Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “forward modeling”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 307 records · Page 17

SLR Station Recovery, Center of Frame Motion, and Time Varying Gravity

Weekly station position estimates, beginning with 1993, are derived from the ITRF2008-based SLR processing of up to four satellites: Lageos 1, Lageos2, Starlette, and Stella. Helmert parameters obtained from c omparison of weekly SLR station positions and the a-priori SLRF2008 station complement are evaluated for geocenter motion and scale. Two me thods for modeling time varying gravity are employed in the SLR satel lite POD processing, with GGM03S serving as the static gravity field. Both methods forward model atmosphere gravity derived from 6-hour ECM WF pressure data. The standard approach applies an annual 20x20 field estimated from 4 years of GRACE data, and the IERS2003 recommended linear rates for C20, C30, C40, C21, and S21. The alternate approach us es a new set of low-order/degree 4x4 coefficients estimated weekly fr om SLR & DORIS processing to 10 satellites from 1993-2012. This exper imental tvg4x4 model has been shown to improve the TOPEX, Jason-1, and Jason-2 altimeter satellite orbits,. In this paper we apply the more detailed time-variable gravity modeling to the SLR satellite POD pro cessing and subsequent reference frame analyses. For this study we will evaluate the orbit differences (periodic and secular) for the satel lites concerned, characterize the impact on the station coordinate solutions, and the impact on reference frame parameters (geocenter and s cale).

Zelensky, Nikita P.↗

The MERRA-2 Aerosol Reanalysis, 1980 Onward. Part II: Evaluation and Case Studies

The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) is NASA’s latest reanalysis for the satellite era (1980-present) using the Goddard Earth Observing System version 5 (GEOS-5) Earth system model. MERRA-2 provides several improvements over its predecessor (MERRA), including the inclusion of interactive aerosols for the entire period. In addition to assimilating bias-corrected Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on the Terra and Aqua satellites, it also includes the assimilation of bias-corrected AOD from Advanced Very High Resolution Spectroradiometer (AVHRR) instruments, Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) AOD over bright surfaces, and ground-based Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) AOD. This paper is the second of a pair that summarizes our efforts to assess the quality of the MERRA-2 aerosol assimilation. In this study, we first follow previous work performed with version 1 of the MERRA Aerosol Reanalysis (MERRAero) using independent observations. The evaluation of MERRA-2 Absorption Aerosol Optical Depth (AAOD) and ultra-violet Aerosol Index (UV-AI) against the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) observations show good agreement, particularly over dusty regions where our previous efforts improved model aerosol optical properties. Next, we find that aerosol assimilation system improves the aerosol vertical structure when compared to estimates from the same version of the model without AOD assimilation. A similar conclusion is found for MERRA-2 aerosol surface fine particulate matter (PM (sub 2.5)). However, deficiencies in the forward model such as missing emissions noted during the MERRAero study still explain the MERRA-2 PM(sub 2.5) bias relative to observations over the United States. Finally, to illustrate successes and weaknesses of the AOD assimilation, we focus on the performance of the MERRA-2 aerosol system during several major aerosol events: the Mount Pinatubo eruption in 1991, a Saharan dust event and transportation over the Atlantic Ocean during April 2010, the Rim Fire of summer 2013 in California, and an extreme pollution event over China in January 2013. We conclude with a summary that points to best practices for utilizing the MERRA-2 aerosol reanalysis in future studies.

V Buchard↗

Investigation of the effects of external current systems on the MAGSAT data utilizing grid cell modeling techniques

The feasibility of modeling magnetic fields due to certain electrical currents flowing in the Earth's ionosphere and magnetosphere was investigated. A method was devised to carry out forward modeling of the magnetic perturbations that arise from space currents. The procedure utilizes a linear current element representation of the distributed electrical currents. The finite thickness elements are combined into loops which are in turn combined into cells having their base in the ionosphere. In addition to the extensive field modeling, additional software was developed for the reduction and analysis of the MAGSAT data in terms of the external current effects. Direct comparisons between the models and the MAGSAT data are possible.

