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At least 307 records · Page 17

Future Electric Power Industry and Grids—Now What Again is Our Destination?

Having a vision that others agree to support and work toward is highly desirable but hard to achieve. We seem to lack a common and shared understanding of the vision—or worse, multiple visions (vivid mental images or documented statements) with varying areas of focus and details: • some appear to be similar but have differing underlying goals and characteristics, or • some reflect differing viewpoints as to effects on various stakeholders. These desirable and undesirable situations apply to realizing visions for enterprise and industry, including the electricity sector. Multiple industry stakeholder groups have developed goals, industry vision statements, and characterizations of the future. The viewpoints are promoted, discussed, refined by their stakeholder group, and often published to promote broad understanding and to inform or influence others. The GridWise Architecture Council asked itself how well-aligned these characterizations of the future are. If these publications collectively set the overall direction for the industry, it is useful to identify their answers to questions such as, where is the electric industry headed, guided by what objectives, and with what role(s) for the customers, electric utilities, and other stakeholders? Are these goals, visions, and future states moving toward a common vision, do they provide value for the stakeholders, and are they likely to meet the objective stated? This paper addresses these questions via an assessment and characterization of a sampling of stakeholder groups’ publicly available vision and future state reports for the electricity industry. Identified electric power grid architectural topic areas needing further work are described, along with GridWise Architecture Council analysis and observation, potential collaborative work efforts, and suggested next steps.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Adjoint-Based Design of Rotors Using the Navier-Stokes Equations in a Noninertial Reference Frame

Optimization of rotorcraft flowfields using an adjoint method generally requires a time-dependent implementation of the equations. The current study examines an intermediate approach in which a subset of rotor flowfields are cast as steady problems in a noninertial reference frame. This technique permits the use of an existing steady-state adjoint formulation with minor modifications to perform sensitivity analyses. The formulation is valid for isolated rigid rotors in hover or where the freestream velocity is aligned with the axis of rotation. Discrete consistency of the implementation is demonstrated by using comparisons with a complex-variable technique, and a number of single- and multipoint optimizations for the rotorcraft figure of merit function are shown for varying blade collective angles. Design trends are shown to remain consistent as the grid is refined.

Nielsen, Eric J.↗

Grid Operator Analytics and Assessment Tools for Inverter- Based Resources Dominated Grid (GOAAT-IBR) Project Update

This presentation provides an update on the OPTIMA GOAAT project, with emphasis on the cloud-native data platform developed in-house to ingest, manage, and operationalize high-resolution power system data. Since our last NASPI presentation, accessible via OSTI ID #2671437, the project team advanced the design and deployment of a scalable architecture capable of handling both synchronized and non-synchronized streams, including PMU, point-on-wave (POW), COMTRADE, and SCADA data. These materials review the project status, recent progress, and key lessons learned. The core of the presentation examines the architecture and engineering of our cloud-native ingestion and data management platform. We then explain how pipelines were designed to collect, normalize, time-align, store, and serve heterogeneous data at scale. We will discuss design choices such as data models, streaming versus batch ingestion, storage tiers, and interoperability with analytics applications. Practical experiences with cloud-native technologies were shared during the event, including benefits, limitations, and integration challenges in a utility environment, along with methods used to improve performance, reduce latency, and optimize resource usage. The presentation also showcases user interface designs and visualization tools that convert raw measurements and analytics results into intuitive, actionable insights for operators and engineers. During the presentation examples were provided demonstrating how visualization, event views, and summarized analytics enhance situational awareness and support operational decision-making. These use cases illustrate how a well-designed data infrastructure can bridge the gap between high-volume measurements and practical grid operations.

Aminifar, Farrokh↗

Adjoint-Based Design of Rotors using the Navier-Stokes Equations in a Noninertial Reference Frame

Optimization of rotorcraft flowfields using an adjoint method generally requires a time-dependent implementation of the equations. The current study examines an intermediate approach in which a subset of rotor flowfields are cast as steady problems in a noninertial reference frame. This technique permits the use of an existing steady-state adjoint formulation with minor modifications to perform sensitivity analyses. The formulation is valid for isolated rigid rotors in hover or where the freestream velocity is aligned with the axis of rotation. Discrete consistency of the implementation is demonstrated using comparisons with a complex-variable technique, and a number of single- and multi-point optimizations for the rotorcraft figure of merit function are shown for varying blade collective angles. Design trends are shown to remain consistent as the grid is refined.

