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At least 325 records · Page 18

Counterflow diffusion flames of hydrogen, and hydrogen plus methane, ethylene, propane, and silane vs. air - Strain rates at extinction

Five coaxial tubular opposed jet burners (OJBs) with tube diameter D(T) of 1.8-10 mm and 5 mm conical nozzles were used to form dish-shaped counterflow diffusion flames centered by opposing laminar jets of nitrogen and hydrocarbon-diluted H2 versus air in an argon-purged chamber at 1 atm. Area-averaged air jet velocities at blowoff of the central flame, U(air), characterized extinction of the airside flame as functions of input H2 concentration on the fuelside. A master plot of extensive U(air) data at blowoff versus D(T) shows that U(air) varies linearly with D(T). This and other data sets are used to find that nozzle OJB results for U(air)/diameter average 4.24 + or - 0.28 times larger than tubular OJB results for the same fuel compositions. Critical radial velocity gradients consistent with one-dimensional stagnation point boundary theory and with plug flow inputs are estimated. The results compare favorably with published numerical results based only on potential flow.

Pellett, G. L.↗

Beamwidth effects on Z-R relations and area-integrated rainfall

The effective radar reflectivity Ze measured by a radar is the convolution of the actual distribution of reflectivity with the beam radiation pattern. Because of the nonlinearity between Z and rain rate R, Ze gives a biased estimator of R whenever the reflectivity field is nonuniform. In the presence of sharp horizontal reflectivity gradients, the measured pattern of Ze extends beyond the actual precipitation boundaries to produce false precipitation echoes. When integrated across the radar image of the storm, the false echo areas contribute to the sum to produce overestimates of the areal rainfall. As the range or beamwidth increases, the ratio of measured to actual rainfall increases. Beyond some range, the normal decrease of reflectivity with height dominates and the measured rainfall underestimates the actual amount.

Rosenfeld, Daniel↗

A Global Perspective of Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations

Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the most important greenhouse gas affected by human activity. About half of the CO2 emitted from fossil fuel combustion remains in the atmosphere, contributing to rising temperatures, while the other half is absorbed by natural land and ocean carbon reservoirs. Despite the importance of CO2, many questions remain regarding the processes that control these fluxes and how they may change in response to a changing climate. The Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2), launched on July 2, 2014, is NASA's first satellite mission designed to provide the global view of atmospheric CO2 needed to better understand both human emissions and natural fluxes. This visualization shows how column CO2 mixing ratio, the quantity observed by OCO-2, varies throughout the year. By observing spatial and temporal gradients in CO2 like those shown, OCO-2 data will improve our understanding of carbon flux estimates. But, CO2 observations can't do that alone. This visualization also shows that column CO2 mixing ratios are strongly affected by large-scale weather systems. In order to fully understand carbon flux processes, OCO-2 observations and atmospheric models will work closely together to determine when and where observed CO2 came from. Together, the combination of high-resolution data and models will guide climate models towards more reliable predictions of future conditions.

CO2↗

Oxygen Isotopes in Fresh Water Biogenic Opal: Northeastern US Alleroed-Younger Dryas Temperature Shift

The first oxygen isotope analysis of biogenic opal from lake sediments, from the Allerod/Younger Dryas transition in a core from Linsley Pond, Connecticut, gives an average estimate of a 6 C drop in temperature during the Younger Dryas. This shift represents temperatures during the bloom season, and may be less than the winter temperature drop. The sharp transition itself, with a duration of about 200 years, suggests that the temperature decrease may have been as large as 12 C. Previous estimates of the Allerod/Younger Dryas temperature shifts are controversial, and range from 3-20 C, suggesting that further interdisciplinary research on the same samples is warranted. One way that global climate change manifests itself is by redistributing energy throughout the globe. The Northern Hemisphere latitudinal temperature gradient during the late-glacial is at present a controversial topic. The magnitude of air temperature shifts during the Allerod/Younger Dryas (YD) oscillation are estimated from mid-latitude pollen records surrounding the North Atlantic to be 3-5 C in Europe [Lowe et al., 19941 and 3-4 C in the eastern US [Peteet et al., 1993]. In contrast, lake temperatures estimates derived from aquatic midge larvae in the Canadian eastern maritimes and Maine range from 6-20 C, with larger shifts at more southern sites [Levesque et al., 1997]. The magnitude of YD cooling in Greenland ice cores ranges from at least 7 C from the Bolling warming [Dansgaard et al., 1989] to 15 C - a more recent estimate from borehole temperatures [Cuffey et al., 1995]. The ice core geochemical records reveal that massive frequent and short-term (decadal or less) changes in atmospheric composition occurred throughout this event, suggesting a very dynamic circulation [Mayewski et al., 1993).

