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At least 307 records · Page 17

Potential Supply Chain and Cost Reduction Strategies for Advanced Nuclear Reactors

This milestone represents a level of effort to provide recommendations for a supply chain plan and establish relationships between advanced reactor companies and large companies in the oil & gas and chemical industries. It represents a starting point to develop the plan with options, general equipment lists, and rough associated cost estimates of major equipment and the associated systems needed. This effort will provide an opportunity to leverage the experience that oil & gas and chemicals companies possess in large capital equipment procurement, modularization, acquisition and installation. Potential supply chain solutions will be discussed and preliminary options for worldwide manufacturers will be elucidated. The goal of this effort will be to leverage the years of accumulated experience in the oil & gas and chemical industries in the area of capital equipment acquisition to understand the potential supply chain options and to reduce potential acquisition costs by optimizing the supply chain options for advanced nuclear reactor modularization, manufacturing and acquisition.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Experimental demonstration and performance evaluation of a complex fenestration system for daylighting and thermal harvesting

Two significant design strategies for mitigating building energy consumption are daylight redirection and solar energy harvesting. Effective daylighting implementation enhances the amount of useful natural light within a space and offsets the need for electric lighting. Solar energy harvesting systems can mitigate energy costs from mechanical systems by managing incoming thermal loads or capturing solar energy that can be used to supplement thermal systems in the building. While there are many available façade-based technologies that can perform daylighting or solar thermal energy harvesting, there remains a limitation in available systems that can perform both of them simultaneously. This paper, describes the design and experimental demonstration of a Liquid Filled Prismatic Louver (LFPL) system, which combines both energy-saving strategies. The LFPL system was installed in a south-facing room in New York City and evaluated for indoor daylight penetration and potential for thermal energy harvesting. Daylight redirection is achieved through the prismatic louver geometry and proper orientation, whereas thermal energy harvesting is achieved through IR absorption from the liquid (e.g., water) within the prisms. Daylighting performance was evaluated by illuminance measurements at key locations within the space, whereas thermal harvesting performance was evaluated through temperature measurements and thermal imaging analysis. We show that the LFPL system, with all prismatic elements oriented at the same angle, achieve a 2-fold and 8-fold enhancement in daylight redirection to the ceiling, for prism orientations of 10° and 20°, respectively. We also demonstrate the system’s capability to adjust to specific lighting needs, within the space, through the dynamic individual orientation of prismatic elements; thus, achieving a concentrated ceiling illuminance enhancement of ~100 times and ~200 times at 2.5 and 4.3 m away from the window sill, providing workplane illuminance enhancement of 6 and 2 times more than in the case of the control room with regular windows. Furthermore, we illustrate a reduction of potential heating loads at locations close to the window from the combination of infrared absorption in the water volume and the redirection of the incoming solar radiation, leading to a reduction of the workplane temperature by an average of 7–10 °C.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Exchange Coupling Determines Metal-Dependent Efficiency for Iron- and Cobalt-Catalyzed Photochemical CO 2 Reduction

Catalysts promoting multielectron charge delocalization offer selectivity for the CO 2 reduction reaction (CO 2 RR) over the competing hydrogen evolution reaction. Here, we show metal–ligand exchange coupling as an example of charge delocalization that can determine the efficiency for photocatalytic CO 2 RR. A comparative evaluation of iron and cobalt complexes supported by the redox-active ligand tpyPY2Me establishes that the two-electron reduction of [Co(tpyPY2Me)] 2+ ([Co] 2+ ) occurs at potentials 770 mV more negative than the [Fe(tpyPY2Me)] 2+ ([Fe] 2+ ) analogue by maximizing the exchange coupling in the latter compound. The positive shift in the reduction potential promoted by metal–ligand exchange coupling drives [Fe] 2+ to be among the most active and selective molecular catalysts for photochemical CO 2 RR reported to date, maintaining up to 99% CO product selectivity with total turnover numbers (TONs) and initial turnover frequencies exceeding 30,000 and 900 min –1 , respectively. In contrast, [Co] 2+ shows much lower CO 2 RR activity, reaching only ca. 600 TON at 83% CO product selectivity under similar conditions accompanied by rapid catalyst decomposition. Further, the spin density plots of the two-electron reduced [Co] 0 complex implicate a paramagnetic open-shell doublet ground state compared to the diamagnetic open-shell singlet ground state of reduced [Fe] 0 , rationalizing the observed negative shift in two-electron reduction potentials from the [M] 2+ species and lowered CO 2 RR efficiency for the cobalt complex relative to its iron congener. This work emphasizes the contributions of multielectron metal–ligand exchange coupling in promoting effective CO 2 RR and provides a starting point for the broader incorporation of this strategy in catalyst design.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Options for Achieving Cost Reduction in Advanced Reactors through Open Architecture

