Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Modeling & Simulation (M&S)”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 307 records · Page 17
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Modeling Dust Production, Growth, and Destruction in Reionization-era Galaxies with the CROC Simulations: Methods and Parameter Exploration

We introduce a model for the explicit evolution of interstellar dust in a cosmological galaxy formation simulation. We post-process a simulation from the Cosmic Reionization on Computers project, integrating an ordinary differential equation for the evolution of the dust-to-gas ratio along pathlines in the simulation sampled with a tracer particle technique. This model incorporates the effects of dust grain production in asymptotic giant branch star winds and supernovae, grain growth due to the accretion of heavy elements from the gas phase of the interstellar medium, and grain destruction due to thermal sputtering in the high-temperature gas of supernova remnants due to thermal sputtering. A main conclusion of our analysis is the importance of a carefully chosen dust destruction model, for which different reasonable parameterizations can predict very different values at the ∼100 pc resolution of the interstellar medium (ISM) in our simulations. We run this dust model on the single most massive galaxy in a 10 h$^{−1}$ comoving megaparsec box, which attains a stellar mass of ∼2 × 10$^{9}$ M $_{⊙}$ by z = 5. We find that the model is capable of reproducing dust masses and dust-sensitive observable quantities broadly consistent with existing data from high-redshift galaxies. The total dust mass in the simulated galaxy is somewhat sensitive to parameter choices for the dust model, especially the timescale for grain growth due to accretion in the ISM. Consequently, observable quantity observations that can constrain galaxy dust masses at these epochs are potentially useful for placing constraints on dust physics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Image Collection Simulation Using High-Resolution Atmospheric Modeling

A new method is described for simulating the passive remote sensing image collection of ground targets that includes effects from atmospheric physics and dynamics at fine spatial and temporal scales. The innovation in this research is the process of combining a high-resolution weather model with image collection simulation to attempt to account for heterogeneous and high-resolution atmospheric effects on image products. The atmosphere was modeled on a 3D voxel grid by a Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) driven by forcing data constrained by local ground-based and air-based observations. The spatial scale of the atmospheric model (10–100 m) came closer than conventional weather forecast scales (10–100 km) to approaching the scale of typical commercial multispectral imagery (2 m). This approach was demonstrated through a ground truth experiment conducted at the Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains site. In this experiment, calibrated targets (colored spectral tarps) were placed on the ground, and the scene was imaged with WorldView-3 multispectral imagery at a resolution enabling the tarps to be visible in at least 9–12 image pixels. The image collection was simulated with Digital Imaging and Remote Sensing Image Generation (DIRSIG) software, using the 3D atmosphere from the LES model to generate a high-resolution cloud mask. The high-resolution atmospheric model-predicted cloud coverage was usually within 23% of the measured cloud cover. The simulated image products were comparable to the WorldView-3 satellite imagery in terms of the variations of cloud distributions and spectral properties of the ground targets in clear-sky regions, suggesting the potential utility of the proposed modeling framework in improving simulation capabilities, as well as testing and improving the operation of image collection processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Parametric studies of stream instability-induced higher harmonics in plasma ionization breakdown near an emissive dielectric surface

Here, in this work, we comprehensively investigate the generation of higher harmonic (HH) electric fields normal to the applied rf electric field in multipactor-coexisting plasma breakdown by fully kinetic particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations and a theoretical model. Firstly, a base case at driving frequency 1 GHz, transverse rf electric field amplitude 3 MV m –1 , and background gas pressure 0.2 Torr, is studied in detail. The enhanced harmonic frequency observed is around ten times the fundamental rf frequency, significantly lower than the Langmuir frequency. A theoretical model reveals that the fundamental mechanism of HHs generation is stream–plasma instability, which originates from stream-like secondary electron emission interacting with plasma. The resulting HH frequency and the growth rate of its oscillating amplitude from the theoretical model, agree well with the PIC simulations. With increasing pressure, the HH oscillations are found to be significantly reduced. This is because at higher pressure the gas ionization rate is higher, which causes a more rapidly increasing plasma density, leaving less time for the growth of instability. Furthermore, the parameter space in terms of background gas pressure and rf field amplitude within which the HHs appear is revealed. Finally, the effect of the driving rf frequency on HHs is also investigated, and it is found that the instability-induced oscillating HHs field remains when the driving frequency is increased to 2 GHz, however, it is highly reduced at higher driving frequency of 5 GHz, as oscillations at the fundamental frequency start playing a more important role.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Refinements to the Graves–Pitarka Kinematic Rupture Generator, Including a Dynamically Consistent Slip-Rate Function, Applied to the 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest Earthquake

