AIAA SOSTC NASA CARA Best Practices for Autonomous Maneuvering
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Conjunction Assessment↗
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Effect of Cross-Correlation of Orbital Error on Probability of Collision Determination
This paper discusses the effect of global model error on probability of collision (Pc) determination. Modifications to the Pc formulation for cross-correlation of orbital error in prediction are developed and assessed for recent conjunctions. While specific geometries can be identified or constructed to produce significant change in Pc for the modified formulation, it is of operational interest to quanti- fy the relative occurrence of such cases for satellite conjunction risk assessment. Large-scale analysis is feasible per data collections in place over the past year.
Steve Casali↗
The 7 Year Evolution of EOS CA Support for Planning & Executing Risk Mitigation Maneuvers
This presentation will discuss the evolution of Collision Avoidance (CA) support for planning and executing Risk Mitigation Maneuvers (RMMs) for the Earth Observing System (EOS) Aqua, Aura, and Terra satellites within the seven-year period of January 2015 through December 2021. Several enhancements were implemented by the EOS team to expedite and improve the RMM planning and execution process, including updates to High Interest Event (HIE) analysis, maneuver preparation, maneuver ephemeris generation, conjunction event data screening, and maneuver commanding. As of 2022, these advancements allow the EOS team to plan and execute an RMM within 5 hours of identification with an accurate and low-risk solution. This represents a vast improvement from the 30 hours required to turn around an RMM back in 2015. In addition, the current process is substantially less error prone. Details of this progression and the specific aspects of each supporting component are explicated in the content of the presentation.
Syed Hasan↗
Sustainable and Circular Economy
This poster presents on case studies showing opportunities to recover critical materials through circularity and to address the end of life challenge for plastics. It shows examples of projects that are investigating the Circular Economy and helping understand each sectors unique challenges. It further lays out the methodology for the case studies that could be used for other industry assessments. Lastly, it demonstrates how the funded analysis tools can be used in conjunction with each other to answer both economic and environmental justice questions.
circularity↗
SERS-based ssDNA composition analysis with inhomogeneous peak broadening and reservoir computing
Surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy employed in conjunction with post-processing machine learning methods is a promising technique for effective data analysis, allowing one to enhance the molecular and chemical composition analysis of information rich DNA molecules. In this work, we report on a room temperature inhomogeneous broadening as a function of the increased adenine concentration and employ this feature to develop one-dimensional and two dimensional chemical composition classification models of 200 long single stranded DNA sequences. Afterwards, we develop a reservoir computing chemical composition classification scheme of the same molecules and demonstrate enhanced performance that does not rely on manual feature identification.
71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
An Investigation Into Transecting Satellites in Future Space Traffic Management Scenarios
The number of satellites expected to populate the near-Earth space environment is set to dramatically increase in the coming decade as new large constellations are approved and deployed. Current strategies for deploying new batches of these satellites often involve launching into an initial orbit, and then performing apogee raising maneuvers to reach a target altitude. Similarly, end-of-life planning for these constellation satellites can consist of de-orbit burns that lower perigee to permit disposal via re-entry. Both the raising and de-orbiting maneuvers can result in the individual satellites traveling in transecting orbits that have the potential to cross other spacecraft trajectories. While individual large constellations may be able to coexist in separate altitude and inclination bands, having thousands of satellites moving between these bands as new satellites are added and old satellites are removed could pose additional collision risks. Similar concerns have been raised regarding the impact that large numbers of university-class CubeSats might have in terms of their overall collision risk, especially as these satellites typically do not have propulsion systems for active maneuvering. To assess the impact that transecting satellites might have on future space traffic management strategies, this study explored a variety of realistic future scenarios using a high-fidelity simulation tool. The model can simulate the orbit of tens of thousands of resident space objects (RSOs) simultaneously, to include active satellites, debris, rocket bodies, or even future hypothetical satellite constellations, using a realistic force model that incorporates non-spherical gravity, atmospheric drag, and solar