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At least 289 records · Page 16

Natural sampling strategy

A natural stratum-based sampling scheme and the aggregation procedures for estimating wheat area, yield, and production and their associated prediction error estimates are described. The methodology utilizes LANDSAT imagery and agrophysical data to permit an improved stratification in foreign areas by ignoring political boundaries and restratifying along boundaries that are more homogeneous with respect to the distribution of agricultural density, soil characteristics, and average climatic conditions. A summary of test results is given including a discussion of the various problems encountered.

Hallum, C. R.↗

A fast, exact code for scattered thermal radiation compared with a two-stream approximation

A two-stream accuracy study for internally (thermal) driven problems is presented by comparison with a recently developed 'exact' adding/doubling method. The resulting errors in external (or boundary) radiative intensity and flux are usually larger than those for the externally driven problems and vary substantially with the radiative parameters. Error predictions for a specific problem are difficult. An unexpected result is that the exact method is computationally as fast as the two-stream approximation for nonisothermal media.

Cogley, A. C.↗

Application of maximum-entropy spectral estimation to deconvolution of XPS data

A comparison is made between maximum-entropy spectral estimation and traditional methods of deconvolution used in electron spectroscopy. The maximum-entropy method is found to have higher resolution-enhancement capabilities and, if the broadening function is known, can be used with no adjustable parameters with a high degree of reliability. The method and its use in practice are briefly described, and a criterion is given for choosing the optimal order for the prediction filter based on the prediction-error power sequence. The method is demonstrated on a test case and applied to X-ray photoelectron spectra.

Vasquez, R. P.↗

Prediction of Earth rotation and polar motion

Based on the analysis of the polar motion behavior, the possibility of predicting polar motion up to one year in advance was found. Comparing these predicted polar coordinates with the observed ones (smoothed), the root mean square (rms) of the differences is about 0.02 seconds. The differences of the relative polar motion are much smaller. For any time interval of 20 to 30 days throughout the whole year, the rms of the relative polar motion differences is about 0.01 second. Compared with the best available VLBI results (from 1977 to 1980), the rms of pred. to obs. is 0.013 seconds, and the relative rms (for time intervals less than two months) is 0.008 seconds (here the observed data is unsmoothed). It appears that 80 to 90% of the polar motion is composed of the stable, predictable Chandler and annual terms. The UT1-UTC has more complicated changes than polar motion making it difficult to find a satisfactory method of long term prediction. So far the rms prediction error is 0.0023 s for up to 30 days.

Zhu, S. Y.↗

Comparison of Optimum Interpolation and Cressman Analyses

The objective of this investigation is to develop a state-of-the-art optimum interpolation (O/I) objective analysis procedure for use in numerical weather prediction studies. A three-dimensional multivariate O/I analysis scheme has been developed. Some characteristics of the GLAS O/I compared with those of the NMC and ECMWF systems are summarized. Some recent enhancements of the GLAS scheme include a univariate analysis of water vapor mixing ratio, a geographically dependent model prediction error correlation function and a multivariate oceanic surface analysis.

Baker, W. E.↗

Comparison of Optimum Interpolation and Cressman Analyses

The development of a state of the art optimum interpolation (O/I) objective analysis procedure for use in numerical weather prediction studies was investigated. A three dimensional multivariate O/I analysis scheme was developed. Some characteristics of the GLAS O/I compared with those of the NMC and ECMWF systems are summarized. Some recent enhancements of the GLAS scheme include a univariate analysis of water vapor mixing ratio, a geographically dependent model prediction error correlation function and a multivariate oceanic surface analysis.

Baker, W. E.↗

A fast approach to identification using deconvolution

In this paper, we propose a fast approach to impulse response and noise-variance identification for a finite-order, linear, time-invariant, single-input/single-output system, whose input driving noise is white (stationary or nonstationary) and measurement noise is stationary, white and Gaussian. Our algorithm is an iterative block component method that includes two stages, deconvolution and prediction-error identification. Experiences with our method indicate that it works well and saves about an order of magnitude in computation. Analyses and examples are given in this paper to support this claim.

Chi, C.-Y.↗

Galilean satellite ephemeris improvement using Galileo tour encounter information

Accurate navigation of the satellite tour portion of the Galileo mission requires an accurate ephemeris of the Galilean satellites. The ephemeris is updated using radiometric and optical tracking data acquired during the satellite tour. The improved accuracy of the satellite ephemeris leads to improved targeting accuracy at subsequent encounters. The Galileo mission will benefit from improved targeting accuracy through reduced propellant costs and improved pointing accuracy. The predicted error in the updated ephemeris can be less than approximations inherent in the analytical theory used for the ephemeris, so an alternate numerical representation is applied. This alternate description shows promise but also raises questions of numerical stability.

Murrow, D. W.↗

Averaging analysis of adaptive control algorithms

The method of averaging is used to analyze discrete-time indirect adaptive control. The analysis focuses on various prediction-error-driven identification algorithms coupled with a general linear control law. The plant is not required to be in the model set of the identifier, which accounts for systems with unmodeled plant dynamics. Exogenous input signals including known command signals and unknown disturbances are also included. Both gradient and Newton-based algorithms are considered.

Phillips, Stephen M.↗

On the Wiener-Masani algorithm for finding the generating function of multivariate stochastic processes

The algorithms developed by Wiener and Masani (1957 and 1958) and Masani (1960) for the characterization of a class of multivariate stationary stochastic processes are investigated analytically. The algorithms permit the determination of (1) the generating function, (2) the prediction-error matrix, and (3) an autoregressive representation of the linear least-squares predictor. A number of theorems and lemmas are proved, and it is shown that the range of validity of the algorithms can be extended significantly beyond that given by Wiener and Masani.

