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WaterTAP3 Model Input Data for NAWI's Eight Source Water Baseline Analyses

This folder contains the input data for the WaterTAP3 model that was used for the eight NAWI (National Alliance for Water Innovation) source water baselines studies published in the Environmental Science and Technology special issue: Technology Baselines and Innovation Priorities for Water Treatment and Supply. There are also eight other separate DAMS submissions, one per source water, that include the model results for the published studies. In this data submission, all model inputs across the eight baselines are included. The data structure and content are described in a README.txt file. For more details on how to use the data in WaterTAP3 please refer to the model documentation and GitHub site found at "WaterTAP3 Github" linked in the submission resources.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Extracting the gamma-ray source-count distribution below the Fermi-LAT detection limit with deep learning

We reconstruct the extra-galactic gamma-ray source-count distribution, or dN/dS, of resolved and unresolved sources by adopting machine learning techniques. Specifically, we train a convolutional neural network on synthetic 2-dimensional sky-maps, which are built by varying parameters of underlying source-counts models and incorporate the Fermi-LAT instrumental response functions. The trained neural network is then applied to the Fermi-LAT data, from which we estimate the source count distribution down to flux levels a factor of 50 below the Fermi-LAT threshold. We perform our analysis using 14 years of data collected in the (1,10) GeV energy range. The results we obtain show a source count distribution which, in the resolved regime, is in excellent agreement with the one derived from cataloged sources, and then extends as dN/dS ~ S -2 in the unresolved regime, down to fluxes of 5 · 10 -12 cm -2 s -1 . The neural network architecture and the devised methodology have the flexibility to enable future analyses to study the energy dependence of the source-count distribution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Structural Models and Sequence Alignment Results of the Rhodospirillum rubrum Proteome

This dataset contains the structural models for the primary transcripts of the Rhodospirillum rubrum proteome as well as sequence alignment results for a subset of the encoded proteins. For each protein, the five models inferred from AlphaFold 2 are provided. The largest pTM-scoring model for each protein was energy minimized; this minimized structure as well as its AlphaFold pickle output file are also provided. This set of structures represent an alternate source of models for the R. rubrum proteome to those available in the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database. For proteins that have been annotated as hypothetical, sequence alignment results from the HHblits and SAdLSA alignment methods are provided. These methods are often more capable to resolve sequence homology than other methods. Therefore, the results from both HHblits and SAdLSA are provided to identify possible homologs for these challenging proteins. Numerous sequence databases are utilized for these alignments. References AlphaFold v2 Multimer: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.10.04.463034. References HHBlits: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12859-019-3019-7. References SAdLSA: https://doi.org/10.3389/fbinf.2021.689960.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Structural Models and Sequence Alignment Results of the Desulfovibrio vulgaris Proteome

This dataset contains the structural models for the primary transcripts of the Desulfovibrio vulgaris proteome as well as sequence alignment results for a subset of the encoded proteins. For each protein, the five models inferred from AlphaFold 2 are provided. The largest pTM-scoring model for each protein was energy minimized; this minimized structure as well as its AlphaFold pickle output file are also provided. This set of structures represent an alternate source of models for the D. vulgaris proteome to those available in the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database (AFDB). This is a bit more complicated since the proteins reporting in the AFDB originate from an outdated form of the D. vulgaris sequence. The different versions of the D. vulgaris gene annotation are collected in the Chronology subdirectory; further consideration of these changes on the structural space of the proteome are currently underway. For proteins that have been annotated as hypothetical, sequence alignment results from the HHblits and SAdLSA alignment methods are provided. These methods are often more capable to resolve sequence homology than other methods. Therefore, the results from both HHblits and SAdLSA are provided to identify possible homologs for these challenging proteins. Numerous sequence databases are utilized for these alignments. References AlphaFold v2 Multimer: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.10.04.463034. References HHblits: hhtps://doi.org/10.1186/s12859-019-3019-7. References SAdLSA: hhtps://doi.org/10.3389/fbinf.2021.689960.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Structural Models of the Rhodopseudomonas palustris Proteome

This dataset contains the structural models for the primary transcripts of the Rhodopseudomonas palustris proteome. For each protein, the five models inferred from AlphaFold 2 are provided. The largest pTM-scoring model for each protein was energy minimized; this minimized structure as well as its AlphaFold pickle output file are also provided. This set of structures represent an alternate source of models for the R. palustris proteome to those available in the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

PyOECP: A flexible open-source software library for estimating and modeling the complex permittivity based on the open-ended coaxial probe (OECP) technique

