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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 307 records · Page 17

A Continental-Scale Estimate of Soil Organic Carbon Change at NEON Sites and Their Environmental and Edaphic Controls

Current carbon cycle models focus on the effects of climate and land-use change on primary productivity and microbial-mineral dependent carbon turnover in the topsoil, while less attention has been paid to vertical soil processes and soil-dependent response to land-use change along the profile. In this study, a spatial-temporal analysis was used to estimate soil organic carbon (SOC) change in topsoil/A horizon and subsoil/B horizon at National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) sites, USA over 30 years. To separate the effects of land-use, environmental, and edaphic factors on SOC change, space-for-time substitution was used in combination with the Continuous Change Detection and Classification algorithm and Structural Equation Modeling. Results showed that (a) under natural vegetation, Spodosols and Inceptisols found in the eastern NEON sites had substantial topsoil SOC accumulation (+0.4 to +1.2 Mg C ha –1 year –1 ), while Inceptisols and Andisols in the west had a comparable magnitude of topsoil SOC loss (–0.5 to –1.8 Mg C ha –1 year –1 ); (b) Mollisols and Alfisols in the Central Plains sites were susceptible to significant SOC loss under farming and grazing; (c) Runoff/erosion and leaching potential, vertical translocation, and mineral sorption were the most important factors controlling SOC variation across the NEON sites. Our work could be used to parameterize ecosystem models simulating SOC change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Simulations for x-ray imaging of wave-packet dynamics

Previous work on imaging wave-packet dynamics with x-ray scattering revealed that the scattering patterns deviate substantially from the notion of instantaneous momentum density of the wave packet. Here we show that scattering patterns can provide clear insights into the electron wave-packet dynamics if the final state of the scattered electron and the scattered photon momentum are determined simultaneously. The scattering probability is shown to be proportional to the modulus square of the Fourier transform of the instantaneous electronic spatial wave function weighted by the final state of the electron. Several cases for the choice of final state of the electron are explored. First, the case where the final state can be measured up to a given principal quantum number n and orbital angular momentum l are presented. Next, the case where the final states can only be determined up to a given energy is discussed. Lastly, the case of an initial wave packet consisting of a large amount of a known stationary state and a small amount of an unknown stationary state is examined. The scattering profile is used to determine the properties of the unknown state in the wave packet.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Probabilistic effects of porosity and chemical kinetics on the shock initiation of an octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocine (HMX) based explosive

In this work, we investigate the effects of porosity and chemical reactivity on the shock initiation of an HMX (octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocine)-based polymer bonded explosive due to thin flyer impact using two-dimensional mesoscale simulations. Microstructural samples are computationally generated, and the calculated shock response is compared to experiments. The sample dimensions are 0.1×1.05 mm 2 , and each sample accounts for grain scale heterogeneities, including randomized grain morphology and pore spacing. Simulations are performed using the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) arbitrary Lagrangian–Eulerian multi-physics code ALE3D. Chemistry and equation of states are handled with LLNL's thermochemical code Cheetah. We employ a modified Arrhenius-based chemical kinetics model that scales the temperature exponent fitting parameter with flyer shock conditions. This new model is calibrated to the mean response of experimental shock initiation thresholds for three separate Kapton flyer thicknesses. A simplified shock initiation criterion is proposed, which classifies the macroscale initiation response based on cross-sectional temperature profiles of the shocked sample. This criterion is used to further investigate the probabilistic response of the sample to variations in the mean porosity and chemical kinetics rate, and we find an inverse correlation between the shock pressure and the confidence interval of the experimental threshold velocity. Furthermore, the methodology presented in this work for quantifying the probabilistic nature of shock initiation is material agnostic. These mesoscale studies may be used to inform continuum scale models and expedite the development of future, tailored energetic formulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Boundary Layer Climatology at ARM Southern Great Plains

