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At least 289 records · Page 16

Probabilistic Economic Valuation of Safety Margin Management

The goal of this project was to explore a new methodology for evaluation of potential safety margin upgrades to add a new instrument to the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) toolkit. To this end, the RAVEN code developed by the Idaho National Laboratory was used to perform a cost-benefit analysis of several potential power plant safety upgrades to compare the material cost of the upgrades with the probabilistic benefit of avoiding accident scenario consequences to find the most cost-effective safety upgrades. By coupling RAVEN to MELCOR to drive Monte-Carlo method stochastic parameter analysis and using data from existing nuclear codes, as well as MELCOR’s radionuclide relocation tracking capabilities, the radionuclide release source term activity in a severe accident scenario can be estimated. Severe Accident Mitigation upgrades were benchmarked against the Hardened Containment Ventilation upgrade mandated by the USNRC for Mk1 BWRs using dollars spent per Curie of release prevented as a metric by which to evaluate the economic efficacy of the upgrades. Additionally, Fault Tree/Event Tree-based analyses were performed to compare older methods of evaluation to the methodology pioneered in this work, and Monthly Operating Report (MORP) outage data was analyzed for insights into power plant outage optimization and reduction.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Research and Testing of Power Use of HPC Workload of Participant's HPC System

This CRADA (1) facilitates relocation of the Board of Trustees of the Colorado School of Mines, for and on behalf of the Colorado School of Mines, (MINES or Participant) International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) supercomputing system into the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL or Contractor) Energy Systems Integration Facility (ESIF). This CRADA (1) facilitates testing High Performance Computing (HPC) application platform portability, scalability, electrical energy use, and performance for applications critical to each organization; (2) facilitates use of the existing facility electrical and thermal data collection systems at Contractor ESIF in support of characterizing HPC workload power use characterization; and (3) facilitates addition of application power use data on the Participant IBM supercomputing system into the Contractor ESIF Time Series data system to use/re-use existing methodology to profile application power use.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fuel Fabrication Facility Study for FCF HALEU

Nuclear energy technology developers seek to bring to market new advanced reactor designs and new light water reactor fuel designs, many of which would deploy fuel made from uranium with 235 U enrichment ranging from 5% to 19.75%. There is currently no commercial supply of uranium in this enrichment range, which is higher than used in today’s light water reactors but still lower than the safeguards limit of 20% 235 U. This limitation is a barrier to development of demonstration of these new nuclear energy technologies. As a means to address this near-term need, DOE and Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has considered how the HALEU product from sodium-bonded spent fuel treatment in the INL Fuel Conditioning Facility (FCF), located at the Materials and Fuels Complex (MFC), might be provided and fabricated into some of the new fuel designs. The evaluation presented in this report addresses the potential establishment of two types of fuel fabrication capability at INL, represented generically as a ceramic-type (or pellet-type) fuel fabrication line and a metallic fuel fabrication line. Because the FCF HALEU feedstock contains residual transuranic contamination and a relatively small amount of residual fission products, fabrication with that material is necessarily performed inside of engineered confinement barriers, such as gloveboxes, which would be filled with inert gas for most of the fuel types considered. The throughput rate of the fabrication lines envisioned is 2.5 metric tons of HALEU fuel per year, which is judged to be sufficiently representative of engineering-scale. Space in three existing buildings was identified for consideration in this study of pre-conceptual equipment layouts. The scope and nature of the work needed to prepare each of the three buildings for each type of fuel fabrication was identified (though not in engineering detail), and three-dimensional models of envisioned fabrication equipment were laid out in each of the buildings to assess adequacy of space. The study concluded that either type of fuel fabrication line can feasibly be installed and operated in either of the three buildings. However, each of the three buildings presents different challenges in preparation, due to accommodating current missions that would need to be relocated or necessary decontamination and decommissioning work to free-up space for fuel fabrication, or due to complications of accessibility. Rough order-of-magnitude (ROM) cost estimates for preparing buildings begin at $10M ( 20%/+50%) and would increase with increased complexity of building modifications. The cost of fabrication equipment and gloveboxes is roughly estimated to be $21M (-20%/+50%) for a metallic fuel fabrication line and $27M (-20%/+50%) for a ceramic/intermetallic fuel fabrication line. Nominal operating costs are estimated to be $7M per year (in 2019 dollars), increasing from lower amounts needed as the operating crew is being assembled and trained.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Production of Medically Important Radionuclides 52 Mn and 90 Nb

