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At least 307 records · Page 17

Ambient Ion Trapping and Separations for High Throughput Structurally Selective Material Deposition

While ion mobility coupled to mass spectrometry (IMS/MS) has been increasingly adapted to biological analysis, the structural and molecular specificity offered by IMS/MS has untapped potential for creating novel materials (for energy, catalysis, biomolecular switches etc.) with rationally tailored properties by precisely controlling the chemical structure and composition of these materials. While electrochemical and catalytic properties of the bulk material are understood by mass-selective ion-soft-landing, different structures of one molecule can exhibit distinct properties from the bulk. Many biological phenomenon occur at interfaces and are highly structurally specific. IMS/MS offers means to separate molecules in a sample (which is first ionized and released to gas phase from the condensed phase) based on mass and structure. Species thus separated can potentially be deposited onto surfaces with molecular and structural specificity, to perform fundamental investigations for understanding critical interfacial phenomenon. Key performance metrics for IMS/MS analysis are resolution of separations and sensitivity. Recently developed Structures for Lossless Ion Manipulations (SLIM)4 enabled unprecedented resolution in IMS separations. In addition, high sensitivity was enabled in SLIM due to lossless confinement of ions using radio frequency fields. Thus, SLIM enabled extremely long path length separations (up to 0.1 km thus far) providing efficient separation of molecular ions never before achieved (e.g. isotopologues, D&L amino acids). While SLIM has unprecedented analytical separations power/utility, the use of SLIM platform for depositing mobility and mass selected molecular ions has two specific technological challenges: (a) Pulsed nature of IMS separations and their low duty cycle and (b) the need for a low vacuum of ~4 torr for lossless ion confinement. These limitations lead to long deposition times due to loss of ions generated from the sample. Enabling ion confinement at atmospheric pressure will be path-breaking contribution to the fundamental understanding of ion manipulations and separations and will also enable novel science currently precluded due to the inability of the present technologies to confine ions under ambient conditions. Traditionally used radio frequency fields are ineffective in confining ions at high pressures due to ion/neutral collisions. To address these, we propose to (a) develop methods for confining and manipulating ions for lossless IMS separations at atmospheric pressure enabling high sensitivity and throughput and (b) use the high specificity of IMS/MS and high throughput from ambient ion confinement to perform mobility and mass selective ion deposition at atmospheric pressure. Our goal is to enable the study of the fundamental properties of energy/catalysis materials and biomolecules. This project paves the way for high-throughput, mass and structure selective material deposition for highly specific surface creation/functionalization (discussed in Section 2 of the report). Further, the developments reported continue to push the boundaries of this process to ambient conditions (discussed in Section 3 of the report). We conclude with a list of specific intellectual property and publications which have been the outcome of this funded project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Photometric Objects Around Cosmic Webs (PAC) Delineated in a Spectroscopic Survey. IV. High-precision Constraints on the Evolution of the Stellar–Halo Mass Relation at Redshift z < 0.7

Taking advantage of the Photometric objects Around Cosmic webs method developed in Paper I, we measure the excess surface density $\overline{n}$ 2 w p of the photometric objects around spectroscopic objects down to stellar masses 10 8.0 M ⊙ , 10 9.2 M ⊙ , and 10 9.8 M ⊙ in the redshift ranges of z s < 0.2, 0.2 < z s < 0.4, and 0.5 < z s < 0.7, respectively, using data from the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys and spectroscopic samples from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (i.e., the Main, LOWZ, and CMASS samples). We model the measured in an N-body simulation, using the abundance matching method, and we constrain the stellar–halo mass relations (SHMRs) in the three redshift ranges to percent levels. With the accurate modeling, we demonstrate that the stellar mass scatter for a given halo mass is nearly a constant, and that the empirical form of Behroozi et al. describes the SHMR better than the double-power-law form at low mass. Our SHMR accurately captures the downsizing of massive galaxies from z s = 0.7, while it also indicates that small galaxies are still growing faster than their host halos. The galaxy stellar mass functions (GSMFs) from our modeling are in perfect agreement with the model-independent measurements in Paper III, although the current work extends the GSMFs to a much smaller stellar mass. Based on the GSMFs and the SHMRs, we derive the stellar mass completeness and halo occupation distributions for the LOWZ and CMASS samples, which are useful for correctly interpreting their cosmological measurements, such as galaxy–galaxy lensing and redshift space distortion.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Technical Specification Surveillance Interval Extension Using Self-Diagnostics

