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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 307 records · Page 17

The Thermal Response of a Packed Bed Thermal Energy Storage System upon Saturated Steam Injection Using Distributed Temperature Sensing

The effectiveness of a thermal energy storage (TES) system is typically characterized with the help of thermal stratification or temperature gradients along the direction of heat injection, which is typically the flow direction of heat transfer fluid. The steepness of temperature gradients are a direct indicator of the effectiveness or efficiency of the heat storage or dispatch process. The temperature gradient evolution along the packed bed of ceramic particles upon saturated steam injection is presented in this work. Distributed temperature sensing based on optical frequency domain reflectometry was deployed in a packed bed of ceramic particles to capture the thermal front evolution in the axial direction. The physical processes accompanying steam injection in packed beds are complex due to phase change, transitioning two-phase flow, and changes in condensate accumulation. Therefore, the variation of thermal response of the TES system for various steam injection flow rates was experimentally studied using a high-resolution distributed temperature sensing system in a chemically inert alumina particle-packed bed. Distinct zones of different heat transfer modes were observed during the steam injection experiments. A distinct conduction zone, evident from diffuse thermal fronts, was observed at low flow rates, and these thermal gradients became sharper as the flow rate increased. The diffuse thermal fronts in the heat storage media suggest a low exergy efficiency of the TES system, as energy losses started initiating before a significant fraction of the bed was saturated with steam.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A molecular dynamics simulation study of thermal conductivity anisotropy in β-octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocine (β-HMX)

Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations were used to predict the thermal conductivity of β-octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocine (β-HMX) along directions normal to the (011), (110), and (010) crystal planes. These directions were selected based on the measured morphological importance of the corresponding crystal surfaces. A reverse non-equilibrium MD approach was used wherein a constant heat flux is imposed along a prescribed direction and the resulting steady-state temperature gradient determined. The coefficient of thermal conductivity λ is the quotient of heat flux and temperature gradient (i.e. Fourier's law). Finite-size effects and sensitivity to imposed heat flux were investigated. The results reveal a modest dependence of the conductivity on crystal orientation, significant finite-size effects, and low sensitivity to imposed flux so long as the Fourier's law analysis is limited to the spatial interval in the simulation cell for which the temperature gradient is constant. Infinite-length thermal conductivities were estimated by linear regression of λ -1 (L) versus reciprocal cell length L -1 for each direction. The predicted values are systematically larger, but within a factor of two, than most published experimental determinations, the latter of which were obtained for pressed-powder or composite samples rather than oriented single crystals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Sensitivity study of hydrogen Soret transport in yttrium Hydride-Based nuclear fuel

Yttrium hydride is an excellent solid neutron moderator material for high temperature nuclear reactor applications due to its high hydrogen density and exceptional hydride stability at high temperatures. Despite these attractive characteristics, the details of how hydrogen behaves within yttrium hydride while temperature gradients exist are still not well understood. The evolution of the hydrogen composition profile resulting from a temperature gradient requires knowledge of hydrogen’s heat of transport, a critical parameter that has not yet been measured for this material. In this work, we perform hydride redistribution, hydrogen dissociation, and hydrogen leakage calculations while varying the Soret heat of transport of hydrogen in yttrium hydride to elucidate the sensitivity of hydride stability under temperature gradients to this parameter. This study analyzes hydride stability of a hypothetical uranium-yttrium hydride nuclear fuel design during operation of a high temperature liquid metal-cooled nuclear reactor. Assuming U-YH x could be fabricated in a physically stabilized manner, this fuel system can likely maintain hydride stability while operating at very high power densities and temperatures. We find that even though the hydrogen dissociation pressure in the gas gap does vary by several percent as the heat of transport temperature parameter is varied, the hydrogen content in the U-YH x fuel meat is relatively insensitive to this parameter over the course of a high burnup fuel cycle; this is due to yttrium hydride’s excellent hydrogen retention under the high temperature conditions considered here. Here, this suggests that hydride stability analyses are insensitive to the value of the Soret heat of transport in U-YH x under steady state liquid metal-cooled reactor conditions. However, the susceptibility to internal gas overpressurization-induced stress-rupture of the cladding during a high temperature transient is more sensitive to this parameter due to the non-linear dependence of hydrogen gas dissociation pressure vs. composition and temperature.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Simulation-Aided Design and Interpretation of Results of Microgravity-Based Solidification Experiments

