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NASA NTRS1983

Phase coherence of solar cycle minima over two 178-year periods

The phases of solar cycle minima are compared with an 'ideal' sunspot cycle of the mean period of 11.4 years. The observed departures from the ideal model form a pattern over 16 cycles (approximately 178 years) which appears to be repeated over the next 16 cycles. Both in mathematic sign and amplitude the two 178-year cycles are coherent to a statistically significant level of 98 percent. If true, this furnishes a basis for predicting sunspot cycle minima.

Fairbridge, R. W.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Five years of photometry of Sigma Geminorum

Thirteen observatories have collaborated in obtaining five years of photoelectric photometry for the bright, K1 III RS CVn binary Sigma Geminorum. Except for one year, the light curve has exhibited two minima which are separated by approximately half a cycle. At the 1977.2 epoch of discovery one minimum was shallower, but as of 1982.2 they have become comparable in depth. During the 1979-80 season, the light curve changed shape rapidly, with the shallower minimum becoming as deep as the other within a period of no more than 80 days. The overall brightness range during the five years in V has been 4.13-4.29 mag, and it is found that the times of both minima can be fit with a photometric period of 19.423 days.

Fried, R. E.↗

NASA NTRS1983

The atmospheric lifetime experiment. III - Lifetime methodology and application to three years of CFCL3 data

Observations of the chlorofluorocarbon CFCl3 obtained several times daily over the period July 1978 to June 1981 at Adrigole, Ireland; Ragged Point, Barbados; Point Matatula, American Samoa; and Cape Grim, Tasmania are reported. In addition, observations at Cape Meares, Oregon are given for the period January 1980 to June 1981. On January 1, 1980, the average mixing ratio of CFCl3 in the lower troposphere is esimated to have been 168 pptv, and this is calculated to have been increasing 5.7 percent annually. Assuming that the only destruction of CFCl3 occurs in the stratosphere, the lifetime, on January 1, 1980, estimated by a trend technique is 83 + 73, or -27 years; the lifetime estimated from the global inventory of CFCl3 is to + 89 or -25 years. The maximum likelihood current lifetime estimate obtained by combining the estimates from both analysis techniques is 78 years.

Cunnold, D. M.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Solar wind variations in the 60-100 year period range: A review

The evidence for and against the reality of a solar wind variation in the period range of 60-100 years is reexamined. Six data sets are reviewed; sunspot numbers, geomagnetic variations, two auroral data sets and two (14)C data sets. These data are proxies for several different aspects of the solar wind and the presence or absence of 60-100 year cyclic behavior in a particular data set does not necessarily imply the presence or absence of this variation in other sets. It was concluded that two different analyses of proxy data for a particular characteristic of the heliospheric solar wind yielded conflicting results. This conflict can be resolved only by future research. It is also definitely confirmed that proxy data for the solar wind in the ecliptic at 1 A.U. undergo a periodic variation with a period of approximately 87 years. The average amplitude and phase of this variation as seen in eleven cycles of proxy data are presented.

Feynman, J.↗

NASA NTRS1985

11- and 22-year variations of the cosmic ray density and of the solar wind speed

Cosmic ray density variations for 17-21 solar activity cycles and the solar wind speed for 20-21 events are investigated. The 22-year solar wind speed recurrence was found in even and odd cycles. The 22-year variations of cosmic ray density were found to be opposite that of solar wind speed and solar activity. The account of solar wind speed in 11-year variations significantly decreases the modulation region of cosmic rays when E = 10-20 GeV.

Chirkov, N. P.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Dynamics of two-year cosmic ray variations inferred from the data of spacecraft and stratospheric measurements and from the neutron monitor data in 1959-1981

The two year cosmic ray variations are studied using the spacecraft measurements of 1967 to 1976, the sonde measurements at high latitudes in the stratosphere (Murmansk, Mirny), and the neutron monitor data of 1959 to 1981. The two year variations are most pronounced from 1967 to 1975. An anticorrelation is observed between the two year variations in cosmic rays and in geomagnetic activity.

Charakhchyan, T. N.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Environmental and structural assessment of four year in-commercial service composite helicopter structures

This paper presents the technical background for including environmental effects in the design of helicopter composite structures. This effort was supported by test results of components and panels having up to four years of field exposure. The preceeding was part of an eight year program to evaluate in-service environmental factors for comparison with laboratory test results. Full scale static and fatigue tests were conducted on composite components removed from S-76 helicopters used in commercial operations in the Gulf Coast region of Louisiana. Small scale tests were conducted using coupons removed from panels exposed to the outdoor environment in Stratford, Connecticut and West Palm Beach, Florida. Panel configurations were representative of S-76 components. Moisture analysis and strength tests on components and panels are reported after two, three and four years of exposure. Moisture levels were compared with predicted values. Mechanical test results were compared to initial certification tests for component strength, and to baseline laboratory coupon testing.