radiation pressure, as well as station-keeping. The simulation can be customized to accommodate different methods of calculating the probability of collision, as well as the process for determining probability ellipsoids and screening volumes. This makes it possible to replicate, and compare, different processes used by different spacecraft operators and space situational awareness (SSA) providers. As the model is run forward in time, each conjunction event is recorded, allowing for the analysis of statistics and meta-data related to these events, providing insight into the nature and frequency of potential collisions, such as whether are they active or passive objects, what size are the two objects, and who owns the objects (if known). This information makes it possible to characterize how changes to the status quo affect the number and type of conjunctions that occur, as well as the distributional effects on various types of satellite operators. To assess the general risks that transecting satellites might pose for hypothetical future space object environments, approximately 60,000 new large constellation satellites were considered, in addition to the existing catalog of approximately 7800 known resident space objects (RSOs), over a simulation period of one year. The results indicate that the future space environment will introduce a non-linear increase in conjunction events as the number of RSOs also increase. This will require adjustments to spacecraft fuel budgets in order to conduct the avoidance maneuvers necessary to minimize collision risk, both for existing and new satellites. This increase is due in large part to the higher density of RSOs and the overlap between some constellation orbits. Current catalog objects were shown to require three times more ∆V for collision avoidance (CA) maneuvers in the simulated future environment, and some constellation spacecraft were estimated to devote the majority of their annual ∆V to CA. The impact of small satellites was found to be proportional for the current space environment, and actually decreased in terms of percentage for the future scenario, suggesting that small satellites do not pose an outsized collision risk. Lastly, transecting satellites were found to contribute thousands of additional conjunctions outside of their operational orbit, and may require up to an additional 5% in CA maneuver fuel allocation.
conjunction assessment↗
Aerodynamic preliminary analysis system. Part 2: User's manual and program description
A comprehensive aerodynamic analysis program based on linearized potential theory is described. The solution treats thickness and attitude problems at subsonic and supersonic speeds. Three dimensional configurations with or without jet flaps having multiple nonplanar surfaces of arbitrary planform and open or closed slender bodies or noncircular contour are analyzed. Longitudinal and lateral-directional static and rotary derivative solutions are generated. The analysis is implemented on a time sharing system in conjunction with an input tablet digitizer and an interactive graphics input/output display and editing terminal to maximize its responsiveness to the preliminary analysis problem. Nominal case computation time of 45 CPU seconds on the CDC 175 for a 200 panel simulation indicates the program provides an efficient analysis for systematically performing various aerodynamic configuration tradeoff and evaluation studies.
Divan, P.↗
Aerodynamic preliminary analysis system. Part 1: Theory
A comprehensive aerodynamic analysis program based on linearized potential theory is described. The solution treats thickness and attitude problems at subsonic and supersonic speeds. Three dimensional configurations with or without jet flaps having multiple non-planar surfaces of arbitrary planform and open or closed slender bodies of non-circular contour may be analyzed. Longitudinal and lateral-directional static and rotary derivative solutions may be generated. The analysis was implemented on a time sharing system in conjunction with an input tablet digitizer and an interactive graphics input/output display and editing terminal to maximize its responsiveness to the preliminary analysis problem. Nominal case computation time of 45 CPU seconds on the CDC 175 for a 200 panel simulation indicates the program provides an efficient analysis for systematically performing various aerodynamic configuration tradeoff and evaluation studies.
Bonner, E.↗
Aerodynamic preliminary analysis system 2. Part 1: Theory
An aerodynamic analysis system based on potential theory at subsonic and/or supersonic speeds and impact type finite element solutions at hypersonic conditions is described. Three dimensional configurations having multiple nonplanar surfaces of arbitrary planform and bodies of noncircular contour may be analyzed. Static, rotary, and control longitudinal and lateral directional characteristics may be generated. The analysis was implemented on a time sharing system in conjunction with an input tablet digitizer and an interactive graphics input/output display and editing terminal to maximize its responsiveness to the preliminary analysis problem. The program provides an efficient analysis for systematically performing various aerodynamic configuration tradeoff and evaluation studies.