Nielsen, Eric J.↗

Africa Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) Capacity Building Utility-Scale Storage: BESS Valuation, Tariffs, and Remuneration [Slides]

Utility-scale Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) are key to enhancing grid reliability, integrating renewable energy, and providing operational flexibility. Designing effective valuation, remuneration, and tariff frameworks is essential to ensure both system benefits and financial viability for developers. This presentation outlines a structured methodology for evaluating BESS projects, covering policy and legal considerations, cost and revenue analysis, benchmarking, financial sensitivity, and risk assessment, while ensuring alignment with public interest. It also explores valuation of multiple storage services - bulk energy, ancillary services, and infrastructure support - and monetization strategies through capacity payments, energy tariffs, tolling, arbitrage, and non-wires alternative payments. Technical factors, including round-trip efficiency, degradation, and storage duration, are integrated into financial and operational modeling to quantify both system-wide and project-level benefits. Through case studies and simulation-based approaches, this framework provides regulators, utilities, and developers with practical guidance for tariff design, payment structures, and investment decisions, maximizing the economic and societal value of BESS deployment.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Electrolyzers in the System Advisor Model (SAM): A Techno-Economic Potential Study

A technoeconomic analysis of grid to low temperature electrolysis (Grid-LTE), photovoltaic to low temperature electrolysis (PV-LTE), concentrating solar power to high temperature electrolysis (CSP-HTSE) and a concentrating solar power with PV to high temperature electrolysis (CSP-PV-HTSE) centralized hydrogen production systems are analyzed to assess the economics of system and to provide a baseline for comparing these technologies against hydrogen production cost targets. A framework integrating the system advisor model (SAM) and US Department of Energy hydrogen production models (H2A) is developed to assess these systems. The hydrogen levelized cost given current and future assumptions for technology cost and performance is evaluated at optimal system configurations. The framework described in this report integrates SAM with H2A electrolyzer technologies and provides analysts a detailed technoeconomic method to analyze concentrating and photovoltaic solar technologies to produce energy that are directly coupled to LTE and HTSEs that use that energy to split water into hydrogen and oxygen. The baseline hydrogen levelized cost (HLCs) for the GRID-LTE, PV-LTE, CSP-HTSE, and CSP-PV-HTSE systems in Daggett, CA are 2.82, 3.86, 3.68, and 2.90 $\$$USD 2016/kg H2 and 2.50, 2.13, 2.84, 2.15 $\$$USD 2016/kg H2 in the 2020 and 2050 scenarios respectively. To achieve the $\$$2/kg H2 target in locations with excellent solar resources, cost parameters values aligned with aggressive R&D targets will need to be achieved for all the systems configurations. In Daggett, PV costs of $\$$0.68 /Wac or moderate ATB PV CAPEX projections result in HLCs of $\$$2 /kg H2. Similarly for PV-MSALT-HTSE systems, $\$$0.60 /Wac result in $\$$2/kg H2. For the MSALT-HTSE systems, better than aggressive 2050 ATB salt tower CAPEX projections would be needed to reach $\$$2/kg H2. Molten salt tower capital costs of $\$$2400/kW would enable $\$$2/kg H2 in 2050.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Sea Surface Height Anomalies of the Arctic Ocean from Icesat-2: A First Examination and Comparisons with Cryosat-2

Accurately resolving spatio-temporal variations in sea surface height across the polar oceans is key to improving our understanding of ocean circulation variability and change. Here, we examine the first two years (2018-2020) of Arctic Ocean sea surface height anomalies (SSHA) from the photon-counting laser altimeter onboard NASA’s ICE, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2). ICESat-2 SSHA estimates are compared to estimates from ESA’s CryoSat-2 mission, including semi-synchronous along-track measurements from the recent CRYO2ICE orbit alignment campaign. There are documented residual centimeter-scale range biases between the ICESat-2 beams (in release-003 data) and we opted for a single-beam approach in our comparisons. We find good agreement in the along-track estimates (spatial correlation coefficient >0.8 and mean differences <0.03 m) as well as in the gridded monthly SSHA estimates (temporal correlation coefficient of 0.76 and a mean difference of 0.01 m) from the two altimeters, suggesting ICESat-2 adds to the CryoSat-2 SSHA estimates.