As part of the Light Water Reactor Sustainability program, an ongoing research effort is being conducted on technical specifications surveillance interval extension of digital equipment in nuclear power plants. The research team is led by Idaho National Laboratory and includes Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Technology Resources, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. This research focuses on developing methods for applying the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC)–approved guidance to implement a licensee-controlled, risk-informed surveillance frequency change program in digital instrumentation and control (I&C) systems that include self-diagnostics and online monitoring (OLM) capabilities. Although approved methods exist for extending technical specifications (TS) surveillance test intervals (STIs) for general equipment, including analog I&C equipment, gaps remain in technology and guidance on crediting newer digital equipment’s internal self-diagnostics and OLM characteristics. Previous research described a general methodology for crediting internal self-diagnostics for extending surveillance test intervals. The methodology used self-diagnostics to detect—and credited recovery from—failure. Self-diagnostics were also applied for performance monitoring during the extended surveillance interval. This report discusses the status of recent activities to evaluate the previously developed methodology using a pilot study. Although both a utility partner for a pilot study and a specific digital asset were identified in FY2020, delays in obtaining proprietary information resulted in a limited ability to fully evaluate the methodology, and further interactions were complicated by the COVID pandemic. Therefore, at that time, the use of public-domain information—along with current processes for surveillance interval extension through a surveillance frequency control program—identified the need to fully assess diagnostic coverage as part of the pilot study. Furthermore, self-diagnostics were also identified as a potential option to replace the drift analyses conducted as part of current STI extension procedures. In FY2022, the project was reconstituted with the industry partner, and information and data were made available by the industry partner to the research team for review. The shared information included failure event descriptions and data for a digital I&C system since its implementation, as well as recent STI extension interval reports developed by the utility partner on that digital I&C system. This report presents an evaluation of this information and data and describes an application of the proposed methodology cited above. The methodology seeks to take advantage of the self-diagnostics and OLM capabilities to reduce risk or reduce the level of qualitative monitoring assessment needed to perform a risk-informed STI extension using existing NRC approved guidance or both. Addressing these issues of STI extension by crediting self-diagnostics is likely to result in benefits for current and future nuclear power plant (NPP) operations, including lowering the barriers to adoption of digital I&C systems and increasing cost savings by deferring or eliminating unneeded preventive maintenance (tasks or checks or activities). Specifically, self-diagnostic and OLM capabilities of newer digital equipment being installed in non-safety and safety applications are designed to detect failures, provide early warning of potential failures, and notify plant operators to take appropriate action to reduce out of service (OOS) time thus protecting safety margins. Moreover, the equipment is expected to provide information that time-related operational degradation is identified early to ensure timely and planned corrective actions instead of a reactive and unplanned approach ahead of an extended-surveillance interval.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Pore-scale simulation of drying in porous media using a hybrid lattice Boltzmann: pore network model