Over the final reporting period of this project, we at MGH finalized our effort on Project 2: Production and Characterization of 90 Nb which, as per our previous report led us to an interesting application of mass spectrometry in radiometal chemistry. Overall, our research has developed parameters and procedures for delivering high 90 Nb for preclinical and translational applications by initializing the cyclotron targetry and separation chemistry for delivering 90 Nb in a chemical form suitable for subsequent development of 90 Nb-based PET radiotracers, and most recently we have published on the mass spectrometry applications described in the present report. We have been working with MSKCC (PI Jason Lewis) on the 90 Nb methodology and have had input from UAB (PI Suzy Lapi). An in-person meeting was held during the upcoming funding period with 2 PIs who are co-organizing the Radiochemistry Symposium (Lapi and Vasdev) and Program Director Dr. Ethan Balkin, during the ACS National Meeting in March 2018, and 2 PIs (Lewis and Vasdev) co presented in at the World Federation of Nuclear Medicine and Biology at a symposium sponsored by the Australian Nuclear Sciences and Technology Organisation, where they are both collaborating, in Melbourne, Australia in April 2018. Future projects and collaborations are under discussion with the Lapi lab to focus on new applications of 76 Br chemistry, and a new collaboration has already resulted with the Lewis lab on 18 F radiochemistry that employ iodonium ylide based precursors developed in the Vasdev lab, for clinical production of [ 18 F]MFBG. It is noteworthy that the PI has now relocated to the University of Toronto and has 2 cyclotrons (IBA Cyclone and Scanditronix MC-17) that will also be used to explore new 11 C-radiochemistry including [ 11 C]CO.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Hydraulic Testing of the Lost Lake Aquifer Near Recovery Well RWM 8

Groundwater beneath the M-Area HWMF is contaminated with chlorinated ethenes including trichloroethylene (TCE) and tetrachloroethylene (PCE). SRS operates a network of recovery wells designed to hydraulically contain and capture the high concentration VOC plume in the Lost Lake Aquifer Zone (LLAZ) (Figure 1). The recovery wells are connected to the M-1 Air Stripper and the system is permitted by the South Carolina Department of Environmental Control (SCDHEC) to operate at a total flow of 610 gpm. RWM 8, which is one of ten operational recovery wells, has historically operated at a flow rate of approximately 40 gpm. RWM 8 was installed with four separate 10-ft screens that spanned the LLAZ with a continuous gravel pack spaced as shown in Figure 2. The three uppermost screens are located within the LLAZ whereas the deepest screen is located within the middle sand of the Crouch Branch Confining Unit (CBCU). Area Closure Projects (ACP) installed a permanent packer in May 2019 to isolate the lowest screen from the pump with the goal being to target the zone of highest concentration in the LLAZ. ACP expressed concern that a substantial portion of the flow from RWM 8 comes from the lower screen. With this screen isolated from service, flow from the well may be below the desired operational envelope for the well. The reconfiguration of RWM 8 presented an opportunity to re-evaluate the performance characteristics of the well. Following placement of the packer and relocation of the pump, the well was redeveloped. To assess the effects of eliminating the lower screen, a step-drawdown test was planned. The purpose of this test was to establish new baseline well performance properties including specific capacity, well efficiency, and well loss coefficients. Data from the step-drawdown testing was also used to estimate a maximum pumping rate for RWM 8 under the new configuration. The setup for the step-drawdown test facilitated a subsequent constant rate aquifer pumping test aimed at determining aquifer hydraulic properties. Properties estimated for the LLAZ included transmissivity and storativity. Following shutdown of RWM 8, recovery data were also collected and analyzed to estimate aquifer properties. This report discusses the hydrologic tests conducted following the reconfiguration of RWM 8. The information provided in this report may serve as input to subsequent updates to the groundwater flow and contaminant transport model for A/M Area.

