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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16

Stacked Greenfield and Brownfield ROZ Fairways in the Illinois Basin Geo-Laboratory: Co-Optimization of EOR and Associated CO 2 Storage

Residual oil zones (ROZs) are economically viable targets for carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO 2 -EOR); thick, carbonate ROZs in the San Andres Formation in the Wasson Field of the Permian Basin are an example. Incremental oil produced from CO 2 -EOR can be carbon negative via associated storage of injected CO 2 . Given the regional extent of ROZ fairways and generally higher net utilization of CO 2 (compared to conventional CO 2 -EOR), ROZs provide the opportunity for significant carbon neutral to carbon negative oil production with associated CO 2 storage, and therefore should be a priority target for exploration. However, ROZs have not been widely recognized or identified due to poor or no conventional oil production. Hence, in places like the Illinois Basin (ILB), exploratory analyses are required to recognize the existence of an ROZ. As part of this study, four formations were selected for detailed regional characterization and analysis: Carper Sandstone (part of the Borden Siltstone), Tar Springs Sandstone, Cypress Sandstone, and Middle Devonian (Geneva Dolomite and associated Dutch Creek Sandstone). The four formations underwent regional geological characterization to develop a regional geologic framework for the ROZs and their overlying seals. Findings of this study are supported by data from two field laboratory sites, one with stacked greenfield ROZs and the other with a stacked complex that includes a brownfield ROZ and depleted conventional reservoirs. The field laboratory sites were used to collect data and conduct tests to validate ROZ detection methodologies and identify economic field-deployable strategies to co-optimize CO 2 -EOR and associated storage in stacked ROZs. Findings from these field sites were extrapolated to characterize the basin-wide stacked ROZ fairway resource.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

X-ray Multilayers for Next-Generation Astrophysics Missions

In this work, we proposed to demonstrate the feasibility of high-reflectivity multilayer coatings that will enable next-generation astrophysics missions in the x-ray region (2 – 7 nm wavelengths) where currently high-performance coatings largely do not exist. This paucity is due to multilayer interfacial effects that severely reduce the coating reflectance; our approach was based on understanding these interfacial effects and on tailored process modifications to control and minimize them. The experimental validation of our approach was made difficult by our multilayer deposition tool being down for a large portion of the project. The required repairs used significant amount of funding and time, which forced to reduce the scope of the project. Our experimental study focused on Cr/C multilayers and their optimization using N2 reactive sputtering. We showed that the highest reflectance was achieved when depositing the multilayers with 35% N2, and with a larger Cr thickness ratio than what was initially predicted by simulations. This result consists of a 13% relative increase in reflectivity compared to our previous work. It will benefit upcoming NASA proposals and LLNL’s leadership in this area, as well as topics highly relevant to LLNL/DOE’s priority areas, such as x-ray laser science and semiconductor manufacturing. This work will be further investigated as part of a Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Exploratory Research (ER) project starting in Fiscal Year (FY) 2024.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

How does Mercury Methylation Respond to Intensive Forest Management and the Creation of Anoxia in Floodplain Soils

This research endeavor, entitled “How does Mercury Methylation Respond to Intensive Forest Management and the Creation of Anoxia in Floodplain Soils?” represents a collaborative effort undertaken by the University of North Carolina at Greensboro, led by Principal Investigator Dr. James S. Coleman, the United States Forest Service Santee Experimental Forest (SEF) Station Director Dr. Carl C. Trettin as Co-Principal Investigator, and The Chinese University of Hong Kong Dr. Martin Tsz-Ki Tsui and Dr. Alex T. Chow serving as Co-Principal Investigators. The overarching objective of this proposed project was to capture and elucidate the immediate and short-term effects of forest disturbances, namely clear-cutting and thinning, on the biogeochemical cycling of mercury (Hg) within the SEF in Huger, South Carolina. To accomplish this objective, a two-year exploratory study was proposed to conduct soil sampling and measurements of Hg and toxic methylmercury (MeHg), and soil physiochemical data within the experimental watershed (WS77) at SEF, following the clear-cutting process initiated for the preparation of the native longleaf pine restoration project by the USFS. Based on our mercury and hydrological data assessment, we concluded that the implementation of forest management practices, particularly mechanical thinning and clear-cutting, appears to enhance the potential for Hg methylation. Furthermore, these forest management practices may disrupt and alter the storage, mobility, and transformations of atmospherically deposited Hg in these lowland forests. We advocate for further research to comprehensively evaluate the impact of forest management on Hg cycling within forest ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Feasibility of Hybrid Electro- and Acousto-Dynamical Systems for Quantum Optical Networks

