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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Evaluation of the 2022 West Nile virus forecasting challenge, USA

Abstract Background West Nile virus (WNV) is the most common cause of mosquito-borne disease in the continental USA, with an average of ~1200 severe, neuroinvasive cases reported annually from 2005 to 2021 (range 386–2873). Despite this burden, efforts to forecast WNV disease to inform public health measures to reduce disease incidence have had limited success. Here, we analyze forecasts submitted to the 2022 WNV Forecasting Challenge, a follow-up to the 2020 WNV Forecasting Challenge. Methods Forecasting teams submitted probabilistic forecasts of annual West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease (WNND) cases for each county in the continental USA for the 2022 WNV season. We assessed the skill of team-specific forecasts, baseline forecasts, and an ensemble created from team-specific forecasts. We then characterized the impact of model characteristics and county-specific contextual factors (e.g., population) on forecast skill. Results Ensemble forecasts for 2022 anticipated a season at or below median long-term WNND incidence for nearly all (> 99%) counties. More counties reported higher case numbers than anticipated by the ensemble forecast median, but national caseload (826) was well below the 10-year median (1386). Forecast skill was highest for the ensemble forecast, though the historical negative binomial baseline model and several team-submitted forecasts had similar forecast skill. Forecasts utilizing regression-based frameworks tended to have more skill than those that did not and models using climate, mosquito surveillance, demographic, or avian data had less skill than those that did not, potentially due to overfitting. County-contextual analysis showed strong relationships with the number of years that WNND had been reported and permutation entropy (historical variability). Evaluations based on weighted interval score and logarithmic scoring metrics produced similar results. Conclusions The relative success of the ensemble forecast, the best forecast for 2022, suggests potential gains in community ability to forecast WNV, an improvement from the 2020 Challenge. Similar to the previous challenge, however, our results indicate that skill was still limited with general underprediction despite a relative low incidence year. Potential opportunities for improvement include refining mechanistic approaches, integrating additional data sources, and considering different approaches for areas with and without previous cases. Graphical Abstract

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Multi-Armed Bayesian Ordinal Outcome Utility-Based Sequential Trial with a Pairwise Null Clustering Prior

A multi-armed trial based on ordinal outcomes is proposed that leverages a flexible non-proportional odds cumulative logit model and numerical utility scores for each outcome to determine treatment optimality. This trial design uses a Bayesian clustering prior on the treatment effects that encourages the pairwise null hypothesis of no differences between treatments. A group sequential design is proposed to determine which treatments are clinically different with an adaptive decision boundary that becomes more aggressive as the sample size or clinical significance grows, or the number of active treatments decreases. A simulation study is conducted for 3 and 5 treatment arms, which shows that the design has superior operating characteristics (family wise error rate, generalized power, average sample size) compared to utility designs that do not allow clustering, a frequentist proportional odds model, or a permutation test based on empirical mean utilities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

ExaCA grain structure predictions for laser powder bed fusion processing

This dataset contains simulated cross-sections of laser powder bed fusion grain structures produced using the microstructure model ExaCA, in turn using time-temperature history data produced using the heat transport model AdditiveFOAM. These predictions show the grain structure using various permutations of hatch spacing and nucleation density. Also contained in the dataset are the input files necessary to reproduce the results. AdditiveFOAM (https://github.com/ORNL/AdditiveFOAM) and ExaCA (https://github.com/LLNL/ExaCA), both open source software, are required to reproduce the results in this dataset using the given input files. This DOI was updated 12/09/2025.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multi-line FLEET by imaging periodic masks

A simple linear configuration for multi-line FLEET velocimetry is used for the first time to image an overexpanded unsteady supersonic jet. The FLEET lines are spaced 0.5-1.0 mm apart and up to six lines can simultaneously be used to visualize the flowfield. These lines are created using periodic masks, despite the mask blocking 25 — 30% of the 10 mJ incident beam. Maps of mean single-component velocity in the direction along the principal flow axis, and turbulence intensity in that same direction, are created using multi-line FLEET, and computed velocities agree well with that obtained from single-line (traditional) FLEET. Compared to traditional FLEET, multi-line FLEET offers increased simultaneous spatial coverage and the ability to produce spatial correlations in the streamwise direction. This FLEET permutation is especially well-suited for short-duration test facilities

