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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Magnetic Field Reconstruction for a Realistic Multi-Point, Multi-Scale Spacecraft Observatory

Future in situ space plasma investigations will likely involve spatially distributed observatories comprised of multiple spacecraft, beyond the four and five spacecraft configurations currently in operation. Inferring the magnetic field structure across the observatory, and not simply at the observation points, is a necessary step towards characterizing fundamental plasma processes using these unique multi-point, multi-scale data sets. We propose improvements upon the classic first-order reconstruction method, as well as a second-order method, utilizing magnetometer measurements from a realistic nine-spacecraft observatory. The improved first-order method, which averages over select ensembles of four spacecraft, reconstructs the magnetic field associated with simple current sheets and numerical simulations of turbulence accurately over larger volumes compared to second-order methods or first-order methods using a single regular tetrahedron. Using this averaging method on data sets with fewer than nine measurement points, the volume of accurate reconstruction compared to a known magnetic vector field improves approximately linearly with the number of measurement points.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2018

The Role of Dimensionality in Understanding Granuloma Formation

Within the first 2–3 months of a Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection, 2–4 mm spherical structures called granulomas develop in the lungs of the infected hosts. These are the hallmark of tuberculosis (TB) infection in humans and non-human primates. A cascade of immunological events occurs in the first 3 months of granuloma formation that likely shapes the outcome of the infection. Understanding the main mechanisms driving granuloma development and function is key to generating treatments and vaccines. In vitro, in vivo, and in silico studies have been performed in the past decades to address the complexity of granuloma dynamics. This study builds on our previous 2D spatio-temporal hybrid computational model of granuloma formation in TB (GranSim) and presents for the first time a more realistic 3D implementation. We use uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques to calibrate the new 3D resolution to non-human primate (NHP) experimental data on bacterial levels per granuloma during the first 100 days post infection. Due to the large computational cost associated with running a 3D agent-based model, our major goal is to assess to what extent 2D and 3D simulations differ in predictions for TB granulomas and what can be learned in the context of 3D that is missed in 2D. Our findings suggest that in terms of major mechanisms driving bacterial burden, 2D and 3D models return very similar results. For example, Mtb growth rates and molecular regulation mechanisms are very important both in 2D and 3D, as are cellular movement and modulation of cell recruitment. The main difference we found was that the 3D model is less affected by crowding when cellular recruitment and movement of cells are increased. Overall, we conclude that the use of a 2D resolution in GranSim is warranted when large scale pilot runs are to be performed and if the goal is to determine major mechanisms driving infection outcome (e.g., bacterial load). To comprehensively compare the roles of model dimensionality, further tests and experimental data will be needed to expand our conclusions to molecular scale dynamics and multi-scale resolutions.

2D vs. 3D↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multi-Scale Microfluidics for Transport in Shale Fabric

We develop a microfluidic experimental platform to study solute transport in multi-scale fracture networks with a disparity of spatial scales ranging between two and five orders of magnitude. Using the experimental scaling relationship observed in Marcellus shales between fracture aperture and frequency, the microfluidic design of the fracture network spans all length scales from the micron (1 μ) to the dm (10 dm). This intentional `tyranny of scales’ in the design, a determining feature of shale fabric, introduces unique complexities during microchip fabrication, microfluidic flow-through experiments, imaging, data acquisition and interpretation. Here, we establish best practices to achieve a reliable experimental protocol, critical for reproducible studies involving multi-scale physical micromodels spanning from the Darcy- to the pore-scale (dm to μm). With this protocol, two fracture networks are created: a macrofracture network with fracture apertures between 5 and 500 μm and a microfracture network with fracture apertures between 1 and 500 μm. The latter includes the addition of 1 μm ‘microfractures’, at a bearing of 55°, to the backbone of the former. Comparative analysis of the breakthrough curves measured at corresponding locations along primary, secondary and tertiary fractures in both models allows one to assess the scale and the conditions at which microfractures may impact passive transport.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-Scale Characterization of Porosity and Cracks in Silicon Carbide Cladding after Transient Reactor Test Facility Irradiation