We present results on an exploratory research program that aims to study the feasibility of novel, sustained, dense, and efficient quantum information generation, storage, retrieval, relay and distribution devices and systems towards future advanced quantum networking architectures. The pathfinder program is anchored on original ideas and device conceptual designs that turn the phononic-sourced challenges into an opportunity towards optimized transduction chains over a broad range of length and energy/temperature scales. The proposal involves conceptual design and feasibility towards integration, commissioning and benchmarking of challenging transduction devices in a scaled quantum network setup.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

CONNECT Toolkit: Carbon Management Projects Database and Explorer

The Carbon Management Projects (CONNECT) Toolkit (exploratory visualization tool and database), developed by U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management (FECM), aims to provide a one-stop access to authoritative information on a portfolio of federal research, development, and demonstration RD&D projects that have been publicly announced to advance carbon management technologies.

Sharma, Maneesh↗

Growth and characterization of ferromagnetic Ga 2 O 3 :(Cr, Mn)

The goal of this Exploratory Express project was to explore the possibility of tunable ferromagnetism in Mn or Cr incorporated epitaxial Ga 2 O 3 films. Tunability of magnetic properties can enable novel applications in spintronics, quantum computing, and magnetism-based logics by allowing control of magnetism down to the nanoscale. Carriers (electrons or holes) mediated ferromagnetic ordering in semiconductor can lead to tunable ferromagnetism by leveraging the tunability of carrier density with doping level, gate electric field, or optical pumping of the carriers. The magnetic ions (Cr or Mn) in Ga 2 O 3 act as localized spin centers which can potentially be magnetically coupled through conduction electrons to enable ferromagnetic ordering. Here we investigated tunable ferromagnetism in beta Ga 2 O 3 semiconductor host with various n-doping levels by incorporating 2.4 atomic percent Mn or Cr. The R&D approach involved growth of epitaxial Ga 2 O 3 film on sapphire or Ga 2 O 3 substrate, implantation of Mn or Cr ions, annealing of the samples post implantation, and magnetic measurements. We studied magnetic behavior of Mn:Ga 2 O 3 as a function of different n-doping levels and various annealing temperatures. The vibrating sample magnetometry (VSM) measurement exhibited strong ferromagnetic signals from the annealed Mn:Ga 2 O 3 sample with n-doping level of 5E19 cm -3 . This ferromagnetic behavior disappears from Mn:Ga 2 O 3 when the n-doping level is reduced to 5E16 cm -3 . Although these results are to be further verified by other measurement schemes due to the observation of background ferromagnetism from the growth substrate, these results indicate the possibility of tunable ferromagnetism in Mn:Ga 2 O 3 mediated by conduction electrons.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Non-conformity Scores for High-Quality Uncertainty Quantification from Conformal Prediction

High-quality uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a critical component of enabling trust in deep learning (DL) models and is especially important if DL models are to be deployed in high-consequence applications. Conformal prediction (CP) methods represent an emerging nonparametric approach for producing UQ that is easily interpretable and, under weak assumptions, provides a guarantee regarding UQ quality. This report describes the research outputs of an Exploratory Express Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at Sandia National Laboratories. This project focused on how best to implement CP methods for DL models. This report introduces new methodology for obtaining high-quality UQ from DL models using CP methods, describes a novel system of assessing UQ quality, and provides experimental results that demonstrate the quality of the new methodology and utility of the UQ quality assessment system. Avenues for future research and discussion of potential impacts at Sandia and in the wider research community are also given.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Nondestructive property and defect characterization using X-rays and neutrons