42 ENGINEERING↗

TA-16-0303 Crystal Grow Lab Renovation [Slides]

The LANL High Explosives (HE) Crystal Lab at TA-40 Building 12 is a unique, and nearly the sole, national resource for the growth and sample preparation of large HE single crystals and related materials. This work has outgrown is current facility and is in dire need of both additional space and modern lab technology. The goal of this project is to renovate the 1950’s era building TA-16-303 to accommodate these operations and successfully relocate them from TA-40-12. Phase 1 of this project, completed in May of 2018, was to de-energize the facility and perform clean-up / remediation activities. Phase 2, the actual renovation of the facility, is currently underway and on track to achieve Occupancy by May of 2020.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

TA-16-0303 Crystal Grow Lab Renovation

The LANL High Explosives (HE) Crystal Lab at TA-40 Building 12 is a unique, and nearly the sole, national resource for the growth and sample preparation of large HE single crystals and related materials. This work has outgrown is current facility and is in dire need of both additional space and modern lab technology. The goal of this project is to renovate the 1950’s era building TA-16-303 to accommodate these operations and successfully relocate them from TA-40-12. Phase 1 of this project, completed in May of 2018, was to de-energize the facility and perform cleanup / remediation activities. Phase 2, the actual renovation of the facility, is currently underway and scheduled to achieve Occupancy by September of 2020.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

ARM Mobile Facility Leaving Alaska for U.S. Southeast

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility will soon begin the process of moving its third mobile facility (AMF3) from Alaska to the Southeastern United States. A workshop in August 2018 identified the Southeast as a priority region of interest for further study by ARM. The Southeast is a region with abundant atmospheric convection, yet the land surface, boundary layer, vegetation, and aerosol properties are markedly different from those seen at ARM’s fixed observatory in Oklahoma, allowing opportunities to explore new research questions. To maximize the scientific value of the new site, DOE’s Biological and Environmental Research program selected a site science team that will help guide the move of AMF3. Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) in New York will lead the AMF3 relocation effort. Supported by ARM and DOE’s Atmospheric System Research (ASR), the multi-institutional team is responsible for developing a science plan and initial research project for the Southeastern U.S. deployment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

U.S. Industrial and Commercial Motor System Market Assessment Report Volume 1: Characteristics of the Installed Base

