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At least 307 records · Page 17

Tropical Cyclone Wind Shear-Relative Asymmetry in Reanalyses

Abstract While tropical cyclones (TCs) are axisymmetric vortices to the first order, they often exhibit noteworthy structural asymmetries. These often result from environmental vertical wind shear, which tilts the vortex and induces a wavenumber 1 pattern in the circulation and precipitation fields. Reanalyses and climate models have improved in representing the TC structure and climatology, but their relatively coarse resolution and dependence on parameterized physics cast doubt on their ability to capture the asymmetric TC structure. We perform the most comprehensive process-oriented assessment of TC asymmetry to date in reanalyses. Specifically, we analyze the composite shear-relative TC structure in ERA5 and Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR), which vary in their resolutions, physical parameterization suites, and data assimilation techniques. These structures are compared with aircraft reconnaissance radar observations. In agreement with the observations, the strongest tangential winds are usually found left-of-shear, while inner core rainfall, ascent, vortex tilt, and low-level inflow are favored directly downshear or in the downshear-left quadrant. Outer rainband convection generally peaks in the downshear-right quadrant. Thermodynamic asymmetries are also apparent, with anomalous low-level moisture right-of-shear, midlevel warmth in the upshear-right quadrant (uptilt), and cloud properties suggestive of a realistic precipitation life cycle from growth to fallout. We also decompose rainfall contributions from the convective parameterization and large-scale cloud schemes and highlight the roles of vorticity advection, buoyancy advection, and diabatic processes in driving asymmetric vertical motions in the inner core and outer rainband regions. Our results suggest that process-level studies of TC asymmetry and TC–wind shear interaction under future warming are viable using climate models. Significance Statement Asymmetries are common in tropical cyclones (TCs), influencing their intensity, track, and hazards. Vertical wind shear often plays a leading-order role in causing these asymmetries. It is uncertain how well asymmetric structures and processes are captured in reanalyses and global climate models (GCMs) with grid spacings of 0.25° and coarser. In this study, we first evaluate TC asymmetry in reanalyses, which have the benefit of being forced by observations. This helps to assess whether the resolutions associated with GCMs sufficiently capture asymmetric structures and processes and motivates upcoming work with free-running GCMs to study how TC asymmetry may change in a warming climate.

Carstens, Jacob D.↗

Evaluation and Intercomparison of Small Uncrewed Aircraft Systems Used for Atmospheric Research

Abstract Small uncrewed aircraft systems (sUAS) are regularly being used to conduct atmospheric research and are starting to be used as a data source for informing weather models through data assimilation. However, only a limited number of studies have been conducted to evaluate the performance of these systems and assess their ability to replicate measurements from more traditional sensors such as radiosondes and towers. In the current work, we use data collected in central Oklahoma over a 2-week period to offer insight into the performance of five different sUAS platforms and associated sensors in measuring key weather data. This includes data from three rotary-wing and two fixed-wing sUAS and included two commercially available systems and three university-developed research systems. Flight data were compared to regular radiosondes launched at the flight location, tower observations, and intercompared with data from other sUAS platforms. All platforms were shown to measure atmospheric state with reasonable accuracy, though there were some consistent biases detected for individual platforms. This information can be used to inform future studies using these platforms and is currently being used to provide estimated error covariances as required in support of assimilation of sUAS data into weather forecasting systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Engineering transcriptional regulation of pentose metabolism in Rhodosporidium toruloides for improved conversion of xylose to bioproducts

Abstract Efficient conversion of pentose sugars remains a significant barrier to the replacement of petroleum-derived chemicals with plant biomass-derived bioproducts. While the oleaginous yeast Rhodosporidium toruloides (also known as Rhodotorula toruloides ) has a relatively robust native metabolism of pentose sugars compared to other wild yeasts, faster assimilation of those sugars will be required for industrial utilization of pentoses. To increase the rate of pentose assimilation in R. toruloides, we leveraged previously reported high-throughput fitness data to identify potential regulators of pentose catabolism. Two genes were selected for further investigation, a putative transcription factor (RTO4_12978, Pnt1) and a homolog of a glucose transceptor involved in carbon catabolite repression (RTO4_11990). Overexpression of Pnt1 increased the specific growth rate approximately twofold early in cultures on xylose and increased the maximum specific growth by 18% while decreasing accumulation of arabitol and xylitol in fast-growing cultures. Improved growth dynamics on xylose translated to a 120% increase in the overall rate of xylose conversion to fatty alcohols in batch culture. Proteomic analysis confirmed that Pnt1 is a major regulator of pentose catabolism in R. toruloides. Deletion of RTO4_11990 increased the growth rate on xylose, but did not relieve carbon catabolite repression in the presence of glucose. Carbon catabolite repression signaling networks remain poorly characterized in R. toruloides and likely comprise a different set of proteins than those mainly characterized in ascomycete fungi.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-year assessment of the impact of ship-borne radiosonde observations on polar WRF forecasts in the Arctic