Here, we present PyOECP, a Python-based flexible open-source software for estimating and modeling the complex permittivity obtained from the open-ended coaxial probe (OECP) technique. The transformation of the measured reflection coefficient to complex permittivity is performed based on three different methods. The software library contains the dielectric spectra of common reference liquids, which can be used to transform the reflection coefficient into the dielectric spectra. Several Python routines that are commonly employed (e.g., SciPy and NumPy) in the field of science and engineering are required only so that the users can alter the software structure depending on their needs. The modeling algorithm exploits the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for the data regression. The discrete relaxation models can be built by a proper combination of well-known relaxation models. In addition to these models, electrode polarization, a typical measurement artifact for interpreting dielectric spectra, can be incorporated into the modeling algorithm. A continuous relaxation model, which solves the Fredholm integral equation of the first kind (a mathematically ill-posed problem), is also included. This open-source software enables users to freely adjust the physical parameters to obtain physical insight into their materials under test and will be consistently updated for more accurate measurement and interpretation of dielectric spectra in an automated manner. This work describes the theoretical and mathematical background of the software, lays out the workflow, and validates the software functionality based on both synthetic and empirical data included in the software.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Open-Source High-Fidelity Aggregate Composite Load Models of Emerging Load Behaviors for Large-Sale Analysis

The goal of this project is to accurately model the dynamic loads for power system planning and operation and to address the challenges inherent in such modeling. Existing load models are inadequate to handle the increasing proliferation of residential air conditioner loads and distributed energy resources, the emerging trends of price-responsive demand, and the growing importance of protective devices in equipment and buildings. A need has emerged to develop a fundamentally new class of load models and next-generation data tools. This work proposes to develop a set of regional–level, scalable open source load models and tools, including large-scale aggregate load protection, concept of price responsive demand, advanced load composition data, next-generation load model data tools, and advanced composite load model calibration and validation frameworks to address new challenges in the representation of next-generation load models.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Pyomo: Accidentally outrunning the bear

Pyomo is an open-source optimization modeling software that has undergone significant evolution since its inception in 2008. Pyomo has evolved to enhance flexibility, solver integration, and community engagement. Modern collaborative tools for open-source software have facilitated the development of new Pyomo functionality and improved our development process through automated testing and performance-tracking pipelines. However, Pyomo faces challenges typical of research software, including resource limitations and knowledge retention. The Pyomo team’s commitment to better development practices and community engagement reflects a proactive approach to these issues. We describe Pyomo’s development journey, highlighting both successes and failures, in the hopes that other open-source research software packages may benefit from our experiences.

automation↗

Renewable energy analysis in indigenous communities using bottom-up demand prediction

This paper provides a methodology for the holistic analysis of hybrid renewable energy systems in rural communities. Electric demand is an important component for modeling and analysis of renewable energy systems. Typically, electric demand data is not available due to the internal privacy policies of utility providers. Therefore, this study proposes the use of bottom-up approaches for the development of the electric demand profile, considering the general homogeneity of residential and commercial buildings in rural communities. As a test case, this study develops the electric demand profile and investigates the technical and environmental feasibility of a hybrid renewable energy system for the New Town community on the Fort Berthold Indian Reservation (FBIR) in North Dakota. This study conducts the hybrid renewable energy system’s analysis by developing scripts in the LK scripting language and integrating System Advisor Model software’s open-source modules for modeling of renewable energy systems. Here, the results for the validation testbed of this study show that hybrid renewable resources have higher ratios of energy used for self-consumption to the total energy generated compared to stand-alone wind and PV farms.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS): An Open-Access Model for the North American Electricity System

The Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model is NREL’s flagship capacity expansion planning tool for the electric power sector in North America. Originally developed in 2001, ReEDS has been used primarily by NREL researchers to conduct high-profile analysis of the potential evolution of the electricity system. In September 2019, the core model is being released for public use. In this presentation, we provide an overview of the model architecture, key model features, data sources, lessons learned, and sample model results for the North American electric power system.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Adjoint waveform tomography of East Asia for improved waveform prediction

We present a preliminary version of the East Asia Tomography (EAT) model, an adjoint waveform tomography model of East and Southeast Asia. We used SPiRaL (Simmons et al., 2021) as our starting model and source parameters for 238 earthquakes from the Global Centroid Moment Tensor catalogue (Ekström et al., 2012). After 50 iterations on Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s Lassen supercomputer, we converge on a model with a minimum period of 50 seconds. The preliminary model shows improved slab structure compared to SPiRaL and shows significantly reduced misfit. In later versions of the model, we aim to harness techniques proposed in other studies to improve waveform predictions that travel through the ocean (e.g., Wehner et al., 2022) and use relative amplitude-based misfit functions (e.g., Tao et al., 2018) to better constrain Earth structure. We hope to iterate the current extent of the model to 25 seconds minimum period before iterating to shorter periods for a smaller subregion of the full model.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Influence of sea-ice anomalies on Antarctic precipitation using source attribution in the Community Earth System Model

