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At least 289 records · Page 16

Uranium-hydrogen reaction mechanism and numerical model

We have developed a numerical model to help predict lifetimes of uranium parts in situations where the uranium surface is exposed to hydrogen in the gas headspace. Assessments can be made based on hydrogen pressure and on an upper limit of size of a surface breached hydride spot (volume of hydride corrosion product produced). The model assumes development of a hydride nucleus at a single arbitrary subsurface location associated with an arbitrary surface defect and follows the development of the hydride nucleus to the break-through phase and further growth to the upper limit of acceptable volume of corrosion product. The model has been developed from an understanding of the hydriding mechanism outlined below in 10 steps and measured rates of hydrogen ingress at several types (chemically) of uranium surfaces at ambient temperature and variable pressure. The key points are 1) that the hydrides nucleate only at locations where a surface defect allows hydrogen ingress (reactant delivery) into the uranium metal subsurface (beyond the oxide), and 2) that the hydrides which eventually reach surface break-through status, nucleate and grow in the near surface (few 10s of micron depth maximum) – those beyond ~50 micron have arrested growth and never reach break-through status.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Verification and Validation of High Explosive Reactive Burn Models Implemented in LANL's EAP and LAP Code Base (FY2020 L2 Milestone MRT 7129) [Slides]

Advanced reactive burn models enable phenomena to be modeled that aren’t possible with programmed burn. Programmed burn propagates a burn front at a prescribed speed from a prescribed initiation point. Reactive burn uses the hydro variables (pressure, temperature, etc.) to determine when, how rapidly, and to what extent a zone detonates. This enables a completely new set of problems to be simulated. Our goal in this milestone has been to improve the usability of reactive burn modes. Thus, the closure criteria are: 1. Perform code and solution verification of the reactive burn models using appropriate solutions and simplified HE setups. 2. Perform validation assessments using small-scale experiments. 3. Evaluate sensitivities and quantify uncertainties due to model form variations and mesh dependencies.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Alaska Meteorology, Energy, and Transmission (MET) Toolkit

The Alaska MET (Meteorology, Energy, and Transmission) Toolkit is the National Laboratory of the Rockies' (NLR) new flagship atmospheric dataset, designed to support comprehensive long-term planning and operations across the entire power sector. Serving as the regional counterpart to CONUS-wide HRRR MET Toolkit, this dataset provides a comprehensive, high-fidelity meteorological record covering Alaska.The Alaska MET Toolkit is delivered at an hourly resolution on a standardized 2-km horizontal grid. This dataset is repackaged from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) operational High-Resolution Rapid Refresh for Alaska (HRRR-AK) forecasts. Spanning from 2019 to 2025, it overcomes the technical barriers of native weather models by providing spatial regridding from the native 3-km HRRR-AK horizontal resolution to a 2-km grid, temporal gap-filling, and vertical interpolation at key energy-relevant heights. By delivering highly accurate, validation-backed data across a comprehensive suite of atmospheric variables - including temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind characteristics - the Alaska MET Toolkit provides a highly accessible and strictly standardized foundation for modern power system modeling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Uncertainty in Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation derived from different observed datasets and their possible causes

As a leading mode of sea surface temperature (SST) variability over the North Atlantic in both observations and model simulations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) can have a substantial influence on regional and global climate. By using Low-Frequency Component Analysis, we explore the uncertainties of the resulting AMO indices and the corresponding spatial patterns derived from three observational SST datasets. We found that the known coherent spatial pattern of the AMO at the basin scale over the North Atlantic appears in two out of the three datasets. Further analysis indicates that both the warming trend and the different techniques used to construct these observed gridded SSTs contribute to the AMO’s spatial coherence over the North Atlantic, especially during periods of sparse data sampling. The SST in the Extended Reconstructed SST dataset version 5 (ERSSTv5), changes from being systematically below the other datasets during the dense sampling periods on either side of the Second World War (WWII), to systematically above the other datasets during WWII, thereby introducing an artificial 10–20-year variability that affects the AMO’s spatial coherence. This coherence in the AMO’s spatial pattern is also affected by bias adjustment in ERSSTv5 at relative cool (i.e., non-summer) seasons, and by the heterogeneous North Atlantic warming pattern. The different AMO patterns can induce the different effects of wind, surface heat fluxes, and then drive ocean circulation and its heat transport convergence, especially for some seasons. For AMO indices, both the different detrending methods and different observational data result in uncertainty for the period 1935–1950. Such SST uncertainty is important to detect the relative role of the atmosphere and ocean in shaping the AMO.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Predictability and empirical dynamics of fisheries time series in the North Pacific

