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At least 289 records · Page 16

Evaluation of Time-Series Gap-Filling Methods for Solar Irradiance Applications

A complete solar resource data set is essential for any stage of a solar energy project - from feasibility studies to daily operations. But measured or modeled solar resource data are prone to data gaps and data quality issues. To mitigate these issues, a data imputation process should be implemented to obtain a complete and reliable temporal and spatial data series. This study focused on imputing temporal scales by applying random and artificial data gaps and then implementing eight imputation methods, including the Kalman filtering and smoothing and stine interpolations. These methods were implemented on 1-minute to half hourly irradiance data for 1 year using a few locations from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) and ground measurement data set. The results demonstrated that some of the simpler methods, such as the stine and linear interpolation methods, were the relatively best models based on the statistical metrics for imputing NSRDB and ground measurement data, respectively.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Optimizing cloud motion estimation on the edge with phase correlation and optical flow

Abstract. Phase correlation (PC) is a well-known method for estimating cloud motion vectors (CMVs) from infrared and visible spectrum images. Commonly, phase shift is computed in the small blocks of the images using the fast Fourier transform. In this study, we investigate the performance and the stability of the blockwise PC method by changing the block size, the frame interval, and combinations of red, green, and blue (RGB) channels from the total sky imager (TSI) at the United States Atmospheric Radiation Measurement user facility's Southern Great Plains site. We find that shorter frame intervals, followed by larger block sizes, are responsible for stable estimates of the CMV, as suggested by the higher autocorrelations. The choice of RGB channels has a limited effect on the quality of CMVs, and the red and the grayscale images are marginally more reliable than the other combinations during rapidly evolving low-level clouds. The stability of CMVs was tested at different image resolutions with an implementation of the optimized algorithm on the Sage cyberinfrastructure test bed. We find that doubling the frame rate outperforms quadrupling the image resolution in achieving CMV stability. The correlations of CMVs with the wind data are significant in the range of 0.38–0.59 with a 95 % confidence interval, despite the uncertainties and limitations of both datasets. A comparison of the PC method with constructed data and the optical flow method suggests that the post-processing of the vector field has a significant effect on the quality of the CMV. The raindrop-contaminated images can be identified by the rotation of the TSI mirror in the motion field. The results of this study are critical to optimizing algorithms for edge-computing sensor systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

In-situ sensor monitoring of multi-class gas porosity formation in laser powder bed fusion using convolutional neural network

In-situ monitoring of defect formation remains a significant challenge in the laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) process. Recent advances have enabled real-time defect detection with machine learning and in-situ sensing technologies; however, most studies focus on binary classification of keyhole pores, limiting nuanced multi-class pore differentiation and formation mechanisms. This work introduces a multi-class pore detection framework (no pore, small pores < 15 µm, and large pores > 15 µm) by leveraging photodiode sensor data alongside high-fidelity synchrotron X-ray imaging. The 15 µm threshold is selected to distinguish between two fundamentally different defect mechanisms, following the physical size-mechanism boundary established by prior high-resolution synchrotron X-ray characterization of Al6061 LPBF. Distinguishing these classes is critical because large keyhole pores are structurally detrimental, whereas small gas pores are often benign, requiring different process control strategies. Thermal emission monitoring data collected simultaneously with high-speed X-ray imaging at the Stanford Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource (SSRL), are correlated with subsurface melt pool dynamics to establish ground truth. Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) with optimized parameters converts the photodiode time-series signals into time–frequency images, facilitating feature extraction. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) are then applied for real-time multi-class pore classification in an average inference time of 1 ms per signal window. It achieves 79% accuracy and an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC ROC) score of 0.89 with five-fold cross-validation. The results demonstrate that coupling CWT-based feature engineering with CNN architecture enables reliable multi-class pore detection in Al6061 builds using affordable in-situ sensors. This approach advances scalable and affordable quality assurance in additive manufacturing by moving beyond binary defect detection toward more nuanced classification of porosity mechanisms with in-situ sensors and machine learning.

