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Multiscale Machine-Learned Modeling Infrastructure

The Multiscale Machine-Learned Modeling Infrastructure (MuMMI) is a multiscale workflow management infrastructure that can concurrently orchestrate thousands of molecular dynamics (MD) simulations operating at different time and/or length scales, spanning nanoseconds to seconds and nanometers to micrometers. MuMMI uses machine learning (backed by biology experiments) to guide a massive ensemble of MD simulations that capture biologically relevant time and length scales with unprecedented resolution. MuMMI supports multiple MD codes such as GROMACS and ddcMD and can be fully deployed using the HPC package manager Spack. MuMMI has been used in many publications to run hundreds of thousands simulations, leading to significant biology breakthroughs.

Di Natale, Francesco [Lawrence Livermore National ↗

GCAM-USA electricity demand results for National Climate Assessment 5

Overview This dataset includes GCAM-USA v 5.3 outputs for the percent change in electricity demand in the U.S. from 2020 to 2050 and from 2020 to 2100 for the thermodynamic global warming scenario "RCP8.5_hotter" and the SSP5 socioeconomic scenario. These results were produced as part of the Integrated Multisector, Multiscale Modeling (IM3) project. Detailed Information The electricity demand is calculated based on the IM3 GCAM-USA simulations. For the purpose of reproducibility, we provide the following data: 1. Raw data: the annual electricity demand for CONUS simulated by IM3 GCAM-USA for the scenario RCP8.5 Hotter - SSP5. 2. R scripts: process raw data, calculate percent change of electricity demand from 2020 to 2050 and from 2020 to 2100, and plot the data over CONUS. 3. Results: figures provided for NCA-5 and the corresponding data table from the R scripts.

Climate Change↗

Assessing Two Approaches for Enhancing the Range of Simulated Scales in the E3SMv1 and the Impact on the Character of Hourly US Precipitation

Abstract Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models is essential for understanding and projecting water cycle changes across scales. Progress has been hampered by persistent deficiencies in representing precipitation frequency, intensity, and timing in current models. Here, we analyze simulated US precipitation in the low‐resolution (LR) configuration of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1) and assess the effect of two approaches to enhance the range of explicitly resolved scales: high‐resolution (HR) and multiscale modeling framework (MMF), which incur similar computational expense. Both E3SMv1‐MMF and E3SMv1‐HR capture more intense and less frequent precipitation on hourly and daily timescales relative to E3SMv1‐LR. E3SMv1‐HR improves the intensity over the Eastern and Northwestern US during winter, while E3SMv1‐MMF improves the intensity over the Eastern US and summer diurnal timing over the Central US. These results indicate that both methods may be needed to improve simulations of different storm types, seasons, and regions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Coupled Multiphysics Primary Loop Simulations of the Mk1-FHR in the Virtual Test Bed

To support advanced reactor demonstrations, the Virtual Test Bed (VTB) [1] repository hosts a wide range of challenge problems for showcasing modeling and simulation capabil- ities in support of advanced reactor demonstrations. This document presents a coupled multiphysics model of the Mark 1 pebble-bed fluoride-salt-cooled high-temperature reactor (PB-FHR). The analysis leverages NEAMS tools (Griffin [2], SAM [3], Pronghorn [4], and the MOOSE [5] heat con- duction module) for core neutronics, thermal hydraulics of the core and primary loop, and multiscale fuel performance simulations. The analysis was entirely created by coupling standalone simulations of the reactor that were previously available on the VTB. All input files and documentation de- veloped for this example are available on the VTB website: mooseframework.inl.gov/ virtual_test_bed/ . This model was featured in the National Reactor Innovation Cen- ter Tech Talk presented in December 2021.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Effects of surface vacancy-adatom pair formation on PFC tungsten surface morphological response