ICESat-2↗

Fortalecimiento de la Electrificación Rural en Honduras: Una Evaluación Integrada de PV+BESS y Usos Productivos de la Electricidad en Gracias a Dios, Honduras [Empowering Rural Electrification in Honduras: An Integrated Assessment of PV/BESS and Productive Uses of Electricity in Gracias a Dios] (Spanish Translation)

Honduras faces significant challenges in its energy sector, particularly in rural areas where access to reliable and affordable electricity remains limited. The flagship rural electrification initiative for Honduras Secretary of Energy (SEN) is the Politica de Acceso Universal a la Electricidad (PAUEH - Universal Electricity Access Policy), a key solution for addressing this energy poverty is the deployment of more than 1700 distributed solar and hybrid mini-grid solutions. In late 2023 as a first step towards supporting SEN's electrification efforts, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) developed a literature review of SEN electrification policy documents and conducted a series of technical capacity-building workshops with SEN and other energy sector stakeholders in Honduras focused on using NREL's open-source REopt tool to conduct techno-economic assessments and develop least-cost optimizations for potential solar + storage mini-grid systems. Building on some initial capacity building on mini-grid modeling, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) worked with SEN to develop a detailed techno-economic assessment for electrifying two schools, a healthcare clinic, and a hospital in a hypothetical community within the department of Gracias a Dios. The analysis also evaluates the business case for cold storage productive use of energy (PUE) applications for the fisheries value chain and how the incorporation of these PUE loads potentially impacts both the viability of the PV+BESS solutions as well as local economic development. By assessing the potential for deployment of integrated PV/BESS systems to both support critical community services like education and healthcare, as well as potential for downstream enterprise and economic development, this analysis represents a first step that can help to inform specific strategies for development of pilot PV+BESS projects aligned with national priorities and sector level planning under PAUEH. This is the Spanish translation of NREL/TP-7A40-90865.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Characterizing peak electricity demand for U.S. households: an assessment of end-use loads and demand factors

Understanding household peak electricity demand is critical to evaluate the technical need for electrical infrastructure upgrades. This study characterizes peak loads for existing and new equipment using metered data from a convenience sample of 11,940 U.S. dwellings from four sources, including 911 from two sources with end-use metering. After standardized data cleaning and labeling, we derived descriptive statistics for key metrics, such as maximum demand and demand factors, and developed predictive models relating 60- to 15-min demand for the National Electrical Code (NEC). Mean 15-min maximum demand was 9.7 kW (median 9.0 kW; IQR 7.0–11.5 kW, 95% CI 9.6–9.8 kW), indicating spare capacity in 98% of homes with hypothetical 100 A panels. Maximum demand increased with floor area and number of high-demand loads. Dwelling maximum demand was driven by higher-power, longer-duration heating appliances and vehicle charging, while most user-operated appliances contributed little. Demand factors are used to account for how most devices contribute less than their rated power to maximum demand. Existing load mean demand factors (28%; median 10%; IQR 0–58%; CI 28–29%) were higher than those for new loads (21%; median 7%; IQR 0–35%; CI 20–21%), because new loads changed the timing and magnitude of maximum demand. New high-demand loads had higher than average demand factors (40–60%). Whole dwelling demand factors support the NEC's 40% assumption, but they challenge its conservative 100% treatment of new HVAC. We propose a data-driven 50% demand factor for new equipment, which would align with metered data, improve affordability, and modernize electrical codes.