A key contributor to high capital costs and schedule overruns for new nuclear power plants is lack of standardization, driven by site-specific customization and construction of multiple designs by competing vendors rather than commitment to a single standardized program. While advanced reactor vendors typically individually target repeat construction of standardized units, the many competing designs could exacerbate the problem. “Open Architecture”, the open specification of requirements and interfaces for structures, systems and components (SSCs), has been proposed as a means of promoting standardization, by facilitating existing non-nuclear suppliers to enter the industry and/or allowing SSCs to be configured for more than one reactor within the same technology type. Contracting mechanisms that facilitate information sharing and alignment of incentives between stakeholders may complement such an approach. A preliminary scheme is presented for selection of SSCs for which such strategies could be adopted, based on a vendor make/buy decision model and stakeholder interviews. SSCs are categorized according to number of suppliers and their contribution to the reactor’s competitive edge. SSCs with many potential suppliers and a high contribution to competitive edge may be attractive for widening the supply chain via open specification of system requirements and interfaces, e.g., SSCs in the power island. SSCs with few suppliers and low contribution to competitive edge may be potential avenues for common system specification between vendors, e.g., some of the auxiliary SSCs. Potential cost reductions from such strategies will depend upon the size of the build program and the reactor type.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Project Title: Demonstration High Temperature Superconducting NonPlanar Stellarator Magnet with Advanced Manufactured Assemblies

This is the final report for the project “Demonstration High Temperature Superconducting Non- Planar Stellarator Magnet with Advanced Manufactured Assemblies”, funded by DOE, and performed by Type One Energy from September, 2020, to March 2024 involving the Fusion Technology Institute at the University of Wisconsin–Madison, the Plasma Science and Fusion Center (PSFC) at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) to design and fabricate the first non-planar HTS (REBCO) coil for a high-field stellarator based on the SPARC tokamak’s VIPER cable concept. Stellarators at high fields make high-temperature superconducting magnets necessary for a compact fusion device. But the asymmetric and non-planar nature of its components, especially the magnets make it difficult for scalable producibility. To address these challenges, two promising technologies have emerged: advanced manufacturing (AM) for the supporting plates for forming the magnets, and high-temperature superconducting (HTS) cables inside the plates. AM has advanced enough to produce stellarator components with the necessary geometric complexity, size, and the precision, leading to potentially significant reductions in production time, cost, and waste. The cost of HTS tape has decreased dramatically, and progress in HTS planar magnet development has reached a point where it can be proposed for application to complex 3D non-planar magnets. The main objective of this project is to develop, demonstrate and pre-commercialize a novel, non-planar HTS coil shape that remains superconducting to achieve production scalable reductions in time and cost and performance. The proposed technology is based on the novel concept of a precision sub-scale HTS nonplanar coil assembly. This project focuses on the design, fabrication, material optimization of cable design, and validation and demonstration of the high current carrying capability of superconducting magnets and their support in a complex 3D shape needed for application to stellarator magnetic plasma confinement. The specific objectives of this research program include: (1) The successful application of metal AM to build a precision sub-scale HTS nonplanar coil, (2) An HTS cable and cross-section design that can conform to the required nonplanar coil shape (bend radii as tight as 10-cm) and remains superconducting at an engineering current density of 1.35 kA/cm 2 at 77 K and 1 tesla at the conductor (5 kA in the cable). To achieve the above challenging goals, we have formed a multidisciplinary research team consisting of members from Type One Energy and UW-Madison, MIT PSFC and CFS with complementary skills and strong facilities. The team worked collaboratively on fundamental and applied research on the following three major technical areas: (1) Design, fabrication, and optimization of non-planar HTS Cable The ultimate goal of the project is to determine if commercial REBCO tapes and additive manufacturing can be used to fabricate high field (≥ 10T) non-planar coils with tight bending radii (≃ 100mm) and with a degradation of the critical current (Ic) smaller than 20% with respect to the expected performance. We started with shorter length cable to evaluate the scalability of the production process and eventually reached multiple turns for higher magnetic fields. Our findings suggest that a stellarator coil system of a relevant size, characterized by its asymmetric and non-planar components, can be fabricated using a formed cable in plate method. This system can be simulated using a large-scale modeling approach. The use of hybrid modeling 3 techniques will be pivotal in reducing the complexity of the model and in assessing expected performance in designs. (2) Modeling and simulation of the non-planar HTS Cable Multiphysics simulations are performed using the commercial software and are carried out in self-field conditions, involving 2D and 3D models and twisted around one slot of twist-pitched VIPER cable. Multiphysics simulations are mainly focused on the coil for the critical current evaluation, the magnetic field map, self-Lorentz forces and mechanical, and magnetothermal behavior and the quench dynamics. The detailed model and prediction of the superconducting performance of a stellarator-relevant demonstration cable from numerical simulations supports the results from the actual testing backing the results. A detailed description and results are provided in the later sections. (3) Design, fabrication, and optimization of support for the non-planar HTS Cable The team developed an additive manufactured (AM) coil positioning plate that formed into the required non-planar geometry (with bend radii as tight as 10-cm) and to acceptable tolerances required for a stellarator magnet: (+0.25-mm from ideal on dimensions of coil positioning plates and up to +1-mm from ideal for position of wound coil). The plate materials is also included in this selection process from fabrication and 3D printing perspective and commensurate with eventual application to a fusion reactor. From the cost effectiveness point of view, the HTS coil and plate has the potential to cost less than that made in conventional methods with less waste (<75% waste) reducing time (<50%) and cost (<50%), especially as the AM field matures. The application of advanced manufacturing in the construction of the support plates will also lead to cost reduction, as the cables can be easily replaced, thereby making the assembly modular. With such high primary cost and time savings, high current densities and magnetic field, the funded R&D work has validated the designs, proven the feasibility, and characterized the performance of the HTS coil and plate assembly, paving the way for a relevant-size stellarator coil system.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Green synthesis of sulfur‐doped g‐C 3 N 4 nanosheets for enhanced removal of oxytetracycline under visible‐light irradiation and reduction of its N ‐nitrosodimethylamine formation potential