Klumpar, D. M.↗

Deep learning of interface structures from simulated 4D STEM data: cation intermixing vs. roughening ∗

Abstract Interface structures in complex oxides remain an active area of condensed matter physics research, largely enabled by recent advances in scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM). Yet the nature of the STEM contrast in which the structure is projected along the given direction precludes separation of possible structural models. Here, we utilize deep convolutional neural networks (DCNN) trained on simulated 4D STEM datasets to predict structural descriptors of interfaces. We focus on the widely studied interface between LaAlO 3 and SrTiO 3 , using dynamical diffraction theory and leveraging high performance computing to simulate thousands of possible 4D STEM datasets to train the DCNN to learn properties of the underlying structures on which the simulations are based. We test the DCNN on simulated data and show that it is possible (with >95% accuracy) to identify a physically rough from a chemically diffuse interface and create a DCNN regression model to predict step positions. We quantify the applicability of the model to different thicknesses and the transferability of the approach. The method shown here is general and can be applied for any inverse imaging problem where forward models are present.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Early arrival waveform inversion using data uncertainties and matching filters with application to near-surface seismic refraction data

We develop an early arrival waveform inversion (EAWI) technique for high-resolution near-surface velocity estimation by iteratively updating the P-wave velocity model to minimize the difference between the observed and calculated seismic refraction data. Traditional EAWI uses a least-squares penalty function and an acoustic forward-modeling engine. Conventional least-squares error is sensitive to data with low signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) and iterations of EAWI stop at a local-minimum data misfit or at the preassigned maximum number of iterations. These stopping criteria can result in overfitting the data. In addition, fitting the elastic field data with an acoustic modeling engine can introduce artifacts in velocity estimation, especially in land data with significant elastic effects. To overcome these challenges, we develop a robust EAWI (REAWI) method by (1) incorporating the data uncertainties into the penalty function and (2) mitigating the elastic effects using a matching filter workflow. The data uncertainties are estimated from waveform reciprocal errors. When full-waveform reciprocity is not available, trace interpolation is applied. The proposed method prevents closely fitting data with low S/N, avoids overall overfitting by stopping the iterations when a normalized chi-square ([Formula: see text]) waveform misfit of one is achieved, and is less affected by elastic effects. Numerical examples and application to near-surface refraction data at a groundwater contamination site suggest that the final REAWI models are more accurate than the corresponding EAWI models, at the same level of misfit. This is the first known application of a matching filter workflow to real land data. The final REAWI models satisfy an appropriate misfit between the real data and predicted elastic P-wave data, making this approach in this respect equivalent to elastic waveform inversion. We also develop a method to analyze model constraint by examining the energy of the wavefield Fréchet derivative thereby avoiding the influence of the data residuals in traditional Fréchet kernels.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Analysis of the Advantages and Limitations of Stationary Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer

New developments in infrared sensor technology have potentially made possible a new space-based system which can measure far-infrared radiation at lower costs (mass, power and expense). The Stationary Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer (SIFTS) proposed by NASA Langley Research Center, makes use of new detector array technology. A mathematical model which simulates resolution and spectral range relationships has been developed for analyzing the utility of such a radically new approach to spectroscopy. Calculations with this forward model emulate the effects of a detector array on the ability to retrieve accurate spectral features. Initial computations indicate significant attenuation at high wavenumbers.

Beecken, Brian P.↗

An Efficient Bayesian Approach to Learning Droplet Collision Kernels: Proof of Concept Using “Cloudy,” a New n -Moment Bulk Microphysics Scheme

The small-scale microphysical processes governing the formation of precipitation particles cannot be resolved explicitly by cloud resolving and climate models. Instead, they are represented by microphysics schemes that are based on a combination of theoretical knowledge, statistical assumptions, and fitting to data (“tuning”). Historically, tuning was done in an ad hoc fashion, leading to parameter choices that are not explainable or repeatable. Recent work has treated it as an inverse problem that can be solved by Bayesian inference. The posterior distribution of the parameters given the data—the solution of Bayesian inference—is found through computationally expensive sampling methods, which require over $\mathcal{O}$(10 5 ) evaluations of the forward model; this is prohibitive for many models. We present a proof of concept of Bayesian learning applied to a new bulk microphysics scheme named “Cloudy,” using the recently developed Calibrate-Emulate-Sample (CES) algorithm. Cloudy models collision-coalescence and collisional breakup of cloud droplets with an adjustable number of prognostic moments and with easily modifiable assumptions for the cloud droplet mass distribution and the collision kernel. The CES algorithm uses machine learning tools to accelerate Bayesian inference by reducing the number of forward evaluations needed to $\mathcal{O}$(10 2 ). It also exhibits a smoothing effect when forward evaluations are polluted by noise. In a suite of perfect-model experiments, we show that CES enables computationally efficient Bayesian inference of parameters in Cloudy from noisy observations of moments of the droplet mass distribution. In an additional imperfect-model experiment, a collision kernel parameter is successfully learned from output generated by a Lagrangian particle-based microphysics model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Global Soil Moisture Estimation from L-Band Satellite Data: The Impact of Radiative Transfer Modeling in Assimilation and Retrieval Systems

