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At least 307 records · Page 17

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DOE OSTI2021

Data-driven optimization of mixed-integer bi-level multi-follower integrated planning and scheduling problems under demand uncertainty

The coordination of interconnected elements across the different layers of the supply chain is essential for all industrial processes and the key to optimal decision-making. Yet, the modeling and optimization of such interdependent systems are still burdensome. Here we address the simultaneous modeling and optimization of medium-term planning and short-term scheduling problems under demand uncertainty using mixed-integer bi-level multi-follower programming and data-driven optimization. Bi-level multi-follower programs model the natural hierarchy between different layers of supply chain management holistically, while scenario analysis and data-driven optimization allow us to retrieve the guaranteed feasible solutions of the integrated formulation under various demand considerations. We address the data-driven optimization of this challenging class of problems using the DOMINO framework, which was initially developed to solve single-leader single-follower bi-level optimization problems to guaranteed feasibility. This framework is extended to solve single-leader multi-follower stochastic formulations and its performance is characterized by well-known single and multi-product process scheduling case studies. Through our data-driven algorithmic approach, we present guaranteed feasible solutions to linear and nonlinear mixed-integer bi-level formulations of simultaneous planning and scheduling problems and further characterize the effects of the scheduling level complexity on the solution performance, which spans over several hundred continuous and binary variables, and thousands of constraints.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2013

Analysis of potential for reducing emissions of greenhouse gases in municipal solid waste in Brazil, in the state and city of Rio de Janeiro

Highlights: ► We constructed future scenarios of emissions of greenhouse gases in waste. ► Was used the IPCC methodology for calculating emission inventories. ► We calculated the costs of abatement for emissions reduction in landfill waste. ► The results were compared to Brazil, state and city of Rio de Janeiro. ► The higher the environmental passive, the greater the possibility of use of biogas. - Abstract: This paper examines potential changes in solid waste policies for the reduction in GHG for the country of Brazil and one of its major states and cities, Rio de Janeiro, from 2005 to 2030. To examine these policy options, trends in solid waste quantities and associated GHG emissions are derived. Three alternative policy scenarios are evaluated in terms of effectiveness, technology, and economics and conclusions posited regarding optimal strategies for Brazil to implement. These scenarios are been building on the guidelines for national inventories of GHG emissions (IPCC, 2006) and adapted to Brazilian states and municipalities’ boundaries. Based on the results, it is possible to say that the potential revenue from products of solid waste management is more than sufficient to transform the current scenario in this country into one of financial and environmental gains, where the negative impacts of climate change have created a huge opportunity to expand infrastructure for waste management.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2017

Constructing probabilistic scenarios for wide-area solar power generation

Optimizing thermal generation commitments and dispatch in the presence of high penetrations of renewable resources such as solar energy requires a characterization of their stochastic properties. In this study, we describe novel methods designed to create day-ahead, wide-area probabilistic solar power scenarios based only on historical forecasts and associated observations of solar power production. Each scenario represents a possible trajectory for solar power in next-day operations with an associated probability computed by algorithms that use historical forecast errors. Scenarios are created by segmentation of historic data, fitting non-parametric error distributions using epi-splines, and then computing specific quantiles from these distributions. Additionally, we address the challenge of establishing an upper bound on solar power output. Our specific application driver is for use in stochastic variants of core power systems operations optimization problems, e.g., unit commitment and economic dispatch. These problems require as input a range of possible future realizations of renewables production. However, the utility of such probabilistic scenarios extends to other contexts, e.g., operator and trader situational awareness. Finally, we compare the performance of our approach to a recently proposed method based on quantile regression, and demonstrate that our method performs comparably to this approach in terms of two widely used methods for assessing the quality of probabilistic scenarios: the Energy score and the Variogram score.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2016

Optimizing Intermittent Water Supply in Urban Pipe Distribution Networks

In many urban areas of the developing world, piped water is supplied only intermittently, as valves direct water to different parts of the water distribution system at different times. The flow is transient, and may transition between free-surface and pressurized, resulting in complex dynamical features with important consequences for water suppliers and users. Here, we develop a computational model of transition, transient pipe flow in a network, accounting for a wide variety of realistic boundary conditions. We validate the model against several published data sets and demonstrate its use on a real pipe network. The model is extended to consider several optimization problems motivated by realistic scenarios. Here, we demonstrate how to infer water flow in a small pipe network from a single pressure sensor, and show how to control water inflow to minimize damaging pressure transients.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Full-scale Demonstration of Pressurized Water Reactor Core Design Optimization using Multi-Cycle Optimization Methodology

