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At least 289 records · Page 16

Local adaptation of switchgrass drives trait relations to yield and differential responses to climate and soil environments

Abstract Switchgrass, a potential biofuel crop, is a genetically diverse species with phenotypic plasticity enabling it to grow in a range of environments. Two primary divergent ecotypes, uplands and lowlands, exhibit trait combinations representative of acquisitive and conservative growth allocation strategies, respectively. Whether these ecotypes respond differently to various types of environmental drivers remains unclear but is crucial to understanding how switchgrass varieties will respond to climate change. We grew two upland, two lowland, and two intermediate/hybrid cultivars of switchgrass at three sites along a latitudinal gradient in the central United States. Over a 4‐year period, we measured plant functional traits and biomass yields and evaluated genotype‐by‐environment (G × E) interaction effects by analyzing switchgrass responses to soil and climate variables. We found substantial evidence of G × E interactions on biomass yield, primarily due to deviations in the response of the southern lowland cultivar Alamo, which produced more biomass in hotter and drier environments relative to other cultivars. While lowland cultivars had the highest potential for yield, their yields were more variable year‐to‐year compared to other cultivars, suggesting greater sensitivity to environmental perturbations. Models comparing soil and climate principal components as explanatory variables revealed soil properties, especially nutrients, to be most effective at predicting switchgrass biomass yield. Also, positive correlations between biomass yield and conservative plant traits, such as high stem mass and tiller height, became stronger at lower latitudes where the climate is hotter and drier, regardless of ecotype. Lowland cultivars, however, showed a greater predisposition to exhibit these conservative traits. These results suggest switchgrass trait allocation trade‐offs that prioritize aboveground biomass production are more tightly associated in hot, dry environments and that lowland cultivars may exhibit a more specialized strategy relative to other cultivars. Altogether, this research provides essential knowledge for improving the viability of switchgrass as a biofuel crop.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Genome‐wide association and genomic prediction for yield and component traits of Miscanthus sacchariflorus

Abstract Accelerating biomass improvement is a major goal of Miscanthus breeding. The development and implementation of genomic‐enabled breeding tools, like marker‐assisted selection (MAS) and genomic selection, has the potential to improve the efficiency of Miscanthus breeding. The present study conducted genome‐wide association (GWA) and genomic prediction of biomass yield and 14 yield‐components traits in Miscanthus sacchariflorus . We evaluated a diversity panel with 590 accessions of M. sacchariflorus grown across 4 years in one subtropical and three temperate locations and genotyped with 268,109 single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The GWA study identified a total of 835 significant SNPs and 674 candidate genes across all traits and locations. Of the significant SNPs identified, 280 were localized in mapped quantitative trait loci intervals and proximal to SNPs identified for similar traits in previously reported Miscanthus studies, providing additional support for the importance of these genomic regions for biomass yield. Our study gave insights into the genetic basis for yield‐component traits in M. sacchariflorus that may facilitate marker‐assisted breeding for biomass yield. Genomic prediction accuracy for the yield‐related traits ranged from 0.15 to 0.52 across all locations and genetic groups. Prediction accuracies within the six genetic groupings of M. sacchariflorus were limited due to low sample sizes. Nevertheless, the Korea/NE China/Russia ( N = 237) genetic group had the highest prediction accuracy of all genetic groups (ranging 0.26–0.71), suggesting that with adequate sample sizes, there is strong potential for genomic selection within the genetic groupings of M. sacchariflorus . This study indicated that MAS and genomic prediction will likely be beneficial for conducting population‐improvement of M. sacchariflorus .

