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DOE OSTI2021

Identifying Candidate Biomarkers of Ionizing Radiation in Human Pulmonary Microvascular Lumens Using Microfluidics—A Pilot Study

The microvasculature system is critical for the delivery and removal of key nutrients and waste products and is significantly damaged by ionizing radiation. Single-cell capillaries and microvasculature structures are the primary cause of circulatory dysfunction, one that results in morbidities leading to progressive tissue and organ failure and premature death. Identifying tissue-specific biomarkers that are predictive of the extent of tissue and organ damage will aid in developing medical countermeasures for treating individuals exposed to ionizing radiation. In this pilot study, we developed and tested a 17 µL human-derived microvascular microfluidic lumen for identifying candidate biomarkers of ionizing radiation exposure. Through mass-spectrometry-based proteomics, we detected 35 proteins that may be candidate early biomarkers of ionizing radiation exposure. This pilot study demonstrates the feasibility of using humanized microfluidic and organ-on-a-chip systems for biomarker discovery studies. A more elaborate study of sufficient statistical power is needed to identify candidate biomarkers and test medical countermeasures of ionizing radiation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Hypothesis tests on Rayleigh wave radiation pattern shapes: a theoretical assessment of idealized source screening

SUMMARY Shallow seismic sources excite Rayleigh wave ground motion with azimuthally dependent radiation patterns. We place binary hypothesis tests on theoretical models of such radiation patterns to screen cylindrically symmetric sources (like explosions) from non-symmetric sources (like non-vertical dip-slip or non-VDS faults). These models for data include sources with several unknown parameters, contaminated by Gaussian noise and embedded in a layered half-space. The generalized maximum likelihood ratio tests that we derive from these data models produce screening statistics and decision rules that depend on measured, noisy ground motion at discrete sensor locations. We explicitly quantify how the screening power of these statistics increase with the size of any dip-slip and strike-slip components of the source, relative to noise (faulting signal strength) and how they vary with network geometry. As applications of our theory, we apply these tests to (1) find optimal sensor locations that maximize the probability of screening non-circular radiation patterns and (2) invert for the largest non-VDS faulting signal that could be mistakenly attributed to an explosion with damage, at a particular attribution probability. Finally, we quantify how certain errors that are sourced by opening cracks increase screening rate errors. While such theoretical solutions are ideal and require future validation, they remain important in underground explosion monitoring scenarios because they provide fundamental physical limits on the discrimination power of tests that screen explosive from non-VDS faulting sources.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty Quantification Enabled by Automatic Differentiation for Hydrodynamic Simulation of Shock‐to‐Detonation Transition in High Explosives

Quantifying the effects of uncertainty in a reactive burn model on the run-to-detonation time in high explosives (HEs) provides a robust methodology for assessing the probability of an HE failing the IHE qualification standard. Moreover, uncertainty quantification helps evaluate whether the model calibration accurately represents data outside the calibration set. This study uses a specialized hydrodynamic simulation code for modeling detonation to determine the run-to-detonation time of the HE PBX 9502 for various impact velocities. To quickly approximate uncertainties in the model, a surrogate was constructed using a Taylor series expansion centered at the mean of the input parameters. To obtain the sensitivities required for constructing the Taylor series, HYP-percomplex Automatic Differentiation (HYPAD) was implemented. HYPAD is a methodology for infusing existing codes with automatic differentiation capabilities by augmenting variables with one or more imaginary units to compute step-size independent partial derivatives. These derivatives are accurate to machine precision with respect to the implemented numerical algorithm, meaning their accuracy reflects that of the underlying method (e.g., integration or discretization schemes). Using reduced order modeling techniques, the mean and standard deviation of the run-to-detonation time of a shock within PBX 9502 were computed for a number of initial impact velocities. A weighted least squares regression was then performed to obtain a best fit curve and prediction interval for the computed statistics. Historical data points from explosively driven wedge tests were utilized to validate the prediction interval, ensuring its reliability in predicting future outcomes. With this prediction interval and a known safety constraint curve, the most probable point of failure and the probability of failure for the HE PBX 9502 were determined.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Vascular Carbon/Carbon composites for concentrated solar power