Abstract To compensate for the lack of conventional observations over the Arctic Ocean, ship-borne radiosonde observations have been regularly carried out during summer Arctic expeditions and the observed data have been broadcast via the global telecommunication system since 2017. With these data obtained over the data-sparse Arctic Ocean, observing system experiments were carried out using a polar-optimized version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the WRF Data Assimilation (WRFDA) system to investigate their effects on analyses and forecasts over the Arctic. The results of verification against reanalysis data reveal: (1) DA effects on analyses and forecasts; (2) the reason for the year-to-year variability of DA effects; and (3) the possible role of upper-level potential vorticity in delayed DA effects. The overall assimilation effects of the extra data on the analyses and forecasts over the Arctic are positive. Initially, the DA effects are the most apparent in the temperature variables in the middle/lower troposphere, which spread to the wind variables in the upper troposphere. The effects decrease with time but reappear after approximately 120 h, even in the 240-h forecasts. The effects on forecasts vary depending on the proximity of the radiosonde observation locations to the high synoptic variability. The upper-level potential vorticity is known to play an important role in the development of Arctic cyclones, and it is suggested as a possible explanation for the delayed DA effects after about 120 h.

Geology↗

Data for A Fluorescence-Based Transient Expression Assay for the Analysis of Upstream Open Reading Frames in Plants

Scripts for the manuscript "A fluorescence-based transient expression assay for the analysis of upstream open reading frames in plant" by Haas et al. Upstream open reading frames (uORFs) are regulatory elements present in the 5′ leaders of mRNA that can significantly impact downstream gene expression in eukaryotes. In crop engineering, editing of uORFs can provide an avenue to upregulate expression of native genes without the need to add persistent transgenic copies. Even with genome- wide methods to identify translated uORFs such as ribosome profiling, their functional characterization depends on validation through reporter gene assays and mutagenesis studies. Current screening methods for plants use luciferases or protoplasts to measure differential gene expression between wild- type and mutated transcript leaders, which requires tissue processing and/or substrate addition. Here, we present a time- and cost- efficient alternative to investigate transcript leaders by co- expression of two fluorescent proteins in Nicotiana benthamiana leaf tissue and test our assay on genes involved in photoprotection, editing of which could provide a pathway to increase CO2 assimilation during sun–shade transitions.

Gene Editing↗

Data from Arabidopsis Plants Expressing Only the Redox-Regulated Rca-α Isoform Have Constrained Photosynthesis and Plant Growth

Rubisco activase (Rca) facilitates the release of sugar‐phosphate inhibitors from the active sites of Rubisco and thereby plays a central role in initiating and sustaining Rubisco activation. In Arabidopsis, alternative splicing of a single Rca gene results in two Rca isoforms, Rca‐α and Rca‐β. Redox modulation of Rca‐α regulates the function of Rca‐α and Rca‐β acting together to control Rubisco activation. Although Arabidopsis Rca‐α alone less effectively activates Rubisco in vitro , it is not known how CO2 assimilation and plant growth are impacted. Here, we show that two independent transgenic Arabidopsis lines expressing Rca‐α in the absence of Rca‐β (“Rca‐α only” lines) grew more slowly in various light conditions, especially under low light or fluctuating light intensity, and in a short day photoperiod compared to wildtype. Photosynthetic induction was slower in the Rca‐α only lines, and they maintained a lower rate of CO2 assimilation during both photoperiod types. Our findings suggest Rca oligomers composed of Rca‐α only are less effective in initiating and sustaining the activation of Rubisco than when Rca‐β is also present. Currently there are no examples of any plant species that naturally express Rca‐α only but numerous examples of species expressing Rca‐β only. That Rca‐α exists in most plant species, including many C3 and C4 food and bioenergy crops, implies its presence is adaptive under some circumstances.