Appliances↗

On the metal/ZnO contacts in a sliding-bending piezoelectric nanogenerator

We carry out molecular dynamics (MD) simulations and analyze the piezoelectric and mechanical properties of a ZnO nanowire (NW) under mechanical bending in a sliding-bending piezoelectric nanogenerator. The computational model contains a vertically aligned ZnO NW along the [0001] direction and a Pt (111) metal tip. MD simulations are performed to mimic the interfacial sliding dynamics of an atomic force microscope (AFM) metal tip sliding over a ZnO NW. Ionic charges for Zn and O in the ZnO NW are used to calculate the piezoelectric potential distributions in a grid-point matrix. Simulation results reveal the very detailed distributions of the piezoelectric potential within the ZnO NW, which are different from the continuum field theory predictions. The very similar variations of the lateral friction and contact forces versus the sliding distance of the AFM metal tip over the ZnO NW during repeated forward-backward sliding suggest that the metal/ZnO contact is robust. Moreover, the substantial contact area at the metal/ZnO interface suggests that a Schottky contact should be established at the interface, which needs further investigations.

Chemistry↗

Utah FORGE: 2024 Discrete Fracture Network Model Data

The Utah FORGE 2024 Discrete Fracture Network (DFN) Model dataset provides a set of files representing discrete fracture network modeling for the FORGE site near Milford, Utah. The dataset includes four distinct DFN model file sets, each corresponding to different time frames and modeling approaches in 2024. These models characterize both natural and induced fractures in the geothermal reservoir, which consists of crystalline granitic and metamorphic rock approximately 8,000 feet below the ground surface. The dataset includes a reference DFN model from February 2024 that incorporates planar fractures and well trajectories, as well as upscaled permeability, porosity, compressibility, and storage values on specified grids. Additionally, there are models based on new microseismic (MEQ) data from May and July 2024, including fracture planes fitted to the latest MEQ catalog datasets, tensile fractures from hydraulic stimulation, and an alternative connected DFN for modeling purposes. Coordinate data is provided in both global and local frames, with detailed instructions on the transformations used to align with principal stress orientations. The dataset also includes notes and calculation files for estimating fracture sizes and differences between various fracture sets. There are subfolders for Global Coordinates and Local Coordinates. To move from the global to the local coordinate frame, fractures and wells were a) rotated 20 degrees counterclockwise looking down about the global point (335376.400482041, 4263189.99998761, 250.093546450195) to better align with the principal stresses; and b) translated by (-335408.68, -4263010.9, 1150). Upscaled permeability values using the _XYZ suffix show directions with respect to the global XYZ coordinate frame, while those using the _IJK suffix are aligned with local coordinate frame.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Instabilities orginating from suction holes used for Laminar Flow Control (LFC)

A small-scale wind tunnel previously used for turbulent boundary layer studies has been modified for experiments in laminar flow control. The facility incorporates suction through interchangeable porous test surfaces which are used to stabilize the boundary layer and delay transition to turbulent flow. The thin porous test surfaces are supported by a baffled plenum chamber box which also acts to gather the flow through the surface into tubes which are routed to a high pressure fan. An elliptic leading edge is attached to the assembly to establish a new layer on the test plate. A slot is used to remove the test section flow below the leading edge. The test section was lengthened and fitted with a new ceiling. Substantial modifications were also made to the 3D probe traverse. Detailed studies have been made using isolated holes to explore the underlying instability mechanisms. The suction is perturbed harmonically and data are averaged on the basis of the phase of the disturbance. Conditions corresponding to strong suction and without suction have been studied. In both cases, 3D contour surfaces in the vicinity of the hole show highly three-dimensional T-S waves that fan out away from the hole with streamwise distance. With suction, the perturbations on the centerline are much stronger and decay less rapidly, while the far field is similar to the case without suction. Downstream the contour surfaces of the bow-shaped TS waves develop spanwise irregularities which eventually form into clumps. The contours remain smooth when suction is not applied. Even without suction, the harmonic point source is challenging for CFD; e.g. DNS has been used for streamwise growth. With suction, grid resources are consumed by the hole and this makes DNS even more expensive. Limited DNS results so far indicate that the vortices which emanate from suction holes appear to be stable. The spanwise clumping observed in the experiment is evidence of a secondary instability that could be associated with suction vortices. A typical porous surface for LFC consists of 0.002 inch diameter holes with 0.020 inch grid spacing L, which is too small to resolve disturbances. A 20:1 scale porous test surface has been machined for improved spatial resolution while the L/d is still representative of flight conditions. Designers of porous surfaces use Goldsmith's criterion to minimize crossstream interaction. However nothing is known about the streamwise interactions. Results using two holes, aligned but displaced in the streamwise direction, indicate that partial TS wave cancellation is possible, depending on the hole spacing and disturbance frequency. Using DNS for streamwise interaction studies will be prohibitively expensive if linear superposition cannot be used for the multiple holes.