Due to their exceptional mechanical and thermal properties under high temperature conditions, for the first time, a novel vascular (embedded channels) Carbon/Carbon (C/C) composite was developed for use as a modular concentrated solar power (CSP) gas receiver. The fabrication process involves the combination of the vaporization of sacrificial component (VaSC) technique with conventional methods to produce C/C composites with well preserved channels. Different heat treatments were evaluated together with X-ray diffraction (XRD) analysis to determine optimal fabrication conditions that maintains the material and channel’s integrity. Mechanical testing confirms that structural integrity is maintained, with statistical analyses indicating no compromise in flexural strength or modulus. Furthermore, this research introduces an innovative pathway for efficient CSP gas receivers, which can bridge the gap towards improved energy generation efficiency in next-gen CSP plants through higher operating temperatures with the use of C/C composites.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dark black holes in the mass gap

Abstract In the standard picture of stellar evolution, pair-instability — the energy loss in stellar cores due to electron-positron pair production — is predicted to prevent the collapse of massive stars into black holes with mass in the range between approximately 50 and 130 solar masses — a range known as the “black hole mass gap”. LIGO and Virgo detection of black hole binary mergers containing one or both black holes with masses in thismass gapthus challenges the standard picture, possibly pointing to an unexpected merger history, unanticipated or poorly understood astrophysical mechanisms, or new physics. Here, we entertain the possibility that a “dark sector” exists, consisting of dark electrons, dark protons, and electromagnetic-like interactions, but no nuclear forces. Dark stars would inevitably form given such dark sector constituents, possibly collapsing into black holes with masses within the mass gap. We study in detail the cooling processes necessary for successful stellar collapse in the dark sector and show that for suitable choices of the particle masses, we indeed predict populating the mass gap with dark sector black holes. In particular, we numerically find that the heavier of the two dark sector massive particles cannot be lighter than, approximately, the visible sector proton for the resulting dark sector black holes to have masses within the mass gap. We discuss constraints on this scenario and how to test it with future, larger black hole merger statistics.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

DOE OSTI2021

On the dark matter haloes of optical and IR-selected AGNs in the local universe

ABSTRACT We use the technique of total satellite luminosity, Lsat, to probe the dark matter haloes around active galactic nuclei (AGNs) in the SDSS Main Galaxy Sample. Our results focus on galaxies and AGNs that are the central galaxy of their halo. Our two AGN samples are constructed from optical emission-line diagnostics and from Wide-Field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) infrared colours. Both optically selected and WISE-selected AGN have Lsat values twice as high as non-active galaxy samples when controlling for stellar mass and mean stellar age. This implies that the haloes are twice as massive, but we cannot rule out that the increase in Lsat is due to these AGNs residing in younger haloes at the same mass. When only controlling for host galaxy stellar mass, WISE-selected AGNs also have higher Lsat values than optical AGNs at the factor of two level, consistent with previous results comparing the clustering of obscured and unobscured AGNs. However, controlling for stellar age in the two populations of host galaxies removes half of this difference, attenuating the statistical significance of the difference. We perform permutation tests to quantify the difference in the halo populations of each sample. The difference in star formation properties does not fully explain the difference in the two AGN populations, however. Although AGN luminosity correlates with mean stellar age, the difference in stellar age between the WISE and optical samples cannot be fully explained by differences in their AGN luminosity distributions.

Alpaslan, Mehmet (ORCID:0000000303211033)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Constraining RV variation using highly reddened Type Ia supernovae from the Pantheon+ sample

ABSTRACT Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) are powerful tools for measuring the expansion history of the Universe, but the impact of dust around SNe Ia remains unknown and is a critical systematic uncertainty. One way to improve our empirical description of dust is to analyse highly reddened SNe Ia [E(B − V) > 0.4, roughly equivalent to the fitted SALT2 light-curve parameter c > 0.3]. With the recently released Pantheon+ sample, there are 57 SNe Ia that were removed because of their high colour alone (with colours up to c = 1.61), which can provide enormous leverage on understanding line-of-sight RV. Previous studies have claimed that RV decreases with redder colour, though it is unclear if this is due to limited statistics, selection effects, or an alternative explanation. To test this claim, we fit two separate colour–luminosity relationships, one for the main cosmological sample (c < 0.3) and one for highly reddened (c > 0.3) SNe Ia. We find the change in the colour–luminosity coefficient to be consistent with zero. Additionally, we compare the data to simulations with different colour models, and find that the data prefers a model with a flat dependence of RV on colour over a declining dependence. Finally, our results strongly support that line-of-sight RV to SNe Ia is not a single value, but forms a distribution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