Ezzo, M. B.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Strength of graphite/epoxy bolted wing-skin splice specimens subjected to outdoor exposure under constant load and yearly fatigue loading

The results of an experimental study to provide long-term durability data on detailed full-scale graphite/epoxy wing-skin joint designs under environmental exposure and cyclic loading associated with commercial transport aircraft are reported. The specimens consisted of a single-row bolt configuration fabricated from T300/5208 and a double-row bolt configuration fabricated from T300/5209. The unpainted specimens were exposed to the outdoor environment under a sustained tensile load, and at yearly intervals, they were subjected to fatigue loading. Experimental results showed a slight reduction in residual tensile strength for both graphite/epoxy joints under the exposure times and fatigue loadings reported. A 7.5-percent decrease in residual strength was observed for the T300/5208 single-row joint after 5 years exposure and two lifetimes of fatigue loading. A 5.3-percent decrease in residual strength was observed for the T300/5209 double-row joint after 7 years exposure and 2.8 lifetimes of fatigue loading. The 5208 epoxy material was more susceptible to degradation by ultraviolet radiation than the 5209 epoxy material.

Wichorek, G. R.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Atmospheric lifetime and annual release estimates for CFCl3 and CF2Cl2 from 5 years of ALE data

CFCl3 and CF2Cl2 data for the 5-year period from July 1978-June 1983 are analyzed. The lifetime estimates are updated using the trend technique and the annual global release rates of the gases are derived. The effects of release uncertainties on lifetime estimates are examined by studying fluorocarbon data. It is observed that in 1981 the mixing ratios for CFCl3 and CF2Cl2 displayed increases of 8.8. and 15.3 pptv/year respectively, and the trend lifetime for CFCl13 is 74 + 31 or - 17 years and for CF2Cl2 111 + 222 or - 44 years.

Cunnold, D. M.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Seven years of total ozone from the TOMS instrument - A report on data quality

Seven years of TOMS total ozone data are currently available. Recently a new ozone retrieval algorithm based on improved ozone absorption cross section was implemented that has introduced 6-7 percent discontinuity in the archived data sets at the end of the fifth year of instrument operation. Until all data are reprocessed with the new algorithm users can use a table of correction factors given in this paper to make the data set internally consistent. This paper also presents a comparison of TOMS results with Amundsen Scott Dobson station. Though the agrement in most years is good, in 1983-84 the Dobson station reported unusually high values of ozone while TOMS saw the very low ozone values associated with the Antarctica ozone hole.

Fleig, Albert J.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Global atmospheric circulation statistics: Four year averages

Four year averages of the monthly mean global structure of the general circulation of the atmosphere are presented in the form of latitude-altitude, time-altitude, and time-latitude cross sections. The numerical values are given in tables. Basic parameters utilized include daily global maps of temperature and geopotential height for 18 pressure levels between 1000 and 0.4 mb for the period December 1, 1978 through November 30, 1982 supplied by NOAA/NMC. Geopotential heights and geostrophic winds are constructed using hydrostatic and geostrophic formulae. Meridional and vertical velocities are calculated using thermodynamic and continuity equations. Fields presented in this report are zonally averaged temperature, zonal, meridional, and vertical winds, and amplitude of the planetary waves in geopotential height with zonal wave numbers 1-3. The northward fluxes of sensible heat and eastward momentum by the standing and transient eddies along with their wavenumber decomposition and Eliassen-Palm flux propagation vectors and divergences by the standing and transient eddies along with their wavenumber decomposition are also given. Large interhemispheric differences and year-to-year variations are found to originate in the changes in the planetary wave activity.

Wu, M. F.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Two-year moored instrument results along 152 deg E

Results from a 2-year (nominal) deployment of a moored array along 152 deg E from 28 deg N to 41 deg N are presented, with emphasis on similarities and differences between settings (approximately year-to-year). Ten moorings and 38 instruments were involved, from the fall of 1980 to 1982. Current-temperature meters spanned the water column from 500- to 4000-m depths, with occasional instruments in the vicinity of 300 m and near the bottom (about 6000 m). Upper level features located in the center of the array near 35-36 deg N were generally stable relative to the axis of the Kuroshio Extension, varying from deployment to deployment with meanders in this flow regime. Some properties of the abyssal (about 4000 m) currents were comparatively more variable, with these changes not connected to meandering of the Kuroshio Extension in an obvious way. The vertical structure and frequency distributions of eddy kinetic energy were similar in shape and to some extent in amplitude from deployment to deployment, especially relative to meanders of the Kuroshio Extension, but translated in the opposite direction.

Schmitz, William J., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1988

An analysis of the 7-year record of SBUV satellite ozone data - Global profile features and trends in total ozone

Results are presented from an analysis of Nimbus 7 SBUV monthly-average total ozone data for the November 1978 - September 1985 period. Linear drifts are estimated for the differences between SBUV and Dobson ground station total ozone data. The results show an average negative linear drift in SBUV data relative to Dobson data of about -0.4 percent per year. The global estimate of the relation between total ozone and solar flux variations is 0.97 + or - 0.61/100 solar flux units, representing a change of total ozone over the 7-year period associated with solar flux variations of about -0.20 + or - 0.13 percent per year.