Bonner, E.↗
Aerodynamic preliminary analysis system 2. Part 2: User's manual
An aerodynamic analysis system based on potential theory at subsonic and/or supersonic speeds and impact type finite element solutions at hypersonic conditions is described. Three dimensional configurations have multiple nonplanar surfaces of arbitrary planforms and bodies of noncircular contour may be analyzed. Static, rotary, and control longitudinal and lateral-directional characteristics may be generated. The analysis was implemented on a time sharing system in conjunction with an input tablet digitizer and an interactive graphics input/output display and editing terminal to maximize its responsiveness to the preliminary analysis. Computation times on an IBM 3081 are typically less than one minute of CPU/Mach number at subsonic, supersonic, or hypersonic speeds. This is a user manual for the computer programming.
Sova, G.↗
Implementation of efficient sensitivity analysis for optimization of large structures
The paper presents the theoretical bases and implementation techniques of sensitivity analyses for efficient structural optimization of large structures, based on finite element static and dynamic analysis methods. The sensitivity analyses have been implemented in conjunction with two methods for optimization, namely, the Mathematical Programming and Optimality Criteria methods. The paper discusses the implementation of the sensitivity analysis method into our in-house software package, AutoDesign.
Umaretiya, J. R.↗
Ballistic Leverage for Conjunction Avoidance During the Lunar Transit Trajectory of NASA's Co-Manifested Vehicle
Analysis is completed to investigate the sensitivity of the Lunar Transit Trajectory of NASA’s Co-Manifested Vehicle (CMV) to the insertion of intentional coasting into an otherwise nearly continuous low thrust maneuver. A reference trajectory is developed which explicitly models low altitude thruster shutdowns in a level of detail not included in previous Design Reference Missions. This reference trajectory is used to investigate the sensitivity of the Lunar Transit to additional inserted coasting, presented in the form of separation of the perturbed trajectory from the reference as a function of mission elapsed time and duration and location of the coast segment. These results are shown to inform potential conjunction avoidance strategies during the CMV’s long low thrust spiral from a highly elliptic Earth parking orbit to the target Gateway Near Rectilinear HALO Orbit (NRHO).
low thrust↗
Ballistic Leverage for Conjunction Avoidance During the Lunar Transit Trajectory of NASA's Co-Manifested Vehicle
Analysis is completed to investigate the sensitivity of the Lunar Transit Trajectory of NASA’s Co-Manifested Vehicle (CMV) to the insertion of intentional coasting into an otherwise nearly continuous low thrust maneuver. A reference trajectory is developed which explicitly models low altitude thruster shutdowns in a level of detail not included in previous Design Reference Missions. This reference trajectory is used to investigate the sensitivity of the Lunar Transit to additional inserted coasting, presented in the form of separation of the perturbed trajectory from the reference as a function of mission elapsed time and duration and location of the coast segment. These results are shown to inform potential conjunction avoidance strategies during the CMV’s long low thrust spiral from a highly elliptic Earth parking orbit to the target Gateway Near Rectilinear HALO Orbit (NRHO).
low thrust↗
Selection Algorithm Improvement for MicroBooNE
Data selection is an extremely important part of data analysis for any experiment. Finding a physics result is often the result of sifting through a massive amount of data, keeping data that we believe to be signal and throwing out data we do not. This process is called data selection. Creating a selection algorithm is an intensive process that must balance keeping enough data to have statistics and maximizing the signal purity of that data. In this study, we used three different reconstruction tools, Pandora, WireCell, and LANTERN, for the MicroBooNE experiment in conjunction to improve the selection algorithm for analysis. For the case of this study, we look into the charged current N proton 0 pions (CCNp0$\pi$) interaction channel. This is the dominant channel for the Short Baseline Neutrino (SBN) program and is expected to be a large contributor to the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). We first investigated each of the three tools to find out more about their strengths and weaknesses as reconstructions. We then put together a direct comparison of the three methods to find which method or combination of methods would return the best result for us. While the study is ongoing, we have learned a lot about data selection for the experiment and the differences between the reconstruction tools.
