Results for “sampling size” — Page 17

DOE OSTI2023

Equibiaxial flexural strength determination of UO 2 using a ball-on-ring test

To increase nuclear fuel performance and reliability, their mechanical properties require an accurate and statistically relevant assessment. Biaxial flexural strength tests provide an alternative to bend bar techniques for assessing mechanical behavior; namely, the transverse rupture strength (TRS) of ceramic samples. Biaxial test samples require simple geometries and minimal surface preparation, reducing fabrication costs and handling hazards. This study investigated the TRS of polycrystalline UO 2 fuel forms at room temperature using a ball-on-ring test fixture. Here, pellets were fabricated from UO 2 powder using conventional powder processing and sintering techniques. The TRS and Weibull parameters were obtained through Weibull statistics on over 60 UO 2 samples tested under equibiaxial flexure. The larger sample size in this study enabled a more robust Weibull statistical analysis than alternative test methods, which may not capture the stochastic failure of typical ceramics. Furthermore, two different loading ball diameters were employed to assess the impact of contact damage on fracture strength. While Hertzian contact damage was observed with the smaller loading ball, the fracture strength remained unaffected. A fracture analysis of the tested UO 2 samples indicated a mixture of intergranular and transgranular fracture that transitions to transgranular fracture with increasing distance from the fracture origin. The characteristic strength of the combined data sets was determined to be 148 MPa, and the Weibull modulus was determined to be 9.1. The TRS values and Weibull parameters were close to values found in the literature for alternative testing techniques using samples with similar microstructure and density. The findings in this study validate the ball-on-ring method used to obtain the TRS of UO 2 with a sample geometry more representative of nuclear fuels. Additionally, experimental TRS results from this study can be implemented in modeling codes to predict fuel performance, which is critical to fuel burnup extension and advanced nuclear fuel technologies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reduced scale stripline platform to extend accessible pressures on the Z machine: Shockless compression of platinum to 650 GPa

Reaching astrophysically relevant high energy density (HED) material states in the laboratory is an ongoing effort at multiple experimental facilities. We have developed a new dynamic compression platform for the Z Pulsed Power Facility that allows for sample sizes 100s of [Formula: see text]m in thickness that accommodate multiple grains in order to fully capture bulk properties, such as material strength. A pair of experiments compressed platinum (Pt) to HED conditions and conventional inverse Lagrangian analysis as well as a recent Bayesian calibration technique were used to determine the principal isentrope to 650 GPa with density uncertainties of <2%. These low uncertainties are calculated for single sample experiments, presenting the possibility of even smaller experimental uncertainties with multiple samples the platform allows. Our new platform extends the accessible Pt ramp pressures achievable on the Z machine to over 80% of the pressure recently achieved using the National Ignition Facility planar Hohlraum platform. This new capability, the next generation evolution of the stripline platform, was made possible by advancements in both our understanding of the Z pulsed power driver and our overall magnetohydrodynamic modeling capabilities.

Porwitzky, Andrew↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bulk nanocrystalline Al–Mg–Y alloys with amorphous grain boundary complexions display high strength and compressive plasticity

Although nanocrystalline alloys regularly exhibit high strengths, their use in structural applications often face challenges due to sample size limitations, unstable microstructures, and the limited ability to plastically deform. The incorporation of amorphous grain boundary complexions has been proposed to address these issues, by simultaneously stabilizing nanocrystalline grain structures for scale-up processing and improving alloy toughness. In the present study, the mechanical behavior of bulk nanocrystalline Al–Mg–Y is examined with macroscale compression testing, probing a length scale that is relevant to real-world structural applications. Bulk samples were fabricated via a simple powder metallurgy approach, with different hot-pressing temperatures and durations employed for consolidation in order to investigate microstructural and property evolution. All of the specimens contained primary face-centered cubic Al and secondary Al 4 C 3 and Al 3 Y phases, with the Al 3 Y particles exhibiting two populations of small equiaxed and larger elongated particles. Appreciable plasticity was measured along with high ultimate stresses over 800 MPa due to the presence of amorphous grain boundary complexions. Microstructural characterization of fracture surfaces revealed that the area fraction of dimpled regions increased with longer hot-pressing time. Most importantly, the elongated Al 3 Y particles formed regular cellular patterns with increasing hot-pressing time, delaying shear localization and significantly enhancing plasticity. The hierarchy present in the microstructure of the Al–Mg–Y alloy, from amorphous grain boundary complexions to secondary phases, gives rise to excellent bulk mechanical properties, which are attractive for structural applications.

