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Getting Astrophysical Information from LISA Data

Gravitational wave signals from a large number of astrophysical sources will be present in the LISA data. Information about as many sources as possible must be estimated from time series of strain measurements. Several types of signals are expected to be present: simple periodic signals from relatively stable binary systems, chirped signals from coalescing binary systems, complex waveforms from highly relativistic binary systems, stochastic backgrounds from galactic and extragalactic binary systems and possibly stochastic backgrounds from the early Universe. The orbital motion of the LISA antenna will modulate the phase and amplitude of all these signals, except the isotropic backgrounds and thereby give information on the directions of sources. Here we describe a candidate process for disentangling the gravitational wave signals and estimating the relevant astrophysical parameters from one year of LISA data. Nearly all of the sources will be identified by searching with templates based on source parameters and directions.

Stebbins, R. T.↗

Developing Methods for Exercise System Kinematic Tracking

BACKGROUND How to quantify the load and forces produced by exercise equipment and their Vibration Isolation and Stabilization (VIS) platforms in-flight is an active area of investigation. Kinematic tracking paired with system modeling can provide insights as well as verification and validation of simulations used for system design and development. Traditional motion capture methods can require significant cost in equipment procurement and crew-time, but newer lessons learned can be leveraged [1]. The VIS systems of current and future exercise hardware on the International Space Station (ISS) such as the Cycle Ergometer with Vibration Isolation System (CEVIS) and the European Enhanced Exploration Exercise Device (E4D) are not currently outfitted with IMUs or similar measurement devices. Video-based methods would enable use of multi-purpose, crew-familiar flight equipment. An initial exploration of video-based solutions was performed utilizing 2-camera video from crew cycling on Teal-CEVIS on the ISS. METHODS AND RESULTS Our group has scoped a variety of video-based object tracking methods. To date, we have primarily investigated computer vision toolkits such as open CV. Techniques explored include key-point detection, background subtraction, region-of interest tracking, color-based tracking, tag masking and tracking, and corner detection. Although object-tracking and 6D pose estimation is a rich field, space applications are a unique problem that are challenging for existing software and toolkits. The majority of the existing object-tracking applications involve vehicles/pedestrians and household objects with simple backgrounds. We have identified the following features which pose particular challenges for on-station exercise equipment tracking: 1. Busy and visually cluttered background 2. Low-textured tracking object with relatively small motions 3. Occlusions and motion by human subject and loose, floating objects 4. Limited number of video cameras with no fixed global references 5. Limited ability to add tags, markers, or visual references to the tracking object 6. Lack of training data for Machine Learning (ML) algorithms CONCLUSION We will summarize the efficacy of techniques tested for a ground mock-trial and the on-station exercise trial. It is likely that human-in-loop feedback or a conglomerate of methods is required. ML-based methods, like those implemented for human body tracking [2], may still be a viable option, but more training data and validation is needed.

L Nilsson↗

Developing Methods for Exercise System Kinematics Tracking

BACKGROUND How to quantify the load and forces produced by exercise equipment and their Vibration Isolation and Stabilization (VIS) platforms in-flight is an active area of investigation. Kinematic tracking paired with system modeling can provide insights as well as verification and validation of simulations used for system design and development. Traditional motion capture methods can require significant cost in equipment procurement and crew-time, but newer lessons learned can be leveraged [1]. The VIS systems of current and future exercise hardware on the International Space Station (ISS) such as the Cycle Ergometer with Vibration Isolation System (CEVIS) and the European Enhanced Exploration Exercise Device (E4D) are not currently outfitted with IMUs or similar measurement devices. Video-based methods would enable use of multi-purpose, crew-familiar flight equipment. An initial exploration of video-based solutions was performed utilizing 2-camera video from crew cycling on Teal-CEVIS on the ISS. METHODS AND RESULTS Our group has scoped a variety of video-based object tracking methods. To date, we have primarily investigated computer vision toolkits such as openCV. Techniques explored include key-point detection, background subtraction, region-of interest tracking, color-based tracking, tag masking and tracking, and corner detection. Although object-tracking and 6D pose estimation is a rich field, space applications are a unique problem that are challenging for existing software and toolkits. The majority of the existing object-tracking applications involve vehicles/pedestrians and household objects with simple backgrounds. We have identified the following features which pose particular challenges for on-station exercise equipment tracking: Busy and visually cluttered background Low-textured tracking object with relatively small motions Occlusions and motion by human subject and loose, floating objects Limited number of video cameras with no fixed global references Limited ability to add tags, markers, or visual references to the tracking object Lack of training data for Machine Learning (ML) algorithms CONCLUSION We will summarize the efficacy of techniques tested for a ground mock-trial and the on-station exercise trial. It is likely that human-in-loop feedback or a conglomerate of methods is required. ML-based methods, like those implemented for human body tracking [2], may still be a viable option, but more training data and validation is needed.

