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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2024

Transfer learning for metamaterial design and simulation

Abstract We demonstrate transfer learning as a tool to improve the efficacy of training deep learning models based on residual neural networks (ResNets). Specifically, we examine its use for study of multi-scale electrically large metasurface arrays under open boundary conditions in electromagnetic metamaterials. Our aim is to assess the efficiency of transfer learning across a range of problem domains that vary in their resemblance to the original base problem for which the ResNet model was initially trained. We use a quasi-analytical discrete dipole approximation (DDA) method to simulate electrically large metasurface arrays to obtain ground truth data for training and testing of our deep neural network. Our approach can save significant time for examining novel metasurface designs by harnessing the power of transfer learning, as it effectively mitigates the pervasive data bottleneck issue commonly encountered in deep learning. We demonstrate that for the best case when the transfer task is sufficiently similar to the target task, a new task can be effectively trained using only a few data points yet still achieve a test mean absolute relative error of 3 % with a pre-trained neural network, realizing data reduction by a factor of 1000.

Peng, Rixi↗
DOE OSTI2020

Initial High Temperature Inelastic Constitutive Model for Alloy 617

This report describes progress on a Alloy 617 inelastic constitutive model slated for inclusion in the ASME Boiler & Pressure Vessel Code in Code Case N-898 “Use of Alloy 617 (UNS N06617) for Class A Elevated Temperature Construction, Section III, Division 5” as part of an appendix on inelastic modeling. This appendix will provide a reference material model for A617 for use in conjunction with the ASME design by inelastic analysis criteria. This report focuses on the implementation and evaluation of an existing Alloy 617 model developed to represent the data collected at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) as part of the Alloy 617 Code Case experimental campaign. While the model accurately captures the cyclic stress/strain behavior of Alloy 617, it fails to capture the long-term creep and lower temperature tensile data. In addition, the model form is complicated and has over 50 configurable parameters. As such, we recommend the development of a simplified model, incorporating key features of the ORNL model but reducing the model complexity.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

BISON microstructure-based pulverization criterion in high burnup structure

To improve the economics of commercial nuclear power production, utilities are seeking to increase the allowable burnup limit of UO$_2$ fuel. One of the main factors that contributes to the current burnup limit of 62 GWd/MTU in commercial light water reactors (LWRs) is the risk of fine fragmentation or pulverization during a loss of coolant accident (LOCA). Pulverization primarily occurs at high burnups, especially when the high burnup structure (HBS) has formed. To allow the industry to pursue increased burnup and develop mitigation strategies, it is essential to have improved capability to predict the onset of pulverization. However, the mechanism of pulverization is not well understood, and the existing predictive capabilities implemented in the BISON fuel performance code are empirical in nature. In this report, mesoscale simulations are used to improve understanding of the formation mechanism of the HBS and how it responds during a LOCA transient, and inform development of a BISON pulverization criterion. A phase-field model was used to simulate the evolution of bubble pressure as a result of HBS formation. The simulations showed that gas atoms diffuse from grain interiors to the new grain boundaries created during HBS formation, and diffuse rapidly along these grain boundaries to reach existing bubbles. This causes an increase in bubble pressure in existing bubbles, leading to bubble growth during steady-state operation. To simulate the response of HBS bubbles to a LOCA transient, a newly developed phase-field model was used; in agreement with preliminary results from FY20, bubble size did not change significantly during the duration of the transient. A phase-field fracture model was used to study fragmentation patterns in the HBS, including using input from the phase-field model as initial conditions. Phase-field fracture simulations were used to determine a pulverization criterion for BISON. A function for the critical pressure for pulverization to occur was fit to data from the phase-field fracture simulations, and this function was implemented as a material property in BISON. For comparison, an analytical criterion for pulverization was developed and implemented within the same material property.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Connecting the Radiative Influences of Aerosol upon the Mass Flux Profiles of Shallow Cumuli across the Southeast Atlantic Ocean Basin and its Boundaries (Final Report)