As advanced manufacturing (AM) continues to mature as a fabrication technique, interest in its use for the fabrication of nuclear components continues to grow. AM nuclear parts offer the ability to create parts with complex and non-standard geometries that cannot be produced using traditional manufacturing techniques, circumvention of supply chain issues, and reduction of time from design to implementation. However, components fabricated with AM techniques must undergo nondestructive examination (NDE) to ensure they are fabricated to the required specifications to ensure safe and proper operation. The Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies (AMMT) program has undertaken initial exploratory studies on several NDE techniques to evaluate their feasibility for research and development (R&D), as well as Quality Assurance and Quality Control (QA/QC), and in-service inspections of AM parts. This work describes research results on several techniques, including X-ray and neutron tomography and scattering, as well as photothermal radiometry. The experimental results are described and an overview for each techniques’ potential use on AM parts in the various phases of part development and lifetime is given. Finally, future directions for technique development and application to AM nuclear components are described.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Radioisotope Identification with List-Mode Gamma Ray Data: A rigorous assessment on the value of temporal information applied to radioisotope identification.

This work explores the potential of utilizing temporal data from gamma-ray detectors, known as list-mode data, to enhance radioisotope identification. Traditional identification methods, which rely on full gamma-ray spectrum analysis, often require long dwell times and struggle with “confuser” sources, or spectra with similarly spaced spectral peaks. We hypothesize that by leveraging the probabilistic nature of nuclear decay and the time-encoded information from decay sequences and interactions with surrounding materials, we can improve classification accuracy over static spectral analysis. This research rigorously examines the temporal content of list-mode data through exploratory data analysis via correlation discovery and information theory. We further propose a basic classification model that can utilize spectral or temporal data (or both) to determine if the incorporation of temporal information can improve radioisotope identification. The findings suggest that the temporal information present in list-mode gamma-ray data has merit and should be further investigated.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Multi-hadron systems via Lattice QCD

This project supported a broad set of research in theoretical nuclear physics which has been designed to support current and future experimental DOE facilities. The broad summary of physical observables of interest in this project were the bread-and-butter observables obtained in experimental nuclear and particle physics experiments, namely scattering amplitude including multi-hadronic states. The primary goal of this project was to design a systematically improvable paradigm for accessing such amplitudes directly from the Standard Model of Particle Physics. The main tools that were used and explored in this project were scattering theory, lattice QCD, and future quantum computers. The physics outputs included various novel formalisms, exploratory lattice QCD calculations, and a new proposal for studying any scattering observable using future quantum computers.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Pebble Tanker Model for Nuclear Criticality Safety Needs

This report documents a study performed to investigate the requirements for criticality safety benchmark experiments for high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel in transportation applications. In this work, an exploratory application model, the “Pebble Tanker,” was developed to represent TRISO fuel in a transportation scenario for an analysis of the validation basis in industrial quantities. An aspect of the criticality validation process involves assessing the “similarity” between application and experimental benchmark systems through an integral index parameter evaluation. Here, this includes propagating nuclear data uncertainties and calculating a correlation coefficient (hereinafter referred to as “c k ”) to evaluate the similarity of benchmark experiments compared with the application Pebble Tanker model. Finding sufficient critical benchmark experiments allows for the evaluation of bias and bias uncertainty, thus determining the upper subcritical limit (USL) of the transportation package. A target k eff of ~0.94 was used in this work to establish appropriate modeling conditions, reflecting a reasonable estimate for a USL. Two container models were investigated: one with the Hermes-type pebble and one with the Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR)–type pebble. The models were simplified, considering only fuel, containment structure, and either water or air. This allows a focus on the underlying physics of applications involving TRISO fuel pebbles using the Pebble Tanker model. A crucial consideration is the transport package's ability to safely hold pebbles while flooded, maintaining subcritical conditions. Tools available in the SCALE 6.3.1 suite—the CSAS6-Shift, TSUNAMI-3D-Shift, and TSUNAMI-IP sequences—were employed for neutronics and sensitivity and uncertainty (S/U) analysis of the Pebble Tanker. Findings demonstrated sufficient available critical experiment benchmarks to perform a validation of the Pebble Tanker in the most reactive state, i.e., when the Tanker is flooded.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Building Performance Software: Portfolio-Level Capabilities and Applications

