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At least 289 records · Page 16

Global teleconnections influencing large-scale drought in the United States using SVDI

Understanding recent large-scale drought patterns and the mechanisms producing extreme drought events is vital for future drought forecasts and understanding future drought risks. Increasingly, vapor pressure deficit (VPD) has been used as an important measure of evaporative demand and proxy for drought detection. In this study, VPD is used to calculate the new Standardized VPD Drought Index (SVDI) with NASA North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) data. Previous studies have shown that SVDI accurately identifies the timing and magnitude short-term droughts in the United States (U.S). In the present study, SVDI is now used to identify large-scale drought patterns between 1980 and 2021 and drought variability driven by selected global teleconnections originating in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Spatial drought characteristics were extracted from SVDI using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. Then a k-means clustering algorithm was applied to both EOF principal components and primary teleconnections, including the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) to identify drought events driven by the Pacific Ocean. Results show that the SVDI is useful in evaluating large-scale drought variability in the U.S. related to global teleconnections, and that mechanisms influencing summer drought patterns in the Western and Southwestern U.S. are driven by a tropical-extratropical interactions originating in the equatorial Pacific Ocean related to ENSO dynamics with interdecadal variability modulated by PDO. The large-scale droughts in the Central and Southern U.S., like those in 2011 and 2012, on the other hand, are driven by the North Pacific Ocean warm pool during a strong negative PDO, which subsequently influenced variability in the Bermuda-Azores High in the Atlantic Ocean. In summer 2011, the Bermuda-Azores High weakened, reducing the onshore winds and moisture transport along the eastern Gulf of Mexico and contributing to ongoing drought in the region. The Northern Pacific and Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have increased between 1980 and 2021. In conclusion, as SSTs continue to rise in the Northern Pacific Ocean, one consequence of the coupled North Pacific warm pool and atmospheric dynamics, is to increase summer drought variability over a large region in the southern and midwestern U.S. under global warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Factors influencing water quality in surface water and alluvial groundwaters downgradient of a reclaimed surface coal mine in the Powder River Basin of southeastern Montana, USA

Abstract Coal mining and reclamation can have a profound influence on hydrogeologic systems, with clear consequences for groundwater quality, yet their long-term influence on downgradient water quality over time following reclamation is less well documented. Geochemical trends were evaluated in water quality downgradient of a fully reclaimed landscape at the former Big Sky Mine in the Rosebud Creek watershed (southeastern Montana, USA), over a 3-year period (2020–2022), including bond release in 2022. Within 6 km downgradient from the reclaimed area, sulfate concentrations decreased from approximately 3500 to 1800 mg l −1 within the Miller Coulee alluvial aquifer. Major ions, δ 34 S SO4 values, and residence time tracers suggest that the observed decreases in sulfate concentration result from a combination of dilution by mixed-age inflows and incomplete transit of the high salinity plume from the mine boundary. Both bedrock and alluvial aquifers of the Rosebud Creek corridor contained contributions of millennia-old regional groundwater, which may serve to mitigate mine-derived high salinity waters. Rosebud Creek, which traverses the outflow zone of Miller Coulee in the study area, exhibited high sulfate concentrations during low flows and consistent downgradient increases in sulfate concentration. The possibility of plume dynamics in Miller Coulee suggests that the greatest water quality impacts may not yet have reached Rosebud Creek.

Keeshin, Skye I. (ORCID:0009000986449872)↗

Active Divertor Heat Flux Control using Impurity Powder Dropper

Divertor plasma-facing components (PFCs) in a tokamak are typically designed to withstand average steady-state heat loads of about 5–10 MW/m 2 , a limit that applies to both solid and liquid lithium (LL) PFCs. Exceeding these design values can result in surface damage to tungsten PFCs or excessive lithium (Li) evaporation in liquid lithium divertor (LLD) PFCs. Since exceeding the divertor heat load limits has serious consequences, it is therefore prudent to develop a tool to reduce the divertor heat load and bring the heat load to within the design limit without affecting the plasma performance. Active low Z impurity injection such as Li has been suggested as a potential solution to mitigate excess heat flux as suggested previously, given that non-coronal radiation can be quite large ~ 20–30 MJ per mole of injected Li. Li is considered desirable for reducing the edge neutral recycling helping to improve plasma energy confinement. In this paper, we model the Impurity Power Dropper (IPD) to investigate its potential of divertor heat flux control. The IPD is typically located at the top of the tokamak device and uses a vertical drift tube of a few meters. In the 2 m drift tube case, the IPD powder is accelerated to ~ 6 m/sec before reaching the plasma with the upper divertor configuration, matching the condition for the in-board side pellet injection case. By modeling the IPD geometry we determined the IPD powder deposition profile, and thus the non-coronal radiation and ionization profiles in time as well. From the enhanced radiation power loss, it is therefore possible to reduce the divertor heat load using the divertor simulation code. In conclusion, the IPD divertor heat flux control can be tested in the facilities with IPD including ST-40, DIII-D, EAST, WEST and NSTX-U.