The Atlantic Ocean covers approximately 25% of Earth’s surface and the atmosphere above it is home to a complex array of clouds and aerosols that have important influences on regional and global weather and climate. These influences must be accurately depicted in short range, medium range, seasonal, and climate forecast models. Conditions over the tropical Atlantic are particularly complex due to continental scale plumes of dust from the Sahara Desert and smoke from agricultural burning in Africa that drift across the Atlantic Ocean basin toward the Americas. These plumes are often found meandering in the lower atmosphere above shallow tropical clouds that form above the ocean surface, presumably mingling with these clouds on occasion due to convective mixing processes. Elevated dust and smoke particles absorb incoming sunlight and substantially warm the marine atmosphere in the layer in which they are present. This warming may alter the thermal stability of the marine atmosphere and may throttle or enhance the development of clouds, change their internal structure and the rate at which they precipitate. Alternatively, it may isolate the lower atmosphere from drier layers above enabling water vapor to accumulate near the ocean surface potentially leading to the development of deeper convection. Our study was organized around the principal concept of determining the impact of African smoke and dust plumes upon cloud development at ASI and understanding how a popular shallow convection parameterization used in models responds to the presence of this aerosol. We analyzed observations collected during the US Department of Energy (DOE) Layered Atlantic Smoke Interactions with Clouds (LASIC) campaign using the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program’s Mobile Facility #1 (AMF-1), which was deployed to Ascension Island (ASI) in Southeastern Atlantic for a one-year period. Ascension Island is immediately downwind from an African source of these plumes, but far enough removed to enable the lower atmosphere to have reacted to their presence. A main goal of our study was to compute radiative heating rate profiles over Ascension Island and along the trajectory from the biomass burning regions along coastal Africa to Ascension Island. To compute the radiative heating rate due to aerosols and clouds, we employed observed profiles of temperature, humidity, and clouds from LASIC alongside aerosol optical properties from the Modern-era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2), as input for the Rapid Radiation Transfer Model (RRTM). Radiative heating was also assessed across the southeast Atlantic Ocean using an ensemble of back trajectories from the Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model. We were successful in this effort and the resulting publication is already being cited despite its relatively short lifetime in the literature. The second part of our study involved the process-level representation of the clouds observed over the Southeastern Atlantic in models. Our initial task, upon which the balance of this portion of the study depended, was to evaluate the representativeness of the clouds observed by AMF-1. What orographic influence did Ascension Island have on the measured cloud structure? We set out to answer this question by trying to separate observations that were clearly indicative of orographic forcing from those that were representative of open ocean. The siting of AMF-1, which was 340-m above sea-level on the slope of a steep escarpment, proved demonstrably problematic for cloud process measurements. Despite considerable effort using multiple approaches including artificial intelligence (AI), we were unable to successfully compensate for the orographic forcing present at the AMF-1 site on ASI and, hence, produce process-level summaries of the convective mass flux representative of open ocean over the Southeastern Atlantic. Even though the project has officially ended, we are making a final attempt using two new types of clustering algorithm (i.e., AI) on the recommendation of a former student, who is an expert in this area. Since we have only recently begun to test these new AI schemes, the recommendations from the second part of our project outlined below are based on our experience at the time of this report.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

