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At least 307 records · Page 17

Net-Zero Lime Kiln and Carbon Removal Facility

The final scientific/technical report for DE-FE0032248. The Project Objective for DE-FE0032248, Net-Zero Lime Kiln and Carbon Removal Facility, was to execute and complete the initial design of a commercial-scale, advanced carbon capture system that separates CO2 with at least 95% capture efficiency from process streams at the Carmeuse Kentucky (KY) lime plant that will be retrofitted to utilize sustainably sourced biomass (SSB) alone or in combination with natural gas, and/or coal, with at least a 20-year available feedstock supply and remaining asset life.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Dynamic Tripolar Strategic Balance: A Net Assessment (Workshop Summary)

On December 9-10, the Center for Global Security Research (CGSR) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) hosted a workshop titled “The Dynamic Tripolar Strategic Balance: A Net Assessment.” The discussion was guided by the following key questions: • By what metrics should the strategic balance be assessed? • How dynamic is the balance? How fragile? • Is the United States gaining strategic advantage, losing it, or holding steady, overall? • In order to gain new advantages or re-gain advantages lost, can or should the United States prioritize some domains and accept more risk in others? If so, which ones?

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Dual-loop Solvent-based CCS for Net Negative CO 2 Emissions with Lower Cost

This final technical report details the successful design, construction, and operational validation of an innovative dual-loop CO 2 capture technology designed to achieve deep decarbonization (>99%) from Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) power plants that results in the electricity with carbon intensity of approximate 42 kg CO 2 -eq/MWh, less than the electricity produced by solar PV. The integrated process couples a primary aqueous solvent (in this project, a water lean solvent – WLS) absorption loop for bulk CO 2 removal with a secondary potassium hydroxide (KOH) polishing loop featuring electrochemical regeneration. This architecture leverages the higher exergy efficiency of the primary loop while utilizing the fastest kinetic of the secondary loop to capture dilute residual CO 2 , achieving an overall capture rate of 99.9% and co-producing pure hydrogen after moisture being condensed and dehydrated. Technical feasibility was established through a comprehensive 2,000-hour experimental campaign on a bench-scale fully-integrated unit (using 4” absorber and 4” stripper) with the feeding flue gas flowrate in the range of 8-20 cfm, confirming the attainment of Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 4. The project executed extensive parametric testing followed by 1,000 hours of continuous steady-state testing, demonstrating exceptional process stability with the electrochemical regenerator exhibiting less than a 10% reduction in electrical conductivity over the duration of the campaign. Operational characterization gathering on the bench unit revealed distinct energy profiles for the hybrid system: the primary loop required approximately 280 kJ mol -1 for bulk removal, while the polishing loop required approximately 1,600 kJ mol -1 specifically when reducing dilute CO 2 concentrations from ~740 ppm down to <50 ppm. (Please note those energy values/numbers can only be viewed as relative relationship and should not be extrapolated as absolute values required for CO 2 capture). Furthermore, dynamic testing validated the system’s flexibility for utility applications, demonstrating a rapid process response time of <30 minutes to changes in flue gas flowrate. Emission monitoring confirmed that the dual-loop architecture effectively mitigates solvent losses, utilizing a water wash to remove entrained aerosols to <1 ppm. The Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) indicates a cost of capture of $\$$59.3/tonne and a Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) of 71.7 $\$$/MWh at the overall capture efficiency of 99.8% of total carbon in the flue gas stream, with sensitivity analysis identifying an economic optimum when the primary loop captures 97% of the total CO 2 . A Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) confirms the technology’s potential for net-negative emissions, determining a Global Warming Potential (GWP) of 52 kg CO 2 -eq/MWh—significantly lower than the baseline—which further decreases to 42 kg CO 2 -eq/MWh when crediting the displacement of conventional hydrogen production.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Soil net nitrogen mineralization and leaching under Miscanthus × giganteus and Zea mays