In this work, a hybrid method coupling a pseudo-potential lattice Boltzmann model (LBM) and a pore network model (PNM) to simulate drying in porous media is proposed. Based on the watershed method, the porous medium is firstly decomposed into pore regions. According to the liquid–vapor phase distribution at a given time, the pore regions are further divided into four pore types, namely two-phase pores where a liquid–vapor interface exists, buffer pores next to the two-phase pores, single-liquid and single-vapor phase pores. The pseudo-potential LBM is used in the two-phase and buffer pores to simulate liquid drying and track the movement of the interfaces, while the single-phase PNM simulations are conducted in the buffer and single-phase pores to simulate vapor or liquid flow. LBM and PNM are coupled in the buffer pores through exchange of boundary information. The hybrid method is applied to simulate liquid drying in a porous medium. The whole-domain LBM simulation is considered as the reference solution to validate the hybrid method. Liquid saturation variation during the drying process and detailed phase and pressure distributions obtained by the two methods match quite well, demonstrating the accuracy of the hybrid method. For the specific case studied, the hybrid method saves more than 60% computational time compared to the whole-domain LBM simulation. In addition, the speedup of the hybrid method becomes more significant for a larger computational domain. In summary, the hybrid method developed in this work combines the accuracy of LBM and the efficiency of PNM to simulate drying in porous media at pore scale and can lead to significant reduction of computation time, thus allowing the pore-scale consideration of drying in larger porous systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

International Meeting on Fuel Cell and Electrolyzer Quality Control: Summary Report

Quality control (QC) for both polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell and electrolysis membrane electrode assembly (MEA) materials is a key challenge for scale-up and cost reduction. Developing methods for detecting defects, as well as measuring critical material properties and understanding the impact of as-manufactured variations in these materials on cell performance and lifetime, are critical barriers. To help address these needs, the National Research Council Canada (NRC), Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems (ISE), and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) have organized and facilitated a series of workshops on the topic, bringing together industry, academia, and research institutions from North America and Europe. Prior workshops in Canada and Germany have focused on the status of quality tool capabilities and identification of needed developments for fuel cells. These meetings have garnered an excellent response and follow-on attendance, with over 100 unique attendees.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Imaging the electronic and magnetic structure of topological-superconductor proximity systems (Final Report)

The primary goals of the projects supported by this grant involved developing methods to detect and control electronic states that can aid in the construction of quantum-information devices, including quantum computers. Two types of materials are needed to create these electronic states: superconductors and topological insulators. The interplay of the quantum mechanics of these materials can give rise to elusive states known as Majorana fermions. Majorana Fermions have incredible potential for quantum technology; they can in principle encode quantum information non-locally, and can thus form the basis of especially robust qubits – the basic building blocks of quantum computers. A centerpiece goal of this work was to develop a Majorana detection tool called a Scanning Majorana Microscope. This tool was successfully developed.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Risk-Informed Analysis for Enhanced Resilient Nuclear Power Plant with Initiatives including ATF, FLEX, and Advanced Battery Technology

This report documents the activities performed by the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) during fiscal year (FY) 2021 for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program, Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway, Enhanced Resilient Plant (ERP) Systems research. The purpose of the RISA Pathway research and development is to support plant owner-operator decisions with the aim to improve the economics, reliability, and maintain the high levels of safety of current nuclear power plants over periods of extended plant operations. The concept of ERP refers to the combinations of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF), optimal use of diverse and flexible coping strategy (FLEX), enhancements to plant components and systems, the incorporation of augmented or new passive cooling systems, the advanced battery technology with extended capacity, as well as improved fuel cycle efficiency. The objective of the ERP research effort is to use the RISA methods and toolkit in industry applications, including methods development and early demonstration of technologies, in order to enhance existing reactors? safety features and to substantially reduce operating costs through risk-informed approaches to plant design modifications to the plant and their characterization. The ERP R&D efforts in FY 2021 are focused on three industry initiatives, including accident-tolerant fuel (ATF), optimal use of diverse and flexible coping strategy (FLEX), and advanced battery technology with extended capacity.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Respiration Signal Pattern Analysis for Doppler Radar Sensor with Passive Node and Its Application in Occupancy Sensing of a Stationary Subject