PELICAN Design, Test Planning, and Commissioning Results

To support design efforts for the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) core assemblies, an experimental facility has been designed and constructed at Argonne National Laboratory to match the hydraulic flow conditions within the VTR’s primary heat transport system (PHTS). This facility, the Pressure drop Experimental Loop for Investigations of Core Assemblies in advanced Nuclear reactors, PELICAN, provides the ability to measure pressure drop across a full-scale fuel assembly containing prototypic axial reflectors, fuel, and plena components. The PELICAN facility was designed and built to offer maximum flexibility, allowing testing from short sub-sections all the way to the full-length core fuel assemblies. The report presents the high-level program objectives, a summary of the facility design, instrumentation, and control systems, and the testing procedure. The outcomes from facility characterization efforts and first test matrix results are then presented and then, finally, the conclusion contains a summary of the future work to be performed. This test facility was designed to match the hydraulic conditions of the flowing sodium in the VTR using water as a surrogate fluid. To do so, the water is elevated to a temperature of 110°C where its viscosity matches that of sodium, and with a 50-HP centrifugal pump, is capable of generating full scale flow rates to achieve prototypic Reynolds and Euler number flow conditions. To prevent boiling, the system is maintained at elevated pressure of at least 2.7-3.0 bar (40-44 psig). A set of 15 tests have been used to perform checkout activities in order to commission the device, survey the capabilities of PELICAN, and generate experimental data at isothermal conditions and over a range of flow rates up to 44 kg/s (700 GPM) to produce datasets used in the verification and validation of VTR design and modeling efforts. Initial testing focused on facility characterization, which assessed the operational capabilities of various control systems. The thermal control system was qualified, including the thermal response of the loop to the heat added by self- and auxiliary heaters, the chiller and heat exchanger systems for removing excess heat, and their coupled ability to maintain steady-state isothermal conditions as desired. Additionally, the pressure control system was verified to ensure necessary operating environments that promote pump health and prevent boiling of loop inventory at high temperatures could be met. With these systems in place, the first set of matrix tests have been carried out using orifice plates with inner diameters of 2.25-inches and 2.5-inches. Orifice plate flow behavior is well covered in scientific literature, and the results find good agreement with the measured pressure drop vs flow rate and those of theoretical predictions. This initial testing not only helps to validate the experiment, but it also produces a high quality data set for a geometry that is easily reproducible for simulations. Finally, the report is concluded with a discussion of the work to come and provides a snapshot of the test articles in the experimental pipeline whose designs are being inspired by the current designs from the VTR.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

FY22 Progress Report on BISON Metallic Fuel Model Development and V&V Using EBR-II Legacy Data

In this report, the activities and achievements made by Argonne National Laboratory for the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) BISON code metallic fuel validation and verification project in FY2022 are summarized. The FIPD-BISON integration powered metallic fuel low-burnup swelling framework has been enhanced to cover both radial and axial swelling analyses. Axial-dependent as-fabricated fuel radius profiles have been used to improve the accuracy in evaluating radial swelling strain. The simulations of the IFR experiment X447, which was focused on FCCI/CCCI induced cladding degradation and failure, have been converted into a BISON metallic fuel assessment case with detailed documentation, which is also the first FIPD-BISON integration powered assessment case in BISON. A FIPD-BISON integration repository has been established to be an optional submodule of BISON to support FIPD-BISON integration powered assessment cases. Preliminary trials to simulate the in-cell out-of-pile transient experiment have been made after implementing some essential models such as cladding plasticity models and liquid phase penetration models. The initial results are promising and help identify gaps that need to be filled in FY2023 and beyond, to eventually achieve OPTD-BISON integration powered assessment cases.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

IER: 121 Updates on the NeSO Benchmark [Slides]

NeSO stands for Neptunium Subcritical Observation. The presentation covers an overview, details of the sphere composition, decay, and modeling and initial results.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Preliminary prediction of long-term aging and creep behavior of AM 316 SS

This report describes the development of initial mechanism models for the long term behavior of additively manufactured (AM), laser powder-bed fusion 316H stainless steel under the conditions expected in future advanced nuclear reactors. These models focus on key features of the material microstructure and response that differ from the conventionally-manufactured wrought material. Specifically, the report describes the development of models to capture the unique response of the AM material focusing on irradiation creep and swelling, the effect of internal stress, for example caused by dislocation structure, on precipitation, and the effect of the AM grain and dislocation structure on the macroscale creep and thermal aging behavior. This single mechanism models represent progress towards a complete, physics-based model for the long-term material behavior as well as elucidate key differences in the AM material behavior, when compared to the better-understood, conventionally-manufactured 316H.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

High-fidelity multiphysics load following and accidental transient modeling of microreactors using NEAMS tools: Application of NEAMS codes to perform multiphysics modeling analyses of micro-reactor concepts