Active lithium injection↗

Valuing Maintenance Strategies for Fusion Plants as Part of a Future Electricity Grid

Scheduled maintenance is likely to be lengthy and therefore consequential for the economics of fusion power plants. The maintenance strategy that maximizes the economic value of a plant depends on internal factors such as the cost and durability of the replaceable components, the frequency and duration of the maintenance blocks, and the external factors of the electricity system in which the plant operates. Here, this paper examines the value of fusion power plants with various maintenance properties in a decarbonized United States Eastern Interconnection circa 2050. Seasonal variations in electricity supply and demand mean that certain times of year, particularly spring to early summer, are best for scheduled maintenance. Seasonality has two important consequences. First, the value of a plant can be 15% higher than what one would naively expect if value were directly proportional to its availability. Second, in some cases, replacing fractions of a component in shorter maintenance blocks spread over multiple years is better than replacing it all at once during a longer outage, even through the overall availability of the plant is lower in the former scenario.

power plant, maintenance, seasonality, electricity↗

Progress Toward Fast Decay Energy Spectroscopy for Actinide Analysis

Decay energy spectroscopy (DES) is an increasingly popular technique for measuring isotopic composition of actinide samples for nuclear safeguards applications. Current approaches for actinide DES utilize milligram-scale external gold absorbers (> 0.1 nJ/K) that are integrated with actinide samples through mechanical kneading and are thermally connected to microcalorimeters using indium or gold wire bonds. This leads to relatively slow sensor rise time and, consequently, limits counting speed to a few counts per second. We are developing faster metallic magnetic calorimeter-based DES by integrating actinide samples with magnetic sensor materials. This reduces signal rise time and enables high counting speed while maintaining the ability to knead the radioactive source with the absorber. We have measured signal rise time of 0.7 μs with a 1.5 mg external gold absorber using this approach. Here, we also demonstrated online DES operation using an Ortec DSPEC 50, a commercially available data acquisition system developed for semiconductor detectors.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Uncertainty quantification for nuclear forensics with population analyses

Although neural networks offer cutting-edge predictive power, their deployment in high-consequence nuclear forensic applications is limited, partly because of their black-box nature. Incorporating robust uncertainty quantification methods into the predictive frameworks of neural networks is progress towards their future deployment in such scenarios. This work integrates uncertainty quantification into neural networks for nuclear reactor core-average burnup estimation from simulated environmental samples. We test two regimes (homogeneous and heterogeneous events) on DeepSets and Set Transformer architectures, we find both quantify predictive uncertainty effectively, but Set Transformer excels in partitioning latent events, offering superior predictive power and more informative uncertainty estimates.

Hatton, Conner [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000804970959)↗

Shifts in belowground processes along a temperate forest edge

Abstract Context Forests are increasingly fragmented, and as a result most forests in the United States are within one km of an edge. Edges change environmental conditions of the forest—especially radiation, roughness, temperature, and moisture—that can have consequences for plant productivity and ecosystem functions. However, edge effects on aboveground characteristics of plants and the environment are better understood relative to plant roots and soil in the belowground environment. Objectives Our main objectives were to determine if soil C pools and fluxes are higher at the edge relative to other landscape positions, and to understand how specific belowground processes contribute to bulk differences in pools and fluxes. Methods We measured environmental conditions, live and dead fine root traits, soil chemistry, and soil respiration along a 75 m transect from interior forest to meadow in Gaithersburg, MD. Results We observed differences in the soil chemical, biological and hydrological environment between the forest interior, edge and adjacent meadow. In some cases, the forest edge represented a mid-point in environmental or belowground characteristics between the forest interior and meadow ( e.g. , pH, C-to-N ratio [C:N], live fine root biomass, heterotrophic respiration), likely reflecting the change in litter type and quality associated with the transition from grass to woody species. In other cases, neighboring landscape positions were different from the forest edge, which was drier and had higher dead fine root biomass. Although soil C contents were not significantly different across landscape positions, there was a tendency towards higher average soil C content at the edge relative to other landscape positions, suggesting that increased C loss related to root decay and greater soil respiration at the edge relative to the forest interior may have been offset by increased C gain from high plant productivity and subsequent inputs to soil. Conclusions This research provides insight into how forest edge environments may differ from the interior and how concurrent processes above- and belowground may contribute to those differences.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ecological connectivity and habitat loss shape patterns of genetic diversity in a threatened salamander