The preparation and interpretation of microgravity experiments conducted on the International Space Station (ISS) can be challenging because of the remote location of the equipment. Although a “ground unit” is typically available on Earth, it is not located in the laboratory of the principal investigator. Furthermore, test experiments in the ground unit cannot fully duplicate heat transfer conditions of the weightless environment, and thus be a reliable reference for experiment design. Under such conditions, numerical simulations are a valuable tool both for preparing the experiments and interpreting the results obtained under terrestrial and micro-gravity conditions. In this work, we developed a detailed 3D model of the “SUBSA” furnace located at the ISS, and demonstrate its use in our present investigation which includes melt growth and vapor growth of InI crystals on the ISS. In 2002, the SUBSA furnace was designed and built for the growth of InSb crystals in the Microgravity Science Glovebox (MSG) at the ISS. The SUBSA furnace features a transparent section without heating elements, where the axial temperature gradient is high. In our present investigation, we have used the same furnace to grow four InI crystals from the melt, and two InI crystals from the vapor phase (2018-2021). InI crystals have ~20 times lower thermal conductivity than InSb crystals. As a result, during melt growth, the InI crystals were exposed to extremely high temperature gradients. To reduce the axial temperature gradient, we added external jackets made from high thermal conductivity material to the growth ampoules. The SUBSA furnace could not be modeled as asymmetric because of its rectangular shape and right-angled transparent section, which contains a convoluted geometry. The rectangular shape of the transparent section further complicates modelling of radiative heat transfer, which dominates in the zone. At present, numerical simulations are being conducted to resolve an apparent discrepancy between the readings of the 5 thermocouples located in the SUBSA furnace, and the observed position of the solid and molten material. The 3D simulation will be presented, along with the calibration and growth experiment results conducted in microgravity and in the SUBSA ground unit. The developed model should be useful for upcoming microgravity investigations planned to be conducted in the SUBSA facility.

V Riabov↗

Measuring heat flux from collective Thomson scattering with non-Maxwellian distribution functions

Here, heat flux was measured in coronal plasmas using collective Thomson scattering from electron-plasma waves. A laser-produced plasma from a planar aluminum target created a temperature gradient along the target normal. Thomson scattering probed electron-plasma waves in the direction of the temperature gradient with phase velocities relevant to heat flux. The heat-flux measurements were reduced from classical values inferred from the measured plasma conditions in regions with large temperature gradients and agreed with classical values for weak gradients. In regions where classical theory was invalid, the heat flux was determined by reproducing the measured Thomson-scattering spectra using electron distribution functions consistent with nonlocal thermal transport. Lastly, full-scale hydrodynamic simulations using flux-limited thermal transport ( FLASH ) and the multigroup nonlocal Schurtz, Nicolai, and Busquet (SNB) models both underestimated the heat flux at all locations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

In-Situ Spatial Mapping of Hydrogen in Yttrium Hydrides at LANSCE (FY23 Version, Rev. 1)