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Gate-based quantum computing for protein design

Protein design is a technique to engineer proteins by permuting amino acids in the sequence to obtain novel functionalities. However, exploring all possible combinations of amino acids is generally impossible due to the exponential growth of possibilities with the number of designable sites. The present work introduces circuits implementing a pure quantum approach, Grover’s algorithm, to solve protein design problems. Our algorithms can adjust to implement any custom pair-wise energy tables and protein structure models. Moreover, the algorithm’s oracle is designed to consist of only adder functions. Quantum computer simulators validate the practicality of our circuits, containing up to 234 qubits. However, a smaller circuit is implemented on real quantum devices. Our results show that using iterations, the circuits find the correct results among all N possibilities, providing the expected quadratic speed up of Grover’s algorithm over classical methods (i.e.,).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Escalation in the host-pathogen arms race: A host resistance response corresponds to a heightened bacterial virulence response

The zig-zag model of host-pathogen interaction describes the relative strength of defense response across a spectrum of pathogen-induced plant phenotypes. A stronger defense response results in increased resistance. Here, we investigate the strength of pathogen virulence during disease and place these findings in the context of the zig-zag model. Xanthomonas vasicola pv. holcicola ( Xvh ) causes sorghum bacterial leaf streak. Despite being widespread, this disease has not been described in detail at the molecular level. We divided diverse sorghum genotypes into three groups based on disease symptoms: water-soaked lesions, red lesions, and resistance. Bacterial growth assays confirmed that these three phenotypes represent a range of resistance and susceptibility. To simultaneously reveal defense and virulence responses across the spectrum of disease phenotypes, we performed dual RNA-seq on Xvh -infected sorghum. Consistent with the zig-zag model, the expression of plant defense-related genes was strongest in the resistance interaction. Surprisingly, bacterial virulence genes related to the type III secretion system (T3SS) and type III effectors (T3Es) were also most highly expressed in the resistance interaction. This expression pattern was observed at multiple time points within the sorghum- Xvh pathosystem. Further, a similar expression pattern was observed in Arabidopsis infected with Pseudomonas syringae for effector-triggered immunity via AvrRps4 but not AvrRpt2. Specific metabolites were able to repress the Xvh virulence response in vitro and in planta suggesting a possible signaling mechanism. Taken together, these findings reveal multiple permutations of the continually evolving host-pathogen arms race from the perspective of host defense and pathogen virulence responses.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

MASK4 Test Campaign for Sandia WaveBot Device

This data and report details the findings from a wave tank test focused on production of useful work of a wave energy converter (WEC) device. The experimental system and test were specifically designed to validate models for power transmission throughout the WEC system. Additionally, the validity of co-design informed changes to the power take-off (PTO) were assessed and shown to provide the expected improvements in system performance. These data describe the "MASK4" wave tank test of the Sandia WaveBot device. The WaveBot device has been tested a number of times in different permutations at the US Navy's Maneuvering and Sea Keeping (MASK) basin. Each test in this series is referred to as MASK1, MASK2, etc. The WaveBot device was first tested in one degree of freedom (heave) in 2016. This MASK1 test focused primarily on system identification and modeling. After MASK1, major modifications were performed to improve the overall real-time control and measurement system, improve the heave drive train, and add surge and pitch degrees of freedom. The second set of testing, which was broken up in to two stages: MASK2A and MASK2B, focused on bench testing and closed-loop control performance as well as nonlinear modeling. MASK3 then focused on multi-input, multi-output modeling and control for maximization of electrical power. The attached report presents the results from MASK4, which focuses on detailed modeling of the power conversion chain and validation co-design principles by way of the introduction of a magnetic spring. The test log, report, and data from the MASK4 test of the WaveBot augmented with a tunable magnetic spring. Processing codes can be found at the Github link below.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2024