Context The maintenance of genetic diversity is essential for preserving adaptive potential in populations, yet it is increasingly threatened by landscape alteration. The field of landscape genetics offers a framework for assessing how patch-level landscape conditions, modeled at multiple scales, influence genetic diversity. Objectives We sought to assess how local environmental features and connectivity influence genetic diversity across 74 four-toed salamander (Hemidactylium scutatum) breeding wetlands in the southeastern United States. Methods Using next-generation sequencing data and hierarchical Bayesian models, we examined genome-wide heterozygosity in relation to local landscape features and ecological connectivity. We also assessed the scale of effect of landscape features and tested for temporal lag effects. Results Genetic diversity was lower in wetlands with higher levels of historic deforestation and lower connectivity. An interaction between deforestation and connectivity indicated that deforestation had stronger negative effects in isolated wetlands but weaker effects in well-connected wetlands. Accounting for scale of effect and temporal lags was critical for detecting these relationships. Conclusions Our analyses highlight the importance of assessing the spatial scale (scale of effect) and temporal lag of landscape features to detect key drivers of genetic diversity. In line with population genetic theory, our results indicate that the genetic consequences of habitat loss do not affect populations uniformly and are most severe in isolated populations where gene flow cannot buffer against loss of diversity. Altogether, we highlight the importance of considering the interaction of habitat loss and connectivity in conservation genetic management.

Hemidactylium scutatum↗

Empirical evidence that glucan-interacting amino acid side chains within the transmembrane channel collectively facilitate cellulose synthase function

The fundamental mechanism of cellulose synthesis is widely conserved across Kingdoms and depends on cellulose synthases, which are processive, dual-function, family 2 glycosyltransferases (GT-2). These enzymes polymerize glucose on the cytoplasmic side of the plasma membrane and export the glucan chain to the cell surface through an integral transmembrane (TM) channel. Structural studies of active plant cellulose synthases (CESAs) have revealed interactions between the nascent glucan chain and the side chains of polar, charged, and aromatic amino acid residues that line the TM channel. However, the functional consequences of modifying these side chains have not been tested in vivo in CESAs or other processive GT-2s. To test this, we used an established in vivo assay based on genetic complementation of CESA5 in the moss, Physcomitrium patens. For accurate prediction of glucan-interacting amino acid residues, we generated a complete homotrimeric molecular model of PpCESA5 using a combination of homology and de novo modeling. All-atom molecular dynamics-based analyses of contact metrics and interaction energy identified 23 amino acid residues with high propensity to interact with the nascent glucan chain within the TM channel or on the apoplastic surface of PpCESA5. Mutating any one of 18 of these amino acid residues to alanine, thereby removing their side chains, abolished or impaired CESA function, with the strongest effects observed upon the loss of charged amino acid side chains. This provides direct evidence to support the hypothesis that multiple amino acid residues collectively maintain a smooth energy landscape within the TM channel to facilitate glucan translocation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating genetic and environmental controls on silicon accumulation in Populus trichocarpa leaves

Background and aims: Silicon (Si) accumulation and formation of non-crystalline silica particles (phytoliths) inside plant cells contribute to plant function, soil carbon storage, and Si reservoirs in soils. A better understanding of how genetic and environmental factors control Si accumulation may improve understanding of Si cycling between plants and soil and its impacts on other ecosystem processes. Methods: This study examined how genetic potential for Si uptake and silicification translated to Si concentrations and phytolith formation in Populus trichocarpa leaves. Leaves were collected from four different genotypes of cultivated poplar trees that were grown in a common garden and possess established differences in leaf-level gene expression related to Si transport and silicification. Scanning electron microscopy and subsequent image analysis were used to quantify Si concentrations and phytolith abundance and features. Results: Phytoliths were identified in nearly all leaves but were often absent at very low (< 0.5 wt.%) Si concentrations at the leaf surface. The proportion of leaf area occupied by phytoliths increased as Si content increased. Silicon content and phytolith abundance at the leaf surface did not vary across genotypes, but surface Si was weakly correlated with plant available Si in soil. Conclusion: Phytoliths were prevalent in P. trichocarpa leaves; however, the genetic potential for Si uptake and silicification at the leaf-level poorly predicted foliar Si and phytolith abundance. Uniformly low expression of Si uptake genes in the roots may have reduced differences across genotypes. Consequently, Si accumulation in leaves was likely more strongly influenced by soil Si bioavailability, phenology, or additional environmental factors.