Research objectives were to compare whether miscanthus ( Miscanthus × giganteus Greef et Deu.) would leach less nitrogen (N) than continue maize ( Zea mays, L.) and how soil net N mineralization (Nmin) may explain observed leaching. The experiment included three factors: 1) cropping system (maize, juvenile miscanthus = 1-2 y old, mature miscanthus = 3-4 y old); 2) N fertilization (0 and 224 kg N ha-1); and 3) environment (four site-years at two locations in Iowa, USA that differed in climate and soil fertility). During the 2017 and 2018 growing seasons a variety of soil measurements, including inorganic soil N (ammonium + nitrate), in situ Nmin, and N leaching were taken to better understand the differences in N cycling dynamics associated with each system.

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries↗

Dynamic subcanopy leaf traits drive resistance of net primary production across a disturbance severity gradient

Across the globe, the forest carbon sink is increasingly vulnerable to an expanding array of low- to moderate-severity disturbances. However, some forest ecosystems exhibit functional resistance (i.e., the capacity of ecosystems to continue functioning as usual) following disturbances such as extreme weather events and insect or fungal pathogen outbreaks. Unlike severe disturbances (e.g., stand-replacing wildfires), moderate severity disturbances do not always result in near-term declines in forest production because of the potential for compensatory growth, including enhanced subcanopy production. Community-wide shifts in subcanopy plant functional traits, prompted by disturbance-driven environmental change, may play a key mechanistic role in resisting declines in net primary production (NPP) up to thresholds of canopy loss. However, the temporal dynamics of these shifts, as well as the upper limits of disturbance for which subcanopy production can compensate, remain poorly characterized. In this study, we leverage a 4-year dataset from an experimental forest disturbance in northern Michigan to assess subcanopy community trait shifts as well as their utility in predicting ecosystem NPP resistance across a wide range of implemented disturbance severities. Through mechanical girdling of stems, we achieved a gradient of severity from 0% (i.e., control) to 45, 65, and 85% targeted gross canopy defoliation, replicated across four landscape ecosystems broadly representative of the Upper Great Lakes ecoregion. We found that three of four examined subcanopy community weighted mean (CWM) traits including leaf photosynthetic rate (p = 0.04), stomatal conductance (p = 0.07), and the red edge normalized difference vegetation index (p < 0.0001) shifted rapidly following disturbance but before widespread changes in subcanopy light environment triggered by canopy tree mortality. Surprisingly, stimulated subcanopy production fully compensated for upper canopy losses across our gradient of experimental severities, achieving complete resistance (i.e., no significant interannual differences from control) of whole ecosystem NPP even in the 85% disturbance treatment. Additionally, we identified a probable mechanistic switch from nutrient-driven to light-driven trait shifts as disturbance progressed. Our findings suggest that remotely sensed traits such as the red edge normalized difference vegetation index (reNDVI) could be particularly sensitive and robust predictors of production response to disturbance, even across compositionally diverse forests. The potential of leaf spectral indices to predict post-disturbance functional resistance is promising given the capabilities of airborne to satellite remote sensing. We conclude that dynamic functional trait shifts following disturbance can be used to predict production response across a wide range of disturbance severities.

resistance↗

Current Developments of Carbon Capture Storage and/or Utilization–Looking for Net-Zero Emissions Defined in the Paris Agreement

An essential line of worldwide research towards a sustainable energy future is the materials and processes for carbon dioxide capture and storage. Energy from fossil fuels combustion always generates carbon dioxide, leading to a considerable environmental concern with the values of CO2 produced in the world. The increase in emissions leads to a significant challenge in reducing the quantity of this gas in the atmosphere. Many research areas are involved solving this problem, such as process engineering, materials science, chemistry, waste management, and politics and public engagement. To decrease this problem, green and efficient solutions have been extensively studied, such as Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage (CCUS) processes. In 2015, the Paris Agreement was established, wherein the global temperature increase limit of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels was defined as maximum. To achieve this goal, a global balance between anthropogenic emissions and capture of greenhouse gases in the second half of the 21st century is imperative, i.e., net-zero emissions. Several projects and strategies have been implemented in the existing systems and facilities for greenhouse gas reduction, and new processes have been studied. This review starts with the current data of CO2 emissions to understand the need for drastic reduction. After that, the study reviews the recent progress of CCUS facilities and the implementation of climate-positive solutions, such as Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage and Direct Air Capture. Future changes in industrial processes are also discussed.