Bulk nanocrystalline alloy↗

NASA NTRS2008

Test Population Selection from Weibull-Based, Monte Carlo Simulations of Fatigue Life

Fatigue life is probabilistic and not deterministic. Experimentally establishing the fatigue life of materials, components, and systems is both time consuming and costly. As a result, conclusions regarding fatigue life are often inferred from a statistically insufficient number of physical tests. A proposed methodology for comparing life results as a function of variability due to Weibull parameters, variability between successive trials, and variability due to size of the experimental population is presented. Using Monte Carlo simulation of randomly selected lives from a large Weibull distribution, the variation in the L10 fatigue life of aluminum alloy AL6061 rotating rod fatigue tests was determined as a function of population size. These results were compared to the L10 fatigue lives of small (10 each) populations from AL2024, AL7075 and AL6061. For aluminum alloy AL6061, a simple algebraic relationship was established for the upper and lower L10 fatigue life limits as a function of the number of specimens failed. For most engineering applications where less than 30 percent variability can be tolerated in the maximum and minimum values, at least 30 to 35 test samples are necessary. The variability of test results based on small sample sizes can be greater than actual differences, if any, that exists between materials and can result in erroneous conclusions. The fatigue life of AL2024 is statistically longer than AL6061 and AL7075. However, there is no statistical difference between the fatigue lives of AL6061 and AL7075 even though AL7075 had a fatigue life 30 percent greater than AL6061.

Vlcek, Brian L.↗

NASA NTRS2012

Test Population Selection from Weibull-Based, Monte Carlo Simulations of Fatigue Life

Fatigue life is probabilistic and not deterministic. Experimentally establishing the fatigue life of materials, components, and systems is both time consuming and costly. As a result, conclusions regarding fatigue life are often inferred from a statistically insufficient number of physical tests. A proposed methodology for comparing life results as a function of variability due to Weibull parameters, variability between successive trials, and variability due to size of the experimental population is presented. Using Monte Carlo simulation of randomly selected lives from a large Weibull distribution, the variation in the L10 fatigue life of aluminum alloy AL6061 rotating rod fatigue tests was determined as a function of population size. These results were compared to the L10 fatigue lives of small (10 each) populations from AL2024, AL7075 and AL6061. For aluminum alloy AL6061, a simple algebraic relationship was established for the upper and lower L10 fatigue life limits as a function of the number of specimens failed. For most engineering applications where less than 30 percent variability can be tolerated in the maximum and minimum values, at least 30 to 35 test samples are necessary. The variability of test results based on small sample sizes can be greater than actual differences, if any, that exists between materials and can result in erroneous conclusions. The fatigue life of AL2024 is statistically longer than AL6061 and AL7075. However, there is no statistical difference between the fatigue lives of AL6061 and AL7075 even though AL7075 had a fatigue life 30 percent greater than AL6061.