This report summarizes the development of neutron imaging capabilities and experimental activities performed at the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE) with the main goal of measuring temperature-driven hydrogen diffusion within bulk-yttrium hydride (YH x ) materials. Yttrium hydride is the leading candidate to serve as a solid neutron moderator in microreactor cores, owing to its high density of hydrogen atoms as well as its superior thermal stability compared to all other metal hydrides. The experimental results and technique developments reported herein support the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy’s (DOE-NE) Microreactor Program under Technology Maturation. In particular, it addresses the critical need to experimentally validate and verify hydrogen-diffusion models of metal hydrides used in high-temperature microreactor designs by means of high-spatial-resolution neutron imaging. These capabilities were designed to apply large temperature gradients across centimeter-sized YH x pellets to simulate conditions faced in the microreactor environment. In principle, neutron imaging, combined with in-situ sample heating, enables near real-time tracking of hydrogen diffusion in YH x on the sub-millimeter scale. In this report, an overview of neutron imaging methodology and technologies are given in the context of recent spatial measures of hydrogen concentrations in similar metal hydrides. Additionally, the commissioning and operation of a custom-built compact dual-zone furnace is given along with details on three in-situ heating measurements of YH x performed over the 2020 to 2022 LANSCE operation cycles. The aims of these experiments ranged from furnace commissioning, determining sample quality, i.e., hydrogen uniformity via neutron computed tomography, and studying the effects of applied temperature-gradients on YH x pellets. Analyses and results from these neutron imaging measurements are given along with outlooks and guidelines for optimal future hydrogen diffusion measurements. Our conclusions are as follows. Image analyses indicate that centimeter-sized yttrium hydride cylindrical pellets exhibit uniform, whole-body hydrogen desorption and absorption without clear temperature dependence as reflected in the image attenuation at the opposing ends of each sample. This suggests that despite the large magnitude in temperature gradients applied by the furnace heating elements, the sample equilibrates to an unknown intermediate temperature. The origin of this result is likely the combination of short sample length (∼1cm) and use of a TZM can for containment where the latter created a thermal short across the sample. Nevertheless, the results from the most recent measurements indicate that neither significant concentration gradients of hydrogen were formed in centimeter-sized samples through the entire temperature range (25 °C to 950 °C) nor any formed due to temperature gradients on the order of 50 °C/cm up to 700 °C/cm. Furthermore, images from the FY2021 and FY2022 measurements indicate that samples of YH x , fabricated from either the direct hydride or powder metallurgy methods, are highly uniform in their hydrogen concentration to within the measurements’ spatial resolutions. The following questions arise from these latest results: 1) What is the intermediate temperature of the pellets in the TZM cans? 2) How quickly does the temperature equilibrate within the sample? and, 3) Do the observed changes in image attenuation follow known pressure-composition-temperature relations of yttrium hydride?

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Gradient Driven Fluctuations

We have worked with our collaborators at the University of Milan (Professor Marzio Giglio and his group-supported by ASI) to define the science required to measure gradient driven fluctuations in the microgravity environment. Such a study would provide an accurate test of the extent to which the theory of fluctuating hydrodynamics can be used to predict the properties of fluids maintained in a stressed, non-equilibrium state. As mentioned above, the results should also provide direct visual insight into the behavior of a variety of fluid systems containing gradients or interfaces, when placed in the microgravity environment. With support from the current grant, we have identified three key systems for detailed investigation. These three systems are: 1) A single-component fluid to be studied in the presence of a temperature gradient; 2) A mixture of two organic liquids to be studied both in the presence of a temperature gradient, which induces a steady-state concentration gradient, and with the temperature gradient removed, but while the concentration gradient is dying by means of diffusion; 3) Various pairs of liquids undergoing free diffusion, including a proteidbuffer solution and pairs of mixtures having different concentrations, to allow us to vary the differences in fluid properties in a controlled manner.

Cannell, David↗

Understanding and control of bipolar self-doping in copper nitride

Semiconductor materials that can be doped both n-type and p-type are desirable for diode-based applications and transistor technology. Copper nitride (Cu{sub 3}N) is a metastable semiconductor with a solar-relevant bandgap that has been reported to exhibit bipolar doping behavior. However, deeper understanding and better control of the mechanism behind this behavior in Cu{sub 3}N is currently lacking in the literature. In this work, we use combinatorial growth with a temperature gradient to demonstrate both conduction types of phase-pure, sputter-deposited Cu{sub 3}N thin films. Room temperature Hall effect and Seebeck effect measurements show n-type Cu{sub 3}N with 10{sup 17} electrons/cm{sup 3} for low growth temperature (≈35 °C) and p-type with 10{sup 15} holes/cm{sup 3}–10{sup 16} holes/cm{sup 3} for elevated growth temperatures (50 °C–120 °C). Mobility for both types of Cu{sub 3}N was ≈0.1 cm{sup 2}/Vs–1 cm{sup 2}/Vs. Additionally, temperature-dependent Hall effect measurements indicate that ionized defects are an important scattering mechanism in p-type films. By combining X-ray absorption spectroscopy and first-principles defect theory, we determined that V{sub Cu} defects form preferentially in p-type Cu{sub 3}N, while Cu{sub i} defects form preferentially in n-type Cu{sub 3}N, suggesting that Cu{sub 3}N is a compensated semiconductor with conductivity type resulting from a balance between donor and acceptor defects. Based on these theoretical and experimental results, we propose a kinetic defect formation mechanism for bipolar doping in Cu{sub 3}N that is also supported by positron annihilation experiments. Overall, the results of this work highlight the importance of kinetic processes in the defect physics of metastable materials and provide a framework that can be applied when considering the properties of such materials in general.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Thermal Design to Meet Stringent Temperature Gradient/Stability Requirements of SWIFT BAT Detectors