First constraints from marked angular power spectra with Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Survey First-Year Data

We present the first application of marked power spectra to weak lensing data, using maps from the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Year 1 (HSC-Y1) survey. Marked convergence fields, constructed by weighting the convergence field with non-linear functions of its smoothed version, are designed to encode higher-order information while remaining computationally tractable. Using simulations tailored to the HSC-Y1 data, we test three mark functions that up- or down-weight different density environments. Our results show that combining multiple types of marked auto and cross-spectra improves constraints on the clustering amplitude parameter S8≡σ8Ωm/0.3 by ≈43 per cent compared to standard two-point power spectra. When applied to the HSC-Y1 data, this translates into a constraint on S8=0.807±0.024⁠. We assess the sensitivity of the marked power spectra to systematics, including baryonic effects, intrinsic alignment, photometric redshifts, and multiplicative shear bias. We note that some of the additional information introduced by the marked field originates from scales smaller than the scale cut, and is partly Gaussian in nature. This does not invalidate our systematic tests. These results demonstrate the promise of marked statistics as a practical and powerful tool for extracting non-Gaussian information from weak lensing surveys.

Cowell, Jessica A. [Oxford U.; Tokyo U., IPMU] (OR↗

DOE OSTI2021

Guaranteed Phase & Topology Identification in Three Phase Distribution Grids

We present a method for joint phase identification and topology recovery in unbalanced three phase radial networks using only voltage measurements. By recovering phases and topology jointly, we utilize all three phase voltage measurements and can handle networks where some buses have a subset of three phases. Our method is theoretically justified by a novel linearized formulation of unbalanced three phase power flow and makes precisely defined and reasonable assumptions on line impedances and load statistics. We validate our method on three IEEE test networks simulated under realistic conditions in OpenDSS, comparing our performance to the state of the art. In addition to providing a new method for phase and topology recovery, our intuitively structured linearized model will provide a foundation for future work in this and other applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Differentially Private K -Means Clustering Applied to Meter Data Analysis and Synthesis

The proliferation of smart meters has resulted in a large amount of data being generated. It is increasingly apparent that methods are required for allowing a variety of stakeholders to leverage the data in a manner that preserves the privacy of the consumers. The sector is scrambling to define policies, such as the so called ‘15/15 rule’, to respond to the need. However, the current policies fail to adequately guarantee privacy. Here, in this paper, we address the problem of allowing third parties to apply K-means clustering, obtaining customer labels and centroids for a set of load time series by applying the framework of differential privacy. We leverage the method to design an algorithm that generates differentially private synthetic load data consistent with the labeled data. We test our algorithm’s utility by answering summary statistics such as average daily load profiles for a 2-dimensional synthetic dataset and a real-world power load dataset.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Direct comparison of using a Z -transformation instead of the traditional $Q^2$ for extraction of the proton radius from $e-p$ scattering data

A discrepancy in the determination of the proton’s charge radius, r p , between muonic hydrogen spectroscopy versus classic atomic spectroscopy and electron scattering data has become known as the proton radius puzzle. Extractions of r p from electron scattering data require determination of the slope of the proton’s charge form factor, $G$$^{p}_{E}$, in the limit of Q 2 → 0 through fitting and extrapolation. Some works have presented the Z-transformation fitting technique as the best choice for this type of extraction due to the true functional form of $G$$^{p}_{E}$ being mathematically guaranteed to exist within the parameter-space of the fit function. In this work, we test this claim by examining the mathematical bias and variances introduced by this technique as compared to the more traditional Q 2 fits using statistically sampled $G$$^{p}_{E}$ parameterizations with known input radii. Furthermore, our tests conclude that the quality of the Z-transformation technique depends on the range of data used. In the case of new experiments, the fit function and technique should be selected in advance by generating realistic pseudodata and assessing the power of different techniques.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Topological Signatures of Adversaries in Multimodal Alignments

Topological Data Analysis for Adversarial Detection (LANL O4937) - Detects adversarial examples in vision-language models using persistent homology and two-sample testing. Combines TDA features from CLIP embeddings with statistical methods (ME, SCF, SAMMD, C2ST) for robust detection across ImageNet, CIFAR-10/100.