Vlcek, Brian L.↗

NASA NTRS2014

Optimizing Integrated Terminal Airspace Operations Under Uncertainty

In the terminal airspace, integrated departures and arrivals have the potential to increase operations efficiency. Recent research has developed geneticalgorithm- based schedulers for integrated arrival and departure operations under uncertainty. This paper presents an alternate method using a machine jobshop scheduling formulation to model the integrated airspace operations. A multistage stochastic programming approach is chosen to formulate the problem and candidate solutions are obtained by solving sample average approximation problems with finite sample size. Because approximate solutions are computed, the proposed algorithm incorporates the computation of statistical bounds to estimate the optimality of the candidate solutions. A proof-ofconcept study is conducted on a baseline implementation of a simple problem considering a fleet mix of 14 aircraft evolving in a model of the Los Angeles terminal airspace. A more thorough statistical analysis is also performed to evaluate the impact of the number of scenarios considered in the sampled problem. To handle extensive sampling computations, a multithreading technique is introduced.

air traffic optimization↗

NASA NTRS2022

An Efficient and Effective Light Gas Gun Design for Millimeter-Scale Hypervelocity Testing

This paper serves to document a design for a light gas gun that was used for 3 decades at NASA’s Langley Research Center. By adapting readily-available equipment and supplies, this apparatus was capable of accelerating projectiles at up to 9 kilometers per second. The lack of a projectile-carrying sabot sacrifices some adaptability in projectile size, but results in a design that can be cleaned and cycled with far less labor input. Overall limitation on the projectile impact energies attainable effectively limit the applications to assessing the relatively thin shields employed for robotic spacecraft (as opposed to manned missions). The original gun has been decommissioned, but it is believed that this design has application for robotic spacecraft shield testing in the modern world, allowing cost-effective generation of larger sample sizes than with conventional sabot-based light gas guns.

Hypervelocity↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

An Efficient and Effective Light Gas Gun Design for Millimeter-scale Hypervelocity Testing

This paper serves to document a design for a light gas gun that was used for 3 decades at NASA’s Langley Research Center. By adapting readily-available equipment and supplies, this apparatus was capable of accelerating projectiles at up to 9 kilometers per second. The lack of a projectile-carrying sabot sacrifices some adaptability in projectile size, but results in a design that can be cleaned and cycled with far less labor input. Overall limitation on the projectile impact energies attainable effectively limit the applications to assessing the relatively thin shields employed for robotic spacecraft (as opposed to manned missions). The original gun has been decommissioned, but it is believed that this design has application for robotic spacecraft shield testing in the modern world, allowing cost-effective generation of larger sample sizes than with conventional sabot-based light gas guns.

Hypervelocity↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

An Efficient and Effective Light Gas Gun Design for Millimeter-Scale Hypervelocity Testing

This paper serves to document a design for a light gas gun that was used for 3 decades at NASA’s Langley Research Center. By adapting readily-available equipment and supplies, this apparatus was capable of accelerating projectiles at up to 9 kilometers per second. The lack of a projectile-carrying sabot sacrifices some adaptability in projectile size, but results in a design that can be cleaned and cycled with far less labor input. Overall limitation on the projectile impact energies attainable effectively limit the applications to assessing the relatively thin shields employed for robotic spacecraft (less useful for those used for manned missions). The original gun has been decommissioned, but it is believed that this design has application for robotic spacecraft shield testing in the modern world, allowing cost-effective generation of larger sample sizes than with conventional sabot-based light gas guns.

Scott Hull↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

An Efficient and Effective Light Gas Gun Design for Millimeter-scale Hypervelocity Testing

This paper serves to document a design for a light gas gun that was used for 3 decades at NASA’s Langley Research Center. By adapting readily-available equipment and supplies, this apparatus was capable of accelerating projectiles at up to 9 kilometers per second (when new). The lack of a projectile-carrying sabot sacrifices some adaptability in projectile size, but results in a design that can be cleaned and cycled with far less labor input. Overall limitation on the projectile impact energies attainable effectively limit the applications to assessing the relatively thin shields employed for robotic spacecraft (less useful for those used for manned missions). The original gun has been decommissioned, but it is believed that this design has application for robotic spacecraft shield testing in the modern world, allowing cost-effective generation of larger sample sizes than with conventional sabot-based light gas guns.