Regufe, Maria João (ORCID:0000000327748302)↗

A Method of Ground-Based Cloud Motion Predict: CCLSTM + SR-Net

Ground-based cloud images can provide information on weather and cloud conditions, which play an important role in cloud cover monitoring and photovoltaic power generation forecasting. However, the cloud motion prediction of ground-based cloud images still lacks advanced and complete methods, and traditional technologies based on image processing and motion vector calculation are difficult to predict cloud morphological changes. In this paper, we propose a cloud motion prediction method based on Cascade Causal Long Short-Term Memory (CCLSTM) and Super-Resolution Network (SR-Net). Firstly, CCLSTM is used to estimate the shape and speed of cloud motion. Secondly, the Super-Resolution Network is built based on perceptual losses to reconstruct the result of CCLSTM and, finally, make it clearer. We tested our method on Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Climate Research Facility TSI (total sky imager) images. The experiments showed that the method is able to predict the sky cloud changes in the next few steps.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

APOGEE Net: Improving the Derived Spectral Parameters for Young Stars through Deep Learning

Machine learning allows for efficient extraction of physical properties from stellar spectra that have been obtained by large surveys. The viability of machine-learning approaches has been demonstrated for spectra covering a variety of wavelengths and spectral resolutions, but most often for main-sequence (MS) or evolved stars, where reliable synthetic spectra provide labels and data for training. Spectral models of young stellar objects (YSOs) and low-mass MS stars are less well-matched to their empirical counterparts, however, posing barriers to previous approaches to classify spectra of such stars. In this work, we generate labels for YSOs and low-mass MS stars through their photometry. We then use these labels to train a deep convolutional neural network to predict logg, T {sub eff}, and Fe/H for stars with Apache Point Observatory Galactic Evolution Experiment (APOGEE) spectra in the DR14 data set. This “APOGEE Net” has produced reliable predictions of logg for YSOs, with uncertainties of within 0.1 dex and a good agreement with the structure indicated by pre-MS evolutionary tracks, and it correlates well with independently derived stellar radii. These values will be useful for studying pre-MS stellar populations to accurately diagnose membership and ages.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Global and northern-high-latitude net ecosystem production in the 21st century from CMIP6 experiments

Climate warming is accelerating the changes in the global terrestrial ecosystems and particularly those in the northern high latitudes (NHLs; poleward of 50° N) and rendering the land–atmosphere carbon exchange highly uncertain. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) employs the most updated climate models to estimate terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics driven by a new set of socioeconomic and climate change pathways. By analyzing the future (2015–2100) carbon fluxes estimated by 10 CMIP6 models, we quantitatively evaluated the projected magnitudes, trends, and uncertainties in the global and NHL carbon fluxes under four scenarios plus the role of NHLs in the global terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics. Overall, the models suggest that the global and NHL terrestrial ecosystems will be consistent carbon sinks in the future, and the magnitude of the carbon sinks is projected to be larger under scenarios with higher radiative forcing. By the end of this century, the models on average estimate the NHL net ecosystem productivity (NEP) as 0.54 ± 0.77, 1.01 ± 0.98, 0.97 ± 1.62, and 1.05 ± 1.83 Pg C yr –1 under SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585, respectively. The uncertainties are not substantially reduced compared with earlier results, e.g., the Coupled Climate–Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project (C4MIP). Although NHLs contribute a small fraction of the global carbon sink (~13 %), the relative uncertainties in NHL NEP are much larger than the global level. Our results provide insights into future carbon flux evolutions under future scenarios and highlight the urgent need to constrain the large uncertainties associated with model projections for making better climate mitigation strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A consistent dataset for the net income distribution for 190 countries and aggregated to 32 geographical regions from 1958 to 2015

