Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Interpretable machine learning”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 307 records · Page 17
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Latent Twins

Over the past decade, scientific machine learning has transformed the development of mathematical and computational frameworks for analyzing, modeling, and predicting complex systems. From inverse problems to numerical partial differential equations (PDEs), dynamical systems, and model reduction, these advances have pushed the boundaries of what can be simulated. Yet they have often progressed in parallel, with representation learning and algorithmic solution methods evolving largely as separate pipelines. With Latent Twins, we propose a unifying mathematical framework that creates a hidden surrogate in latent space for the underlying equations. Whereas digital twins mirror physical systems in the digital world, Latent Twins mirror mathematical systems in a learned latent space governed by operators. Through this lens, classical modeling, inversion, model reduction, and operator approximation all emerge as special cases of a single principle. We establish the fundamental approximation properties of Latent Twins for both ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and PDEs and demonstrate the framework across three representative settings: (i) canonical ODEs, capturing diverse dynamical regimes; (ii) a PDE benchmark using the shallow-water equations, contrasting Latent Twin simulations with deep operator network and forecasts with a four-dimensional variational method baseline; and (iii) a challenging real-data geopotential reanalysis dataset, reconstructing and forecasting from sparse, noisy observations. Latent Twins provide a compact, interpretable surrogate for solution operators that evaluate across arbitrary time gaps in a single-shot, while remaining compatible with scientific pipelines such as assimilation, control, and uncertainty quantification. Looking forward, this framework offers scalable, theory-grounded surrogates that bridge data-driven representation learning and classical scientific modeling across disciplines.

Latent Twins↗
DOE OSTI2024

Atomistic origin of the entropy of melting from inelastic neutron scattering and machine learned molecular dynamics

The latent heat, L, is central to melting, but its atomic origin remains elusive. It is proportional to the entropy of fusion, ΔS fus = L/T m (T m is the melting temperature), which depends on changes of atom configurations, atom vibrations, and thermal electron excitations. Here, we combine inelastic neutron scattering and machine-learned molecular dynamics to separate ΔS fus into these components for Ge, Si, Bi, Sn, Pb, and Li. When the vibrational entropy of melting, ΔS vib , is zero, ΔS fus ≃ 1.2 kB per atom. This result provides a baseline for ΔSconfig and nearly coincides with “Richard’s Rule” of melting. The ΔSfus deviates from this value for most elements, however, and we show that this deviation originates with extra ΔS vib and extra ΔS config . These two components are correlated for positive and negative deviations from Richard’s rule – the extra ΔS config is consistently ~ 80% of ΔS vib . Our results, interpreted with potential energy landscape theory, imply a correlation between the change in the number of basins and the change in the inverse of their curvature for the melting of pure elements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data-Driven Kinetic Reaction Networks for Separation Chemistry

Understanding complex, multistep chemical reactions at the molecular level is a major challenge whose solution would greatly benefit the design and optimization of numerous chemical processes. The separation of rare-earth (4f) and actinide (5f) elements is an example where improving our chemical understanding is important for designing and optimizing new chemistries, even with a limited number of observations. Here, in this work, we leverage data-driven artificial intelligence and machine-learning approaches to develop kinetic reaction networks that describe the liquid–liquid extraction mechanism of uranium using N,N-di-2-ethylhexyl-isobutyramide (DEHiBA). Specifically, we compare and contrast the properties of two classes of models: (1) purely data-driven models that are regularized using chemistry-agnostic, L1 regression and (2) chemistry-informed models that are regularized using relative reaction energies provided by quantum mechanical calculations. We observe that purely data-driven models are unbiased, simple, and accurate in their predictions of experimental measurements when provided with sufficient data but are difficult to fully constrain and interpret. In contrast, chemistry-informed models exhibit significantly improved chemical interpretability and consistency, providing a detailed description of the separation process while achieving high accuracy through ensemble averaging. Overall, the dominant species predicted to be extracted into the organic phase is UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 (DEHiBA) 2 , agreeing with experimental slope analysis, thermodynamic modeling, EXAFS, and crystal structures. This work demonstrates that leveraging the fundamental structure of the problem can lead to efficient learning schemes that provide both accurate predictions and chemical insights at a low computational cost.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Status of 1eNp0π Charged-Current Electron Neutrino Cross Section on Argon in the NuMI Beam at ICARUS