The SMOS and SMAP missions have collected a wealth of global L-band Brightness temperature (Tb) observations. The retrieval of surface Soil moisture estimates, and the estimation of other geophysical Variables, such as root-zone soil moisture and temperature, via data Assimilation into land surface models largely depends on accurate Radiative transfer modeling (RTM). This presentation will focus on various configuration aspects of the RTM (i) for the inversion of SMOS Tb to surface soil moisture, and (ii) for the forward modeling as part of a SMOS Tb data assimilation System to estimate a consistent set of geophysical land surface Variables, using the GEOS-5 Catchment Land Surface Model.

De Lannoy, Gabrielle↗

Vibrational Energy Harvesting Using a Cantilever Model

Vibrational energy harvesting (VEH) is a method of capturing incidental mechanical vibrational energy and converting it to electrical energy. This is enabled by two technologies: Electromagnetic induction via a cantilever or piezoelectric devices. When designing a VEH system, a fast forward model is desired for response determination and optimal parameter estimation. An ordinary different equation (ODE) system model is developed for the cantilever system based upon the derivations of [1] and [2], and compared with a full electromechanical COMSOL model.

42 ENGINEERING↗

TDCOSMO - XVII. New time delays in 22 lensed quasars from optical monitoring with the ESO-VST 2.6m and MPG 2.2m telescopes

We present new time delays, the main ingredient of time delay cosmography, for 22 lensed quasars resulting from high-cadence r-band monitoring on the 2.6 m ESO VLT Survey Telescope and Max-Planck-Gesellschaft 2.2 m telescope. Each lensed quasar was typically monitored for one to four seasons, often shared between the two telescopes to mitigate the interruptions forced by the COVID-19 pandemic. The sample of targets consists of 19 quadruply and 3 doubly imaged quasars, which received a total of 1918 hours of on-sky time split into 21 581 wide-field frames, each 320 seconds long. In a given field, the 5-σ depth of the combined exposures typically reaches the 27th magnitude, while that of single visits is 24.5 mag – similar to the expected depth of the upcoming Vera-Rubin LSST. The fluxes of the different lensed images of the targets were reliably de-blended, providing not only light curves with photometric precision down to the photon noise limit, but also high-resolution models of the targets whose features and astrometry were systematically confirmed in Hubble Space Telescope imaging. This was made possible thanks to a new photometric pipeline, lightcurver, and the forward modelling method STARRED. Finally, the time delays between pairs of curves and their uncertainties were estimated, taking into account the degeneracy due to microlensing, and for the first time the full covariance matrices of the delay pairs are provided. Of note, this survey, with 13 square degrees, has applications beyond that of time delays, such as the study of the structure function of the multiple high-redshift quasars present in the footprint at a new high in terms of both depth and frequency. The reduced images will be available through the European Southern Observatory Science Portal.Key words: methods: data analysis / surveys / distance scale

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

MnEdgeNet for accurate decomposition of mixed oxidation states for Mn XAS and EELS L2,3 edges without reference and calibration