Previous studies have documented a strong relationship between marine ecosystems and large-scale modes of sea surface height (SSH) and sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the North Pacific such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation. In the central and western North Pacific along the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension (KOE), the expression of these modes in SSH and SST is linked to the propagation of long oceanic Rossby waves, which extend the predictability of the climate system to ~3 years. Using a multivariate physical-biological linear inverse model (LIM) we explore the extent to which this physical predictability leads to multi-year prediction of dominant fishery indicators inferred from three datasets (i.e., estimated biomasses, landings, and catches). We find that despite the strong autocorrelation in the fish indicators, the LIM adds dynamical forecast skill beyond persistence up to 5-6 years. By performing a sensitivity analysis of the LIM forecast model, we find that two main factors are essential for extending the dynamical predictability of the fishery indicators beyond persistence. The first is the interaction of the fishery indicators with the SST/SSH of the North and tropical Pacific. The second is the empirical relationship among the fisheries time series. This latter component reflects stock-stock interactions as well as common technological and human socioeconomic factors that may influence multiple fisheries and are captured in the training of the LIM. These results suggest that empirical dynamical models and machine learning algorithms, such as the LIM, provide an alternative and promising approach for forecasting key ecological indicators beyond the skill of persistence.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Editorial: Applications of spectroscopy and chemometrics in nuclear materials analysis

Optical analysis techniques, including spectroscopy and image analysis, have many advantages when applied to the study of nuclear materials. They require small sample sizes, can be performed remotely, and can be proceduralized through consistent practice. Most importantly, they provide a wealth of information by generating multivariate data. For example, ultraviolet–visible–near-infrared absorbance spectroscopy of actinides in aqueous and organic solutions is dependent on the oxidation state, anionic complexation, and temperature. These variables are important for solution-based separation processes, and sensitivity to these factors, combined with online monitoring, can drive the efficiency and control of these processes. The morphology and chemical composition of actinide particles can also provide a vital clue to the mechanisms by which the particles were formed, providing forensic information on the origins of the particles.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Fast, High-fidelity Lyα Forests with Convolutional Neural Networks

Full-physics cosmological simulations are powerful tools for studying the formation and evolution of structure in the universe but require extreme computational resources. Here, we train a convolutional neural network to use a cheaper N-body-only simulation to reconstruct the baryon hydrodynamic variables (density, temperature, and velocity) on scales relevant to the Lyα forest, using data from Nyx simulations. We show that our method enables rapid estimation of these fields at a resolution of ~20 kpc, and captures the statistics of the Lyα forest with much greater accuracy than existing approximations. Because our model is fully convolutional, we can train on smaller simulation boxes and deploy on much larger ones, enabling substantial computational savings. Furthermore, as our method produces an approximation for the hydrodynamic fields instead of Lyα flux directly, it is not limited to a particular choice of ionizing background or mean transmitted flux.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Closed-loop control of active nematic flows

Stabilizing and shaping autonomous flows of active fluids is a fundamental challenge and a prerequisite for applications. We embed a light-responsive microtubule-based nematic in a proportional-integral control loop that adjusts the applied light intensity in response to real-time measurements of the spatially averaged flow speed. The self-regulating hardware/software/wetware system maintains a target flow speed against external or internal perturbations, including protein aging and aggregation, sample-to-sample variability, and temperature variation. Varying the controller’s gains reveals antagonistic roles between feedback and intrinsic processes, leading to nontrivial dynamics observed in fluctuation spectra. In particular, oscillations emerge from the interplay between the controller, motor binding kinetics, and active hydrodynamic relaxation. Accounting for the underlying binding timescale, our coarse-grained model and nematohydrodynamics simulations corroborate these observations. This work provides insight into the coupled dynamics of controlled active matter, laying the foundation for spatiotemporal patterning of active stress to generate and stabilize new dynamical configurations.