Navigating the broad and rapidly evolving market landscape of software solutions is complex whether you are a sustainability leader, building owner, energy manager, or building engineer with energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction goals for a portfolio of buildings. The Department of Energy’s Better Buildings partners have noted this complexity and the associated lack of publicly available information. In response, this report reviews the ecosystem of environmental, social, and governance (ESG), energy management information systems (EMIS), and decarbonization software with the goal of orienting prospective users to current offerings. Organizations can utilize this guidance to determine the specific capabilities needed to support decarbonization efforts and procure appropriate software to streamline the GHG emissions reduction process. In this paper, we refer to “decarbonization software” as the category of software that meets an organization’s needs for decarbonization planning, implementation, and tracking. This software may have a heritage in ESG or EMIS, or it may be an entirely new product. This report offers a snapshot of today’s rapidly evolving decarbonization software capabilities, along with guidance for procuring and utilizing it that will remain relevant despite any future software changes. Exploratory research was conducted on over 100 software providers, and interviews were held with 28 of them. Note that inclusion in this report does not indicate an endorsement, nor does a product’s absence from this report indicate a lack of suitability

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

MW-Class SOFC Pilot System Development

The overall objective of this project is to develop a low-cost, efficient, and reliable MWe-class Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC) power system towards commercial deployment in natural-gas fueled distributed generation applications. This report details the successful completion of all project objectives. The main goals of the project were to develop the conceptual design of a MWe-class SOFC power system, and to complete a techno-economic analysis (TEA) to determine system costs at low-volume production levels of >100MW per year. The combination of the BoP equipment cost and SOFC stack module factory cost provided the net fabrication cost of the selected 1MW SOFC system configuration. The results of the study showed that the cost target of less than $6000/kW is achievable for a FOAK 1MW SOFC system, exclusive of the first-time engineering cost. Also, the project included an exploratory analysis of the factory cost of next generation stack technology based on the Compact Solid-oxide Architecture (CSA) design at a high annual manufacturing rate of one-GW produced in a giga-factory. The BoP capital cost for one giga-watt power production was estimated using learning-curve analysis based on the historical manufacturing cost data related to similar high temperature Molten Carbonate fuel cell systems built by FuelCell Energy (FCE). The giga-factory manufactured SOFC cost estimate combined with the BoP cost at high production rates led to the estimation of entire system capital cost. Ultimately, a Cost of Electricity (COE) analysis was performed including natural gas fuel prices, installation and O&M costs, and stack replacement cost. The results of the techno-economic analysis were summarized by parametric estimation of COE for 1MW SOFC NOAK (Nth-of-a-Kind) system with natural gas prices as a variable parameter.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Day-Ahead Probabilistic Forecasting of Net-Load and Demand Response Potentials with High Penetration of Behind-the-Meter Solar-plus-Storage

The goal of this project is to develop advanced methods for day-ahead net-load forecasting, by leveraging the state-of-the-art machine learning techniques. The developed models produce both point and probabilistic forecasts for a variety of use cases, and are versatile to work with different types of data sets. The innovation lies in the novel design of the architectures, leveraging the most recent advances in machine learning that have not been explored in power systems, accompanied by techniques in the broader artificial intelligence fields such as fuzzy systems. This project has achieved the following accomplishments: (1) preprocessing of over 10 data sets covering varying geographical regions, time horizons, and system levels, which form a robust foundation for training and evaluating forecasting models across a wide range of realistic grid scenarios; (2) development of an interactive web app that enables exploratory analysis of load and generation data, and supports better understanding of data trends, anomalies, and correlations, facilitating model development and stakeholder engagement; (3) implementation of over 10 benchmark models for point and probabilistic forecasting, which include a mix of conventional machine learning methods and state-of-the-art deep learning approaches, providing a comprehensive baseline for performance comparison and validation of the proposed models; (4) development of a fuzzy system based gradient boosting model, tailored for small (less than 3 years) data sets, which achieves a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 4% for point forecasting and a 20% improvement in average pinball loss for probabilistic forecasting; (5) development of a Transformer (a state-of-the-art deep learning architecture) based neural network model, tailored for large (3 years or more) data sets, which achieves a MAPE of 2% for point forecasting and a 20% improvement in average pinball loss for probabilistic forecasting; (6) development of a methodology for quantifying DR potential, and extensions of the previous models for multi-target forecasting of net load and DR potential, which achieve a MAPE of 10% for DR potential.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Microwave Catalysis for Process Intensified Modular Production of Carbon Nanomaterials from Natural Gas