Accurate decomposition of the mixed Mn oxidation states is highly important for characterizing the electronic structures, charge transfer and redox centers for electronic, and electrocatalytic and energy storage materials that contain Mn. Electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) and soft X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) measurements of the Mn L2,3 edges are widely used for this purpose. To date, although the measurements of the Mn L2,3 edges are straightforward given the sample is prepared properly, an accurate decomposition of the mix valence states of Mn remains non-trivial. For both EELS and XAS, 2+, 3+, and 4+ reference spectra need to be taken on the same instrument/beamline and preferably in the same experimental session because the instrumental resolution and the energy axis offset could vary from one session to another. To circumvent this hurdle, in this study, we adopted a deep learning approach and developed a calibration-free and reference-free method to decompose the oxidation state of Mn L2,3 edges for both EELS and XAS. A deep learning regression model is trained to accurately predict the composition of the mix valence state of Mn. To synthesize physics-informed and ground-truth labeled training datasets, we created a forward model that takes into account plural scattering, instrumentation broadening, noise, and energy axis offset. With that, we created a 1.2 million-spectrum database with 1-by-3 oxidation state composition ground truth vectors. The library includes a sufficient variety of data including both EELS and XAS spectra. By training on this large database, our convolutional neural network achieves 85% accuracy on the validation dataset. We tested the model and found it is robust against noise (down to PSNR of 10) and plural scattering (up to t/λ = 1). We further validated the model against spectral data that were not used in training. In particular, the model shows high accuracy and high sensitivity for the decomposition of Mn 3 O 4 , MnO, Mn 2 O 3 , and MnO 2 . The accurate decomposition of Mn 3 O 4 experimental data shows the model is quantitatively correct and can be deployed for real experimental data. Our model will not only be a valuable tool to researchers and material scientists but also can assist experienced electron microscopists and synchrotron scientists in the automated analysis of Mn L edge data.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DESI Strong Lens Foundry. I. HST Observations and Modeling with GIGA-Lens

We present the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Strong Lens Foundry. We discovered ∼3500 new strong gravitational lens candidates in the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys using residual neural networks (ResNet). We observed a subset (51) of our candidates using the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). Except for one ambiguous case, we have confirmed 50 of the 51 candidates to be strong lenses. We also briefly describe spectroscopic follow-up observations by DESI and Keck NIRES programs. From this very rich data set, a number of studies will be carried out, including evaluating the quality of the ResNet search candidates and lens modeling. In this paper, we present our initial effort in these directions. In particular, as a demonstration, we present the lens model for DESI-165.4754−06.0423, with imaging data from HST, and lens and source redshifts from DESI and Keck NIRES, respectively. In this effort, we have applied a fully forward-modeling Bayesian approach (GIGA-Lens), using multiple GPUs, to a strong lens with HST data, and achieved statistical convergence.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Stereoscopic Analysis of STEREO/SECCHI Data for CME Trajectory Determination

The Sun Earth Connection Coronal and Heliospheric Investigation (SECCHI) coronagraphs on the twin Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) spacecraft provide simultaneous views of the corona and coronal mass ejections from two view points. Here, we analyze simultaneous image pairs using the technique of tie-pointing and triangulation (T&T) to determine the three-dimensional trajectory of seven coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The bright leading edge of a CME seen in coronagraph images results from line-of-sight integration through the CME front; the two STEREO coronagraphs see different apparent leading edges, leading to a systematic error in its three-dimensional reconstruction. We analyze this systematic error using a simple geometric model of a CME front. We validate the technique and analysis by comparing T&T trajectory determinations for seven CMEs with trajectories determined by Thernisien et al. (2009) using a forward modeling technique not susceptible to this systematic effect.

CORONAGRAPHS↗

Geodetic Strain Analysis Tool

A geodetic software analysis tool enables the user to analyze 2D crustal strain from geodetic ground motion, and create models of crustal deformation using a graphical interface. Users can use any geodetic measurements of ground motion and derive the 2D crustal strain interactively. This software also provides a forward-modeling tool that calculates a geodetic velocity and strain field for a given fault model, and lets the user compare the modeled strain field with the strain field obtained from the user s data. Users may change parameters on-the-fly and obtain a real-time recalculation of the resulting strain field. Four data products are computed: maximum shear, dilatation, shear angle, and principal components. The current view and data dependencies are processed first. The remaining data products and views are then computed in a round-robin fashion to anticipate view changes. When an analysis or display parameter is changed, the affected data products and views are invalidated and progressively re-displayed as available. This software is designed to facilitate the derivation of the strain fields from the GPS and strain meter data that sample it to facilitate the understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of the strain field derivation from continuous GPS (CGPS) and other geodetic data from a variety of tectonic settings, to converge on the "best practices" strain derivation strategy for the Solid Earth Science ESDR System (SESES) project given the CGPS station distribution in the western U.S., and to provide SESES users with a scientific and educational tool to explore the strain field on their own with user-defined parameters.

