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At least 289 records · Page 16

Numerical Analysis of Offshore Wind-Farm-Induced Drag Effects on Coastal Upwelling Dynamics

Wind farms extract momentum from the atmospheric flow, generating wind-speed deficits both within the plant, and extending downstream. When located offshore, these deficits modulate air-sea coupling, potentially impacting coastal upwelling in sensitive regions. We investigate impacts of wind farms on coastal upwelling using kilometre-scale, three-way-coupled simulations with the coupled ocean-atmosphere-wave-sediment transport system for the US West Coast. Wind-farm effects are represented by a generalised turbine drag formulation, an idealised, height-dependent body force whose magnitude is systematically varied. This approach isolates the leading-order fluid-dynamical response in a realistic coastal configuration. The atmospheric adjustment exhibits an approximately linear relation between drag force and wind-speed deficit, with wakes that expand downstream and increase in magnitude as drag increases. An empirical orthogonal function analysis of sea-surface-temperature anomalies reveals the emergence of a canonical dipole pattern under strong drag forcing. Subsurface diagnostics show consistent shoaling of the mixed layer and suppressed upward velocities in areas near wind-farm region, accompanied by compensating enhancements of shoaling closer to the coast. These results identify turbine drag as a control parameter in assessing interactions between wind-farm wake and coastal upwelling and provide scaling relationships for understanding offshore wind-farm effects on the coastal circulation dynamics.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Design, Analysis, and Experimental Testing of Hydrogen Lean Direct Injection Nozzles at Elevated Pressure

Abstract There are many challenges of commissioning a hydrogen combustor into future gas turbine engines; especially regarding achieving emissions goals. Previously, Escudero et al. and Tran et al. conducted a study to adapt the liquid fuel Lean Direct Injection (LDI) concept from Jet-A to gaseous natural gas-hydrogen blends and pure hydrogen [1], [2]. Experimental data was collected at atmospheric conditions using a Box Behnken design of experiments. The design of experiments suggested that biasing the air split in favor of the inner air circuit and increasing the swirl strength of this inner air passage resulted in improved NOx emissions, while the inverse was true for stability, which was quantified by studying the lean blowoff point (LBO) [1], [2]. The trends revealed by the original experiment [1], [2] provided a design direction for further iterations of the experimental hardware. The study presented herein describes the further investigation of such LDI injectors through experimental methods and computational fluid dynamic (CFD) simulations at atmospheric conditions, which were used to identify potential flow behaviors driving enhanced emissions performance. Further evaluation of select injectors from both studies was then conducted at elevated pressures up to 6 atmospheres. The results from both experiments are presented in this study, which include flame observations, emissions measurements, and operational challenges. NOx emissions results are reported on a volume basis in ppmvd corrected to 15% O2 and corrected for fuel. A predictive model for relating NOx emissions to test conditions at atmospheric conditions show high significance to adiabatic flame temperature while little to no significance to fuel composition for the best performing configurations. The results illustrate the connection between atmospheric testing and testing elevated pressures. The design direction indicated by the initial tests and CFD results in promising configurations for implementation into a Multi-point LDI array.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Systematic characterization of unknown compounds via dimensionality reduction of time series

Analysis of ambient aerosols provides valuable insight into particle sources and formation chemistry. However, due to the complexity of atmospheric data and the dynamic nature of aerosol composition, a substantial fraction of data often become discarded by conventional analysis methods. Furthermore, a large fraction of chemical species within those data are unidentifiable due to a lack of matching spectral information, resulting in suboptimal characterization of chemical composition. Previous work has demonstrated techniques for cataloging analytes in a chromatographic dataset by deconvolution of mass spectra, but integration of these analytes throughout a large dataset remains time consuming. Here, we present a method to automatically identify an ion for quantitation for single-ion chromatogram based peak fitting and integration, enabling comprehensive integration of analytes with minimal user interaction. The resulting time series are clustered with a machine-learning based dimensionality reduction technique to systematically investigate the underlying characteristics of the categorized analytes and gain new insights into the chemical composition and physicochemical properties of the unidentifiable analytes. We apply these methods to existing atmospheric datasets collected in Manacapuru, Brazil during the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign to identify new analytes and interpret their variability and transformations in the atmosphere. The analysis results generate 408 time series from cataloged analytes of interest, and the clustering of those time series with spherical k-means results in 8 distinct clusters. We find the analytes form clusters based on their distinct physicochemical properties, demonstrating the method’s ability to systematically identify and selectively filter contaminants and instrumental analytes and characterize the unidentifiable analytes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