Abstract We report a simulation study of the effect of He-irradiation-induced surface vacancy-adatom pair formation on the surface morphological evolution of plasma-facing component (PFC) tungsten and examine a number of factors that impact such evolution. Our analysis is based on self-consistent dynamical simulations according to an atomistically-informed, continuum-scale surface evolution model that has been developed following a hierarchical multiscale modeling strategy and can access the spatiotemporal scales of relevance to fuzz formation. The model accounts for the flux of surface adatoms generated as a result of the surface vacancy-adatom pair formation effect upon He implantation, which contributes to the anisotropic growth of surface nanostructural features due to the different rates of adatom diffusion along and across step edges of islands on the tungsten surface. We have carried out atomic-scale computations of optimal diffusion pathways along and across island step edges on the W(110) surface and calculated Ehrlich–Schwoebel (ES) barriers in adatom diffusion along and across such step edges. This aspect of surface adatom diffusion contributes to anisotropic surface atomic fluxes, terrace and step diffusive currents, and has been incorporated into our PFC surface evolution model, which predicts the formation of preferentially aligned nanoridge stripe patterns on the PFC surface. We establish that these anisotropic diffusive currents accelerate nanotendril growth on the PFC surface and the onset of surface nanostructure pattern formation. We also explore systematically the dependence of the PFC surface morphological response on the surface temperature and He ion incident flux, characterize in detail the resulting surface topographies and growth kinetics, and compare the predicted surface morphologies with experimental observations. Our simulation predictions for the emerging surface nanostructure patterns under certain plasma exposure conditions are consistent with experimental findings in the literature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DiaMonD: An Integrated Multifaceted Approach to Mathematics at the Interfaces of Data, Models, and Decisions

DiaMonD is a multi-institutional DOE MMICC effort that aims to address the challenges of end-to-end, data-to-decisions modeling and simulation for complex computational science and engineering problems in a unified, systematic, and integrated fashion. Institutions involved are Colorado State, Florida State, Los Alamos, MIT, Oak Ridge, Stanford, and UT-Austin. The goals of DiaMonD are (1) to develop advanced mathematical methods and analysis for multimodel, multiphysics, multiscale model problems driven by frontier DOE applications, including those in subsurface energy and environmental flows, materials for energy storage and conversion, and ice sheet dynamics; (2) to create theory and algorithms for integrated inversion, optimization, and uncertainty quantification for these complex problems; and (3) to disseminate the philosophy of an integrated end-to-end, data-to-decisions approach to modeling and simulation of complex problems to the broader applied math and computational science communities through workshops and other outreach.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multiscale Modeling of Microstructural Evolution in Fused-Coating Additive Manufacturing

A quantitative phase field model with adaptive-computational-domain-expansion (ACDE) method was developed to simulate the microstructural evolution in fused-coating additive manufacturing process. A heat transfer and fluid flow model was established to investigate the solidification behavior of the molten pool in a single deposited layer. The solidification parameters such as temperature gradient and solidification rate were calculated from the macroscopic model and then fed into the phase field model to get the microstructure at different positions within a single deposited layer. Columnar dendrites were formed at the bottom of the deposited layer, and equiaxed dendrites appeared in the upper part of the layer. The ACDE method is used to improve the simulation efficiency. The metallographic experiments and energy-dispersive spectrometer analysis for composition were conducted on the fused-coating specimen, and the results were in good accordance with the simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A neural master equation framework for multiscale modeling of molecular processes: application to atomic-scale plasma processes

Plasma-surface interactions (PSI) play a crucial role in microelectronics fabrication; however, their multiscale nature and array of complex, often unknown interactions make computational modeling of PSIs extremely difficult. To this end, we propose a general neural master equation (NME) framework that uses master equations to describe the dynamics of a molecular process, wherein neural networks learned from atomistic simulations represent unknown transitions between different system states. By leveraging the physics-based structure of master equations and data-driven state transitions, the NME framework promotes generalizability and physics interpretability, and can bridge disparate length and time scales. The framework is demonstrated for multiscale modeling of Si atomic layer etching and reactive ion etching, where the learned NME-based surface kinetic models exhibit good predictive and extrapolative capabilities for predicting experimentally relevant observables as a function of process parameters. The NME-based surface kinetic models obey physical constraints, which are violated in models based on neural ordinary differential equations. The proposed NME framework for multiscale modeling of molecular processes can pave the way for the discovery of new chemistries and materials in atomic-scale plasma processes.