The Short-Baseline Neutrino (SBN) Program is designed to probe short-baseline neutrino anomalies, including the LSND electron neutrino excess and the MiniBooNE low-energy excess. Essential to interpreting these anomalies and to the success of future experiments like DUNE, is the precise measurement of neutrino-argon interaction cross sections. The program utilizes two liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC) detectors: the Short-Baseline Near Detector (SBND) located 110 meters downstream from the Booster Neutrino Beam (BNB) target, and the ICARUS detector positioned 600 meters downstream. Additionally, the ICARUS detector lies off-axis to the NuMI beamline, providing a unique, high-statistics flux of electron neutrinos and sensitivity to energies that overlap with the DUNE spectrum. To analyze the data from these detectors, we have begun employing a machine-learning-based reconstruction algorithm referred to as “Scalable Particle Imaging with Neural Embeddings” (SPINE). SPINE has shown improvement in the ability to reconstruct the properties of final state particles in the detector, like the particle ID and momentum, with the potential to enhance the quality of measurements achievable within the SBN Program e.g., the resolution on kinematics used in differential cross section extraction. This poster presents progress toward measuring the electron neutrino argon interaction cross section in the 1eNp0π topology using the NuMI beam, highlighting the impact of SPINE through the ability to select signal events across a wide kinematic range without sacrificing background rejection power.

Carber, Dan [Colorado State U.] (ORCID:00090006451↗
DOE OSTI2025

JGI-Trichoderma v1.0

There is a series of Python and bash scripts to parse genomics datasets used to evaluate the coevolution of gene families and the feature importance of gene families using an SVM classifier. - Cover analysis: takes a list of single-copy genes in a set of genomes, aligns and builds the gene trees to determine if two gene families have a signature of covariation with one another. It parses the files to run phykit cover script described here: https://jlsteenwyk.com/PhyKIT/usage/index.html - SVM-classifier: This Python script is an SVM-based genomic classifier designed for biological data analysis. It combines machine learning with feature selection to identify important genomic markers and classify biological samples. Core Functionality: The script uses Support Vector Machines from scikit-learn to classify genomic data, incorporating SelectKBest for automated feature selection and leave-one-out cross-validation for performance assessment. It operates in multiple modes: feature ranking, optimal combination discovery, and sample prediction. Primary Applications: Genomic sample classification and biomarker discovery Feature importance analysis in high-dimensional biological datasets Prediction of sample categories based on genomic profiles Research applications requiring robust classification of biological data Key Advantages: High-dimensional handling: SVMs excel with genomic data's typical high feature-to-sample ratios Integrated feature selection: Reduces noise and computational overhead while identifying key markers Probability estimation: Provides confidence scores essential for biological interpretation Validation robustness: Leave-one-out cross-validation ensures reliable performance metrics Operational flexibility: Multiple analysis modes support different research phases from exploration to prediction

Stecca Steindorff, Andrei [Lawrence Berkeley Natio↗
DOE OSTI2024

GeoThermalCloud: Cloud Fusion of Big Data and Multi-Physics Models using Machine Learning for Discovery, Exploration, and Development of Hidden Geothermal Resources