L B Nilsson↗

Combining visible and infrared techniques with LAMMR for daily rainfall estimates

A brief description of other methods of rainfall measurement at the sea surface is given. The general underwater ambient noise background of the ocean is described. The physics of noise generation by bubbles and splashes is reviewed. Monitoring underwater ambient noise levels to measure rainfall rate requires that the spectral shapes of the noise from wind and rain be different or at least distinguishable. This would allow the rain noise to be separated from the wind noise and then hopefully it can be correlated with rainfall rate. Different spectral shapes are observed experimentally.

Lovejoy, S.↗

New Approach to Monitor Transboundary Particulate Pollution over Northeast Asia

A new approach to more accurately monitor and evaluate transboundary particulate matter (PM) pollution is introduced based on aerosol optical products from Korea's Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI). The area studied is Northeast Asia (including eastern parts of China, the Korean peninsula and Japan), where GOCI has been monitoring since June 2010. The hourly multi-spectral aerosol optical data that were retrieved from GOCI sensor onboard geostationary satellite COMS (Communication, Ocean, and Meteorology Satellite) through the Yonsei aerosol retrieval algorithm were first presented and used in this study. The GOCI-retrieved aerosol optical data are integrated with estimated aerosol distributions from US EPA Models-3/CMAQ (Community Multi-scale Air Quality) v4.5.1 model simulations via data assimilation technique, thereby making the aerosol data spatially continuous and available even for cloud contamination cells. The assimilated aerosol optical data are utilized to provide quantitative estimates of transboundary PM pollution from China to the Korean peninsula and Japan. For the period of 1 April to 31 May, 2011 this analysis yields estimates that AOD as a proxy for PM2.5 or PM10 during long-range transport events increased by 117-265% compared to background average AOD (aerosol optical depth) at the four AERONET sites in Korea, and average AOD increases of 121% were found when averaged over the entire Korean peninsula. This paper demonstrates that the use of multi-spectral AOD retrievals from geostationary satellites can improve estimates of transboundary PM pollution. Such data will become more widely available later this decade when new sensors such as the GEMS (Geostationary Environment Monitoring Spectrometer) and GOCI-2 are scheduled to be launched.

Data Assimilation↗

Software analysis handbook: Software complexity analysis and software reliability estimation and prediction

This handbook documents the three software analysis processes the Space Station Software Analysis team uses to assess space station software, including their backgrounds, theories, tools, and analysis procedures. Potential applications of these analysis results are also presented. The first section describes how software complexity analysis provides quantitative information on code, such as code structure and risk areas, throughout the software life cycle. Software complexity analysis allows an analyst to understand the software structure, identify critical software components, assess risk areas within a software system, identify testing deficiencies, and recommend program improvements. Performing this type of analysis during the early design phases of software development can positively affect the process, and may prevent later, much larger, difficulties. The second section describes how software reliability estimation and prediction analysis, or software reliability, provides a quantitative means to measure the probability of failure-free operation of a computer program, and describes the two tools used by JSC to determine failure rates and design tradeoffs between reliability, costs, performance, and schedule.

Computer systems design↗

Apollo 15 contamination photography

The problem of optical contamination in the form of particulates in the vicinity of a spacecraft has been a source of concern for any astronomical experiment that must be performed in sunlight. This concern prompted a photographic photometric experiment on Apollo 15 to measure the brightness of the residual contamination cloud as well as the cloud produced by dumping waste water overboard. An upper limit of 10 to the minus 12.3 power B (B designates the brightness of the solar disc) was placed on the residual cloud at a 90 deg sun angle, which is comparable to the zodiacal light. The brightness of the cloud produced by the waste dump was estimated to be 10 to the minus 9.2 power B. It was observed to decrease rapidly to 10 to the -11.6 power B in minutes, then fluctuate in brightness for at least 25 minutes as additional material left the spacecraft. The cloud was observed to consist of individually resolved particle tracks estimated to be particles ranging from millimeters to centimeters in diameter in addition to a background of unresolved particles with an average diameter of 10.5 microns. Most of the tracks proceeded in straight-line paths from the dump nozzle. Several tracks violated this direction, apparently having been scattered by collisions. A few tracks appeared to have definite curvatures, which are believed to be caused by charged particle interactions.