Abstract BACKGROUND In this study, sulfur‐doped g‐C 3 N 4 (SCN) nanosheets were synthesized using thiourea as a precursor, and then used to catalyze the degradation of oxytetracycline (OTC) under visible‐light irradiation. OTC was chosen as target contaminant because of it being an important precursor of N ‐nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA). RESULTS The removal of OTC was influenced by its initial concentration, initial pH, SCN dosage and water matrices. OTC (≤10 mg L −1 ) was almost completely removed in 40 min under the conditions of an initial pH of 7.0 and a SCN dose of 1.0 g L −1 , and its degradation was well described by the pseudo‐first‐order kinetics model. Water matrices would also influence the degradation of OTC in the system. Electron paramagnetic resonance analysis and trapping experiments confirmed that the function of the radicals for OTC removal followed the order of • O 2 − > • OH > h + . Eight transformation products were determined during the degradation of OTC, it being removed through four pathways: methyl oxidization, demethylation, decarbonylation and secondary alcohol oxidation. SCN was stable in the system, as the removal efficiency of OTC was not significantly reduced even after three recycles. In addition, 55.5% of NDMA formation potential of OTC was reduced after SCN catalytic oxidation. CONCLUSIONS The results imply that the visible‐light‐driven SCN catalytic oxidation is an effective technology not only for the removal of OTC but also for the reduction of NDMA formation potential. © 2021 Society of Chemical Industry

Dou, Yicheng↗

Performance Evaluation of an Occupancy-Based HVAC Control System in an Office Building

As new algorithms incorporate occupancy count information into more sophisticated HVAC control, these technologies offer great potential for reductions in energy costs while enhancing flexibility. This study presents results from a two-year field evaluation of an occupancy-based HVAC control system installed in an office building. Two wings on each of the building’s 2–11 floors were equipped with occupancy counters to learn occupancy patterns. In combination with proprietary machine learning algorithms and thermal modeling, the occupancy data were leveraged to implement optimized start, early closure, and adjustments to fan operation at the air handling unit (AHU) level. This study conducted a holistic evaluation of technical performance, cost-effectiveness analysis, and user satisfaction. Results show the platform reduced weekday AHU run times by 2 h and 35 min per AHU per day during the pandemic time period. Simulation shows that 6.1% annual whole-building savings can be achieved when the building is fully occupied. The results are compared with prior studies, and potential drivers are discussed for future opportunities. The assessment results shed light on the expected in-the-field performance for researchers and industry stakeholders and enabled practical considerations as the technology strives to move beyond research-grade pilot trials into product-grade deployment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Nitrate Reduction Modeling under Acidic Conditions with Late Transition Metals