Biomass Analytics↗

Dayflow: CONUS Daily Streamflow Reanalysis, Version 2 (DayflowV2)

The DayflowV2 dataset provides multiple meteorologic forcings driven hourly streamflow information for approximately 2.7 million NHDPlusV2 stream reaches in the conterminous US (CONUS). DaymetV4, Stage-IV, and Analysis of Period of Record for Calibration (AORC) forcings and their corresponding hybrids drive a nationally scalable modeling framework integrating the simulated runoff from the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model with the Routing Application for Parallel computatIon of Discharge (RAPID) routing model. Streamflow with (Assimilated) and without (Naturalized) streamflow assimilation at US Geological Survey (USGS) streamflow monitoring sites are included in DayflowV2. A comprehensive evaluation of streamflow at 7,526 USGS gauges is performed for both streamflow types. The resulting key evaluation metrics are also included in the Dayflow dataset. The reanalysis data are available for variable periods; 36 years (1980-2015) for DaymetV4 (DayflowV1), 18 years (2002-2019) for Stage-IV and its hybrids, and 40 years (1980-2019) for AORC and its hybrids.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

APOLLO: a facility-scale differentiable virtual accelerator at Fermilab FAST/IOTA

As the design complexity of modern accelerators grows, there is more interest in using advanced simulations that have fast execution time or yield additional insights like gradients. The FAST/IOTA facility has been working on implementing and experimentally validating an end-to-end digital twin that is both fast and gradient-aware, allowing for rapid prototyping of new software and experiments with minimal beam time costs. Our framework integrates physics and ML codes for linac and ring simulation through a set of generic interfaces between surrogate and physics-based sections. To reproduce device inputs and outputs, system state is exposed as a deterministic event loop in a specialized discrete event simulator architecture. Because Fermilab is undergoing control system transition, several APIs were implemented as final user interfaces - a fully asynchronous EPICS soft IOC, a gRPC-based Data Pool Manager (DPM), and legacy ACNET protocols. We discuss implementation details as well as challenges handling live data assimilation and future plans to extend modelling to main complex proton accelerators like PIPII and Booster.

Kuklev, Nikita [Fermilab]↗

Arctic Cloud Microphysical Processes. Final report

The primary goal of our team’s effort under this grant was to quantify Arctic lower-troposphere processes by tying data from the large suite of NSA instruments to modeling efforts indirectly through data assimilation and directly through remote sensing and cloud modeling efforts. We maintained a distinct focus on how the ARM measurements may be used evaluate model simulations and/or physical processes. We will separate this report into two distinct sections: our data assimilation effort and the use of NSA instruments to improve our understanding and modeling of model physics to better characterize the critical surface energy budget in polar regimes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Agricultural impacts on nitrogen cycling: climate and air pollution

Ratios of key soil nitrogen fluxes from two terrestrial ecosystem models (TEMs) are compared to observational values in the literature. The fluxes included nitrification, denitrification, mineralization, immobilization and plant uptake, with the latter two fluxes partitioned into NH 4 + and NO 3 -. The two TEMs, ELMv1-ECA and CLM5.0, originated from a common model but have diverged in their handling of plant/microbe competition for soil mineral N. Both models predict unrealistically low assimilation (i.e, immobilization) of NO 3 - by soil bacteria compared to literature values and unrealistic dominance of plant uptake by a single form of mineral nitrogen (NO 3 - for ELM, NH 4 + for CLM5.0). Global ratios of net mineralization (i.e., gross mineralization – gross immobilization) appear unrealistically high in both models compared to literature values while rates of nitrification/gross mineralization appear unrealistically high (ELM) and low (CLM5.0). The ratio of denitrification/nitrification is likely high in both models (3:1 ELM; 2:1 CLM5.0), but few experimental data exist to evaluate these ratios, in part because nitrification and denitrification are quantified with different techniques and generally are not measured simultaneously. The same is true of plant N uptake and microbial N assimilation. Single grid point experiments with CLM5.0 at the Hubbard Brook long-term ecological research site in New Hampshire indicate that the parameterization of nitrification is a potentially important focus area that can bring soil nitrogen flux ratios into better agreement with observations. The current flux ratios raise questions about the credibility of present and future simulations of mineral N limitation on the carbon cycle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Physics-Informed Machine Learning for Epidemiological Models

