Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks
Overview: Deep learning and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN); CNN for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation; Preliminary results; Work in progress.
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Overview: Deep learning and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN); CNN for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation; Preliminary results; Work in progress.
The NASA Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) project relies on top-of-atmosphere (TOA) broadband fluxes derived from geostationary (GEO) satellite imagery to account for the diurnal flux variations between the CERES observation intervals, and thereby produce a synoptic gridded (SYN1deg) product based on continuous temporal observations. Consistent broadband flux derivation depends on accurate radiative property measurements and cloud retrievals, which largely determine the radiance-to-flux conversion process. Therefore, it is important to ensure a high quality of cloud property input in order to maintain a reliable broadband flux record. In Edition 4 of the CERES SYN1deg product, a robust automated image anomaly detection algorithm based on inter-line and inter-pixel differences, spatial variance, and 2-D Fourier analysis has been successful in identifying imagery with linear artifacts, but the line-by-line inspection and cleaning process must still be performed by a human. Therefore, further automation of this quality assurance process is warranted, especially considering the excessive amount of additional cleaning necessitated by the GOES-17 Advance Baseline Imager (ABI) cooling system anomaly. As such, this article highlights advancement of the CERES GEO image artifact cleaning approach based on a convolutional neural network (CNN) for classification of bad scanlines. Once trained, the CNN approach is a computationally inexpensive means to ensure greater consistency in cloud retrievals, and therefore broadband flux derivation, based on GOES-17 measurements.
Artificial intelligence (AI)-based techniques for intelligent contingency management (ICM) require that intelligent agents learn various aspects of system dynamics to create and execute contingencies. For high assurance contingency management, agents achieve the most compelling results through supervised or semi-supervised machine learning, for which agents require large datasets to learn the dynamics of the system. Unfortunately, data collection in aerospace applications can be costly, due to both time and resources. Presented work describes a framework for data augmentation of ICM databases containing training data for machine learning models. This framework populates the database with the outputs of generative adversarial network (GAN) models that were trained on flight data. Methods for evaluating the suitability of these models based on the equations of motion, as well as other physical constraints, are discussed. The paper demonstrates the utility of this database for training intelligent agents on the NASA T2 generic transport aircraft model and experimental vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) simulation model.
Artificial intelligence (AI)-based techniques for intelligent contingency management (ICM) require that intelligent agents learn various aspects of system dynamics to create and execute contingencies. For high assurance contingency management, agents achieve the most compelling results through supervised or semi-supervised machine learning, for which agents require large datasets to learn the dynamics of the system. Unfortunately, data collection in aerospace applications can be costly, due to both time and resources. Presented work describes a framework for data augmentation of ICM databases containing training data for machine learning models. This framework populates the database with the outputs of generative adversarial network (GAN) models that were trained on flight data. Methods for evaluating the suitability of these models based on the equations of motion, as well as other physical constraints, are discussed. The paper demonstrates the utility of this database for training intelligent agents on the NASA T2 generic transport aircraft model and experimental vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) simulation model.
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The Clouds and Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) projects provides satellite-based observations of the radiative fluxes and clouds systems. CERES climate quality data products typically take several months of calibration and validation before release to the public. An alternative data product, Fast Longwave and Shortwave radiative Flux (FLASHFlux), was created to provide data to the applied sciences and educational users. FLASHFlux provides Top-of-Atmosphere radiative fluxes, Clouds properties, and parameterized surface radiative fluxes within four days for footprint (Level 2) data. We investigate the use of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) using MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) derived clouds properties and meteorology from the Global Assimilation and Meteorology Office (GMAO) scaled to the CERES footprint from the CERES Clouds Radiative Swath (CRS) data product to compute surface radiative fluxes. We test ANN produce fluxes against surface fluxes produced from the Fu-Liou model used in CRS and the Langley Parameterized Shortwave Algorithm (LPSA) and Langley Parameterized Longwave Algorithm (LPLA) used in FLASHFlux. We also validated each model with ground-based observations. Furthermore, we investigate Leave-One-Feature-Out Importance (LOFO) to evaluate the significance of each feature in our training and provide insight for future models. Advances in machine learning, along with increases in computational capabilities and available data allow us to estimate effects of unresolved processes in our climate without direct modeling. This work evaluates the ability to create accurate data-driven models to supplement or replace current models that estimate surface radiative fluxes.
Transverse cirrus bands (TCBs) are a phenomenon that occurs in many mesoscale and synoptic weather systems, including tropical cyclones. TCBs are defined as "Bands of clouds oriented perpendicular to the flow in which they are embedded" (NOAA) and can be associated with low static stability and high environmental vertical wind shear in the upper levels (Kawashima 2021). TCBs in tropical cyclones are of particular interest due to their apparent occurrence and potential linkage to the tropical cyclone diurnal cycle, stronger tropical cyclones, and rapid intensification, where rapid intensification is an intensification rate of 30 knots or more in 24 hours (NHC).