The main objective of this study is to develop physics–based constraints on the spatiotemporal variation of the slip–rate function using a simplified dynamic rupture model. First, we performed dynamic rupture modeling of the 2019 M w 7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake, to analyze the effects of depth–dependent stress and material friction on slip rate. Then, we used our modeling results to guide refinements to the slip–rate function that were implemented in the Graves–Pitarka kinematic rupture generation technique. The dynamic ruptures were computed on a surface–rupturing, planar strike–slip fault that includes a weak (negative to low–stress–drop) zone in the upper 4 km of the crust. Below the weak zone, we placed high–stress–drop patches designed to mirror the large–slip areas seen in various rupture model inversions of the event. The locations of the high–stress–drop patches and the hypocenter were varied in multiple realizations to investigate how changing the dynamic conditions affected the resulting rupture kinematics, in particular, the slip rate. From these simulations, we observed a systematic change in the shape of the slip–rate function from Kostrov type below the weak zone to a predominantly symmetric shape within the weak zone, along with a depth–dependent reduction of peak slip rate. We generalized these shallow rupture features into a depth–dependent parametric variation of the slip–rate function and implemented it in the Graves–Pitarka kinematic rupture model generator. The performance of the updated kinematic approach was then verified in 0–4 Hz simulations of the M w 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake, which showed that incorporating the depth–dependent variation in the shape of the slip–rate function improves the fit to the observed near–fault ground motions in the 0.5–3 s period range.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Contrasting the Biophysical and Radiative Effects of Rising CO 2 Concentrations on Ozone Dry Deposition Fluxes

Abstract The dry deposition of ozone from the atmosphere to ecosystems is an important coupling mechanism between atmospheric chemistry and terrestrial biogeochemical processes. In most Earth system models, dry deposition is simulated using a resistor‐in‐series approach that aims to parameterize the governing biological, chemical, and physical processes through a series of functional approximations. Here, we evaluate the influence of carbon cycle‐climate responses on this parameterization using the results of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model v1.1 Biogeochemistry simulation campaign. This simulation campaign was designed in part to explore the biophysical and radiative effects of rising historical CO 2 concentrations on the Earth system. We find that while the global annual ozone dry deposition is relatively insensitive to these effects, regionally the influence can be up to 10%. The strongest regional sensitivities in ozone dry deposition are predominantly in higher latitudes over land in the northern hemisphere and are dominated by the radiative effect of CO 2 , with little net influence of biophysical responses. Of all the impacts of the radiative effect of CO 2 , we point to the potential importance of accurately representing ozone deposition to snow in Earth System Models and provide recommendations for future simulation campaigns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Learning Planar Ising Models Software

Learning Planar Ising Models is a software package written in Matlab for learning relationships among variable in a dataset using graphical models. The software package implements a generally-applicable algorithm for learning planar Ising models from any multivariate dataset. The code provides an algorithm for learning the best planar Ising model to approximate an arbitrary collection of binary random variables (possibly from sample data). Given the set of all pairwise correlations among variables, we select a planar graph and optimal planar Ising model defined on this graph to best approximate that set of correlations. The software includes demonstrations of the algorithm in simulations and for applications on publicly available datasets. Details of the algorithm, demonstration simulations, and applications are given in Johnson, et al; 2016. Reference: Johnson, J. K., Oyen, D., Chertkov, M., and Netrapalli, P. (2016). Learning planar Ising models. Journal of Machine Learning Research.