Operational since 1992, the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) southern great plains (SGP) site at Oklahoma, USA has become a reference research site for meteorological studies. Due to an open data policy the ARM data are used by researchers all over the world. In this report, we review the long-term climatology of the atmospheric boundary layer, SGP instrumentations, the site and some site-specific atmospheric conditions which potentially effect wind turbines within the region. As the atmospheric boundary layer is bounded and influenced by the surface, observations of surface radiation components and heat fluxes are crucial in understanding land-atmosphere interactions. The entrainment of air, updrafts, downdrafts and boundary layer height characteristics is needed for understanding the structure and growth of the atmospheric boundary layer. Therefore, measurements from both surface in-situ and remote sensing observations at SGP provide an overall climatology and their interactions from surface up to the boundary layer. Measurements from a 60 m meteorological tower, surface flux stations, disdrometers, soil temperature and moisture flux plates, coherent Doppler lidar, Raman lidar, radiosondes, and satellite data at SGP central facility were analyzed. All the measurements were generally within a few square kilometers of each other at the central facility. This report focuses on data from January 2010 to June 2020 at SGP central facility. The various sections describe the ARM SGP site and surrounding wind turbines; in-situ and remote sensing instrumentation used in the report; provides mathematical equations to analyze fluxes, turbulence and other boundary layer parameters; a climatological analysis of surface winds, fluxes and thermodynamic parameters for several years; an analysis of observed winds in the framework of Monin-Obukhov Similarity Theory; an analysis of the boundary layer winds and direction from a Doppler lidar; multi-year turbulence estimates through the boundary layer from a Doppler lidar; atmospheric boundary layer water vapor and relative humidity profiles from Raman lidar; cloud base height and boundary layer height from multiple sensors and satellite data; and finally site specific atmospheric conditions, such as nocturnal low-level jets. Diurnal, seasonal and yearly variations of surface, sub-surface and boundary layer quantities, such as wind speed, direction, temperature, atmospheric stability, soil temperature, and various atmospheric fluxes at SGP showed distinct trends useful for focused modeling studies. The applicability of surface similarity theory on ARM SGP data is also evaluated, which showed northerly flows are aligned with MO theory estimates compared to southerly flows. Boundary layer winds and direction profiles for several years from a Doppler lidar shows a consistent presence of a nocturnal low-level jet and predominant southerly wind directions through the boundary layer at SGP. The inter-annual variability at SGP is low (<3.5%), with a mean annual wind speed of approximately 7 m s -1 at 100 m above ground level. Boundary layer turbulence and moisture transport from Doppler and Raman lidars are evaluated, which provides evidence of increased water vapor mass flux into the great plains during nocturnal low-level jets. The moisture flux from nocturnal low-level jets is observed to be maximum during summer periods. A novel machine learning algorithm is implemented to accurately estimate the planetary boundary layer height, providing further insights into growth and destruction of the convective boundary layer height during various seasons and land-atmosphere conditions. The high frequency of low-level clouds during winter, spring and fall seasons is validated using the multi-sensor array and satellite estimates of cloud top height. Satellite vegetative fraction data provides insight into seasonal surface roughness and vegetation variability around SGP site.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Improved Model For Determining Salinity Recharge Time for Deep Borehole Disposal - 20405

In a previous publication (K. P. Travis, D. Burley and F. G. F. Gibb, WM2017 Conference, Phoenix Arizona paper no. 17480) we introduced a numerical model to estimate the time it would take for a pressure perturbation to subside following its creation from the construction of a deep geological borehole in water-saturated rock. The model was based on the notion of a point source of momentum - a solution of the time-dependent pressure-diffusion equation. Using the model, we estimated that it would take on the order of 10 k years for physical equilibrium to become re-established following the sinking of a 5 km borehole in granite. The significance of such a model is that it places an upper bound on the lifetime required of a borehole sealing system - a necessary input to a borehole post-closure safety case assessment. No engineered sealing system has ever been devised which is capable of retaining its sealing properties for 10 half-lives of long-lived radioisotopes in spent fuel or high-level waste. One of the key advantages of disposing of nuclear waste via Deep Borehole Disposal (DBD) is the natural sealing provided by density stratified groundwater. Upon sinking of a borehole, and subsequent filling with fresh water, brine or drilling mud, this natural barrier may be temporarily damaged. Over time, fresh brine from the far-field will flow towards or away from the hole (driven by a pressure gradient) and will eventually re-establish the original salinity gradient. It follows that the engineered seals need last only as long as the time required for this salinity gradient to reset itself. One of the limitations of our previous model was the use of a static boundary condition on the borehole wall. The model used a boundary pressure which varied quadratically with depth (arising from differences between the pressure of a column of fresh water in the borehole and that of a column of brine in the host rock). However as brine replaces fresh water in the borehole (driven by a pressure gradient), the boundary function must change with time. We now introduce an improved model which takes this time dependent boundary condition into account. The model also takes into account the time taken for a mixture of brine and fresh water to re-establish chemical equilibrium through the process of diffusion. The paper contains the mathematical details of our new iterative model as well as results showing the time taken to reach steady state, and concentration profiles for the components of the brine-filled borehole as a function of time together with a discussion on the implications of the results for developing a post-closure safety assessment for DBD. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Determining the oxidation behavior of matrix graphite