Silicon carbide (SiC) ceramic matrix composite (CMC) cladding is currently being pursued as one of the leading candidates for accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding for light water reactor applications. The morphology of fabrication defects, including the size and shape of voids, is one of the key challenges that impacts cladding performance and guarantees reactor safety. Therefore, quantification of defects’ size, location, distribution, and leak paths is critical to determining SiC CMC in-core performance. This research aims to provide quantitative insight into the defect’s distribution under multi-scale characterization at different length scales before and after different Transient Reactor Test Facility (TREAT) irradiation tests. A non-destructive multi-scale evaluation of irradiated SiC will help to assess critical microstructural defects from production and/or experimental testing to better understand and predict overall cladding performance. X-ray computed tomography (XCT), a non-destructive, data-rich characterization technique, is combined with lower length scale electronic microscopic characterization, which provides microscale morphology and structural characterization. This paper discusses a fully automatic workflow to detect and analyze SiC-SiC defects using image processing techniques on 3D X-ray images. Following the XCT data analysis, advanced characterizations from focused ion beam (FIB) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) were conducted to verify the findings from the XCT data, especially quantitative results from local nano-scale TEM 3D tomography data, which were utilized to complement the 3D XCT results. In this work, three SiC samples (two irradiated and one unirradiated) provided by General Atomics are investigated. The irradiated samples were irradiated in a way that was expected to induce cracking, and indeed, the automated workflow developed in this work was able to successfully identify and characterize the defects formation in the irradiated samples while detecting no observed cracking in the unirradiated sample. These results demonstrate the value of automated XCT tools to better understand the damage and damage propagation in SiC-SiC structures for nuclear applications.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Mapping Arctic plant functional type distributions in the Barrow Environmental Observatory using WorldView-2 and LiDAR datasets

Multi-scale modeling of Arctic tundra vegetation requires characterization of the heterogeneous tundra landscape, which includes representation of distinct plant functional types (PFTs). We combined high-resolution multi-spectral remote sensing imagery from the WorldView-2 satellite with light detecting and ranging (LiDAR)-derived digital elevation models (DEM) to characterize the tundra landscape in and around the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO), a 3021-hectare research reserve located at the northern edge of the Alaskan Arctic Coastal Plain. Vegetation surveys were conducted during the growing season (June August) of 2012 from 48 1 m 1 m plots in the study region for estimating the percent cover of PFTs (i.e., sedges, grasses, forbs, shrubs, lichens and mosses). Statistical relationships were developed between spectral and topographic remote sensing characteristics and PFT fractions at the vegetation plots from field surveys. These derived relationships were employed to statistically upscale PFT fractions for our study region of 586 hectares at 0.25-m resolution around the sampling areas within the BEO, which was bounded by the LiDAR footprint. We employed an unsupervised clustering for stratification of this polygonal tundra landscape and used the clusters for segregating the field data for our upscaling algorithm over our study region, which was an inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation. We describe two versions of PFT distribution maps upscaled by IDW from WorldView-2 imagery and LiDAR: (1) a version computed from a single image in the middle of the growing season; and (2) a version computed from multiple images through the growing season. This approach allowed us to quantify the value of phenology for improving PFT distribution estimates. We also evaluated the representativeness of the field surveys by measuring the Euclidean distance between every pixel. This guided the ground-truthing campaign in late July of 2014 for addressing uncertainty based on representativeness analysis by selecting 24 1 m 1 m plots that were well and poorly represented. Ground-truthing indicated that including phenology had a better accuracy (R 2 =0.75, RMSE=9.94) than the single image upscaling (R 2 =0.63 , RMSE=12.05) predicted from IDW. We also updated our upscaling approach to include the 24 ground-truthing plots, and a second ground-truthing campaign in late August of 2014 indicated a better accuracy for the phenology model (R 2 =0.61 , RMSE=13.78 ) than only using the original 48 plots for the phenology model (R 2 =0.23 , RMSE=17.49). After all, we believe that the cluster-based IDW upscaling approach and the representativeness analysis offer new insights for upscaling high-resolution data in fragmented landscapes. This analysis and approach provides PFT maps needed to inform land surface models in Arctic ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Using aircraft measurements to characterize subgrid-scale variability of aerosol properties near the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains site