Oyen, Diane↗
DOE OSTI2022

The COMBLE campaign: a study of marine boundary-layer clouds in Arctic cold-air outbreaks

One of the most intense air mass transformations on Earth happens when cold air flows from frozen surfaces to much warmer open water in cold-air outbreaks (CAOs), a process captured beautifully in satellite imagery. Despite the ubiquity of the CAO cloud regime over high-latitude oceans, we have a rather poor understanding of its properties, its role in energy and water cycles, and its treatment in weather and climate models. The Cold-air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE) was conducted to better understand this regime and its representation in models. COMBLE aimed to examine the relations between surface fluxes, boundary-layer structure, aerosol, cloud and precipitation properties, and mesoscale circulations in marine CAOs. Processes affecting these properties largely fall in a range of scales where boundary-layer processes, convection, and precipitation are tightly coupled, which makes accurate representation of the CAO cloud regime in numerical weather prediction and global climate models most challenging. COMBLE deployed an Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Mobile Facility at a coastal site in northern Scandinavia (69°N), with additional instruments on Bear Island (75°N), from December 2019 to May 2020. CAO conditions were experienced 19% (21%) of the time at the main site (on Bear Island). A comprehensive suite of continuous in situ and remote sensing observations of atmospheric conditions, clouds, precipitation, and aerosol were collected. Because of the clouds’ well-defined origin, their shallow depth, and the broad range of observed temperature and aerosol concentrations, the COMBLE dataset provides a powerful modeling test bed for improving the representation of mixed-phase cloud processes in large-eddy simulations and large-scale models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Mechanistic Source Term Considerations for Advanced Non-LWRs

This report is a functional review of the radionuclide containment strategies of fluoride-salt-cooled high temperature reactor (FHR), molten salt reactor (IVISR) and high temperature gas reactor (HTGR) systems. This analysis serves as a starting point for further, more in-depth analyses geared towards identifying phenomenological gaps that still exist, preventing the creation of a mechanistic source term for these reactor types. As background information to this review, an overview of how a mechanistic source term is created and used for consequence assessment necessary for licensing is provided. How mechanistic source term is used within the LMP is also provided. Third, the characteristics of non-LWR mechanistic source terms are examined This report does not assess the viability of any software system for use with advanced reactor designs, but instead covers system function requirements. Future work within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulations (NEAMS) program will address such gaps.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Core formation in high-z massive haloes: heating by post-compaction satellites and response to AGN outflows

ABSTRACT Observed rotation curves in star-forming galaxies indicate a puzzling dearth of dark matter in extended flat cores within haloes of mass ≥1012M⊙ at z ∼ 2. This is not reproduced by current cosmological simulations, and supernova-driven outflows are not effective in such massive haloes. We address a hybrid scenario where post-compaction merging satellites heat up the dark-matter cusps by dynamical friction, allowing active galactic nucleus (AGN)-driven outflows to generate cores. Using analytic and semi-analytic models (SatGen), we estimate the dynamical friction heating as a function of satellite compactness for a cosmological sequence of mergers. Cosmological simulations (VELA) demonstrate that satellites of initial virial masses >1011.3M⊙, which undergo wet compactions, become sufficiently compact for significant heating. Constituting a major fraction of the accretion on to haloes ≥1012M⊙, these satellites heat up the cusps in half a virial time at z ∼ 2. Using a model for outflow-driven core formation (CuspCore), we demonstrate that the heated dark-matter cusps develop extended cores in response to removal of half the gas mass, while the more compact stellar systems remain intact. The mergers keep the dark matter hot, while the gas supply, fresh and recycled, is sufficient for the AGN outflows. AGNs indeed become effective in haloes ≥1012M⊙, where the black hole growth is no longer suppressed by supernovae and its compaction-driven rapid growth is maintained by a hot circumgalactic medium. For simulations to reproduce the dynamical friction effects, they should resolve the compaction of the massive satellites and avoid artificial tidal disruption. AGN feedback could be boosted by clumpy black hole accretion and clumpy response to AGN.