Doppler radar node occupancy sensors are promising for applications in smart buildings due to their simple circuits and price advantage compared to quadrature radar sensors. However, single-channel sensitivity limitations may result in low sensitivity and misinterpreted motion rates if the detected subject is at or close to “null” points. We designed and tested a novel method to eliminate such limits, demonstrating that passive nodes can be used to detect a sedentary person regardless of position. This method is based on characteristics of chest motion due to respiration, found via both simulations and experiments based on a sinusoidal model and a more realistic model of cardiorespiratory motion. In addition, respiratory rate variability is considered to distinguish a true human presence from a mechanical target. Sensor node data were collected simultaneously with an infrared camera system, which provided a respiration signal reference, to test the algorithm with 19 human subjects and a mechanical target. The results indicate that a human presence was detected with 100% accuracy and successfully differentiated from a mechanical target in a controlled environment. The developed method can greatly improve the occupancy detection accuracy of single-channel radar-based occupancy sensors and facilitate their adoption in smart building applications.

Song, Chenyan↗

High Performance (R-10/inch) Clay-Cellulose-Silica Nanopore Insulation Board For New and Retrofit Buildings (Final Scientific Report)

The objective of Liatris’s 3-year DOE BENEFIT project was to develop and validate a high-performance, lightweight, aerogel-based insulation board of ≥R-10/inch at a cost of ≤$\$$1.50 per board foot using non-flammable inorganic nanocomposites. We have summarized each yearly goal below: Year 1 – Ambient dried inorganic/organic nanocomposite, R-6/inch Year 2 – Processing efficiency and cost down, R-8/inch at $\$$2.0/board-ft Year 3 – Scale up to continuous, pilot production of R-10 at ≤ $\$$1.50/board-ft Over the course of the project period, Liatris has successfully met or exceeded all of the goals outlined above. The project scope over 3 years was extensive, covering method development of ambient dried silica aerogels in Budget Period 1, process formulation and R-value improvement in Budget Period 2, and composite scale up with corporate partners in Budget Period 3. Over the course of the project Liatris has been able to progressively improve the thermal resistance properties from about R-6/in to > R-11/in, 2-3X the performance of conventional insulation products.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Chemoselective, osmium-free, dihydroxylation/oxidative cleavage of heteroaryl isoprenes by a contemporary Malaprade reaction

The methyl ketone is a central synthetic building block for the construction of advanced heteroaryl scaffolds and systems. Reactions, including oxidative cyclization strategies, are often predicated on efficient access to this ubiquitous moiety. In the context of arenes, standard approaches leveraging Markovnikov hydration/oxidation or oxidative cleavage of the C–C π bond often afford satisfactory performance. However, when the substrate contains an electron-deficient heteroaryl core, the traditional Malaprade reaction, and related oxidative-cleavage strategies, frequently result in diminished performance over carbon-based arenes. In this work we present the development and application of an oxidative cleavage reaction of various pyridinyl isoprenes towards accessing the downstream methyl ketone for utilization in advanced cyclizations for the preparation of soft-N-donor complexant scaffolds. Further, this efficient protocol parallels the principles of Green chemistry by exchanging KMnO 4 for the toxic OsO 4 and offers the end-user an efficient, more environmentally friendly option for accessing heteroaryl methyl ketones in one hour of reaction time using potassium permanganate and sodium paraperiodate as a synergistically potent oxidative cleavage system. The wide substrate scope defined access to simple, as well as advanced heteroaryl methyl ketones. Method development, optimization, substrate scope, preliminary mechanistic observations, and a scale up reaction are delineated herein.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Tightest Mixed-Integer Programming Formulations for Quadratic SCUC Optimization

