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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Predicting Short-Term Deformation in the Central Valley Using Machine Learning

Land subsidence caused by excessive groundwater pumping in Central Valley, California, is a major issue that has several negative impacts such as reduced aquifer storage and damaged infrastructures which, in turn, produce an economic loss due to the high reliance on crop production. This is why it is of utmost importance to routinely monitor and assess the surface deformation occurring. Two main goals that this paper attempts to accomplish are deformation characterization and deformation prediction. The first goal is realized through the use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) applied to a series of Interferomtric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images that produces eigenimages displaying the key characteristics of the subsidence. Water storage changes are also directly analyzed by the use of data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) twin satellites and the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). The second goal is accomplished by building a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to predict short-term deformation after developing an InSAR time series using LiCSBAS, an open-source InSAR time series package. The model is applied to the city of Madera and produces better results than a baseline averaging model and a one dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) based on a mean squared error metric showing the effectiveness of machine learning in deformation prediction as well as the potential for incorporation in hazard mitigation models. The model results can directly aid policy makers in determining the appropriate rate of groundwater withdrawal while maintaining the safety and well-being of the population as well as the aquifers’ integrity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Application of Machine Learning to Predict the Response of the Liquid Mercury Target at the Spallation Neutron Source

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is currently the most powerful accelerator-driven neutron source in the world. The intense proton pulses strike on SNS’s mercury target to provide bright neutron beams, which also leads to severe fluid-structure interactions inside the target. Prediction of resultant loading on the target is difficult particularly when helium gas is intentionally injected into mercury to reduce the loading and mitigate the pitting damage on the target’s internal walls. Leveraging the power of machine learning and the measured target strain, we have developed machine learning surrogates for modeling the discrepancy between simulations and experimental strain data. We then employ these surrogates to guide the refinement of the high-fidelity mercury/helium mixture model to predict a better match of target strain response.

Lin, Lianshan↗
DOE OSTI2022

Energetic Materials

Energetic materials comprise explosives, pyrotechnics, and propellants. The science of energetic materials is dedicated to developing a means to predict performance and safety characteristics with high fidelity. This is a particular challenge and is predicated on materials science and engineering, physics, chemistry, and dynamic response in extreme conditions. Fundamental elements of these complicated composite materials remain grand challenges—from the design of high-energy metastable molecules, to the engineering of composite formulations, to the processing parameters that link to safety and performance characteristics in as-yet undetermined ways. Key elements include crystalline mechanics, grain dynamics, multiphase interfaces, thermal and mechanical damage, and failure—all linked to multistep and high-rate chemistry and shock physics. A future revolution in our understanding and predictive capability for energetic materials behavior and responses is dependent upon sustained focus and advances in materials research and development.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Worldwide Physics-Based Lifetime Prediction of c-Si Modules Due to Solder-Bond Failure

Lifetime prediction of the fielded c-Si solar modules due to location-specific weather conditions has been an important topic of photovoltaic research and the economic viability of solar energy. Data analytic techniques such as the performance ratio method, Statistical clear sky model, and Suns-Vmp methods quantify the degradation from measured data of a solar farm, however, the nonlinear time-dependence and correlated degradations make it difficult to use the empirical degradation rates for ultimate lifetime projection. In this article, we propose a complementary physics-based model to predict the solder bond failure caused by mechanical stress associated with the variations of the temperature. Integrating the worldwide weather information from NASA/NSRDB databases, the model predicts the location-specific output-power degradation and the lifetime of a module due to solder bond failure. The model parameters are calibrated against qualification tests involving thermal cycling of specific batches of modules from a specific technology/manufacturer. The results may be summarized as: 1) Modules installed at higher latitudes show a longer lifetime due to reduced damage accumulation. 2) The reduction of temperature fluctuation close to large bodies of water, such as seashores, increases solder bond lifetime significantly. 3) Relatively speaking, modules installed close to the Tropic of Cancer/Capricorn (23.5 degrees North/South) suffer from a higher solder bond damage and have a shorter lifetime, suggesting a conservative design. This model should serve as a building block of a comprehensive reliability framework that can predict the lifetime of a module that experiences simultaneous and correlated degradation mechanisms involving yellowing, corrosion, and potential-induced degradation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