Models, data, and scripts associated with “Prediction of Distributed River Sediment Respiration Rates using Community-Generated Data and Machine Learning”

This data package is associated with the publication “Prediction of Distributed River Sediment Respiration Rates using Community-Generated Data and Machine Learning’’ submitted to the Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation (Scheibe et al. 2024). River sediment respiration observations are expensive and labor intensive to obtain and there is no physical model for predicting this quantity. The Worldwide Hydrobiogeochemisty Observation Network for Dynamic River Systems (WHONDRS) observational data set (Goldman et al.; 2020) is used to train machine learning (ML) models to predict respiration rates at unsampled sites. This repository archives training data, ML models, predictions, and model evaluation results for the purposes of reproducibility of the results in the associated manuscript and community reuse of the ML models trained in this project. One of the key challenges in this work was to find an optimum configuration for machine learning models to work with this feature-rich (i.e. 100+ possible input variables) data set. Here, we used a two-tiered approach to managing the analysis of this complex data set: 1) a stacked ensemble of ML models that can automatically optimize hyperparameters to accelerate the process of model selection and tuning and 2) feature permutation importance to iteratively select the most important features (i.e. inputs) to the ML models. The major elements of this ML workflow are modular, portable, open, and cloud-based, thus making this implementation a potential template for other applications. This data package is associated with the GitHub repository found at Please see the file level metadata (flmd; “sl-archive-whondrs_flmd.csv”) for a list of all files contained in this data package and descriptions for each. Please see the data dictionary (dd; “sl-archive-whondrs_dd.csv”) for a list of all column headers contained within comma separated value (csv) files in this data package and descriptions for each. The GitHub repository is organized into five top-level directories: (1) “input_data” holds the training data for the ML models; (2) “ml_models” holds machine learning models trained on the data in “input_data”; (3) “scripts” contains data preprocessing and postprocessing scripts and intermediate results specific to this data set that bookend the ML workflow; (4) “examples” contains the visualization of the results in this repository including plotting scripts for the manuscript (e.g., model evaluation, FPI results) and scripts for running predictions with the ML models (i.e., reusing the trained ML models); (5) “output_data” holds the overall results of the ML model on that branch. Each trained ML model resides on its own branch in the repository; this means that inputs and outputs can be different branch-to-branch. Furthermore, depending on the number of features used to train the ML models, the preprocessing and postprocessing scripts, and their intermediate results, can also be different branch-to-branch. The “main-*” branches are meant to be starting points (i.e. trunks) for each model branch (i.e. sprouts). Please see the Branch Navigation section in the top-level README.md in the GitHub repository for more details. There is also one hidden directory “.github/workflows”. This hidden directory contains information for how to run the ML workflow as an end-to-end automated GitHub Action but it is not needed for reusing the ML models archived here. Please the top-level README.md in the GitHub repository for more details on the automation.

13C↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data and code for Daily and Multi-Day Extreme Rainfall Analysis Under Future Climates Using Stochastic Storm Transposition and NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 Over CONUS

This data package provides inputs, codes, and outputs for a comprehensive analysis of projected changes in extreme precipitation across 10 regions of the continental United States, using 34 downscaled Earth System Models (ESMs) from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) dataset. These models are part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), a coordinated climate modeling framework widely used to assess climate change impacts. The analysis applies a stochastic storm transposition method to quantify changes in extreme rainfall under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios—SSP2-4.5 (moderate emissions) and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions)—compared to historical conditions (1995–2014 vs. 2081–2100). The dataset includes rainfall depth estimates for extreme events with return periods from 2 to 500 years across multiple storm durations (1, 3, and 5 days) for each of the 10 U.S. regions. Weighted ensemble statistics are derived from individual ESM performance against historical precipitation patterns, enabling robust uncertainty quantification through both sign-based and permutation-test-based model agreement assessments. Key analyses address: (1) relative changes in extreme precipitation for each climate scenario, (2) differences between SSP scenarios (SSP5-8.5 vs. SSP2-4.5), (3) contrasts between rare and frequent events, and (4) variations between multi-day and daily storm durations. The workflow produces ensemble statistics—median, 5th, 25th, 75th, and 95th percentiles—along with model agreement metrics that identify regions and event types with robust climate change signals. The dataset includes: processed rainfall depth outputs (netCDF format) from the RainyDay Python package, ESM weights from historical performance evaluation using DayMet observations, ensemble statistics across all storm dimensions, and figures summarizing key findings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

