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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16

Impact of transportation network companies on urban congestion: Evidence from large-scale trajectory data

We collect vehicle trajectory data from major transportation network companies (TNCs) in New York City (NYC) in 2017 and 2019, and we use the trajectory data to understand how the growth of TNCs has impacted traffic congestion and emission in urban areas. By mining the large-scale trajectory data and conduct the case study in NYC, we confirm that the rise of TNC is the major contributing factor that makes urban traffic congestion worse. From 2017 to 2019, the number of for-hire vehicles (FHV) has increased by over 48% and served 90% more daily trips. These resulted in an average citywide speed reduction of 22.5% on weekdays, and the average speed in Manhattan decreased from 11.76 km/h in April 2017 to 9.56 km/h in March 2019. The heavier traffic congestion may have led to 136% more NOx, 152% more CO and 157% more HC emission per kilometer traveled by the FHV sector. Our results show that the traffic condition is consistently worse across different times of the day and at different locations in NYC. And we build the connection between the number of available FHVs and the reduction in travel speed between the two years of data and explain how the rise of TNC may impact traffic congestion in terms of moving speed and congestion time. Our findings provide valuable insights for different stakeholders and decision-makers in framing regulation and operation policies towards more effective and sustainable urban mobility.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A novel probabilistic regression model for electrical peak demand estimate of commercial and manufacturing buildings

Due to the high cost of electricity in commercial and industrial sectors, demand forecast models have gained increasing attention. However, there are two unresolved issues: (1) Models are not adaptable when exposed to previously unknown data (2) The value of regression methods vs. state-of-the-art machine learning models has not been made apparent before. This study’s goal is to develop probabilistic demand estimation models. Herein, we propose a probabilistic Bayesian regression framework that can not only estimate future demands with high accuracy but also be updated once new information is available. By applying the proposed algorithm to two real-world case studies (commercial and manufacturing), we show a 40.3% and 30.8% improvement in terms of mean absolute error for the two cases. Moreover, the proposed technique outperforms powerful machine learning approaches, including support vector machine by 10.39%, random forest by 6.17%, and multilayer perceptron by 9.14% in terms of mean absolute percentage error.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Renormalized classical theory of quantum magnets

Here, we derive a renormalized classical spin (RCS) theory for 𝑆 >1/2 quantum magnets by constraining a generalized classical theory that includes all multipolar fluctuations to a reduced CP 1 phase space of dipolar SU(2) coherent states. When the spin Hamiltonian $\hat{ℋ}$(𝑆) is linear in the spin operators $\hat{𝑺}$ 𝑗 for each lattice site 𝑗, the RCS Hamiltonian $\tilde{ℋ}$ cl coincides with the usual classical model ℋ cl = lim 𝑆→∞⁡ $\hat{ℋ}$(𝑆). In the presence of nonlinear terms, however, the RCS theory is more accurate than ℋ cl . For the many materials modeled by spin Hamiltonians with (nonlinear) single-ion anisotropy terms, the use of the RCS theory is essential to accurately model phase diagrams and to extract the correct Hamiltonian parameters from neutron-scattering data.

magnetic anisotropy↗