Motor systems are an integral part of our industrial and commercial facilities. They provide the motive force behind the fans, pumps, compressors, chillers, and conveyors in these facilities. Given their centrality to any facility’s operations, they are a critical energy end use to understand, particularly when developing technologies and policies to meet sustainability goals, improve productivity, and enhance resilience. In the late 1990s, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) conducted two seminal studies to better understand the installed stock and energy savings opportunities of industrial and commercial motor systems. In the industrial sector, The United States Industrial Electric Motor Systems Market Opportunities Assessment used primary data collected through onsite assessments and led to a greater understanding of the installed base of motor systems, their characteristics, and the opportunities for energy savings (U.S. Department of Energy, 2002). Notable findings included the following: Industrial motor systems consumed 679 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 1994, representing 23 percent of U.S. electricity consumption. Cost-effective energy efficiency measures could result in 62-104 billion kWh of energy savings annually. Sixty-two percent of the energy savings potential was from fan, pump, and compressor end use equipment. Nearly half of motor system electricity consumption was attributable to approximately 3,500 facilities, or 1.5 percent of U.S. manufacturing facilities. Opportunities for Energy Savings in the Residential and Commercial Sectors with High Efficiency Electric Motors provided an evaluation of the installed stock of motor driven equipment in U.S. commercial and residential buildings and opportunities for utilization of high efficiency motors and variable speed technologies (Arthur D. Little, 1999). Notable findings included the following: Commercial motor systems consumed 343 billion kWh in 1995, with refrigeration and space conditioning constituting 93 percent of the total. Cost-effective energy efficiency measures could result in 51 billion kWh of energy savings annually. Due in no small part to these seminal studies, motor system technologies and usage characteristics have changed drastically since the late 1990s. Greater awareness of cost-effective strategies for reducing motor system electricity consumption have been developed and deployed. This includes several software tools, literature, and utility and government programs promoting energy efficiency improvements in motor driven systems. Additionally, several rounds of energy efficiency standards have been enacted, resulting in improved installed motor efficiency. The cost of variable speed drives has dropped substantially, and combined with utility rebate programs, has led to their greater adoption. Further, since these results were published, the U.S. manufacturing sector has undergone a massive transformation. Due to global competition, some sectors have relocated operations overseas. Others have brought operations onshore to avail low cost and abundant natural gas. Additionally, automation and robotics have pervaded the entire sector. Consequently, these two reports likely do not represent the current state of motor driven systems in U.S. industrial and commercial facilities. As cited in recent studies, the lack of current information on motor system electricity consumption and use characteristics limits the ability to conduct analysis on energy savings potential, develop technologies to address energy and productivity gaps, and develop programs to promote energy efficiency practices and technologies for motor systems (International Energy Agency, 2007; UNIDO, 2010; McKane and Hasanbeigi, 2011; Waide and Brunner, 2011). Specifically, the lack of information affects a range of stakeholders: Governments must rely on outdated information when setting research agendas, developing policies, and designing energy efficiency programs and offerings. Utilities and energy efficiency programs cannot identify the current market needs or potential impact when designing rebate and energy efficiency programs. Electric grid planners cannot identify motor system usage characteristics when developing plans to support the resilience of the electric grid. Manufacturers of motors, motor driven equipment, and drives are hampered when developing technologies to meet the needs of their market. Motor system end users are limited in their ability to identify energy saving opportunities within their own facilities because they do not have reliable benchmark information. In response to the lack of current information and analysis on industrial and commercial motor systems, the DOE initiated an update to these two studies. Launched in 2016 and led by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), the Motor System Market Assessment (MSMA) provides an updated, more comprehensive assessment of the installed stock of motor systems in both the industrial and commercial sectors, a review of the supply chains supporting motor and drives in the U.S., and the performance improvement opportunity available from using best available technologies and maintenance and operation practices. The outcomes of the MSMA are documented in three U.S. Industrial and Commercial Motor System Market Assessment reports, with this report being the first listed: 1. Volume 1: Characteristics of the Installed Base (this report) documents the findings on the installed base of motor systems in the U.S. industrial and commercial sectors. Quantification of energy savings potential is not documented in this report but in Volume 3. 2. Volume 2: Motors and Drives Supply Chain Review reviews the state of supply chains for motors and drives installed in U.S. industrial and commercial facilities, focusing on advanced motor and drive technologies and their constituent materials. 3. Volume 3: Energy Savings Opportunity analyzes the energy performance improvement opportunity for the installed base of U.S. industrial and commercial motor systems. This report has been prepared as a reference for motor system stakeholders. It provides factual information as could be best determined by the assessment results and avoids speculating on any findings.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Development of a Ballon-Borne Barge-Mounted Wind Measurement Platform

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) is developing a low-cost, environmentally safe, and weather-proof sensor system that can be deployed offshore for extended periods of time for wind resource monitoring. The system has clear economic benefits over meteorological (met) tower approaches and is easily relocated to multiple locations across a project site. The end development goal is a buoy or barge-based, balloon-borne atmospheric measurement platform that operates autonomously in all but the most severe weather conditions, provides data of comparable accuracy to a met tower, and provides more accurate wind data at higher altitudes than floating lidar at half the cost.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Economic Model for Estimation of GDP Losses in the MACCS Offsite Consequence Analysis Code