Watmuff, Jonathan H.↗

Simulation of QUENCH-15 and Preliminary Pre-Test Predictions for QUENCH-19

Iron Chromium Aluminum alloys (FeCrAl) have been developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory as an advanced fuel cladding for light water reactors (LWR). In contrast to zirconium-based alloys employed today, FeCrAl has slower oxidation kinetics and higher strength. A test (QUENCH-19) at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology’s QUENCH facility is planned to test and demonstrate the performance of FeCrAl cladding under postulated accident conditions. This test will replicate the previous QUENCH-15 test but will use FeCrAl instead of zirconium-based materials. During these tests, a small bundle of fuel rod simulators is electrically heated in a steam and argon environment. The temperature history, oxidation thickness, and in-situ hydrogen generation are the primary measurements of interest.The CORA/BWR code was previously developed and utilized in the 1980’s and 1990’s to simulate BWR bundle degradation during the CORA test series. A modified version of the CORA/BWR code, named CORA/BWR-QUENCH, has been developed to model the QUENCH test facility. The CORA/BWR-QUENCH code was used to model the QUENCH-15 test which used zirconium-based materials. The code predictions and test data were found to be in good agreement. The code was then used to model the planned QUENCH-19 test utilizing FeCrAl cladding, shroud, and spacer grids. The simulation predicts the peak cladding temperature to be 1620 K (~1347°C) for QUENCH-19 which is significantly lower than that during QUENCH-15 with the zirconium-based alloy. The predicted hydrogen generation is also significantly lower for the FeCrAl clad QUENCH-19 as compared to QUENCH-15: ~1.7 g versus ~48.8 g. These results align with expectations given the much slower oxidation kinetics of FeCrAl alloys.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Analysis of rocket beacon transmissions for computerized reconstruction of ionospheric densities

Three methods are described to obtain ionospheric electron densities from transionospheric, rocket-beacon TEC data. First, when the line-of-sight from a ground receiver to the rocket beacon is tangent to the flight trajectory, the electron concentration can be obtained by differentiating the TEC with respect to the distance to the rocket. A similar method may be used to obtain the electron-density profile if the layer is horizontally stratified. Second, TEC data obtained during chemical release experiments may be interpreted with the aid of physical models of the disturbed ionosphere to yield spatial maps of the modified regions. Third, computerized tomography (CT) can be used to analyze TEC data obtained along a chain of ground-based receivers aligned along the plane of the rocket trajectory. CT analysis of TEC data is used to reconstruct a 2D image of a simulated equatorial plume. TEC data is computed for a linear chain of nine receivers with adjacent spacings of either 100 or 200 km. The simulation data are analyzed to provide an F region reconstruction on a grid with 15 x 15 km pixels. Ionospheric rocket tomography may also be applied to rocket-assisted measurements of amplitude and phase scintillations and airglow intensities.

Bernhardt, P. A.↗

Clear Sky Toolkit: Decision Support User Guide

The Clear Sky Decision Support Template is a Microsoft Excel-based resource that enables users to screen and prioritize critical facilities for the addition of solar + storage. The Decision Support Template consolidates and streamlines the most relevant resources from the emergency management discipline, the electric utility sector, and national energy research institutions to assist in further site analysis and decision-making. The Decision Support Template is intended for use by local government and private sector decision-makers who aim to mitigate the effects of power outages on critical infrastructure, understand the potential for deploying photovoltaic (PV) and storage solutions on critical facilities, and align emergency management planning processes and utility needs with community resilience objectives. The Decision Support Template is divided into five modules that provide a structured, step-by-step approach users can follow and apply to unique circumstances. This process guides a more thorough and accurate assessment of a site's potential to accommodate a solar + storage system, provide grid benefits to utilities, and support community resilience and disaster mitigation for the broader region. After identifying potentially viable and preferred sites for solar + storage using the Decision Support Template, users should conduct a more detailed evaluation and consultation with a solar professional.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Zemax Modeling of a Self-aligned Focusing Schlieren System with Simulated Compressible Flow