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Uncertainty analysis for infrasound waveform inversion: Application to explosion yield estimation

While the acoustic waveform inversion method is increasingly used in geophysical acoustics to constrain source parameters, the inversion results are often provided without any uncertainty analysis. Here, this study presents a probabilistic representation for acoustic waveform inversion and method to evaluate the inversion uncertainty using ground-truth data. A posteriori probability distribution of source estimate is described by a priori waveform misfit covariance and the variance of acoustic source model. The probabilistic framework is applied to local explosion infrasound to estimate the yields of explosions and uncertainty. Estimated yields showed overall good agreement with the true yields (less than 25% errors). The uncertainty of the estimated yield is represented by the sum of the waveform inversion uncertainty and source model uncertainty. It is shown that the yield uncertainty attributed to local infrasound inversion (within 10 km) is as small as the uncertainty caused by 10% prediction errors in the acoustic source model. Finally, these results indicate that the acoustic source model uncertainty should also be considered for accurate yield estimation and that local infrasound can be a valuable tool to understand the magnitude of the source uncertainty.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Measurement of proton light yield of water-based liquid scintillator

Abstract The proton light yield of liquid scintillators is an important property in the context of their use in large-scale neutrino experiments, with direct implications for neutrino-proton scattering measurements and the discrimination of fast neutrons from inverse $$\beta $$ β -decay coincidence signals. This work presents the first measurement of the proton light yield of a water-based liquid scintillator (WbLS) formulated from 5% linear alkyl benzene (LAB), at energies below 20 MeV, as well as a measurement of the proton light yield of a pure LAB + 2 g/L 2,5-diphenyloxazole (PPO) mixture (LABPPO). The measurements were performed using a double time-of-flight method and a pulsed neutron beam from the 88-Inch Cyclotron at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The proton light yields were measured relative to that of a 477 keV electron. The relative proton light yield of WbLS was approximately 3.8% lower than that of LABPPO, itself exhibiting a relative proton light yield 15–20% higher than previous measurements of an analogous anoxic sample. The observed quenching is not compatible with the Birks model for either material, but is well described with the addition of Chou’s bimolecular quenching term.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Data for Genome-Wide Association and Genomic Prediction for Yield and Component Traits of Miscanthus sacchariflorus

Accelerating biomass improvement is a major goal of miscanthus breeding. The development and implementation of genomic-enabled breeding tools, like marker-assisted selection (MAS) and genomic selection, has the potential to improve the efficiency of miscanthus breeding. The present study conducted genome-wide association (GWA) and genomic prediction of biomass yield and 14 yield-components traits in Miscanthus sacchariflorus . We evaluated a diversity panel with 590 accessions of M. sacchariflorus grown across four years in one subtropical and three temperate locations and genotyped with 268,109 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The GWA study identified a total of 835 significant SNPs and 674 candidate genes across all traits and locations. Of the significant SNPs identified, 280 were localized in mapped quantitative trait loci intervals and proximal to SNPs identified for similar traits in previously reported miscanthus studies, providing additional support for the importance of these genomic regions for biomass yield. Our study gave insights into the genetic basis for yield-component traits in M. sacchariflorus that may facilitate marker-assisted breeding for biomass yield. Genomic prediction accuracy for the yield-related traits ranged from 0.15 to 0.52 across all locations and genetic groups. Prediction accuracies within the six genetic groupings of M. sacchariflorus were limited due to low sample sizes. Nevertheless, the Korea/NE China/Russia (N = 237) genetic group had the highest prediction accuracy of all genetic groups (ranging 0.26–0.71), suggesting that with adequate sample sizes, there is strong potential for genomic selection within the genetic groupings of M. sacchariflorus . This study indicated that MAS and genomic prediction will likely be beneficial for conducting population-improvement of M. sacchariflorus .