This work presents the oxidation behavior of matrix graphite in air. Matrix graphite, graphite powder/flakes bonded by a small amount of non-graphitic carbon, surrounds coated fuel particles in order to form cylindrical fuel compacts (in prismatic core designs) or spheres (in pebble-bed reactor designs). This work focuses on oxidation tests conducted on two matrix graphite materials, one provided by Kairos Power and the other A3 matrix graphite. Some of the tests followed American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) oxidation testing standards using a vertical furnace system and others were performed in a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA). It was determined that, at temperatures of 450 °C–700 °C, the oxidation rate of the Kairos matrix graphite follows the Arrhenius equation. In comparison with A3 matrix graphite, the Kairos matrix graphite shows better oxidation resistance at high temperatures (≥550 °C), but also a higher oxidation rate at low temperatures. Both the A3 matrix graphite and the Kairos matrix graphite materials may experience preferential oxidation of the partially graphitized binder. An oxygen penetration gradient was also observed when using the three characterization methods (i.e., optical microscope, x-ray tomography [XCT], and density profile by the lathe) enlisted in this research. In conclusion, the oxygen penetration depth increases with decreasing isothermal oxidation temperature, while the center of the oxidized samples (10% weight loss) remains almost untouched even at 500 °C.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Boundary Layer Climatology at ARM Southern Great Plains

Operational since 1992, the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, USA, has become a reference research site for meteorological studies. Because of an open data policy the ARM data are used by researchers all over the world. In this report, we review the long-term climatology of the atmospheric boundary layer, the SGP instrumentation, the site and some site-specific atmospheric conditions, which potentially affect wind turbines in the region. Because the atmospheric boundary layer is bounded and influenced by the land surface, observations of surface radiation components and heat fluxes are crucial to understanding land–atmosphere interactions. The entrainment of air, updrafts, downdrafts, and boundary layer height characteristics is needed for understanding the structure and growth of the atmospheric boundary layer. Therefore, measurements from both ground surface in situ and remote-sensing observations at the SGP site provide an overall climatology and their interactions from ground surface up to the boundary layer. Measurements from a 60 m meteorological tower, surface flux stations, disdrometers, soil temperature and moisture flux plates, coherent Doppler lidar, Raman lidar, radiosondes, and satellite data at the SGP central facility were analyzed. All the measurements were generally made within a few square kilometers of each other at the central facility. This report focuses on data from January 2010 to June 2020 at the SGP central facility. The various sections describe the ARM SGP site and surrounding wind turbines; in situ and remotesensing instrumentation used in the report; mathematical equations to analyze fluxes, turbulence, and other boundary layer parameters; a climatological analysis of surface winds, fluxes and thermodynamic parameters for several years; an analysis of observed winds in the framework of Monin-Obukhov Similarity Theory (MOST); an analysis of the boundary layer winds and direction from a Doppler lidar; multi-year turbulence estimates through the boundary layer from a Doppler lidar; atmospheric boundary layer water vapor and relative humidity profiles from Raman lidar; cloud base height and boundary layer height from multiple sensors and satellite data; and finally site-specific atmospheric conditions, such as nocturnal low-level jets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Parallel Simulation of Beam Dynamics in Particle Accelerators [Slides]

Particle accelerators are among the most versatile and important tools of scientific discovery. The Nation's accelerators are responsible for a wealth of advances in materials science, chemistry, the biosciences, particle physics, and nuclear physics. They also have important applications to national security, the environment, energy, medicine, and on the quality of people's lives. LANL has a long history of making pioneering contributions to Accelerator Science including key contributions to the field of Computational Accelerator Physics. These include the development of early beam dynamics codes with space charge (such as PARMILA and PARMELA), the development of rf cavity codes and magnet codes (including Poisson and Superfish), and the development and distribution of codes to the accelerator community through the Los Alamos Accelerator Code Group. LANL researchers also helped pioneer the development of massively parallel space-charge codes. In project t22_accelsim we have moved beyond electrostatic models of collective effects (i.e., solving the Poisson equation in the bunch frame) to fully electromagnetic models based on the Lienard-Wiechert formalism. This approach enables the large-scale simulation of radiation production and collective effects in high brightness electron beams. This is highly relevant to LANL given its future goal of developing an X-ray Free Electron Laser (XFEL). It also directly impacts a LANL LDRD project to develop an undulator-based non-invasive beam profile monitor for beams created in laser-plasma accelerator systems.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Central speed of sound, the trace anomaly, and observables of neutron stars from a perturbative analysis of scaled Tolman-Oppenheimer-Volkoff equations