Kedar, Sharon↗

Modeling Frequency–Independent Q Viscoacoustic Wave Propagation in Heterogeneous Media

Quantifying the attenuation of seismic waves propagating in the Earth interior is critical to study the subsurface structure. Previous studies have proposed fractional anelastic wave equations to model the frequency–independent Q seismic wave propagation. Such wave equations involve fractional derivatives that pose computational challenges for the numerical schemes in terms of accuracy and efficiency when dealing with heterogeneous Earth media. To tackle these challenges, here we derive a new viscoacoustic wave equation, where the power terms of the fractional Laplacian operators are spatially independent, thus accurate and efficient methods (e.g., the Fourier pseudospectral method) can be adopted. Our derivation enables the resultant equation to capture both amplitude and phase signatures of the anelastic wave propagation by matching the complex wave numbers for all the frequencies of interest. We verify the derivation by comparing the dispersion curves of both the attenuation factor and the phase velocity produced by the new wave equation with their theoretical values as well as the Pierre Shale in situ measurements. Following that, we use a synthetic attenuating gas chimney model to demonstrate the attenuation effects on seismic waveforms and then construct the Q–compensated reverse time migration to undo these effects for seismic image enhancement. Finally, we find that our forward modeling results can characterize the spatiotemporal attenuation effects revealed in the Frio–II CO2 injection time–lapse seismic monitoring data. Here, we expect this proposed equation to be useful to quantify the attenuation in seismic data to push the resolution limits of seismic imaging and inversion.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DATA-DRIVEN DISCOVERY OF DYNAMICS FROM TIME-RESOLVED COHERENT SCATTERING

This software implements a data-driven framework to uncover mechanistic models of dynamics directly from time-resolved coherent X-ray scattering measurements. It employs neural differential equations to parameterize unknown real-space dynamics and incorporates a computational scattering forward model to relate real-space predictions to reciprocal-space observations.

Zhou, Tao↗

Viscoelastic responses of a hard transition zone - Effects on postglacial uplifts and rotational signatures

A five-layer viscoelastic spherical model is used to calculate the transient displacements of postglacial rebound, the induced polar motions, and the temporal variations of the geopotential up to degree 8 of the zonal coefficients. Two models - one with two viscoelastic layers separated at 670 km, and the other with three layers in which a hard garnet layer lies between the upper and lower mantle - are compared. Forward modeling shows that it may be possible to discern the presence of a hard garnet layer with a viscosity of at least ten times greater than the upper mantle, on the basis of uplift data near the center of the former Laurentide ice-sheet and from polar wander and j2 data. Temporal variations of higher gravity harmonics, such as j6 and j8, can potentially place even tighter constraints on the rheological properties of the hard transition zone. A lower mantle viscosity between 2 and 4 x 10 to the 22nd Pa is generally preferred in models with a garnet layer which may be as large as 50 times more viscous than the upper mantle.

Spada, Giorgio↗

Resolution of Lava Tubes with Ground Penetrating Radar: The TubeX project

Remote sensing surveys of the Moon and Mars show evidence of lava tubes, which are potential safe havens for human crews and their equipment. Ground penetrating radar (GPR) can be used to map tubes because the void/rock interface at tube ceilings and floors strongly reflects radar pulses. We have tested the capacity of GPR to sense lava tube geometry at Lava Beds National Monument (LBNM) in California, USA. GPR and detailed LiDAR data are presented for two tubes: Skull Cave, with a few meters of overburden, diameter ~10-20 m, and a rubbly floor; and Valentine Cave, with similarly thin overburden, diameter ~1-3 meters, and a flatter smoother floor. On both caves GPR clearly resolves the ceiling and permits good estimates of the cave width as validated with LiDAR data. Where GPR fails, the primary cause is inferred to be strong out-of-plane effects due to complex 3D geometries. Recovery of the floor position requires migrating the GPR data with a 2D velocity model, as signal velocity is faster in void space. We find that floor position is recoverable in caves whose voids are taller than the radar wavelength (~3 m in this study). Forward modeling assuming planetary parameters suggests GPR should be similarly successful on the Moon or Mars.

S. Esmaeili↗