Biomass Analytics↗

gaia: An R package to estimate crop yield responses to temperature and precipitation

gaia is an open-source R package designed to estimate crop yield shocks in response to annual weather variations and CO 2 concentrations at the country scale for 17 major crops. This innovative tool streamlines the workflow from raw climate data processing to projections of annual shocks to crop yields at the country level, using the response surfaces from an empirical econometric model developed and documented in Waldhoff et al. (2020), which leverages historical weather, CO 2 , and crop yield data for robust empirical fitting for 17 crops. gaia uses these response surfaces with monthly temperature and precipitation projections (e.g., from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) (O’Neill et al., 2016) climate data bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled by the ISIMIP3BASD approach (Lange, 2019) in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) (Warszawski et al., 2014)) to project yield shocks that can be applied to agricultural productivity changes at the country level for use in multisectoral economic models. The historical and future projections use gridded, country-and-crop specific monthly growing season precipitation and temperature data, aggregated to the national level, and weighted by cropland area derived from the global Monthly Irrigated and Rainfed Crop Areas around the year 2000 (MIRCA2000) dataset (Portmann et al., 2010). These annual, country, and crop-specific yield shocks can be aggregated to different definitions of regions, crop commodities, and time periods, as needed by specific multisectoral economic models. gaia serves as a lightweight, powerful tool that can aid exploration of crop yield responses under a broad range of future climate projections, enhancing human-Earth system analysis capabilities.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Biomass Yield of Warm-Season Grasses Affected by Nitrogen and Harvest Management

Native perennial warm-season grasses (NPWSG) have drawn interest as bioenergy feedstocks due to their high productivity with minimal amounts of inputs under a wide range of environments. Nitrogen fertility and harvest timing are critical management practices when optimizing biomass yield of NPWSG. Our objective was to quantify the impact of N fertilizer rate and timing in combination with harvest timing and frequency on NPWSG yield. Research was conducted in 2014 and 2015 on four field-plot locations in Missouri. The experiment was a split-plot design with three replications where N rate and harvest timing were the main and sub-plot treatments, respectively. Nitrogen rates were 0, 34, 67, and 101 kg N ha –1 with two application timings, all early spring and split N (early spring and following first harvest). Harvest timing included two single (September and November) and two double harvests (June followed by September or November) per year. Delaying harvest until November increased yield across sites. November harvest and N rates ≥67 kg ha –1 improved NPWSG biomass yields. Although N fertilization improved yield, partial factor productivity (PFP) of applied N did not increase with annual N rates >34 kg ha –1 . Fertilization at 67 kg ha –1 yr –1 provides an opportunity to maintain a balance between yield and N efficiency. Furthermore, these results demonstrated that N fertilization and harvest management of NPWSG were not always independent, and therefore these practices should be simultaneously considered. For example, early-season harvesting suppressed response to N when the second harvest was not delayed until after frost.

Weerasekara, Chamara S.↗

Predictions of Yield Strength Evolution Due to Physical Aging of 828 DGEBA/DEA using the Simplified Potential Energy Clock Model

The capability of the Simplified Potential Energy Clock Model (SPEC) to represent the uniaxial compression yield strength evolution under isothermal aging conditions is evaluated for a widely used epoxy thermoset encapsulation material, 828 DGEBA/DEA. A baseline model calibration is used. We note that this calibration did not consider yield strength behavior close to the glass transition temperature ( T g ), but in this work, the model is exercised in this temperature range to evaluate the ability to predict changes in material response with aging as equilibrium is approached. Some model alterations were needed to remove negative Prony weights in the thermal and bulk relaxation function ( f 1 ), which is chiefly responsible for aging in this analysis, but otherwise, the model was not altered. Model predictions of yield stress evolution are quantitatively different compared with experiments, but the rate of change of yield stress with respect to aging time is in reasonable agreement with respect to experiments for the first 1000 hours of aging. After this aging time, the measured yield stress stops evolving, but the model continues to evolve for several more decades in time. Parametric studies and model alterations are considered to investigate how yield strength evolution predictions are affected by modeling choices. It is clear that the baseline calibration must be re-examined in order to represent the aging data quantitatively.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Beirut Explosion Yield and Mushroom Cloud Height - Effects of the Source Environment