Naumann, R. J.↗

Scientist/AMPS equipment interface study

The principal objective was to determine for each experiment how the operating procedures and modes of equipment onboard shuttle can be managed in real-time or near-real-time to enhance the quality of results. As part of this determination the data and display devices that a man will need for real-time management are defined. The secondary objectives, as listed in the RFQ and technical proposal, were to: (1) determine what quantities are to be measured (2) determine permissible background levels (3) decide in what portions of space measurements are to be made (4) estimate bit rates (5) establish time-lines for operating the experiments on a mission or set of missions and (6) determine the minimum set of hardware needed for real-time display. Experiment descriptions and requirements were written. The requirements of the various experiments are combined and a minimal set of joint requirements are defined.

Anderson, H. R.↗

A comparison of calculated and measured background noise rates in hard X-ray telescopes at balloon altitude

An actively shielded hard X-ray astronomical telescope has been flown on stratospheric balloons. An attempt is made to compare the measured spectral distribution of the background noise counting rates over the energy loss range 20-300 keV with the contributions estimated from a series of Monte Carlo and other computations. The relative contributions of individual particle interactions are assessed.

Dean, A. J.↗

Chandra Observation of NGC 6822

Chandra observed the nearby dwarf galaxy NGC 6822. There are 70 sources in the Chandra field, two of which are fairly extended and likely background clusters of galaxies. A third source was resolved by Chandra and has the same size and position as a known supernova remnant. The suspected variability detected from this source in previous missions is shown to be in error. The majority of the remaining 67 sources are consistent with background sources. Of the 61 sources detected above a completeness limit of 10 events we estimate that 9+/-4+/-8 are associated with the galaxy including both systematic and statistical errors. We compare the X-ray positions of all sources with various catalogs and HST data'and offer tentative identifications for several. Based on the mass and star formation rate of NGC 6822 we only expect about 10 sources mostly high mass systems.

Tennant, Allyn F.↗

Algorithms for Learning Preferences for Sets of Objects

A method is being developed that provides for an artificial-intelligence system to learn a user's preferences for sets of objects and to thereafter automatically select subsets of objects according to those preferences. The method was originally intended to enable automated selection, from among large sets of images acquired by instruments aboard spacecraft, of image subsets considered to be scientifically valuable enough to justify use of limited communication resources for transmission to Earth. The method is also applicable to other sets of objects: examples of sets of objects considered in the development of the method include food menus, radio-station music playlists, and assortments of colored blocks for creating mosaics. The method does not require the user to perform the often-difficult task of quantitatively specifying preferences; instead, the user provides examples of preferred sets of objects. This method goes beyond related prior artificial-intelligence methods for learning which individual items are preferred by the user: this method supports a concept of setbased preferences, which include not only preferences for individual items but also preferences regarding types and degrees of diversity of items in a set. Consideration of diversity in this method involves recognition that members of a set may interact with each other in the sense that when considered together, they may be regarded as being complementary, redundant, or incompatible to various degrees. The effects of such interactions are loosely summarized in the term portfolio effect. The learning method relies on a preference representation language, denoted DD-PREF, to express set-based preferences. In DD-PREF, a preference is represented by a tuple that includes quality (depth) functions to estimate how desired a specific value is, weights for each feature preference, the desired diversity of feature values, and the relative importance of diversity versus depth. The system applies statistical concepts to estimate quantitative measures of the user s preferences from training examples (preferred subsets) specified by the user. Once preferences have been learned, the system uses those preferences to select preferred subsets from new sets. The method was found to be viable when tested in computational experiments on menus, music playlists, and rover images. Contemplated future development efforts include further tests on more diverse sets and development of a sub-method for (a) estimating the parameter that represents the relative importance of diversity versus depth, and (b) incorporating background knowledge about the nature of quality functions, which are special functions that specify depth preferences for features.