The Burst Alert Telescope (BAT) is an instrument on the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) SWIFT spacecraft. It is designed to detect gamma ray burst over a broad region of the sky and quickly align the telescopes on the spacecraft to the gamma ray source. The thermal requirements for the BAT detector arrays are very stringent. The maximum allowable temperature gradient of the 256 cadmium zinc telluride (CZT) detectors is PC. Also, the maximum allowable rate of temperature change of the ASICs of the 256 Detector Modules (DMs) is PC on any time scale. The total power dissipation of the DMs and Block Command & Data Handling (BCDH) is 180 W. This paper presents a thermal design that uses constant conductance heat pipes (CCHPs) to minimize the temperature gradient of the DMs, and loop heat pipes (LHPs) to transport the waste heat to the radiator. The LHPs vary the effective thermal conductance from the DMs to the radiator to minimize heater power to meet the heater power budget, and to improve the temperature stability. The DMs are cold biased, and active heater control is used to meet the temperature gradient and stability requirements.

Choi, Michael K.↗

Toward High Conversion Efficiency of Thermoelectric Modules through Synergistical Optimization of Layered Materials

Abstract Waste‐heat electricity generation using high‐efficiency solid‐state conversion technology can significantly decrease dependence on fossil fuels. Here, a synergistical optimization of layered half‐Heusler (hH) materials and module to improve thermoelectric conversion efficiency is reported. This is realized by manufacturing multiple thermoelectric materials with major compositional variations and temperature‐gradient‐coupled carrier distribution by one‐step spark plasma sintering. This strategy provides a solution to overcome the intrinsic concomitants of the conventional segmented architecture that only considers the matching of the figure of merit ( zT ) with the temperature gradient. The current design is dedicated to temperature‐gradient‐coupled resistivity and compatibility matching, optimum zT matching, and reducing contact resistance sources. By enhancing the quality factor of the materials by Sb‐vapor‐pressure‐induced annealing, a superior zT of 1.47 at 973 K is achieved for (Nb, Hf)FeSb hH alloys. Along with the low‐temperature high‐ zT hH alloys of (Nb, Ta, Ti, V)FeSb, the single stage layered hH modules are developed with efficiencies of ≈15.2% and ≈13.5% for the single‐leg and unicouple thermoelectric modules, respectively, under Δ T of 670 K. Therefore, this work has a transformative impact on the design and development of next‐generation thermoelectric generators for any thermoelectric material families.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Spin and charge thermopower effects in the ferromagnetic graphene junction

Using wave function matching approach and employing the Landauer-Buttiker formula, a ferromagnetic graphene junction with temperature gradient across the system is studied. We calculate the thermally induced charge and spin current as well as the thermoelectric voltage (Seebeck effect) in the linear and nonlinear regimes. Our calculation revealed that due to the electron-hole symmetry, the charge Seebeck coefficient is, for an undoped magnetic graphene, an odd function of chemical potential while the spin Seebeck coefficient is an even function regardless of the temperature gradient and junction length. We have also found with an accurate tuning external parameter, namely, the exchange filed and gate voltage, the temperature gradient across the junction drives a pure spin current without accompanying the charge current. Another important characteristic of thermoelectric transport, thermally induced current in the nonlinear regime, is examined. It would be our main finding that with increasing thermal gradient applied to the junction the spin and charge thermovoltages decrease and even become zero for non zero temperature bias.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Enhanced Thermal Conductivity UO{sub 2}-BeO and UO{sub 2}-SiC Fuels Behavior