Scott Hull↗

DOE OSTI2020

RELICS: The Reionization Lensing Cluster Survey and the Brightest High- z Galaxies

Massive foreground galaxy clusters magnify and distort the light of objects behind them, permitting a view into both the extremely distant and intrinsically faint galaxy populations. Here we present the $z\sim 6\mbox{--}8$ candidate high-redshift galaxies from the Reionization Lensing Cluster Survey (RELICS), a Hubble and Spitzer Space Telescope survey of 41 massive galaxy clusters spanning an area of ≈200 arcmin2. These clusters were selected to be excellent lenses, and we find similar high-redshift sample sizes and magnitude distributions as the Cluster Lensing And Supernova survey with Hubble (CLASH). We discover 257, 57, and eight candidate galaxies at z ~ 6, 7, and 8 respectively, (322 in total). The observed (lensed) magnitudes of the z ~ 6 candidates are as bright as AB mag ~23, making them among the brightest known at these redshifts, comparable with discoveries from much wider, blank-field surveys. RELICS demonstrates the efficiency of using strong gravitational lenses to produce high-redshift samples in the epoch of reionization. These brightly observed galaxies are excellent targets for follow-up study with current and future observatories, including the James Webb Space Telescope.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Stochastic modeling and statistical calibration with model error and scarce data

This paper introduces a procedure to assess the predictive accuracy of stochastic models subject to model error and sparse data. Model error is introduced as uncertainty on the coefficients of appropriate polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The error associated with finite sample size allows us to conceive of these coefficients as statistics of the data that we describe as random variables whose influence on output quantities of interest is evaluated through the extended polynomial chaos expansion (EPCE). A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is introduced to update these expansions by considering the resulting nested chaos expansion as a hierarchical probabilistic model. Stochastic models of quantities of interest (QoI) are thus constructed and efficiently evaluated. Here, the Metropolis–Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure is used to sample the posterior. Two illustrative analytical and numerical problems are used to demonstrate the proposed approach.

Bayesian inference↗

DOE OSTI2021

Preventing Failures By Dataset Shift Detection in Safety-Critical Graph Applications

Dataset shift refers to the problem where the input data distribution may change over time (e.g., between training and test stages). Since this can be a critical bottleneck in several safety-critical applications such as healthcare, drug-discovery, etc., dataset shift detection has become an important research issue in machine learning. Though several existing efforts have focused on image/video data, applications with graph-structured data have not received sufficient attention. Therefore, in this paper, we investigate the problem of detecting shifts in graph structured data through the lens of statistical hypothesis testing. Specifically, we propose a practical two-sample test based approach for shift detection in large-scale graph structured data. Our approach is very flexible in that it is suitable for both undirected and directed graphs, and eliminates the need for equal sample sizes. Using empirical studies, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed test in detecting dataset shifts. We also corroborate these findings using real-world datasets, characterized by directed graphs and a large number of nodes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Increasing accessibility to deep learning-based analytics for space biology: pretrained models, transfer learning, and analytics platform development

Biological systems react in complex ways to the stressors of spaceflight, and the data capturing these relationships is concomitantly high-dimensional and complex. Deep learning and machine learning approaches are increasingly popular as an analytical approach for space biosciences, due to their ability to model complex relationships in complex data. However, such approaches often require large datasets and extensive computational resources. New approaches that minimize data sizes and computational power needed to leverage machine learning, and resources that make these approaches accessible, are needed to increase accessibility and adoption of machine learning in the space biosciences. Transfer learning, in which a pretrained model of broad utility is trained on a large dataset, and subsequently reused on downstream applications for which data is more limited, is one approach to minimizing data and computational intensity of deep learning applications. This transfer learning approach results in more performant models in high-dimensional, low-sample-size settings such as space biology, as compared to training models on limited data from scratch. This presentation will outline efforts to generate pretrained models for the space biology community, and highlight transfer learning applications modeling microbial antibiotic resistance during spaceflight. Finally, in order to increase accessibility of these models and tools, as well as others, for the broader space biology community, we present a modeling and analysis platform facilitating machine learning applications in space biology. This platform streamlines machine learning training and analysis in a notebook format, facilitates download and use of space biology data from the NASA GeneLab database, and can be utilized on NASA-hosted servers or downloaded and hosted locally. This effort, as part of the AI4LS (Artificial Intelligence for Life in Space) working group, will increase accessibility, feasibility, and performance of machine learning approaches for the space biology community.