One challenge of using compartmental SEIR models for public health planning is the difficulty in manually tuning parameters to capture behavior reflected in the real-world data. This team conducted initial, exploratory analysis of a novel technique to use physics-informed machine learning tools to rapidly develop data-driven models for physical systems. This machine learning approach may be used to perform data assimilation of compartment models which account for unknown interactions between geospatial domains (i.e. diffusion processes coupling across neighborhoods/counties/states/etc.). Results presented here are early, proof-of-concept ideas that demonstrate initial success in using a physically informed neural network (PINN) model to assimilate data in a compartmental epidemiology model. The results demonstrate initial success and warrant further research and development.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

AI-Based Upgrades to Observational Data Centers to Facilitate Data Interoperability

Focal Areas: (1) Data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning, AI, and advanced methods including experimental/network design/optimization, unsupervised learning (including deep learning), and hardware-related efforts involving AI (e.g., edge computing). Focal areas 2 and 3 have critical dependencies to the modernization described. Key benefits to the focal areas: (1) Modernized observatory framework capable of agile adaptive observation, (2) Advanced instrument and data tagging supporting AI data acquisition for assimilation or validation, and (3) Widespread data interoperability bridging Earth system prediction scales

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Automation is all you need: Faster Earth system models with AI/ML

Focal Area: Data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning (ML), artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced methods. Science Challenge: Tropical cyclones can in- duce extreme water cycle events through dramatic precipitation and storm surge. More reliable models of intensity will translate into better prediction of the impact of extreme events in large scale Earth systems simulations. We demonstrate and describe AI/ML methodologies for rapid assimilation of new, in situ data products.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Black-Box Neural System Identification and Differentiable Programming to Improve Earth System Model Predictions February

Focal Area(s): Focal Area 2: AI for predictive modeling, including AI-derived model components, and AI-enabled applications including parameter optimization, data assimilation, and uncertainty quantification. Focal Area 1: AI-assisted data assimilation using numerical Earth system models. Science Challenge: Earth system models have structural biases that lead to uncertain predictions, and their complexity and expense makes it difficult constraining the models with data or improved physical understanding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrating Applied Energy and BER Smart Data Capabilities to Develop a DOE Data Fabric for Energy-Water R&D

Focal Area(s): 1) Data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning, AI, and advanced methods including experimental/network design/optimization, unsupervised learning (including deep learning), and hardware-related efforts involving AI (e.g., edge computing). Science Challenge: DOE R&D, including DOE’s Basic Energy Research (BER)’s Environmental Systems Science Division (EESSD) program and DOE’s applied energy research (AER) programs (EERE, FE, and NE) are producers and consumers of Earth systems datasets. This white paper focuses on the first topic area from the call in relation to how crosscutting resources and innovations from DOE’s EESSD and AER can be brought to bear to mutual benefit and more efficient energy-water, Earth system data resources through improved. The overarching challenge posed by this call focuses on how DOE can directly leverage artificial intelligence (AI) to engineer a substantial (paradigm-changing) improvement in Earth System Predictability? While stemming from DOE BER’s EESSD program, this is a challenge that is faced and also being addressed by DOE’s AER programs. Over the past decade plus, FE, EERE, and NE programs have made important strides towards addressing this need. These strides are in many ways highly complementary to EESSD’s MODEX efforts. Energy water systems spanning metocean to groundwater to surface water systems all are data driven whether for basic energy or applied energy. These are remote, multi-variate, complex natural, and in many cases engineered, systems. Key needs and challenges of both EESSD and AER include developing data-focused tools to enhance data search and discovery to fill in knowledge gaps (address sparse data challenge), and rapidly transform datasets, including disparate and multi-source data. Leveraging DOE on-premise computing (HPC, exascale) infrastructure supports the computing-intensive algorithms required to execute these data acquisition and transformation processes to derive enriched knowledge and data, driving AI/ML and big data analytics for these systems. The opportunity lies in combining BER and AER efforts to provide a more robust, advanced, efficient and complete computing data fabric to address energy-water data acquisition and assimilation needs which currently pose significant impediments to AI/ML predictions and research.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Boson Fermion Nucleus Explanation for Fission Fragment Anisotropy: Monograph #13