Image analysis↗

Simulation Models for Exploring Magnetic Reconnection

Simulations have played a critical role in the advancement of our knowledge of magnetic reconnection. However, due to the inherently multiscale nature of reconnection, it is impossible to simulate all physics at all scales. For this reason, a wide range of simulation methods have been crafted to study particular aspects and consequences of magnetic reconnection. This article reviews many of these methods, laying out critical assumptions, numerical techniques, and giving examples of scientific results. Plasma models described include magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), Hall MHD, Hybrid, kinetic particle-in-cell (PIC), kinetic Vlasov, Fluid models with embedded PIC, Fluid models with direct feedback from energetic populations, and the Rice Convection Model (RCM).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Exploring the Outer Heliosphere Through ENA Observations from IMAP

The Interstellar Mapping and Acceleration Probe (IMAP) mission is poised to revolutionize our understanding of two of the most central issues in heliophysics today: the nature of the interaction of the solar wind with the local interstellar medium (LISM), and the acceleration of energetic particles throughout the heliosphere. Here we focus on the anticipated contributions to this endeavor by measurement of hydrogen energetic neutral atoms (ENAs) that emanate from the solar wind–LISM interface region. ENA imaging allows us to remotely sense the structure and plasma characteristics of the heliosheath and the LISM just beyond the heliopause, and how these regions evolve in response to solar activity. These instruments, IMAP-Lo, IMAP-Hi, and IMAP-Ultra, cover energies from 10 eV to 300 keV with unprecedented angular resolution, energy resolution, and detection sensitivity. In this paper, we present the IMAP mission science specific to the study of the heliosphere/LISM interaction. We review what we have learned about the heliosphere interaction based on prior observations and theoretical studies. We then present the outstanding science questions that have consequently arisen and how IMAP plans to resolve them.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Understanding Oxide–Metal Interactions During Hot Isostatic Pressing to Diffusion Bond Aluminum Alloy 6061 Plates

The interaction between Mg, Si, and Al 2 O 3 during hot isostatic pressing diffusion bonding of aluminum alloy 6061 (AA6061) plates was investigated through thermodynamic calculations and experimental microstructural characterization. Thermodynamic calculations as functions of temperature, pressure, and composition revealed that the interaction among Mg, Si, and Al 2 O 3 yields Mg 2 Si and either MgO + Al or MgAl 2 O 4 + Al, facilitating the reduction of Al 2 O 3 and allowing Al/Al metallic bonds to form. Total pressure variation had a negligible influence on the oxygen partial pressure, and consequently, the reaction product formation. Oxygen partial pressure variation as a function of temperature and initial amount of Al 2 O 3 determined the formation of either MgO or MgAl 2 O 4 . Experimental Hot Isostatic Pressure (HIP) bonding at 723 K and 833 K under a constant pressure of 1017 atm documented the cooling rate-dependent formation of β–Mg 2 Si precipitates. High-resolution transmission electron microscopy imaging and selected area electron diffraction patterns verified the formation of β–Mg 2 Si and MgO at the interface but did not detect MgAl 2 O 4 . In conclusion, findings from this study clarify the role of thermochemical interactions in oxide disruption and bonding mechanisms during HIP diffusion bonding of AA6061 and provide guidance for optimizing joining processes for monolithic nuclear fuel assemblies.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

CMPLE: Correlation Modeling to Decode Photosynthesis Using the Minorize–Maximize Algorithm

In plant genomic experiments, correlations among various biological traits (phenotypes) give new insights into how genetic diversity may have tuned biological processes to enhance fitness under diverse conditions. Consequently, knowing how the correlations are affected by genetic (G) and environmental (E) factors helps develop climate-resilient plants. However, the current literature lacks any method for assessing the effect of predictors on pairwise correlations among multiple phenotypes together with easily interpretable model parameters. To address this need, we propose to model pairwise correlations directly in terms of G and E and develop a computationally efficient inference procedure. Two major novelties in our methodology are (1) the use of a composite pairwise likelihood method to avoid the positive definiteness restriction on the correlation matrix and (2) the use of a novel Minorize–Maximize (MM) algorithm for the efficient estimation of a large number of parameters. The proposed method shows excellent numerical performance on synthetic datasets. Here, the analysis of the motivating data on cowpea reveals that the rates of solar energy storage by photosynthesis (the aggregate trait) are differentially affected by different genetic loci through two distinct processes: “photoinhibition” which results from photodamage caused by excess light, and “photoprotection” which protects plants from photodamage but also results in energy loss.