The MACCS (MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System) code is the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) tool used to perform probabilistic health and economic consequence assessments for atmospheric releases of radionuclides. It is also used by international organizations, both reactor owners and regulators. It is intended and most commonly used for hypothetical accidents that could potentially occur in the future rather than to evaluate past accidents or to provide emergency response during an ongoing accident. It is designed to support probabilistic risk and consequence analyses and is used by the NRC, U.S. nuclear licensees, the Department of Energy, and international vendors, licensees, and regulators. This report describes the modeling framework, implementation, verification, and benchmarking of a GDP-based model for economic losses that has recently been developed as an alternative to the original cost-based economic loss model in MACCS. The GDP-based model has its roots in a code developed by Sandia National Laboratories for the Department of Homeland Security to estimate short-term losses from natural and manmade accidents, called the Regional Economic Accounting analysis tool (REAcct). This model was adapted and modified for MACCS and is now called the Regional Disruption Economic Impact Model (RDEIM). It is based on input-output theory, which is widely used in economic modeling. It accounts for direct losses to a disrupted region affected by an accident, indirect losses to the national economy due to disruption of the supply chain, and induced losses from reduced spending by displaced workers. RDEIM differs from REAcct in its treatment and estimation of indirect loss multipliers, elimination of double counting associated with inter-industry trade in the affected area, and that it is designed to be used to estimate impacts for extended periods that can occur from a major nuclear reactor accident, such as the one that occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi site in Japan. Most input-output models do not account for economic adaptation and recovery, and in this regard RDEIM differs from its parent, REAcct, because it allows for a user-definable national recovery period. Implementation of a recovery period was one of several recommendations made by an independent peer review panel to ensure that RDEIM is state-of-practice. For this and several other reasons, RDEIM differs from REAcct. Both the original and the RDEIM economic loss models account for costs from evacuation and relocation, decontamination, depreciation, and condemnation. Where the original model accounts for an expected rate of return, based on the value of property, that is lost during interdiction, the RDEIM model instead accounts for losses of GDP based on the industrial sectors located within a county. The original model includes costs for disposal of crops and milk that the RDEIM model currently does not, but these costs tend to contribute insignificantly to the overall losses. This document discusses three verification exercises to demonstrate that the RDEIM model is implemented correctly in MACCS. It also describes a benchmark study at five nuclear power plants chosen to represent the spectrum of U.S. commercial sites. The benchmarks provide perspective on the expected differences between the RDEIM and the original cost-based economic loss models. The RDEIM model is shown to consistently predict larger losses than the original model, probably in part because it accounts for national losses by including indirect and induced losses; whereas, the original model only accounts for regional losses. Nonetheless, the RDEIM model predicts losses that are remarkably consistent with the original cost-based model, differing by 16% at most for the five sites combined with three source terms considered in this benchmark.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Sampling and Analysis Plan for TRU Liquid Waste Facility Soil

The Radioactive Liquid Waste Treatment Facility Upgrade Project (RLWTF-UP) will relocate, upgrade, and consolidate existing treatment capabilities that are currently housed in the Radioactive Liquid Waste Treatment Facility (RLWTF) at Technical Area 50, Building 001 (TA-50-001).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Embedded Sensor Development in Metallic Structures for the Transformational Challenge Reactor

The ability to make minimally intrusive measurements of process conditions has tremendous potential for improving system performance and control in applications such as nuclear power generation. Towards this end, emerging and evolving advanced manufacturing methods, such as additive manufacturing, present new opportunities for more seamlessly integrating sensing with structure. This technical report summarizes the progress of work performed to assess the feasibility of embedding commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) sensors in a metallic reactor core using advanced manufacturing methods. The progress of four research and development tasks are documented: 1) A survey of COTS sensors for nuclear applications that are candidates for embedded fabrication, 2) Development of a conceptual framework for investigating the feasibility of sensor embedment, 3) Definition of structural geometries and other characteristics that will represent compelling proof-of-concept, and 4) Preliminary prototyping of embedded sensors. For the purposes of this initial study, nuclear grade K-type thermocouples were selected for investigation of embedment methodologies. This sensor was selected as an initial candidate because it represents one of the simplest sensor configurations that can provide useful process information. A selective laser melting (SLM) additive manufacturing process was used to fabricate structures with complexity representative of the core design of the transformational challenge reactor (TCR) and methods were developed to embed a thermocouple with a complex two-dimensional routing path. There are many challenges associated with embedding sensors during the additive manufacturing process including securing the sensor in the structure, relocating the part in the additive machine if using a “pick and place” sensor placement method, mitigating the potential for powder contamination, optimizing energy deposition parameters to build as closely as possible around the sensor path and improve structural integrity of the part, and tuning energy deposition to mitigate thermally induced warpage of the sensor and part as well as potential for damaging the sensing device. Preliminary results indicate that it is feasible to integrate the sensor while minimally compromising the structural integrity of the part and preserving sensor performance. This first phase of this work focused on developing a workflow for embedding sensors and controlling energy deposition during the additive manufacturing process to better understand the build characteristics around the sensor. Future work will perform more in-depth characterization of prototype parts using X-ray computed tomography and scanning electron microscopy to better understand fabricated structures, performance testing of embedded sensors in high temperature environments, adding new embedded measurement modalities, embedding devices with dissimilar materials in contact with additive powders, and the development of methods for embedding sensors with three-dimensional routing paths.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