Abstract. Complex distributions of aerosol properties evolve in space and time as a function of emissions, new particle formation, coagulation, condensational growth, chemical transformation, phase changes, turbulent mixing and transport, removal processes, and ambient meteorological conditions. The ability of chemical transport models to represent the multi-scale processes affecting the life cycle of aerosols depends on their spatial resolution since aerosol properties are assumed to be constant within a grid cell. Subgrid-scale-dependent processes that affect aerosol populations could have a significant impact on the formation of particles, their growth to cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) sizes, aerosol–cloud interactions, dry deposition and rainout and hence their burdens, lifetimes, and radiative forcing. To address this issue, we characterize subgrid-scale variability in terms of measured aerosol number, size, composition, hygroscopicity, and CCN concentrations made by repeated aircraft flight paths over the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program's Southern Great Plains (SGP) site during the Holistic Interactions of Shallow Clouds, Aerosols and Land Ecosystem (HI-SCALE) campaign. Subgrid variability is quantified in terms of both normalized frequency distributions and percentage difference percentiles using grid spacings of 3, 9, 27, and 81 km that represent those typically used by cloud-system-resolving models as well as the current and next-generation climate models. Even though the SGP site is a rural location, surprisingly large horizontal gradients in aerosol properties were frequently observed. For example, 90 % of the 3, 9, and 27 km cell mean organic matter concentrations differed from the 81 km cell around the SGP site by as much as ∼ 46 %, large spatial variability in aerosol number concentrations and size distributions were found during new particle formation events, and consequently 90 % of the 3, 9, and 27 km cell mean CCN number concentrations differed from the 81 km cell mean by as much as ∼ 38 %. The spatial variability varied seasonally for some aerosol properties, with some having larger spatial variability during the spring and others having larger variability during the late summer. While measurements at a single surface site cannot reflect the surrounding variability of aerosol properties at a given time, aircraft measurements that are averaged within an 81 km cell were found to be similar to many, but not all, aerosol properties measured at the ground SGP site. This analysis suggests that it is reasonable to directly compare most ground SGP site aerosol measurements with coarse global climate model predictions. In addition, the variability quantified by the aircraft can be used as an uncertainty range when comparing the surface point measurements with model predictions that use coarse grid spacings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

A network approach for multiscale catchment classification using traits

Abstract. The classification of river catchments into groups with similar biophysical characteristics is useful to understand and predict their hydrological behavior. The increasing availability of remote sensing and other large-scale geospatial datasets has enabled the use of advanced data-driven approaches to classify catchments using traits such as topography, geology, climate, land cover, land use, and human influence. Unsupervised clustering algorithms based on the Euclidean distance are commonly used for trait-based classification but are not suitable for highly dimensional data. In this study we present a new network-based method for multi-scale catchment classification, which can be applied to large datasets and used to determine the traits associated with different catchment groups. In this framework, two networks are analyzed in parallel: the first being where the nodes are traits and the second being where the nodes are catchments. In both cases, edges represent pairwise similarity, and a network cluster detection algorithm is used for the classification. The trait network is used to investigate redundancy in the trait data and to condense this information into a small number of interpretable categories. The catchments network is used to classify the catchments into clusters and to identify representative catchments for the different groups using the degree centrality metric. We apply this method to classify 9067 river catchments across the contiguous United States at both regional and continental scales using 274 non-categorical traits. At the continental scale, we identify 25 interpretable trait categories and 34 catchment clusters of sizes greater than 50. We find that catchments with similar trait categories are typically located in the same region, with different spatial patterns emerging among clusters dominated by natural and anthropogenic traits. We also find that the catchment clusters exhibit distinct hydrological behavior based on an analysis of streamflow indices. This network approach provides several advantages over traditional means of classification, including better separation of clusters, the use of alternate similarity metrics that are more suitable for highly dimensional data, and reducing redundancy in the trait information. The paired catchment–trait networks enable analysis of hydrological behavior using the dominant trait categories for each catchment cluster. The approach can be used at multiple spatial scales since the network topologies adjust automatically to reflect the trait patterns at the scale of investigation. Finally, the representative catchments identified as hub nodes in the network can be used to guide transferable observational and modeling strategies. The method is broadly applicable beyond hydrology for classification of other complex systems that utilize different types of trait datasets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Active Layer Hydrology in an Arctic Tundra Ecosystem: Quantifying Water Sources and Cycling Using Water Stable Isotopes: Supporting Data