Chemical engineering↗

A multiscale recurrent neural network model for predicting energy production from geothermal reservoirs

Optimization of energy production from geothermal reservoirs requires reliable prediction of energy production performance under alternative operation and development scenarios. Traditionally, reservoir simulation models are used for the evaluation and screening of alternative production and development plans. However, simulation models require extensive data collection and modeling efforts and are time-consuming to build, run, and update. Data-driven predictive models, on the other hand, can serve as efficient prediction tools that can be used for decision support and management of daily operations and surveillance activities. Data-driven models become particularly attractive when a reservoir simulation model for a field does not exist and/or is difficult to build. Machine learning (ML)-based data-driven models that have recently become popular in several fields exploit statistical patterns and relations in training data to generate predictions. As such, they tend to perform better in interpolation problems (that is, prediction within the training data range) than when they are used to extrapolate beyond the training data. Production data from geothermal reservoirs tend to exhibit short-term variabilities as well as long-term trends, such as monotonically declining production temperatures. Capturing both short-term features and long-term trends with ML-based models is not trivial. We evaluate the use of recurrent neural networks (RNN) for the prediction of energy production from geothermal reservoirs. RNN is a class of ML architectures that are used to represent and predict sequential/dynamic data. Thus, it can be challenging to apply RNN to problems where long-term trends must be captured and extrapolation beyond the training data range is needed. We introduce the multiscale RNN architecture to extend the application of RNN to detect and predict both short-term variabilities and long-term trends in geothermal data. The developed architecture consists of a long-term component to only capture low-frequency data patterns, and a short-term component to detect features with higher frequency and more nonlinearity. The final prediction is obtained by combining the long-term and short-term predictions. Both synthetic and field data are used to evaluate the presented multiscale RNN model. The prediction performance of the multiscale RNN is compared against those obtained from the regular RNN and the autoregressive (AR) model. The results suggest that the multiscale architecture improves the long-term prediction performance of the regular RNN and enhances its robustness against noise.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

The Influence of Adaptive Mesh Refinement on the Prediction of Vortex Interactions about a Generic Missile Airframe

The complex interaction of forebody and wing vortices significantly impacts missile aerodynamics. The formation of these vortices involves smooth regions of the geometry or geometric discontinuities like leading edges, trailing edges, tips, and corners. Regions of supersonic flow and complex shock topologies interact with boundary layers and vortices. Smooth-body separation and 3D viscous effects strain current Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) techniques. The quantification and control of discretization error is critical to obtaining reliable simulation results and often turbulence model assessments are made in the presence of unquantified (and potentially large) discretization errors. Two mesh adaptation schemes are applied to steady RANS simulations. Multiscale unstructured mesh adaptation is applied to control interpolation error estimates of the Mach field, which resolves boundary layers, vortices, and shocks. A dual-mesh approach with overset communication is applied between an expert-crafted near-body unstructured mesh and an adaptive off-body Cartesian mesh refined with Q-criterion scaled by the strain tensor magnitude. A generic missile configuration is examined in a supersonic flow field to show the interaction of mesh adaptation and turbulence model. Turbulence model modifications for rotational correction and a quadratic constitutive relationship show a strong influence on adaptive mesh refinement and predicted rolling moment.

slender body aerodynamics↗

Stress Distribution During Deformation of Polycrystalline Aluminum by Molecular-Dynamics and Finite-Element Modeling

In this paper, a multiscale modelling strategy is used to study the effect of grain-boundary sliding on stress localization in a polycrystalline microstructure with an uneven distribution of grain size. The development of the molecular dynamics (MD) analysis used to interrogate idealized grain microstructures with various types of grain boundaries and the multiscale modelling strategies for modelling large systems of grains is discussed. Both molecular-dynamics and finite-element (FE) simulations for idealized polycrystalline models of identical geometry are presented with the purpose of demonstrating the effectiveness of the adapted finite-element method using cohesive zone models to reproduce grain-boundary sliding and its effect on the stress distribution in a polycrystalline metal. The yield properties of the grain-boundary interface, used in the FE simulations, are extracted from a MD simulation on a bicrystal. The models allow for the study of the load transfer between adjacent grains of very different size through grain-boundary sliding during deformation. A large-scale FE simulation of 100 grains of a typical microstructure is then presented to reveal that the stress distribution due to grain-boundary sliding during uniform tensile strain can lead to stress localization of two to three times the background stress, thus suggesting a significant effect on the failure properties of the metal.