The feasibility of modeling microreactors using high-fidelity models with the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) tools is investigated in this report. Three overarching questions guided this research: can NEAMS tools readily be applied for high-fidelity multiphysics modeling of different types of transients in microreactor designs; how accurate are the results obtained; and are improvements needed in accuracy or user experience of NEAMS tools, especially considering newly developed capabilities? This work builds upon FY-2022 work, and two microreactor concepts considering heat pipe (HP-MR) and gas-cooled (GC-MR) technologies were further analyzed using high-fidelity multiphysics simulations. The NEAMS tools considered and coupled within the MultiApp environment are Griffin for neutronics, BISON for thermo-mechanics, Sockeye for heat pipe modeling (in HP-MR), SAM for 1D Fluid – 3D solid modeling of coolant channels and system modeling of balance of plant components (in GC-MR), and the SWIFT code for hydrogen redistribution in hydride moderator. The Heat Pipe MicroReactor (HP-MR) concept was further analyzed in FY-2023 to demonstrate the stochastic TRISO failure modeling capability in BISON to check operational limits of the TRISO fuel. A new full-core Gas-Cooled MicroReactor (GC-MR) model was developed based on the initial assembly-model used in Y-2022 and used for steady-state and accidental depressurization transient simulations. Accuracy of the simulations performed was assessed through 1) verification analyses completed on the different physics with code-to-code comparison, and 2) validation of the multiphysics simulations based on modeling of the Kilopower Reactor Using Stirling Technology (KRUSTY) experiment. In FY-2023, the mesh and model of KRUSTY was updated to closely match publicly available data, and the neutronic model was verified and validated against experimental control rod worth measurements. The multiphysics model of KRUSTY was developed and used for steady-state analysis and for modeling reactivity insertion transient. The calculated power increase and stabilization agrees well with experimental data following adjustment in fuel thermal expansion coefficient. As an important component of this project, the ANL team gathered experience with a wide range of NEAMS tools: the MOOSE Mesh System, Griffin, BISON, SWIFT, Sockeye, SAM, Workbench, and the MOOSE MultiApp System, and provided assessment of new capabilities. Noteworthy are the user assessment of the “vapor-only” flow model in Sockeye and development of a multiphysics startup transient in HP-MR unit cell for use as tutorial in Sockeye. The full-core GC-MR model was used for assessment of SAM for balance of plant modeling and for demonstrating the SWIFT code capability for hydrogen redistribution modeling in multiphysics transient analyses. In this process, several bugs/issues were identified and reported to developers. Finally, the assembly GC-MR model developed in FY-2022 coupling Griffin, BISON and SAM through flow blockage and rod ejection transients was published to the National Reactor Innovation Center (NRIC) Virtual Test Bed (VTB). The Heat Pipe MicroReactor (HP-MR) concept high-fidelity multiphysics coupling of Griffin/BISON/Sockeye in load-following and heat pipe failure transients was also published on the VTB. Those submissions are enabling thorough review of these models as well as wide distribution to industry, regulator, and university users. In this analysis, several new research questions were uncovered, and follow-up analyses are recommended to further improve some models, consider additional transients, and continue development of VTB models.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Core-Shell Oxidative Aromatization Catalysts for Single Step Liquefaction of Distributed Shale Gas (Final Technical Report)