Bhattarai, Manish↗

DOE OSTI2021

Coding and noncoding variants in EBF3 are involved in HADDS and simplex autism

Abstract Background Previous research in autism and other neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) has indicated an important contribution of protein-coding (coding) de novo variants (DNVs) within specific genes. The role of de novo noncoding variation has been observable as a general increase in genetic burden but has yet to be resolved to individual functional elements. In this study, we assessed whole-genome sequencing data in 2671 families with autism (discovery cohort of 516 families, replication cohort of 2155 families). We focused on DNVs in enhancers with characterized in vivo activity in the brain and identified an excess of DNVs in an enhancer named hs737. Results We adapted the fitDNM statistical model to work in noncoding regions and tested enhancers for excess of DNVs in families with autism. We found only one enhancer (hs737) with nominal significance in the discovery (p = 0.0172), replication (p = 2.5 × 10 −3 ), and combined dataset (p = 1.1 × 10 −4 ). Each individual with a DNV in hs737 had shared phenotypes including being male, intact cognitive function, and hypotonia or motor delay. Our in vitro assessment of the DNVs showed they all reduce enhancer activity in a neuronal cell line. By epigenomic analyses, we found that hs737 is brain-specific and targets the transcription factor gene EBF3 in human fetal brain. EBF3 is genome-wide significant for coding DNVs in NDDs (missense p = 8.12 × 10 −35 , loss-of-function p = 2.26 × 10 −13 ) and is widely expressed in the body. Through characterization of promoters bound by EBF3 in neuronal cells, we saw enrichment for binding to NDD genes (p = 7.43 × 10 −6 , OR = 1.87) involved in gene regulation. Individuals with coding DNVs have greater phenotypic severity (hypotonia, ataxia, and delayed development syndrome [HADDS]) in comparison to individuals with noncoding DNVs that have autism and hypotonia. Conclusions In this study, we identify DNVs in the hs737 enhancer in individuals with autism. Through multiple approaches, we find hs737 targets the gene EBF3 that is genome-wide significant in NDDs. By assessment of noncoding variation and the genes they affect, we are beginning to understand their impact on gene regulatory networks in NDDs.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Accelerator Neutrinos

Neutrino beams generated by particle accelerators are essential for probing fundamental physics. This presentation will examine the creation of high-intensity, well-collimated neutrino beams, crucial for long-baseline experiments like DUNE and NOvA. These experiments are pushing proton beam power to multi-MW levels and utilizing large-scale detectors to overcome the challenge of limited event statistics. At LBNF, the DUNE experiment will rigorously test the three-neutrino flavor model and explore CP violation by analyzing oscillation signatures in high-intensity νμ(νμˉ)νμ(νμˉ) to νe(νeˉ)νe(νeˉ) beams. We'll explore the technical complexities of beamline components, the drive towards higher beam powers, and the strategies for measuring and managing neutrino flux. The presentation will also cover advancements in neutrino beam instrumentation and efforts to enhance beam precision, which are key to achieving the next generation of multi-megawatt accelerator facilities. By reviewing past achievements and future prospects, this talk aims to provide a clear overview of the current state and future potential of neutrino beam technology.