The U.S. nuclear sector encounters a difficulty in upholding essential safety standards while also securing economic viability for continued operation. Safety stands as a pivotal factor across all facets of operations within light-water reactor nuclear power plants. Achieving economic feasibility alongside safety can be facilitated through the utilization of a risk-informed framework, exemplified by the ongoing development within the Risk-Informed Systems Analysis Pathway under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy's LWRS Program. This initiative advocates for a diverse array of research and development endeavors aimed at optimizing both safety and economic efficacy within nuclear power plants, particularly pertinent as many plants contemplate second license renewals. The Risk-Informed Systems Analysis Pathway has two main goals: deploy methodologies and technologies that better represent safety margins and cost and safety factors and develop advanced applications that enable cost-effective plant operation. This report assesses the potential for resolving multi-cycle plant reload challenges through real-world scenarios utilizing the Plant ReLoad Optimization (PRLO) framework. This framework offers reactor core design developers analytic tools of reactor safety and fuel performance with the assistance of artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance core design solutions. Multi-objective genetic algorithm alongside acceleration techniques is explored as an enabling technology for improving fuel efficiency while upholding safety thresholds. The demonstration of multi-cycle core design optimization is performed. This report investigates the practical application of the PRLO platform in addressing real-world core design challenges, supporting AI efforts, and contrasting outcomes with those derived from heuristic or conventional algorithms.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2021

An Analysis of Potentially Implementing Standardized Canisters in the U.S. Commercial Waste Management System

This analytical study focuses on loading standardized transportation, aging, and disposal canisters (STADs) at commercial reactor sites and subsequent transportation, e.g., to a consolidated interim storage facility (CISF). Specifically, the amount of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) available to load into STADs with varying deployment dates is explored, and the scenarios are compared with a scenario in which STADs are never loaded at reactor sites. Two key findings are that about half of the U.S. inventory of commercial SNF could be captured in STADs if they were fully deployed by 2035 and that the percentage of SNF available to load into STADs decreases as STAD deployment is delayed.In additional scenarios, the effects of shipping STADs directly from at-reactor spent fuel pools (SFPs) to a CISF are analyzed for a STAD full deployment year of 2035. A key finding from the analysis is that the dry storage of SNF in STADs at reactor sites can be minimized by direct shipment to a CISF from reactor site SFPs. Furthermore, minimizing dry storage at reactor sites means maximizing the receipt rate for STADs at a CISF, and there is likely a more optimal point between the two scenarios for an overall cost-effective operation of waste management systems.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2026

Towards a self-driving trigger at the LHC: adaptive response in real time

Real-time data filtering and selection—or trigger—systems at high-throughput scientific facilities such as the experiments at the Large Hadron Collider must process extremely high-rate data streams under stringent bandwidth, latency, and storage constraints. Yet these systems are typically designed as static, hand-tuned menus of selection criteria grounded in prior knowledge and simulation. In this work, we further explore the concept of a self-driving trigger, an autonomous data-filtering framework that reallocates resources and adjusts thresholds dynamically in real-time to optimize signal efficiency, rate stability, and computational cost as instrumentation and environmental conditions evolve. We introduce a benchmark ecosystem to emulate realistic collider scenarios and demonstrate real-time optimization of a menu including canonical energy sum triggers as well as modern anomaly-detection algorithms that target non-standard event topologies using machine learning. Using simulated data streams and publicly available collision data from the Compact Muon Solenoid experiment, we demonstrate the capability to dynamically and automatically optimize trigger performance under specific cost objectives without manual retuning. Our adaptive strategy shifts trigger design from static menus with heuristic tuning to intelligent, automated, data-driven control, unlocking greater flexibility and discovery potential in future high-energy physics analyses.