On the Diffusivity of Moist Static Energy and Implications for the Polar Amplification Response to Climate Warming

Energy balance models (EBMs) have been widely used in a range of climate problems, but the assumption of constant diffusivity in the parameterization of the moist static energy (MSE) flux can be hardly justified. We demonstrate in this study that the diffusive MSE flux can be derived from the basic energy balance equation with a few tolerable assumptions. The estimated diffusivity is both spatially and seasonally dependent, and its midlatitude average is then tested against several scaling theories for the midlatitude eddy diffusivity. The result supports the diffusivity theory of Held and Larichev (1996) modified for the moist atmosphere, affording a dynamics-based parameterization of MSE diffusivity. The implementation of the parameterization in an EBM leads to an interactive MSE diffusivity that accounts for the midlatitude eddy response to climate forcing perturbations. Under a uniform radiative forcing, the EBM with a diffusivity so parameterized produces a weakening of the midlatitude diffusivity and a modestly polar-amplified surface temperature response as an inevitable outcome under the dual constraints of the nonlinear Clausius-Clapeyron relation and the temperature gradient-dependent diffusivity, even in the absence of any poleward amplifying radiative feedbacks. As the consequence of more isothermal temperature and reduced diffusivity, the variance of the midlatitude surface temperature also decreases with warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A New Field Instrument for Leaf Volatiles Reveals an Unexpected Vertical Profile of Isoprenoid Emission Capacities in a Tropical Forest

Both plant physiology and atmospheric chemistry are substantially altered by the emission of volatile isoprenoids (VI), such as isoprene and monoterpenes, from plant leaves. Yet, since gaining scientific attention in the 1950’s, empirical research on leaf VI has been largely confined to laboratory experiments and atmospheric observations. Here, we introduce a new field instrument designed to bridge the scales from leaf to atmosphere, by enabling precision VI detection in real time from plants in their natural ecological setting. With a field campaign in the Brazilian Amazon, we reveal an unexpected distribution of leaf emission capacities (EC) across the vertical axis of the forest canopy, with EC peaking in the mid-canopy instead of the sun-exposed canopy surface, and moderately high emissions occurring in understory specialist species. Compared to the simple interpretation that VI protect leaves from heat stress at the hot canopy surface, our results encourage a more nuanced view of the adaptive role of VI in plants. We infer that forest emissions to the atmosphere depend on the dynamic microenvironments imposed by canopy structure, and not simply on canopy surface conditions. We provide a new emissions inventory from 52 tropical tree species, revealing moderate consistency in EC within taxonomic groups. We highlight priorities in leaf volatiles research that require field-portable detection systems. Our self-contained, portable instrument provides real-time detection and live measurement feedback with precision and detection limits better than 0.5 nmol VI m -2 leaf s -1 . We call the instrument ‘PORCO’ based on the gas detection method: photoionization of organic compounds. We provide a thorough validation of PORCO and demonstrate its capacity to detect ecologically driven variation in leaf emission rates and thus accelerate a nascent field of science: the ecology and ecophysiology of plant volatiles.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of grassland fire dynamics on particulate emission factors

Understanding particulate emission factors in grassland fires is critical for improving air quality assessments and refining emissions inventories. This study explores the dynamic and heterogeneous nature of fire processes and their influence on particulate emissions. Traditional emission factor inventories often rely on static values, overlooking the spatially and temporally variable dynamics of fire behavior. Through field experiments conducted at Konza Prairie Biological Station measuring emissions with uncrewed aerial vehicles, and computational modeling using HIGRAD/FIRETEC, this research highlights the dependency of emission production on localized fire dynamics, including ignition patterns, fuel properties, and atmospheric conditions. The results demonstrate a need for fire dynamic considerations to accurately capture emissions variability.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Evaluation of precipitation across the contiguous United States, Alaska, and Puerto Rico in multi-decadal convection-permitting simulations

Abstract This study is an early effort to generate a multi-decadal convection-permitting regional climate dataset that covers nearly the entire North American continent. We assessed a 20 year dynamically downscaled regional climate simulation at a 4 km spatial resolution with explicit convection across the contiguous United States (CONUS), Alaska, and Puerto Rico. Specifically, we evaluated the model’s performance in representing mean, 95th percentile, and extreme precipitation across regions. Our findings indicate that when compared with ERA5 reanalysis, the forcing data, convection-permitting simulation improves representations of seasonal, 95th percentile, and extreme precipitation over a large portion of the CONUS, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, particularly in areas where precipitation is heaviest. The simulation adds value over its forcing data (ERA5) in up to 53% of all grid cells in the CONUS, 68.8% in Alaska, and 84.0% in Puerto Rico. It is important to note that, however, despite improvements, model errors in Puerto Rico remain large. Similar improvements are observed in extreme indices, including consecutive dry days, maximum 5 days precipitation, and extreme precipitation. Analysis of the diurnal cycle of mean hourly precipitation suggests that representations of convective processes—including onset, dissipation, suppression, downstream propagation, and local circulation—improved overall.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An interplay between a hydrogen atmosphere and dislocation characteristics in BCC Fe from time-averaged molecular dynamics