SOC Synthetic Microstructure Bank

QUICK START: Start with property_library.html (can be found by typing the filename into the query box) and use the interactive table to filter, sort, and select a microstructure with the desired properties. Search for the alphabetic code to obtain the corresponding dataset. Full description: This is a bank of 1,970 unique 3-phase electrode microstructure files. When you account for reassigning phase IDs (e.g. declare that 1=Ni and 2=pore, instead of 1=pore and 2=Ni), it actually represents 5,910 unique electrode microstructures, each of which could be considered to be either an air or a fuel electrode (e.g. declare that the phase IDs correspond to pore, Ni, and YSZ; or that they correspond to pore, LSCF, and GDC; or whatever electron-conductor and ion-conductor combination is being studied). The voxel size is 50 nm and each electrode file contains a 4x4 grid of (12.5 micron)^3 sub-volumes. If placed together in a grid, they comprise a 50x50x12.5 micron electrode (note that the interfaces between sub-volumes will be sharp; this can be mitigated via simulating annealing/relaxation). The sub-volumes can also be used individually for a reasonably sized 12.5 micron cubic region-of-interest. A user can simply consider the voxel size to be a different value to rescale the volumes (and all of their morphological features, including particle size) as desired. These microstructures were generated using DREAM3D. The general procedure is outlined in https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2018.03.025 The file names are an alphabetic code having to do with the input parameters used in DREAM3D when they were generated. Most users would be best served by starting with the file property_library.html or property_library_subvols.html (which lists properties for each individual subvolume). These files contain a catalogue of the actual, measured properties of every microstructure in the database. Any combination of property values can be filtered and sorted until a desired electrode is found, at which point the user can find the file corresponding to that alphabetic code. The properties in the catalogue include connected TPB density, and for each phase: phase fraction, average particle size, polydispersity of particle size, tortuosity, and connected pair-wise interfacial area. They also include what fraction of each property is connected through to the interfaces of the volume. If the desired combination of properties is not found at first, remember that the phase IDs can be re-assigned arbitrarily, e.g. swapping 1s and 2s. In fact, the database was generated with this in mind so as not to generate redundant microstructures. If the database does not contain the desired property combinations, try to search for the other possible permutations of those properties with re-assigned phase IDs. Please cite https://doi.org/10.1149/10301.0909ecst for use. Please contact the maintainer, William K. Epting, for additional information or assistance.

3D microstructure↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantum-inspired tempering for ground state approximation using artificial neural networks

A large body of work has demonstrated that parameterized artificial neural networks (ANNs) can efficiently describe ground states of numerous interesting quantum many-body Hamiltonians. However, the standard variational algorithms used to update or train the ANN parameters can get trapped in local minima, especially for frustrated systems and even if the representation is sufficiently expressive. We propose a parallel tempering method that facilitates escape from such local minima. This methods involves training multiple ANNs independently, with each simulation governed by a Hamiltonian with a different "driver" strength, in analogy to quantum parallel tempering, and it incorporates an update step into the training that allows for the exchange of neighboring ANN configurations. We study instances from two classes of Hamiltonians to demonstrate the utility of our approach using Restricted Boltzmann Machines as our parameterized ANN. The first instance is based on a permutation-invariant Hamiltonian whose landscape stymies the standard training algorithm by drawing it increasingly to a false local minimum. The second instance is four hydrogen atoms arranged in a rectangle, which is an instance of the second quantized electronic structure Hamiltonian discretized using Gaussian basis functions. We study this problem in a minimal basis set, which exhibits false minima that can trap the standard variational algorithm despite the problem’s small size. We show that augmenting the training with quantum parallel tempering becomes useful to finding good approximations to the ground states of these problem instances.