Emami, Shaghayegh [Michigan U.] (ORCID:00090007589↗

DOE OSTI2013

A methodology for optimal MSW management, with an application in the waste transportation of Attica Region, Greece

Highlights: • A two-step (strategic and detailed optimal planning) methodology is used for solving complex MSW management problems. • A software package is outlined, which can be used for generating detailed optimal plans. • Sensitivity analysis compares alternative scenarios that address objections and/or wishes of local communities. • A case study shows the application of the above procedure in practice and demonstrates the results and benefits obtained. - Abstract: The paper describes a software system capable of formulating alternative optimal Municipal Solid Wastes (MSWs) management plans, each of which meets a set of constraints that may reflect selected objections and/or wishes of local communities. The objective function to be minimized in each plan is the sum of the annualized capital investment and annual operating cost of all transportation, treatment and final disposal operations involved, taking into consideration the possible income from the sale of products and any other financial incentives or disincentives that may exist. For each plan formulated, the system generates several reports that define the plan, analyze its cost elements and yield an indicative profile of selected types of installations, as well as data files that facilitate the geographic representation of the optimal solution in maps through the use of GIS. A number of these reports compare the technical and economic data from all scenarios considered at the study area, municipality and installation level constituting in effect sensitivity analysis. The generation of alternative plans offers local authorities the opportunity of choice and the results of the sensitivity analysis allow them to choose wisely and with consensus. The paper presents also an application of this software system in the capital Region of Attica in Greece, for the purpose of developing an optimal waste transportation system in line with its approved waste management plan. The formulated plan was able to: (a) serve 113 Municipalities and Communities that generate nearly 2 million t/y of comingled MSW with distinctly different waste collection patterns, (b) take into consideration several existing waste transfer stations (WTS) and optimize their use within the overall plan, (c) select the most appropriate sites among the potentially suitable (new and in use) ones, (d) generate the optimal profile of each WTS proposed, and (e) perform sensitivity analysis so as to define the impact of selected sets of constraints (limitations in the availability of sites and in the capacity of their installations) on the design and cost of the ensuing optimal waste transfer system. The results show that optimal planning offers significant economic savings to municipalities, while reducing at the same time the present levels of traffic, fuel consumptions and air emissions in the congested Athens basin.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Self-consistent equilibrium and transport simulations for NSTX-U plasmas enhanced via machine learning surrogate models

The Control-Oriented Transport SIMulator (COTSIM) is an advanced equilibrium and transport code designed for simulating tokamak discharges at computational speeds suitable for control applications. COTSIM’s modular framework enables users to select models that balance accuracy with speed according to specific needs, allowing the code to operate from fast to faster-than-real-time performance levels. This work presents recent enhancements to COTSIM’s predictive accuracy for NSTX-U scenarios, achieved by integrating neural-network-based surrogate models and self-consistent equilibrium calculations. To improve source deposition predictions, a surrogate model for NUBEAM has been incorporated. Additionally, a surrogate model for the Multi-Mode Module (MMM) now supports predictions of anomalous thermal, momentum, and particle diffusivities—key factors for modeling the evolution of temperature and rotation. Each surrogate model was specifically trained for the NSTX-U operational regime to enhance COTSIM’s accuracy while maintaining computational efficiency. Moreover, COTSIM now couples fixed-boundary equilibrium solvers with its transport solvers, enabling self-consistent predictions of plasma profiles and equilibrium evolution over the discharge. Simulation results demonstrate strong agreement between COTSIM and TRANSP predictions for NSTX-U discharges. These substantial advancements expand COTSIM’s utility in model-based control applications for NSTX-U. Potential applications include simultaneous optimization of equilibrium and transport scenarios, integration into digital twins, real-time profile estimation (e.g., temperature and rotation) from limited or noisy measurements, and advanced feedback-based scenario control.