A better understanding of the mechanics of borehole breakout utilizing a finite strain gradient-enhanced micropolar continuum model

Borehole breakout denotes the failure in rock mass subjected to drilling, caused by stress concentrations exceeding the material strength. Depending on the material properties, the preexisting in situ stress state, and the borehole dimensions, different types of borehole breakout, such as spiral-shaped breakout or v-shaped breakout, are distinguished in the literature. In the present work, we address the influence of the material properties on the predicted borehole breakout mode in a comprehensive finite element study. To this end, herein we employ a gradient-enhanced micropolar damage-plasticity model based on the Mohr–Coulomb strength criterion, formulated in the finite strain regime, which is calibrated based on experimental results from plane strain compression tests on Red Wildmoor sandstone. In the numerical study, the influence of the in situ stress state, the material friction angle, plastic dilation, post peak residual strength, and the inherent material length scale parameters are investigated. Thereby, we demonstrate that depending on the material parameters, substantially different failure modes, characterized by strongly localized shear bands or diffuse failure zones, are predicted. It is shown that in particular the brittleness of the material in the post peak regime has a major influence on the predicted breakout type. Moreover, a statistical validation of the results is obtained by considering different random field distributions of the initial material strength.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

High-Entropy Alloys for Accelerator Beam Window Applications

Development of novel high-entropy alloys (HEAs) is currently underway for potential use as beam windows in future multi-megawatt target systems at Fermilab. HEAs encompass a new class of materials with a vast design space allowing for material properties to be tailored for particular applications and to potentially offer improved resistance to beam-induced radiation damage and thermal shock effects. The alloy systems being studied consist of several compositions of AlCoCrMnTiV with 4 6 component elements. These alloys are all predicted by CALPHAD simulation to have a single-phase BCC crystal structure and low density, with some compositions displaying ordered, nanoscale precipitates. This presentation will briefly discuss alloy design and synthesis before giving a detailed description of the characterization studies of these HEAs in both the pristine state and post-irradiation by low-energy heavy ions to high damage levels. Electron microscopy techniques to quantify elemental homogeneity and composition, determine grain size, shape, and orientation, and quantify lattice parameters, defect structures and precipitate phases are all being used to study alloy microstructures. Mechanical properties of the alloys at the microscale will be reported. The evolution of these properties as a function of radiation damage will also be described. Bulk thermal characteristics of these HEAs have been tested to measure specific heat capacity and coefficient of thermal expansion as a function of temperature. To determine bulk tensile properties a miniature tensile testing apparatus is under development; it s commissioning will be covered briefly. The talk will conclude with our plans for alloy down-selection.

Burleigh, A. [Fermilab]↗
DOE OSTI2023

A quantitative method to determine the region not influenced by injected interstitial and surface effects during void swelling in ion-irradiated metals

We propose and demonstrate a microstructurally-based experimental method to quantitively determine the depth regions in self-ion-irradiated metals that are affected by the injected interstitial effect and various surface effects, focusing on the choice of safe analysis zones to minimize the impact of these phenomena. The goal is to define the depth ranges where extracted data can be confidently applied to ion-neutron correlations for reactor application. Since ion energies in the range of 1–5 MeV are most frequently employed by the radiation effects community, irradiations were conducted at four energies in this range, all proceeding at 475 °C. The experiment was conducted on relatively pure single crystal iron to focus only on physical phenomena, avoiding the influence of possibly confounding chemical or segregation processes. Care was also taken to minimize the influence of other physical factors such as crystalline orientation. It was shown that, at 475 °C, ion energies of ≤1 MeV were too shallow in penetration and did not yield a safe depth range, but irradiations at 2.5 MeV and above yielded useful safe zones with predicted swelling behavior becoming independent of ion energy. The surface-affected zone width was found to be roughly twice that of the void-denuded zone width and to be independent of accumulated displacement dose. The largest injected-interstitial effect arises from the injected interstitial depression of void nucleation and growth. The interstitial-affected region starts at about one half of the projected range and does not show any “spreading” of its influence in depth as the peak damage level increases from 50 to 100 dpa. This study provides some confidence that enhances the credibility of ion simulation when applied to prediction of void swelling in neutron environments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Infusible Thermoplastic Composites for Wind Turbine Blade Manufacturing: Fatigue Life of Thermoplastic Laminates under Ambient and Low-Temperature Conditions