The central speed of sound (SS) measures the stiffness of the equation of state (EOS) of superdense neutron star (NS) matter. Its variations with density and radial coordinate in NSs in conventional analyses often suffer from uncertainties of the specific nuclear EOS used. Using the central SS and NS mass/radius scaling obtained from solving perturbatively the scaled Tolman-Oppenheimer-Volkoff (TOV) equations, we study the variations of SS, trace anomaly and several closely related properties of NSs in an EOSmodel- independent manner. We find that the SS increases with the reduced central pressure Pˆ c ≡ P c =ε c (scaled by the central energy density εc), and the conformal bound for SS tends to break down for NSs with masses higher than about 1.9M ⊙ . The ratio P=ε is upper bounded as P=ε ≲ 0.374 around the centers of stable NSs. We demonstrate that it is an intrinsic property of strong field gravity and is more relevant than the perturbative QCD bound on it. While a sharp phase transition at high densities characterized by a sudden vanishing of SS in cores of massive NSs are basically excluded, the probability for a continuous crossover signaled by a peaked radial profile of SS is found to be enhanced as Pˆ c decreases, implying it likely happens near the centers of massive NSs. Moreover, a new and more stringent causality boundary as R max =km ≳ 4.73$M$$^{max}_{NS}$ =M ⊙ þ 1.14 for the NS mass-radius curve is found to be excellently consistent with observational data on NS masses and radii. Here, new constraints on the ultimate energy density and pressure allowed in NSs before collapsing into black holes are obtained and compared with earlier predictions in the literature

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

In Situ Determination of Thermoelastic Properties of Magnesite at High Pressure and Temperature With Implications to Seismic Detectability of Moderately Carbonated Lithologies in the Earth's Mantle

Abstract Subduction of carbonate‐bearing oceanic plates into Earth's interior recycles carbon from the surface to the deep mantle. The subducted carbonates can significantly affect mantle properties and dynamics. Magnesite is recognized as one of the major potential carbon hosts in the deep mantle because of its stability up to deep lower mantle conditions. However, despite many previous studies on the equation of state and elastic properties of magnesite, large discrepancies still exist for its elastic moduli and their pressure and temperature derivatives. Here we report in situ density and elastic wave velocity measurements on a natural magnesite at simultaneous high pressure‐temperature conditions up to ∼8 GPa–1073 K in a multi‐anvil apparatus using ultrasonic and synchrotron X‐ray techniques. Global fitting of the data set to finite strain equations yieldsK S0 = 114.0 ± 1.2 GPa, = 4.9 ± 0.3, = (−0.019 ± 0.002) GPa/K,G 0 = 68.6 ± 0.4 GPa,G′ = 1.6 ± 0.1, and = (−0.018 ± 0.001) GPa/K. Compared to other major upper mantle and transition zone minerals, magnesite has intermediateV P , the lowestV S , and the lowest density. Thus, magnesite possesses higherV P /V S ratio than other mantle minerals in normal mantle regions, whereas this feature is less pronounced in subduction zone environments. Modeling of the velocity profiles of carbonated lithologies along different geotherms suggests that moderately‐enriched magnesite domains are unlikely to be detected seismically in the Earth's mantle.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Shock melting and the hcp-bcc phase boundary of Mg under dynamic loading

The high-temperature and high-pressure response of magnesium has been investigated through shock-release experiments performed up to shock melting. The longitudinal and bulk sound speeds of Mg are reported along the Hugoniot from 25 to 56 GPa and used to determine the elastic properties and Grüneisen parameter. The hexagonal close-packed (hcp)–body-centered cubic (bcc) phase transition is marked by a reduction in the determined shear wave speed. Thermal softening is observed to begin between 40 and 44 GPa, with incipient melt at 55.5 GPa, in close agreement with previous diffraction measurements under laser shock loading. Examination of the release profiles showed that two different responses were observed, depending on the peak stress. When plotted in a stress-energy phase diagram, the two responses are observed to form separate lines that intersect the static hcp-bcc phase transition and incipient melt. The results indicate that the hcp-bcc transition occurs on the Hugoniot at 28.4 GPa and place the hcp-bcc-liquid triple point ~20 GPa. In conclusion, a multiphase equation of state is developed which places the melt boundary below the previously reported static measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Parameter space mapping of the Princeton magnetorotational instability experiment