Ganguly, Sudeshna↗

DOE OSTI2024

Complete Development of Critical Capabilities for TRISO Fission Product Source Term Calculations and Quantify Mechanisms for Pd Penetration of SiC

Overall fission product (FP) release will be an important consideration for the licensing and deployment of advanced reactors utilizing tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuels. This work focuses on enhancing and applying the BISON models needed to predict FP transport within TRISO particles and particle failure probability, both of which factor directly into release predictions. Specifically, this report details (1) the development of the models needed to predict palladium (Pd) conservation at the engineering scale and the application of those models to characterize Pd fluxes for input into a mechanistic multiscale model for Pd penetration; (2) the refinement of sorption mass transfer models and the development of models for trapping in porous layers, which were applied and compared to particle scans from AGR-2 to provide proof of concept for a method of particle-scale validation that may reduce uncertainties compared to compact-scale validation using data from integral effects tests; (3) the development of a failure-statistics-informed, mesh-independent methodology for applying smeared cracking, enabling further study of the localized multiphysics behaviors associated with cascading particle failure mechanisms; and (4) the preliminary characterization of those coupled multiphysics particle failure behaviors using smeared, nonretentive diffusivities to provide a baseline for future study and to guide ongoing engineering applications.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Design and Testing of the Endcap Concentrator ASICs for the CMS High-Granularity Calorimeter Upgrade

A major upgrade of the High-Granularity Calorimeter (HGCAL) in the CMS detector is planned for Long-Shutdown 3 (LS3), currently expected to start in 2026. This upgrade will contain over 6 million channels and the electronics will be required to be low power and to withstand a radiation environment with a High-Energy Hadron flux of 3x10**6 particles per square centimeter per second. The solution to this significant challenge is the two Endcap Concentrator (ECON) ASICs, ECON-T and ECON-D, working in tandem with the HGCROC front-end ASIC. The two ECON ASICs provide critical on-detector data reduction for both the 40 MHz trigger path (ECON-T) and 750 kHz data acquisition path (ECON-D) of the HGCAL. The ASICs are fabricated in 65nm CMOS. They are rad-tolerant to 600 Mrad with low power consumption (<2.5 mW/channel). This presentation will be a comprehensive description of each ECON design, including the infrastructure that they share as well as the elements that make each unique. The presentation will also include functionality and radiation tests for both ASICs, and the first high statistics characterization results from the full production of 75k ECON-D and ECON-T ASICs.

Hoff, James R. [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000163514592)↗

DOE OSTI2021

Discrete-Direct Model Calibration and Uncertainty Propagation Method Confirmed on Multi-Parameter Plasticity Model Calibrated to Sparse Random Field Data

A discrete direct (DD) model calibration and uncertainty propagation approach is explained and demonstrated on a 4-parameter Johnson-Cook (J-C) strain-rate dependent material strength model for an aluminum alloy. The methodology's performance is characterized in many trials involving four random realizations of strain-rate dependent material-test data curves per trial, drawn from a large synthetic population. The J-C model is calibrated to particular combinations of the data curves to obtain calibration parameter sets which are then propagated to “Can Crush” structural model predictions to produce samples of predicted response variability. These are processed with appropriate sparse-sample uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods to estimate various statistics of response with an appropriate level of conservatism. This is tested on 16 output quantities (von Mises stresses and equivalent plastic strains) and it is shown that important statistics of the true variabilities of the 16 quantities are bounded with a high success rate that is reasonably predictable and controllable. The DD approach has several advantages over other calibration-UQ approaches like Bayesian inference for capturing and utilizing the information obtained from typically small numbers of replicate experiments in model calibration situations—especially when sparse replicate functional data are involved like force–displacement curves from material tests. The DD methodology is straightforward and efficient for calibration and propagation problems involving aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in calibration experiments, models, and procedures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Statistical Steady-State Stability Analysis for Transmission System Planning for Offshore Wind Power Plant Integration

This paper presents a statistical steady-state stability analysis for transmission system planning studies in order to identify operational issues inherent in the integration of offshore wind power plants. It includes normal and contingency operation. This study considers the integration of a 1000-MW offshore wind power plant into the FirstEnergy/PJM service territory in the U.S. Great Lakes region as a case study and uses a realistic computer model of the U.S. Eastern Interconnection, a 63,000-bus test system. The results show the utility of this statistical analysis tool and its effectiveness in identification of the operational impacts as a result of the integration of offshore wind power plant.

Sajadi, Amirhossein↗