Miamee, A. G.↗

Multiple weather regimes over the North Atlantic - Analysis of precursors and successors

Four weather regimes occurring over the Atlantic area and their preferred precursors and successors are identified. The first pattern exhibits the typical European blocking dipole, the second one represents an enhanced zonal flow, the third one consists of a positive anomaly over Greenland, and the last one is characterized by a ridge over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. The backward and forward memory times of the different regimes are established. Preferred precursor and successor patterns are identified as the maxima of the composite probability densities of the anomalies occurring before the onsets and after the breaks. The preferred transitions between regimes are also examined. The systematic aspect of this study gives rise to multiple applications, especially for case and composite studies on model prediction errors.

Vautard, R.↗

Flat plate at incidence as a waverider in rarefied hypersonic flow

The physical validity of continuum models and their ability to predict the critical aerothermodynamic properties of a waverider at high altitudes are examined using a flat plate at angle of attack as a generic hypersonic lifting vehicle. For a shock layer far from local translational equilibrium, a theoretical study based on Grad's thirteen-moment equations shows that the Navier-Stokes based solutions can correctly predict the drag, lift, and surface heat transfer rate, with the prediction error comparable to that of the standard shock-layer theory. The conclusion is supported by a comparison with direct simulation Monte Carlo calculations.

Cheng, H. K.↗

Fundamental parameters of brightest cluster galaxies

Photometry and spectroscopy of a sample of the brightest cluster galaxies (BCGs) are presented, and the relationships between scale length, surface brightness, velocity dispersion, and line strength are determined and compared with the relations determined for lower luminosity ellipticals (LLEs). It is found that the relation between log r(e), log sigma, and mean surface brightness reported by Dressler et al. for LLEs also describes the relation for BCGs fairly well. Fundamental plane solutions for BCGs are derived which can be used as distance indicators with a predicted error of about 21 percent per galaxy. Only a weak correlation is found between the Na D 5893 line strength and velocity dispersion for BCGs, in contrast to the significant correlation between these quantities reported for LLEs. It is found that the mean mass-to-light ratio for BCGs is a factor of about two greater than for the LLEs in the Virgo and Coma sample of Dressler et al.

Oegerle, William R.↗

Acoustic results of the Boeing model 360 whirl tower test

An evaluation is presented for whirl tower test results of the Model 360 helicopter's advanced, high-performance four-bladed composite rotor system intended to facilitate over-200-knot flight. During these performance measurements, acoustic data were acquired by seven microphones. A comparison of whirl-tower tests with theory indicate that theoretical prediction accuracies vary with both microphone position and the inclusion of ground reflection. Prediction errors varied from 0 to 40 percent of the measured signal-to-peak amplitude.

Watts, Michael E.↗

Precise tracking of the Magellan and Pioneer Venus orbiters by same-beam interferometry

Results of a demonstration of same-beam interferometry, the simultaneous tracking of two spacecraft in orbit about a distant planet by widely separated earth-based radio antennas, are presented with regard to the Magellan and Pioneer 12 orbiters at Venus. Signals from both spacecraft fall within the same beamwidth of the tracking antennas. The plane-of-sky position difference between spacecraft is precisely determined by double-differenced phase measurements. This data type complements line-of-sight Doppler and improves orbital accuracy by up to an order of magnitude. The predicted error is dominated by solar plasma fluctuations, and is 15.1 psec for a 5-min integration. The rms of the residuals is less than this by about 25 percent. The shape of the spectrum computed from residuals is consistent with that derived from a model of solar plasma fluctuations. Same-beam interferometry is expected to enhance tracking accuracy and efficiency for proposed multiple missions to Mars.

Border, James S.↗

Optimal experiment design for on-orbit identification

An optimal on-orbit experiment is designed to extract the most information from an on-orbit test, subject to the constraints of the testing environment. However, simply jumping in and optimizing standard measures of information with respect to the experiment design can cause severe problems if attention is not paid to the specific needs and properties of the problem at hand. The actual criteria to be optimized depends on (among other things) the particular ID algorithm and parametrization being used. Two parametric techniques are the focus of this presentation: recursive prediction error method (RPEM) and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE).

Bayard, David S.↗

Optimal gains for a single polar orbiting satellite

Gains are the spatial weighting of an observation in its neighborhood versus the local values of a model prediction. They are the key to data assimilation, as they are the direct measure of how the data are used to guide the model. As derived in the broad context of data assimilation by Kalman and in the context of meteorology, for example, by Rutherford, the optimal gains are functions of the prediction error covariances between the observation and analysis points. Kalman introduced a very powerful technique that allows one to calculate these optimal gains at the time of each observation. Unfortunately, this technique is both computationally expensive and often numerically unstable for dynamical systems of the magnitude of meteorological models, and thus is unsuited for use in PMIRR data assimilation. However, the optimal gains as calculated by a Kalman filter do reach a steady state for regular observing patterns like that of a satellite. In this steady state, the gains are constants in time, and thus could conceivably be computed off-line. These steady-state Kalman gains (i.e., Wiener gains) would yield optimal performance without the computational burden of true Kalman filtering. We proposed to use this type of constant-in-time Wiener gain for the assimilation of data from PMIRR and Mars Observer.

Banfield, Don↗