Dekel, Avishai↗
DOE OSTI2022

“Gray Zone” Simulations Using a Three-Dimensional Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model

Abstract Generating accurate weather forecasts of planetary boundary layer (PBL) properties is challenging in many geographical regions, oftentimes due to complex topography or horizontal variability in, for example, land characteristics. While recent advances in high-performance computing platforms have led to an increase in the spatial resolution of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, the horizontal gridcell spacing (Δ x ) of many regional-scale NWP models currently fall within or are beginning to approach the gray zone (i.e., Δ x ≈ 100–1000 m). At these gridcell spacings, three-dimensional (3D) effects are important, as the most energetic turbulent eddies are neither fully parameterized (as in traditional mesoscale simulations) nor fully resolved [as in traditional large-eddy simulations (LES)]. In light of this modeling challenge, we have implemented a 3D PBL parameterization for high-resolution mesoscale simulations using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. The PBL scheme, which is based on the algebraic model developed by Mellor and Yamada, accounts for the 3D effects of turbulence by calculating explicitly the momentum, heat, and moisture flux divergences in addition to the turbulent kinetic energy. In this study, we present results from idealized simulations in the gray zone that illustrate the benefit of using a fully consistent turbulence closure framework under convective conditions. While the 3D PBL scheme reproduces the evolution of convective features more appropriately than the traditional 1D PBL scheme, we highlight the need to improve the turbulent length scale formulation. Significance Statement The spatial resolution of weather models continues to increase at a rapid rate in accordance with the enhancement of computing power. As a result, smaller-scale atmospheric features become more explicitly resolved. However, most numerical models still ignore the impact of horizontal weather variations on boundary layer flows, which becomes more important at these smaller spatial scales. To address this issue, we have implemented a new modeling approach, using fundamental principles, which accounts for horizontal variability. Our results show that including three-dimensional effects of turbulence is necessary to achieve realistic boundary layer characteristics. This novel technique may be useful for many applications including complex terrain flows, pollutant dispersion, and surface–atmosphere interaction studies.

Juliano, Timothy W.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic Rupture Simulations of Caldera Collapse Earthquakes: Effects of Wave Radiation, Magma Viscosity, and Evidence of Complex Nucleation at Kilauea 2018

All instrumented basaltic caldera collapses have generated M w > 5 very long period earthquakes. However, previous studies of source dynamics have been limited to lumped models treating the caldera block as rigid, leaving open questions related to how ruptures initiate and propagate around the ring fault, and the seismic expressions of those dynamics. Here, we present the first 3D numerical model capturing the nucleation and propagation of ring fault rupture, the mechanical coupling to the underlying viscoelastic magma, and the associated seismic wavefield. We demonstrate that seismic radiation, neglected in previous models, acts as a damping mechanism reducing coseismic slip by up to half, with effects most pronounced for large magma chamber volume/ring fault radius or highly compliant crust/compressible magma. Viscosity of basaltic magma has negligible effect on collapse dynamics. In contrast, viscosity of silicic magma significantly reduces ring fault slip. We use the model to simulate the 2018 Kilauea caldera collapse. Three stages of collapse, characterized by ring fault rupture initiation and propagation, deceleration of the downward-moving caldera block and magma column, and post-collapse resonant oscillations, in addition to chamber pressurization, are identified in simulated and observed (unfiltered) near-field seismograms. A detailed comparison of simulated and observed displacement waveforms corresponding to collapse earthquakes with hypocenters at various azimuths of the ring fault reveals a complex nucleation phase for earthquakes initiated on the northwest. Our numerical simulation framework will enhance future efforts to reconcile seismic and geodetic observations of caldera collapse with conceptual models of ring fault and magma chamber dynamics.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Design and Study of Inductively Coupled Plasma Chamber Components Using the SupRISE Test Device at DIII-D

The DIII-D National Fusion Facility aims to increase the auxiliary heating power for the tokamak by upgrading the Neutral Beam Injection (NBI) system. In collaboration with North Carolina State University, the conventional ‘arc and filament’ NBI ion sources will be converted to inductively coupled plasma (ICP) sources which utilize radio frequency (RF) coupling to maximize reliability for high power operation. In support of this initiative, a full scale test device (SupRISE, Superior Radiofrequency Ion Source Experiment) is currently under construction at the DIII-D Facility. In preparation for the construction of a full scale prototype that can be installed on the DIII-D NBI system, experiments on SupRISE will be conducted to determine the optimal RF frequency for high power coupling, Faraday shield slit configuration, and ICP chamber length. SupRISE is comprised of an approximately 30 x 70 cm quartz dielectric vessel with an internal Faraday shield enclosed in a secondary vacuum chamber to ensure structural stability of the dielectric. Actively cooled front and back plates are designed to reduce the thermal stresses on the plasma facing components and mate with the existing accelerator used by the NBI system at DIII-D. 50 kW of RF power will be coupled to the plasma through the quartz over a variable frequency range of 4-8 MHz to sustain a plasma density of ∼ 10 18 m −3 for a 10 s ON, 210 s OFF duty cycle. Various modelling efforts have been employed to simulate the thermal and stress profiles over the primary components of the SupRISE device as well as the inductance behavior of the RF antenna. These simulation results and the final design for SupRISE will be presented. An additional reduced-scale predecessor ICP source (called RISE) has been used to develop a predictive match model that will be applied to frequency optimization studies on SupRISE. Furthermore, the outcomes of this research and complementary efforts at North Carolina State University are essential for the incorporation of ICP NBI positive ion sources at the DIII-D facility.