The electrochemical reduction of nitrate (NO 3 R) to ammonia is a bold yet conceivable way of producing ammonia using renewable electricity. However, serious challenges remain in finding optimal electrocatalysts for the process. An atomistic understanding of the surface energetics behind the NO 3 R is needed in order to design an efficient catalyst. Herein, we combine energetics from density functional theory and microkinetic modeling to demonstrate how surface descriptors can help simplify the search for efficient NO 3 R electrocatalysts. We illustrate the strong correlations between transition-state energetics and O* binding energies for adsorbed nitrate and nitrite on transition metals. For intermediates from NO* and beyond, we compare the benefits of using either the N* or H* binding energies to predict reduction onset potentials. These insights enable us to develop a simple microkinetic model that elucidates the surface coverages of intermediates and the product selectivity of NO 3 R across a range of potentials and transition metals. As a result, we show that the model adequately corroborates with quasi-steady-state rates observed experimentally.

ammonia↗

Exploring filamentous fungi depolymerization of corn stover in the context bioenergy queuing operations

Recalcitrance of lignocellulosic feedstocks to depolymerization is a significant barrier for bioenergy production approaches that require conversion of monomeric carbohydrates to renewable energy sources. This study assesses how low-cost modifications in the feedstock supply chain can be transformed into targeted pretreatments in the context of the entire bioenergy supply chain. The aim of this research is to overcome the physiochemical barriers in corn stover that necessitate increased severity in conversion in terms of chemical loading, temperature, and residence time. Corn stover samples were inoculated with a selective (Ceriporiopsis subvermispora) and non-selective (Phaenarochaete chrysosporium) lignin degrading filamentous fungal strains, then stored aerobically to determine the working envelope for fungal pretreatment to achieve lignin degradation. Dry matter loss and gross chemical makeup of corn stover varied by the length of treatment (2 and 4 weeks) and by the moisture content of the treated corn stover samples (40 and 60%, wet basis). Dry matter loss in P. chrysosporium inoculated biomass was elevated compared to the C. subvermispora inoculated biomass; however, treatment also induced additional chemical composition changes suggestive of depolymerization. Scanning electron microscope images reveal hyphae attached within cell lumen and suggest structural changes within P. chrysosporium treated corn stover after 60% moisture storage. These results highlight that fungal treatment approaches must balance loss of convertible material with the potential for reduction in recalcitrance. Techno-economic assessment (TEA) of fungal pretreatment in a short-term queuing system indicated the viability of this approach compared to conventional queuing operations. The total queuing system cost was estimated at $\$$1.65/tonne of biomass stored. After applying the credit of $\$$1.48/tonne from energy savings in the conversion phase using fungal pretreated biomass, the total system cost was $0.80 lower than traditional biomass queueing approach. While the TEA results suggested that treating biomass with C. subvermispora is the most economically viable storage method in the designed fungal-assisted queuing system, future research should focus on additional fungal depolymerization such as those observed in the P. chrysosporium inoculated biomass.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Technical, economic, and load-following capabilities assessment of grid-connected geothermal and geothermal-solar hybrid systems

