method. In support of the BSU work, INL developed an additively manufactured (AM) ceramic package for encapsulating the new melt wires. Inks were synthesized at BSU that used new protocols rather than following previously established protocols implemented at INL, and testing of various temperatures was conducted at BSU to evaluate the melting behaviors of the printed melt wires. The result was that the capacitance readout technique showed promise but also created more challenges than originally anticipated. For example, the tin ink synthesized at BSU showed unusual melting behaviors that did nothing to enhance the performance of the final printed melt wire prototype in terms of the capacitance readout method. To make the proof of concept work when applied to the printed melt wires, the ASI program would need to invest further resources and time. Consequently, the program is not planning to continue this proof of concept work in FY-24, based on the progress and findings achieved in FY-23.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Electric Drive Technologies Research: ELT223 Component Modeling, Co-Optimization, and Trade-Space Evaluation Annual Report

This project is intended to support the development of new traction drive systems that meet the targets of 100 kW/L for power electronics and 50 kW/L for electric machines with reliable operation to 300,000 miles. To meet these goals, new designs must be identified that make use of state-of-the-art and next-generation electronic materials and design methods. Designs must exploit synergies between components, for example converters designed for high-frequency switching using wide band gap (WBG) devices and ceramic capacitors. This project included: (1) a survey of available technologies; (2) investigating new technologies, that for example, reduce volume of thermal management or magnetic components; (3) the development of computer aided design tools that consider the converter volume, reliability, and electrical performance; (4) exercising the design software to evaluate performance gaps and predict the impact of certain technologies and design approaches, i.e. GaN semiconductors, ceramic capacitors, ceramic thermal management components, and select topologies; (5) building and testing hardware prototypes to validate models and concepts. The design tools enable co-optimization of the power module and passive elements and provide some design guidance. At the end of the project, new advanced computing methods, such as machine learning approaches, were considered.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Predicting Initial Trans-Membrane Pressure for Optimized Operations in UF Unit Using Random Forest

With the growing scarcity of freshwater, innovative process design mechanisms like Reverse Osmosis (RO) are increasingly gaining attention among water treatment utilities to address the rising demand. Ensuring reliable water production necessitates efficient resource utilization, minimizing downtime in (ultra-filtration) UF systems. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) have enabled the development of accurate data-driven models for Model Predictive Control (MPC), often requiring minimal prior knowledge of underlying physical processes. In this study, we present predictive regression models based on Random Forest (RF) and Auto-Regressive (AR) approaches to forecast the initial Trans-Membrane Pressure (TMP) for each filtration cycle in data generated by Direct Potable Reuse (DPR) systems. The proposed RF-based model demonstrates superior performance compared to baseline methods, including historical mean, Last Observation Carried Forward (LOCF), and naïve AR models, across various forecasting horizons in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) metric. To evaluate how different classes of process variables contribute to TMP dynamics over time, we examine the feature importance of independent covariates across multiple forecast horizons. This analysis provides insight into the temporal relevance of operational and sensor-derived features, guiding control and monitoring strategies. Additionally, the impact of hyperparameter tuning on TMP prediction performance is studied for both direct and recursive RF modelling approaches across increasing forecast horizons. Accurate prediction of initial TMP is critical for optimizing RO operations, as it enables the development of robust modelling frameworks by accurately estimating membrane fouling trends, thereby enhancing process efficiency and long-term reliability. The demonstrated efficacy of the RF-based approach highlights its potential as a tool for real-time decision-making in water treatment systems, paving the way for advanced process optimization and sustainable water resource management.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

CIGS Technology Advancement via Fundamental Modeling of Defect/Impurity Interactions (Final Technical Report)

The primary goals of the proposed work were to provide modeling tools (and the associated insight which comes along with model development) for design and optimization of CuIn x Ga 1-x Se 2 (CIGS) and CdSeTe (CST) solar cell manufacturing processes and to establish the foundation for comprehensive end-to-end predictive modeling tools to enable optimization of thin film photovoltaic technology for performance, cost, yield, and reliability. The initial focus of efforts within this project was to develop coupled process/optical/device models for CIGS PV technology and to work with Siva Power to apply that TCAD (technology computer-aided design) system to improve the efficiency and reduce manufacturing costs for CIGS solar cells. Our approach to that end was to generate an extensive database of DFT calculations and to use those calculations via statistical thermodynamics methods and Monte Carlo simulation to develop and characterize models for the behavior of native defects as well as intentional and unintentional impurities, including the redistribution of the primary components of CIGS films. Increased effort went toward coupling those models for defect behavior and composition evolution to the performance of multicrystalline CIGS solar cells via prediction of doping level and recombination lifetime as function of manufacturing process. In the second budget period, the project pivoted to developing a similar system for the CdSeTe system, focused especially on understanding the role of Se/Te alloy concentration. Execution of the project resulted in the successful development of TCAD systems for both CIGS and CdSeTe thin film PV within the Synopsys Sentaurus framework by utilizing the Alagator interface. In the first budget period of the project, we developed quantitative models for the major components of CIGS PV and implemented them within a framework that couples process, optical, and device simulation. From the insights we have gained, we identified novel opportunities for enhancing CIGS solar cell performance and have laid the groundwork to further optimize the layer structure, composition profile, and thermal cycles for substantially improved efficiency and lower manufacturing costs. For the CIGS system, process changes to achieve greater than 1% absolute enhancement in efficiency were identified, but testing of those approaches was stymied by lack of a domestic CIGS manufacturing partner after the closure of Siva Power as well as Miasole. For CdSeTe, a fully capable TCAD system only became ready to apply near the end of the project period, so substantial opportunities remain to apply those models to enhance the leading thin film PV technology.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Atoms-to-devices models for post-irradiation annealing kinetics in III-V semiconductors

Understanding atomic displacement damage and propagating this understanding into validated defect-aware radiation damage models is a critical step toward achieving predictive, atoms-to-systems assessment of radiation vulnerabilities of microelectronics. These models are essential for evaluating the performance and reliability of nuclear stockpile components or space-based electronics (satellites). The goal of this project was to bridge a fundamental science gap between defect spectroscopies and atomistic modeling of radiation-induced defects on the one hand, and simulations of device response on the other hand, to develop predictive defect-aware damage models for high-fidelity device simulations of radiation-damaged III-V semiconductors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