Albash, Tameem↗
DOE OSTI2023

Loops in 4+1d topological phases

2+1d topological phases are well characterized by the fusion rules and braiding/exchange statistics of fractional point excitations. In 4+1d, some topological phases contain only fractional loop excitations. What kind of loop statistics exist? We study the 4+1d gauge theory with 2-form \mathbb{Z}_2 ℤ 2 gauge field (the loop-only toric code) and find that while braiding statistics between two different types of loops can be nontrivial, the self “exchange” statistics are all trivial. In particular, we show that the electric, magnetic, and dyonic loop excitations in the 4+1d toric code are not distinguished by their self-statistics. They tunnel into each other across 3+1d invertible domain walls which in turn give explicit unitary circuits that map the loop excitations into each other. The SL(2, \mathbb{Z}_2 ℤ 2 ) symmetry that permutes the loops, however, cannot be consistently gauged and we discuss the associated obstruction in the process. Moreover, we discuss a gapless boundary condition dubbed the “fractional Maxwell theory” and show how it can be Higgsed into gapped boundary conditions. We also discuss the generalization of these results from the \mathbb{Z}_2 ℤ 2 gauge group to \mathbb{Z}_N ℤ N .

Chen, Xie↗
DOE OSTI2018

Ediesel: Diesel Additive production from ethanol and bio-diesel coproducts

This project has focused on supporting and expanding the U.S. ethanol industry by developing new conversion routes and products from ethanol and the byproducts made in ethanol fermentation. The work is relevant to the DOE program goals of developing high-margin chemical products in the biorefinery to economically support large-scale biofuel production. The higher alcohols from condensation of ethanol, alkylated amine compounds made by electrocatalytic alkyation, and fusel alcohols produced by modified fermentation microorganisms are all existing or potentially large-scale commodity or specialty chemicals with well-defined uses in industry. The formation of higher alcohols from ethanol in the condensed phase developed several catalysts, first in stirred batch autoclave reactors and then in a continuous flow reactor system, to achieve significant yields of n-butanol and higher alcohols. The best selectivity to higher alcohols exceeded 80% of theoretical at ethanol conversions of 30-40%. From the laboratory experiments and analysis of the phase equilibria of the species involved, a process concept was generated and simulated in AspenPlus to determine the specifications of the various equipment involved in the process. Results show that for the conversion and selectivity described above, the required n-butanol selling price of ~$1.60/kg is in the range of current n-butanol selling price in the marketplace. Several additional permutations of the process, along with evaluation of higher conversion and selectivities to desired alcohol products, showed that the production of n-butanol from ethanol should be competitive in the marketplace as the science and engineering behind the process improves with continued development. A second aspect of the project focused on producing fusel alcohols in increased quantities during ethanol fermentation. Fusel alcohols, which are composed primarily of isoamyl alcohol and minor quantities of C3-C6 alcohols, have potential as higher value feed stocks for specialty chemical production. Several strains of yeast were evaluated for fusel alcohol production, and the most efficient process for separating and purifying fusel alcohols was developed from both experiments and simulation. Finally, model fusel alcohol mixtures were subjected to condensation reactions with ethanol to prepare higher alcohols that again have potential for specialty chemical or solvent applications. In this preliminary work, measurable quantities of several species were observed, including some species that were previously unknown or uncharacterized in the literature. The third aspect of the project involved the electrocatalytic alkylation of amines with alcohols to form alkyl amines. Ethanol has been demonstrated to serve as an effective ethyl group transfer agent to the nitrogen centers of amines, a reaction with only water as a byproduct. Mild reaction conditions (60 °C, aqueous solution) are enabled by the novel use of simple, undivided electrochemical cell reactors that include long-lived, low cost catalytic electrodes. Direct polyalkylation of ammonia and isolation of the resulting triethylamine product was readily achieved in high yield. Though classical high temperature and pressure industrial scale alkylations reactions will likely continue to be used for production of simple product such as triethylamine, this approach has opened the door to the low cost, low waste use of ethanol and related primary and secondary alcohols to alkylate more delicate amines that were heretofore difficult to synthesize.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2018