Data include results from water isotope analyses (one *.csv file) for samples collected in Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska during August and September 2012. Samples were from surface and soil pore waters from 17 drainages that could be interlake (basins with polygonal terrain), different-aged drain thaw lake basins (young, medium, old, or ancient), or a combination of different aged basins. Samples taken in different drainage flow types at three different depths at each location in and around the Barrow Environmental Observatory. Precipitation stable isotope data are also included (added in October 2019 with no changes to previously released data). This dataset used in Throckmorton, et.al. 2016.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 10-year research effort (2012-2022) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Sources and Variability of Nitrate on an Alaskan Hillslope Dominated by Alder Shrubs, Kougarok, Alaska, 2017 and 2018

Data provided include results of analyses of soil pore-water, soil moisture, and leaf litter samples collected at a Kougarok Hillslope site dominated by alder shrubs (KG_MM64) in the Seward Peninsula, Alaska during July and September 2017 and 2018. Samples were from surface soils in close proximity to 5 alder patches, collected upslope, within, and downslope of the alder patches. Pore water was analyzed for a comprehensive set of anions, cations, elemental analyses, and oxygen and nitrogen isotopes. Soil samples were collected for soil moisture determination. Leaf litter extracts were analyzed for carbon and nitrogen content and carbon and nitrogen isotopes. This dataset contains 3 *.csv files and 1 *.pdf file. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Iron and Phosphorus Geochemistry in High-Centered and Low-Centered Polygon Soils from the Barrow Environmental Observatory, Utqiagvik, Alaska, 2015

This dataset provides chemical characterization of soil cores obtained in triplicate from center and trough positions of a high-centered polygon and center, ridge, and trough positions of a low-centered polygon in the NGEE Arctic research area within the Barrow Environmental Observatory, Utqiagvik, Alaska. Photographs of the 15 collected cores are provided. Cores were collected to thaw depth in early October 2015 and subsequently divided into subsamples for analysis, which included bulk soil horizons (organic or mineral) and finer scale depth increments (minimum 4 cm thickness per increment). Bulk horizons and depth increments were characterized using sequential chemical extractions for Fe and P and with Fe K-edge x-ray absorption spectroscopy. Additional soil parameters such as loss-on-ignition, gravimetric water content, and carbon and nitrogen concentrations were also quantified for bulk horizons. This dataset includes four csv files, one pdf user guide, and one zip folder of *.jpg photos.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

NGEE Arctic Rainfall Simulator Validation Data from Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico, Summer 2022

Experiments evaluating the uniformity and intensity of rainfall produced by the NGEE Arctic Rainfall Simulator (NARS) were conducted at Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico, over summer 2022. Petri dishes were placed in a grid within the NARS plot. Simulated rainfall was collected in each petri dish and the intensity and uniformity of the simulator was subsequently calculated. This data package contains two .csv files, one that summarizes the rainfall intensity and uniformity for each experiment, the other that contains individual petri dish water volume and intensity for each plot location and experiment. The Python scripts to control NARS are also included. The NGEE Arctic Rainfall Simulator (NARS) is a variable intensity rainfall simulator (RFS) with a frame design based on the Humphry et al. (2002) RFS and a water delivery system based on the Walnut Gulch (Paige et al., 2004) RFS. The NARS uses an aluminum frame that is fully deconstructable for transportation to field locations and a water system that enables variable rain intensity. Rain intensity control and data collection are automated using a Raspberry Pi microcomputer. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

IDAES-PSE Software Tools for Optimizing Energy Systems and Market Interactions

Modern power grids coordinate electricity production and consumption via multi-scale wholesale energy markets. Historically, levelized cost metrics were the de facto standard for techno-eco-nomic analyses of energy systems and comparison of technology options. However, these metrics neglect the complexity of energy infrastructure including the time-varying value of electricity. An emerging alternative is multi-period optimization, which considers the locational marginal price of electricity as input data (parameters). In this work, we present a general interface for multi-period optimization with time-varying energy prices to facilitate rapid analysis and comparison of potential energy systems models. The PriceTakerModel class is written in the IDAES-PSE platform and allows users to generate a multi-period, price-taker model instance, as well as automatically generate common operational constraints for their model, such as start-up and shutdown. We show this interface successfully generates multi-period price-taker models, facilitates model discrimination, and aids in analyzing various technologies for deployment in unique energy markets.