DIII-D↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enhancing Lithium-Ion Battery Aging Simulations: Coupling a High-Resolution, 3D, Grain-Scale Electromechanical Model to a Single-Particle Model

One of the main goals in modeling lithium-ion batteries is to improve/predict longevity and resilience of new chemistries. Unfortunately, this requires simulation of thousands of charge/discharge cycles, which can be rather time consuming depending on the fidelity of the simulation. The purpose of this talk is to discuss a new modeling framework that couples a high-resolution, continuous damage model (CDM) to a single particle model (SPM) resulting in a good combination of speed and fidelity. In previous work, a 3D, continuum-level chemo-mechanical model was developed to investigate cracking within a single cathode particle comprised of hundreds to thousands of randomly oriented grains. The CDM predicted that particle fracture is primarily due to non-ideal grain interactions with slight dependence on high-rate charge demands. Essentially, when neighboring grains were misaligned, they expanded different rates relative to one another leading to high stresses and ultimately the formation of intraparticle cracks. The model predicted that small particles with large grains develop significantly less damage than larger particles with small grains. Finally, the model predicted most of the chemo-mechanical damage accumulates in the first charge after formation. This chemo-mechanical "damage saturation" effect indicated that initial particle fracture occurs within the first few cycles, while long-term cathode degradation is not solely chemo-mechanically induced. This led to a need for simulating fatigue-like mechanism that degrade the battery over longer time scales. In order to reach the time scales, need to resolve fatigue-like degradation, the CDM needs to be complemented by a faster model. Therefore, recent efforts have been focused on using results from the CDM to inform parameters within the SPM. These parameters are homogenization factors that are associated with diffusion, particle radius, and/or exchange current density. By coupling the CDM to the SPM, the aging simulation is broken up into two domains: short-term and long-term degradation. The short-term degradation occurs over a single cycle and is handled by the CDM due of its high fidelity, but relatively expensive computational cost. Such mechanism include break-in crack caused by mismatches in grain orientation. The long-term degradation occurs over tens of cycles and is handled by the SPM due it's computational efficiency. Most of the fatigue-like mechanism fall into this category. The eventual goal of this modeling framework is to upscale to a psudo-2D model allowing for full electrode simulation, which are informed by high-fidelity grain-scale simulations.

electrochemistry↗
DOE OSTI2021

Enhanced Planar Antenna Efficiency Through Magnetic Thin-Films

This work proposes to use magnetic material as the substrate of planar antennas to overcome the platform effect caused by the conducting ground plane. The upper bound of the radiation efficiency of an electric-current-driven low-profile antenna is theoretically derived, which is inversely proportional to the Gilbert damping factor of the magnetic material. Meanwhile, the improvement of radiation due to the use of magnetic material is demonstrated by a three-dimensional (3D) multiphysics and multiscale time-domain model. The simulation results match the theoretical derivation, showing 25% radiation efficiency from a planar antenna backed by a FeGaB thin film with 2.56 m thickness. Furthermore, for conductive ferromagnetic materials, it is shown that the eddy current loss can be well suppressed by laminating the thin film into multiple layers. Here, the radiation efficiency of the modeled antenna with a conductive ferromagnetic substrate is improved from 2.2% to 11.8% by dividing the substrate into 10 layers, with a ferromagnetic material fill factor of 93%.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Constraining calculations of Pu 239 ( n , γ ) cross sections with multistep cascade γ -ray spectra measured at the DANCE facility