The technical and economic performance as well as the load-following capabilities of grid-connected geothermal hybrid systems were assessed in this work. The analyzed geothermal hybrid configuration is composed of a binary geothermal plant integrated with a concentrating solar-thermal system and underground thermal energy storage (UTES) through a primary heat exchanger. Physics-based models for the hybrid system for plant generation capacities of 1, 25, and 50 MW were developed from validated models for each subsystem. Also, an economic model was developed that accounts for different hybrid system capabilities, solar field sizes, and thermal storage duration. The advantage of the geothermal hybrid system was assessed by comparing the performance with the baseline benchmark geothermal plant with a similar configuration and generation capacity. It was found that hybridizing geothermal plants with concentrating solar and thermal energy storage not only improves the thermal efficiency by up to 8 percentage points when additional heat from the solar-UTES loop rises the evaporator temperatures from 70 to 125 °C, but also enhances the load-following capability for the geothermal plant, which can meet a typical residential load profile with a power rate of change 0.25 kW/s with an absolute error under 13 kW for a 1 MW plant. Other benefits of hybridization include resource preservation and a potential LCOE reduction of up to 56% for a 50 MW geothermal hybrid plant having a 50% solar share, a 1.4 solar multiple, and 24-h storage capacity. The results presented in this work demonstrate that hybridizing geothermal systems transforms them into a flexible and cost-effective solution for addressing the dynamic requirements of modern electric grids.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Genetic algorithm optimization of a chemical kinetic mechanism for propane at engine relevant conditions

Propane has demonstrated significant potential for reductions in greenhouse gas and pollutant emissions in medium- and heavy-duty engine applications, but further improvements require accurate, compact, and scalable chemical kinetic mechanisms to design the next generation of propane fueled engines, particularly at the boosted operating conditions necessary to meet the power density demand of medium- and heavy-duty applications. In this work, six key chemical reactions were identified in a reduced mechanism with 70 species and 352 reactions through a sensitivity analysis performed at conditions typical of thermodynamic trajectories observed in a high compression ratio, long stroke engine operated on propane from throttled to boosted operating conditions. While the original mechanism was validated against rapid compression machine (RCM) data, it was found to overpredict experimental autoignition tendencies in 2-zone, 0-D SI engine simulations performed in Chemkin Pro. Subsequently, a genetic algorithm approach was used to optimize the six reaction rate parameters within established uncertainty bounds by performing RCM simulations and comparing to two independent sets of literature ignition delay times for propane, thus generating two new kinetic mechanisms. The first optimization achieved a mean absolute percent error (MPE) reduction in 2nd stage ignition delay of 61.4% in seven generations, while the second optimization utilized a newer experimental RCM dataset, and achieved MPE reduction of 56.7% in seven generations, and further marginal improvement to 57.8% reduction in 34 generations. Finally, the two mechanisms were then evaluated again in the 2-zone 0-D SI engine model in Chemkin Pro comparing typical mean and knocking cycle trajectories, and it was found that the second optimized mechanism provided better prediction of knock onset at the representative conditions evaluated in this work, particularly for higher load operating conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Investigation of precooling unit design options in hydrogen refueling station for heavy-duty fuel-cell electric vehicles

Precooling gaseous hydrogen fuel to a cold temperature before refueling a heavy-duty (HD) hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle (HFCEV) is essential to avoid overheating the vehicle tank, as well as achieving a high state of charge (SOC). Because a large volume of hydrogen is dispensed during each fill, the need for a shorter fill time amplifies the need to precool each load for refueling a HFCEV. Thus, the design and operation of a precooling unit (PCU), as well as the associated capital and operating costs, plays a pivotal role in any plans for heavy-duty hydrogen refueling stations. Here, in this paper, we present a thermodynamic and technoeconomic analysis of a PCU in a gaseous hydrogen refueling station (HRS) for HD HFCEVs. By employing Argonne National Laboratory's hydrogen station cost optimization and performance evaluation (H2SCOPE) model, the refueling of 50 kg of hydrogen on-board type IV tank at ambient temperatures of 15–45 °C and varying fill rates is simulated. The required degree of precooling temperature to obtain either 100% or the maximum possible SOC is obtained from the simulation. Additionally, the simulation results demonstrate that the average flow rate of hydrogen is approximately 40% lower than the maximum flow rate during a typical fill; which motivates further evaluation of the instantaneous hydrogen mass flow rate profile and suggests the scope of improving precooling unit design. Accordingly, a hybrid strategy of precooling hydrogen has been proposed to address the cooling load by sizing the refrigeration unit for the average flow rate of hydrogen, while supplementing the above average peak hydrogen flow cooling load through thermal buffering. The combined technique enables the downsizing of the original PCU capacity by 25–40% and demonstrates a potential cost reduction of the PCU by approximately 30%, which translates to an installed cost reduction of ∼$125,000 per dispenser.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Tellurium Goes for a Ride on the “Ferrous” Wheel: Interactions of Te(VI) and Te(IV) with Fe(II)-Bearing Minerals