Traditionally, thermoset resins such as polyesters (PE) and epoxies are used as the polymer matrix for construction of wind turbine blades. However, concern about their end-of-life treatment garners interest to use thermoplastics for increased recyclability. However, the high viscosity of molten thermoplastics inhibits their use in manufacturing wind turbine blades with injection or compression molding. A recently developed, infusible, reactive thermoplastic resin overcomes this technological barrier. Toward verifying that this recyclable resin is suitable for use in wind turbine blades, a dataset of R?=?0.1 and R?=?10 fatigue data for glass fiber-reinforced acrylic composites is provided and equal fatigue life to industry standard epoxy and unsaturated PE resin systems is demonstrated. Specifically, R?=?0.1 fatigue data for acrylic composites at room temperature and -30?degrees C for verification of low-temperature performance are tabulated. To elucidate failure mechanisms, in situ mechanical testing with X-ray computed tomography demonstrates that damage accumulation occurs by crack propagation along the fiber-matrix interface under cyclic loading. Infrared (IR) thermography predicts failure points in composites specimens with porosity defects introduced from nonideal manufacturing processes. Furthermore, these manufacturing defects are shown to compromise the fatigue life of the acrylic laminates by an order of magnitude.

effect of defects↗
DOE OSTI2023

Next-Generation Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for Diverse Land across the Continental United States

The current methods for designing hydrological infrastructure rely on precipitation-based intensity-duration-frequency curves. However, they cannot accurately predict flooding caused by snowmelt or rain-on-snow events, potentially leading to underdesigned infrastructure and property damage. To address these issues, next-generation intensity-duration-frequency (NG-IDF) curves have been developed for the open condition, characterizing water available for runoff from rainfall, snowmelt, and rain-on-snow. However, they lack consideration of land use land cover (LULC) factors, which can significantly affect runoff processes. We address this limitation by expanding open area NG-IDF dataset to include eight vegetated LULCs over the continental United States, including forest (deciduous, evergreen, mixed), shrub, grass, pasture, crop, and wetland. This NG-IDF 2.0 dataset offers a comprehensive analysis of hydrological extreme events and their associated drivers under different LULCs at a continental scale. It will serve as a useful resource for improving standard design practices and aiding in the assessment of infrastructure design risks. Additionally, it provides useful insights into how changes in LULC impact flooding magnitude, mechanisms, timing, and snow water supply.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Meshfree simulation and prediction of recrystallized grain size in friction stir processed 316L stainless steel

Friction stir processing (FSP) is a promising solid-phase microstructural modification technique that can repair and enhance damaged stainless steel surfaces exposed to harsh environments. The quality of the repaired material is closely correlated to the recrystallized grain size in the stir zone (SZ), which is influenced by the thermomechanical conditions dictated by FSP process parameters. Thus, establishing a reliable relationship between these parameters and recrystallized grain size in the SZ is crucial for optimizing repair quality. However, existing experimental approaches often rely on indirect temperatures measured far from the SZ, along with rough strain rate estimations, which are imprecise and time-consuming. Meanwhile, existing mesh-based modeling methods usually face numerical challenges when dealing with the large material deformations inherent in FSP. Here, to address these issues, this study introduces a meshfree process model for FSP based on the smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) method, aimed at predicting process conditions under different parameters. The model is validated using experimental data from 11 combinations of tool traverse and rotation speeds on 316 L stainless steel. Correlations between process parameters, material flow, temperature, strain, strain rate, and recrystallized grain size are revealed through SPH simulations and electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) imaging. The results show that in situ SZ temperatures range from 1071 to 1322°C, which exceed the tool temperature by over 300°C. Furthermore, SZ temperature, strain rate, and grain size increase monotonically with higher tool temperature and faster traverse speed. A relationship is then established between the model-predicted Zener-Hollomon parameter and the recrystallized grain size based on EBSD data, expressed as ln(d) = -0.364 ln(Z) + 14.673. Finally, this relationship exhibits satisfactory accuracy with errors of less than 26.9% in predicting grain sizes at various SZ locations, which offers valuable insights for optimizing FSP repair processes for 316 L stainless steel.