Shemesh, Aldo↗

An iterative procedure for obtaining maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters for a mixture of normal distributions

This paper addresses the problem of obtaining numerically maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters for a mixture of normal distributions. In recent literature, a certain successive-approximations procedure, based on the likelihood equations, was shown empirically to be effective in numerically approximating such maximum-likelihood estimates; however, the reliability of this procedure was not established theoretically. Here, we introduce a general iterative procedure, of the generalized steepest-ascent (deflected-gradient) type, which is just the procedure known in the literature when the step-size is taken to be 1. We show that, with probability 1 as the sample size grows large, this procedure converges locally to the strongly consistent maximum-likelihood estimate whenever the step-size lies between 0 and 2. We also show that the step-size which yields optimal local convergence rates for large samples is determined in a sense by the 'separation' of the component normal densities and is bounded below by a number between 1 and 2.

Peters, B. C., Jr.↗

Risk of Skin Cancer from Space Radiation

We review the methods for estimating the probability of increased incidence of skin cancers from space radiation exposure, and describe some of the individual factors that may contribute to risk projection models, including skin pigment, and synergistic effects of combined ionizing and UV exposure. The steep dose gradients from trapped electrons, protons, and heavy ions radiation during EVA and limitations in EVA dosimetry are important factors for projecting skin cancer risk of astronauts. We estimate that the probability of increased skin cancer risk varies more than 10-fold for individual astronauts and that the risk of skin cancer could exceed 1 % for future lunar base operations for astronauts with light skin color and hair. Limitations in physical dosimetry in estimating the distribution of dose at the skin suggest that new biodosimetry methods be developed for responding to accidental overexposure of the skin during future space missions.

Cucinotta, Francis A.↗

An iterative procedure for obtaining maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters for a mixture of normal distributions, 2

The problem of obtaining numerically maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters for a mixture of normal distributions is addressed. In recent literature, a certain successive approximations procedure, based on the likelihood equations, is shown empirically to be effective in numerically approximating such maximum-likelihood estimates; however, the reliability of this procedure was not established theoretically. Here, a general iterative procedure is introduced, of the generalized steepest-ascent (deflected-gradient) type, which is just the procedure known in the literature when the step-size is taken to be 1. With probability 1 as the sample size grows large, it is shown that this procedure converges locally to the strongly consistent maximum-likelihood estimate whenever the step-size lies between 0 and 2. The step-size which yields optimal local convergence rates for large samples is determined in a sense by the separation of the component normal densities and is bounded below by a number between 1 and 2.

Peters, B. C., Jr.↗

Transfer-function-parameter estimation from frequency response data: A FORTRAN program

A FORTRAN computer program designed to fit a linear transfer function model to given frequency response magnitude and phase data is presented. A conjugate gradient search is used that minimizes the integral of the absolute value of the error squared between the model and the data. The search is constrained to insure model stability. A scaling of the model parameters by their own magnitude aids search convergence. Efficient computer algorithms result in a small and fast program suitable for a minicomputer. A sample problem with different model structures and parameter estimates is reported.

Seidel, R. C.↗

Evolution of a rotating flow in the vicinity of a surface

Evolution of a rotating flow in a body of fluid bounded by a stationary flat surface is discussed. The calculated results show that the radial pressure gradient is substantially reduced in the region close to the surface, so that letting that gradient be independent of distance from the surface would be expected to give only rough or qualitative estimates. However, the reduced rotation near the stationary surface is still large enough to cause an inflow near the surface and to set up a recirculation pattern. The concentration of vorticity by the radial inflow is not great enough to increase the tangential velocities near the center of rotation.

Deissler, R. G.↗

Errors in scatterometer-radiometer wind measurement due to rain

The behavior of radiometer corrections for the scatterometer is investigated by simulating simple situations using footprint sizes comparable with those used in the SEASAT-1 experiment and also actual footprints and rain rates from a hurricane observed by the SEASAT-1 system. The effects on correction due to attenuation and wind speed gradients are examined independently and jointly. It is shown that the error in the wind-speed estimate can be as large as 200% at higher wind speeds. The worst error occurs when the scatterometer footprint overlaps two or more radiometer footprints and the attenuation in the scatterometer footprint differs greatly from those in parts of the radiometer footprints. This problem could be overcome by using a true radiometer-scatterometer system having identical coincident footprints comparable in size with typical rain cells.