Laky, Daniel↗
DOE OSTI2016

A Demonstration of Advanced Safety Analysis Tools and Methods Applied to Large Break LOCA and Fuel Analysis for PWRs

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is currently proposing a rulemaking designated as 10 CFR 50.46c to revise the loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA)/emergency core cooling system acceptance criteria to include the effects of higher burnup on fuel/cladding performance. We propose a demonstration problem of a representative four-loop PWR plant to study the impact of this new rule in the US nuclear fleet. Within the scope of evaluation for the 10 CFR 50.46c rule, aspects of safety, operations, and economics are considered in the industry application demonstration presented in this paper. An advanced safety analysis approach is used, by integrating the probabilistic element with deterministic methods for LOCA analysis, a novel approach to solving these types of multi-physics, multi-scale problems.

LOCA RIMM RISMC RELAP-7↗
DOE OSTI2019

Multi-scale processes driving tropical convection and influence of the aerosol (Final Technical Report)

This DOE GoAmazon collaborative project between scientists in the US and Brazil addresses fundamental processes that drive tropical deep convection including aerosol effects. The results provide guidance for improving the parameterizations of cloud and aerosol effects by increasing the knowledge of processes at work in tropical convection, especially over tropical land. Highlights include: • GoAmazon2014/5 observations permitted, for the first time, a comprehensive evaluation of the strong relationship between lower free tropospheric moisture and deep convective onset over the Amazon (Schiro et al. 2016, JAS; Schiro et al. 2018b, PNAS; Chakraborty et al. 2018, ACP; Schiro and Neelin 2018c). A set of diagnostics for deep convective onset has been established using data from the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign (Schiro et al. 2016, JAS), highlighting similarities and differences between the convective transition statistics over tropical land versus corresponding statistics from ARM campaigns in the tropical Western Pacific. The initial set of diagnostics has been provided as a module to be incorporated into the ARM Diagnostics Package of Shaocheng Xie and coworkers, which is being integrated into the PCMDI and E3SM diagnostics packages. Additionally, a set of downdraft diagnostics to inform model parameterizations has been developed (Schiro and Neelin 2018a, ACP). • These diagnostics have been used in constraining the behavior of modeled convective parameterizations. This includes using them with parameter perturbation experiments in the Community Earth System Model to show which parameter ranges are consistent with observed onset statistics, and to show that the primary causal direction of the water vapor-precipitation relationship is via the impact of mixing processes and free tropospheric moisture on convection (Kuo et al. 2017, JAS). Lintner et al. (2017, GRL) used this impact of free tropospheric moisture to systematically analyze issues in the simulation of Amazon rainfall in the CMIP5 model ensemble. • Leveraging the multi-instrument GoAmazon observations, Schiro et al. (2018, PNAS) are able to provide for the first time an empirical mixing using radar wind profiler data that provides a good predictor of precipitation for both mesoscale convective systems and smaller-scale convection. In addition, buoyancy estimated from these results is a good predictor of precipitation across the seasonal and diurnal cycles (Schiro and Neelin 2018c, JAS) and permits the effects of aerosols to be distinguished from those of the thermodynamic environment in the transition to deep convection (Chakraborty et al. 2018, ACP). • Placing the GoAmazon campaign in a larger context, in collaboration with U. São Paulo investigators, Rehbein et al. (2018) analyzed the characteristics of the mesoscale convective systems (MCS) that affect Amazon rainfall, including origins, lifetimes, propagation speed and displacement. de Barros Soares et al. (2017) establish statistically significant observed warming trends over much of South America and are able to attribute the origin of this to anthropogenic forcing based on the agreement of climate model simulations with and without anthropogenic forcings. This analysis left open the attribution of precipitation trends due to large natural variability. Barkhardorian et al. (2018) provide evidence indicating that the observed regional precipitation decrease and drying during recent over northern South America during recent austral springs will continue and intensify in the course of unfolding anthropogenic climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Grizzly: A Multi-scale and Multi-Physics Tool to Model Aging of Nuclear Power Plant Components