Nishiyama, Katsu [Brandeis Univ., Waltham, MA (Uni↗

Landscape-scale Characterization of Arctic Tundra Vegetation Composition, Structure, and Function with a Multi-sensor Unoccupied Aerial System: Supporting Data.

Airborne remote sensing data collected using the Brookhaven National Laboratory's (BNL) heavy-lift unoccupied aerial system (UAS) octocopter platform, the Osprey, operated by the Terrestrial Ecosystem Science and Technology (TEST) group (https://www.bnl.gov/testgroup). This package includes data from three flights flown over the NGEE-Arctic Council, Kougarok and Teller sites in July, 2018. The Osprey is a multi-sensor UAS platform that simultaneously measures very high spatial resolution optical red/green/blue (RGB) and thermal infrared (TIR) surface 'skin' temperature imagery, as well as surface reflectance at 1 nm intervals in the visible to near-infrared spectral range 350 - 1000 nm measured at regular intervals along each flight path. Derived image products include ortho-mosaiced RGB and TIR images, an RGB-based digital surface model (DSM) using the structure from motion (SfM) technique, digital terrain model (DTM), and a canopy height model (CHM). In addition, a VNIR surface reflectance file is provided for the trigger locations collected during each flight campaign. Ancillary aircraft data, flight mission parameters, and general flight conditions provided by the onboard flight and data collection computers are also included. Unprocessed and processed data products are included in this package (processing levels 0-3). Data and metadata are provided as text (*.txt, *.json, *.kml, *hdr, *.enp), tabular (*.dat, *.csv, *.waypoint, ENVI format (no extension)), point cloud (*.laz) and image (*.jpg, *.tif, *png) formats. This metadata document contains flight campaign, instrument and file metadata, along with a description of data processing levels, data products and file naming scheme.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy?s Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multiscale, mechanistic calculation of the effective silver diffusion coefficient in polycrystalline silicon carbide: application to silver release in AGR-1 TRISO particles

The silicon carbide (SiC) layer in tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel particles serves as a barrier to prevent the escape of fission from the fuel kernel. The release of silver (Ag) is a concern due to the long half-life of the 110mAg isotope. In this study, the effective diffusion coefficient of the fission product Ag through the grain boundary (GB) network is calculated using a combination of atomistic and phase-field methods. Atomistic calculations of Ag diffusivity in SiC bulk and GBs are leveraged to develop a mesoscale effective Ag diffusion coefficient (Deff) in SiC. Since GBs serve as pathways for Ag diffusion, Deff is defined as a function of temperature, microstructure variables, and fluence. Deff is implemented in the fuel performance code Bison to predict Ag release from AGR-1 TRISO fuel particles. We hereby quantify the impact of SiC grain size and irradiation on Ag release and improve Bison's predictions.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Understanding the effect of irradiation and silicon carbide microstructure on silver diffusion in TRISO particles

The silicon carbide (SiC) layer in tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel particles serves as a barrier to prevent the escape of fission from the fuel kernel. The release of silver (Ag) is a concern due to the long half-life of the 110mAg isotope. In this study, a combination of atomistic and phase-field methods focuses on quantifying the effect of irradiation and SiC microstructure on Ag diffusion. Atomistic calculations provide the Ag diffusivity in SiC bulk and GBs, also providing an estimate of the effect of irradiation defects on Ag diffusivity in bulk SiC. These lower length scale efforts are leveraged to develop a mesoscale effective Ag diffusion coefficient (Deff) in SiC. Deff is defined as a function of temperature, microstructure variables, and fluence. Deff is implemented in the fuel performance code Bison to predict Ag release from AGR-1 and AGR-2 TRISO fuel particles. We hereby quantify the impact of SiC grain size and irradiation on Ag release and improve Bison's predictions.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - FCIC Task 6: High Temperature Conversion