Wagstaff, Kiri L.↗

High latitude H I shells in the Galaxy. I

A search has been made for H I shells in the 21-cm maps made by Heiles and Habing (1974) for absolute values of galactic latitude greater than 10 deg. A filter in the velocity dimension was used to enhance shell features over background gas. Positions, expansion velocities, column densities, and angular extents were measured for the 50 shells that were discovered. Incorporating distance estimates, masses and kinetic energies were estimated for the shells. A striking result was the failure of swept-up matter in a standard model for gas in the disk (density at the midplane approximately 1/cu cm; exponential scale height approximately 130 pc) to reproduce the observed shell column densities. While measured shell densities may be insufficiently corrected for background gas, the magnitude of this effect is too large to be explained by such a discrepancy alone. This may suggest that the shells seen in this survey occur in regions of relatively high density. The distribution of H I shells was compared with the distribution of other large-scale features in the Galaxy: H I shell structures are found to correlate with the positions of radio continuum loops I, II, and III, and to show little relation to the distribution of O and B stars.

Hu, E. M.↗

A TRMM Microwave Radiometer Rain Rate Estimation Method with Convective and Stratiform Discrimination

Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) radiometer brightness temperature data in the 85 GHz channel (T85) reveal distinct local minima (T85min) in a regional map containing a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS). This is because of relatively small footprint size (approximately 5.5 km) and strong extinction properties in this channel of the TMI. A map of surface rain rate for that region, deduced from simultaneous measurements made by the Precipitation Radar (PR) on board the TRMM satellite, reveals that these T85(sub min), produced by scattering, correspond to local PR rain maxima. Utilizing the PR rain rate map as a guide, we infer empirically from TMI data the presence of three different kinds of thunderstorms or Cbs. These Cbs are classified as young, mature, and decaying types, and are assumed to have a scale of about 20 km on the average. Two parameters are used to classify these three kinds of Cbs based on the T85 data: a) the magnitude of scattering depression deduced from local T85(sub min) and b) the mean horizontal gradient of T85 around such minima. Knowing the category of a given Cb, we can estimate the rain rate associated with it. Such estimation is done with the help of relationships linking T85min to rain rate in each Cb type. Similarly, a weak background rain rate in all the areas where T85 is less than 260 K is deduced with another relationship linking T85 to rain rate. In our rain retrieval model, this background rain constitutes stratiform rain where the Cbs are absent. Initially, these relationships are optimized or tuned utilizing the PR and TMI data of a few MCS events. After such tuning, the model is applied to independent MCS cases. The areal distribution of light (1-10 mm/hr), moderate (10-20 mm/hr), and intense (>= 20 mm/hr) rain rates are retrieved satisfactorily. Accuracy in the estimates of the light, moderate, and intense rain areas and the mean rain rates associated with such areas in these independent MCS cases is on the average about 15 %. Taking advantage of this ability of our retrieval method, one could derive the latent heat input into the atmosphere over the 760 km wide swath of the TMI radiometer in the tropics.

Prabhakara, C.↗

Baysian recursive image estimation.

Discussion of a statistical procedure for treatment of noise-affected images to recover unaffected images by recursive processing with noise background elimination. The feasibility of the application of a recursive linear Kalman filtering technique to image processing is demonstrated. The procedure is applicable to images which are characterized statistically by mean and correlation functions. A time invariant dynamic model is proposed to provide stationary statistics for the scanner output.

Nahi, N. E.↗

Inflight estimation of gyro noise

A method is described and demonstrated for estimating single-axis gyro noise levels in terms of the Farrenkopf model parameters. This is accomplished for the Cosmic Background Explorer (COBE) by comparing gyro-propagated attitudes with less accurate single-frame solutions and fitting the squared differences to a third-order polynomial in time. Initial results are consistent with the gyro specifications, and these results are used to determine limits on the duration of batches used to determine attitude. Sources of error are discussed, and guidelines for a more elegant implementation, as part of a batch estimator or filter, are included for future work.

Filla, O. H.↗

Jovian Plasmas Torus Interaction with Europa. Plasma Wake Structure and Effect of Inductive Magnetic Field: 3D Hybrid Kinetic Simulation