Adrienne Hoarfrost↗

DOE OSTI2024

Redshift evolution and covariances for joint lensing and clustering studies with DESI Y1

ABSTRACT Galaxy–galaxy lensing (GGL) and clustering measurements from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument Year 1 (DESI Y1) data set promise to yield unprecedented combined-probe tests of cosmology and the galaxy–halo connection. In such analyses, it is essential to identify and characterize all relevant statistical and systematic errors. We forecast the covariances of DESI Y1 GGL + clustering measurements and the systematic bias due to redshift evolution in the lens samples. Focusing on the projected clustering and GGL correlations, we compute a Gaussian analytical covariance, using a suite of N-body and lognormal simulations to characterize the effect of the survey footprint. Using the DESI one percent survey data, we measure the evolution of galaxy bias parameters for the DESI luminous red galaxy (LRG) and bright galaxy survey (BGS) samples. We find mild evolution in the LRGs in $0.4 < z < 0.8$, subdominant to the expected statistical errors. For BGS, we find less evolution for brighter absolute magnitude cuts, at the cost of reduced sample size. We find that for a redshift bin width $\Delta z = 0.1$, evolution effects on DESI Y1 GGL is negligible across all scales, all fiducial selection cuts, all fiducial redshift bins. Galaxy clustering is more sensitive to evolution due to the bias squared scaling. Nevertheless the redshift evolution effect is insignificant for clustering above the 1-halo scale of $0.1h^{-1}$ Mpc. For studies that wish to reliably access smaller scales, additional treatment of redshift evolution is likely needed. This study serves as a reference for GGL and clustering studies using the DESI Y1 sample.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Challenges in the Use of AI-Driven Non-Destructive Spectroscopic Tools for Rapid Food Analysis

Routine, remote, and process analysis for foodstuffs is gaining attention and can provide more confidence for the food supply chain. A new generation of rapid methods is emerging both in the literature and in industry based on spectroscopy coupled with AI-driven modelling methods. Current published studies using these advanced methods are plagued by weaknesses, including sample size, abuse of advanced modelling techniques, and the process of validation for both the acquisition method and modelling. This paper aims to give a comprehensive overview of the analytical challenges faced in research and industrial settings where screening analysis is performed while providing practical solutions in the form of guidelines for a range of scenarios. After extended literature analysis, we conclude that there is no easy way to enhance the accuracy of the methods by using state-of-the-art modelling methods and the key remains that capturing good quality raw data from authentic samples in sufficient volume is very important along with robust validation. A comprehensive methodology involving suitable analytical techniques and interpretive modelling methods needs to be considered under a tailored experimental design whenever conducting rapid food analysis.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Develop Accurate Techniques for Passive SiC Temperature Monitoring of Miniature Samples for Cross-Cutting Applications