The objective of this project was to develop a novel, low-cost process intensified modular process to directly convert flare gas or stranded gas to carbon nanomaterials and co-product hydrogen (H 2 ) with high conversion, selectivity, and stability. The proposed project was based on our exciting exploratory research on a patent pending technology for one-step conversion of natural gas to carbon nanotubes (CNTs) and carbon fibers (CNFs) without emitting CO 2 : CH 4 → H 2 + C (CNT, Carbon Fibers).

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Yes, No, Maybe So: Human Factors Considerations for Fostering Calibrated Trust in Foundation Models Under Uncertainty

High-stakes analytical environments require analysts to evaluate evidence and generate conclusions to inform critical decisions often under conditions of uncertainty. Probabilistic decision-making based on incomplete or inaccurate information can reduce productivity, compromise national interests, and endanger public safety. Researchers are developing expert systems built on foundation models (FMs) to support analysts’ decision-making processes by enabling human-artificial intelligence (AI) teaming, in part through the quantification and expression of uncertainty information. As FMs continue to mature, it is imperative to correspondingly consider analysts’ needs for appropriately interpreting and using uncertainty information. However, prior research indicates that it remains unclear how analysts engage with FM-generated uncertainty information and the extent to which these interactions influence trust in, and reliance on, expert systems. We plan to review the state of the science and conduct an exploratory, qualitative study to (a) understand how properly communicated uncertainty can foster calibrated trust and appropriate reliance and (b) identify approaches for effectively conveying FM-generated uncertainty information during analytical workflows. We will administer semi-structured interviews with analysts from a specific high-stakes analytical environment to collect their current experiences with job-related uncertainty and their impressions when viewing FM-generated uncertainty information. During the interview protocol, participants will be presented with several different FM outputs and invited to discuss their thoughts and beliefs about the uncertainty information displayed. Participants may provide insights into how trust and reliance may be influenced by uncertainty. The results of this study will help us to better understand how analysts currently interpret and use uncertainty information. Our findings may inform human factors recommendations for effectively conveying uncertainty information to foster calibrated trust in, and appropriate reliance on, expert systems. Interaction designers and FM developers can use this knowledge to enhance human-AI teaming and ensure the responsible deployment of FM-based expert systems in analytical workflows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

FY-25 Progress on Computational Modeling of the Water Based NSTF

This report summarizes the system level modeling using RELAP5-3D of the Natural Convection Shutdown Heat Removal Test Facility (NSTF) completed in FY25. This year’s work focuses on a new tank configuration where the inlet of the tank was lowered in elevation by 45”. The stability boundaries of the NSTF are thoroughly studied and stability maps are constructed based on the stability and the oscillation patterns of the system. Five distinct operational modes are identified, namely single-phase liquid, uniform double peak oscillations, uniform sinusoidal oscillations, stable two-phase flow, and non-uniform oscillations. Next, the riser inlet throttling case of experimental test Run-104 is simulated with the RELAP5 model where good agreement is obtained between the model and the experimental data. The simulation also highlights the effects of backflow of water from the tank to the upper region of the chimney. Additionally, the decay heat removal test of Run-99 is simulated with the RELAP5 model. Comparison is carried out between this run and a similar run with the mid-tank inlet of Run-74 performed in FY22. With the lower tank inlet, the RELAP5 model is able to predict the experimental data more accurately than the previous mid tank inlet configuration. The discrepancy in model prediction accuracy highlights the non-symmetrical spatial effects in the tank that would otherwise be more easily captured with higher fidelity models. Lastly, two exploratory studies are conducted to investigate the behaviors of the NSTF when 1) heating is provided to the downcomer and 2) a bypass channel is added between the horizontal chimney section to the downcomer.

42 ENGINEERING↗