Laser powder bed fusion, Multi-class pores, In-sit↗

Gamma-ray bursts, supernovae Ia, and baryon acoustic oscillations: A binned cosmological analysis

Abstract Cosmological probes at any redshift are necessary to reconstruct consistently the cosmic history. Studying properly the tension on the Hubble constant, H0, obtained by supernovae type Ia (SNe Ia) and the Planck measurements of the cosmic microwave background radiation would require complete samples of distance indicators at any epoch. Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are necessary for the aforementioned task because of their huge luminosity that allows us to extend the cosmic ladder to very high redshifts. However, using GRBs alone as standard candles is challenging, because their luminosity varies widely. To this end, we choose a reliable correlation for GRBs with a very small intrinsic scatter: the so-called fundamental plane correlation for GRB afterglows corrected for selection biases and redshift evolution. We choose a well defined sample: the platinum sample, composed of 50 long GRBs. To further constrain the cosmological parameters, we use baryon acoustic oscillations (BAOs) given their reliability as standard rulers. Thus, we have applied GRBs, SNe Ia, and BAOs in a binned analysis in redshifts so that the GRB contribution is fully included in the last redshift bin, which reaches z = 5. We use the fundamental plane correlation (also known as the 3D Dainotti relation), together with SNe Ia and BAOs, to constrain H0 and the density matter today, ΩM. This methodology allows us to assess the role of GRBs combined with SNe Ia and BAOs. We have obtained results for H0 and ΩM using GRBs+SNe Ia+BAOs with better precision than SNe Ia alone for every bin, thus confirming the beneficial role of BAOs and GRBs added together. In addition, consistent results between GRBs+SNe Ia+BAOs are obtained when compared with SNe Ia+BAOs, showing the importance of GRBs since the distance ladder is extended up to z = 5 with a similar precision obtained with other probes without including GRBs.

Dainotti, Maria Giovanna↗

Insights of warm-cloud biases in Community Atmospheric Model 5 and 6 from the single-column modeling framework and Aerosol and Cloud Experiments in the Eastern North Atlantic (ACE-ENA) observations

There has been a growing concern that most climate models predict precipitation that is too frequent, likely due to lack of reliable subgrid variability and vertical variations in microphysical processes in low-level warm clouds. In this study, the warm-cloud physics parameterizations in the singe-column configurations of NCAR Community Atmospheric Model version 6 and 5 (SCAM6 and SCAM5, respectively) are evaluated using ground-based and airborne observations from the Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Aerosol and Cloud Experiments in the Eastern North Atlantic (ACE-ENA) field campaign near the Azores islands during 2017–2018. The 8-month single-column model (SCM) simulations show that both SCAM6 and SCAM5 can generally reproduce marine boundary layer cloud structure, major macrophysical properties, and their transition. The improvement in warm-cloud properties from the Community Atmospheric Model 5 and 6 (CAM5 to CAM6) physics can be found through comparison with the observations. Meanwhile, both physical schemes underestimate cloud liquid water content, cloud droplet size, and rain liquid water content but overestimate surface rainfall. Modeled cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations are comparable with aircraft-observed ones in the summer but are overestimated by a factor of 2 in winter, largely due to the biases in the long-range transport of anthropogenic aerosols like sulfate. We also test the newly recalibrated autoconversion and accretion parameterizations that account for vertical variations in droplet size. Compared to the observations, more significant improvement is found in SCAM5 than in SCAM6. This result is likely explained by the introduction of subgrid variations in cloud properties in CAM6 cloud microphysics, which further suppresses the scheme's sensitivity to individual warm-rain microphysical parameters. The predicted cloud susceptibilities to CCN perturbations in CAM6 are within a reasonable range, indicating significant progress since CAM5 which produces an aerosol indirect effect that is too strong. The present study emphasizes the importance of understanding biases in cloud physics parameterizations by combining SCM with in situ observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dependence of adhesion on degradation mechanisms of ethylene co-vinyl acetate encapsulants over the lifetime of photovoltaic modules