Reinsel, Gregory C.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Investigation of radar backscattering from second-year sea ice

The scattering properties of second-year ice were studied in an experiment at Mould Bay in April 1983. Radar backscattering measurements were made at frequencies of 5.2, 9.6, 13.6, and 16.6 GHz for vertical polarization, horizontal polarization and cross polarizations, with incidence angles ranging from 15 to 70 deg. The results indicate that the second-year ice scattering characteristics were different from first-year ice and also different from multiyear ice. The fading properties of radar signals were studied and compared with experimental data. The influence of snow cover on sea ice can be evaluated by accounting for the increase in the number of independent samples from snow volume with respect to that for bare ice surface. A technique for calculating the snow depth was established by this principle and a reasonable agreement has been observed. It appears that this is a usable way to measure depth in snow or other snow-like media using radar.

Lei, Guang-Tsai↗

NASA NTRS1989

Fifty Year Canon of Lunar Eclipses: 1986-2035

A complete catalog is presented, listing the general circumstances of every lunar eclipse from 1901 through 2100. To compliment this catalog, a set of figures illustrate the basic Moon-shadow geometry and global visibility for every lunar eclipse over the 200 year interval. Focusing in on the next fifty years, 114 detailed diagrams show the Moon's path through Earth's shadow during every eclipse, including contact times at each phase. The accompanying cylindrical projection maps of Earth show regions of hemispheric visibility for all phases. The appendices discuss eclipse geometry, eclipse frequency and recurrence, enlargement of Earth's shadow, crater timings, eclipse brightness and time determination. Finally, a simple FORTRAN program is provided which can be used to predict the occurrence and general characteristics of lunar eclipses. This work is a companion volume to NASA Reference Publication 1178: Fifty Year Canon of Solar Eclipses: 1986-2035.

Espenak, Fred↗

NASA NTRS1992

LDEF polymeric materials: 10 months versus 5.8 years of exposure

The chemical characterization of several polymeric materials which received both 10 months and 5.8 years of exposure on a Row 9 experiment (A0134) is reported. Specimens include polysulfone film, polysulfone matrix/graphite-fiber reinforced composites, and coated and uncoated epoxy matrix/graphite fiber reinforced composites. The effect of 10 months of exposure on an experimental silicon-containing polyimide copolymer film is also reported. The results of infrared, thermal, x-ray photoelectron, and scanning electron microscope analyses will be compared for the two exposures. Solution property measurements on the thermoplastic polysulfone resin will also be presented. Molecular level effects attributable to exposure and present in 10-month specimens are not present in 5.8-year specimens. This suggests that increased atomic oxygen fluence toward the end of the mission may have eroded selected environmentally-induced changes in surface chemistry for 5.8-year specimens.

Young, Philip R.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Residual strength of repaired graphite/epoxy laminates after 5 years of outdoor exposure

The NASA Langley Research Center has sponsored research to develop generic repair techniques and processes for advanced graphite/epoxy (Gr/Ep) composites applicable to secondary structures for commercial transport aircraft. The long-term durability of such repairs is being addressed in a 10-year outdoor exposure program at the Langley Research Center. Details of the program and results of residual strength tests after 5 years of outdoor exposure are presented. Four repair methods are being evaluated. These include: (1) externally bolted aluminum-plus adhesive; (2) precured, bonded external Gr/Ep; (3) cure-in-place external Gr/Ep; and (4) cure-in-place flush Gr/Ep. Repaired specimens as well as undamaged and damaged unrepaired controls are being exposed outdoors for 1, 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. The residual tensile strength of stressed, unstressed, and fatigue specimens from each group is reported and compared with the tensile strength of baseline specimens which received no outdoor exposure. Identification of the commercial products and companies is used to describe adequately the test materials. The identification of these commercial products does not constitute endorsement, expressed or implied, of such products by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

Deaton, Jerry W.↗

NASA NTRS1991

The 11 year history of starspots on V1149 Ori = HD 37824

All available radial-velocity measures, published and unpublished, yield an improved period and a new (assumed circular) solution. The period is 53.58 d +/- 0.02 d, and conjunction (K1 giant in front) was at 2 444 325.93 +/- 0.12 d. Eleven years of V-band photometry, published and unpublished, between 1978-1979 and 1989-1990 are analyzed. Eighteen data groups are fit with a two-spot light-curve-modeling technique. Six spots existing sometime during the 11 years are identified, and the 4-percent range of their rotation periods is used to estimate a differential rotation coefficient of k = 0.08 +/- 0.02. Observed lifetimes of those six spots are consistent with times calculated on the assumption that large spots are disrupted by the shear of differential rotation. The two best observed spots each lasted about five years.

Hall, Douglas S.↗