I use crater dimensions to estimate the yield of the August 4th, 2020 Beirut explosion to be equivalent to approximately 1.4 kilotons of TNT with a lower bound of about 0.7 kilotons. Based on the amount of ammonium nitrate reported to have been stored at the Beirut harbor, I assume an upper bound for the yield of 2.75 kilotons. However, it is highly likely that the yield was less than 2.75 kilotons, since reported values for TNT equivalence of ammonium nitrate are typically much less than one hundred percent. The crater-size based yield estimates are based on crater radius estimates from satellite imagery and empirical curves and data for scaled crater radius from past chemical and nuclear explosions. I present evidence that suggests that the relatively large crater radius is due to a high degree of coupling of shock wave energy to the surrounding medium and a reduction of the effective stress because of a high level of saturation of the geologic media beneath the explosion. I provide yield estimates based on seismic body-wave magnitude and crater depth as corroborating evidence. I compare preliminary estimates for the maximum debris cloud height, based on cell phone videos/images, with predicted maximum heights for this yield range from empirical formulas and numerical cloud-rise models. Based on a preliminary analysis of cell phone footage, the observed maximum cloud height appears to be approximately 1600 m. This is much lower than that predicted using standard empirical formulas and buoyant cloud rise models. I present results from a modified buoyant cloud rise model that more accurately predicts the maximum cloud height by allowing for the inclusion of a fixed amount of air and/or water into the fireball at the start of cloud rise. The amount of mass that needs to be added at the start, to reproduce the observed maximum cloud height, is relatively small compared to the total mass entrained during cloud rise. A much greater amount of dry air or debris is required, relative to water, for an equivalent reduction in maximum cloud height. The ammonium nitrate is one possible source for water in the fireball since it was being stored in a very humid environment and ammonium nitrate is known to be hygroscopic. The ground beneath the explosion, especially if it were saturated, and the nearby harbor could also have been sources for water or debris in the fireball.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Standardizing a Renewed Fission Product Yield Library and Related Covariances (Part II)

A complete library of independent fission product yields including covariance information was generated by a sequential Bayesian methodology whose prior information consisted of independent fission product yields and branching ratios of the possible decay modes reported in the recently released ENDF/B-VIII.0 nuclear data library. The Bayesian procedure consisted in the adjustment of independent fission product yields to match the set of stable and long-lived cumulative yields reported in the ENDF/B-VIII.0 nuclear data library which, in this work, were considered as legacy values together with their uncertainties. According to the χ 2 -metric, the results obtained by this methodology show a systematic improvement in the agreement with legacy reported cumulative yields for the entire adjusted independent fission product yield library.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Yield stress and flow behavior of enzyme liquefied slurries from corn cobs and corn stover pellets

With the increase in population, the world will depend on renewable sources to meet the increasing energy needs. The use of lignocellulosic biomass as a renewable source has been proven efficient for conversion to cellulosic ethanol and capable of contributing to thresholds for energy demand while reducing greenhouse gases by 90% when compared with fossil fuels. However, limitations in feeding and flow within biorefineries is encountered when system plugging occurs due to biomass compaction and a high yield stress for slurries formed during its processing, thereby preventing transport of biomass materials between plant unit operations. In some cases, this leads to unexpected plant shutdowns increasing industrial operational costs. As an alternative, enzyme-assisted liquefaction for slurry creation from corn stover at solids loadings up to 30% is reported in this work. Two different kinds of biomass (pelleted corn stover and cobs) were liquefied in a fed-batch process using commercial enzymes Celluclast 1.5L or Ctec-2 at 1FPU or 3 FPU per gram of dry solids in 10 mM sodium citrate buffer solution (pH 4.8). Pellets were fed into a 1 L stirred bioreactor according to a pre-defined fed-batch protocol over the first 5 hours until reaching 30% of solids loading. After 6, 24 and 96 hours, samples were taken and characterized with respect to their sugar composition, rheology and water absorption. Successful slurry creation with dramatically reduced yield stress was achieved for corn stover for both assessed enzymes. Yield stresses of 178±7 Pa (3 FPU, Celluclast 1.5L) and 79±6 Pa (3 FPU, Ctec-2) were measured for corn stover at 24 hours, compared to 6,000 Pa for samples without enzyme. Yield stress was 155± 29 Pa (3FPU, Ctec-2) and 257 ± 72 Pa (1 FPU,Celluclast 1.5L) for corn cobs at 24 hours. Yield stress decreased when residence time increased with an enhanced fluidity noted for higher enzyme concentrations. A profile for 6, 24 and 96h of yield stress measurements is presented.