Moore, R. K.↗

Adaptive mesh strategies for the spectral element method

An adaptive spectral method was developed for the efficient solution of time dependent partial differential equations. Adaptive mesh strategies that include resolution refinement and coarsening by three different methods are illustrated on solutions to the 1-D viscous Burger equation and the 2-D Navier-Stokes equations for driven flow in a cavity. Sharp gradients, singularities, and regions of poor resolution are resolved optimally as they develop in time using error estimators which indicate the choice of refinement to be used. The adaptive formulation presents significant increases in efficiency, flexibility, and general capabilities for high order spectral methods.

Mavriplis, Catherine↗

Multi-Satellite Estimates of Land-Surface Properties for Determination of Energy and Water Budgets

Using the WETNET database, existing methods for the estimation of surface wetness from SSM/I data have been assessed and further developed. A physical-statistical method for optimal estimation of daily surface heat flux and Bowen ratio on the mesoscale has been developed and tested. This method is based on observations of daytime planetary boundary layer (PBL) growth from operational ravansonde and daytime land-surface temperature amplitude from Geostationary Operational Environmental (GOES) satellites. The mesoscale patterns of these heat fluxes have been compared with an AVHRR-based vegetation index and surface wetness (separately estimated from SSM/I and in situ observations). Cases of the 1988 Midwest drought and a surface/atmosphere moisture gradient (dry-line) in the southern Plains were studied. The analyses revealed significant variations in sensible heat flux (S(sub 0), and Bowen ratio, B(sub 0)) associated with vegetation cover and antecedent precipitation. Relationships for surface heat flux (and Bowen ratio) from antecedent precipitation and vegetation index have been developed and compared to other findings. Results from this project are reported in the following reviewed literature.

Menzel, W. Paul↗

The Evolution of Lidar Networks: A US Perspective

Atmospheric aerosols and clouds play an important role in climate by directly scattering and absorbing sunlight. Aerosol-cloud interactions modify the particle properties causing indirect effects, alter aerosol deposition and rainfall, and contribute substantially to the uncertainties in predicting climate effects. Aerosols also affect air quality and both constituents modulate boundary layer dynamics to a certain extent, in turn impacting aerosol transport and aerosol-cloud interactions. The spatiotemporal distribution of aerosol and cloud layers is thus important, and lidar remains the primary instrument for determining the vertical distribution of aerosols and thin clouds. Lidar still provides important information for opaque cloud layers by determining base heights. Combined lidar and radar data provide a comprehensive coverage of aerosol and cloud vertical distributions, and thus locations where and when they interact. Lidar data provide a means of constraining column aerosol loading observations (e.g. AOD) to vertical extents. In addition, lidar has proven effective at determining a proxy for boundary layer height by examining aerosol gradients and/or cloud base heights in lidar profiles. Polarized lidars provide additional information on particle shape, allowing estimates of cloud phase and separation of dust or smoke from sulfate and sea salt aerosols. Given the importance of lidar observations and a critical maturation in technology and retrieval techniques, several organizations began to build operational lidar networks around 2000. The European Aerosol Research Lidar Network (EARLINET) was started as a research focused network of advanced lidars across Europe. The Asian Dust Lidar Network (ADNET) was also developed as a regional network providing lidar profiles of dust and pollution across Eastern Asia. In the US, the NASA Micro Pulse Lidar Network (MPLNET) was created to provide global lidar profiling at key sites in the NASA Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). The Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC) pre-dates these networks and many sites have lidar, but it is not strictly a lidar network and at the time focused less on the lower troposphere. Finally, there were already existing ceilometer networks operated by various meteorological agencies, but in particular here in the US the profile data has not been available. The ceilometer networks were used to provide only clouds base heights and estimates of PBL height. Thus, the distinguishing feature between lidar and ceilometer networks was historically the ability to actually provide profile information (in addition to differences in wavelength, and advanced retrievals such as the raman technique). As time progressed, each lidar network matured and developed more operational capabilities and data sets, coupled with viable data centers providing DAAC services and access to near-real-time (NRT) data. In 2008 under WMO guidance, the Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) Aerosol Lidar Observation Network (GALION) was formed as a global network made up of the existing lidar networks. The goal was to share information, best practices, and develop frameworks and techniques for quality data. GALION grew to include several other regional lidar networks and this has led to a vast increase in quality lidar sites worldwide.