Extensive simulations of the Princeton Magnetorotational Instability (MRI) Experiment with the Spectral/Finite Element code for Maxwell and Navier-Stokes Equations (SFEMaNS) have been performed to map the MRI-unstable region as a function of inner cylinder angular velocity and applied vertical magnetic field. The angular velocities of the outer cylinder and the end-cap rings follow the inner cylinder in fixed ratios optimized for MRI. Here, we first confirm the exponential growth of the MRI linear phase using idealized conducting vertical boundaries (end caps) rotating differentially with a Taylor-Couette profile. Subsequently, we run a multitude of simulations to scan the experimental parameter space and find that the normalized volume-averaged mean-square radial magnetic field, our main instability indicator, rises significantly where MRI is expected. At various locations, the local radial components of fluid velocity and generated magnetic field are well correlated with the volume-averaged indicator. Based on this correlation, a diagnostic system that will measure the radial magnetic field at several locations on the inner cylinder is proposed as the main comparison between simulation and experiment. A detailed analysis of poloidal mode structures in the SFEMaNS code indicates that MRI, rather than Ekman circulation or Rayleigh instability, dominates the fluid behavior in the region where MRI is expected.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Progress in modelling fast-ion D-alpha spectra and neutral particle analyzer fluxes using FIDASIM

FIDASIM is a code that models signals produced by charge-exchange reactions between neutrals and ions (both fast and thermal) in magnetically confined plasmas. With the ion distribution function as input, the code predicts the efflux to a neutral particle analyzer diagnostic and the photon radiance of Balmer-alpha light to a fast-ion D α diagnostic, in addition to many other related quantities. A new, parallelized version of the Monte Carlo code FIDASIM has been developed in Fortran90 that is substantially faster than the original interactive data language version. Modified algorithms include more accurate treatments of the time dependent collisional-radiative equations that describe neutral energy levels, of the cloud of ‘halo’ neutrals that surround the injected neutral beam, and of finite Larmor radius effects. Enhanced physics capabilities include modelling ‘passive’ signals from cold edge neutrals, the ability to treat general three-dimensional magnetic confinement configurations, and calculations of diagnostic-specific weight functions that enable tomographic reconstructions of the fast-ion distribution function. Neutral beam attenuation, beam emission, and fast-ion birth profiles are also modelled. Finally, the new algorithms have been successfully validated against experimental data and new features have been tested through benchmarks between two independently developed versions of the code.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Effects of detailed geometry and real fluid thermodynamics on Spray G atomization

We present recent results toward the quantification of spray characteristics at engine conditions for an eight-hole counter-bored (stepped) GDI injector-Spray G in the ECN denomination. This computational study is characterized by two novel features: the detailed description of a real injector's internal surfaces via tomographic reconstruction; and a general equation of state that represents the thermodynamic properties of homogeneous liquid-vapor mixtures. The combined level-set moment-of-fluid approach, coupled to an embedded boundary formulation for moving solid walls, makes it possible to seamlessly connect the injector's internal flow to the spray. The Large Eddy Simulation (LES) discussed here presents evidence of partial hydraulic flipping and, during the closing transient, string cavitation. Results are validated by measurements of spray density profiles and droplet size distribution.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Identification of High-Frequency Transverse Acoustic Modes in Multi-Nozzle Can Combustors

Abstract High frequency thermoacoustic instabilities are problematic for lean-premixed gas turbines. Identifying which acoustic mode is being excited is important, in that it provides insight into potential mitigation measures and mechanical stress/life. However, the frequency spacing between modes becomes quite close for high frequency instabilities in a can combustor. This makes it difficult to distinguish between the modes (e.g., the first transverse mode vs. a higher order axial/mixed mode) based upon frequency calculations alone, which inevitably have uncertainties in boundary conditions, temperature profiles, and combustion response. This paper presents a methodology to simultaneously identify the acoustic mode shapes in the axial and azimuthal directions from acoustic pressure measurements. Multiple high temperature pressure transducers, located at distinct axial and azimuthal positions, are flush mounted in the combustor wall. The measured pressure oscillations from each sensor are then used to reconstruct the pressure distributions by using a least squares method in conjunction with a solution of a three dimensional wave equation. In order to validate the methodology, finite element method (FEM) calculations with estimated post-flame temperature is used to provide the candidate frequencies and corresponding mode shapes. The results demonstrate the reconstructed mode shapes and standing/spinning character of transverse waves, as well as the associated frequencies, both of which are consistent with the FEM predictions. Nodal line location was also extracted from the experimental data during the instabilities in the pressure data.