Guitierrez, Diana↗

Effect of Feedstock Variability, Feedstock Blends, and Pretreatment Conditions on Sugar Yield and Production Costs

Mass production of sustainable biofuels replacing fossil fuels will significantly reduce global greenhouse gas emissions. However, biomass feedstock variability, availability, and affordability pose significant risks for the sustainable production of biofuels in biorefinery plants. To derisk the sustainable production of biofuels, this work investigates the sugar yields and production costs of four different feedstocks as well as their blends, using different pretreatment methods: deacetylation and dilute acid pretreatment (DDA) and deacetylation and mechanical refining pretreatment (DMR). We found that not only feedstock species variability, but also feedstock harvesting techniques have large impacts on both sugar yields and production costs. Single-pass harvested corn stover (SPCS) showed higher sugar yields and lower production costs than multipass harvested corn stover, followed by sorghum and switchgrass. The highest glucose yields of 91% and 95.3%, which corresponds to the lowest sugar production costs of $0.2286/lb. and $0.2490/lb., were observed for SPCS using DDA and DMR, respectively. The difference in sugar yields and production costs due to feedstock variability can be largely mitigated by increasing deacetylation severity, especially in DMR. Higher deacetylation severity resulted in decreased sugar production costs in the case of DMR in contrast to increased costs in the case of DDA. Blending switchgrass and sorghum into corn stover, which can significantly increase the feedstock availability and sustainability, resulted in sugar yields and production costs of roughly the weighted average of those derived from constituent individual feedstocks, respectively. Thus, blending feedstocks of different biomass species is a potential successful strategy for sustainable production of biofuels to replace fossil-derived fuels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

An Evolutionary Yield Function Model Based on Plastic Work and Non-Associated Flow Rule

A constitutive law was developed based on the evolutionary yield function to account for the evolution of anisotropy induced by the plastic deformation. For the effective description of anisotropy, the yield stress function and plastic potential were separately defined based on the non-associated flow rule. In particular, for the description of the equivalent status, the accumulated plastic work was employed as an alternative to the accumulated plastic strain. Numerical formulations based on the plastic work were also derived in case the hardening rule, as well as the evolution of the plastic potential and yield stress function, were defined in terms of the plastic work. The developed constitutive law was characterized using the mechanical properties of the multi-phase BAO QP980 steel and niobium sheets at room temperature. From the uniaxial tension tests and the balanced biaxial tension test, separate sets of anisotropic coefficients for each of the plastic potential and yield stress functions were obtained as a function of the plastic work. By comparing with non-evolving yield functions, the importance of the developed constitutive law to properly describe the evolution of the plastic potential and yield function were validated.

Park, Taejoon↗

Secondary organic aerosol (SOA) yields from NO 3 radical + isoprene based on nighttime aircraft power plant plume transects