Commercial light-water reactors currently use UO{sub 2} as a nuclear fuel, which has demonstrated several desirable characteristics. However, UO{sub 2} has a low thermal conductivity that leads to the development of a large temperature gradient across the fuel pellet. This temperature gradient contributes to limits in the operational performance of the reactor due to effects that include thermal stresses causing pellet cladding interaction and the release of fission product gases as demonstrated. These high fuel temperatures can be decreased and reactor performance improved by developing an enhanced thermal conductivity nuclear fuel. A high thermal conductivity nuclear fuel would decrease fuel temperatures and facilitate a reduction in pellet cladding interaction through lessening thermal stresses that result in fuel cracking, relocation, and swelling as described. Additionally, fission gas release would be decreased allowing for higher fuel burn-up, and the safety of the reactor would be improved with a faster thermal response and less stored energy in the fuel pins. A ceramic-ceramic composite nuclear fuel has an increased effective thermal conductivity due to adding a second compatible and high thermal conductivity ceramic to UO{sub 2}. SiC and BeO are two materials that demonstrate compatibility with UO{sub 2} and have a high thermal conductivity. In summary, the enhanced thermal conductivity UO{sub 2}-BeO and UO{sub 2}-SiC fuel performance has been modelled in a light water reactor, and a more complete and detailed understanding was achieved for enhanced thermal conductivity UO{sub 2}-BeO and UO{sub 2}-SiC fuels. BeO and SiC have high melting point, low neutron absorption, low thermal expansion coefficient and chemical compatibility with current UO{sub 2} fuels which makes them a suitable material for thermal conductivity enhancement. In our modeling and simulation work, the enhanced thermal conductivity nuclear fuel showed the capability of decreasing the fuel temperatures, increasing the gap total conductance, reducing the fission gas release, decreasing the gap/plenum pressure, lessening oxygen redistribution, and facilitating a reduction in pellet cladding interaction through lessening thermal stresses that result in fuel cracking, relocation, and swelling. The safety of the reactor operation would be then improved. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Thermocapillary Motion Research

Fundamental microgravity research on interfacial surface tension driven motion by a linear temperature gradient was conducted. A vertical linear temperature gradient will be established within a test container filled with a host fluid. The thermal gradient will be positive in the upward vertical direction to avoid any free convective currents. With minimal disturbance, a single immisible fluid droplet will be introduced into the host fluid. As predicted by existing theory, the droplet will move in the direction of higher temperature due to tangential shear stresses created by surface tension variations along the periphery of the droplet.

Peterson, T. T.↗

The microstructure of MnBi/Bi eutectic alloys

Directionally solidified eutectic alloys of the system MnBi/Bi have been investigated with reference to the dependence of the fiber spacing on the growth rate and the interfacial temperature gradient. It is found that the fiber spacing varies as the inverse square root of the growth rate and does not depend on the temperature gradient in contrast to the claims that all faceted/non-faceted eutectics should show a temperature gradient influence.

Ravishankar, P. S.↗

Fabrication and Thermoelectric Characterization of Transition Metal Silicide-Based Composite Thermocouples

Metal silicide-based thermocouples were fabricated by screen printing thick films of the powder compositions onto alumina tapes followed by lamination and sintering processes. The legs of the embedded thermocouples were composed of composite compositions consisting of MoSi2, WSi2, ZrSi2, or TaSi2 with an additional 10 vol % Al2O3 to form a silicide–oxide composite. The structural and high-temperature thermoelectric properties of the composite thermocouples were examined using X-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy and a typical hot–cold junction measurement technique. MoSi2-Al2O3 and WSi2-Al2O3 composites exhibited higher intrinsic Seebeck coefficients (22.2–30.0 µV/K) at high-temperature gradients, which were calculated from the thermoelectric data of composite//Pt thermocouples. The composite thermocouples generated a thermoelectric voltage up to 16.0 mV at high-temperature gradients. The MoSi2-Al2O3//TaSi2-Al2O3 thermocouple displayed a better performance at high temperatures. The Seebeck coefficients of composite thermocouples were found to range between 20.9 and 73.0 µV/K at a temperature gradient of 1000 °C. There was a significant difference between the calculated and measured Seebeck coefficients of these thermocouples, which indicated the significant influence of secondary silicide phases (e.g., Mo5Si3, Ta5Si3) and possible local compositional changes on the overall thermoelectric response. The thermoelectric performance, high sensitivity, and cost efficiency of metal silicide–alumina ceramic composite thermocouples showed promise for high-temperature and harsh-environment sensing applications.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction Over Agulhas Extension Meanders