The primary goals of this project are exploring hidden geothermal resources in the U.S.A. and designing profitable enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). Many processes and parameters control geothermal exploration and energy production from geothermal fields. Diverse datasets (e.g., geology, geochemistry, geophysics, satellite, airborne geophysics) are available to help characterize subsurface geothermal conditions. Sparse and multi-scale characteristics of these datasets prohibit properly leveraging these datasets for geothermal exploration and profitable EGS design. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) promise to resolve these issues. The tremendous challenges and risks of geothermal exploration and production bring the demand for novel ML methods and tools that can (1) analyze large field datasets, (2) assimilate model simulations (large inputs and outputs), (3) process sparse datasets, (4) perform transfer learning (between sites with different exploratory levels), (5) extract hidden geothermal signatures in the field and simulation data, (6) label geothermal resources and processes, (7) identify high-value data acquisition targets, and (8) guide geothermal exploration and production by selecting optimal exploration, production, and drilling strategies. To address these necessities, ML-based geothermal resources exploration and enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) design tools have been developed. The exploration tool is called GeoThermalCloud and EGS design tool is called GeoDT-ML. GeoThermalCloud (https://github.com/SmartTensors/GeoThermalCloud.jl) utilizes a LANL unsupervised ML platform called SmartTensors (https://tensors.lanl.gov/) to automate data analyses and interpretations by extracting hidden signatures to identify geothermal prospects. Also, it enables the identification of critical measurements needed to identify geothermal resource signatures. Alternatively, GeoDT-ML (https://github.com/SmartTensors/GeoThermalCloud.jl/tree/master/EGS) is an ML-based alternative to GeoDT (https://github.com/GeoDesignTool/GeoDT.git), a fast, simplified multi-physics solver to evaluate EGS project designs in uncertain geologic systems. GeoDT-ML leverages recent advances in deep learning and high-performance computing. It is a faster and simpler version of GeoDT. To make this project a success, we used capabilities of LANL, PNNL, Google, Stanford, and Julia Computing. We analyzed eight datasets of the U.S.A. using GeothermalCloud and demonstrated potential highly prospective geothermal resources and identified key factors defining highly prospective sites. The first data set includes 44 locations in southwest New Mexico and 18 geological, hydrogeological, geophysical, geothermal, geochemical attributes. We defined low- and medium-temperature hydrothermal systems and discovered a new highly prospective site. The second data set analyzed 18 shallow water chemistry attributes at 14,342 locations in the Great Basin. It demarcated modestly, moderately, and highly prospective sites including key attributes for each type of prospectivity. The third data set analyzed Utah FORGE data including satellite (InSAR), geophysical (gravity, seismic), geochemical, and geothermal attributes. Here, we performed prospectivity analysis to identify future drilling locations using geological, geochemical, and geophysical attributes. Maps of temperature at depth and heat flow are constructed based on the available data. Prospectivity maps were generated, and drilling locations were proposed for future geothermal field exploration. The fourth data set analyzed 21 attributes at 120 locations in Tularosa Basin, New Mexico; data comes from past play fairway analyses in this region. ML analyses identified geothermal signatures associated with modestly, moderately, and highly hydrothermal systems. We also defined dominant attributes and spatial distribution of the geothermal signatures. The fifth, sixth, seventh, and eighth datasets include Tohatchi Springs, New Mexico, Hawaii, Brady site, Nevada, and EGS Collab, respectively. Moreover, we coupled GeothermalCloud and magnetotellurics data to pinpoint drilling locations for developing geothermal projects in the Tularosa Basin, New Mexico. GeothermalCloud found potential prospective locations for geothermal resources near White Sands Missile Range and McGregor Range at Fort Bliss. Magnetotellurics data determined the potential depth (~1800m) of geothermal prospects at McGregor Range based on apparent resistivity structures/layers in the subsurface. The McGregor Range consists of three resistivity layers and two resistivity structures. Magnetotellurics data also helps identify that the western portion of the McGregor Range has thick and low-resistivity earth materials. The low resistivity to the west is most likely for a fault system. Assuming temperature is consistent with a geothermal reservoir, the west-central part of the McGregor Range has the highest geothermal potential because of the increase in porosity and associated permeability attributed to the interpreted fault system. Also, we devised a coupling strategy between a process model and GeothermalCloud to characterize hydrogeological conditions and geothermal conditions, respectively. The process model characterizes hydrogeological and geothermal conditions on highly prospective geothermal sites provided by GeothermalCloud. We developed a physics-informed neural network (PINN) version of the Burns equation that can be easily coupled with GeothermalCloud. Furthermore, we performed an optimal design decision maximizing the economic value of an EGS power plant. This study optimized the range of well spacing between injection and production wells maximizing net present value in dollars (NPV). For this task, we used the GeoDT to simulate the Utah FORGE EGS development cycle from the initial well design to the end of production. Next, we accomplished another crucial task, which is predicting permeability of geothermal reservoirs. Predicting permeability of geothermal reservoirs is a non-trivial task because of huge computational runtime of simulation and lack of measurements. To avoid these limitations, we used easy-to-measure chemical concentrations in the subsurface as measurement data and convolutional neural network based ML model of a high-fidelity model. Next, we predicted permeability using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. We found that Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation predicts permeability with a high certainty if the prediction zone in the simulation area has chemical concentration data. Finally, we analyzed the DOE funded INGENIOUS and GeoDAWN projects data. For discovering hidden geothermal systems in the Great Basin, the INGENIOUS project accumulated old data, collected new data, and released them in 2022. The dataset includes a total of 24 geological, geophysical, and geochemical attributes. Data resolution and scale significantly vary prohibiting an appropriate usage. To avoid such limitations, we brought all data in the same resolution and scale by applying the inverse distance weighting interpolation technique for predicting data in unsampled locations. Subsequently, we analyzed LiDAR data of the GeoDAWN project. We received data in tiles format. The DOE’s overarching goal is to use ML on LiDAR data for finding favorable geological structures (e.g., step up faults in Brady, Nevada). To serve the purpose, we need to label favorable geologic structures that correspond to LiDAR data. We wrote an algorithm to label the LiDAR data with the favorable geologic structures.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Infrared spectral signatures of interfacial water at TiO 2 –electrolyte interfaces from deep potential molecular dynamics