The interplay between hydrogen and dislocations (e.g., core and elastic energies, and dislocation–dislocation interactions) has implications on hydrogen embrittlement but is poorly understood. Continuum models of hydrogen enhanced local plasticity have not considered the effect of hydrogen on dislocation core energies. Energy minimization atomistic simulations can only resolve dislocation core energies in hydrogen-free systems because hydrogen motion is omitted so hydrogen atmosphere formation can’t occur. Additionally, previous studies focused more on face-centered-cubic than body-centered-cubic metals. Discrete dislocation dynamics studies of hydrogen–dislocation interactions assume isotropic elasticity, but the validity of this assumption isn’t understood. Here, we perform time-averaged molecular dynamics simulations to study the effect of hydrogen on dislocation energies in body-centered-cubic iron for several dislocation character angles. We see atmosphere formation and highly converged dislocation energies. We find that hydrogen reduces dislocation core energies but can increase or decrease elastic energies of isolated dislocations and dislocation–dislocation interaction energies depending on character angle. We also find that isotropic elasticity can be well fitted to dislocation energies obtained from simulations if the isotropic elastic constants are not constrained to their anisotropic counterparts. These results are relevant to ongoing efforts in understanding hydrogen embrittlement and provide a foundation for future work in this field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Forecasting Tropical Annual Maximum Wet-Bulb Temperatures Months in Advance From the Current State of ENSO

Humid heatwaves, characterized by high temperature and humidity combinations, challenge tropical societies. Extreme wet-bulb temperatures (TW) over tropical land are coupled to the warmest sea surface temperatures by atmospheric convection and wave dynamics. Here, we harness this coupling for seasonal forecasts of the annual maximum of daily maximum TW (TW max ). We develop a multiple linear regression model that explains 80% of variance in tropical mean TW max and significant regional TW max variances. The model considers warming trends and El Niño and Southern Oscillation indices. Looking ahead, the strong-to-very-strong El Niño at the end of 2023, with an Oceanic Niño Index of ~2.0, suggests a 2024 tropical land mean TW max of 26.2°C (25.9–26.4°C), and a 68% chance (24%–94%) of breaking existing records. This method also predicts regional TW max in specific areas.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A New Framework for the Attribution of Air‐Sea CO 2 Exchange

Abstract The air‐sea transfer of carbon dioxide can be viewed as a dynamic system through which atmospheric and oceanic processes push surface waters away from thermodynamic equilibrium, while diffusive gas transfer pulls them back toward local equilibrium. These push/pull processes drive significant sub‐seasonal, seasonal, and interannual variability in air‐sea carbon fluxes, the quantification of which is critical both for diagnosing the ocean response to fossil fuel emissions and for attempts to mitigate anthropogenic climate disruption through intentional modification of surface ocean biogeochemistry. In this study, we present a new approach for attributing air‐sea carbon fluxes to specific mechanisms. The new framework is first applied to a two‐box ocean nutrient and carbon cycle model as an illustrative example. Next, outputs from a regional eddy‐resolving model of the Southern Ocean are analyzed. The roles of multiple physical and biogeochemical processes are identified. The decomposition of the seasonal air‐sea carbon flux shows the dominant role of biological carbon pumps that are partially compensated by the transport convergence. Finally, the framework is used to diagnose the response to mesoscale iron and alkalinity release, explicitly quantifying transport feedback and eventual impacts on net air‐sea carbon flux. Ocean carbon transport has divergent influences between iron and alkalinity release, due to opposing near‐surface gradients of dissolved inorganic carbon. We suggest that our attribution framework may be a useful analytical technique for monitoring natural ocean carbon fluxes and quantifying the impacts of human intervention on the ocean carbon cycle.