MELCOR

MELCOR is a fully integrated, engineering-level computer code for modeling the progression of severe accidents in light water reactors (LWR) at nuclear power plants and nuclear fuel cycle facilities. Originally developed to assess severe accidents following Three Mile Island, MELCOR’s flexible modeling framework has enabled it to be applied to safety assessments of a much broader range of nuclear power reactor designs and other types of nuclear facilities processing radioactive material. Further, MELCOR can model a broad spectrum of severe accident phenomena such as thermal-hydraulic response in a reactor coolant system; core heat-up, degradation, and relocation; and transport behavior in both boiling water and pressurized water reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Data Analysis of the 2020 Central Idaho Mainshock-Aftershock Sequence

In an effort to inform the Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee for the Idaho National Laboratory, we provide an improved aftershock catalog related to the March 31, 2020, Mw6.5 Stanley, Idaho earthquake from picks related to a temporary network of two real-time and 15 non-telemetered seismometers within the epicentral area. From the permanent and temporary (XP) real-time network, the USGS cataloged 1,946 aftershocks between April 1, 2020 and October 31, 2020. To improve aftershock location and magnitudes, we manually picked arrival times of P and S waves from off-line stations in the XP temporary network, generated a new crustal velocity model, and independently relocated each event using the HypoDD double-difference earthquake algorithm. We created our new velocity model from existing broadband and active source seismic campaign data that were acquired near the epicentral region prior to the 2020 earthquake. We compare arrival time differences, epicentral locations and depths between aftershocks recorded with the two catalogs. We find the addition of local stations provides tighter aftershock clustering that suggests an improved aftershock locations. To detect lower magnitude events, we employed deep learning. Our method solves common problems associated with detecting many events that have a low signal-to-noise ratio. From the machine learning database, we detected more than 74,000 aftershocks. Based on the number of identified earthquakes and Gutenberg-Richter relationships derived from the USGS catalog, we estimate that we have reduced the completion magnitude for the Stanley earthquake sequence to below M1 using this machine learning approach. We located each aftershock with our new velocity model. Our new velocity model and picks suggests aftershocks occurred mostly at shallower depths than assessed in the USGS catalog. These aftershocks align along two linear trends that suggest the activation of two unnamed primary faults.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Solar Field Layout and Aimpoint Strategy Optimization

The existing methods that determine heliostat aiming strategies for concentrating solar power (CSP) central receiver plants typically use heuristics and/or are computationally expensive, and they lack flexibility for different desired flux profiles and receiver geometries. Because of the interaction between layout and aimpoint strategy, considering the former without accounting for the latter may yield solutions with superfluous heliostats that cannot be used efficiently without compromising receiver flux constraints. To that end, we develop a software decision tool that uses innovative optimization methods to both optimize aimpoint strategies and improve candidate layouts for the solar collection field of a CSP central receiver plant. A CSP plant’s effectiveness relies on the optical efficiency of the solar field, which may be limited by losses due to (i) the cosine effect, (ii) atmospheric attenuation, (iii) interference (i.e., shading and blocking) between heliostats, (iv) spillage as a result of heliostat positioning and geometry, and (iv) some heliostats’ inability to direct irradiance to the receiver without damage due to excessive thermal flux. The goal of this work is to obtain optimized aiming strategies and improved solar field layouts that reduce capital cost and increase field optical efficiency and utilization, while meeting the power requirements of a given CSP receiver design. We formulate the aimpoint optimization problem as a mixed-integer linear programming model, which we then decompose into submodels that we solve in parallel. The decomposition subdivides the solar field into sections, and aimpoint strategies for each section are obtained independently of the others. To improve existing layouts, we develop a utilization-weighted efficiency metric that we use to relocate heliostats to sections of the solar field with similar efficiency and higher utilization. Finally, to connect our software to high-fidelity flux models, we develop a Python application programming interface for SolarPILOT, a mature software package that characterizes solar field performance and generates the heliostat layouts and flux maps that serve as input to our models.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