Abstract. We conduct sensitivity experiments using a general circulation model that has an explicit water source tagging capability forced by prescribed composites of pre-industrial sea-ice concentrations (SICs) and corresponding sea surface temperatures (SSTs) to understand the impact of sea-ice anomalies on regional evaporation, moisture transport and source–receptor relationships for Antarctic precipitation in the absence of anthropogenic forcing. Surface sensible heat fluxes, evaporation and column-integrated water vapor are larger over Southern Ocean (SO) areas with lower SICs. Changes in Antarctic precipitation and its source attribution with SICs have a strong spatial variability. Among the tagged source regions, the Southern Ocean (south of 50° S) contributes the most (40 %) to the Antarctic total precipitation, followed by more northerly ocean basins, most notably the South Pacific Ocean (27%), southern Indian Ocean (16 %) and South Atlantic Ocean (11 %). Comparing two experiments prescribed with high and low pre-industrial SICs, respectively, the annual mean Antarctic precipitation is about 150 Gt yr-1 (or 6 %) more in the lower SIC case than in the higher SIC case. This difference is larger than the model-simulated interannual variability in Antarctic precipitation (99 Gt yr-1). The contrast in contribution from the Southern Ocean, 102 Gt yr-1, is even more significant compared to the interannual variability of 35 Gt yr-1 in Antarctic precipitation that originates from the Southern Ocean. The horizontal transport pathways from individual vapor source regions to Antarctica are largely determined by large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. Vapor from lower-latitude source regions takes elevated pathways to Antarctica. In contrast, vapor from the Southern Ocean moves southward within the lower troposphere to the Antarctic continent along moist isentropes that are largely shaped by local ambient conditions and coastal topography. This study also highlights the importance of atmospheric dynamics in affecting the thermodynamic impact of sea-ice anomalies associated with natural variability on Antarctic precipitation. Our analyses of the seasonal contrast in changes of basin-scale evaporation, moisture flux and precipitation suggest that the impact of SIC anomalies on regional Antarctic precipitation depends on dynamic changes that arise from SIC–SST perturbations along with internal variability. The latter appears to have a more significant effect on the moisture transport in austral winter than in summer.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrating the Design of Desalination Technologies into Produced Water Network Optimization

The oil and gas energy sector uses billions of gallons of water for hydraulic fracturing each year to extract oil and gas. The water injected into the ground for fracturing along with naturally occurring formation water from oil wells surfaces back in the form of produced water. Produced water can contain high concentrations of total dissolved solids and is unfit for reuse outside the oil and gas industry without desalination. In semi-arid shale plays, produced water desalination for beneficial reuse could play a crucial role in alleviating water shortages and addressing extreme drought conditions. In this poster we co-optimize the design and operation of desalination technologies along with operational decisions across produced water networks. A multi-period produced water network model with simplified split-fraction-based desalination nodes is developed. Rigorous steady-state desalination mathematical models based on mechanical vapor recompression are developed and embedded at the desalination sites in the network model. An optimal common design across all periods is ensured using global capacity constraints. The solution approach is demonstrated for multi-period planning problems on networks from the PARETO open-source library. Model formulation and challenges associated with scalability are discussed.

Naik, Sakshi↗

Integrating the Design of Desalination Technologies into Produced Water Network Optimization

The oil and gas energy sector uses billions of gallons of water for hydraulic fracturing each year to extract oil and gas. The water injected into the ground for fracturing along with naturally occur-ring formation water from the oil wells surfaces back in the form of produced water. Produced water can contain high concentrations of total dissolved solids and is unfit for reuse outside the oil and gas industry without desalination. In semi-arid shale plays, produced water desalination for beneficial reuse could play a crucial role in alleviating water shortages and addressing extreme drought conditions. In this paper we co-optimize the design and operation of desalination technologies along with operational decisions across produced water networks. A multi-period produced water network model with simplified split-fraction-based desalination nodes is developed. Rigorous steady-state desalination mathematical models based on mechanical vapor recompression are developed and embedded at the desalination sites in the network model. An optimal common design is ensured across all periods using global capacity constraints. The solution approach is demonstrated for multi-period planning problems on networks from the PARETO open-source library. Model formulation and challenges associated with scalability are discussed.

