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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Low flow characteristics for regulated and unregulated streams in North Carolina and prediction using climate signals

In this work, low flow statistics of regulated and unregulated streams in the state of North Carolina were updated with streamflow data through 2019. About 22% of the streams considered show a significant downward trend, but considerable low-frequency variability confounding trends. The relationship between regional index time series of groundwater-depth low flow and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) was examined to determine whether low-frequency climate modes can account for the long-term pattern in low flows. Consequently, a significant correlation was found between AMO and groundwater-depth low flow, such that positive AMO is associated with lower groundwater-depth low flow and vice versa, particularly for the Piedmont region. Predictive equations for annual low flows at the ecoregion level shows that springtime average streamflow and AMO were selected as the primary predictors of low flow for coastal and Piedmont regions, whereas springtime average streamflow and the November–December–January average Oceanic Niño Index were used as the primary predictors for the mountain region. The relative root mean square error (RMSE) of the disaggregated predictions to US Geologic Survey gauge locations was <23% at 79% of the stations, between 24% and 43% at 10% of the stations, and greater than 44% at 1% of the stations. The remaining 10% of stations showed large RMSEs. This latter percentage is characterized by smaller drainage basins and intermittent flows, suggesting the prediction models are not applicable to drainage basins smaller than roughly 20 square km and intermittent streams.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1976

The Adams formulas for numerical integration of differential equations from 1st to 20th order

The Adams Bashforth predictor coefficients and the Adams Moulton corrector coefficients for the integration of differential equations are presented for methods of 1st to 20th order. The order of the method as presented refers to the highest order difference formula used in Newton's backward difference interpolation formula, on which the Adams method is based. The Adams method is a polynomial approximation method derived from Newton's backward difference interpolation formula. The Newton formula is derived and expanded to 20th order. The Adams predictor and corrector formulas are derived and expressed in terms of differences of the derivatives, as well as in terms of the derivatives themselves. All coefficients are given to 18 significant digits. For the difference formula only, the ratio coefficients are given to 10th order.

Kirkpatrick, J. C.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Experimental and analytical investigation of a nonaxisymmetric wedge nozzle at static conditions

An experimental investigation of a nonaxisymmetric wedge nozzle was conducted at static conditions. The resulting data, in the form of detailed pressure distributions and oil flow photographs, expand the current nonaxisymmetric nozzle data base. An analytical investigation has been conducted to evaluate a two-dimensional, inviscid, time-dependent theory as a nonaxisymmetric nozzle performance predictor. For the range of nozzle pressure ratios investigated, results indicate good agreement between theory and experiment in regions of predominately two-dimensional flow and limited agreement in regions of three-dimensional flow. For the wedge nozzle and related nozzle configurations, the two dimensional, inviscid theory may be applied as a limited performance predictor.

Carson, G. T., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Updating of ADAPT predictions of sunspot activity

An eigenvector analysis procedure was used to analyze and develop algorithms for predicting sunspot numbers. The predictors in these algorithms consist of sunspot numbers from the preceding two solar cycles and magnetic index data from the preceding cycle. Predictions are presented for cycles 21 and 22. The sunspot activity for cycle 21 is predicted to remain below 100 until early 1980 when it will rapidly reach a peak of approximately 120. The two sigma accuracy on these estimates is approximately 20 sunspot numbers in the region of the peak and 10 sunspot numbers early and late in the cycle. Algorithms were also developed for predicting the period of future sunspot cycles using the same predictor vector.

Hunter, H. C.↗
NASA NTRS1980

Estimation of the accuracy of dynamic flight-determined coefficients

This paper discusses means of assessing the accuracy of maximum likelihood parameter estimates obtained from dynamic flight data. The commonly used analytical predictors of accuracy are compared from both statistical and simplified geometric standpoints. Emphasizing practical considerations, such as modeling error, the accuracy predictions are evaluated with real and simulated data. Improved computations of the Cramer-Rao bound to correct large discrepancies caused by colored noise and modeling error are presented. This corrected Cramer-Rao bound is the best available analytical predictor of accuracy. Engineering judgement, aided by such analytical tools, is the final arbiter of accuracy estimation.