The impacts of feedstock variability on pyrolysis processes are significant but poorly defined. Current engineering designs are based on empirical guidelines, useful only over a narrow range of feedstock properties. The objectives of this project are to (1) Develop science-based knowledge of how feedstock attributes and operational parameters impact pyrolysis process reliability and product quality; and (2) Build an experimental and computational toolset that predicts these outcomes, enabling processes to optimize reliability and product quality. Biomass is a complex feedstock. Controlling for and testing the effects of individual attributes is very challenging. This project couples multiscale experimentation and modeling to accurately capture the fundamental physics and chemistry of biomass flow and conversion behavior in feeding and pyrolysis reactor operations. Our focus is on pine residue attributes – anatomical fraction (bark, needles, wood), particle morphology (size/shape distribution, density, porosity), and chemical composition (extractives, biopolymers, alkali metals) – that impact product quality for downstream catalytic upgrading. Because detailed pyrolysis product characterization is limited, cutting-edge analytical techniques are being developed to reveal impactful product attributes. The tools and knowledge developed here will enable integrated pyrolysis-based processes that are more robust, flexible, and market-responsive with respect to feedstock variability.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Corrosion of rebar in concrete. Part III: Artificial Neural Network analysis of chloride threshold data

Active corrosion of carbon steel in reinforced concrete occurs when the chloride ion concentration exceeds the chloride threshold (CT). CT is affected by many physical and chemical parameters including primary variables (pH, corrosion potential, breakdown potential, and temperature) and secondary variables (cemenet composition, concreete porosity, and water/cement ratio). A Kohonen-self organized map (KSOM) and regression artificial neural network (ANN) coupled methodology was developed to find the missing values of independent variables in the sparse database and for quantitatively evaluating the effects of these variables on CT values that are expressed in %TotalCl/cem (or %FreeCl/cem), and [Cl - ]/[OH - ].

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

On the potential impact of a half-degree warming on cold and warm temperature extremes in mid-latitude North America

This study focuses on potential impacts of climate change on the early spring (March-April) temperature and its extremes in the mid-latitudes of North America, discriminated between the 1.5 °C and 2 °C levels of global warming, as projected by a suit of numerical experiments. The results suggest relatively mild seasonal average warming (0.25 °C-1.5 °C), but also an intensification of both warm and cold temperature extremes. Furthermore, the derived changes feature much stronger warming over the West of the United States and weak to no warming to the East, which is congruent with the ventilating effect of the intensified northerly wind over central Canada and the East of the United States. The intensified northerly component of the mid-latitude jet is likely a contributing factor to the derived increased seasonal variability of March-April temperatures over parts of Manitoba and Ontario in Canada, and the Midwest of the United States. The projected changes in temperature extremes agree to some extent with the previous studies: Warm extremes intensify especially over southern mid-latitudes, while cold extremes are weakening over the north mid-to high-latitudes. However, high-resolution simulations with the Community Atmospheric Model 5 (CAM5) indicate much sharper spatial gradients, which translate into higher magnitudes and also more complex patterns of changes. Particularly, cold extremes feature not only reductions north of ~45°N latitudes, but also a very strong intensification of cold extremes (by-4 °C for 20 year return values) in the band 25°-45°N, centered in the Midwest of the United States. While general warming and intensification of the warm extremes may accelerate the arrival of early spring, the intensifying cold extremes may increase the risk of early spring frost damage, and hence may yield a profound impact on the regional agriculture of North America. Combined with reliable information on expected temperature variability at interannual-to-decadal timescales, the background longer-term projections can help inform decision makers in the food security sector.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sensitivity Effects of High Temperature Overhead Conductors to Line Rating Variables

IEEE/CIGRE standards provide a base for overhead transmission line ratings Steady State Ampacity industry standard for Static Ratings using conservative environmental assumptions Measurement of many types of sensors provide a possibility to provide more capacity as a time varying capability Direct sensors of line temperature, tension, or sag provide critical, location specific information. Require complex transformation to determine line ampacity rating Are direct measurements sensors placed at key location(s)? Testing and careful calibration of sensors required Need to understand impact of uncertainties on sensors/measurements/ and forecasts

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Fiber Optic Temperature Sensor Using Dual Air- Filled Fabry-Pérot Cavities With Variable Pressure

We present an approach for high temperature measurement using a pair of fiber-optic Fabry–Pérot (FP) cavities filled with gas of identical but variable pressure. One of the FPs (reference FP) is placed in the cold zone with a known temperature. The temperature of the measuring FP can be deduced by the spectral fringe shift vs. pressure of the two FPs. This method does not require measurement of the pressure or the knowledge of the optical properties of the gas. The use of gas as the sensing material and the measurement mechanism also implies long-term stability and eliminates the cross-sensitivity to strain. We fabricated the sensors and tested them for measuring temperature up to 800 °C. Here, the sensor shows good linearity in the range. Long-term test conducted at 800 °C exhibited the stability of the sensor with fluctuations of ≤0.3% over a duration exceeding 100 hours.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Relationships among diurnal variations of polar night cloud, precipitation, surface temperatures, and the fair-weather return current of the global electric circuit (GEC)