The long-term reliability of encapsulation has a critical impact on the overall cost and effectiveness of photovoltaic modules. An often overlooked but important element of this reliability concerns adhesive degradation of the encapsulant, which results in delamination. This work critically examines the degradation mechanisms – deacetylation, β-scission, and hydrolytic depolymerization – primarily responsible for adhesion loss in ethylene co-vinyl acetate (EVA) encapsulants to provide evidence and clarity regarding the contribution of these mechanisms to the adhesive degradation over the lifetime of a module. EVA samples obtained from mini-modules exposed in two sets of controlled, accelerated conditions – with and without ultraviolet (UV) radiation – are characterized to find specific evidence for the proposed degradation mechanisms. The mini-modules were exposed up to 10,000 h, which represents up to 15–20 years in the field. Results affirm that initially, deacetylation dominates the degradation before scission takes over, followed by hydrolytic depolymerization. Additional analysis highlights the climacteric interdependency between deacetylation and hydrolytic depolymerization as it relates to eventual delamination, where deacetylation products catalyze interfacial hydrolysis reactions. Furthermore, effects occurring at a given interface are isolated, explicitly providing evidence for how these mechanisms are nonuniform throughout the thickness of the EVA. Results demonstrate that the EVA that interfaces with the glass as opposed to the cell experiences increased levels of degradation, explaining why this initially stronger interface becomes the preferential interface for delamination after longer periods of exposure. Additionally, elevated temperatures alone are shown to induce limited migration of sodium ions across the glass/EVA interface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Analysis of Long-Term Quality Control Data for a 137 Cs Dosimetry Calibration Source

Strict quality assurance programs are required for many radiological applications, but these seldom exist for verifying dosimetry calibration sources. After initial characterization of a dosimetry calibration facility, quality control procedures are recommended to ensure the early detection of any changes or malfunctions. These also result in refined knowledge about average dose rate and experimental variations in dose delivery. This paper describes the implementation of a phase I quality control protocol for a 137 Cs dosimetry calibration source and includes an analysis of the resulting data collected over a 24-mo period. During this time, substantial data was collected to establish trial control limits. Air kerma rate measurements were obtained using an ion chamber and were adjusted for decay, corrected for ambient temperature, pressure and humidity, and then analyzed using quality control charts. Three variations of rational subgrouping methods were used in order to find assignable causes of error, and Nelson's Rules were followed to detect any non-random statistical variations. Measurements were subgrouped according to same-day measurements in order to detect positional errors as well as atmospheric correction errors. Additionally, measurements were subgrouped according to analogous experimental setups in order to detect failure in equipment or incorrect settings. Both were analyzed using the X-bar and R chart method. Similarly, individuals and moving ranges charts were used to carefully examine each position in order to observe any situational errors that may occur which include timing, positional, or interference errors. Each method was successful in identifying unique out-of-control data points that occurred during the phase I application of forming control limits. Furthermore, over the 24-mo period, enough data points were deemed in-control to establish reliable trial limits. Future experiments will include the phase II application of gaining more reliable measurements in order to fine-tune the limits, as well as performing a designed experiment, where variables are purposefully changed in order to test the variation of the data.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Nuclear responses with neural-network quantum states

We introduce a variational Monte Carlo framework that combines neural-network quantum states with the Lorentz integral transform technique to compute the dynamical properties of self-bound quantum many-body systems in continuous Hilbert spaces. While broadly applicable to various quantum systems, including atoms and molecules, in this initial application we focus on the photoabsorption cross section of light nuclei, where benchmarks against numerically exact techniques are available. Our accurate theoretical predictions are complemented by robust uncertainty quantification, enabling meaningful comparisons with experiments. We demonstrate that a simple nuclear Hamiltonian, based on a leading-order pionless effective field theory expansion and known to accurately reproduce the ground-state energies of nuclei with $A\leq 20$ nucleons also provides a reliable description of the photoabsorption cross section.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Identification of Recombination Losses in CdSe/CdTe Solar Cells from Spectroscopic and Microscopic Time-Resolved Photoluminescence