Naik, Sakshi↗

Di-CNN: Domain-Knowledge-Informed Convolutional Neural Network for Manufacturing Quality Prediction

In manufacturing, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are widely used on image sensor data for data-driven process monitoring and quality prediction. However, as purely data-driven models, CNNs do not integrate physical measures or practical considerations into the model structure or training procedure. Consequently, CNNs’ prediction accuracy can be limited, and model outputs may be hard to interpret practically. This study aims to leverage manufacturing domain knowledge to improve the accuracy and interpretability of CNNs in quality prediction. A novel CNN model, named Di-CNN, was developed that learns from both design-stage information (such as working condition and operational mode) and real-time sensor data, and adaptively weighs these data sources during model training. It exploits domain knowledge to guide model training, thus improving prediction accuracy and model interpretability. A case study on resistance spot welding, a popular lightweight metal-joining process for automotive manufacturing, compared the performance of (1) a Di-CNN with adaptive weights (the proposed model), (2) a Di-CNN without adaptive weights, and (3) a conventional CNN. The quality prediction results were measured with the mean squared error (MSE) over sixfold cross-validation. Model (1) achieved a mean MSE of 6.8866 and a median MSE of 6.1916, Model (2) achieved 13.6171 and 13.1343, and Model (3) achieved 27.2935 and 25.6117, demonstrating the superior performance of the proposed model.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Process-oriented stochastic perturbations applied to the parametrization of turbulence and shallow convection for ensemble prediction

Weather forecasting nowadays often requires some estimation of uncertainties associated with the output of meteorological models, in order to better inform decision making, especially in the context of intense weather events. Ensemble prediction systems provide such information through sets of possible scenarios which are designed to represent various uncertainty sources, including model uncertainties. A wide variety of methods have been proposed to estimate model uncertainties, among which perturbation methods targeting uncertain processes are a promising research field. Here, we focus on the representation of small-scale variability by process-oriented perturbation schemes applied to two key physical processes, namely turbulence and shallow convection. The perturbations are applied to a single-column version of the convection-permitting AROME model, in three idealized boundary-layer cases. Large-eddy simulations (LESs) of the same cases serve as a reference for the subgrid variability that has to be represented, and the results are also compared to those given by the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrization Tendencies (SPPT) method, which is a method commonly used by weather forecast centres to represent model uncertainty. The spread produced by our process-oriented perturbations of turbulence and shallow convection does not represent all the small-scale variability implied by the LESs for temperature and humidity. However, it is of a similar order of magnitude for the wind, thanks to perturbations generated by the stochastic turbulence scheme. The dispersion is structurally different from what is obtained with SPPT. It is non-negligible in the lower levels, where SPPT perturbations are usually suppressed because of numerical instabilities, indicating a possible complementarity between the schemes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Semi-implicit method to solve compressible multiphase fluid flows without acoustic time step restrictions

A new 3D multiphase numerical capability is presented here for simulating multiphase flow regimes at all Mach numbers (M). The new method is a semi-implicit extension of the finite volume discrete equation method (DEM) of Chinnaya et al. (2004), which originally used explicit time-stepping. The capability is also developed to work with another extension of the DEM to moving grids for arbitrary Lagrangian-Eularian (ALE) methods detailed in Dunn (2011). Rather than solving all phase equations simultaneously, the DEM reduces the equations to a system of single-phase Riemann solves, where each phase has its own velocity and thermodynamic state. Exchanges between the phases are modeled through source terms accounting for the phase interactions. Furthermore, since the original multiphase scheme uses an explicit time-advancement scheme, it has time step restrictions dictated by the speed of sound, which limits the model's ability to simulate weakly compressible flows which typically need to be integrated for longer time periods. Here, we extend the current multiphase formulation by implementing a pressure-correcting step to enable implicit calculations and remove acoustic time step limitations. The new semi-implicit algorithm allows use of relatively large time steps compared to an explicit method. Validation and benefits of the new implicit time-step method are illustrated using several examples including weakly compressible flows and strong shock waves. The scheme presented here is general and may be used for a variety of applications which require capabilities for handling multiphase flow at a wide range of Mach numbers. However, the goal of this research is to simulate all stages of high energy explosions, including the shock formation (high Mach numbers) and evolution of the buoyant cloud (low Mach numbers).

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Modeling impurity concentrations in liquid argon detectors

Impurities in noble liquid detectors used for neutrino and dark matter experiments can significantly impact the quality of data. We present an experimentally verified model for describing the dynamics of impurity distributions in liquid argon (LAr) detectors. The model considers sources, sinks, and transport of impurities within and between the gas and liquid argon phases. Measurements of oxygen concentrations in a 20-L LAr multi-purpose test stand are compared to calculations made with this model to show that an accurate description of the concentrations under various operational conditions can be obtained. A result of this analysis is a determination of Henry’s coefficient for oxygen in LAr. Additionally, these calculations also show that some processes have small effects on the impurity dynamics and excluding them yields a solution as a sum of two exponential terms. This solution provides a simple way to extract Henry’s coefficient with negligible approximation error. It is applied to the data and the Henry’s coefficient for oxygen in LAr is obtained as 0.84 +0.09 -0.05 , consistent with literature results. Finally, based on the analysis of the data with the model, we further suggest that, for a large liquid argon detector, barriers to flow (“baffles”) installed in the gas phase to restrict flow can help reduce the ultimate impurity concentration in the LAr.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