The objective of this project was to design and demonstrate a core-shell structured multifunctional catalyst to convert the light (dry) components of shale gas into liquid aromatic compounds (primarily benzene and toluene) in a single step. Operated in a modular oxidative aromatization system (OAS) under a cyclic redox scheme, the novel catalyst and process can significantly improve the value and transportability of distributed shale gas. Since the project started, each quarter addressed a different set of tasks related to the completion of the milestone detailed in the project award. The yearly summaries of these tasks are summarized below: Q1-Q4: • Conducted project planning and literature search. • Investigated a number of SHC redox catalysts using thermogravimetric analysis and fixed-bed reactor experiments. • Initiated process modeling towards generating two process models for the methane DHA base case and OAS process. • Developed DHA catalysts capable of producing >500 g/kg-cat-hr aromatics at 80% or greater aromatics selectivity at 700°C. Q5-Q8: • Developed alternative approaches with sequential bed configurations to enhance the aromatic yields based on OCM+DHA • Improved the zeolite synthesis efficiency by using the microwave-assisted technique and investigated the synthesis conditions on the zeolite yield, crystalline structure and morphology • Constructed a set of Aspen Plus process models with significant energy savings for OAS as compared to the base case non-oxidative DHA. • Adapted conventional hydrothermal method to be applicable to the microwave synthesizer unit for more efficient catalyst synthesis. • Studied the structure of the OCM catalyst and the dispersion of the carbonate in the redox reactions and in methane flow with Raman Spectroscopy. Q9-Q12: • Scaled up the catalyst synthesis with the microwave synthesis method. Based on its performance, procedural characterizations and catalytic performance testing were further conducted for the new microwave synthesized catalysts with the newly-developed product analysis procedure. • Developed the reaction system setup for the C2-DHA or OCM+DHA reaction product and achieved a better product collection-analysis method for the aromatic products with an improved carbon balance. The product from the OCM reaction exhibited complicated effects on the DHA catalyst. • Conducted additional OCM catalyst characterization using Near Ambient Pressure X-ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy and in situ Raman characterization • Validated the significant energy savings for OAS as compared to the base case non-oxidative DHA. Successfully set up the simulation model for the OCM+DHA+SHC reaction system based on the updated experimental results from NCSU. Q13-End of project: • Synthesized new zeolite catalysts by the microwave method, conducted characterizations (XRD, SEM, and TEM) and catalytic behavior testing. • Explored the “wet” C 2 H 6 and C 2 H 4 DHA reactions with using steam co-feed. A subsequent reduction as the regeneration step can regenerate the DHA catalyst and recover 99% activity of the fresh performance. • Achieved a 15.3% single-pass aromatic yield from methane by rationally combining the OCM and DHA at different temperatures. • Conducted a 105-hour stability test with an improved regeneration procedure, with an average aromatic yield of 13.8%. • Developed new catalyst and achieved a record-high 23.2% yield.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub (Final Report)

The Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub was a 2-year project (October 2023 – September 2025) conducted by the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) focused on advancing the feasibility of a commercial-scale carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) geologic storage hub in McKenzie County, North Dakota. The project’s objective was to investigate the potential that stacked storage complexes (multiple deep saline formations) can safely and economically store at least 50 million tonnes of CO 2 within 30 years. The captured CO 2 would be sourced from industrial emitters including project partner ONEOK, Inc.’s gas-processing plants and a planned gas-to-liquids facility. Drilling of the Roughrider 1 stratigraphic test well (14,979-ft total depth) was completed in November 2024. The wellbore intersected four candidate storage formations: Inyan Kara, Broom Creek, Mission Canyon, and Black Island–Deadwood. Operational challenges, including a stuck drill string, were resolved without long-term impact. A comprehensive logging and coring program was conducted, followed by successful well abandonment and site reclamation. Over 660 ft of 4-in. whole core was retrieved. Core plug samples were processed and analyzed for petrophysical and geochemical properties. Results confirmed promising porosity and permeability in the Inyan Kara and Broom Creek Formations and removal of the Mission Canyon and Black Island–Deadwood horizons from further investigation. Data derived from the logging and coring program were used to improve initial geologic models built from legacy data. CO 2 injection simulations showed that the Inyan Kara alone can feasibly store the target mass of CO 2 . Because of subtle differences in geologic structure and porosity trends between the formations, a stacked storage scenario using the Broom Creek and Inyan Kara Formations resulted in a larger overall plume area than using the Inyan Kara alone. Preliminary CO 2 pipeline routes from the industrial sources were mapped utilizing existing rights of way and evaluated for capacity and cost using U.S. Department of Energy Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management/National Energy Technology Laboratory models and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency emissions data. Integrating capture, transport, and storage cost estimates with policy incentives (e.g., 45Q credits) provided a total cost-per-ton analysis. Results indicate that the small scale of the volumes to be transported over the cumulative large distances does not support the project’s financial viability. However, the groundwork laid during this project from geological, regulatory, and social perspectives positions the Roughrider hub site as a promising candidate for commercial carbon storage in North Dakota, especially if the economy of scale is introduced for CO 2 transportation to the hub site.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

High temperature nuclear data measurements of SiC, ZrC, and MgO [Slides]

Performed temperature dependent measurements of SiC and ZrC at ARCS instrument at SNS. Performed temperature dependent measurements of SiC, ZrC, and MgO at VISION instrument at SNS. Performed initial atomistic modeling of these materials using various techniques, including machine learned potentials. Future work includes temperature dependent transmission measurements of these materials, as well as improving the machine learned potentials with more training data and different machine learned frameworks.