Due to the lowest-cost and best reliability, CdTe solar cells are the leading thin-film photovoltaic technology. Increasing open-circuit voltage by reducing recombination represents the most promising path toward further improvements. Analysis is needed to identify limitations that cause efficiency losses. To achieve this goal for Cu-doped CdSe/CdTe solar cells, time-resolved spectroscopy and microscopy are developed and applied. Recombination lifetimes and radiative efficiency identify that defect-mediated recombination is the dominant voltage loss mechanism. When carrier lifetimes are averaged over many crystalline grains, they increase from 180 to 430 ns when Al2O3 is applied to the back contact. The quasi-Fermi-level splitting correspondingly increases from 880–905 to 906–931 mV, indicating a pathway to overcome the long-standing 900 mV voltage limitation. However, the dominant recombination losses are attributed to the absorber bulk. From microscopic carrier lifetime measurements, it is identified that space charge fields due to charged grain boundaries (GBs) lead to recombination in the CdTe absorber bulk. At high injection, GB space charge fields are screened, but that occurs above 1 Sun excitation conditions. Alloying with selenium in the near-interface CdSeTe absorber region reduces GB losses and is identified as one of the factors leading to high radiative and power conversion efficiency.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Benchmark probabilistic solar forecasts: Characteristics and recommendations

We illustrate and compare commonly used benchmark, or reference, methods for probabilistic solar forecasting that researchers use to measure the performance of their proposed techniques. A thorough review of the literature indicates wide variation in the benchmarks implemented in probabilistic solar forecast studies. To promote consistent and sensible methodological comparisons, we implement and compare ten variants from six common benchmark classes at two temporal scales: intra-hourly forecasts and hourly resolution forecasts. Using open-source Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) data from 2018, these benchmark methods are compared using proper probabilistic metrics and common diagnostic tools. Practical implementation issues, such as the impact of missing data and applicability for operational forecasting, are also discussed. Furthermore, we make recommendations for practitioners on the appropriate selection of benchmark methods to properly showcase state-of-the-art improvements in forecast reliability and sharpness. All code and open-source data are available on Github for reproducibility and for other researchers to apply the same benchmark methods to their own data.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Femtosecond temperature measurements of laser-shocked copper deduced from the intensity of the x-ray thermal diffuse scattering

We present 50-fs, single-shot measurements of the x-ray thermal diffuse scattering (TDS) from copper foils that have been shocked via nanosecond laser ablation up to pressures above ∼135 GPa. We hence deduce the x-ray Debye–Waller factor, providing a temperature measurement. The targets were laser-shocked with the DiPOLE 100-X laser at the High Energy Density endstation of the European X-ray Free-Electron Laser. Single x-ray pulses, with a photon energy of 18 keV, were scattered from the samples and recorded on Varex detectors. Despite the targets being highly textured (as evinced by large variations in the elastic scattering) and with such texture changing upon compression, the absolute intensity of the azimuthally averaged inelastic TDS between the Bragg peaks is largely insensitive to these changes, and allowing for both Compton scattering and the low-level scattering from a sacrificial ablator layer provides a reliable measurement of $T/Θ^2_D$, where Θ D is the Debye temperature. We compare our results with the predictions of the SESAME 3336 and LEOS 290 equations of state for copper and find good agreement within experimental errors. We, thus, demonstrate that single-shot temperature measurements of dynamically compressed materials can be made via thermal diffuse scattering of XFEL radiation.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

General algorithm for characterization of donor-acceptor pair recombination processes in solid-state materials