A self-aligned focusing schlieren system is simulated in the ANSYS Zemax OpticStudio software environment. The model uses a custom scatter-defining dynamic link library on the retroreflective background in order to scatter rays in the direction of the incident ray rather than the specular ray. Simulated compressible flow refractive index fields are imported into Zemax by use of the grid gradient object and a workaround to the maximum point limit is introduced. The Ronchi ruling is built as a high resolution bitmap image in MATLAB and set in Zemax as a slide object allowing the bitmap image to either transmit or terminate rays at each line pair. The Zemax simulations are compared to computational numerical schlieren and experimental conventional, path-integrated schlieren results from a hypersonic stagnation point injection flow configuration and an experimental image of a shock wave from a laser-induced breakdown. In the stagnation point injection simulations, the Zemax schlieren images capture complex flow features such as the Mach disk, shear layers, contact surface, and bow shock well, but contains long, curved features (striations) between the model and the bow shock that are not present in the synthetic schlieren image from the CFD or the experimental image. The image from Zemax of the spark-induced shock wave captures the shape and curvature of the shock but appears blurry due to grid discretization in the computational data.

Nicholas A Mejia↗

Image Registration: A Necessary Evil

Registration of test and reference images is a key component of nearly all PSP data reduction techniques. This is done to ensure that a test image pixel viewing a particular point on the model is ratioed by the reference image pixel which views the same point. Typically registration is needed to account for model motion due to differing airloads when the wind-off and wind-on images are taken. Registration is also necessary when two cameras are used for simultaneous acquisition of data from a dual-frequency paint. This presentation will discuss the advantages and disadvantages of several different image registration techniques. In order to do so, it is necessary to propose both an accuracy requirement for image registration and a means for measuring the accuracy of a particular technique. High contrast regions in the unregistered images are most sensitive to registration errors, and it is proposed that these regions be used to establish the error limits for registration. Once this is done, the actual registration error can be determined by locating corresponding points on the test and reference images, and determining how well a particular registration technique matches them. An example of this procedure is shown for three transforms used to register images of a semispan model. Thirty control points were located on the model. A subset of the points were used to determine the coefficients of each registration transform, and the error with which each transform aligned the remaining points was determined. The results indicate the general superiority of a third-order polynomial over other candidate transforms, as well as showing how registration accuracy varies with number of control points. Finally, it is proposed that image registration may eventually be done away with completely. As more accurate image resection techniques and more detailed model surface grids become available, it will be possible to map raw image data onto the model surface accurately. Intensity ratio data can then be obtained by a "model surface ratio," rather than an image ratio. The problems and advantages of this technique will be discussed.

Bell, James↗

Discovery of a New Cassini-Size Basin on Mars from MOLA Topographic Data

MOLA profile data collected during the Science Phasing Operations have revealed a previously unknown, 450 km wide, 2 km deep basin on Mars centered at 30N, 312W near the Phison Rupes. This structure, as large as and somewhat deeper than the very obvious Cassini impact basin located 1000 km to the SW, is not apparent in the existing good quality Viking imagery. Gridded MOLA data show the basin as a closed depression, but elevation contours show only weak correlation with what little structure exists in the area and with mapped geologic units. From analysis of slope breaks readily visible in two MOLA profiles we suggest this is at least a three-ring basin. Portions of rings from concentric fits to slope breaks align with some of the linear ridge-like structures of the Phison Rupes, and outline a region of lower crater density and smoother inter-crater plains. The discovery of such a pronounced topographic depression which lacks obvious visible structure suggests more such previously unknown features may exist on Mars, and that MOLA data may be useful in finding them.

Frey, H.↗