Equilibrium and transport modeling↗

DOE OSTI2015

Optimized inorganic carbon regime for enhanced growth and lipid accumulation in Chlorella vulgaris

Background Large-scale algal biofuel production has been limited, among other factors, by the availability of inorganic carbon in the culture medium at concentrations higher than achievable with atmospheric CO2. Life cycle analyses have concluded that costs associated with supplying CO2 to algal cultures are significant contributors to the overall energy consumption. Results A two-phase optimal growth and lipid accumulation scenario is presented, which (1) enhances the growth rate and (2) the triacylglyceride (TAG) accumulation rate in the oleaginous Chlorophyte Chlorella vulgaris strain UTEX 395, by growing the organism in the presence of low concentrations of NaHCO3 (5 mM) and controlling the pH of the system with a periodic gas sparge of 5 % CO2 (v/v). Once cultures reached the desired cell densities, which can be “fine-tuned” based on initial nutrient concentrations, cultures were switched to a lipid accumulation metabolism through the addition of 50 mM NaHCO3. This two-phase approach increased the specific growth rate of C. vulgaris by 69 % compared to cultures sparged continuously with 5 % CO2 (v/v); further, biomass productivity (g L-1 day-1) was increased by 27 %. Total biodiesel potential [assessed as total fatty acid methyl ester (FAME) produced] was increased from 53.3 to 61 % (FAME biomass-1) under the optimized conditions; biodiesel productivity (g FAME L-1 day-1) was increased by 7.7 %. A bicarbonate salt screen revealed that American Chemical Society (ACS) and industrial grade NaHCO3 induced the highest TAG accumulation (% w/w), whereas Na2CO3 did not induce significant TAG accumulation. NH4HCO3 had a negative effect on cell health presumably due to ammonia toxicity. The raw, unrefined form of trona, NaHCO3∙Na2CO3 (sodium sesquicarbonate) induced TAG accumulation, albeit to a slightly lower extent than the more refined forms of sodium bicarbonate. Conclusions The strategic addition of sodium bicarbonate was found to enhance growth and lipid accumulation rates in cultures of C. vulgaris, when compared to traditional culturing strategies, which rely on continuously sparging algal cultures with elevated concentrations of CO2(g). This work presents a two-phased, improved photoautotrophic growth and lipid accumulation approach, which may result in an overall increase in algal biofuel productivity.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Emergency core cooling system performance criteria for Multi-Layered Silicon Carbide nuclear fuel cladding

Multi-layered Silicon Carbide (SiC) cladding has been proposed to replace the current Zircaloy (Zr) cladding in existing nuclear power plants. Due to its ceramic property, SiC may have a different failure mechanism from that of metallic Zr clad. This characteristic should be considered in designing the plant’s safety system performance, such that the fuel’s integrity is reasonably assured during accident scenarios. This paper aims at optimizing the Emergency Core Cooling System (ECCS) performance criteria in mitigating LBLOCA accidents at a Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) using the uranium dioxide fuel and duplex or triplex SiC cladding structures. Clad failures by brittle fractures and thermal degradation were modeled in a fuel analysis code. This fuel model was coupled with the RELAP5 plant model by adapting the fuel’s mesh configuration and formulating the effective heat transfer coefficients. A model to quantify the likelihood of clad functional failure as a combination of individual layer fractures at various axial positions was proposed. Updated SiC material properties were gathered from recent reference studies. Clad reliability estimates using the proposed model were compared with the estimates obtained using other models. The results were used to relax the criterion of required actuation timing of ECCS, such that the risk of the new plant design is less or equal to that of the initial plant configuration. Triplex clad was more reliable than duplex clad and Zr, reducing the conditional core damage probability by three orders of magnitude in the reference LBLOCA scenario. Compressive stresses due to irradiation swelling played the determining role in the vulnerabilities of each clad design. The duplex clad was vulnerable to pressure-loading stresses while triplex clad was prone to fail due to thermal shocks experienced during the LOCA reflood phase. Additionally, it was concluded that the most vulnerable axial fuel rod location in the reference LBLOCA scenario was located at the highest axial power peaking location. A sensitivity study on the ECCS timing density was conducted. The results showed that ECCS actuation timing could be extended from the initial technical specification, without increasing the fuel damage likelihood. The time extension was distributed in the order of several hundreds of seconds, which was comparable with time extensions offered by FeCrAl and Cr-coated-Zr clad designs in LBLOCA scenarios. This time extension may potentially reduce the failure probabilities of EDGs and pumps, hence improving the plant safety further.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Optimizing CO2 Washout in the Exploration Extravehicular Mobility Unit