Correlation modeling↗

Anomaly Detection in Materials Digital Twins with Multiscale ICME for Additive Manufacturing

Detecting anomaly in fatigue and fracture experimental materials science is an interesting yet challenging topic. The reasons are threefold. First, the anomalous microstructure feature that gives rise to structural failure is small, sometimes in the order of 10 -7 of the interrogated volume. This, in turn, results in a highly imbalanced classification problem in machine learning (ML). Second, the consequence is high, in the sense that the test specimen is destructed in such case. Third, the convolution between microstructure stochasticity and the small probability of void nucleation, growth, and coalescence makes failure and fracture a hard-to-predict and challenging problem in materials science due to its irreproducibility, even experimentally. In this paper, we developed a materials digital twin and applied anomaly detection methods to detect voids and anomaly in additive manufacturing (AM). The materials digital twin is driven by two integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) models, which are kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) and crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM). In conclusion, we demonstrated that by using anomaly detection, it is possible to detect voids and other defects in materials digital twin, which paves way for future research in integrating materials digital twin with its physical counterpart.

ICME↗

Energy Justice Through Energy Storage: Supporting Energy Resilience in Disadvantaged Communities

This paper reviews energy storage technologies as a possible solution to address power outages and mitigate the impacts, enhancing vulnerable communities’ resilience to climate change. More frequent and severe extreme weather events are one of the main consequences of climate change. These events, coupled with the nation’s aging and frail energy infrastructure, are causing many communities throughout the United States to experience more frequent and longer power outages, resulting in economic, health, and social impacts. Impacts from power outages are not equally felt across communities, with disproportionate impacts across communities representing a matter of energy justice. From an energy justice standpoint, programs and policies that facilitate energy storage technologies should be intentionally designed to include distributive, procedural, recognition, and restorative justice.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Review of Abrupt Permafrost Thaw: Definitions, Usage, and a Proposed Conceptual Framework

Purpose of ReviewWe review how ‘abrupt thaw’ has been used in published studies, compare these definitions to abrupt processes in other Earth science disciplines, and provide a definitive framework for how abrupt thaw should be used in the context of permafrost science.Recent FindingsWe address several aspects of permafrost systems necessary for abrupt thaw to occur and propose a framework for classifying permafrost processes as abrupt thaw in the future. Based on a literature review and our collective expertise, we propose that abrupt thaw refers to thaw processes that lead to a substantial persistent environmental change within a few decades. Abrupt thaw typically occurs in ice-rich permafrost but may be initiated in ice-poor permafrost by external factors such as hydrologic change (i.e., increased streamflow, soil moisture fluctuations, altered groundwater recharge) or wildfire.SummaryPermafrost thaw alters greenhouse gas emissions, soil and vegetation properties, and hydrologic flow, threatening infrastructure and the cultures and livelihoods of northern communities. The term ‘abrupt thaw’ has emerged in scientific discourse over the past two decades to differentiate processes that rapidly impact large depths of permafrost, such as thermokarst, from more gradual, top-down thaw processes that impact centimeters of near-surface permafrost over years to decades. However, there has been no formal definition for abrupt thaw and its use in the scientific literature has varied considerably. Our standardized definition of abrupt thaw offers a path forward to better understand drivers and patterns of abrupt thaw and its consequences for global greenhouse gas budgets, impacts to infrastructure and land-use, and Arctic policy- and decision-making.

Webb, Hailey↗

Performance of a Drifting Acoustic Instrumentation SYstem (DAISY) for characterizing radiated noise from marine energy converters

Marine energy converters can generate electricity from energetic ocean waves and water currents. Because sound is extensively used by marine animals, the radiated noise from these systems is of regulatory interest. However, the energetic nature of these locations poses challenges for performing accurate passive acoustic measurements, particularly with stationary platforms. The Drifting Acoustic Instrumentation SYstem (DAISY) is a modular hydrophone recording system purpose-built for marine energy environments. Using a flow shield in currents and mass–spring–damper suspension system in waves, we demonstrate that DAISYs can effectively minimize the masking effect of flow noise at frequencies down to 10 Hz. In addition, we show that groups of DAISYs can utilize time-delay-of-arrival post-processing to attribute radiated noise to a specific source. Consequently, DAISYs can rapidly measure radiated noise at all frequencies of interest for prototype marine energy converters. Furthermore, the resulting information from future operational deployments should support regulatory decision-making and allow technology developers to make design adjustments that minimize the potential for acoustic impacts as their systems are scaled up for utility-scale power generation.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