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NASA’s long-term goal is to deploy humans to the Moon and, from there, advance human exploration to Mars, with Artemis missions as pivotal milestones. Raman spectroscopy can uniquely identify minerals, compounds, water states, and other materials, providing distinctive fingerprints for classification. A Raman instrument has been successfully deployed and utilized on the Mars surface via the Perseverance rover, but has not yet been utilized at the lunar surface The SUCR DALI project is working towards developing a Raman spectroscopy instrument to be applied in various lunar mission concepts, including within the Artemis program. The objective of my research is to assist in the maturation of the proposed SUCR DALI lunar Raman instrument through the development of an autonomous detection and classification model capable of identifying minerals and water states on the Moon’s surface.
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We introduce a method convolutional neural networks to detect the presence of clouds in airborne camera images. We quantify the performance of this Cloud Detection Neural Network (CDNN) using human-labeled validation data where we report a 96% accuracy in detecting clouds in testing datasets for both Zenith- viewing and Forward-viewing models. We assess our performance by comparing the flight-averaged cloud fraction of zenith and forward CDNN retrievals, with that of the prototype hyperspectral total-diffuse Sunshine Pyranometer (SPN-S) instrument’s cloud optical depth data. Comparison of the CDNN with the SPN-S on time specific intervals resulted in 93% accuracy for the zenith- viewing CDNN and 84% for the forward- viewing CDNN. The comparison of the CDNNs with the SPN-S on flight-averaged cloud fraction resulted in an agreement of 0.15 for the Forward CDNN and 0.07 for the Zenith CDNN. We then quantify the ability of the CDNN to identify the presence of clouds above the aircraft using a forward- looking camera mounted inside the aircraft cockpit compared to the use of an All- Sky upward-looking camera that is mounted outside the fuselage on top of the aircraft. We present results from the CDNN based on airborne imagery from the NASA Aerosol Cloud Meteorology Interactions Over the Western Atlantic Experiment (ACTIVATE) and the Clouds, Aerosol and Monsoon Processes- Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex). For CAMP2Ex 53% of flight dates had above- aircraft cloud fraction above 50%, while for ACTIVATE 52% and 54% of flight dates observed above-aircraft cloud fraction above 50% for 2020 and 2021, respectively.
The F-15 Advanced Controls Technology for Integrated Vehicles (ACTIVE) airplane (see figure) was the test bed for a flight test of an intelligent flight control system (IFCS). This IFCS utilizes a neural network to determine critical stability and control derivatives for a control law, the real-time gains of which are computed by an algorithm that solves the Riccati equation. These derivatives are also used to identify the parameters of a dynamic model of the airplane. The model is used in a model-following portion of the control law, in order to provide specific vehicle handling characteristics. The flight test of the IFCS marks the initiation of the Intelligent Flight Control System Advanced Concept Program (IFCS ACP), which is a collaboration between NASA and Boeing Phantom Works. The goals of the IFCS ACP are to (1) develop the concept of a flight-control system that uses neural-network technology to identify aircraft characteristics to provide optimal aircraft performance, (2) develop a self-training neural network to update estimates of aircraft properties in flight, and (3) demonstrate the aforementioned concepts on the F-15 ACTIVE airplane in flight. The activities of the initial IFCS ACP were divided into three Phases, each devoted to the attainment of a different objective. The objective of Phase I was to develop a pre-trained neural network to store and recall the wind-tunnel-based stability and control derivatives of the vehicle. The objective of Phase II was to develop a neural network that can learn how to adjust the stability and control derivatives to account for failures or modeling deficiencies. The objective of Phase III was to develop a flight control system that uses the neural network outputs as a basis for controlling the aircraft. The flight test of the IFCS was performed in stages. In the first stage, the Phase I version of the pre-trained neural network was flown in a passive mode. The neural network software was running using flight data inputs with the outputs provided to instrumentation only. The IFCS was not used to control the airplane. In another stage of the flight test, the Phase I pre-trained neural network was integrated into a Phase III version of the flight control system. The Phase I pretrained neural network provided realtime stability and control derivatives to a Phase III controller that was based on a stochastic optimal feedforward and feedback technique (SOFFT). This combined Phase I/III system was operated together with the research flight-control system (RFCS) of the F-15 ACTIVE during the flight test. The RFCS enables the pilot to switch quickly from the experimental- research flight mode back to the safe conventional mode. These initial IFCS ACP flight tests were completed in April 1999. The Phase I/III flight test milestone was to demonstrate, across a range of subsonic and supersonic flight conditions, that the pre-trained neural network could be used to supply real-time aerodynamic stability and control derivatives to the closed-loop optimal SOFFT flight controller. Additional objectives attained in the flight test included (1) flight qualification of a neural-network-based control system; (2) the use of a combined neural-network/closed-loop optimal flight-control system to obtain level-one handling qualities; and (3) demonstration, through variation of control gains, that different handling qualities can be achieved by setting new target parameters. In addition, data for the Phase-II (on-line-learning) neural network were collected, during the use of stacked-frequency- sweep excitation, for post-flight analysis. Initial analysis of these data showed the potential for future flight tests that will incorporate the real-time identification and on-line learning aspects of the IFCS.