Yamakov, V.↗

Multiscale Mesh Adaptation for Transonic Aeroelastic Flutter Problems

This work applies multiscale mesh adaptation with refine to reduce spatial discretization error of aeroelastic computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. Benchmark flutter models, such as the pitch and plunge NACA64A-010 airfoil and the benchmark supercritical wing, are studied with both a linearized frequency-domain solver and time-marching CFD coupled to a modal structural solver in FUN3D. The undeformed NASA Common Research Model (CRM), an aeroelastic jig shape variant of the CRM, is also studied with the linearized frequency-domain approach. For these cases, the adaptation process converges to comparable flutter predictions to hand-generated meshes but with smaller node counts. However the additional disciplines of the linearized frequency-domain analysis, the mesh deformation, and the unsteady finite-volume solver create robustness challenges that need to be addressed before it can be applied as a fully automated process for complex transonic aeroelastic problems. In particular, negative volumes are observed to be an issue for FUN3D’s linear elasticity mesh deformation solver when moving the adapted meshes.

Aeroelasticity↗

Groundwater Circulation Within the Mountain Block: Combining Flow and Transport Models With Magnetotelluric Observations to Untangle Its Nested Nature

Abstract Mountains are vital water sources for humans and ecosystems, continuously replenishing lowland aquifers through surface runoff and mountain recharge. Quantifying these fluxes and their relative importance is essential for sustainable water resource management. However, our mechanistic understanding of the flow and transport processes determining the connection between the mountain block and the basin aquifer remains limited. Traditional conceptualizations assume groundwater circulation within the mountain block is predominantly shallow. This view neglects the role of deep groundwater flowpaths significantly contributing to the water, solute, and energy budgets. Overcoming these limitations requires a holistic characterization of the multiscale nature of groundwater flow along the mountain‐to‐valley continuum. As a proof‐of‐concept, we use a coupled groundwater flow and transport model to design a series of numerical experiments that explore the role of geology, topography, and weathering rates in groundwater circulation and their resulting resistivity patterns. Our results show that accumulating solutes near stagnation zones create contrasting electrical resistivity patterns that separate local, intermediate, and regional flow cells, presenting a target for magnetotelluric observations. To demonstrate the sensitivity of magnetotelluric data to features in our resistivity models, we use the MARE2DEM electromagnetic modeling code to perform forward and inverse simulations. This study highlights the potential of magnetotelluric surveys to image the resistivity structure resulting from multiscale groundwater circulation through relatively impervious crystalline basement rocks in mountainous terrains. This capability could change our understanding of the critical zone, offering a holistic perspective that includes deep groundwater circulation and its role in conveying solutes and energy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Manifold learning for coarse-graining atomistic simulations: Application to amorphous solids

In this work, we introduce a generalized machine learning framework to probabilistically parameterize upper-scale models in the form of nonlinear PDEs consistent with a continuum theory, based on coarse-grained atomistic simulation data of mechanical deformation and flow processes. The proposed framework utilizes a hypothesized coarse-graining methodology with manifold learning and surrogate-based optimization techniques. Coarse-grained high-dimensional data describing quantities of interest of the multiscale models are projected onto a nonlinear manifold whose geometric and topological structure is exploited for measuring behavioral discrepancies in the form of manifold distances. A surrogate model is constructed using Gaussian process regression to identify a mapping between stochastic parameters and distances. Derivative-free optimization is employed to adaptively identify a unique set of parameters of the upper-scale model capable of rapidly reproducing the system's behavior while maintaining consistency with coarse-grained atomic-level simulations. The proposed method is applied to learn the parameters of the shear transformation zone (STZ) theory of plasticity that describes plastic deformation in amorphous solids as well as coarse-graining parameters needed to translate between atomistic and continuum representations. We show that the methodology is able to successfully link coarse-grained microscale simulations to macroscale observables and achieve a high-level of parity between the models across scales.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multiscale and Multifidelity Modeling of a 3D Woven Composite Thermal Protection System

Complex three-dimensional (3D) woven composites have been considered by multiple NASA projects in recent years as a means of offering improved mechanical and thermal performance over traditional laminated composite systems. Parallel efforts have focused on developing simulation capabilities for these systems, which have traditionally and heavily relied on experimental testing to evaluate composite performance. One system is the Heatshield for Extreme Entry Environment Technology (HEEET), which is being considered for the thermal protection system on reentry spacecraft. Optical microscopy was used to characterize the blended carbon and phenolic fiber tows. A section of HEEET insulation layer was imaged with high-resolution micro-computed tomography (microCT) and segmented to separate individual tows, porous matrix, and voids. These data were used to develop multiscale thermomechanical computational models within the NASA Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT). Two NASMAT modeling approaches were considered to capture the details of the 3D woven architecture: a coarse model appropriate for inclusion in multiscale structural analyses and a high-fidelity model created by downsampling the microCT data. Both elastic and thermal properties were computed and compared. The feasibility and challenges associated with modeling complex, hybrid 3D woven composites were also addressed.