MACCS Theory Manual

This report describes the models of the MACCS computer code as presented in MACCS Version 3.10.0. The purpose of MACCS is to simulate the impact of severe accidents at nuclear power plants on the surrounding environment. MACCS has been developed by Sandia National Laboratories for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. From a given release of radioactive material into the atmosphere, MACCS estimates the extent and magnitude of radiological contamination, offsite doses, protective actions, socioeconomic impacts and costs, and health effects. Since the weather at the time of an accident is not predictable, MACCS supports various sampling options to run a representative set of simulations to evaluate weather variability. MACCS simulates atmospheric transport with a straight-line Gaussian plume segment model. From the estimated air and ground concentrations, MACCS models dose projections through several dose exposure pathways. These exposures can be offset by protective actions during the emergency response and long-term recovery of the accident. MACCS users directly specify the evacuation and sheltering area, while other protective actions (e.g., relocation, farmland restrictions, decontamination) are based on user-specified dose or concentration limits. While protective actions help reduce dose accumulation, they also cause social and economic impacts. MACCS models the extent of displaced individuals and land contamination, and the cost of offsite property damage, economic disruptions, and various accident expenditures caused by protective actions. Finally, from the dose accumulation, MACCS estimates early and stochastic health effects according to dose-response models. The purpose of consequence analyses is to be able to understand and estimate the impact of nuclear accidents. Consequence analysis is an essential tool to inform determinations of adequate protection of the public, to understand nuclear power hazards, to measure the value of regulations, and to help us appreciate the importance of nuclear safety. As such, MACCS has a variety of regulatory uses including environmental analyses (10 CFR 51.53, 52.47), regulatory cost-benefit analyses, backfit analyses (10 CFR 50.109), consequence analysis studies such as SOARCA (NUREG-1935), Level 3 PRA studies, and risk-informing of emergency planning (10 CFR 50 App. E and 50.47). This report updates the previous MACCS theory manual (NUREG/CR-4691 Vol. 2; Chanin, Sprung, Ritchie, & Jow, 1990) and accompanies the MACCS User's Guide (SAND-2021-1588) that describes the use and input requirements of the graphical user interface of MACCS known as WinMACCS. The MACCS User's Guide is also a reference guide that describes data input file formats, describes various software components in the MACCS code suite, and provides a set of example tutorials for running WinMACCS. Also, soon to be published is a MACCS input parameter guidance report (NUREG/CR-7270) that provides technical bases for commonly used MACCS input values. This page left blank

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Locating Seismic Events with Local-Distance Data

As the seismic monitoring community advances toward detecting, identifying, and locating ever-smaller natural and anthropogenic events, the need is constantly increasing for higher resolution, higher fidelity data, models, and methods for accurately characterizing events. Local-distance seismic data provide robust constraints on event locations, but also introduce complexity due to the significant geologic heterogeneity of the Earth’s crust and upper mantle, and the relative sparsity of data that often occurs with small events recorded on regional seismic networks. Identifying the critical characteristics for improving local-scale event locations and the factors that impact location accuracy and reliability is an ongoing challenge for the seismic community. Using Utah as a test case, we examine three data sets of varying duration, finesse, and magnitude to investigate the effects of local earth structure and modeling parameters on local-distance event location precision and accuracy. We observe that the most critical elements controlling relocation precision are azimuthal coverage and local-scale velocity structure, with tradeoffs based on event depth, type, location, and range.

42 ENGINEERING↗