Vibrational spectroscopy is a powerful tool for probing water at oxide–electrolyte interfaces, but its molecular interpretation can be challenging. Here, we employ deep potential long-range molecular dynamics simulations with layer-resolved spectral analysis to investigate the microscopic origins of the infrared (IR) response of water at the interface with anatase TiO 2 (101), a prototypical oxide surface. The calculated interfacial spectra exhibit characteristic modifications compared to bulk water IR spectra, including enhanced intensities, a red shifted and broadened stretching band, and a higher-frequency shoulder, in qualitative agreement with experiments. Spectral decomposition shows that these signatures originate mainly from the first interfacial water layer, dominated by surface-bound H 2 O at Ti 5C sites, with secondary contributions from the second layer. A moderate salt concentration (0.4 M NaCl) leaves both the interfacial structure and the spectra essentially unchanged, while tuning the pH strongly modulates the spectral intensity. We establish a scaling relation linking the spectral intensity to the surface water dissociation fraction and the dipole moment, both governed by interfacial electric fields. These findings provide a microscopic framework for interpreting IR spectra of oxide–electrolyte interfaces.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

In vivo mapping of mutagenesis sensitivity of human enhancers

Distant-acting enhancers are central to human development1. However, our limited understanding of their functional sequence features prevents the interpretation of enhancer mutations in disease2. Here we determined the functional sensitivity to mutagenesis of human developmental enhancers in vivo. Focusing on seven enhancers that are active in the developing brain, heart, limb and face, we created over 1,700 transgenic mice for over 260 mutagenized enhancer alleles. Systematic mutation of 12-base-pair blocks collectively altered each sequence feature in each enhancer at least once. We show that 69% of all blocks are required for normal in vivo activity, with mutations more commonly resulting in loss (60%) than in gain (9%) of function. Using predictive modelling, we annotated critical nucleotides at the base-pair resolution. The vast majority of motifs predicted by these machine learning models (88%) coincided with changes in in vivo function, and the models showed considerable sensitivity, identifying 59% of all functional blocks. Taken together, our results reveal that human enhancers contain a high density of sequence features that are required for their normal in vivo function and provide a rich resource for further exploration of human enhancer logic.

Kosicki, Michael↗
DOE OSTI2025

One-shot gas detection with transformer paired neural networks in Mako collected longwave infrared hyperspectral imagery

To date, careful data treatment workflows and statistical detectors are used to perform hyperspectral image (HSI) detection of any gas contained in a spectral library, which is often expanded with physics models to incorporate different spectral characteristics. In general, surrounding evidence or known gas-release parameters are used to provide confidence in or confirm detection capability, respectively. This makes quantifying detection performance difficult as it is nearly impossible to develop an absolute ground truth for gas target pixel presence in collected HSI. Consequently, developing and comparing new detection methods, especially machine learning (ML)-based methods, is susceptible to subjectivity in derived detection map quality. Here, in this work, we demonstrate the first use of transformer-based paired neural networks (PNNs) for one-shot gas target detection for multiple gases while providing quantitative classification and detection metrics for their use on labeled data. Terabytes of training data are generated from a database of long-wave infrared HSI obtained from historical Mako sensor campaigns over Los Angeles. By incorporating labels, singular signature representations, and a model development pipeline, we can tune and select PNNs to detect multiple gas targets that are not seen in training on a quantitative basis. We additionally assess our test set detections using interpretability techniques widely employed with ML-based predictors, but less common with detection methods relying on learned latent spaces.