CO2 Washout refers to the suit’s ability to remove exhaled metabolic waste gases from the helmet before the crewmember’s next consecutive inhale. Efficient removal of such waste gases is paramount as it prevents crewmember fatigue as well as hypoxia. A variety of hardware and conditions inside the suit contribute to the efficiency at which CO2 washout occurs including (but not limited to) the shape of the helmet bubble, crewmember head position, breathing type and metabolic rate, the configuration of the oxygen vent inside the helmet, etc. While designing the oxygen vent inside the helmet of the Extravehicular Mobility Unit (xEMU) both nominal and contingency scenarios were considered in order to optimize CO2 washout. During nominal Extravehicular Activity (EVA), the pressure gradient created by the vent loop inlets located in the arms and legs of the Pressure Garment Subsystem (PGS) aids in washout by pulling the metabolic waste out of the helmet. However, in the event that a contingency scenario occurs, where the flow of oxygen to the crewmember, or the removal of metabolic waste is disrupted, the primary oxygen regulator fails open and removal of waste is no longer performed by the vent loop, but rather by the Low Flow Purge Valve (LFPV) located in the helmet. The paper to follow will provide an overview of the analysis, design, and testing performed to optimize washout for both nominal and contingency scenarios for the most current design iteration of the xEMU.

Margot Steely↗

DOE OSTI2019

Coordinating Multiple Sources for Service Restoration to Enhance Resilience of Distribution Systems

When a major outage occurs on a distribution system due to extreme events, microgrids, distributed generators, storage devices, and other local resources can be used to restore critical loads and enhance resiliency. This paper proposes a decision-making method to determine the optimal restoration strategy coordinating multiple sources to serve critical loads after a major outage. The critical load restoration problem is formulated as a mixed -integer semidefinite program. The objective is maximizing the number of loads restored, weighted by their priority. The unbalanced three-phase power flow constraint and operational constraints are considered. An iterative algorithm is proposed to deal with integer variables and can attain the global optimum of the critical load restoration problem by solving a few semidefinite programs under mild conditions. The effectiveness of the proposed models and algorithm is validated by numerical simulation with the modified IEEE 13-node test feeder and the modified IEEE123-node test feeder under a large number of scenarios. The results indicate that the optimal restoration strategy can be determined efficiently in most scenarios

Wang, Ying↗

DOE OSTI2016

Mobile Emergency Generator Pre-Positioning and Real-Time Allocation for Resilient Response to Natural Disasters

Truck-mounted mobile emergency generators (MEGs) are critical flexibility resources of distribution systems (DSs) for resilient emergency response to natural disasters. However, they are currently under-utilized. For better utilization, this paper proposes dispatching MEGs as distributed generators in DSs to restore critical loads by forming multiple microgrids (MGs). As the travel time of MEGs on road networks (RNs) can greatly influence the outage duration of critical loads, a two-stage dispatch framework consisting of pre-positioning and real-time allocation is introduced, and the traffic issue is considered via the vehicle routing problem. Pre-positioning places MEGs in staging locations prior to a natural disaster, while real-time allocation sends MEGs from staging locations to restore critical loads by forming MGs in DSs after the natural disaster strikes. Specifically, with the objective of minimizing the expected outage duration of loads considering their priorities and demand sizes, pre-positioning is done via a scenario-based two-stage stochastic optimization problem, in which the first-stage pre-positioning decisions are evaluated by numbers of second-stage real-time allocation problems corresponding to considered scenarios of DS damage and RN damage/congestion. A scenario decomposition algorithm is applied to solve this problem. Illustrative cases demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed dispatch scheme and algorithm.

Lei, Shunbo (ORCID:0000000181690821)↗

DOE OSTI2019

A Survey of Distributed Optimization

In distributed optimization of multi-agent systems, agents cooperate to minimize a global function which is a sum of local objective functions. Motivated by applications including power systems, sensor networks, smart buildings, and smart manufacturing, various distributed optimization algorithms have been developed. In these algorithms, each agent performs local computation based on its own information and information received from its neighboring agents through the underlying communication network, so that the optimization problem can be solved in a distributed manner. This survey paper aims to offer a detailed overview of existing distributed optimization algorithms and their applications in power systems. More specifically, we first review discrete-time and continuous-time distributed optimization algorithms for undirected graphs. We then discuss how to extend these algorithms in various directions to handle more realistic scenarios. Finally, we focus on the application of distributed optimization in the optimal coordination of distributed energy resources.