Grizzly is a multi-scale multi-physics tool being developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) as part of the US Department of Energy's Light Water Reactor Sustainability program to provide improved safety assessments of systems, components, and structures in nuclear power plants subjected to age-related degradation. Its goal is to provide an improved scientific basis for decisions surrounding license renewal, which would permit operation of commercial nuclear power plants beyond 60 years. Grizzly is based on INL's MOOSE framework, which enables multi-physics simulations in a massively parallel computing environment. The reactor pressure vessel (RPV) has been chosen as the initial application for Grizzly. The primary concern for the RPV is that it becomes increasingly susceptible to fracture initiation at the sites of pre-existing flaws over time. This is because exposure to irradiation and high temperatures embrittles the steel. Assessing the safety of an RPV under transient conditions involves simulations at multiple scales. At the engineering scale, strongly coupled equations of heat conduction and solid mechanics are solved to simulate the global response of the RPV to accident conditions. Sub-models are used to represent regions with pre-existing flaws and the stress intensity factors are evaluated from the domain integrals. Crack propagation is then determined using a model that provides the temperature and neutron fluence dependent fracture toughness of the RPV steel. The ability of Grizzly to provide accurate engineering scale estimates of RPV safety beyond 60 years of operation strongly relies on the predictability of the embrittlement model. Multiple models for embrittlement have been proposed, and the physically based empirical model is implemented in Grizzly. However, the formation of late blooming phases greatly reduces the confidence on the extrapolated values obtained from embrittlement model, which is further exacerbated by the absence of real field data for validation. Experimentally validated lower length scale models can significantly improve the predictability of the embrittlement model beyond the calibrated range and the development of such models is another ongoing effort in Grizzly. The modeling activity in Grizzly spans across different length scales, and can be divided into: (i) Irradiation induced microstructure evolution at the atomistic and single crystal length scale using molecular dynamics, atomistic kinetic Monte-Carlo, phase-field and rate theory; (ii) Effect of the irradiation induced defects on the flow stress and fracture processes at the polycrystalline scale using crystal plasticity. Subsequently, the prediction from these models can be used to obtain irradiation induced ductile-to-brittle transition temperature (DBTT) shifts from specimen-scale simulations; (iii) Global thermo-mechanical response of the RPV under normal and accident scenarios, and probabilistic risk analyses at the engineering scale using the DBTT shifts obtained from the lower length scale models. The item (i) has been discussed in a previous report. In this extended abstract an overview of items (ii) and (iii) is provided. The extended abstract summarizes the current status of the modeling effort under Grizzly. At the engineering scale, reduced order model development is underway using the statistical tool RAVEN. This will allow probabilistic analysis considering a wide range of flaw topologies in a computationally efficient manner. Coupling the irradiation induced defect growth predictions to crystal plasticity is also in progress. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Multiscale Modeling of Accident Tolerant Fuels under the NEAMS ATF Program