In this project, we developed new, tighter Mixed-Integer Programming (MIP) formulations for the combined Alternating Current (AC) Security-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC) and Security-Constrained Optimal Power Flow (SCOPF). The work addresses a critical challenge in power system operations: efficiently determining which generation units to commit and how to optimally dispatch them while maintaining network reliability constraints for both normal and contingency scenarios. Our efforts: 1. Advance the Understanding of SCUC/SCOPF Modeling: By introducing tighter MIP formulations and leveraging cutting-edge optimization tools (Julia/JuMP, PowerModels.jl), this project has pushed forward the state of the art in efficient power systems scheduling. 2. Enhance Technical and Economic Feasibility: The methods developed provide more accurate and potentially faster solutions to large-scale, realistic scheduling and dispatch problems in electric power systems, which can translate into improved reliability and potentially lower costs for grid operations. 3. Benefit to the Public: Greater efficiency in power system operations leads to cost savings for utilities and end-users. Improved reliability and integration of advanced modeling approaches can facilitate the adoption of clean energy resources and better accommodate uncertainties in renewable generation. Because this technology could impact bulk power markets and reliability, these innovations have far-reaching public benefits in terms of cost savings, reliability, and sustainability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Accelerating actinium-225 purification by high-pressure ion chromatography

Actinium-225 (t1/2 = 9.92 days) is an important radioisotope for targeted alpha therapy applications. The limited supply obtained through the decay of thorium-229 has motivated accelerator-based production routes, including irradiation of thorium targets. Irradiated targets can produce useful quantities of actinium-225, but the product requires final purification from chemically similar lanthanide contaminants. This work describes an automated high-pressure ion chromatography method for this final polishing step. The method uses a reusable strong-acid cation-exchange column bearing sulfonic acid functional groups. α-Hydroxyisobutyric acid (α-HIBA), adjusted to pH 4.3 with lithium hydroxide, complexes and elutes lanthanides, a dilute hydrochloric acid matrix-exchange step removes residual α-HIBA, and concentrated hydrochloric acid then elutes retained actinium(III). The protocol purified actinium-225 to >99% radiopurity across tracer-level samples and samples containing >150 µCi (5.6 MBq) of activity. A 10 min, 0.1 M hydrochloric acid matrix exchange substantially reduced organic eluent carryover, and in-line sodium iodide detection enabled real-time monitoring of actinium and lanthanide elution. The developed method can be completed in <1 h and provides a basis for automated purification workflows for accelerator-produced actinium-225.

Gaddis, Kevin [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000183398314)↗

A Scalable Method for Decarbonizing Modular Building Solutions: Preprint

The decarbonization movement emphasizes the shift in focus from energy efficiency to directly reducing global-warming impact. Blokable, LLC, a vertically integrated modular builder with an all-electric portfolio, worked with NREL on a roadmap to decarbonize its high-performance building product at a relative cost advantage by utilizing the learning curves of mass production. Previous decarbonization literature focused on either i) lifecycle assessments, or ii) efficiency measures. These decarbonization exercises were bespoke to individual building projects and did not consider positive feedback loops of builder experience or process repetition. Vertically integrated, prefab builders possess the unique ability to leverage learning and repetition to decarbonize their design-build-operate process. This collaboration between Blokable and NREL resulted in a decarbonization strategy utilizing the company's scaling and production efficiencies, on-site renewable energy and storage, and the projected evolution of building components over time based on trends and emerging legislation. The method developed here encompasses a growing business model, lifecycle carbon assessment, and projected changes in product and grid emissions over time due to existing trends and emerging legislation. This methodology incorporates learning-curve efficiencies gleaned from scaled manufacturing, as well as open-source tools integration for energy and carbon accounting. The output projects and compares cost and carbon savings per modular unit as production increases to 10,000 dwelling units annually over 15 years. The resulting roadmap illustrates a path to roughly 60% carbon savings and beyond-net-zero-energy performance at no incremental cost by 2030. The methodology can be mapped to other integrated or productized builders for methodical decarbonization.