Radiative recombination processes can occur in solid-state systems through the pairing of donor and acceptor defects of the lattice. Recently, donor-acceptor pairs (DAP) have been proposed as promising candidates for quantum applications, and their signature has been observed in emerging low-dimensional materials. Therefore, the identification of such processes is gaining interest and requires methods to efficiently and reliably characterize them. Here, we introduce a general algorithm to identify DAP processes starting from the experimental photoluminescence (PL) emission spectrum and basic material parameters, including the lattice structure and dielectric constant. The algorithm recognizes possible DAP transitions from the emission pattern in the spectrum and returns the characteristic energy of the DAP transition and the separation between the donor and acceptor sites. By testing the algorithm on the photoluminescence spectrum of hexagonal boron nitride (hBN), we show that our method is robust against experimental errors and adds new capabilities to the investigation toolbox of semiconductors and their optical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

American WAKE Experiment (AWAKEN) Field Campaign Report

The American WAKE experimeNt (AWAKEN) was a large-scale, international collaborative field campaign funded primarily by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Wind Energy Technologies Office. Its main purpose was to gather detailed observations of wind farm-atmosphere interactions to improve understanding of wind farm physics, validate and improve simulation tools, lower uncertainties in wind farm modeling, understand environmental impacts, and ultimately reduce the cost and increase the reliability of wind energy systems. The campaign specifically focused on seven testable hypotheses that include characterizing wind turbine and wind farm wake effects, wind farm blockage, turbulent mixing, structural loading impacts, local environmental impacts, and testing wind farm control technologies. AWAKEN was a highly collaborative effort involving numerous agencies, including: DOE, through the Wind Energy Technologies Office and the Office of Science Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility, the U.S. Department of Commerce through the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, many American universities, and internationally funded collaborators from Germany and Brazil.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Recent Advances toward Efficient Calculation of Higher Nuclear Derivatives in Quantum Chemistry

In this article, we provide an overview of state-of-the-art techniques that are being developed for efficient calculation of second and higher nuclear derivatives of quantum mechanical (QM) energy. Calculations of nuclear Hessians and anharmonic terms incur high costs and memory and scale poorly with system size. Three emerging classes of methods—machine learning (ML), automatic differentiation (AD), and matrix completion (MC)—have demonstrated promise in overcoming these challenges. We illustrate studies that employ unsupervised ML methods to reduce the need for multiple Hessian calculations in dynamics simulations and those that utilize supervised ML to construct approximate potential energy surfaces and estimate Hessians and anharmonic terms at reduced cost. By extension, if electronic structure operations could be written in a manner similar to functions underlying ML methods, rapid differentiation or AD routines can be employed to inexpensively calculate higher arbitrary-order derivatives. While ML approaches are typically black-box, we describe methods such as compressed sensing (CS) and MC, which explicitly leverage problem-specific mathematical properties of higher derivatives such as sparsity and low-rank, to complete higher derivative information using only a small, incomplete sample. The three classes of methods facilitate reliable predictions of observables ranging from infrared spectra to thermal conductivity and constitute a promising way forward in accurately capturing otherwise intractable higher-order responses of QM energy to nuclear perturbations.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

TA55-PMDS Programmatic Maintenance [Slides]

DOE Order 433.1B states: “The contractor must maintain real property assets in a manner that promotes operational safety, worker health, environmental compliance, property preservation and cost-effectiveness while meeting the program mission”. P950 Conduct of Maintenance serves as LANL’s Nuclear Maintenance Management Program specific to M/L 1 and M/L 2 SSC. PA-AP-01108 Maintenance Requirements for Programmatic Equipment defines the process for determining maintenance requirements, as defined in a maintenance plan, for all programmatic equipment owned by the Associate Directorate for Plutonium Science and Manufacturing (ADPSM) utilizing a formal, graded approach to maximize the reliability of permanently-installed programmatic equipment that does not perform a safety function. It bridges the gap between P950 and program equipment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Measured and satellite-derived albedo data for estimating bifacial photovoltaic system performance