Maine, R. E.↗
NASA NTRS1981

The Theory and Practice of Estimating the Accuracy of Dynamic Flight-Determined Coefficients

Means of assessing the accuracy of maximum likelihood parameter estimates obtained from dynamic flight data are discussed. The most commonly used analytical predictors of accuracy are derived and compared from both statistical and simplified geometrics standpoints. The accuracy predictions are evaluated with real and simulated data, with an emphasis on practical considerations, such as modeling error. Improved computations of the Cramer-Rao bound to correct large discrepancies due to colored noise and modeling error are presented. The corrected Cramer-Rao bound is shown to be the best available analytical predictor of accuracy, and several practical examples of the use of the Cramer-Rao bound are given. Engineering judgement, aided by such analytical tools, is the final arbiter of accuracy estimation.

Maine, R. E.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Prediction and quickening in perspective flight displays for curved landing approaches

In an empirical test of various prediction and quickening display algorithms, 18 professional pilot-subjects made four curved-path landing approaches in a GAT-2 simulator using each of 18 dynamically different display configurations in a within-subject design. Results indicate that second- and third-order predictor displays provide the best lateral performance. Intermediate levels of prediction and quickening provide best vertical control. Prediction quickening algorithms of increasing computational order significantly reduce aileron, rudder, and elevator control responses, reflecting successive reductions in cockpit work load. Whereas conventional crosspointer displays are not adequate for curved landing approaches, perspective displays with predictors and some vertical dimension quickening are highly effective.

Jensen, R. S.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Rainfall results of the Florida Area Cumulus Experiment, 1970-76

The Florida Area Cumulus Experiment of 1970-76 (FACE-1) is a single-area, randomized, exploratory experiment to determine whether seeding cumuli for dynamic effects (dynamic seeding) can be used to augment convective rainfall over a substantial target area in south Florida. Rainfall is estimated using S-band radar observations after adjustment by raingages. The two primary response variables are rain volumes in the total target (TT) and in the floating target (FT), the most intensely treated portion of the target. The experimental unit is the day and the main observational period is the 6 h after initiation of treatment. Analyses without predictors suggest apparent increases in both the location and the dispersion characteristics of rainfall due to seeding in the FT and TT variables with substantial statistical support for the FT results and lesser statistical support for the TT results. Analyses of covariance using meteorologically meaningful predictor variables suggest a somewhat larger effect of seeding with stronger statistical support. These results are interpreted in terms of the FACE conceptual model.

Woodley, W. L.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Real time prediction of marine vessel motions using Kalman filtering techniques

The present investigation is concerned with the prediction of the future behavior of a vessel within some confidence bounds at a specific instant of time, taking into account an interval of a few seconds. The ability to predict accurately the motions of a vessel can reduce significantly the probability of failure of operations in rough seas. The investigation was started as part of an effort to ensure safe landing of aircraft on relatively small vessels. However, the basic principles involved in the study are the same for any offshore operation, such as carbo transfer in the open sea, structure installation, and floating crane operation. The Kalman filter is a powerful tool for achieving the goals of the prediction procedure. Attention is given to a linear optimal predictor, the equations of motion of the vessel, the wave spectrum, rational approximation, the use of Kalman filter and predictor in an application for a ship, and the motions of a semisubmersible.

Triantafyllou, M. S.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Crop weather models of barley and spring wheat yield for agrophysical units in North Dakota

Models based on multiple regression were developed to estimate barley yield and spring wheat yield from weather data for Agrophysical units(APU) in North Dakota. The predictor variables are derived from monthly average temperature and monthly total precipitation data at meteorological stations in the cooperative network. The models are similar in form to the previous models developed for Crop Reporting Districts (CRD). The trends and derived variables were the same and the approach to select the significant predictors was similar to that used in developing the CRD models. The APU models show sight improvements in some of the statistics of the models, e.g., explained variation. These models are to be independently evaluated and compared to the previously evaluated CRD models. The comparison will indicate the preferred model area for this application, i.e., APU or CRD.

Leduc, S.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Review of Teleoperator Research

A predictor display to overcome time lag problems with remote control systems is discussed. The video picture is a (necessarily) time-delayed picture from the remote location, generated as a coherent frame (snapshot) so that all picture elements in a single scan are delayed the same. The computer-generated graphics is a line drawing of the present configuration of the manipulator arm, vehicle or other device. The latter is generated by using the same control signals which are sent to the remote manipulator (device) to drive a computer model of it. The computer model is drawn on the video display in exactly the same location as where it will actually be after a one-way time delay and where it will be seen to be on the video after one round-trip time delay. If one waits at least one round-trip delay without moving, both the graphics model and the video picture of the manipulator (device) are seen to coincide. The predictor technque proved to work well and was shown for time delays in the 1-3 second range to reduce completion times for a variety of manipulation tasks by 50-150 percent reliably.