affordable housing↗

A Scalable Method for Decarbonizing Modular Building Solutions

The decarbonization movement emphasizes the shift in focus from energy efficiency to directly reducing global-warming impact. Blokable, LLC, a vertically integrated modular builder with an all-electric portfolio, worked with NREL on a roadmap to decarbonize its high-performance building product at a relative cost advantage by utilizing the learning curves of mass production. Previous decarbonization literature focused on either i) lifecycle assessments, or ii) efficiency measures. These decarbonization exercises were bespoke to individual building projects and did not consider positive feedback loops of builder experience or process repetition. Vertically integrated, prefab builders possess the unique ability to leverage learning and repetition to decarbonize their design-build-operate process. This collaboration between Blokable and NREL resulted in a decarbonization strategy utilizing the company's scaling and production efficiencies, on-site renewable energy and storage, and the projected evolution of building components over time based on trends and emerging legislation. The method developed here encompasses a growing business model, lifecycle carbon assessment, and projected changes in product and grid emissions over time due to existing trends and emerging legislation. This methodology incorporates learning-curve efficiencies gleaned from scaled manufacturing, as well as open-source tools integration for energy and carbon accounting. The output projects and compares cost and carbon savings per modular unit as production increases to 10,000 dwelling units annually over 15 years. The resulting roadmap illustrates a path to roughly 60% carbon savings and beyond-net-zero-energy performance at no incremental cost by 2030. The methodology can be mapped to other integrated or productized builders for methodical decarbonization.

affordable housing↗

Distributed Ledger Technology Preliminary Performance Assessment for Applications in Utilities Operational Technology

This paper provides descriptions of the key components of different distributed ledger technology platforms. Distributed ledger technology (DLT) allows for distribution of databases among different organizations and devices. The platforms use cryptographically linked “blocks” to store and verify transactional information between these organizations. DLT increases data security, data integrity, trust among its participants. Different organizations are looking to deploy this distributed and decentralized approach to avoid the single-point-of-failure vulnerabilities associated with centralized data repositories. In this study we examine twelve different DLT platforms. There is agreement within the community that of all the platforms considered here, Hyperledger and Ethereum are the most mature when it comes to privacy and permissions. These DLT platforms are being used for applications such as transactive energy, health care, and the food and goods supply chain. However, further development is required to realize the full promise of DLT. Our assessment includes a general description of each DLT and its key characteristics. Such characteristics include consensus protocol and cryptography used, public vs. private, and permissioned or permissionless. The selection and implementation of a DLT architecture depends heavily on the use case and performance requirements. During this research we found key parameters to measure performance and existing tools for assessment. Four different parameters were identified 1) consensus, 2) throughput, 3) latency, and 4) scalability. The architectures of Hyperledger Caliper and Blockbench are described as different performance assessment frameworks. From this preliminary study it is evident that there are dissimilarities on the performance assessments methods developers and users are characterizing DLT architectures. The purpose of this paper is to identify key parameters to test performance, tools that are being used and provide information on results from previous studies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Incorporating the Impacts of Climate Change on Hydrology in a Performance Assessment Model - 20403