Ito, Takamitsu [School of Earth and Atmospheric Sc↗

A baseline for ensemble-based, time-resolved inflow reconstruction for a single turbine using large-eddy simulations and latent diffusion models

We are interested in reconstructing winds flowing through a turbine on a second-by-second basis over a 10 min window. Previously, we developed a machine learning algorithm that takes in a snapshot of wind speed measurements and generates ensembles of three-dimensional wind field estimates. Here, we use these estimates as initial conditions in large-eddy simulations and reconstruct atmospheric and turbine response dynamic quantities in a synthetic field campaign. In doing so, we establish a baseline for model validation that future time-aware data assimilation techniques will be compared to. In turbine-free case studies, ground truth wind speeds consistently fall within our estimated wind speed distribution for the first 100 s after the simulation start. In simulations with turbines, the wind estimates show a small bias of 0.10 m s 1 and good correlation of 0.80 during the first 100 s. During this window, our estimates of the Blade 1 bending moment and generator power typically span the ground truth, with the estimate of the former performing better overall. In summary, this approach shows promise as a stand-alone technique for reconstructing real-world inflow and turbine dynamics in 1-2 min windows and as a foundation for future time-aware data assimilation techniques.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Logarithmic profile of temperature in sheared and unstably stratified atmospheric boundary layers

The impact of buoyancy on the mean velocity, temperature, and scalar concentration profiles in the lower atmosphere is typically investigated within the framework of Monin-Obukhov similarity theory (MOST). MOST is the theoretical foundation for parametrizing surface-atmosphere exchanges in nearly all weather, climate, and hydrological models.According to MOST, the classic logarithmic profiles of mean velocity and temperature break down as the buoyancy effects become important. However, recent studies on turbulent Rayleigh-Bénard convection and natural convection along vertical walls suggest that the mean temperature in the near-surface region still follows a logarithmic profile.Motivated by these new results, we study the mean potential temperature profile in sheared and unstably stratified atmospheric boundary layers using direct numerical simulations and field observations. We find that the mean potential temperature profile remains logarithmic across a wide range of stability parameters, which characterizes the relative importance of buoyancy versus shear effects. Compared to MOST, our results suggest that the buoyancy force does not modify the logarithmic nature of the mean potential temperature profile, but instead modulates its slope, which is no longer universal and differs from 1/κ,whereκisthe von Kármán constant. Furthermore, this study provides another perspective on scalar turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Automated Operational Forecasting of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems

Monsoon low pressure systems (LPSs) are the dominant rain-bearing weather system of South Asia, often producing extreme precipitation and hydrological disasters in a region inhabited by nearly two billion people. Despite the importance of these storms, no operational system has automatically identified and tracked LPS in real time in numerical weather prediction model output; many commonly used vortex-tracking algorithms are ill suited for monsoon LPS because of the weak winds and cold cores of these systems. Here, we describe a new system that uses optimized algorithms to identify monsoon LPS in short- to medium-range forecasts from the U.S. Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) and a version of the deterministic Global Forecast System (GFS) adapted and used operationally by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM). We also assess the historical performance of these models in forecasting South Asian monsoon LPS, comparing this with the performance of the Integrated Forecasting System of the ECMWF. We assess the accuracy of model predictions of LPS genesis, position, intensity, and precipitation rates for forecast lead times of 1–5 days, yielding quantitative information on model biases to guide operational forecasters and disaster managers. The system we introduce here could be extended to other low-latitude regions affected by dynamically weak, heavily precipitating atmospheric vortices that are often not included in tropical cyclone inventories.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

CROCUS Urban Canyons - Space Science and Engineering Center (SPARC) Doppler lidar data

This is the netCDF format output from the Halo Photonics Streamline XR Doppler lidar that was deployed next to the Space Science and Engineering Center (SPARC) trailer at the University of Illnois-Chicago greenhouse parking lot during CROCUS Urban Canyons. The purpose of collecting this dataset is to provide vertical and horizontal wind profiles for studying the characteristics of turbulence over the urban canyon of Chicago. This data contains the radial velocity, intensity, and backscatter from the vertical profile, range height indicator, and sector scans that were performed over both Intensive Operating Period 1 and 2 of CROCUS Urban Canyons. There are four different types of files: * The Range Height Indicator (RHI) files contain scans that are along a constant azimuth, spanning the entire hemisphere of elevation values above the surface. * The Velocity Azimuth Display (VAD) files contain the raw radial velocity data from the 6-beam, 60 degree scans. * The User1 files contain stacked Plan Position Indicator scans over a 45 degree quadrant over downtown Chicago. * The Stare files contain vertically pointing scans. These are standard netCDF files that can be opened using xarray. The VAD scans can be processed from their raw radial velocities to horizontal wind speeds with the Atmospheric data Community Toolkit (https://arm-doe.github.io/ACT/).

EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > ATMOSPHERIC WINDS↗

CICE Consortium Progress Report, June 2018 - December 2019

The CICE Consortium accomplished a number of major upgrades to our sea ice model code, scripts and testing infrastructure, while strengthening our visibility in the international modeling community. We released CICE versions 6.0.0, 6.0.1, 6.0.2 and 6.1.0, all of which include updated releases of Icepack. Major new capabilities include a floe size distribution, new coupling infrastructure, improvements to all of CICE’s dynamics options, a new atmospheric data set for historical simulations, overhauled documentation, and more robust and flexible scripts for running and testing the code. Several key testing processes were automated this year. In addition, the team is actively engaged in planning our first user workshop and tutorial in February 2020. In addition to overseeing modifications to the Consortium’s resources and code releases, management tasks included meeting with and updating the Consortium’s Sponsors group in October 2018, prioritizing tasks by mapping them onto potential release targets, and rescuing early CICE releases (version 1 through 3.14) from a disappearing LANL archive.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Hybrid (PDE+ML) models in the context of land ice modeling

Focal Area(s): Primary focal areas are: predictive modeling through the use of AI-derived model components; advanced methods including network design/optimization/deep learning. Science Challenge: The atmospheric, ocean and ice dynamics components of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) are governed by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and significant efforts have been made during the last decades to develop such computational models. Here we propose to fundamentally improve these PDE-based codes by enhancing them with Machine Learning (ML) sub-models for complex, poorly understood physical processes in the context of ice sheet modeling. We propose to train these models with a novel approach that allows the assimilation of the different sources of data available (direct/indirect observations and possibly simulation data), improving on existing simplified models. We also highlight computational challenges originating from the coexistence of PDE-based and ML-based models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Seasonal changes in the drivers of water physico-chemistry variability of a small freshwater tidal river

Where rivers meet the sea, tides can exert a physical and chemical influence on the lower reaches of a river. How tidal dynamics in these tidal river reaches interact with upstream hydrological drivers such as storm rainfall, which ultimately determines the quantity and composition of material transferred from watersheds to estuaries, is currently unknown. We monitored a small freshwater tidal river in the Pacific Northwest, USA in high resolution over one year to evaluate the relative importance of tides versus upstream hydrological flows (i.e., base flow and precipitation events) on basic physico-chemical parameters (pH, dissolved oxygen, turbidity, specific conductivity, and temperature), and how these interactions relate to the downstream estuary. Tidal variability and diurnal cycles (i.e. solar radiation) dominated water physico-chemical variability in the summer, but the influence of these drivers was overshadowed by storm-driven sharp pulses in river physico-chemistry during the remainder of the year. Within such events, we found incidences of counterclockwise hysteresis of pH, counterclockwise hysteresis of dissolved oxygen, and clockwise hysteresis of turbidity, although systematic trends were not observed across events. The dominance of storm rainfall in the river’s physico-chemistry dynamics, and similar pulses of decreased pH observed in adjacent estuarine waters, suggest that the linkage between tidal streams and the broader system is variable throughout the year. High-frequency monitoring of tidal river biogeochemistry is therefore crucial to enable the assessment of how the relative strength of these drivers may change with future sea level rise and altered precipitation patterns to modulate biogeochemical dynamics across the land-ocean-atmosphere continuum.

aquatic↗

Fog Intermittency and Critical Behavior

The intermittency of fog occurrence (the switching between fog and no-fog) is a key stochastic feature that plays a role in its duration and the amount of moisture available. Here, fog intermittency is studied by using the visibility time series collected during the month of July 2022 on Sable Island, Canada. In addition to the visibility, time series of air relative humidity and turbulent kinetic energy, putative variables akin to the formation and breakup conditions of fog, respectively, are also analyzed in the same framework to establish links between fog intermittency and the underlying atmospheric variables. Intermittency in the time series is quantified with their binary telegraph approximations to isolate clustering behavior from amplitude variations. It is shown that relative humidity and turbulent kinetic energy bound many stochastic features of visibility, including its spectral exponent, clustering exponent, and the growth of its block entropy slope. Although not diagnostic, the visibility time series displays features consistent with Pomeau–Manneville Type-III intermittency in its quiescent phase duration PDF scaling (−3/2), power spectrum scaling (−1/2), and signal amplitude PDF scaling (−2). The binary fog time series exhibits properties of self-organized criticality in the relation between its power spectrum scaling and quiescent phase duration distribution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