Over the past five years (June 2017-current), the vertical electric field (E z ) as well as numerous cloud, precipitation and radiation properties have been monitored at the Department of Energy-Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (DOE ARM) North Slope of Alaska (NSA) field site. Comparisons between the composite diurnal averaged fair-weather E z , and composite ceilometer derived cloud base height during the polar night, reveal a significant correlation between the parameters (r = 0.62), supporting previous studies that there is high correlation between local electric field and cloud properties. With the use of extensive instrumentation at the site, such as the Micro Pulse Lidar (MPL), Ka-band Zenith Radar (KAZR), ceilometer, SKYRAD, Precipitation Imaging Package (PIP), among others, this study provides a more comprehensive examination of the diurnal cycle of cloud and precipitation properties along with the localized fair-weather return current of the larger Global Electric Circuit (GEC) system. Comparisons between the composite diurnal averaged fair-weather E z , and cloud thickness, maximum column backscatter, and precipitation particle counts all show similar diurnal variability during the polar night, indicating that during the largest magnitude fair weather E z time periods, clouds bases tend to be higher, clouds are thicker, have a larger column backscatter, and display more precipitating particles. Furthermore, a slight diurnal variability in the polar night surface temperature was found to be highly correlated (r = 0.87) to the longwave downwelling irradiance measured by SKYRAD, indicating that the variations in the physical properties of local clouds could modulate the diurnal polar night surface temperature variability on the order of 0.5 °C/day. In conclusion, these findings emphasize the importance and global nature of the GEC system, with the global aggregate of thunderstorms and electrified clouds potentially influencing polar night cloud properties as well as diurnal wintertime polar surface temperature variation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Thermal stress in degraded forests in the Brazilian Amazon Arc of Deforestation

Understanding thermal stress in tropical forests has taken on new urgency in light of accelerating climate change and expansion of deforestation and forest degradation. Degraded tropical forests in particular may be approaching critical temperature thresholds even more rapidly than intact forests, with implications for tree survival and ecosystem recovery. We investigate thermal stress in degraded tropical forests within the Brazilian Amazon Arc of Deforestation. Using land surface temperature data from the ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on the international Space Station (ECOSTRESS), we compared canopy temperatures of intact, selectively logged, and burned forests in Feliz Natal, Mato Grosso, Brazil. Upper canopy temperatures in previously burned forests were 4.1% higher (mean = 36.5 °C) and 50.9% more variable compared to intact and logged forests, which showed remarkably similar temperature distributions (means of 34.9 °C and 35.1 °C, respectively). Modeled leaf temperature distributions based on canopy temperature measurements from one of the warmest days in a 2 year dry season record indicated that 87% of leaves in the warmest burned forest patches exceeded the temperature threshold where respiration surpasses photosynthesis, compared to approximately 72%–74% in intact and logged forests, respectively, in the same time period. After controlling for environmental factors, burned forests were predicted to be 2.6 °C warmer on average [1.39 °C–3.96 °C, 95% credible interval] than intact forests across a 5–40 m canopy height range. Burned forests showed modest thermal recovery over time, with temperatures decreasing by approximately 1.2 °C over a 30 year recovery period. In contrast, logged forests showed minimal thermal differences from intact forests (−0.353 on average, [−1.125–0.274, 95% credible interval]) and negligible change (0.15 °C) over the same timeframe. While the absolute probabilities of exceeding damaging thermal thresholds remain low across all forest types under current climate conditions, the probability of leaves exceeding temperatures that cause permanent leaf damage was ten times higher in burned forests, with implications for the future of burned forest regeneration in water-limited regions of the Amazon basin. In particular, the combination of higher mean temperatures, greater temperature variability, and more frequent exposure to damaging thermal thresholds implies that burned tropical forests will experience substantially higher mortality rates and slower biomass recovery compared to intact and selectively logged forests, especially in water-limited regions where trees cannot rely on evaporative cooling to moderate canopy temperatures.

Brazilian Amazon Arc of Deforestation↗