Dual-Zone Solar Control Indoor Shade: Demonstration at the Ronald V. Dellums Federal Building and U.S. Courthouse, 1301 Clay Street, Oakland, California and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Advanced Windows Testbed, Berkeley, California

Standard window shades are used to control sunlight, glare, window heat gains, and daylight. The challenge with conventional shades is that once the shades are lowered to reduce discomfort, daylight is reduced, which, in turn, increases the need for electric lighting. View is also obstructed, reducing the occupants’ connection to the outdoors. The strategy of subdividing the window wall and admitting daylight from above and controlling sunlight and view through the lower aperture can yield significant energy and peak demand savings over conventional shading systems, and improve the daylight quality of the indoor environment. This study evaluated a dual zone solar control (DZSC) shade with an upper, automated, horizontal, venetian blind with concave-up, matte white slats and a lower, manually operated, roller shade made of a transparent, reflective film. The automatic controls were designed to adjust the upper slat angle to maximize daylight to the room interior. The lower shade, when lowered, provided an unobstructed view to the outdoors. For the qualitative analysis, the DZSC shades were installed on windows in the southeast half of one floor in the Ronald V. Dellums Federal Building and U.S. Courthouse or hereafter referred to as the Oakland Federal Building (OFB) in Oakland, California. The position of the DZSC shades were observed and recorded periodically. Surveys were issued to occupants in the private offices and open plan workstations affected by the shades. For the quantitative analysis, the DZSC shades were installed in the south-facing windows of thermally isolated, fully instrumented, test chambers in the Advanced Windows Testbed at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) in Berkeley, California. Measurements of window heat loads, daylight illuminance and environmental conditions related to visual and thermal comfort were collected over a six-month, solstice-to-solstice period. The performance of the DZSC shade was compared to fabric roller shades and venetian blinds since these are the two most common types of shades used in both commercial and Federal buildings. Several DZSC design permutations were evaluated: 1) manual or automated control of the upper louver system (“man” or “auto”) and 2) tinted or silvered reflective film for the lower shade (“Gray-Gray (GG)” or “Gray-Silver (GS)”1). The automated, reflective shade (auto-GS) reduced dimmable fluorescent lighting energy use by 51% and window cooling load by 13-15% compared to a conventional fabric roller shade with dual-pane, spectrally selective, low-e windows during the summer period (winter period was not measured). Qualitative analysis revealed that the auto-GS shade was preferred by 80% of the survey respondents compared to the existing vertical fabric blinds with single-pane, tinted windows in the occupied building. Survey results indicated that visual discomfort was reduced and thermal discomfort was also reduced during warm or hot weather. Occupants expressed greater satisfaction with the unobstructed view. Installation and commissioning of the DZSC shades was fairly straightforward with some minor problems due to inadequate installation instructions and improper wiring. A few occupants expressed dissatisfaction with the automatic controls for the upper louvers due to visual discomfort, erroneous control, and motor noise.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2019