The evidence of climate change is increasingly well-documented and impacts should be incorporated in performance assessment studies. The current climate literature provides both observational evidence and climate model projections of climate trends and/or climate change in the late 20. and early 21. centuries for North America and the northeast United States. Probabilistic modeling is a core requirement for quantifying uncertainty and evaluating its impacts. Not evaluating future climate states in a performance assessment because of the existence of uncertainty is contradictory to good modeling practices - the most uncertain issues and parameters require the most attention in effective probabilistic modeling. Excluding climate change limits development of modeling information that could aid in effective decision making. In this work we develop methods to use the output from hydrologic models and analysis of historical aerial imagery to quantify and implement the impacts of climate change on hydrologic processes at a nuclear waste site in West Valley, New York. Specifically, we used the HELP (Hydraulic Performance of Landfill Performance) model to characterize key hydrologic processes under both current and future climate conditions to assess the impacts of changing climate on hydrology. A suite of previous climatic models were reviewed and synthesized to produce a cohesive representation of the current state of knowledge of the impact of climate change on important model inputs such as precipitation. Output from the HELP simulations was coupled to the GoldSim model that was used to develop the Probabilistic Performance Assessment (PPA) approach through the application of a novel 'nearest neighbor' technique. First, several thousand realizations were generated from the HELP model using a Latin Hypercube experimental design to ensure adequate coverage of the parameter space of explanatory variables used to drive HELP. For example, porosity is a physical parameter that is used as an input to both HELP and the GoldSim PA model. We then ran sensitivity analysis (SA) algorithms on the output of HELP for each of the responses of interest. For each predictor, each time we build an SA model we get a different value for the sensitivity index (SI). From the collection of all the SA models, the average was computed among all of the SIs to represent the predictor within the context of the nearest neighbor approach. That is, we conduct SA on each HELP outcome for each scenario. This gives us parameter sensitivity indices for the outcomes. We average the parameter sensitivity indices across the outcomes to get the average SI for a scenario. For each realization that is generated from the Goldsim PA model, Goldsim generates random values for physical/empirical parameters that HELP uses as well. For each vector of physical/empirical parameters that Goldsim generates, the vector from the 5,000 HELP runs that is most 'similar' to the Goldsim vector is computed using the nearest neighbor approach. In this context 'similar' means minimization of the SA-weighted sum of the absolute differences among the 5,000 values computed for this statistic, where each value corresponds to a different HELP realization. In order to account for the impacts of climate change, this process was repeated using the spatially downscaled future climate projections. For each of the key parameters of interest, it was assumed that a linear change depicted the relationship between the values for the present day and those for 2100. In this way, the climatically-driven changes in key parameters used to inform the GoldSim model are quantified and incorporated into the PA model output for the future. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Quantifying uncertainties and correlations in the nuclear-matter equation of state

We perform statistically rigorous uncertainty quantification (UQ) for chiral effective field theory (χ EFT) applied to infinite nuclear matter up to twice nuclear saturation density. The equation of state (EOS) is based on high-order many-body perturbation theory calculations with nucleon-nucleon and three-nucleon interactions up to fourth order in the χ EFT expansion. From these calculations our newly developed Bayesian machine-learning approach extracts the size and smoothness properties of the correlated EFT truncation error. Furthermore, we then propose a novel extension that uses multitask machine learning to reveal correlations between the EOS at different proton fractions. The inferred in-medium χ EFT breakdown scale in pure neutron matter and symmetric nuclear matter is consistent with that from free-space nucleon-nucleon scattering. These significant advances allow us to provide posterior distributions for the nuclear saturation point and propagate theoretical uncertainties to derived quantities: the pressure and incompressibility of symmetric nuclear matter, the nuclear symmetry energy, and its derivative. Our results, which are validated by statistical diagnostics, demonstrate that an understanding of truncation-error correlations between different densities and different observables is crucial for reliable UQ. The methods developed here are publicly available as annotated Jupyter notebooks.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Mechanics of the Ring Tension Test (RTT): A Finite Element-based Investigation

The ring tension test (RTT) is an experimental method for determining mechanical behavior in a material’s circumferential or hoop direction. It is a crucial test for testing anisotropic materials with tube geometry, such as nuclear fuel cladding or irradiated pipes. Several RTT configurations exist, each with their own advantages and disadvantages. However, this test is significantly more complex than traditional tensile testing and can be especially sensitive to small differences and inconsistencies in the test setup and geometry, ultimately affecting the derived mechanical properties. Previous research has focused on method development, and little work has been done on understanding the subtle differences between an ideal test and experiments, specifically when the tests are performed on highly irradiated materials in hot cells. In this work, a finite element-based investigation of the RTT is conducted. Two promising test configurations are investigated, comparing their ability to determine accurate material strengths through plastic deformation. Several non-ideal conditions and uncontrollable effects which are likely to occur during experimental testing such as machining tolerances, variations of specimen geometry from nominal dimensions, rotation of specimens and fixturing, and other test setup discrepancies are studied. The sensitivity of measured strengths to these conditions is presented. A mechanics-based approach to describing and correcting raw data to determine actual strengths is also included for one of the configurations, resulting in a robust correction method with highly accurate material strength measurements. Based on these analyses, the hemicylindrical mandrel configuration is recommended with a gauge region oriented at a 45° angle.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