Many years of high-resolution measurements by a number of space-based sensors and from Lagrangian drifters became available recently and are used to examine the persistent atmospheric imprints of the semi-permanent meanders of the Agulhas Extension Current (AEC), where strong surface current and temperature gradients are found. The sea surface temperature (SST) measured by the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) and the chlorophyll concentration measured by the Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS) support the identification of the meanders and related ocean circulation by the drifters. The collocation of high and low magnitudes of equivalent neutral wind (ENW) measured by Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT), which is uniquely related to surface stress by definition, illustrates not only the stability dependence of turbulent mixing but also the unique stress measuring capability of the scatterometer. The observed rotation of ENW in opposition to the rotation of the surface current clearly demonstrates that the scatterometer measures stress rather than winds. The clear differences between the distributions of wind and stress and the possible inadequacy of turbulent parameterization affirm the need of surface stress vector measurements, which were not available before the scatterometers. The opposite sign of the stress vorticity to current vorticity implies that the atmosphere spins down the current rotation through momentum transport. Coincident high SST and ENW over the southern extension of the meander enhance evaporation and latent heat flux, which cools the ocean. The atmosphere is found to provide negative feedback to ocean current and temperature gradients. Distribution of ENW convergence implies ascending motion on the downwind side of local SST maxima and descending air on the upwind side and acceleration of surface wind stress over warm water (deceleration over cool water); the convection may escalate the contrast of ENW over warm and cool water set up by the dependence of turbulent mixing on stability; this relation exerts a positive feedback to the ENW-SST relation. The temperature sounding measured by the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder(AIRS) is consistent with the spatial coherence between the cloud-top temperature provided by the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) and SST. Thus ocean mesoscale SST anomalies associated with the persistent meanders may have a long-term effect well above the midlatitude atmospheric boundary layer, an observation not addressed in the past.

Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS)↗

Effect of radial pressure corrugations and profile shearing on turbulence in Fusion plasmas

Microturbulence can produce stationary fine-scale radial corrugations on the plasma density and temperature gradients in magnetic confinement fusion devices. We show that these structures play a significant role in regulating turbulent transport. We focus on the pedestal, studying electron-temperature-gradient (ETG) mode destabilisation and saturation in the presence of radial corrugations on the electron temperature gradient that could result from microtearing turbulence. A linear dispersion relation is derived for a shearless slab case, which indicates that in the presence of a sinusoidal background corrugation, each ETG mode splits into three distinct eigenvalues, with one being the original, one being more unstable and one being less unstable. However, despite the presence of more unstable linear modes, nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations of ETG with corrugated background electron temperature show a reduction of fluxes. Our investigation reveals a radial variation of the phase velocity of the modes that is proportional to the diamagnetic drift velocity and the local pressure gradient. The associated profile shearing breaks the turbulent eddies apart, reducing the transport level. This profile shearing resulting from fine-scale pressure corrugations could be a ubiquitous turbulence saturation mechanism not just in Fusion plasmas, but in Astrophysics and other areas.

FOS: Physical sciences↗

AO/NAO Response to Climate Change: Relative Importance of Low- and High-Latitude Temperature Changes - 2

Using a variety of GCM experiments with various versions of the GISS model, we investigate how different aspects of tropospheric climate changes affect the extratropical Arctic Oscillation (AO)/North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) circulation indices. The results show that low altitude changes in the extratropical latitudinal temperature gradient can have a strong impact on eddy forcing of the extratropical zonal wind, in the sense that when this latitudinal temperature gradient increases, it helps force a more negative AO/NAO phase. In addition, local conditions at high latitudes can stabilize/destabilize the atmosphere, inducing negative/positive phase changes. To the extent that there is not a large temperature change in the tropical upper troposphere (either through reduced tropical sensitivity at the surface, or limited transport of this change to high levels), the changes in the low level temperature gradient can provide the dominate influence on the extratropical circulation, so that planetary wave meridional refraction and eddy angular momentum transport changes become uncorrelated with potential vorticity transports. In particular, the climate change that produces the most positive NAO phase change would have substantial warming in the tropical upper troposphere over the Pacific Ocean, with high latitude warming in the North Atlantic. An increase in positive phase of these circulation indices is still more likely than not, but it will depend on the degree of tropical and high latitude temperature response and the transport of low level warming into the upper troposphere. These are aspects that currently differ among the models used for predicting the effects of global warning, contributing to the lack of consensus of future changes in the AO/NAO.

Rind, D.↗