Abstract. Data on income distributions within and across countries are becoming increasingly important for informing analysis of income inequality and understanding the distributional consequences of climate change. While datasets on income distribution collected from household surveys are available for multiple countries, these datasets often do not represent the same concept of inequality (or income concept) and therefore make comparisons across countries, over time and across datasets difficult. Here, we present a consistent dataset of income distributions across 190 countries from 1958 to 2015 measured in terms of net income. We complement the observed values in this dataset with values imputed from a summary measure of the income distribution, specifically the Gini coefficient. For the imputation, we use a recently developed nonparametric principal-component-based approach that shows an excellent fit to data on income distributions compared to other approaches. We also present another version of this dataset aggregated from the country level to 32 geographical regions. Our dataset is developed for the purpose of calibrating models such as integrated human–Earth system models with detailed data on income distributions. This dataset will enable more robust analysis of income distribution at multiple scales. The latest version of our data are available on Zenodo: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7093997 (Narayan et al., 2022b).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Original images, ground truth annotations, and precited masks from U-NET for a fungal species x nitrogen experiment

This document describes the “MicroVision-MV003” dataset. This folder contains three subfolders: “originals”, “predicted_masks”, and “gt_masks”. The “originals” folder contains 720 original images acquired using two imaging modalities: 360 images from overhead imaging and 360 images from transmission (raw) imaging. Naming scheme:YYYY-MM-dd__plate_strain_nitrogen-level_replication_experiment_imaging-modalityYYYY-MM-dd: 2024-12-20, 2024-12-21, 2024-12-22,2024-12-23,2024-12-24,2024-12-25,2024-12-26,2024-12-27,2024-12-28,2024-12-29,2024-12-30,2024-12-31.plate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30.strain: FG, LE.nitrogen-level: N-1, N-10, N-100.replication: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.experiment: MV.003.imaging-modality: overhead, transmission (raw). For example, the image2024-12-20__1_FG_N-10_3_MV.003_overheadwas taken on 2024-12-20. The plate number is 1, the fungal strain is FG, the nitrogen treatment is N-10, and the replication number is 3 for experiment MV.003, acquired using the overhead imaging modality. The “predicted_masks” folder contains masks generated by a trained U-Net model for the transmission imaging modality.The “gt_masks” folder contains 326 human hand-traced masks that serve as ground truth.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Dynamic integration of GCAM-Demeter and CLUBS-Select: Datasets on urban extensification effects on land cover, crop yields, net primary production, and CO2 emissions

The datasets provide background data from McManamay et al. (2024) Nature Communications Earth and Environment. We integrate projected dynamic non-urban lands from GCAM-Demeter with projected dynamic urban lands from SELECT from 2015 to 2100 at 1-km resolution to examine stress to the land system, compromised crop production, and losses in Net Primary Production (NPP), that can arise from the competition over land resources. These datasets include changes to non-urban land use and land cover, estimated losses in crop yields, losses in NPP, and increases in CO2 emissions.

Earth Systems↗

Community-Scale Energy Efficiency Assessment for Zero Net Energy Using the URBANopt Simulation Platform: Preprint

This project explored an innovative modeling approach for assessing the energy efficiency potential of the existing low-income Oceano neighborhood, in unincorporated San Luis Obispo County, and its effects on renewable generation requirements for achieving zero net energy (ZNE). One particular challenge faced was ascertaining the technical energy savings potential across a large neighborhood in a timely manner. The project overcame this challenge through the use of the URBANopt simulation platform, developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. URBANopt manages the automated model creation, simulation, and result aggregation for different design scenarios of existing or candidate buildings in a large neighborhood. Customized energy efficiency packages considered for the residential and commercial sector in the neighborhood included lighting, HVAC, plug load, water heating, envelope, and energy education measures. As a result of the analysis for the Oceano community, energy efficiency measures that are available through incentive programs may provide a 7.4% reduction in the required distributed energy resource (DER) size, corresponding to a 25,000 ft2 decrease in PV array area, to achieve ZNE. Through this work, a computational tool was developed and is being leveraged by the County of San Luis Obispo (CoSLO). The tool has enabled the CoSLO staff to perform similar analysis of the technical potential for energy efficiency, and an understanding of the DER asset requirements and potential savings in other communities within the county.