Nighttime reaction of nitrate radicals ( NO 3 ) with biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOC) has been proposed as a potentially important but also highly uncertain source of secondary organic aerosol (SOA). The southeastern United States has both high BVOC and nitrogen oxide ( NO x ) emissions, resulting in a large model-predicted NO 3 -BVOC source of SOA. Coal-fired power plants in this region constitute substantial NO x emissions point sources into a nighttime atmosphere characterized by high regionally widespread concentrations of isoprene. In this paper, we exploit nighttime aircraft observations of these power plant plumes, in which NO 3 radicals rapidly remove isoprene, to obtain field-based estimates of the secondary organic aerosol yield from NO 3 + isoprene. Observed in-plume increases in nitrate aerosol are consistent with organic nitrate aerosol production from NO 3 + isoprene, and these are used to determine molar SOA yields, for which the average over nine plumes is 9 % ( ±5 %). Corresponding mass yields depend on the assumed molecular formula for isoprene- NO 3 -SOA, but the average over nine plumes is 27 %( ±14 %), on average larger than those previously measured in chamber studies (12 %–14 % mass yield as Δ OA / Δ VOC after oxidation of both double bonds). Yields are larger for longer plume ages.This suggests that ambient aging processes lead more effectively to condensable material than typical chamber conditions allow. We discuss potential mechanistic explanations for this difference, including longer ambient peroxy radical lifetimes and heterogeneous reactions of NO 3 -isoprene gas phase products. As a result more in-depth studies are needed to better understand the aerosol yield and oxidation mechanism of NO 3 radical + isoprene, a coupled anthropogenic–biogenic source of SOA that may be regionally significant.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Application of wheat yield model to United States and India

The author has identified the following significant results. The wheat yield model was applied to the major wheat-growing areas of the US and India. In the US Great Plains, estimates from the winter and spring wheat models agreed closely with USDA-SRS values in years with the lowest yields, but underestimated in years with the highest yields. Application to the Eastern Plains and Northwest indicated the importance of cultural factors, as well as meteorological ones in the model. It also demonstrated that the model could be used, in conjunction with USDA-SRRS estimates, to estimate yield losses due to factors not included in the model, particularly diseases and freezes. A fixed crop calendar for India was built from a limited amount of available plot data from that country. Application of the yield model gave measurable evidence that yield variation from state to state was due to different mixes of levels of meteorological and cultural factors.

Feyerherm, A. M.↗

Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment (LACIE). Feasibility of assessing crop condition and yield from LANDSAT data

The author has identified the following significant results. Yield modelling for crop production estimation derived a means of predicting the within-a-year yield and the year-to-year variability of yield over some fixed or randomly located unit of area. Preliminary studies indicated that the requirements for interpreting LANDSAT data for yield may be sufficiently similar to those of signature extension that it is feasible to investigate the automated estimation of production. The concept of an advanced yield model consisting of both spectral and meteorological components was endorsed. Rationale for using meteorological parameters originated from known between season and near harvest dynamics in crop environmental-condition-yield relationships.

Source record↗

The Relationship of Red and Photographic Infrared Spectral Data to Grain Yield Variation Within a Winter Wheat Field

Two band hand-held radiometer data from a winter wheat field, collected on 21 dates during the spring growing season, were correlated within field final grain yield. Significant linear relationships were found between various combinations of the red and photographic infrared radiance data collected and the grain yield. The spectral data explained approximately 64 percent of the within field grain yield variation. This variation in grain yield could not be explained using meteorological data as these were similar for all areas of the wheat field. Most importantly, data collected early in the spring were highly correlated with grain yield, a five week time window existed from stem elongation through antheses in which the spectral data were most highly correlated with grain yield, and manifestations of wheat canopy water stress were readily apparent in the spectral data.

Tucker, C. J.↗

Relationship of spectral data to grain yield variation

Two-band hand-held radiometer data from a winter wheat field, collected on 21 dates during the spring growing season, were correlated with within-field final grain yield. Significant linear relationships were found between various combinations of the red and photographic infrared radiance data collected and the grain yield. The spectral data explained about 64 percent of the within-field grain yield variation. This variation in grain yield could not be explained using meteorological data as these were similar for all areas of the wheat field. Most importantly, data collected early in the spring were highly correlated with grain yield, a five-week time window existed from stem elongation through anthesis in which the spectral data were most highly correlated with grain yield, and manifestations of wheat canopy water stress were readily apparent in the spectral data.

Tucker, C. J.↗