Optimizing Dynamic Timing Analysis with Reinforcement Learning

There are multiple factors involved in successfully manufacturing ASICIVLSI chips, and ensuring operational specifications are maintained throughout the design and manufacturing process is often challenging. Dynamic timing analysis (DTA) is the principal method used to validate that a manufactured chip complies to its design specifications. In DTA functionality of both synchronous and asynchronous designs are verified by applying input signals and checking for correct output signals. In complex designs where the number of input signal permutations is extremely large, the computing resources required to properly verify the functionality of a chip is prohibitive. In this paper, a strategy using reinforcement learning (RL) for reducing DTA time and resources in such cases is discussed. RL assisted DTA holds much promise in ensuring that VLSI chip design and functionality are fully and optimally verified.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Diagnosis of Corrosion Process in Nuclear Power Plant Secondary Piping Structures

Corrosion inside secondary pipe structures in Nuclear Power Plants is difficult to detect without intrusion. Statistical and machine learning techniques are used to predict corrosion using pipe vibration data. 3D accelerometers were used to record pipe vibration data in three directions using six sensors. Vibration data were processed using the Hilbert-Huang Transformation, which is known for its adaptable basis function to non-linear and non-stationary signals. Hilbert-Huang Transformation using empirical mode functions generates multiple intrinsic mode functions of different amplitude and frequency levels from raw vibration data. From intrinsic mode functions features are extracted which include phase, energy, entropy, mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis. Logistic regression using only phase information correctly distinguished mass additions from baseline data in roughly 83% and 85% of the cases. Phase information varied substantially among different baseline runs and within trials of the same run. Random Forest resulted in >95% testing accuracy for both mass addition and mass removal data. Support Vector Machine had ~98% testing accuracy for mass removal and ~92% testing accuracy for mass additions when using Permutation Importance feature selection. When using Principle Component Analysis with Support Vector Machine, testing accuracy was ~68% testing accuracy for mass additions and ~85% testing accuracy for mass.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2021

(U) Segmented Scintillator Pitch, Thickness, and Septa Material Effects on the Swank Factor, Quantum Efficiency, and DQE(0) for High-Energy X-Ray Radiography

Scintillator design is an important aspect in constructing a radiographic facility in order to collect the most robust data possible. For the proposed Enhanced Capabilities for Sub-critical Experiment (ECSE) facility in Nevada, we explored a permutation of 13 segmented scintillator designs in order to understand the best performance and trade offs for each design. We calculated the quantum efficiency, Swank factor, and detective quantum efficiency at zero-frequency (DQE(0)) for each scintillator design in order to compare performance.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Concurrent Optimization of Capital Cost and Expected O&M

Concentrating solar power (CSP) technologies can utilize heat from concentrated sunlight from a field of tracking mirrors to generate electricity, reform fuel, provide process heat, or augment fossil plant heat sources. Electricity-generating power tower systems focus light from thousands of independent heliostats onto a thermal receiver, which uses the focused light to warm a heat transfer fluid (HTF), typically, a molten nitrate salt. The HTF is then sent to a power generation cycle or diverted into thermal energy storage (TES) for later use. Thermal storage is – in principle – a straightforward proposition. However, optimal utilization of a TES resource is complex and multi-faceted: thermal energy may be dispatched to produce electricity immediately upon first availability, or thermal energy may be reserved for next-day peak periods at risk of filling storage and dumping energy, or a portion of the thermal energy can be reserved to maintain equipment temperatures, reducing power cycle startup time, etc. Many possible dispatch permutations variously emphasize producing peak power, operating through transients, expediting daily startup, etc. The best operation strategy can change day-to-day throughout the year, depending on the weather and market pricing forecasts. The project we describe in this report develops a software package that allows users to explore design optimization, operations decisions, and performance characterization of concentrating solar power tower plants. Users interface with the tool through a scripting language, and results are reported in time series tables, plots, runtime logs, and design outputs. Users choose from a list of variables such as tower height, solar multiple, design-point irradiance, thermal storage size, etc., and specify information about the system using a list of parameters. The software can then optimize the specified variables to reduce the cost of energy produced by the system while meeting certain production requirements, accounting for uncertain weather and electricity price forecasts, and correcting for equipment failures or repair time. The software we develop is the first comprehensive design tool of its kind to incorporate all of these aspects while being deployed as open source.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