Measurements of multistep cascade gamma-ray spectra from several low-lying 1 + resonances in the Pu 239 ( n , γ ) reaction were made using the DANCE detector. The measured spectra are compared to spectra simulated using several models for the photon strength function and the nuclear level density, representing the first analysis of this nature on a fissile nucleus. In general, models of the photon strength function that included a strong M 1 “scissors mode” contribution coupled with a Gilbert-Cameron nuclear level density provided a reasonable description of the spectra. Simulations using photon strength functions and nuclear level densities specifically for Pu 240 , extracted by the Oslo method, resulted in a very good representation of the measured spectra. Neutron-capture cross section calculations that included the scissors mode provided a good estimate of the previously measured values, without additional normalization. However, the scissors-mode energy that produced the best description of the multistep cascade spectra was different from the value that best reproduced the capture cross section. In addition, the 〈 Γ γ 〉 inferred from the multistep cascade calculations was somewhat less than the tabulated value, which was determined from resonance analysis. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Ullmann, J. L. (ORCID:0000000207784405)↗
DOE OSTI2023

A physics-driven Σ-Y atomization model for heavy-duty engine simulations

The atomization of a liquid jet is a multi-scale and multi-physics problem of interest for many engineering applications. Particularly, it drives the fuel-oxidizer mixing and dictates the efficiency of combustion engines. High-fidelity multi-phase simulations remain challenging due to the excessive computational cost required to capture all the atomization scales. Thus, atomization models are necessary to represent sub-grid liquid structures. Here, in this work, a modified Σ-Y model in the context of Eulerian-Lagrangian Spray Atomization (ELSA) is used to transport the surface area density of the spray. The model's predictive performance is assessed under various operating conditions relevant to heavy-duty engines using the Engine Combustion Network (ECN) Spray C and Spray D research-grade injectors. The classic droplet collision formulation of the Σ-Y model alone does not replicate the response of the measured spray surface area to changes in injector, ambient pressure, and injection pressure, requiring individual tuning of the model's parameters. Instead, a transition between dense and dilute spray breakup mechanisms is proposed in terms of the average droplet spacing. The collision breakup mechanism represents the dilute spray, whereas the droplet size in the dense spray is driven by a competition between the integral scale of turbulence and the balance between the turbulent kinetic energy and the surface energy of the droplets. Such an approach minimizes the requirements for model tuning. Moreover, the role of the constants of a compressible standard k-ε RANS model is assessed in the injector's internal flow and external spray simulation framework, and an updated set is proposed. The results are validated against x-ray radiography and Ultra-Small Angle X-ray Scattering (USAXS) data and highlight the predictive capabilities of the proposed physics-driven Σ-Y model, which is compatible with engine simulation turnaround times.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Dwarf Galaxies at Cosmic Noon: New JWST Constraints on Satellite Models and Subhalo Tidal Evolution

The advent of JWST has revolutionized the study of faint satellite galaxies at z ≳ 1, enabling statistical constraints on galaxy evolution and the galaxy–halo connection in a previously unexplored mass and redshift regime. We compare satellite abundances at 1 < z < 3.5 from recent JWST observations with predictions from cosmological dark-matter-only zoom-in simulations. We identify and quantify several sources of biases that can impact theoretical satellite counts, finding that assumptions about subhalo tidal evolution introduce the largest uncertainty in predictions for the satellite mass function. Using a flexible galaxy disruption model, we explore a range of disruption scenarios, spanning hydrodynamically motivated and idealized prescriptions, to bracket plausible physical outcomes. We show that varying galaxy durability can change the predicted satellite mass functions by a factor of ∼3.5. The JWST data and our fiducial model are consistent within 1σ–2σ across the full redshift (1 < z < 3.5) and stellar mass (M⋆ > 10 7 M ⊙ ) range probed. We find evidence that subhalos are at least as long-lived as predicted by hydrodynamic simulations. Our framework will enable robust constraints on the tidal evolution of subhalos with future observations. This work presents the first direct comparison between cosmological models and observations of the high-redshift satellite population in this low-mass regime. These results showcase JWST’s emerging power to test structure formation in the first half of the Universe in a new domain and to constrain the physical processes driving the evolution of low-mass galaxies across cosmic time.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