Dillon, Brayden [Michigan State U.]↗
Determination of minority-carrier lifetime and surface recombination velocity with high spacial resolution
Quantitative analysis of the electron beam induced current in conjunction with high-resolution scanning makes it possible to evaluate the minority-carrier lifetime three dimensionally in the bulk and the surface recombination velocity two dimensionally, with a high spacial resolution. The analysis is based on the concept of the effective excitation strength of the carriers which takes into consideration all possible recombination sources. Two-dimensional mapping of the surface recombination velocity of phosphorus-diffused silicon diodes is presented as well as a three-dimensional mapping of the changes in the minority-carrier lifetime in ion-implanted silicon.
Watanabe, M.↗
Data Selection Improvement For MicroBooNE
Data selection is an extremely important part of data analysis for any experiment. Finding a physics result is often the result of sifting through a massive amount of data, keeping data that we believe to be signal, and throwing out data we do not. This process is called data selection. Creating a selection algorithm is an intensive process that must balance keeping enough data to have statistics and maximizing the signal purity of that data. We also need to choose the right reconstruction method, a tool to take raw data from the detector and convert it into physics results. In this study, we used three different reconstruction tools, Pandora, WireCell, and LANTERN, for the MicroBooNE experiment in conjunction to improve the selection algorithm for analysis. For the case of this study, we look into the charged current N proton 0 pions (CCNp0$\pi$) interaction channel. This is the dominant channel for the Short Baseline Neutrino (SBN) program and is expected to be a large contributor to the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). We first investigated each of the three tools to find out more about their strengths and weaknesses as reconstructions, and compared them to the truth information directly from the MicroBooNE simulation pipeline. We then put together a direct comparison of the three methods to find which method or combination of methods would return the best result for us. While the study is ongoing, we have learned a lot about data selection for the experiment and the differences between the reconstruction tools.
Dillon, Brayden [Fermilab]↗
The Efficacy and Safety of Mesalamine and Probiotics in Mild‐to‐Moderate Ulcerative Colitis: A Systematic Review and Meta‐Analysis
Objective . To evaluate the efficacy and safety of mesalamine in conjunction with probiotics for ulcerative colitis. Methods . Random controlled trials (RCTs) were searched in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, and VIP (VIP Database for Chinese Technical Periodicals) from inception to October 2019. Methodological quality was assessed by the Cochrane Collaboration tool. The quality of evidence was rated by the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE). Data analysis was carried out in Review Manager 5.3. Results . A total of fifteen studies met the criteria for inclusion. Thirteen studies reported the clinical efficacy, three studies provided data on the clinical symptom scores, two trials reported disease activity index, four studies evaluated endoscopic score, and twelve studies reported adverse events. For ulcerative colitis (UC), mesalamine and probiotics had better clinical efficacy than mesalamine alone (≤8 weeks: RR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.07–1.18, P < 0.0001; >8 weeks: RR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.11–1.41, P = 0.0003). On the clinical symptom scores, disease activity index, and endoscopic score, UC patients receiving mesalamine and probiotics had significant difference than patients receiving mesalazine alone (MD = −2.02, 95% CI: −3.28 to −0.76, P = 0.002; MD = −1.20, 95% CI: −1.76 to −0.65, P < 0.001; and MD = −0.42, 95% CI: −0.61 to −0.23, P < 0.0001, respectively). There was no statistically significant difference in adverse events between the two groups (RR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.54 to 1.43, P = 0.60). Conclusion . Our meta‐analysis results supported that mesalamine and probiotics were effective and safe in treating ulcerative colitis.
Tian, Chunying↗
Multispectral analysis of ocean dumped materials
Remotely sensed data were collected in conjunction with sea-truth measurements in three experiments in the New York Bight. Pollution features of primary interest were ocean dumped materials, such as sewage sludge and acid waste. Sewage-sludge and acid-waste plumes, including plumes from sewage sludge dumped by the 'line-dump' and 'spot-dump' methods, were located, identified, and mapped. Previously developed quantitative analysis techniques for determining quantitative distributions of materials in sewage sludge dumps were evaluated, along with multispectral analysis techniques developed to identify ocean dumped materials. Results of these experiments and the associated data analysis investigations are presented and discussed.
Johnson, R. W.↗