Passive thermometry is critically important because most fuels and materials irradiation experiments are not instrumented, and it is necessary to understand the irradiation temperature to properly interpret any post-irradiation examination data, including evolving properties and/or microstructures. The standard passive thermometry approach uses continuous dilatometry to evaluate changes in the instantaneous coefficient of thermal expansion during post-irradiation thermal annealing. This approach has limitations in terms of sample size (minimum length requirements) and the maximum irradiation temperature that can be accurately determined, which is limited by the reduced swelling (and therefore recovery) following higher temperature irradiation and limitations on the furnaces used with push-rod dilatometers. This work evaluates two new proposed techniques for post-irradiation evaluation of passive SiC temperature monitors: differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and Raman spectroscopy. DSC is an extremely sensitive technique that can be used for any specimen geometry and is capable of higher temperature operation. Raman spectroscopy is similar in that it is a surface technique capable of examining extremely small samples (submillimeter), can be used with a heated stage up to 1,500°C (planned for future work), and is capable of mapping local irradiation temperatures throughout a sample. Existing SiC samples that were previously irradiated over a wide range of temperatures were cut into multiple pieces to allow for annealing studies using multiple different techniques: dilatometry, DSC, and Raman spectroscopy. This approach mitigates the concern that samples analyzed using one technique may have a slightly different irradiation history than those analyzed using a different technique. Recovery was clearly observed during annealing using both DSC and dilatometry. In some cases, a direct comparison could not be made due to some of the DSC runs accidentally including material from multiple specimens and issues with using an alternative DSC sample holder for the highest temperature annealing studies. Nevertheless, one trend was clear: the DSC runs resulted in higher irradiation temperatures compared to those of the dilatometry runs. Part of this could be attributed to the higher temperature ramp rates used during the DSC runs, which are often preferred to reduce noise in the measurements. By comparison, dilatometry has previously been shown to produce better data at lower ramp rates. Future work should further investigate the ideal ramp rate for both techniques to produce consistent results. Additional work should evaluate the best holder material to use for DSC runs exceeding 1,000°C to provide reliable data while preventing interactions between SiC and the holder.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Develop Accurate Techniques for Passive SiC Temperature Monitoring of Miniature Samples for Cross-Cutting Applications

Passive thermometry is critically important because most fuels and materials irradiation experiments are not instrumented, and it is necessary to understand the irradiation temperature to properly interpret any post-irradiation examination data, including evolving properties and/or microstructures. The standard passive thermometry approach uses continuous dilatometry to evaluate changes in the instantaneous coefficient of thermal expansion during post-irradiation thermal annealing. This approach has limitations in terms of sample size (minimum length requirements) and the maximum irradiation temperature that can be accurately determined, which is limited by the reduced swelling (and therefore recovery) following higher temperature irradiation and limitations on the furnaces used with push-rod dilatometers. This work evaluates two new proposed techniques for post-irradiation evaluation of passive SiC temperature monitors: differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and Raman spectroscopy. DSC is an extremely sensitive technique that can be used for any specimen geometry and is capable of higher temperature operation. Raman spectroscopy is similar in that it is a surface technique capable of examining extremely small samples (submillimeter), can be used with a heated stage up to 1,500°C (planned for future work), and is capable of mapping local irradiation temperatures throughout a sample. Existing SiC samples that were previously irradiated over a wide range of temperatures were cut into multiple pieces to allow for annealing studies using multiple different techniques: dilatometry, DSC, and Raman spectroscopy. This approach mitigates the concern that samples analyzed using one technique may have a slightly different irradiation history than those analyzed using a different technique. Recovery was clearly observed during annealing using both DSC and dilatometry. In some cases, a direct comparison could not be made due to some of the DSC runs accidentally including material from multiple specimens and issues with using an alternative DSC sample holder for the highest temperature annealing studies. Nevertheless, one trend was clear: the DSC runs resulted in higher irradiation temperatures compared to those of the dilatometry runs. Part of this could be attributed to the higher temperature ramp rates used during the DSC runs, which are often preferred to reduce noise in the measurements. By comparison, dilatometry has previously been shown to produce better data at lower ramp rates. Future work should further investigate the ideal ramp rate for both techniques to produce consistent results. Additional work should evaluate the best holder material to use for DSC runs exceeding 1,000°C to provide reliable data while preventing interactions between SiC and the holder.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