Compared to more abundant metalloids (e.g., As, Se, and Sb), little is known regarding the biogeochemistry of tellurium (Te), a critical metal whose use in CdTe photovoltaic solar cells is driving increasing global demand for this element. In this study, to understand the redox behavior of Te under ferrugenic/sulfidogenic conditions, we examined the potential for reduction of Te(VI) and Te(IV) in aqueous suspensions containing Fe(II) as siderite, vivianite, green rust, magnetite, or mackinawite; Fe(II)-bearing minerals which are often formed during microbial reduction of Fe(III) oxides. In the mackinawite systems, complete reduction of Te(VI) or Te(IV) to Te(0) was observed within 12 h, and near complete reduction (>90% Te(0)) was observed within 2.5 days in the green rust systems. In the presence of siderite, complete reduction of Te(VI) or Te(IV) to Te(0) occurred within 60 days. We observed >60% reduction of Te(VI) to Te(IV) within 2.5 days in the magnetite system, but Te(0) did not form until 120 days; however, complete reduction to Te(0) was observed within 120 days when starting with Te(IV). With vivianite there was >80% reduction of Te(VI) to Te(IV) within 12 h, without further reduction to Te(0) over the duration of the experiment (120 days); in the Te(IV)-vivianite system, there was no evidence of Te(IV) reduction within 120 days. The reduction of Te(VI) and Te(IV) in soils and sediments has been largely attributed to direct reduction by microbes; however, the reduction of Te(VI) and Te(IV) by Fe(II)-bearing minerals suggests that abiotic or coupled biotic-abiotic processes may also play a critical role in Te redox chemistry in natural and engineered environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Radical Polymer-Based Organic Electrochemical Transistors

Organic electrochemical transistors (OECTs) are an emerging platform for bioelectronic applications. Significant effort has been placed in designing advanced polymers that simultaneously transport both charge and ions (i.e., macromolecules that are mixed conductors). Furthermore, the considerations for mixed organic conductors are often different from the established principles that are well-known in the solid-state organic electronics field; thus, the discovery of new OECT macromolecular systems is highly desired. Here, we demonstrate a new materials system by blending a radical polymer (i.e., a macromolecule with a nonconjugated backbone and with stable open-shell sites at its pendant group) with a frequently used conjugated polymer. Specifically, poly(4-glycidyloxy-2,2,6,6-tetramethylpiperidine-1-oxyl) (PTEO) was blended with poly(3-hexylthiophene) (P 3 HT) to create thin films with distinct closed-shell and open-shell domains. Importantly, the sharp and unique oxidation–reduction (redox) potential associated with the radical moieties of the PTEO chain provided a distinct actuation feature to the blended films that modulated the ionic transport of the OECT devices. In turn, this led to controlled regulation of the doping of the P 3 HT phase in the composite film. By decoupling the ionic and electronic transport into two distinct phases and by using an ion transport phase with well-controlled redox activity, never-before-seen performance for a P3HT-based OECT was observed. That is, at loadings as low as 5% PTEO (by weight) OECTs achieved figure-of-merit (i.e., μC*) values >150 F V –1 cm –1 s –1 , which place the performance on the same order as state-of-the-art conjugated polymers despite the relatively common conjugated macromolecular moiety implemented. As such, this effort presents a design platform by which to readily create a tailored OECT response through strategic macromolecular selection and polymer processing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Coupling of Flavonoid Initiation Sites with Monolignols Studied by Density Functional Theory

Lignin recalcitrance presents a challenge for the development of a bioeconomy that employs lignocellulosic feedstocks. The efficiency of lignin deconstruction is improved by a reduction of molecular weight, and given the discovery that flavones serve as initiation sites in lignin biosynthesis, these molecular weight reductions could potentially be achieved with plant metabolic engineering to over-express flavonoids. Upon increasing the flavonoid content in lignin, the bond strengths and properties of flavonoid-monolignol linkages become increasingly important. To that end, the current work applies density functional theory calculations to elucidate the bond dissociation enthalpies (BDEs) of flavonoid-monolignol linkages, including dimers with oxidized monolignols. Specifically, the dimer bond strengths and monomer hydrogen abstraction energies for the flavonoids tricin, chrysoeriol, luteolin, apigenin, catechin, epicatechin, epigallocatechin, and epigallocatechin gallate are calculated, when coupled to seven natural and engineered monolignols. Results indicate that 4'-O-ß linkage strengths between flavonoids and monolignols are of comparable strength to inter-monolignol ß-O-4 linkages, with average flavonoid-monolignol BDEs of 70.7 kcal/mol relative to ~69.3 kcal/mol in analogous canonical monolignols. Epigallocatechin yielded the lowest 4'-O-ß bond strength of 52.3 kcal/mol when coupled to an oxidized monolignol, while the flavones overall produced lower average BDEs, relative to the flavanols. Substituents at the 3'-C and 5'-C positions on flavonoids affected the dimer linkage strengths to a greater extent than glycosylation or substituents further from the linkage. Erythro and threo stereochemistry across the flavonoid-monolignol linkage library exhibited only small energetic differences and no pronounced correlations. Taken together, the predictions from this work support the concept that higher concentrations of flavonoid initiation sites in lignin may afford linkage properties conducive to more facile lignin depolymerization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Climate Change Signal in Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Today and Near Future