Welton, Ellsworth J.↗

Satellite Remote Sensing Observations of Trans-Atlantic Dust Transport and Deposition: A Multi-Sensor Analysis

We analyze the decade-long (2007-2016) record of aerosol measurements from four distinctive sensors, namely CALIOP, MODIS, MISR, and IASI, to quantify the trans-Atlantic dust transport and deposition. These satellite sensors use different techniques to characterize particle size and shape properties; and we have developed sensor-specific methods (broadly categorized into size-based and shape-based method) to derive dust optical depth (DOD). The size-based DOD from MODIS and IASI generally agrees better with AERONET-derived DOD than the shape-based DOD from CALIOP and MISR does. Overall, the shape-based DOD is smaller than the size-based DOD by about 25%, which is consistent with distinctive ways of accounting for coarse-spherical particles of dust-pollution internal mixture. While such dust-pollution mixtures are counted as dust in the size-based DOD, they are excluded in the shape-based DOD. DOD is not a good proxy for dust deposition. Instead, the dust deposition depends strongly on the gradient of DOD on a monthly basis and can be derived by calculating the meridional and zonal dust mass flux based on the three-dimensional distributions of dust. Among the remote sensing measurements, difference in dust deposition is smaller than that of DOD, suggesting that different satellites characterize the DOD gradient more consistently than DOD itself. Satellite measurements of dust deposition and DOD also provide an accurate estimate of the dust loss frequency (LF) that measures how efficient the dust is removed from the atmosphere. We found that these remote sensing measurements yield similar LF values of 0.078 –0.102 d-1, which however is factors of 2-5 smaller than model simulations. This analysis provides valuable insights into potential deficiencies in models’ emission and transport/removal processes and hence helps guide model improvement.

remote sensing↗

Multi-Grid-Cell Validation of Satellite Aerosol Property Retrievals in INTEX/ITCT/ICARTT 2004

Aerosol transport off the US Northeast coast during the Summer 2004 International Consortium for Atmospheric Research on Transport and Transformation (ICARTT) Intercontinental Chemical Transport Experiment (INTEX) and Intercontinental Transport and Chemical Transformation (ITCT) experiments produced a wide range of aerosol types and aerosol optical depth (AOD) values, often with strong horizontal AOD gradients. In these conditions we flew the 14-channel NASA Ames Airborne Tracking Sun photometer (AATS) on a Jetstream 31 (J31) aircraft. Legs flown at low altitude (usually less than 100 m ASL) provided comparisons of AATS AOD spectra to retrievals for 90 grid cells of the satellite radiometers MODIS-Terra, MODIS-Aqua, and MISR, all over the ocean. Characterization of the retrieval environment was aided by using vertical profiles by the J31 (showing aerosol vertical structure) and, on occasion, shipboard measurements of light scattering and absorption. AATS provides AOD at 13 wavelengths lambda from 354 to 2138 nm, spanning the range of aerosol retrieval wavelengths for MODIS over ocean (466-2119 nm) and MISR (446-866 nm). Midvisible AOD on low-altitude J31 legs in satellite grid cells ranged from 0.05 to 0.9, with horizontal gradients often in the range 0.05 to 0.13 per 10 km. When possible, we used ship measurements of humidified aerosol scattering and absorption to estimate AOD below the J31. In these cases, which had J31 altitudes 60-110 m ASL (typical of J31 low-altitude transects), estimated midvisible AOD below the J31 ranged from 0.003 to 0.013, with mean 0.009 and standard deviation 0.003. These values averaged 6 percent of AOD above the 53 1. MISR-AATS comparisons on 29 July 2004 in 8 grid cells (each -17.6 km x 17.6 km) show that MISR versions 15 and 16 captured the AATS-measured AOD gradient (correlation coefficient R2 = 0.87 to 0.92), but the MISR gradient was somewhat weaker than the AATS gradient. The large AOD (midvisible values up to -0.9) and differing gradients in this case produced root-mean-square (RMS) MISR-AATS AOD differences of 0.03 to 0.21 (9 to 31%). MISR V15 Angstrom exponent alpha (= -dlnAOD/dln lambda) was closer to AATS than was MISR V16. MODIS-AATS AOD comparisons on 8 overpasses using 61 grid cells (each nominally 10 km x 10 km) had R2 approximately 0.97, with RMS AOD difference approximately 0.03 (approximately 20%). About 87% of the MODIS AOD retrievals differed from AATS values by less than the predicted MODIS over-ocean uncertainty, Delta tau = plus/minus 0.03 plus/minus 0.05 tau. In contrast to the small MODIS-AATS differences in AOD, MODIS-AATS differences in Angstrom exponent alpha were large: RMS differences for alpha (553, 855 nm) were 0.28 for MODIS-Terra and 0.64 for MODIS-Aqua; RMS differences for alpha (855, 2119 nm) were larger still, 0.61 for MODIS-Terra and 1.14 for MODIS-Aqua. The largest MODIS-AATS Angstrom exponent differences were associated with small AOD values, for which MODIS AOD relative uncertainty is large. Excluding cases with AOD(855 nm) less than 0.1 reduced MODIS-AATS alpha differences substantially. In one grid cell on 21 July 2004, smoke over cloud appeared to impair the MODIS-Aqua cloud mask, resulting in retrieved AODs that significantly exceeded AATS values. Experiments with extending MODIS retrievals into the glint mask yielded MODIS AODs consistently less than AATS AODs, especially at long wavelength, indicating that the current MODIS glint mask limits should not be reduced to the extent tried here. The sign of the AOD differences within the glint mask (MODIS AOD less than AATS AOD) is consistent with ship-measured wind speeds there.