NASMAT↗

Multiscale System Modeling of Single-Event-Induced Faults in Advanced Node Processors

Integration-technology feature shrink increases computing-system susceptibility to single-event effects (SEE). While modeling SEE faults will be critical, an integrated processor’s scope makes physically correct modeling computationally intractable. Without useful models, presilicon evaluation of fault-tolerance approaches becomes impossible. To incorporate accurate transistor-level effects at a system scope, we present a multiscale simulation framework. Charge collection at the 1) device level determines 2) circuit-level transient duration and state-upset likelihood. Circuit effects, in turn, impact 3) register-transfer-level architecture-state corruption visible at 4) the system level. Furthermore, the physically accurate effects of SEEs in large-scale systems, executed on a high-performance computing (HPC) simulator, could be used to drive cross-layer radiation hardening by design. We demonstrate the capabilities of this model with two case studies. First, we determine a D flip-flop’s sensitivity at the transistor level on 14-nm FinFet technology, validating the model against published cross sections. Second, we track and estimate faults in a microprocessor without interlocked pipelined stages (MIPS) processor for Adams 90% worst case environment in an isotropic space environment.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modeling Materials: Design for Planetary Entry, Electric Aircraft, and Beyond

NASA missions push the limits of what is possible. The development of high-performance materials must keep pace with the agency's demanding, cutting-edge applications. Researchers at NASA's Ames Research Center are performing multiscale computational modeling to accelerate development times and further the design of next-generation aerospace materials. Multiscale modeling combines several computationally intensive techniques ranging from the atomic level to the macroscale, passing output from one level as input to the next level. These methods are applicable to a wide variety of materials systems. For example: (a) Ultra-high-temperature ceramics for hypersonic aircraft-we utilized the full range of multiscale modeling to characterize thermal protection materials for faster, safer air- and spacecraft, (b) Planetary entry heat shields for space vehicles-we computed thermal and mechanical properties of ablative composites by combining several methods, from atomistic simulations to macroscale computations, (c) Advanced batteries for electric aircraft-we performed large-scale molecular dynamics simulations of advanced electrolytes for ultra-high-energy capacity batteries to enable long-distance electric aircraft service; and (d) Shape-memory alloys for high-efficiency aircraft-we used high-fidelity electronic structure calculations to determine phase diagrams in shape-memory transformations. Advances in high-performance computing have been critical to the development of multiscale materials modeling. We used nearly one million processor hours on NASA's Pleiades supercomputer to characterize electrolytes with a fidelity that would be otherwise impossible. For this and other projects, Pleiades enables us to push the physics and accuracy of our calculations to new levels.

Supercomputing↗

Multiscale Modeling Framework for Lithium Nucleation in 3D Porous Carbon Anodes

Porous carbon scaffolds offer a promising route for mitigating non-uniform lithium (Li) plating to enhance the safety and longevity of Li metal batteries. However, the influence of microstructural morphology on Li nucleation is not well understood. Here, we present a multiscale modeling framework to investigate how the porous microstructure of carbon materials affects Li nucleation behavior. Ab initio molecular dynamics simulations quantify the nucleation energy barriers of Li on graphene as a function of Li content, surface curvature, and applied potential, providing key parameters for a classical nucleation theory (CNT) model. From macroscale half-cell simulations, we obtained Li concentration and electrical potential profiles to define boundary conditions for mesoscopic simulations. At the mesoscale, three distinct synthetic 3D microstructures with different porosities and characteristic feature sizes are generated to resolve local distributions of Li flux, current density, and mechanical stress. These outputs are integrated into the CNT model to map spatial variation in nucleation rates. Our findings reveal trade-offs between suppressing nucleation rates and achieving spatial uniformity, offering design guidelines for optimizing porous carbon anodes to balance nucleation control and mechanical integrity.

Materials science↗