316L stainless steel↗
DOE OSTI2020

Effect of decades of corrosion on the microstructure of altered glasses and their radiation stability

Understanding the microstructural evolution of glasses during their interaction with water and radiation is of fundamental importance in addressing the corrosion of nuclear waste forms under geological disposal conditions. Here we report the results of more than 21 years of corrosion of two borosilicate glasses showing the formation of mesoporous C–S–H gels in Ca-bearing glasses and a mainly microporous microstructure in Al-bearing glasses. These porous corroded glasses were then irradiated with heavy ions to simulate the effects of recoil nucleus damage and monitored in real time using transmission electron microscopy with in situ ion irradiation. The ballistic collisions remarkably healed the porous corroded glasses to a pore-free homogeneous microstructure. Besides providing new insights and predictions about how doped glasses and actual waste forms may evolve under corrosion and irradiation, the results highlight the non-universal nature of the existing corrosion models and the important role that the glass composition and radiation damage play in the evolution of the microstructure during corrosion.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Upwind vs. downwind: loads and acoustics of a 1.5 MW wind turbine

This paper discusses the motivation, preparation, risk mitigation, execution, and results of a full-scale experiment where the conventional upwind rotor of a 1.5 MW wind turbine was operated in a downwind configuration. The experiment took place at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory Flatirons Campus in Colorado, USA, and involved the collection of loads and power together with acoustic measurements from an array of four microphones. To validate the numerical predictions of the aeroelastic solver OpenFAST in terms of loads and performance, 410 min of downwind operation and 960 min of conventional upwind operations were used. In the wind speed range from 4.5 to 12.5 m s−1, the downwind rotor generates higher damage equivalent loads for the blade root flapwise moment, blade root edgewise moment, and tower-base fore-aft moment compared to the upwind rotor. For these metrics of fatigue loads, numerical predictions match the experimental observations well. OpenFAST is, however, also seen underpredicting a power gain in the downwind rotor. In terms of acoustics, the overall sound pressure levels recorded in the field are similar between the upwind and downwind cases, but downwind operation worsens the metrics describing amplitude modulation.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

A viscoelastic viscoplastic damage model (VPVD)

This report documents the development, implementation, and parameter estimation procedures for aviscoelastic-viscoplastic-viscodamage model. This model is being developed to improve the predictive accuracy of simulations involving plastic bonded explosives (PBX). A representative PBX is PBX9501, which is 95% by weight HMX, 2.5% estane binder and 2.5% nitroplasticizer. Mechanical deformation of this material is primarily accommodated by straining of the polymer binder and rearranging the relatively rigid HMX crystals.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2024

Risk-Aware Framework Development for Disruption Prediction: Alcator C-Mod and DIII-D Survival Analysis

Abstract Survival regression models can achieve longer warning times at similar receiver operating characteristic performance than previously investigated models. Survival regression models are also shown to predict the time until a disruption will occur with lower error than other predictors. Time-to-event predictions from time-series data can be obtained with a survival analysis statistical framework, and there have been many tools developed for this task which we aim to apply to disruption prediction. Using the open-source Auton-Survival package we have implemented disruption predictors with the survival regression models Cox Proportional Hazards, Deep Cox Proportional Hazards, and Deep Survival Machines. To compare with previous work, we also include predictors using a Random Forest binary classifier, and a conditional Kaplan-Meier formalism. We benchmarked the performance of these five predictors using experimental data from the Alcator C-Mod and DIII-D tokamaks by simulating alarms on each individual shot. We find that developing machine-relevant metrics to evaluate models is an important area for future work. While this study finds cases where disruptive conditions are not predicted, there are instances where the desired outcome is produced. Giving the plasma control system the expected time-to-disruption will allow it to determine the optimal actuator response in real time to minimize risk of damage to the device.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thermal Energy Transport in Oxide Nuclear Fuel