Sheridan, T. B.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Exploring the use of structural models to improve remote sensing agricultural estimates

Satellite estimates of agricultural characteristics often are not sufficiently precise for reliable use in small geographical regions. The precision of estimates of agricultural characteristics such as crop proportions and leaf area indexes can be increased by modeling ground observations as a function of satellite estimates. Linear regression models using least squares estimators of the model parameters are most often advocated as an appropriate methodology; however, least squares estimation requires that the predictor variables are measured without error, an unreasonable assumption for this application. An alternative estimation methodology which assumes that both the response variables (ground observations) and the predictor variables (satellite estimates) are measured with error involves the use of linear structural models. The application of linear structural models to the estimation of agricultural characteristics using satellite spectral measurements is examined.

Gunst, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Designing Estimator/Predictor Digital Phase-Locked Loops

Signal delays in equipment compensated automatically. New approach to design of digital phase-locked loop (DPLL) incorporates concepts from estimation theory and involves decomposition of closed-loop transfer function into estimator and predictor. Estimator provides recursive estimates of phase, frequency, and higher order derivatives of phase with respect to time, while predictor compensates for delay, called "transport lag," caused by PLL equipment and by DPLL computations.

Statman, J. I.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Short-term memory load and pronunciation rate

In a test of short-term memory recall, two subjects attempted to recall various lists. For unpracticed subjects, the time it took to read the list is a better predictor of immediate recall than the number of items on the list. For practiced subjects, the two predictors do about equally well. If the items that must be recalled are unfamiliar, it is advantageous to keep the items short to pronounce. On the other hand, if the same items will be encountered over and over again, it is advantageous to make them distinctive, even at the cost of adding to the number of syllables.

Schweickert, Richard↗
NASA NTRS1989

Multiplier-continuation algorthms for constrained optimization

Several path following algorithms based on the combination of three smooth penalty functions, the quadratic penalty for equality constraints and the quadratic loss and log barrier for inequality constraints, their modern counterparts, augmented Lagrangian or multiplier methods, sequential quadratic programming, and predictor-corrector continuation are described. In the first phase of this methodology, one minimizes the unconstrained or linearly constrained penalty function or augmented Lagrangian. A homotopy path generated from the functions is then followed to optimality using efficient predictor-corrector continuation methods. The continuation steps are asymptotic to those taken by sequential quadratic programming which can be used in the final steps. Numerical test results show the method to be efficient, robust, and a competitive alternative to sequential quadratic programming.

Lundberg, Bruce N.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Vector excitation coding with dynamic bit allocation

Vector excitation coding (VXC) has shown promise for digital transmission of fairly high communications quality speech at low bit rates, but current version of the algorithm still suffer from audible degradations, particularly at 4.8 kb/s. The authors examine the technique of dynamic bit allocation (DBA) to improve the performance of VXC for a given bit rate. The approach is based on the observation that the minimum bit rate needed to code adequately both the long-term and short-term predictors in VXC varies dynamically with time. Therefore, in frames where fewer bits suffice for the predictors, the unneeded bits can be reallocated to other coder parameter sets such as excitation vectors. By dynamically distributing available bits among the different coder parameter sets while keeping the total number of bits in each frame fixed, it is possible to improve overall coder performance without increasing bit rate.

Yong, Mei↗
NASA NTRS1989

Context dependent prediction and category encoding for DPCM image compression

Efficient compression of image data requires the understanding of the noise characteristics of sensors as well as the redundancy expected in imagery. Herein, the techniques of Differential Pulse Code Modulation (DPCM) are reviewed and modified for information-preserving data compression. The modifications include: mapping from intensity to an equal variance space; context dependent one and two dimensional predictors; rationale for nonlinear DPCM encoding based upon an image quality model; context dependent variable length encoding of 2x2 data blocks; and feedback control for constant output rate systems. Examples are presented at compression rates between 1.3 and 2.8 bits per pixel. The need for larger block sizes, 2D context dependent predictors, and the hope for sub-bits-per-pixel compression which maintains spacial resolution (information preserving) are discussed.

Beaudet, Paul R.↗