The albedo of the ground surface is an important factor in the cost-effectiveness of a bifacial photovoltaic (PV) system. To improve the availability of reliable albedo data, datasets of ground albedo and associated meteorological data were developed by using existing measurement network data and data measured by the PV industry. The measured datasets include time-series data as well as summary information of tabular monthly and yearly data and plots of monthly and hourly albedo values. Satellite-derived values of albedo are available from the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB). The NSRDB albedos were compared to the measured albedos for Surface Radiation budget (SURFRAD) network locations for the period 2001–2017, and the mean bias difference results were from -0.044 to +0.056. Overall, these differences are greater than the albedo measurement uncertainty of ±0.02; consequently, the NSRDB albedos should be used with caution for estimating the performance of bifacial PV systems. Differences between SURFRAD and NSRDB albedos are attributed to the NSRDB method for determining albedo and to the ground surfaces within the NSRDB 4 km spatial resolution pixel consisting of a mixture of surface types rather than just the single surface types viewed by the albedometers at the SURFRAD stations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Cherenkov Telescope Array sensitivity to the putative millisecond pulsar population responsible for the Galactic Centre excess

ABSTRACT The leading explanation of the Fermi Galactic Centre γ-ray excess is the extended emission from an unresolved population of millisecond pulsars (MSPs) in the Galactic bulge. Such a population would, along with the prompt γ-rays, also inject large quantities of electrons/positrons (e±) into the interstellar medium. These e± could potentially inverse-Compton (IC) scatter ambient photons into γ-rays that fall within the sensitivity range of the upcoming Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA). In this article, we examine the detection potential of CTA to this signature by making a realistic estimation of the systematic uncertainties on the Galactic diffuse emission model at TeV-scale γ-ray energies. We forecast that, in the event that e± injection spectra are harder than E−2, CTA has the potential to robustly discover the IC signature of a putative Galactic bulge MSP population sufficient to explain the Galactic Centre excess for e± injection efficiencies in the range of ≈2.9–74.1 per cent, or higher, depending on the level of mismodelling of the Galactic diffuse emission components. On the other hand, for spectra softer than E−2.5, a reliable CTA detection would require an unphysically large e± injection efficiency of ${\gtrsim} 158{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$. However, even this pessimistic conclusion may be avoided in the plausible event that MSP observational and/or modelling uncertainties can be reduced. We further find that, in the event that an IC signal were detected, CTA can successfully discriminate between an MSP and a dark matter origin for the radiating e±.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Over 8 hours of continuous operation of a free-electron laser driven by a laser-plasma accelerator

Since the emergence of laser-plasma accelerators (LPAs), substantial work has been dedicated to using LPAs to drive free-electron lasers (FELs) for a broad range of applications. Despite recent breakthroughs, which have proven the fundamental feasibility of operating FELs with an LPA source, stable FEL operation over multiple hours without operator input had yet to be achieved. In this work, we report significant improvements to the stability of a hundred terawatt laser system, resulting in successful demonstration of reliable, long-term operation of an LPA-driven FEL in the self-amplified spontaneous emission (SASE) regime at 420 nm. The LPA source delivered 100 MeV electron beams at 1 Hz with high stability over more than 10 h, enabling over 8 h of continuous FEL operation without operator input. The acquired data were subsequently used to investigate correlations between the measured undulator radiation and parameters of the drive laser, plasma source, and electron beam. The revealed connections between LPA and FEL performance gave important additional insights into ways to further improve and stabilize the system, thus demonstrating the capability of our setup to serve as a powerful platform for future studies of LPA-driven FEL operation. The one-of-a-kind integration of multiple stabilization concepts onto the LPA facility discussed in this manuscript yielded significant accelerator and light source improvements (with residual correlations suggesting even more is possible), which will positively impact LPA applications at large.

Kohrell, Finn [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborato↗