To efficiently capture the energy of the nuclear bond, advanced nuclear reactor concepts seek solid fuels that must withstand unprecedented temperature and radiation extremes. In these advanced fuels, thermal energy transport under irradiation is directly related to reactor performance as well as reactor safety. The science of thermal transport in nuclear fuel is a grand challenge as a result of both computational and experimental complexities. Here we provide a comprehensive review of thermal transport research on two actinide oxides: one currently in use in commercial nuclear reactors, uranium dioxide (UO 2 ), and one advanced fuel candidate material, thorium dioxide (ThO 2 ). In both materials, heat is carried by lattice waves or phonons. Crystalline defects caused by fission events effectively scatter phonons and lead to a degradation in fuel performance over time. Bolstered by new computational and experimental tools, researchers are now developing the foundational work necessary to accurately model and ultimately control thermal transport in advanced nuclear fuels. We begin by reviewing research aimed at understanding thermal transport in perfect single crystals. The absence of defects enables studies that focus on the fundamental aspects of phonon transport. Next, we review research that targets defect generation and evolution. Here the focus is on ion irradiation studies used as surrogates for damage caused by fission products. We end this review with a discussion of modeling and experimental efforts directed at predicting and validating mesoscale thermal transport in the presence of irradiation defects. While efforts in these research areas have been robust, challenging work remains in developing holistic tools to capture and predict thermal energy transport across widely varying environmental conditions.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

HFIR SiC Bowing Test Ready to Insert

This report describes the successful assembly of a High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) irradiation experiment designed to assess radiation-induced lateral bowing of silicon carbide fiber–reinforced, silicon carbide matrix composite (SiC/SiC) components under a radial fast neutron flux gradient. Excessive bowing of a SiC/SiC channel box in a boiling water reactor could potentially interfere with control blade movements. Similar concerns exist for SiC/SiC fuel cladding in light water reactors. The experiment described herein will provide experimental validation of the structural response of a miniature SiC/SiC channel box and tube specimens with pressurized water reactor diameters during irradiation. The significant radial fast neutron flux gradients that exist in the permanent reflector of HFIR were characterized using detailed three-dimensional neutronic calculations. The three-dimensional displacement damage dose rate profile and the resulting volumetric swelling in SiC were used as inputs to structural analyses that predicted the deformation and stresses in the channel box specimen. The specimens were thoroughly characterized prior to irradiation using traditional dimensional inspection and surface profilometry so that these measurements can later be compared with similar measurements that will be made post-irradiation to determine radiation-induced deformations. Furthermore, fine engraving markers were inscribed along all outer surfaces of the specimen and mapped using a digital microscope and a three-dimensional stage. This technique allowed for accurate measurements of the marker spacings, which can be compared with similar measurements that will be made post-irradiation to provide local radiation-induced strain mapping. The experiment was successfully assembled and is scheduled for insertion during HFIR cycle 492, which is currently scheduled to run from May 25, 2021 to June 18, 2021.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

SYS-5620-Project - Achieving Robust Laser Performance utilizing Historical Shot Experiments - A Systems Engineering Proposal

The National Ignition Facility (NIF) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory precisely guides, amplifies, reflects, and focuses 192 powerful laser beams into a target about the size of a pencil eraser in a few billionths of a second, delivering more than 2 million joules of ultraviolet energy and 500 trillion watts of peak power. A crucial goal of the system is to trigger precise implosions of fuel capsules. This is achieved by delivering all 192 beams at user-specified times and locations on the target, minimizing any deviation from the requested performance. Power requirements can vary substantially on each experiment and the facility supports numerous amplifier pumping configurations and their attendant nonlinear effects. To achieve the tight performance required across such a broad array of configurations, constant comparison of measured and requested power delivery are tracked and long-term trends analyzed as a guide to understanding future performance. A very common question asked is given the current state of the laser today – how well would a similar experiment from the past perform today? Additionally, if one were to specify an alternate amplifier configuration using today’s model would and damage limits be exceeded and would there be an increase in performance. The physics model used to make these predictions and equipment protection checks is called the Virtual Beamline (VBL). VBL is used with an incoming desired pulse shape and energy to be delivered on target, and then does an iterative solve to predict the needed injected pulse in the front-end of the system to achieve this result. To effectively guide and predict future NIF experiment performance, laser scientists explore current amplifier configurations and compare them with historical data utilizing a tool called the Reverify Toolbox.

42 ENGINEERING↗