The U.S. Department of Energy's Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has been developing computational analysis tools for nuclear fuel simulation. These codes include BISON and Marmot for investigation of fuel behavior at the continuum and microstructural scales, respectively. In 2014, NEAMS introduced what it calls High Impact Problems (HIPs) into its development plan. These HIPs are intended to make significant advancements in a particular area of nuclear power research in a short period of time (3 years or less). NEAMS has chosen an accident tolerant fuel (ATF) project, which emphasizes utilizing BISON and Marmot to model proposed materials, as its first HIP. Since the events that occurred at the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear power plant in 2011, the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Nuclear Energy accelerated research in nuclear fuel concepts with enhanced accident tolerance as part of its Fuel Cycle Research and Development (FCRD) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC). Accident tolerant fuels are expected to perform at least as well as conventional fuel during normal conditions and provide significantly increased response time in the event of an accident. Given the many unknowns associated with proposed ATF concepts, the research and development being undertaken by AFC in this area is a challenge, particularly considering the desire to have a lead test rod or assembly in a commercial plant by 2022. With the AFC as its primary stakeholder, the NEAMS ATF HIP is developing material models (using a multi-scale approach) for multiple candidate materials. Through a variety of analyses employing these models, the ATF HIP is providing insight and support to the AFC as it strives to understand these materials and prioritize further development. Use of computational tools such as BISON and Marmot are a vital component of the AFC's strategy since experimental data will not be available broadly and quickly enough to understand the proposed materials fully by the time the AFC must make further development decisions. This summary reviews the overall approach of the NEAMS ATF HIP. First, we give an overview of the current materials chosen for investigation. We also review the overall multi-scale approach to model development. We briefly review the work underway at multiple national laboratories to develop mechanistic engineering scale models based on lower length scale insight. Note that coordinated work is also underway at multiple universities, but those efforts are not detailed here. The NEAMS ATF HIP is assisting the AFC in assessing two accident tolerant materials, uranium silicide fuel and FeCrAl cladding. A multi-scale material model development approach is being undertaken to formulate the models necessary to investigate the materials over a range of normal and off-normal scenarios. This approach includes molecular dynamics, density functional theory, mesoscale modeling, and engineering scale modeling. Sensitivity studies are underway to understand the most critical scenarios and material model input parameters. The information generated is being given to the AFC for their use in selecting promising ATF concepts. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2017

Fragmentation Prediction for a Brittle Ceramic: An Integrated Two-Scale Model Approach

A new implementation of a multi-scale fragmentation model is introduced that combines existing independent macro and micro-scale models into a single material model within the Library of Advanced Materials for Engineering (LAME) that can be used directly by the finite element structural mechanics code SIERRA/SM, developed at Sandia National Laboratories. The implementation not only joins existing independent fragmentation models into a single framework, but also enables further development by virtue of being integrated into SIERRA/SM. Integration with a finite element structural mechanics code for a true two-way coupling of the fragmentation models that were previously independent. Hereafter, the prior implementation will be referred to as the sequentially applied fragmentation model. In contrast, the newly developed model will be called the integrated two-scale model. The sequentially applied fragmentation model consists of two independent models applied sequentially to account for the macro-scale and microscale fragmentation. The macro-scale fragmentation behavior is calculated using an elastic gradient damage explicit material model developed to model fracture in brittle materials. The micro-scale fragmentation model is an implementation of the 1D cohesive-zone model developed by Zhou, et al. The micro-scale model is implemented by post-processing the macro-scale data that provides initial conditions for the 1D analysis. The micro-scale model is necessary to predict the resulting fragment size distribution at length scales inaccessible to the finite element based macro-scale model. The full range of fragmentation behavior is then predicted by combining the results from the two independent models. The sequentially applied fragmentation model was used to predict the fragments that result from impact loading of a brittle material, which in that case was a ceramic cylinder of commercial UO{sub 2} nuclear fuel. Understanding the fragmentation behavior of such materials is important for evaluating the risk of airborne particulate release under impact loading scenarios. This work will verify the implementation of the integrated two-scale model using the same experiment modeled by the existing sequentially applied model. The purpose of this manuscript is to introduce the new integrated two-scale fragmentation model and validate the implementation against the existing sequentially applied model for a specific case of impact loading of a brittle material. This validation case will not fully utilize the benefits of having the model integrated into the finite element code as a material model. Rather, this study will demonstrate consistency between the two fragmentation models to ensure that the success of the sequentially applied model will be duplicated by the integrated two-scale approach. Once validated, further development of the model can be made by utilizing the integration into the finite element code to create a fully two-way coupled fragmentation model that will be extended to include higher fidelity models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Systems Level Fuel Cycle Modeling in TMAP8 - A Demonstration

The tritium migration analysis program (TMAP) has been used for tritium inventory tracking and analysis for several years, and the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)-based TMAP8 has several improvements over TMAP4 and TMAP7, such as support for multiple dimensions and non-cartesian coordinate systems, as well as interoperability with sub-apps at higher and lower length scales. We demonstrate that TMAP8 has the additional capacity to solve systems-level problems using zero-dimensional ordinary differential equations by reproducing a literature model which describes a systems-level fuel-cycle of tritium inventory in a hypothetical fusion power plant. The capacity to run several coupled multi-scale physics calculations as part of a single package will be necessary for accurate blanket and fuel-cycle design.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