ARCS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Aerogel with Unparalleled Performance and Cost-Effectiveness for All Insulation Needs (CRADA Final Report)

Westwood Aerogel investigated the reproducible production of an ambiently or electromagnetic spectrum assisted drying of extremely porous aerogel materials. Traditional aerogel processing is limited by low throughput and scalability due to supercritical drying. Westwood Aerogel’s advanced manufacturing process enables commercialization and deployment at scale, making aerogel materials more accessible to a range of industries and applications. We focused on shifting from the lab scale environment to manufacturing prototypes. The initial manufacturing model is based on the float glass process, which is the industry standard for glass window production, and the paper drying process. By incorporating an ambient drying process a continuous line model can be used from start to finish. The project team worked to develop a continuous manufacturing system to scale-up and reduce costs while maintaining the lightweight and insulative properties of aerospace-grade aerogel. While aerogels are extremely insulative, lightweight, and thin materials (making them ideal insulators across application spaces), high costs and stagnant innovation have hampered their wider adoption. Traditional manufacturing of aerogel requires supercritical extraction of pore fluid to obtain highly insulating materials, which is an energy intensive batch process and limits aerogel production output. Westwood Aerogel’s proprietary ambient drying process enables the continuous production of highly insulative aerogel materials without the use of supercritical extraction.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Conformal Hierarchical Simulation-Based Inference with Local Validity

Trustworthy and interpretable uncertainty quantification is a long-standing challenge in artificial intelligence. Simulation-based inference (SBI) comprises a broad swath of approaches for estimating latent parameters with uncertainties. Although flexible neural density estimators in SBI can be remark- ably expressive capturing highly structured, high-dimensional posteriors their credible regions can be badly mis-calibrated and are often only accompanied by heuristic coverage checks. We present the first SBI framework that delivers finite-sample local valid coverage guarantees that hold in the neighborhood of each observation. Our framework can couple any off-the-shelf hierarchical SBI engine with a confor- mal Bayesian post-processing step that operates on the posterior predictive density. A kernel-weighted conformity score adapts the conformal quantile to the local geometry of the data, yielding prediction sets that are simultaneously (i) marginally calibrated, (ii) locally valid, and (iii) hierarchical, handling global and observation-specific parameters in a single pass. Through experiments on synthetic data and benchmarks from neuroscience and physics, we show that our approach attains 1 − α coverage, where prior SBI methods under- or over-cover. Our approach also maintains a competitive, credible set size with minimal computational overhead. Finally, our approach can be used to make predictions on real data and give valid credible regions modulo weight-initialization-based model mis-specification.

Trivedi, Shubhendu [Fermilab]↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improved Statistical Analysis for the Neutrinoless Double-Beta Decay Matrix Element of 136Xe

Neutrinoless double beta decay nuclear matrix element (M0ν) for 136Xe was recently analyzed using a statistical approach (Phys. Rev. C 107, 045501 (2023)). In the analysis, three initial shell model effective Hamiltonians were randomly altered, and their results for 23 measured observables were used to infer credibility for the M0ν nuclear matrix element (NME) based on a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. In that analysis, a reasonable Gamow-Teller quenching factor of 0.7 was assumed for each starting effective Hamiltonian. Given that the result of the statistical analysis was sensible to this choice, we are here improving that analysis by assuming that the Gamow-Teller quenching factor is also randomly chosen within reasonabe limits for all three starting Hamiltonians. The outcomes are slightly higher expectation values and uncertainties for the M0ν NME.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Evolution of Magnetohydrodynamic Turbulence in the Expanding Solar Wind: Residual Energy and Intermittency