Hyperspectral imaging↗
DOE OSTI2025

Technical Assessment of the Application of Digital Twin and Prognostic Tools for Condition Monitoring

This report was prepared for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) to present use cases of the application of advanced technologies toward meeting the current and future regulatory requirements for maintenance and condition monitoring of structures, systems, and components (SSCs). The advanced technologies considered in this work, collectively referred to as digital twin (DT) technologies, are advanced sensors and instrumentation, data analytics, machine learning and artificial intelligence (ML/AI), and physics-based models. The report presents two use cases of reactor coolant pumps (RCPs) and heat pipes in nuclear power plants (NPPs) with technical and regulatory considerations and opportunities in using advanced technologies for conditional monitoring. Key findings from the exploration of these considerations are as follows: - Uncertainties in sensor data and model predictions must be rigorously addressed through validation and verification processes - Regulatory compliance is paramount, necessitating data driven models to be developed in line with existing codes and standards, as well as considering potential future guidelines for advanced reactors - Explainability and transparency in ML/AI models are essential for developing operator trust and regulatory review, including methods that enhance the interpretability of complex data-driven predictions - Condition monitoring programs must be evaluated for their effectiveness in reducing maintenance-preventable function failures (MPFF) and aligning with plant performance criteria - The deployment of advanced technologies for condition monitoring could lead to a transition from periodic to continuous monitoring, thereby optimizing maintenance schedules - Collaborative efforts between industry stakeholders, regulatory bodies, and technology developers are crucial for the successful adoption of advanced technologies for condition monitoring systems in nuclear facilities In summary, the introduction of advanced technologies into condition monitoring programs represents a significant leap forward in the domain of NPP maintenance. By harnessing the capabilities of advanced sensors, data analytics, and ML/AI, NPP operators can transition from a time-based to a condition-based maintenance approach. This shift can potentially enhance the reliability and safety of critical plant components while optimizing maintenance efforts and minimizing unnecessary outages. The NRC is continuing to explore the regulatory aspects of advanced technologies as part of inservice inspection and inservice testing (ISI and IST) programs by pursuing additional research in this technical area.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

NMF-Based Anomaly Detection in CMS 2D Tracking Occupancy Histograms

The CMS experiment relies on Data Quality Monitoring (DQM) to ensure that recorded collision data are suitable for physics analysis. During LHC Run 3, each run contains many lumisections and tracking monitoring elements, making offline inspection challenging, especially for localized detector effects that may appear only for short periods of time. This poster presents an unsupervised machine-learning approach to identify anomalous lumisections in CMS tracking occupancy histograms using Non-Negative Matrix Factorization (NMF). The workflow uses offline CMS DQMIO tracking histograms retrieved with the CMS DIALS API and organized as two-dimensional occupancy maps for each lumisection. After selecting stable lumisections, the occupancy maps are normalized and arranged into a non-negative data matrix. The NMF model learns a compact set of basis patterns describing normal tracking occupancy. Each lumisection is then reconstructed from these learned components, and the reconstruction error is used as an anomaly score. Large residuals indicate occupancy patterns that deviate from normal detector behavior and are flagged for further inspection. This NMF-based approach provides a fast and interpretable way to flag lumisections whose tracking occupancy patterns differ from normal detector behavior. Preliminary studies show sensitivity to known tracking anomalies, and ongoing work is focused on validating the method across additional Run 3 Pixel and Strip detector issues.

Rodríguez Ramos, Iliomar [Puerto Rico U., Mayaguez↗
NASA NTRS2022

Greenland Geothermal Heat Flow Database and Map (Version 1)

We compile and analyze all available geothermal heat flow measurements collected in and around Greenland into a new database of 419 sites and generate an accompanying spatial map. This database includes 290 sites previously reported by the International Heat Flow Commission (IHFC), for which we now standardize measurement and metadata quality. This database also includes 129 new sites, which have not been previously reported by the IHFC. These new sites consist of 88 offshore measurements and 41 onshore measurements, of which 24 are subglacial. We employ machine learning to synthesize these in situ measurements into a gridded geothermal heat flow model that is consistent across both continental and marine areas in and around Greenland. This model has a native horizontal resolution of 55 km. In comparison to five existing Greenland geothermal heat flow models, our model has the lowest mean geothermal heat flow for Greenland onshore areas. Our modeled heat flow in central North Greenland is highly sensitive to whether the NGRIP (North GReenland Ice core Project) elevated heat flow anomaly is included in the training dataset. Our model's most distinctive spatial feature is pronounced low geothermal heat flow (< 40 mW m−2) across the North Atlantic Craton of southern Greenland. Crucially, our model does not show an area of elevated heat flow that might be interpreted as remnant from the Icelandic plume track. Finally, we discuss the substantial influence of paleoclimatic and other corrections on geothermal heat flow measurements in Greenland. The in situ measurement database and gridded heat flow model, as well as other supporting materials, are freely available from the GEUS Dataverse (https://doi.org/10.22008/FK2/F9P03L; Colgan and Wansing, 2021).