Kim, J.↗

Thermal equation of state for zoisite: Implications for the transportation of water into the upper mantle and the high-velocity anomaly in the Farallon plate

Seismic tomography studies have revealed a high-velocity anomaly at depths between 100 km and 300 km in the Farallon plate. However, the reasons for the high-velocity anomaly continue to be debated. An analysis of the mineral proportions of eclogites exhumed from the Farallon plate shows that the average amount of zoisite in eclogite is ∼16.0 vol%. Therefore, the presence of zoisite eclogite needs to be considered to explain the high-velocity anomaly of the Farallon plate. However, the thermal equation of state and stability of zoisite have not been fully investigated under high pressure−temperature (P-T) conditions. We investigated the high-pressure and high-temperature behavior of natural zoisite utilizing synchrotron single crystal-X-ray diffraction (XRD). The results indicate that zoisite is metastable up to 24.8 GPa and 700 K. We obtained the ambient unit-cell volume V0 = 901.26(3) Å3 by synchrotron single crystal-XRD measurement. We also fitted the pressure-volume-temperature data to a high-temperature Birch-Murnaghan equation of state and obtained the zero-pressure bulk modulus K0 = 134.7(8) GPa, the temperature derivative of the bulk modulus (∂K/∂T)P = −0.011(4) GPa/K, and the thermal expansion coefficients α0V = 1.9(7) × 10−5 K−1 and α1V = 3(2) × 10−8 K−2 when the pressure derivative of bulk modulus (K′0) is fixed at 4. By incorporating the results from previous studies, we calculated the density and bulk sound velocity profiles of zoisite eclogite along the Farallon plate geotherm. Finally, we infer that zoisite could carry water to depths of ∼300 km within cold subducting slabs and that the bulk sound velocity of typical zoisite eclogite with ∼61.0 vol% omphacite, ∼23.0 vol% garnet, and ∼16.0 vol% zoisite could cause the high-velocity anomalies at depths of 100−300 km in the Farallon plate.

Geology↗

Supersaturation Variability from Scalar Mixing: Evaluation of a New Subgrid-Scale Model Using Direct Numerical Simulations of Turbulent Rayleigh–Bénard Convection

We report that supersaturation fluctuations in the atmosphere are critical for cloud processes. A nonlinear dependence on two scalars - water vapor and temperature - leads to different behavior than single scalars in turbulent convection. For modeling such multiscalar processes at subgrid scales (SGS) in large-eddy simulations (LES) or convection-permitting models, a new SGS scheme is implemented in CM1 that solves equations for SGS water vapor and temperature fluctuations and their covariance. The SGS model is evaluated using benchmark direct-numerical simulations (DNS) of turbulent Rayleigh–Bénard convection with water vapor as in the Michigan Tech Pi Cloud Chamber. This idealized setup allows thorough evaluation of the SGS model without complications from other atmospheric processes. DNS results compare favorably with measurements from the chamber. Results from LES using the new SGS model compare well with DNS, including profiles of water vapor and temperature variances, their covariance, and supersaturation variance. SGS supersaturation fluctuations scale appropriately with changes to the LES grid spacing, with the magnitude of SGS fluctuations decreasing relative to those at the resolved scale as the grid spacing is decreased. Sensitivities of covariance and supersaturation statistics to changes in water vapor flux relative to thermal flux are also investigated by modifying the sidewall conditions. Relative changes in water vapor flux substantially decrease the covariance and increase supersaturation fluctuations even away from boundaries.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Study of Overfitting by Machine Learning Methods Using Generalization Equations

The training error of Machine Learning (ML) methods has been extensively used for performance assessment, and its low values have been used as a main justification for complex methods such as estimator fusion and ensembles, and hyper parameter tuning. We present two practical cases where independent tests indicate that the low training error is more of a reflection of over-fitting rather than the generalization ability. We derive a generic form of the generalization equations that separates the training error terms of ML methods from their epistemic terms that correspond to approximation and learnability properties. It provides a framework to separately account for both terms to ensure an overall high generalization performance. For regression estimation tasks, we derive conditions for performance enhancements achieved by hyper parameter tuning, and fusion and ensemble methods over their constituent methods. We present experimental measurements and ML estimates that illustrate the analytical results for the throughput profile estimation of a data transport infrastructure.

Rao, Nageswara↗