Russell, P. B.↗

Estimation of Gravitation Parameters of Saturnian Moons Using Cassini Attitude Control Flight Data

A major science objective of the Cassini mission is to study Saturnian satellites. The gravitational properties of each Saturnian moon is of interest not only to scientists but also to attitude control engineers. When the Cassini spacecraft flies close to a moon, a gravity gradient torque is exerted on the spacecraft due to the mass of the moon. The gravity gradient torque will alter the spin rates of the reaction wheels (RWA). The change of each reaction wheel's spin rate might lead to overspeed issues or operating the wheel bearings in an undesirable boundary lubrication condition. Hence, it is imperative to understand how the gravity gradient torque caused by a moon will affect the reaction wheels in order to protect the health of the hardware. The attitude control telemetry from low-altitude flybys of Saturn's moons can be used to estimate the gravitational parameter of the moon or the distance between the centers of mass of Cassini and the moon. Flight data from several low altitude flybys of three Saturnian moons, Dione, Rhea, and Enceladus, were used to estimate the gravitational parameters of these moons. Results are compared with values given in the literature.

angular momentum↗

Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Monitoring with AMSU-A: Estimation of Maximum Sustained Wind Speeds

The first Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit temperature sounder (AMSU-A) was launched on the NOAA-15 satellite on 13 May 1998. The AMSU-A's higher spatial and radiometric resolutions provide more useful information on the strength of the middle and upper tropospheric warm cores associated with tropical cyclones than have previous microwave temperature sounders. The gradient wind relationship suggests that the temperature gradient near the core of tropical cyclones increases nonlinearly with wind speed. We recast the gradient wind equation to include AMSU-A derived variables. Stepwise regression is used to determine which of these variables is most closely related to maximum sustained winds (V(sub max)). The satellite variables investigated include the radially averaged gradients at two spatial resolutions of AMSU-A channels 1 through 10 T(sub b) data (delta(sub r)T(sub b)), the squares of these gradients, a channel 15 based scattering index (SI-89), and area averaged T(sub b). Calculations of Tb and delta(sub r)T(sub b) from mesoscale model simulations of Andrew reveal the effects of the AMSU spatial sampling on the cyclone warm core presentation. Stepwise regression of 66 AMSU-A terms against National Hurricane Center (NHC) V(sub max) estimates from the 1998 and 1999 Atlantic hurricane season confirms the existence of a nonlinear relationship between wind speed and radially averaged temperature gradients near the cyclone warm core. Of six regression terms, four are dominated by temperature information, and two are interpreted as correcting for hydrometeor contamination. Jackknifed regressions were performed to estimate the algorithm performance on independent data. For the 82 cases that had in situ measurements of V(sub max), the average error standard deviation was 4.7 m/s. For 108 cases without in situ wind data, the average error standard deviation was 7.5 m/s. Operational considerations, including the detection of weak cyclones and false alarm reduction are also discussed.

Spencer, Roy↗

Implications of natural sources for the latitudinal gradients of NO/y/ in the unpolluted troposphere

The latitudinal distributions of tropospheric odd nitrogen (NO/y/) due to lightning discharges and stratospheric injection are studied by estimating latitude dependences of the sources and the rainout sink from data obtained in August-September, 1977, and May-June, 1978, during project GAMETAG. A one-dimensional (latitude dependent) model is developed for the annually, zonally, and vertically averaged concentration of trace species, NO(y) being treated as a single species, which decouples the NO(y) calculation from the rest of the model since NO(y) has no chemical sources or sinks in the troposphere. The equation governing the NO(y) distribution is solved using finite differences with 33 uniformly spaced grid points in the micron range of -1 to 1. The distribution due to the stratospheric source has a minimum in the tropics, and there are broad maxima centered in the 25-30 degree region in both hemispheres. The calculated NO(y) due to lightning has a maximum near 15 degrees S, and it decreases to nearly a fourth of the maximum value near the poles. The drop off from the maximum is sharper in the Southern Hemisphere in comparison with the Northern Hemisphere.

Hameed, S.↗