William Colgan↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine Learning an Ab-Initio Based Bond-Order Potential for Bismuthene

Bismuthene is a heavy 2D material whose strong spin–orbit coupling and recently observed single-element ferroelectricity have intensified interest in its structural, vibrational, and transport properties. Accurate modeling of these behaviors requires a short-range interatomic potential that can reproduce the underlying bonding physics at a fraction of the computational cost of first-principles methods. However, such a potential is currently unavailable. Here, in this work, we construct a Tersoff bond-order potential for β-bismuthene using a reinforcement-learning framework that integrates a continuous Monte Carlo Tree Search with a simplex-based local optimizer. The optimized parameter sets reproduce first-principles lattice constants, cohesive energy, the equation of state, elastic constants, and phonon dispersion. We validate the models by performing thermal-conductivity calculations and uniaxial fracture simulations our findings confirm the reliability of the resulting models across multiple thermomechanical regimes. Comparison of the three best solutions reveals how differences in pairwise interactions, angular terms, and bond-order behavior govern phonon features and mechanical responses. We demonstrate an interpretable and computationally efficient potential for bismuthene and demonstrate a general reinforcement-learning strategy for developing bond-order models in emerging 2D materials.

deformation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine Learning Framework for Characterizing Processing–Structure Relationship in Block Copolymer Thin Films

The morphology of block copolymers (BCPs) critically influences material properties and applications. This work introduces a machine learning (ML)-enabled, high-throughput framework for analyzing grazing incidence small-angle X-ray scattering (GISAXS) data and atomic force microscopy (AFM) images to characterize BCP thin film morphology. A convolutional neural network was trained to classify AFM images by surface features, achieving 97% testing accuracy. Classified images were then analyzed to extract 2D grain size measurements from the samples in a high-throughput manner. ML models were trained to predict domain orientation based on processing parameters such as solvent ratio, additive type, and additive ratio. GISAXS-based properties were predicted with strong performances (R 2 > 0.75), while AFM-based property predictions were less accurate (R 2 < 0.60), likely due to the localized nature of AFM measurements compared to the bulk information captured by GISAXS. Beyond model performance, interpretability was addressed using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). SHAP analysis revealed that the additive ratio had the largest impact on morphological predictions, where additive provides the BCP chains with increased volume to rearrange into thermodynamically favorable morphologies. This interpretability helps validate model predictions and offers insight into parameter importance. Altogether, the presented framework combining high-throughput characterization and interpretable ML offers an approach to exploring and optimizing BCP thin film morphology across a broad processing landscape.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

High‐Resolution National‐Scale Water Modeling Is Enhanced by Multiscale Differentiable Physics‐Informed Machine Learning

Abstract The National Water Model (NWM) is a key tool for flood forecasting, planning, and water management. Key challenges facing the NWM include calibration and parameter regionalization when confronted with big data. We present two novel versions of high‐resolution (∼37 km 2 ) differentiable models (a type of hybrid model): one with implicit, unit‐hydrograph‐style routing and another with explicit Muskingum‐Cunge routing in the river network. The former predicts streamflow at basin outlets whereas the latter presents a discretized product that seamlessly covers rivers in the conterminous United States (CONUS). Both versions use neural networks to provide a multiscale parameterization and process‐based equations to provide a structural backbone, which were trained simultaneously (“end‐to‐end”) on 2,807 basins across the CONUS and evaluated on 4,997 basins. Both versions show great potential to elevate future NWM performance for extensively calibrated as well as ungauged sites: the median daily Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency of all 4,997 basins is improved to around 0.68 from 0.48 of NWM3.0. As they resolve spatial heterogeneity, both versions greatly improved simulations in the western CONUS and also in the Prairie Pothole Region, a long‐standing modeling challenge. The Muskingum‐Cunge version further improved performance for basins >10,000 km 2 . Overall, our results show how neural‐network‐based parameterizations can improve NWM performance for providing operational flood predictions while maintaining interpretability and multivariate outputs. The modeling system supports the Basic Model Interface (BMI), which allows seamless integration with the next‐generation NWM. We also provide a CONUS‐scale hydrologic data set for further evaluation and use.