The hybrid kinetic model supports comprehensive simulation of the interaction between different spatial and energetic elements of the Europa moon-magnetosphere system with respect to a variable upstream magnetic field and flux or density distributions of plasma and energetic ions, electrons, and neutral atoms. This capability is critical for improving the interpretation of the existing Europa flyby measurements from the Galileo Orbiter mission, and for planning flyby and orbital measurements (including the surface and atmospheric compositions) for future missions. The simulations are based on recent models of the atmosphere of Europa (Cassidy et al., 2007; Shematovich et al., 2005). In contrast to previous approaches with MHD simulations, the hybrid model allows us to fully take into account the finite gyroradius effect and electron pressure, and to correctly estimate the ion velocity distribution and the fluxes along the magnetic field (assuming an initial Maxwellian velocity distribution for upstream background ions). Photoionization, electron-impact ionization, charge exchange and collisions between the ions and neutrals are also included in our model. We consider the models with Oþ þ and Sþ þ background plasma, and various betas for background ions and electrons, and pickup electrons. The majority of O2 atmosphere is thermal with an extended non-thermal population (Cassidy et al., 2007). In this paper, we discuss two tasks: (1) the plasma wake structure dependence on the parameters of the upstream plasma and Europa's atmosphere (model I, cases (a) and (b) with a homogeneous Jovian magnetosphere field, an inductive magnetic dipole and high oceanic shell conductivity); and (2) estimation of the possible effect of an induced magnetic field arising from oceanic shell conductivity. This effect was estimated based on the difference between the observed and modeled magnetic fields (model II, case (c) with an inhomogeneous Jovian magnetosphere field, an inductive magnetic dipole and low oceanic shell conductivity).

Jovian magnetosphere↗

Using Atmospheric Trace Gas Vertical Profiles to Evaluate Model Fluxes: A Case Study of Arctic-Cap Observations and Geos Simulations for the ABoVE Domain

Accurate estimates of carbon–climate feedbacks require an independent means for evaluating surface flux models at regional scales. The altitude-integrated enhancement (AIE) derived from the Arctic Carbon Atmospheric Profiles (Arctic-CAP) project demonstrates the utility of this bulk quantity for surface flux model evaluation. This bulk quantity leverages background mole fraction values from the middle free troposphere, is agnostic to uncertainties in boundary layer height, and can be derived from model estimates of mole fractions and vertical gradients. To demonstrate the utility of the bulk quantity, six airborne profiling surveys of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and carbon monoxide (CO) throughout Alaska and northwestern Canada between April and November 2017 were completed as part of NASA’s Arctic–Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE). The Arctic-CAP sampling strategy involved acquiring vertical profiles of CO2, CH4, and CO from the surface to 5 km altitude at 25 sites around the ABoVE domain on a 4- to 6-week time interval. All Arctic-CAP measurements were compared to a global simulation using the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) modeling system. Comparisons of the AIE bulk quantity from aircraft observations and GEOS simulations of atmospheric CO2, CH4, and CO highlight the fidelity of the modeled surface fluxes. The model–data comparison over the ABoVE domain reveals that while current state-of-the-art models and flux estimates are able to capture broad-scale spatial and temporal patterns in near-surface CO2 and CH4 concentrations, more work is needed to resolve fine-scale flux features that are captured in CO observations

CO2↗

TMI Rain Rate Estimation Over Land and Ocean Utilizing Convective and Stratiform Discrimination

Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) radiometer brightness temperature data in the 85 GHz channel (T85) reveal distinct local minima in a regional map containing a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS). This is because of relatively small footprint size (approximately 5.5 km) and strong extinction properties in this channel of the TMI. A map of rain rate for that region, deduced from simultaneous measurements made by the Precipitation Radar (PR) on board the TRMM satellite, reveals that these T85 minima, produced by scattering, correspond to local PR rain maxima. Utilizing the PR rain rate map as a guide, we infer from TMI data the presence of three different kinds of thunderstorms or Cbs. They are young, mature, and decaying Cbs that have a scale of about 20 km on the average. Two parameters enable us to infer these three kinds of Cbs objectively: a) the magnitude of scattering depression deduced from local T85 minima and b) the mean horizontal gradient of T85 around such minima. Knowing the category of a given Cb, we can estimate the rain rate associated with it. Such estimation is done with the help of relationships linking T85 minimum to rain rate in each Cb type. Similarly, a weak background rain rate in all the areas where T85 is less than 260 K is deduced with another relationship linking T85 to rain rate. In our rain retrieval model, this background rain constitutes the stratiform rain where the Cbs are absent. Initially, these relationships are optimized or tuned utilizing the PR and TMI data of a few MCS events. After such tuning, the model is applied to independent MCS cases. The areal distribution of light (1-10 mm/hr), moderate (10-20 mm/hr), and intense (> 20 mm/hr) rain rates are retrieved satisfactorally. Accuracy in the estimates of the light, moderate and intense rain areas and the mean rain rates associated with such areas in these independent MCS cases is on the average about 15%. Taking advantage of this ability of our retrieval method, one could derive the latent heat input into the atmosphere over the 760 km wide swath of the TMI radiometer in the tropics.

Prabhakara, C.↗