The use of a recently developed machine learning (ML) interatomic potential for molecular dynamics simulations of aluminum melt properties will be presented. Such properties are critical for process modeling in additive manufacturing, including the melt pool size, solidification, and formation of solidification microstructures. Direct first-principles modeling of these processes is computationally prohibitive whereas simulations employing ML potentials combine the high accuracy of quantum-mechanical methods with high computational speeds. The physically-informed neural network (PINN) method used herein, integrates a high-dimensional regression implemented by an artificial neural network with a physics-based bond-order interatomic potential. PINN potentials can accurately reproduce many properties of aluminum in both crystalline-solid and liquid phases. We examine the accuracy of a PINN Al potential in predicting the density, self-diffusivity, viscosity, and the tension of the liquid surface and liquid-solid interfaces. Comparison with experimental data and ab initio molecular dynamics calculations shows very good agreement for all properties tested.
Under this grant, fiber optic sensors were investigated for use in the nondestructive evaluation of aging aircraft. Specifically, optical fiber sensors for detection and location of impacts on a surface, and for detection of corrosion in metals were developed. The use of neural networks was investigated for determining impact location by processing the output of a network of fiberoptic strain sensors distributed on a surface. This approach employs triangulation to determine location by comparing the arrival times at several sensors, of the acoustic signal generated by the impact. For this study, a neural network simulator running on a personal computer was used to train a network using a back-propagation algorithm. Fiber optic extrinsic Fabry-Perot interferometer (EFPI) strain sensors are attached to or embedded in the surface, so that stress waves emanating from an impact can be detected. The ability of the network to determine impact location by time-or-arrival of acoustic signals was assessed by comparing network outputs with actual experimental results using impacts on a panel instrumented with optical fiber sensors. Using the neural network to process the sensor outputs, the impact location can be inferred to centimeter range accuracy directly from the arrival time data. In addition, the network can be trained to determine impact location, regardless of material anisotropy. Results demonstrate that a back-propagation network identifies impact location for an anisotropic graphite/bismaleimide plate with the same accuracy as that for an isotropic aluminum plate. Two different approaches were investigated for the development of fiber optic sensors for corrosion detection in metals, both utilizing optical fiber sensors with metal coatings. In the first approach, an extrinsic Fabry-Perot interferometric fiber optic strain sensor was placed under tensile stress, and while in the resulting strained position, a thick coating of metal was applied. Due to an increase in the quantity of material, the sensor does not return to its original position upon removal of the applied stress, and some residual strain is maintained within the sensor element. As the metal thickness decreases due to corrosion, this strain is released, providing the sensing mechanism for corrosion detection. In the second approach, photosensitive optical fibers with long period Bragg gratings in the core were coated with metal. The Bragg gratings serve to couple core modes at discrete wavelengths to cladding modes. Since cladding modes interact with the metal coating surrounding the fiber cladding, the specific wavelengths coupled from core to cladding depend on the refractive index of the metal coating. Therefore, as the metal corrodes, the resulting change in index of the coating may be measured by measuring the change in wavelength of the coupled mode. Results demonstrate that both approaches can be successfully used to track the loss in metal coating on the optical fiber sensors due to corrosion.
The feasibility of using artificial neural networks as control systems for modern, complex aerospace vehicles is investigated via an example aircraft control design study. The problem considered is that of designing a controller for an integrated airframe/propulsion longitudinal dynamics model of a modern fighter aircraft to provide independent control of pitch rate and airspeed responses to pilot command inputs. An explicit model following controller using H infinity control design techniques is first designed to gain insight into the control problem as well as to provide a baseline for evaluation of the neurocontroller. Using the model of the desired dynamics as a command generator, a multilayer feedforward neural network is trained to control the vehicle model within the physical limitations of the actuator dynamics. This is achieved by minimizing an objective function which is a weighted sum of tracking errors and control input commands and rates. To gain insight in the neurocontrol, linearized representations of the nonlinear neurocontroller are analyzed along a commanded trajectory. Linear robustness analysis tools are then applied to the linearized neurocontroller models and to the baseline H infinity based controller. Future areas of research are identified to enhance the practical applicability of neural networks to flight control design.