Yang, Tao↗

DOE OSTI2022

Dependence of the boundary heat flux width on core and edge profiles in Alcator C-Mod

This work presents new evidence that the heat flux width, λ q , in the Alcator C-Mod tokamak scales with the edge electron pressure, as observed in the ASDEX Upgrade (AUG) tokamak, but the scaling with volume-averaged pressure, $\bar{p}$, from the plasma stored energy, is a better predictor of λ q in Alcator C-Mod than the edge electron pressure. These previous studies, which find that λ q decreases with increasing plasma pressure, imply that a high performance core at high pressure will lead to challenging heat and particle exhaust due to very small λ q . This concern has led to our significant enlargement of the C-Mod database with the electron density, temperature, and pressure profile data from the Thomson scattering and electron cyclotron emission diagnostics. Using the C-Mod database augmented with new profile data, we find that λ q decreases with increasing edge electron pressure as ${\lambda }_{q}\propto {p}_{\mathrm{e},95}^{-0.26}$, similar to results from AUG, and showing the strength of cross-machine comparisons. We also find that ${\lambda }_{q}\propto {p}_{\mathrm{e},\mathrm{c}\mathrm{o}\mathrm{r}\mathrm{e}}^{-0.56}$, consistent with the original finding from C-Mod that the heat flux width scales as ${\bar{p}}^{-0.48}$. The scalings of λ q with separatrix pressure and gradient scale length are found to match the AUG results qualitatively. The C-Mod scalings with edge plasma quantities have more scatter than the $\bar{p}$ scaling, and, importantly, show different trends for H-modes relative to L- and I-mode. Furthermore, investigating the source of this discrepancy presents an opportunity for further study that may improve our ability to predict the heat flux width in different confinement scenarios in the pursuit of optimizing core-edge performance in future reactors.

Alcator C-Mod↗

DOE OSTI2022

Neural net modeling of equilibria in NSTX-U

Neural networks (NNs) offer a path towards synthesizing and interpreting data on faster timescales than traditional physics-informed computational models. In this work we develop two NNs relevant to equilibrium and shape control modeling, which are part of a suite of tools being developed for the National Spherical Torus Experiment-Upgrade for fast prediction, optimization, and visualization of plasma scenarios. The networks include Eqnet, a free-boundary equilibrium solver trained on the EFIT01 (Equilibrium FITtting 01) reconstruction algorithm, and Pertnet, which is trained on the Gspert code and predicts the non-rigid plasma response, a nonlinear term that arises in shape control modeling. The NNs are trained with different combinations of inputs and outputs in order to offer flexibility in use cases. In particular, Eqnet can use magnetic diagnostics as inputs and act as an EFIT-like reconstruction algorithm, or, by using pressure and current profile information the NN can act as a forward Grad–Shafranov equilibrium solver. This forward-mode version is envisioned to be implemented in the suite of tools for simulation of plasma scenarios. The reconstruction-mode version gives some performance improvements compared to the online reconstruction code real-time EFIT, especially when vessel eddy currents are significant. Here, we report strong performance for all NNs indicating that the models could reliably be used within closed-loop simulations or other applications. Some limitations are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

The root cause of disruptive NTMs and paths to stable operation in DIII-D ITER baseline scenario plasmas

Analyses of the DIII-D ITER Baseline Scenario database support that the disruptive m,n=2,1 magnetic islands are pressure gradient driven, non-linear instabilities seeded in a sequence of stochastic transient magnetic perturbations, and that the current profile relaxation does not affect the m,n=2,1 island onset rate. At low torque, these Neoclassical Tearing Modes are most commonly seeded by non-linear 3-wave coupling when the differential rotation between the q=1 & q=2 rational surfaces approaches zero. Lack of statistically significant difference between the current profiles of stable and unstable states, as well as lack of correlation between the tearing mode onset rate and the current profile relaxation both reject causality between the current profile evolution and the 2,1 magnetic island onsets in these plasmas. These support that preserving the differential rotation between the q=1 and q=2 rational surfaces is key to long pulse stable operation in the plasma scenario planned for ITER, while optimization of the current profile within the explored parameter space may lead to much weaker improvements than sustaining the differential rotation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