Song, Yalan [Civil and Environmental Engineering T↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cloud Fusion of Big Data and Multi-Physics Models using Machine Learning for Discovery, Exploration, and Development of Hidden Geothermal Resources

The primary goals of this project are identifying hidden geothermal resources in the USA and designing profitable enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). Many non-obvious processes and parameters could characterize geothermal resources and could control the ultimate energy potential of geothermal fields. Diverse datasets (e.g., geology, geochemistry, geophysics, satellite, airborne geophysics) are available to help characterize geothermal resources, but this data is sparse and multi-scale. This has hindered attempts to leverage the datasets for geothermal exploration and profitable EGS design. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) give promise to overcome these issues. Modern ML methods and tools can (1) analyze large datasets, (2) assimilate model ensembles that include a multitude of inputs and outputs, (3) process sparse datasets, (4) perform transfer learning between sites with different data quality, (5) extract hidden geothermal signatures from field and simulation data, (6) label geothermal resources and processes, (7) identify high-value data acquisition targets, and (8) guide geothermal exploration and production by selecting optimal exploration, production, and drilling strategies. In this work, we implement ML-based geothermal exploration and an enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) design tool to achieve the above goals. Our exploration tool is GeoThermalCloud (GTC) EGS design tool is GeoDT-ML. GTC (github.com/SmartTensors/GeoThermalCloud.jl) utilizes a LANL unsupervised ML platform called SmartTensors (https://tensors.lanl.gov/) to automate data analyses and interpretations by extracting hidden signatures to identify geothermal prospects. It enables the identification of critical measurements needed to identify geothermal resource signatures. GeoDT-ML (github.com/SmartTensors/GeoThermalCloud.jl/tree/master/) adds coupling to GeoDT (https://github.com/GeoDesignTool/GeoDT.git) for stochastic EGS design optimization and performance prediction. GeoDT-ML leverages recent advances in deep learning and high-performance computing. Contributors to this effort include LANL, PNNL, Google, Stanford, and Julia Computing.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Landscaper v1

Understanding the inner workings of machine learning models through their loss landscapes offers crucial insights into model properties, optimization dynamics, and generalizability. However, accessing these insights has traditionally required specialized mathematical expertise, limiting broader adoption. Landscaper is an open-source Python package designed to bridge this gap. Landscaper seamlessly integrates a suite of multi-dimensional loss landscape analyses with cutting-edge topological data analysis (TDA) methods. This powerful combination makes both fundamental loss landscape analysis and advanced TDA techniques accessible to the broader scientific ML community, without requiring deep pre-existing mathematical knowledge. Landscaper offers three key functionalities: * Construction: Builds detailed loss landscape representations through versatile low and high-dimensional sampling techniques. * Quantification: Applies advanced metrics, including a novel topological data analysis (TDA) based smoothness metric, enabling new perspectives on model behavior. * Visualization: Offers intuitive tools to visualize and interpret loss landscapes, providing actionable insights beyond traditional performance metrics.

Weber, Gunther [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborat↗
DOE OSTI2025

Discovering CO Adsorption and Desorption Pathways from Chemical Reaction Neural Network Modeling of Transient Kinetics Spectroscopy

Here, we demonstrate a data-driven approach to interpreting surface reactions by combining time-resolved gas pulsing infrared spectroscopy with chemical reaction neural networks (CRNNs). Using CO adsorption and desorption on Pd(111) at 460–490 K as a model system, we show how transient kinetic data can reveal detailed reaction mechanisms. Starting with a simple one-species model, we systematically evaluate increasingly complex mechanisms involving hollow and bridge site adsorption. Despite the similar goodness of fit to the same experimental absorbance data, our models predict distinct coverage dynamics for different adsorption sites. Through analysis of spectral peak stability and predicted dynamics, we identify a mechanism in which CO primarily adsorbs on bridge sites followed by rapid conversion to hollow sites as being the most physically consistent with experimental observations. This work provides a framework for extracting mechanistic insights from limited experimental data, demonstrating how machine learning can bridge the gap between transient kinetic measurements and a molecular-level understanding of surface reactions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