Since 1952, anisotropy has been observed in the paths of fission fragments following the assimilation of an incident neutron or photon in the nucleus. Fission fragment flux favors certain angles relative to the path of the incident particle, constituting anisotropy. The amount of anisotropy is dependent on the energy of the incident particle. Fission fragment anisotropy can be explained by the disruption of nuclear structure combined with the requirement of a specific rotational orientation in theta and phi of that structure relative to the incident neutron or photon flux. A specific and limited area in the nucleus can assimilate the incident particle and induce upset within the structure, followed by scission and fission of the nucleus. The orientation and nature of the structure upset dictates fission fragment trajectory and is responsible for fission fragment anisotropy. This concept can be explained and supported by the theory of boson fermion nucleus (BFN) structure.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Integration of seismic-pressure-petrophysics inversion of continuous active-seismic monitoring data for monitoring and quantifying CO 2 plume (Final Report)

The overall objective of this project is to develop and validate an integrated package of joint seismic-pressure-petrophysics inversion (jSPPI) of continuous active-source seismic monitoring dataset capable of providing real-time monitoring of CO 2 plume during geologic carbon sequestration (GCS). The three specific developments include: (a) the methodologies for fast seismic full waveform inversion of continuous active source seismic monitoring, (CASSM) datasets for simultaneously estimating velocity and attenuation, and with data assimilation; (b) joint Bayesian petrophysical inversion of seismic models and pressure data for providing and updating CO 2 saturation models; (c) the methods using multiple datasets including (Crainfield and Frio-II borehole) synthetic, laboratory, and field CASSM datasets. The outcomes of jSPPI include (a) a workflow for processing CASSM data, (b) Bayesian inversion algorithms using CASSM data and pressure response data, and (c) integration with data assimilation algorithms for continuously updating site-specific models used for prediction and reservoir management. The validation of joint FWI will be conducted using synthetic models based on the Cranfield and Frio experiments as well as field CASSM datasets collected as part of the Frio-II pilot injection. To quantify and map the mass and distribution of CO 2 (saturation), we will jointly invert velocity and attenuation measurements from the FWI with a Bayesian approach using a rock physics model for attenuation (e.g., White’s attenuation model with two selected patch sizes (White, 1976; Dutta and Seriff, 1979)). The Bayesian inversion will be applied to each time step in the CASSM survey in an updating scheme, which integrates with an ensemble of reservoir simulations at each step. A more complete experimental validation dataset will be collected as part of a mesoscale (2-3 m) gas-CO 2 injection experiment utilizing a higher frequency version of the CASSM system developed for laboratory studies; the integrated inversion will be demonstrated using this dataset which will provide both a dense geometry as well as more precise secondary confirmation measurements (e.g. saturation) typically not available in the field. The resulting real-time map of CO 2 saturation is able to provide a deeper scientific understanding of the complex, time-varying dynamics of subsurface fluid flow migration path as well as the rapid detection of CO 2 leakage hazards.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Physics Informed Neural Networks as Computational Physics Emulators

This report is a brief overview and evaluation of Physics Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). Karniadakis and co-workers, e.g., Karniadakis et al. (2021) assert that the PINNs approach integrates seamlessly both data and mathematical physics models, even in partially understood, uncertain and high-dimensional contexts. They further claim that PINNs are effective and efficient for ill-posed and inverse problems, and when combined with domain decomposition, are scalable to large problems and a tool to discover hidden physics. While they demonstrate the capabilities in specific academic instances, their overarching claims about PINNs seem to be an overstatement, at least at the current time. We have briefly considered a few of the limitations of PINNs in this investigation. It is not clear to us if the PINNs approach can ever be competitive with approaches that use specialized algorithms to achieve high-accuracy solutions of governing equations and other techniques that can combine observational data with such solutions. As an example of the latter, consistent with the principles of Bayesian inference, data assimilation, or more generally data-model fusion, is a process that fuses observational data typically with a computational model that respects certain constraints such as conservation laws. For example, improvements in observational network combined with data assimilation have been key in improving weather predictions over the past four decades Kalnay (2003).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