We conduct 3D magnetohydrodynamic simulations of decaying turbulence in the context of the solar wind. To account for the spherical expansion of the solar wind, we implement the expanding box model. The initial turbulence comprises uncorrelated counterpropagating Alfvén waves and exhibits an isotropic power spectrum. Our findings reveal the consistent generation of negative residual energy whenever nonlinear interactions are present, independent of the normalized cross helicity σc and compressibility. The spherical expansion facilitates this process. The resulting residual energy is primarily distributed in the perpendicular direction, with S 2 (b) − S 2 (u) ∝ l ⊥ or equivalently –E r ∝ k$^{–2}_{⟂}$. Here S 2 (b) and S 2 (u) are second-order structure functions of magnetic field and velocity respectively. In most runs, S 2 (b) develops a scaling relation S 2 (b) ∝ $l$$^{1/2}_{⊥}$ (E b ∝ k$^{–3/2}_{⟂}$). In contrast, S 2 (u) is consistently shallower than S 2 (b), which aligns with in situ observations of the solar wind. We observe that the higher-order statistics of the turbulence, which act as a proxy for intermittency, depend on the initial σc and are strongly affected by the expansion effect. Generally, the intermittency is more pronounced when the expansion effect is present. Finally, we find that in our simulations, although the negative residual energy and intermittency grow simultaneously as the turbulence evolves, the causal relation between them seems to be weak, possibly because they are generated on different scales.

Interplanetary turbulence↗
DOE OSTI2022

VisMetHack2022: Visualizing winds and surface variables from the ECMWF IFS 1-km nature run

This data collection was contributed to the Visualisation Hackathon 2022 (#VisMetHack2022), in conjunction with the Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2022) workshop. The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) are pleased to announce access to the data collection from global 1-km nature run (NR) simulations using the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) with explicit convection. We invite you to join us in exploring this precursor to a digital twin of the earth! The NR simulations reveal unprecedented detail of the earth’s atmosphere, and the then outgoing Editor-in-Chief of AGU JAMES commended the project as one of “stunning ambitions,” enabled by computational capacity at scale. The project also won the 2020 HPCwire Readers Choice Award for Best Use of HPC in Physical Sciences. A set of two NR seasonal simulations have been completed, one corresponding to the northern hemispheric winter months (NDJF) and the other for the North Atlantic tropical cyclone season (ASO). The project used the Summit supercomputer at the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF). The simulations were facilitated with an INCITE award from the US Department of Energy Office of Science. For the first seasonal run of four months (NDJF), the hydrostatic IFS model was initialized at 00Z on 1 November 2018. The NR for the TC season (AS) was initialized at 00Z on 1 August 2019. The NR simulations were constrained only by sea surface temperatures (SST) at the lower boundary. The IFS output was saved every 3 hours. After feedback and interest from the scientific community, the simulations were rerun for four specific extreme events, with output every 15 minutes. The special cases include a tropical cycle and three severe storm events over the continental USA.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Wellbore integrity assessment with casing-based advanced sensing

Wellbore integrity is of paramount importance to subsurface resource extraction, energy storage 1 and waste disposal. After installation, well casing and cement are subject to mechanical stress due to near-well pressure changes and fluid induced corrosion. This is exacerbated for geothermal wells where produced fluid is at high temperature and corrosive. The current state-of-the-art technologies for wellbore integrity assessments are an array of cased hole logging tools. Wireline deployed acoustic, electromagnetic and mechanical tools are all available to inspect steel casing corrosion and casing-cement bond and these tools can provide high-resolution assessment of borehole conditions. They are intrusive, however, in terms of borehole preparation and interruption to the normal operation of the wells, and not suitable for high temperature or highly deviated well deployments. In addition, these measurements are performed infrequently due to high cost, and are therefore incapable of providing frequent data to better predict borehole degradation trajectory, which can help provide early warning of potential borehole failures. For this project we are developing a suite of novel, non-invasive, casing based tools for wellbore integrity assessment, combining fast/low cost screening with higher-precision investigation. Our approach is based on monitoring the response of the casing when energized at the wellhead, thereby interrogating the casing without well intervention. Lab, field and numerical approaches are used in our study. During the early stage of the research, we focus on numerical simulations, which have shown the sensitivity of the low frequency electromagnetic (EM) signals to changes in borehole depths and have successfully tested the concept at a field site with different length well casings. Initial seismic modeling efforts have also demonstrated our capability to simulate seismic tube wave and seismic field alterations due to borehole breakage and associated fluid leakage. Further numerical, laboratory and field experiments are underway for additional technology sensitivity analysis, particularly the transient EM/Seismic reflectometry methods, data acquisition optimization, and numerical simulation improvements.

Wilt, Michael↗