This manuscript discusses the challenges in detecting and attributing recently observed trends in the Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) and the epistemic uncertainty we face in assessing future risk. We use synthetic storms downscaled from five CMIP5 models by the Columbia HAZard model (CHAZ), and directly simulated storms from high-resolution climate models. We examine three aspects of recent TC activity: the upward trend and multi-decadal oscillation of the annual frequency, the increase in storm wind intensity, and the decrease in forward speed. Some data sets suggest that these trends and oscillation are forced while others suggest that they can be explained by natural variability. Projections under warming climate scenarios also show a wide range of possibilities, especially for the annual frequencies, which increase or decrease depending on the choice of moisture variable used in the CHAZ model and on the choice of climate model. The uncertainties in the annual frequency lead to epistemic uncertainties in TC risk assessment. Here, we investigate the potential for reduction of these epistemic uncertainties through a statistical practice, namely likelihood analysis. We find that historical observations are more consistent with the simulations with increasing frequency than those with decreasing frequency, but we are not able to rule out the latter. We argue that the most rational way to treat epistemic uncertainty is to consider all outcomes contained in the results. In the context of risk assessment, since the results contain possible outcomes in which TC risk is increasing, this view implies that the risk is increasing.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Voltage decay and redox asymmetry mitigation by reversible cation migration in lithium-rich layered oxide electrodes

Despite the high energy density of lithium-rich layered-oxide electrodes, their real-world implementation in batteries is hindered by the substantial voltage decay on cycling. This voltage decay is widely accepted to mainly originate from progressive structural rearrangements involving irreversible transition-metal migration. As prevention of this spontaneous cation migration has proven difficult, a paradigm shift toward management of its reversibility is needed. Herein, we demonstrate that the reversibility of the cation migration of lithium-rich nickel manganese oxides can be remarkably improved by altering the oxygen stacking sequences in the layered structure and thereby dramatically reducing the voltage decay. The preeminent intra-cycle reversibility of the cation migration is experimentally visualized, and first-principles calculations reveal that an O2-type structure restricts the movements of transition metals within the Li layer, which effectively streamlines the returning migration path of the transition metals. Furthermore, we propose that the enhanced reversibility mitigates the asymmetry of the anionic redox in conventional lithium-rich electrodes, promoting the high-potential anionic reduction, thereby reducing the subsequent voltage hysteresis. Our findings demonstrate that regulating the reversibility of the cation migration is a practical strategy to reduce voltage decay and hysteresis in lithium-rich layered materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Arctic-associated increased fluctuations of midlatitude winter temperature in the 1.5° and 2.0° warmer world

In recent decades, the interior regions of Eurasia and North America have experienced several unprecedentedly cold winters despite the global surface air temperature increases. One possible explanation of these increasing extreme cold winters comes from the so-called Warm Arctic Cold Continent (WACC) pattern, reflecting the effects of the amplified Arctic warming in driving the circulation change over surrounding continents. This study analyzed reanalysis data and model experiments forced by different levels of anthropogenic forcing. It is found that WACC exists on synoptic scales in observations, model’s historical and even future runs. In the future, the analysis suggests a continued presence of WACC but with a slightly weakened cold extreme due to the overall warming. Warm Arctic events under the warmer climate will be associated with not only a colder continent in East Asia but also a warmer continent, depending on the teleconnection process that is also complicated by the warmer Arctic. Such an increasingly association suggests a reduction in potential predictability of the midlatitude winter anomalies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