building energy modeling↗

Sustainable, Net-Zero Carbon Steelmaking Utilizing Nuclear and Renewable-based Integrated Energy Systems

Decarbonizing Steelmaking: Emissions Background Industrial processes (including power) account for 28% of global CO2 emissions dominated by steel, cement, NH3, ethylene. Steel accounts for 7% of global CO2 emissions (25% of Industrial), 2-3 Gigatonnes annually. Given long asset life and large investments in steel industry, recommend: Detailed analysis, materials R&D and pre-pilot technology integration required by 2030 to position U.S. industry for an investment decision for building first net-zero integrated steel plan Symposium site: https://www.aiche.org/cei/conferences/competitive-energy-systems/2021

08 HYDROGEN↗

Paving the Way for Net Zero Energy Codes through Performance Based Approaches

The prescriptive path is the most widely used approach for commercial code compliance in the United States. However, to achieve near-term net zero energy performance that many stakeholders in the buildings industry desire, it is clear that energy codes will need to transition from prescriptive to performance-based approaches. However, that transition is not without potential pitfalls. Among the concerns expressed by stakeholders are added complexity and cost, lack of confidence in energy modeling results, gamesmanship on the part of applicants, lack or qualified reviewers, challenges in promoting de-carbonization, and the inequity of trading long lived envelope efficiency for short lived measures such as building controls. This paper will discuss multiple approaches being evaluated and implemented by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to improve the usability of the performance-based approach for both code compliance and beyond code programs to meet aggressive energy savings targets. A 'system performance' approach provides a simpler approach compared to whole building performance, while keeping tradeoffs limited to specific building systems. A simplified whole-building performance-based approach for small commercial buildings can cost effectively achieve deeper savings for buildings that typically follow the prescriptive compliance approach. Improved reporting and verification processes applied to the traditional performance path can provide greater confidence in simulation results and facilitate adoption of performance-based approaches. Prescriptive packages provide prescriptive solutions while targeting specific performance thresholds. This paper discusses the progress being made with each of these approaches and provides examples of their implementation in energy codes and beyond code programs.

Performance Based Codes, Appendix G, PRM, TSPR, Sy↗

Design of a neutral thermal scattering (NeTS) module for hydrogen in light water

The accurate representation of thermal scattering law (TSL) data is integral to the design and characterization of many modern nuclear systems, particularly those using light water as a moderator/coolant. As a material-dependent distribution over energy-momentum phase space, the TSL may exhibit a variety of unique and relevant conditional (e.g., temperature, pressure) and compositional (e.g., porosity, stoichiometry, radiation damage) dependencies. Currently, there are various approaches to incorporate temperature dependence, which is especially important in coupled neutronic-thermal hydraulic simulations. In each approach, there is an inherent tradeoff between memory consumption and accuracy. Some techniques require tens to hundreds of MBs or more, while others fail to reproduce the underlying data to within 10% error over the considered input domain, despite having a reduced storage burden. This work aims to address both sides of the tradeoff simultaneously by implementing a novel deep learning (DL) approach to TSL representation. The neural thermal scattering (NeTS) concept, which is amenable to an arbitrary number of dependencies, is demonstrated via the inclusion of temperature dependence into a highly compact, highly accurate functional form of the multi- variate TSL (i.e., S(α, β, T)) for hydrogen in light water. Resulting storage requirements are on the order of 100 kB, and median and maximum percent deviations are on the order of 0.1% and 1%, respectively. These measures represent a step improvement over previous techniques. Notably, the developed neural network and feature methodology build on those employed in prior work on beryllium oxide. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